NASDAQ BULLISH OUTLOOKThe Nasdaq 100 witnessed a robust recovery driven by investor enthusiasm surrounding the future of artificial intelligence (AI). This surge followed the launch of Google's cutting-edge Gemini AI model, generating positive market sentiment supported by analysts' favorable remarks. Simultaneously, market speculations about potential changes in the Bank of Japan's monetary policy saw the yen ascend while the dollar dipped.
In a swift market overview, the Nasdaq 100 rose by 1.5%, countering a three-day decline in the S&P 500. This surge in tech stocks like Alphabet (GOOGL) and AMD (AMD) reflected the bullish sentiment surrounding AI's anticipated role in future economic growth.
Key insights revealed a pivotal role for AI in driving economic growth beyond 2024, with investors speculating on potential central bank rate cuts in the coming year. Notable corporate developments included setbacks for Tesla's self-driving technology efforts and Dish Network's (DISH) significant stock surge post-FCC approval of its merger.
Looking ahead, market focus gravitated towards forthcoming economic data releases. Events like Germany's CPI and Japan's household spending and GDP data were anticipated alongside the US jobs report and University of Michigan consumer sentiment. These data points were expected to guide future economic and market directions.
The most recent US jobs report, indicating nearly 200,000 new nonfarm jobs in November with stable average earnings, bolstered market optimism. Although the report showed a positive labor market, it raised concerns about inflation due to higher average earnings, pushing yields higher. However, investors remained cheerful, interpreting the data as a sign of a softening, rather than collapsing, job market.
The Federal Reserve's stance on inflation and future rate decisions became a focal point for markets, with speculation around potential rate cuts in the coming months. The markets awaited signals from the Fed to gauge its approach in balancing inflation and economic growth.
The overall sentiment was cautiously optimistic, with markets closely monitoring developments in AI, central bank policies, labor market dynamics, and upcoming economic data releases to navigate potential market shifts in the days ahead.
On the technical side, both MACD and RSI are showing BUY signals, with possible target of 16307.48. If the trend reverses, as pivot point might be considered 16040.98, from where the price might drop to 15818.18.
Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
Us100
NASDAQ Targeting the ATH minimumNasdaq established its price action over the 4hour MA50 again.
A Channel Up is emerging, and could be a very aggressive one as the 4hour RSI is already overbought.
You can buy now and target at least the 16785 ATH.
If the price breaks over it and after re-testing it holds, re buy and target 17850 (+13.65% rise like the first leg of the Channel).
Previous chart:
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
NASDAQ Last obstacle before a Christmas rally.Nasdaq (NDX) completed the short-term pull-back we called on our latest November 29 analysis (see chart below), hitting our 15750 target and then rebounding:
This rebound can seasonally be the start of the end-of-the-year rally, which the market calls 'Santa' or 'Christmas' rally. However, one last Resistance level remains before it is confirmed and that is the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the (blue) Channel Up, which happens to also be synched with the Lower Highs trend-line of the 4H RSI.
If the index closes a 4H candle above it, we will buy and aim for a +6.34% rally (from the bottom), which has been the minimum bullish sequence since June, and target 16680 (Resistance 1), which is the December 28 2021 High, essentially the first Lower High of the 2022 Bear Cycle. A notch higher on that rally, the index can even test the 16770 All Time High.
On the other hand, if Nasdaq breaks below the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the Channel Down first, most likely will have made contact with the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) by then, we will sell instead and target 14900 (-7.60% from the Lower High, which is the minimum short-term decline since June).
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Nasdaq (us100) - H4 - Careful!!There is some reasons that I think Nasdaq is going to experience a fall in near future:
1) The federal reserve still wants to keep interest rates higher for longer.
2) These prices for stocks it means the market think the fed is going to decline interest rates for 1.25% in December 2024!
3) Retail investors buy 7 billion Dollar of stocks, but Banks just buy gold!
Be careful!
US100 NASDAQ Technical Analysis And Trade Idea NAS100Lately, the NAS100 has displayed a strong bullish trend. This video extensively explores the trend, meticulously analyzing price movements and identifying possible trading prospects by thoroughly assessing both the weekly and daily timeframes. Anticipate a detailed assessment of price behaviors, market patterns, trend assessments, and key technical analysis components. It's crucial to emphasize that the content provided is purely for educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice.
US100 H4 | Bullish bounce?US100 could bounce off our buy entry level and potentially reach our take profit level.
Entry: 15596.04
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop Loss: 15394.07
Why we like it:
There is a swing low support level.
Take Profit: 15851.34
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NASDAQ: Healthy pullback serving as end of year rally vessel.Nasdaq is pulling back today after the 1D MACD formed a Bearish Cross and the 1D technical outlook turned neutral (RSI = 54.419, MACD = 183.360, ADX = 45.724). This has so far achieved at offsetting the previous overbought condition on the chart. Technically it can be a HH rejection on a newly emerging Channel Up. This can serve as a buy opportunity either on the S1 level or if it is extended on the S2 and the 1D MA50 for the end of year rally. Our target is the ATH (TP = 16,775).
See how our prior idea has worked:
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) ~ December 4H SwingNASDAQ:QQQ chart analysis/mapping.
QQQ ETF in consolidation phase after strong November rally.
Trading scenarios:
Further consolidation = descending trend-line (light blue) / multiple EMA confluence zone.
Continuation rally #1 = top range of Fib / ascending trend-line (green) confluence zone.
Shallow pullback #1 = 78.6% Fib / 200MA confluence zone.
Shallow pullback #2 = descending trend-line (white dotted)\
Deeper pullback #1 = gap fill / ascending trend-line (green) / Golden Pocket confluence zone.
Capitulation #1 = 50% Fib
Capitulation #2 = 38.2% Fib / gap fill / ascending trend-line (light blue) confluence zone.
Capitulation #3 = 23.6% Fib
Navigating Market Trends: Nasdaq Retracement SignalsI am currently observing the US100/Nasdaq on the 4-hour chart, and in my analysis, it appears that we are poised for a retracement lower. This week, there was a rejection from the weekly rejection block dated July 23, 2023, situated in the upper quadrant. 📉
There is a noteworthy weekly correlation with ES/US500 from August 28, 2023, to the present week. While Nasdaq managed to surpass the previous high, ES fell short. Consequently, I anticipate a downward movement. If today's candle closes below 15905, we would establish a bearish order block, adding another layer of confluence for a potential retracement lower. 📊
Upon examining the 4-hour chart, there seems to be a developing breaker formation. If this breaker takes shape and the market tests it tomorrow or in the coming week, it could present lucrative selling opportunities with a favorable risk and reward ratio. 💰 #MarketAnalysis #TradingInsights #TechnicalAnalysis #FinancialMarkets
NASDAQ to see a limited rally?NAS100USD - Intraday
An Evening Doji Star formation has been posted at the high.
A Fibonacci confluence area is located at 16029.
Bespoke support is located at 15315.
Selling spikes offers good risk/reward.
There is scope for mild buying at the open but gains should be limited.
We look to Sell at 16029 (stop at 16129)
Our profit targets will be 15779 and 15729
Resistance: 16029 / 16166 / 16200
Support: 15815 / 15500 / 15315
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NASDAQ Sell signal on 4H.Nasdaq is testing the MA50 (4h) since yesterday as the Rising Resistance weighs.
The middle line (dashed) of the Channel Up is the final level of Support before a short term pull back.
The Bearish Divergence on the RSI (4h), which is inside a Channel Down, is in favor of this short term pull back.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell if the price crosses under the dashed middle of the Channel Up.
Targets:
1. 15450 (Rising Support).
Tips:
1. The MACD (4h) is also descending while the index rises (another Bearish Divergence) and is about to form a Bearish Cross. Additional sell signal.
Please like, follow and comment!!
NASDAQ Small pull-back before final rally.Nasdaq (NDX) exceeded all expectations this month as following our November 01 buy signal (see chart below), not only did it hit the target but broke aggressively above the former Channel Down:
Since November 21 basically it has turned sideways, in an attempt to normalize the previous overbought 1D technicals. It has already hit the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and that is the first sign of exhaustion. If the 4H RSI gets rejected on its Lower Highs trend-line (testing it today), then expect a short-term pull-back, which we will short and target 15750 (-2.25% decline and above Support 1).
We take this target as during a similar 4H RSI Lower Highs rejection (September 15), NDX decline initially by -2.25%, similar also with the October 12 rejection. We expect this symmetry to play out at least on the short-term before the end-of-the-year rally, not necessarily on the long-term, where we need to see a 1D candle closing below Support 1, in order to signal a short towards the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line).
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ Megaphone top and Bearish Cross call for a pull back.Nasdaq / US100 is trading inside a Megaphone pattern and has just hit its top.
A similar Megaphone in late 2022 - early 2023 got rejected on a proportional (to today's) top, followed by a 1day MACD Bearish Cross, which pulled the price back to the 1day MA50.
We are about to form a 1day MACD Bearish Cross on that exact same level.
Sell now and target the 1day MA50. Projected contact around 15400.
Previous chart:
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
NASDAQ: Final phase of rise is starting. Santa's rally.Nasdaq has been rising since October 26th and the bottom on the HL trendline of the year long Channel Up. The 1D technical outlook is bullish after turning overbought on Monday (RSI = 68.584, MACD = 265.250, ADX = 67.453). So far its structure is much like the rise at the start of the Channel Up during the whole month of January.
That one peaked on the 1.5 Fibonacci extenstion from the last LH, while the 1D RSI turned flat above the overbought margin and reversed. However the 1.5 Fib made a +20% rise. The November rally is already fractionally over the 1.5 Fib with the RSI also reversed after being overbought but the +20% extension is far from being completed. It will be done at 16,870. Consequently if we don't get a strong rejection by Monday (tomorrow is early close), we will buy any 1D candle closing over the 1.5 Fib and aim at near +20% (TP = 16,850).
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##