USDCHF
USD/CHFThe price has been moving downward for some time now and completing the 3rd wave based on Elliot waves theory .. what we see as a spike is more like the price giving out its last sellers .. now needs to correct .. and then continue its way down.
I don't think the 5th wave will go down below the 3rd wave, or if it goes, it wouldn't be too much .. we are at the lowest prices of all time, so we are at the end of the downward prices .. also in, fundamental, we had good CPI last week and good earning in the finance sector of the S&P500 .. but still the fed is hawkish on rates and talking about 2 more 0.25 % increase in rates.
But for now, I'm looking for a pullback to our golden zone and then continue to make a 5th wave.
Leave your comment and thoughts.
May your pockets fill with money
USD/CHFHello Agn,
Today the market is moving quickly due to the upcoming data, which has caused most of our previous analysis to be profitable. Remember to save your profits and take them out of the market, as it may take them back just as fast as it gave them to you. It's important not to get caught up in the idea of making big profits quickly.
Additionally, here is another forecast for you: the market will continue to move quickly and unpredictably. Thank me later.
USDCHF intraday rallies continues to attract sellers.USDCHF - 24h expiry
Our short term bias remains negative.
The lack of interest is a concern for bulls.
A break of the recent low at 0.9045 should result in a further move lower.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
50 4hour EMA is at 0.9079.
We look to Sell at 0.9078 (stop at 0.9102)
Our profit targets will be 0.9018 and 0.9008
Resistance: 0.9070 / 0.9090 / 0.9102
Support: 0.9045 / 0.9030 / 0.9005
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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USD/CHF Pair's Descent: Factors Behind the Extended DowntrendDuring the early trading hours of Friday's European session, the USD/CHF pair sustained its downward trajectory for the third consecutive day, with its value depreciating to 0.9080. This extended decline comes on the heels of a recent pullback from a notable seven-month peak, observed around the formidable resistance zone positioned at 0.9200. The retreat in value can be predominantly attributed to the prevailing weakness exhibited by the US Dollar (USD) across various fronts in the market landscape.
Investor sentiment remains closely tethered to the impending release of the highly-anticipated US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report for April, which is anticipated to shed light on the addition of approximately 243,000 jobs to the US economy. The outcome of this report is poised to significantly influence market dynamics and shape trading strategies in the near term.
Furthermore, there exists a palpable sense of anticipation within the trading community regarding potential seasonal short positions, which are being contemplated in light of insights gleaned from the Commitments of Traders (COT) report. This additional layer of analysis underscores the intricate interplay of various factors contributing to the ongoing fluctuations within the USD/CHF currency pair.
USD/CHF H4 | Pullback support at 50% Fibonacci retracementUSD/CHF is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.9030 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 0.8983 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support.
Take profit is at 0.9098 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Strifor || GBPUSD-Week StartingPreferred direction: BUY
Comment: According to the British pound , buyers continue to fight for the support area at the 1.25000 level, which is the key area at the moment. For the coming week, the buy-priority will remain relevant, but you need to be careful, especially in the middle of the week, when US inflation data will be published.
The likely best option for entering a long position is a trade on a breakdown of the level of 1.25396. This level is a local resistance, and if it is overcome, buyers can count on growth at least to the level of 1.26300 (scenario №1) . An alternative option is scenario №2 , where exactly the same breakout transaction is expected after testing the area of 1.24500 .
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
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USDCHF is approaching a decent support prior to CPI newsAttention Traders, in today's trading session, our focus is on USDCHF, where we anticipate a potential buying opportunity around the 0.90650 zone. USDCHF has exhibited a recent breakout from its downtrend, and it is presently undergoing a corrective phase, edging closer to the retrace area near the 0.90650 zone.
From a fundamental perspective, it's crucial to monitor tomorrow's CPI data closely. A hotter CPI reading would suggest that the Federal Reserve's mission to tackle inflation is ongoing, potentially providing an additional uplift to the dollar. This scenario could imply a more hawkish stance from the Fed. Keep a close watch on these developments.
USDCHF - Price can exit from pennant, and then start to growHi guys, this is my overview for USDCHF, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price entered to falling channel, where it first reached resistance level, which coincided with resistance area.
Then CHF bounced down from this level and fell to almost support line of channel, after which made upward impulse.
Swiss Franc exited from channel, broke $0.9155 level, and rose to $0.9220 points, but soon turned around and started to fall.
Also, price formed pennant pattern, where it declined to support line and soon bounced up, breaking $0.9050 level.
Later CHF reached resistance line of pennant, but recently CHF bounced down and declined to support line.
So, I think Swiss Franc can exit from pennant pattern and then bounce up from support level to $0.9120
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
USDCHF Will Move Lower! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 0.907.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 0.900 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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USDCHF Channel Up intact. Aim higher.The USDCHF pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the December 28 2023 Low. In the past 2 weeks, it has been forming its 2nd Bearish Leg that almost touched the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been supporting since February 02.
As long as we close 1D candles above it, we stay bullish, targeting 0.94200 (marginally below Resistance 2). Since however the recent Higher High was priced just below Resistance 1 (the October 03 2023 High), we will turn bearish (and take the buy's loss) if the pair closes a 1D candle below the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which is what happened on November 14 2023. In that case, our Target will be 0.87350 (Support 1).
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Strifor || EURAUD-08/05/2024Preferred direction: BUY
Comment: The next buy transaction is being considered for the EURAUD currency pair. We previously considered both long and short positions for this instrument. Today it is not too late to join long positions, and most likely, starting from the current price, the price will go to the level of 1.64767 (scenario №1) , where our goal is located.
If scenario №1 does not realize, another entry from the level of 1.63067 can be actively considered (scenario №2).
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
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Strifor || USDCAD-08/05/2024Preferred direction: SELL
Comment: For the USDCAD currency pair, we continue to adhere to the priority of sales. In our final trading idea for this instrument, we identified two scenarios where one of the selling options was the level of 1.37600 . The price is at this level now. A fall near this level is more likely today (scenario №1) , since there is local trend resistance here, which pushes the price towards the support level 1.36557.
We also highlight scenario №2 on the chart. Here, the short is planned from the level of 1.38000.
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
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Strifor || USDCHF-08/05/2024Preferred direction: SELL
Comment: Against the backdrop of a calm week on the economic calendar, the US dollar is trying to strengthen, but this is likely to change in the near future. We continue to consider short-term sell priority for the dollar. Considering the USDCHF currency pair, the most conservative is at the level of 0.91424 (scenario №1) . However, it is permissible to look for entry points into selling starting from the current ones. Also, as an alternative scenario, in the case of more aggressive behavior by buyers for this instrument, shorts will be considered after a false breakout of the level of 0.91424 (scenario №2).
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
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USDCHF is approaching the main daily tendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCHF for a buying opportunity around 0.90400 zone, USDCHF is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.90400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USD-CHF Will Go Down! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CHF broke the rising
Support line went down
Then up and has retested
The broken support from
Where we are already seeing
A bearish reaction so
We will be expecting
A further move down
Sell!
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USD/CHF H4 | Close to 38.2% Fibonacci resistanceUSD/CHF is trading close to a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.9095 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 0.9184 which is a level that sits above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level and an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 0.9030 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.