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Oil Next Move Before Summer This my idea about the current movement on oil we have seen a big chart aiming at 120$+ But for the moment and in the present situation things need to chill out and gain power and clear path. we will see increase in prices very soon but this is a time to take the chance of an exploit and benefice from it. Never trust a candle use your risk and money management very well, you can get money but you can lose it to (don't risk with what you can't lose)
TVC:USOIL
by UnknownUnicorn2830187
US dollar and DXYThe US dollar still maintains some strength after the DXY recorded the last peak at 103.78, before the results of the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) were released today. Also this week, the US dollar is awaiting many important indicators that affect its trading, starting from tomorrow, Wednesday The 1.4% decline in first-quarter GDP released last week may catch the eye of the FOMC with high inflation readings and waning positivity labor market data support prospects for a follow-up rate hike 104 to 104.70 a very possible target in the coming period and we may see more
CAPITALCOM:DXY
by Walid_Aboeldahab
Sidemarket SPX 2 May 2022With the daily close of 1 May, with 80% confidence, we can assume that SPX TOP is going to be around 4200 SPX BOTTOM is going to be around 4065 From Volume point, we can see that the POC is around 4150 area From volatility point, we are in the 75th Percentile of HV, with an aprox daily movement of 1.46%, while current VIX is around 33 / sqrt(252) an aprox 2% implied daily movement. So currently IV > HV, good moment to be a seller to benefit from overvalued option selling. From the fundamental POV, news that can affect it ISM Manufacturing PMI (Apr) , where the current forecast is bullish. From the intraday mode, we can see as well we are in the middle ground(sidemarket) I believe currently since is the beginning of the month, the overall sentiment that I have is sidemarket So an IC 4200/4050 can be a very safe bet with a very positive R:R
SP:SPX
by exlux
US02Y­-US10Y 🎯Wells Fargo Chart of the Week 🎯💰🤔Hey Fam. 😊🙏Just wanted to share this information with you all.. I found it very interesting.. This was a chart of week that Wells Fargo shared on there site. I thought it was interesting how they saw a 4 week inversion roughly 43 weeks on average in regards to our last seven Recessions before they happened (Shaded Areas on chart) Before a US recession officially started.. which is roughly about 10 months..🎯💰🤔👌🙏😊
TVC:US02YEducation
by robinstallsforyou2
EUR/USD SO BAD RIGHT NOW, WHAT WILL HAPPEN ¿? DANGEROUS ZONEI really think we could see EUR under USD next months if this down trend continues!! I am personally taking a little long in EUR/USD at these levels and lowers (buy orders at 1.04/1.00/0.95) because my spends are in EUR but my investments in USD, so if price EUR/USD go to 1=1 again... Is it an opportunity to swap USD (markets assets) to EUR (bank/cash) for me... Its okay :) If you have USD in cash/bank and you wanna buy EUR cheaper, just wait a little more because I believe, its very possible to see EUR/USD under 1.00 this year!! Anyway, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. Always take your owns risks and keep calm. PURA VIDA
by ThePureLife
1
US 10 year yield, US 10Y The most important chart of all the markets is this little kid here. This chart shows us the cost of US government borrowing which also means the strength of the US dollar as cash in the investors portfolio, As we can see in this monthly graph that the government's 10-year borrowing yield is 3% (high going back to 2018 before COVID) What is the meaning of this? It means that the cash held by households, investors and institutions has reached its peak, as no one is buying and not investing and inflation has remained high and the Federal Reserve will target higher rates on the federal funds, All this leads to increased risk appetite as bond yields may regress south + inflation starts to fall = real yield will approach 0% after being in negative territory. The bear market will be over and risky assets like cryptocurrencies may welcome decent green days if not months. *Note, if the 10-year US yield continues to rise to 5% and 6%, then we will see the euro, stocks, Japanese yen, as well as cryptocurrencies in the best place to buy them all
TVC:US10Y
by ghattas360
The Beginning of the Golden Dragons Collapse?China is struggling, Covid 3.0 or whatever version we are on now is taking a hold of the Chinese, Shanghai in lockdowns and Shipments struggling to dock. The Chinese Economy is in a very interesting position currently, with Companies like the Chinese Titanic 'Evergrande' defaulting. We are seeing China try to expand its influence in the SCS ( South China Sea). When we take a look at the currency pair USDCNH, we are seeing the USD start to gain some real ground and this weekly charts shows the potential for this rally to continue to the 7 area, we can look for a retest of volume before opening potential long positions.
Long
by ZenFlo
Russel 2000 Swingtrade (extended)Q1 was a disaster. The good part here is, that it goes for all asset classes. Three important price levels for the US2000: 1900, 2300, 2450 to look at: Russel 2000 actually looks good and shows decent fundamentals. Bullish RSI to Price Action ratio, as well as High Volume on hitting the temporary low level 1900. This support level was hit a few times and held. To the upside: Local high 2450, big resistance level at 2300. Two scenarios are possible: 1. Until 2023, creating range (1900-2450 ) retesting over and over the resistance to the upside at around 2300, maybe even cracking it and retesting 2450 and create higher high (200 MA retest in addition favors this move) 2. Going sideways, with the option of retesting lower support levels, especially pre-covid highs at 1700. Analysts are talking about inflation and recession, the war in Ukraine as well as covid still around creating an overall skeptical atmosphere in the markets. FED, China, and Europe are struggling with the past years of QE and fiscal stimulus. Earnings season is right now and it is a mixed picture of reports. Very hard to unravel... Anyway: In my opinion, Russel 2000 could become a good trade getting it at 1900 Levels and making 25% gains when retesting 2450 within months? For me a good risk to profit ratio. This is no advice here. Just sharing thoughts on a theoretical basis. What do you think about this? Will the world economy go up, or down this year, or maybe sideways? Think Russel could make it to higher than 2450? All the best, GQT
ULong
by GER-Quality-Trades
USDCAD TO CLOSE OUT APRILHello Traders, Happy Easter to those who celebrate worldwide! As we enter the final trading days in April, we have FOMC, inflation report due this week which can highly impact the markets. With long term views, we see possible bullish continuation in usd and a correction in CAD, high oil prices, rates up, they have to curb it or the Canadian population will really get squeezed. Views - above 1.25800/1.26000 buys.... below that, we are undecided. OANDA:USDCAD As always, only trade what you're willing to lose! The trading regime.
Long
by EvaultFinancialGroup
Recession warning on S&P500?The 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields inverted for the first time since 2019 . On Thu Mar 31st , the yield curve showed a possible warning signal that a recession could be happen at anytime, but the curve needs to stay inverted for a substantial amount of time before it gives a valid signal. People get excited about the yield curve because, historically it has been a good predictor of the onset of recession. Against a backdrop of searing inflation, Russia’s War in Ukraine and a commodity shock, the relentless flattening of the yield curve and its predictive qualities has market watchers on edge. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. sees the odds of a U.S. recession as high as 35% in the next year, while Grant Thornton’s Diane Swonk sees the twin blow of Fed tightening and higher oil prices potentially tipping the economy into a recession. The yield curve may serve Economists more than Investors, the key factor in the yield curve inversion is that, while it can often forecast darker days ahead for the economy, it is NOT a sell signal for those who invest in stocks
SP:SPXShort
by ctrl_
2