Understanding GBPUSDToday we will be taking a closer look at understanding GBPUSD .
GBP
-no global business
-risk currency
-more linked to the UK economy, politics, central banking
USD
-global business currency
-safe haven globally
-Petrodollar
UNDERSTANDING THE CURRENCY PAIR
-we have to understand that within this pair “ GBPUSD ” one is a “ risk ” currency ( GBP ). ( USD ) is a “ safe haven currency ” and is also known as the world reserve currency. During times of economic uncertainty our doubt , or during any periods of times where we have more $ strength, which can be induced by the FED central banking, interest rate hikes and so forth, we will always have the $ dominate, even if the other currency can have some short term strength.
THE USD IS THE WORLD RESERVE CURRENCY
What does this mean?
-this means that the majority of INTERNATIONAL business is denominated in USD. We can see this very relevant when we are looking at the OIL industry and how oil is always exchanged in USD. Hence the name “PETRODOLLAR”.
USD (US Dollar)
Is Russia's Financial Fortress Built on Shifting Sands?The transformation of Russia's financial system has been nothing short of seismic. Once deeply integrated with global markets, Moscow's monetary landscape now finds itself in a state of radical reconfiguration, navigating the turbulent waters of international isolation. This shift carries profound implications, not just for Russia, but for the very foundations of the global financial order.
At the heart of this evolution lies the Russian Central Bank, whose Governor, Elvira Nabiullina, has found herself at the center of an unprecedented storm. Tasked with controlling inflation amid soaring interest rates, Nabiullina faces a growing chorus of dissent from Russia's business elite - a rare and significant development in a country where corporate voices have long remained muted. This internal conflict underscores the delicate balance the Central Bank must strike, as it seeks to stabilize the ruble and safeguard economic growth in the face of crippling Western sanctions.
Russia's financial system has demonstrated remarkable adaptability, forging new international partnerships and developing alternative payment mechanisms. Yet, these adaptations come at a cost, as increased transaction costs, reduced transparency, and limited access to global markets reshape the country's economic landscape. Consumer behavior, too, has evolved, with Russians increasingly turning to cash transactions and yuan-denominated assets, further signaling the shift away from traditional Western financial systems.
As Russia navigates this uncharted territory, the implications extend far beyond its borders. The reconfiguration of its financial architecture is shaping new models for sanctions resistance, the emergence of parallel banking networks, and a potential realignment of global currency trading patterns. The lessons learned from Russia's experience may well influence the future of international economic relationships, challenging long-held assumptions about the resilience of the global financial order.
Falling towards pullback support?USO/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 67.64
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 65.84
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 69.05
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
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Potential bullish reversal?XAG/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly above the 161.89% Fibonacci extension and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 30.14
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 29.10
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 30.94
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
USDCAD: Massive Breakout is Coming?! 🇺🇸🇨🇦
USDCAD is testing a significant weekly horizontal resistance cluster
based on the highs of 2022/2023/2024.
With the current fundamental sentiment, probabilities
will be high that we will see a breakout attempt of that.
A weekly candle close above will confirm a violation.
It will open a potential for more growth.
Get ready.
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Could the Gold reverse from here?The price is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and is also slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,589.18
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and also slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 2,555.36
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 2,641.60
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Potential bullish bounce for the Aussie?AUD/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6544
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6508
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.6597
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.66100 zone, AUDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.66100 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDUSD Channel Down aiming for a bearish break out.AUDUSD is trading inside a Channel Down since September 19th.
The price is currently under the MA50 (4h) and the bullish wave of the Channel Down is about to end.
So far this is similar to the first bullish wave (Megaphone) that made a bearish break out on October 3rd.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 0.64565 (Fibonacci 1.5 extension).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) double topped and is trading under its MA. Sell signal as well.
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BTC/USD Golden Cross + Bitcoin Act: The Perfect Storm? Now that Donald Trump is set to become the next president of the United States, the U.S. could soon build a strategic Bitcoin reserve.
This initiative, proposed under the pending “Bitcoin Act,” aims to let the U.S. government acquire up to 200,000 Bitcoin per year over five years, totaling up to 1 million BTC, or nearly 5% of the currency’s maximum supply. At current prices, this could cost over $80 billion.
The U.S. already holds around 200,000 Bitcoin, largely confiscated from criminals. Trump has pledged that under his administration, seized Bitcoin wouldn’t be sold.
The price of bitcoin is trading at a new fresh record high above the $86,000 level. A golden cross pattern has formed with the 50-day and 200-day daily moving average crossing each other.
Euro can little grow more and then continue to decline nextHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some time ago started to trades inside the wedge, where it at once broke the 1.0790 level, which coincided with the seller zone but soon backed up to this area. Then the price continued to move up and later rose to 1.0840 points, but then EUR made a correction to support line of wedge. Then price turned around and started to grow to a resistance line of a wedge pattern and even made a gap, after which it exited from the wedge and turned around. Then prices made a downward impulse inside the triangle to the resistance area, breaking the 1.0790 level. After this movement, the EUR turned around and in a short time rose to the seller zone, after which turned around and dropped back. Also recently, the price broke the 1.0680 level and now it trades very close to the support line of the triangle pattern. In my opinion, the price can make move up to the resistance area and then continue to decline, even exiting from the triangle pattern. Therefore I set my TP at 1.0600 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GBPUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring GBPUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.29400 zone, GBPUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.29400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Is the Kiwi Ready to Bounce? Approaching Key Support!The Kiwi took a major hit in October, dropping sharply from the 0.638 resistance level, which has held strong for over two years.
Looking at the weekly chart, we can see that the market has formed a clear range between 0.638 and 0.588—the lower level we’re now approaching.
On the daily chart, the initial drop was intense, with strong selling momentum evident in large red candles. However, as the price dropped past the halfway point of the range, momentum began to ease. This slowdown is visible in the smaller, mixed red and green candles.
This price action indicates that selling momentum is slowing as we approach the 0.588 level. In fact, the market has now started moving sideways, signaling that buyers may be accumulating at the bottom of the range.
Given these signals, I’ll be looking for buy setups using my TRFX Indicator, focusing on the 4-hour to 8-hour timeframes. Ideally, I’d like to see another dip toward or even slightly below 0.59 before entering.
The target for this setup is the top of the range, with the setup invalidated by a clear weekly break below the 0.588 support.
Let me know what you think below! :)
EURUSD The sell-off isn't over yet.The EURUSD pair is extending the sharp sell-off after the most recent bearish signal upon the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) rejection. This is practically the same sideways Zones we talked about almost a month ago (October 14, see chart below):
The price broke below the 1-year Higher Lows trend-line that was the last 'hope' for a bullish reversal and should now extend the bearish trend even lower. The 1D MA100 rejection was also a rejection on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level and as you can see this is identical to the August 31 2023 rejection. That was half-way through a Channel Down (also starting from the Resistance Zone) that eventually targeted the 1.236 Fibonacci extension.
As a result, we remain bearish on this pair, targeting 1.05300 (Fib 1.236 extension), unless the 1D RSI hits 25.00 (oversold), in which case take profit regardless, as this RSI reading preceded the October 03 2023 bottom.
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Waiting for US data later on this week.Waiting for a clearance of one of the key areas discussed in the video. Take a look and let me know what you think.
EASYMARKETS:USDCAD
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EURUSD - An In-depth Analysis (ICT Concepts)In this video I provide a more in-depth analysis for EURUSD, and how I go about analyzing the chart and coming to a conclusion if any.
The concepts I used are based on ICT's Concepts along with some of my own discoveries along the way.
I hope you find it insightful.
Happy trading.
- R2F