Do not go long! Correction MUST happen before upside for USDJPYThis dollar yen is largely range bound this week. The following week could see more upside but we have a strong bias to the downside before sustained bullish price action can happen.
BEAR CASE
Structurally on the 4hr, price looks like it's ready to break out to the upside and it probably will break the top but the move should be fairly capped because the weekly shows that we need a deeper correction before we can see more upside.
BULL CASE
It is possible that price moves to break ATH but we think the move will be capped.
PS: We will not long this thing, looking for shorts only.
Usdjpybuy
USDJPY Major Resistance: Short or Long?
USDJPY has just rejected a major Weekly/Monthly support-resistance level.
You can usually expect price to do one of two things once that happens, no matter the trend direction; retrace or breakout.
My bias is and always resides with the trend , so I took advantage of this retracement (temporary move) to the 0.3 fib level to enter a short-term sell , before taking the long term buy at that same level , once the sell tp is hit.
This scenario is valid as long as we reject and trade ABOVE the fib level.
More conservative entry: wait for break and retest of resistance to take the buy.
The TP for the long position will be 114.500, or the last higher high.
The next Swing TP is 118.405, and the last TP will be 124.000.
You can stay in the buy, from the fib lvl, to TP 1 & 2, so long as price doesn’t demonstrate too much resistance/rejects 114.500 . Simply put the SL for the buy to break-even and trail your profits after each new higher high. Nice tip to increase your r:r.
We’re currently in an uptrend so that means buys only , but a sell scenario is possible and valid has long as we trade below the resistance level and demonstrate enough rejection of said level.
The fib level might not hold, so if you’re already in the sell, (like demonstrated on the chart), just put your SL to break-even and trail your profits until 111.7000 , which is the next and final TP. You could re-enter again for a sell if price rejects the resistance on the daily and if sellers demonstrate enough strength . if we start trading below 111.7000, we’re entering a longer term (Monthly) downtrend towards 108.000 then 105.000.
{edit; it's RSI in overbought, not oversold lol}
USD JPY MAY GO LONG. (23rd November 2020).Disclaimer:- Educational Analysis says USDJPY may go long According to my technicals.
This is not an entry signal. I have no concern with your profit and loss from this analysis.
Why Long?
Because the 4 hr trendline(backline) is been respected twice and may test third time before going long or 15 min Consolidation of (Red Line) will break and go long. There are buyers waiting at that buy stop order value which may skyrocket this pair.
For Additional Confirmation on this trade, You can wait for consolidation to break and wait for price action pattern may be morning star or two green candles or at least bullish engulfing for the price to go long.
Clear downside for USDJPYThe dollar yen has confirmed the down move giving a us a bearish candle on the weekly chart. We think this week should end up red too before we enter a consolidation in November as the market awaits the next news trigger to form a direction.
BEAR CASE
We wait for a correction and enter a short. Our exit is near the top of the channel at 112.5
GBPJPY trade ideasI always make sure I move my stop loss to entry point to cover the risk when I'm look at taking these aggressive moves. We should see further weakness from the yen which will push us higher on usdjpy and gbpjpy, but as always remember we can see a fast sell of at any time so be smart and don't just by any random pull back, make sure the price action is creating a nice opportunity
How I look at fast bullish runs USDJPYJust a bit of a look at how I trade these pairs when price is on a huge upside move. It can be very rewarding when you get entry's and straight into risk free but remember anything can happen and just cause price is looking so strong, we can get sell offs whenever... its better to be safe then lose.. risk amounts stay the same ALWAYS no matter how good a setup looks.
UsdJpy- New high in sight?After breaking above range's resistance and marking a new local high above 112, UsdJpy corrected and has confirmed the old resistance zone as support.
A new leg up followed and a new correction, just to mark a higher low and make 111.20 support.
At this moment the pair is trading just in short-term resistance given by last high and a break here can lead to continuation and a new high around 112.50
I'm bullish as long as the price is above 111
Incoming Bulls | USDJPYOANDA:USDJPY
As it can be inferred from the chart, price broke the bearish structure from the inception where we goa a shift in market structure (SMS), we see smart money active at that point
Now, we see BSL engineered by SM to initiate the bullish order flow continuation
We expect liquidity to be grabbed and we then expect price to come into the OB before shooting higher
USD/JPY BUY ,Waite To Nick line Break Out...
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