Us100
Mastering High Probability Trading Across All AssetsGreetings Traders!
Welcome back to today’s video! In this session, we're revisiting the critical concept of draw on liquidity. I'll guide you on how to take advantage of it with extreme market precision, focusing on when to trade, when to avoid the market, and how to increase your chances of high-probability trade outcomes.
If you're looking to enhance your trading strategy and make smarter decisions, this video is for you. Let's dive in and start mastering these concepts!
Refer to these videos as well:
Premium Discount Price Delivery in Institutional Trading:
Mastering Institutional Order-Flow Price Delivery
Quarter Theory Mastering Algorithmic Price Movements:
Best Regards,
The_Architect
US100 (NASDAQ) Outlook ICT ConceptsUS100 (NASDAQ) Analysis
💡 Previous Analysis Review:
In the previous analysis, we noted the importance of price action around key liquidity zones. The market has now expanded higher, sweeping a significant Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) and approaching a critical resistance area.
📍Current Market Overview:
The NASDAQ (US 100) is currently trading at 19,497.2, having recently swept a Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) level. The market is now positioned near the highs, indicating a potential reversal or continuation, depending on how price reacts in this zone.
🔍 Identifying Key Levels
• PMH (Previous Month High): 20,800.0
• PWL (Previous Week Low): 17,235.0
• PML (Previous Month Low): 17,570.0
• SSL (Sell-Side Liquidity): Multiple levels visible around 18,180.0 and 17,940.0
• BSL (Buy-Side Liquidity): Recently swept near the current price.
📊 Key Considerations
• BSL Sweep: The recent sweep of BSL suggests that a significant amount of liquidity has been captured. This could lead to a retracement if the market fails to push higher.
• FVG and Reversal Potential: Though not directly visible in the provided chart, any failure to maintain higher prices after this liquidity sweep could signal a strong sell-off.
• Low Resistance Liquidity Sweeps: For both bullish and bearish scenarios, it’s crucial to monitor lower time frame liquidity sweeps:
• For a bearish scenario, additional BSL needs to be taken and a failure to break higher could indicate a reversal.
• For a bullish scenario, if an SSL is swept and the market holds above the current level, it might target the PMH.
📈 Bullish Scenario
A bullish scenario might unfold if:
• SSL Sweep and Hold: If the market sweeps an SSL and holds above the current level, it could indicate that the market is ready to target higher levels, including the PMH.
• Continuation Higher: A successful hold above the BSL sweep could lead to an exploration of higher price zones, particularly towards the PMH.
📉 Bearish Scenario
A bearish scenario could develop if:
• Failure at Current Levels: If the market fails to hold above the BSL sweep and shows signs of reversal, it could lead to a significant retracement.
• FVG Rejection (if applicable): Any rejection at a nearby FVG could further confirm a bearish move, with targets at SSL levels or lower.
📊 Chart Analysis Summary
• Bullish Expectation: A hold above the current level, especially after an SSL sweep, could lead to a continuation towards higher targets like the PMH.
• Bearish Expectation: A failure to maintain higher prices post-BSL sweep, with a subsequent reversal, could lead to a sell-off targeting SSL and lower zones.
📝 Conclusion:
The recent sweep of Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) puts the market at a pivotal point. Monitoring the reactions around this level and lower time frame liquidity sweeps will be crucial. Both bullish and bearish scenarios are on the table, with the market's ability to hold or reject current levels being the deciding factor.
NAS100 Technical Analysis - NASDAQ Next Move👀👉 In this video, we take a close look at the NAS100 currency pair, which has shown bullish momentum on the 4-hour time frame but now seems to be overextended. I’m expecting a potential pullback with the US100 to the Fibonacci 50% to 61.8% retracement levels. We cover the trend, price action, market structure, and other key elements of technical analysis. Additionally, we explore a potential trade setup and, crucially, how to approach it with a higher probability of success.
As always, this video is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. It's essential to recognize that these insights are speculative and not guaranteed predictions. Make sure to verify specific price actions before executing any trades, as highlighted in the video. The analysis offers an in-depth look at the current trend, market structure, and price movements. Remember, this content is for educational purposes and does not guarantee success. Trading involves significant risks, so always apply robust risk management strategies. 📊✅
NASDAQ THOUGHTS 15-AUG-2024Kindly see my NASDAQ thoughts for today. These videos are aimed at making you compare charts with mine if you are a price acton trader and use my thoughts to improve your skill. They are not meant as signals even if they seem like they are. I want you to learn and be great
DowJones - 4H Bearish SetupBLACKBULL:US30 has been exhibiting signs of bearish pressure, despite recent upward movements. The chart shows a significant decline below the ascending trendline. The recent upward movement appears to be a pullback, potentially setting up for further declines. Two key resistance zones have been identified on the chart, where the index may face renewed selling pressure.
Fundamentally, the broader economic environment is contributing to the bearish outlook. The possibility of a recession looms large as the Federal Reserve has postponed rate cuts in response to persistently high inflation. Rising unemployment claims are another concern, signaling potential economic weakness. These factors are creating an environment where risk assets like the Dow Jones are likely to struggle, and any rallies may be short-lived.
The current pullback in the TVC:DJI could provide a better entry point for those looking to short the index. The key resistance levels identified on the chart could serve as optimal zones for initiating new short positions, with the expectation that the index will continue its downward trajectory.
Given the macroeconomic uncertainties and technical setup, traders should remain cautious and consider the potential for further declines in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. This cautious stance is supported by both the chart analysis and the broader economic fundamentals.
US100 18.992.0 +2.52% MID-WEEK MULTI TF ANALYSISHELLO TRADERS
Hope everyone is doing great
📌 A look at NAS 100 & S&P500 from HTF - MULTI TIME-FRAME ANALYSIS
NAS100 DAILY TF
* We started the week on some BULLISH runs into a bearish BB.
* Entering the premium zone looking for rejection of this -BB.
* NAS100 currently taking LQ, looking for that internal range LQ to be taken(+OB).
* We are entering discount price looking for a bullish continuation long term on Nasdaq but intraday some shorts could be profitable.
* With PO3 looking for THURSDAY TO REVERSE for th week.
NAS 100 4H TF
* The week to opened Bullish into the 4h FVG + OB because our HTF BIAS (PO3) on D & W looking for possible reversals before we continue higher.
* looking for short positions OPPORTUNITIES.
* We will see what does the market dish.
* On the 4 hourly ERL > IRL.
S&P500 4H TF
* sentiment stays the same we still bullish, running into higher tf pd arrays.
US100 1H TF
* STRONG rally with the bulls, strong momentum to the upside.
* The is a 1H FVG, this is where i would look for short entries this week.
* Should this PD ARRAY hold will be short for the NASDAQ
* BASED on the price action served this week. But we might just reverse some where might as well be in these FVG prices
S&P 500 1H TF
* sentiment stays the same we still bullish, running into higher tf pd arrays
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOUR PLAN BELOW,🚀 & LETS TAKE SOME WINS THIS WEEK.
SEE YOU ON THE CHARTS.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY WAY OR IF YOU ENJOYED THIS ONE
SMASH THAT 🚀 & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
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* Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
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| * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!
Nasdaq Thoughts 12-Aug-2024Good morning all, Kindly find my Nasdaq market analysis for today below. As a price action trader, I encourage you to compare my charts with yours and use my insights to enhance your skills. These videos are designed for educational purposes only, not as trading signals. My goal is to help you grow and become a proficient trader.
NASDAQ - US100 Facing Bearish PressureThe CAPITALCOM:US100 index is currently facing significant downward pressure, largely due to mounting concerns about the U.S. economy. The potential for a recession is growing as recent data points to an increase in unemployment claims, and the Federal Reserve has decided to delay interest rate cuts. This has created uncertainty in the markets, as higher unemployment could lead to reduced consumer spending, further exacerbating the economic slowdown. The anticipation of prolonged higher interest rates is also weighing on investor sentiment, making the stock market, particularly tech-heavy indexes like NASDAQ, more vulnerable to declines.
Technically, the BLACKBULL:NAS100 index has been following a clear pattern of reactions to its trendlines. The index recently fell and touched the third trendline support, which has historically been a critical level for determining market direction. After this touch, the index attempted a recovery, moving back towards the second trendline, which now acts as a breakeven point. However, the failure to break through this level and the subsequent rejection suggests that the bears are firmly in control. The pattern indicates that the index may face further declines, particularly if it breaches the third trendline support.
In conclusion, both fundamental and technical factors are pointing towards a bearish outlook for the NASDAQ index. The rising possibility of a recession, driven by increasing unemployment claims and the Fed’s cautious approach to rate cuts, has dampened investor sentiment. On the technical side, the index’s inability to reclaim key trendline supports indicates that more downside is likely. As a result, investors should be cautious and prepared for potential further declines in the NASDAQ index in the coming weeks.
Dow Jones Index (US30): Detailed Support and Resistance Analysis
Here is my latest structure analysis
and important key support and resistance levels to pay close attention to.
Vertical Structures
Vertical Resistance 1: Rising trend line
Horizontal Structures
Support 1: 38250 - 38550 area
Support 2: 38015 - 38105 area
Resistance 1: 39500 - 39700 area
Resistance 2: 39800 - 39960 area
Resistance 3: 40900 - 41415 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
NASDAQ New Bullish Leg targeting 20900.Early last week (August 05) we mentioned the importance of Nasdaq (US100) to close its 1W candle above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), after touching it for the first time is 17 months:
Eventually it succeeded at it and that caused a strong weekly reversal that even closed the 1W candle in green, which was the first after three straight red weeks. Technically, this could translate into the stop of the Channel Up correction, but this is only confirmed after a break above and successful re-test of the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
During the previous two Bullish Legs that followed a Channel Up Higher Low, the index made initially a +20.88% rise and then on a more long-term horizon, extended to +48.00%.
As a result, even though we are long-term bullish on the index, you can go after even shorter term targets, with the immediate one being 20900 (+20.88% from last week's Low).
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US100... SHORT After the price reaches the specified level,
Enter the SHORT deal with the Hammer candle or Ingulf candle signal
Consider your risk management before entering a trade.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
All consequences of using this signal are at your own risk.
Dow Jones Index (#US30): Your Trading Plan Explained
Dow Jones is currently stuck on a key daily/intraday horizontal resistance.
The price is trading within a narrow range on that on a 4H time frame.
Your confirmation to sell the Index will be a bearish breakout of the support of the range.
A 4H candle close below 39325 will confirm the violation.
A bearish continuation will be expected to 38890 then.
Alternatively, a bullish breakout of the underlined blue resistance
will push the market higher.
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US100 Outlook ICT ConceptsNASDAQ-100 (US100) Analysis
💰 Welcome to Your Channel!
Welcome to our channel where we delve into the intricacies of financial markets. Today, we focus on US100, dissecting its current price action to uncover strategic trading opportunities. Join us as we analyze key levels and market dynamics, aiming to refine our trading strategies and maximize potential gains.
💡 Previous Analysis Review:
In the previous analysis, we anticipated the price to begin expanding higher after a significant move to the downside, which has occurred as expected.
📍 Current Market Overview:
• Price Reaction: The NASDAQ-100 (US100) had a strong bullish reaction after sweeping the Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) and tapping into the Daily Fair Value Gap (FVG).
• Expansion Higher: Currently, the price is expanding higher, moving into a premium zone as marked by the Fibonacci retracement levels.
🔍 Identifying Key Levels:
• PMH: Previous Month High
• PWH: Previous Week High
• PML: Previous Month Low
• SSL: Sell-Side Liquidity
• Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL): The levels that can be targeted if we go long.
• Daily FVG: The Daily Fair Value Gap, where the price had a significant reaction.
• 4H Bearish FVG: A 4-hour timeframe Fair Value Gap located above the current price.
• Fibonacci Retracement Levels: Key Fibonacci levels (0.50, 0.62, 0.705, 0.79) indicating potential resistance or retracement areas in the current premium zone.
📊 Key Considerations:
• Premium Zone: The price is currently in a premium zone, as identified by the Fibonacci retracement levels. This zone is generally where we anticipate some form of retracement or consolidation.
• Daily and 4H Bearish FVG: These gaps are significant resistance levels above the current price, which might act as targets if the price continues to move higher.
• Possible Retracement: Given that we are in a premium zone, a retracement lower is possible. However, further upside cannot be ruled out, especially if the price breaks through to the daily or 4H bearish FVG.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
• Sweep of Lower Time Frame SSL: For any new long positions, we need to see a sweep of lower time frame Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL). After this, longs can be considered, targeting the Buy-Side Liquidity (BSL) levels.
• Targets: The primary targets would be the Daily Bearish FVG and the 4H Bearish FVG above.
📉 Bearish Scenario:
• Retracement from Premium Zone: Given the current position in a premium zone, we could see a retracement lower. If this occurs, the key levels to watch would be the SSL areas or any previous supports near the Daily FVG.
📊 Chart Analysis Summary:
• Bullish Expectation: We have seen the long scenario play out successfully. For new longs, wait for a sweep of lower time frame SSL before targeting BSL, with potential targets being the Daily and 4H Bearish FVGs above.
• Bearish Expectation: Consider the possibility of a retracement from the premium zone. If the price shows signs of weakness, a move lower to previous supports or SSL levels could be expected.
Conclusion:
The NASDAQ-100 is currently at a critical junction in the premium zone, with the possibility of either further expansion to the upside or a retracement lower. The key to the next move lies in observing the price action around the Fibonacci retracement levels and the reaction to the bearish FVGs above. Any long positions should be taken cautiously after a lower time frame SSL sweep, targeting BSL levels, while keeping an eye on potential retracement scenarios.
🙏 Thank you for joining us!
Exploring US100 today highlighted the importance of effective risk management in trading success. Prioritize research, implement robust strategies, and seek guidance for confident market navigation. Stay tuned for more insights on our channel. Here's to profitable trading and continuous learning!
⚠️ Disclaimer
The information provided here is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Nasdaq Thoughts 09-Aug-2024Please find my NASDAQ market analysis for today below. As a price action trader, I encourage you to compare my charts with yours and use my insights to enhance your skills. These videos are designed for educational purposes only, not as trading signals. My goal is to help you grow and become a proficient trader.
Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?US100 is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 18,747.67
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 19,237.14
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which lines up with the 88% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 17,758.38
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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US30 - 4H DowJones is in a pullbackThe Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is currently facing significant bearish pressure, as indicated by recent market trends and technical analysis. The support trend line has broken, leading to a notable drop in the index. This break, coupled with a clear pullback, presents an opportune moment for traders to consider short positions with a logical stop loss.
From a fundamental perspective, the rising rate of unemployment and the postponement of interest rate cuts are increasing the chances of a recession. These economic indicators suggest that the market could experience further declines as investors react to the potential economic downturn.
Nasdaq Thoughts 07-Aug-2024Kindly see my NASDAQ thoughts for today. These videos are aimed at making you compare charts with mine if you are a price acton trader and use my thoughts to improve your skill. They are not meant as signals even if they seem like they are. I want you to learn and be great