USDCAD, Breakout and follow throughUSDCAD / 1D
Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
The market shows strong bullish momentum, breaking through key resistance levels and signaling a potential continuation to the upside. However, The price is rejecting the Previous all-time high. Hence, instead of jumping in at current levels, I recommend waiting for a pullback into the breakout zone for a more strategic entry.
If the pullback holds and buying confirms, the next leg higher could target:
First Resistance: Immediate levels formed during prior consolidation.
Stay disciplined, wait for the market to come to you, and trade with confidence!
Trade safely,
Trader Leo.
USD (US Dollar)
EURUSD Bottom formation in progress. Strong Buy.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a nearly 2-year Channel Down. Being below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) since October 02 2024, this is technically still the pattern's Bearish Leg.
However, having bottomed on November 22 and transitioned into a (dotted) Channel Up, this is the technical bottom formation of the long-term Channel Down and the rise following a 1D MACD Bullish Cross from such a low level (the lowest in 2 years), confirms that.
The similarities with both previous bottom formations (September - October 2023 and February - March 2023) are obvious, all of them triple bottomed before rebounding above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level.
As a result, buying now and targeting 1.08765 (Fib 0.618) is an excellent long-term trade in terms of R/R.
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NAS100 - Nasdaq, the only green index last week!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the index corrects towards the demand zones, you can look for the next Nasdaq buy positions with the appropriate risk reward. The valid failure of the previous ATH will provide the conditions for the continuation of the rise of this index.
The Economist predicts that as 2025 approaches, the U.S. economy is in a highly favorable position. It expects a soft economic landing in the upcoming year, meaning the U.S. will successfully reduce inflation to its 2% target without harming economic growth. While analysts previously forecasted a recession for the U.S., Washington now stands out as the only major economy whose output exceeds pre-pandemic trends.
This year, the Nasdaq index has significantly outperformed other major U.S. stock market indices. The primary reason is the heavy weighting of tech stocks in the index. Technology stocks, particularly the “Big Seven” tech giants, have seen remarkable growth due to the AI revolution and market optimism.On the other hand, the Dow Jones index, which is more focused on industrial stocks, has lagged behind Nasdaq despite notable gains.
The United States is preparing new restrictions on AI chips to block China’s indirect access to this technology. According to a report by The Wall Street Journal, these restrictions aim to prevent China from using hidden pathways to obtain AI chips. Sources familiar with the plan revealed that the U.S. intends to hold companies like Google and Microsoft accountable for managing access to advanced AI chips.
The most significant economic event this week is the Federal Reserve’s final interest rate decision of 2024, set to be announced on Wednesday. Markets are already anticipating a 25-basis-point rate cut, but attention will focus on the Fed’s policy statement and Jerome Powell’s remarks during the press conference. Traders will look for clues about the Fed’s monetary policy outlook for the upcoming year. Additionally, the Bank of England will announce its interest rate decision on Thursday, which could have a global market impact.
Key economic data on American consumer health will also be released this week. On Tuesday, the November retail sales report will provide fresh insights into consumer behavior during the holiday season. Moreover, on Friday, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index—a key inflation metric closely watched by the Fed—will be released, potentially clarifying the direction of future monetary policy.
Other important economic data include the Empire State Manufacturing Survey and the S&P Global PMI leading index, both set for release on Monday. On Thursday, critical figures such as the final Q3 GDP growth rate, the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey, November existing home sales, and weekly jobless claims will also be published.
Analysts expect the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points this week, but the pace of rate cuts in 2025 is expected to be slow. Due to sticky inflation and some inflationary policies from Donald Trump, economists anticipate only three rate cuts in 2025.
The U.S. dollar has performed impressively this year, supported by the country’s economic conditions. However, Morgan Stanley analysts, including David Adams, believe buying the dollar at this point may be a mistake, as there is a downside risk for the currency. Based on their discussions, many investors expect the dollar index to rise further. Morgan Stanley argues that positive news is already fully priced into the dollar and that markets may be overestimating the speed, scope, and impact of economic measures.
Potential bullish bounce for the Cable?The price is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.2547
1st Support: 1.2329
1st Resistance: 1.2734
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish reversal?USD/JPY is rising towards pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 154.85
1st Support: 151.56
1st Resistance: 157.65
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Heading into overlap resistance?WTI oil (XTI/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 73.08
1st Support: 66.98
1st Resistance: 78.05
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?USD/ZAR is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 18.01025
1st Support: 17.3635
1st Resistance: 18.2794
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD 15/12/24Starting this week the same way we always do—with our markup on EU. Following last week’s chart, we still maintain our bearish bias. This week, we’re focusing on the highs once again as a potential sell entry zone. As you can see on our chart, all key points are clearly marked, highlighting areas to aim for and areas to sell from.
Last week, we identified a money-out area, and price reacted perfectly to this zone, aligning with our bias as it has consistently for over a month now!
Don’t expect the market to shift its bias unless it provides a very clear reason to do so. For now, we remain patient and wait for potential entry opportunities.
Stick to your plan and always follow your risk management.
Could the Cable reverse from here?The price is reacting off the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.2617
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.2523
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.2731
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?USD/JPY is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 153.63
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 154.98
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 88% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 151.96
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0543
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0589
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.0470
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
BITCOIN (BTC) SHORT TERM TARGET AND LONG TERM TARGET It looks like you're planning to sell Bitcoin (BTC) around 103,500 with target price levels of 97,000 and 102,000. Here's a breakdown of your trade plan:
Sell Position Details
Sell Entry Price: 103,500
Target 1: 102,000 (short-term target)
Target 2: 97,000 (longer-term target)
Risk Management
Set a stop-loss to manage risks effectively. For example, if BTC rises significantly above 103,500 (e.g., 104,500 or 105,000), you may consider exiting to avoid further losses.
Market Analysis Tips
Check for support and resistance levels near your targets.
Keep an eye on market trends, news, and technical indicators (RSI, MACD) to validate price movements. CAPITALCOM:BTCUSD
GBPUSD Is Nearing 1.26450 Resistance Along With The TrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.26450 zone, GBPUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.26450 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
USDCHF Is Nearing An Important Support With CHF WeaknessHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCHF for a buying opportunity around 0.88650 zone, USDCHF is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.88650 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Jie.
EURO - Price can break resistance level and continue to riseHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price traded inside flat, where it declined to resistance area and then rose to top part of flat.
Also, when price rose to top part of flat, EUR made a first gap and then made downward impulse.
Price exited from flat and continued to decline inside falling channel, where it broke $1.0760 level and continued to fall.
Later price reached $1.0520 level, some time traded near, and then declined to $1.0335 points, exiting of falling channel.
Euro started to grow inside rising channel, where it made a second gap and some time traded between $1.0520 level.
Now price trying to break $1.0520 level, and I think it can break it and continue to grow to $1.0720 in channel.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
EURO - Price can bounce up from support line of pennantHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price bounced from $1.0810 level and rose to $1.0935 points, making a first gap.
After this, price turned around and started to decline inside pennant, where it first broke $1.0810 level.
Then price tried to grow, but failed and soon fell to $1.0515 level, which later broke too and fell to $1.0330 points.
But then, Euro turned around and bounced up, making a second gap, and started to trades inside resistance area.
Also, the price rose to resistance line of the pennant, but recently it fell back and now EUR continues to trades near support line.
I think that price can bounce up from support line to $1.0680, breaking resistance level, and leaving pennant.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Zeta ($ZETAusdt): Daily Chart Analysis for Strategic EntryI spend time researching and finding the best entries and setups, so make sure to boost and follow for more.
Zeta ( KUCOIN:ZETAUSDT ): Daily Chart Analysis for Strategic Entry
Trade Setup:
- Entry Price: $0.7003
- Stop-Loss: $0.5102
- Take-Profit Targets:
- TP1: $1.0624
- TP2: $1.7275
Fundamental Analysis:
Zeta ( KUCOIN:ZETAUSDT ) is an emerging cryptocurrency focusing on decentralized interoperability across blockchain networks. Its ability to facilitate seamless asset transfers and support cross-chain smart contracts makes it a unique player in the market. Recent upgrades to its protocol, including enhanced transaction speeds and reduced fees, have increased its adoption in DeFi ecosystems.
Technical Analysis (Daily Chart):
- Current Price: $0.7150
- Moving Averages:
- 50-Day SMA: $0.6500
- 200-Day SMA: $0.5800
- Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 58, showing bullish momentum but still within a neutral zone.
- Support and Resistance Levels:
- Support: $0.6000
- Resistance: $0.8500
The daily chart shows a clear ascending trendline, with KUCOIN:ZETAUSDT recently breaking above a key resistance level at $0.6900. A sustained hold above $0.7000 could confirm a breakout toward TP1 at $1.0624, with TP2 at $1.7275 as a long-term target.
Market Sentiment:
ZETA has seen growing interest following announcements of strategic partnerships with major DeFi platforms. Increased trading volume indicates strong investor confidence, particularly among institutional players exploring cross-chain solutions.
Risk Management:
Setting a stop-loss at $0.5102 limits potential downside risk, ensuring a manageable loss if the trade moves against expectations. The take-profit targets offer an excellent risk-to-reward ratio for traders looking to capitalize on ZETA's upward momentum.
When the Market’s Call, We Stand Tall. Bull or Bear, We’ll Brave It All!
DXY Best level for a long-term short.The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) has been trading within a 1.5 year Channel Up pattern (since July 14 2023) and just 2 weeks ago it formed a Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame. Having hit the pattern's top a week earlier, the current rebound seems to technically be part of the Lower Highs/ Lower Lows top formation, similar to October 03 - November 01 2023 peak.
That was 1 year again, a peak formation that was also formed after a 1D Golden Cross. This indicates that the long-term pattern (Channel Up) is highly symmetrical and as the 1W RSI is also declining after a rejection on the 70.00 overbought barrier, we consider the current level the best possible short entry.
The Bearish Leg that followed the 2023 High extended as low as the 0.786 Fibonacci level. As a result, we expect to see at least 102.000 (just above the 0.786 Fib) before any signs of a rebound.
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Bearish drop?The Loonie (USD/CAD) is reacting off the pivot and could drop from this level to the 61.8% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 1.4244
1st Support: 1.4177
1st Resistance: 1.4288
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Could the price bounce from here?The Gold (XAU/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the overlap resistance.
Pivot: 2,657.81
1st Support: 2,627.26
1st Resistance: 2,713.51
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.