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Expected Key Points USOIL 17 May 2022USOIL 17 May 2022 The daily expected volatility is around 3.53% With an 77% accuracy based on the historical data, we can assume that the price of USOIL today is going to be between TOP 117.70 BOT 109.7 All of this taken into account with the opening price of today which was 114 From VOLUME POC point of view its above 114 which imply a bullish momentum at this very moment. From Fundamental/News point of view that can affect USOIL price: In 10h from now, FED Chair Poweel speaks
TVC:USOIL
by exlux
WTI Crude Oil - What a surprise! Incredible! 29.4The consolidation period of close to 12 weeks is likely coming to an end with a breakout up! A close above 102.90 (triangle consolidation resistance level) allowed the price action to proceed with up-trend targeting: *108.30-108.50 *114.80-115 *124 *132 Width of triangle is usually the target of the breakout in terms of size of movement This could make sense fundamentally as inflation continues to grow together with Russian oil supply fears which is likely to fall by 20% , Europe may struggle with oil supply and this offsets China's lock down for now. Of course this may be a fake out, weekly close and next weeks open is likely to call the bluff if price returns to below 100 with a daily close. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- If you found my idea useful, please like and follow! It would mean a lot to me! I promise to respond to any and all comments/questions - Don't hesitate to ask. Thank you :) ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TVC:USOILLong
by Exactus
2
⭐️BRENT: forecast for May 9-May 13➡️ Oil usually rises and falls with the stock market because the prices of both markets are like a proxy for economic activity. But in recent years, these relationships have collapsed. Oil growth may continue to outperform. Stock markets fell and oil prices held. It is more likely that oil will continue to outperform equities on a cross-asset basis. If you are in a place where economic activity is strong now but could also slow down in the coming years, stock and credit markets could start to weaken even as energy prices hold. Oil prices could rise even more if the conflict in Ukraine escalates, a scenario that is likely to push prices down in other asset classes. But if geopolitical risk subsides, there could be a recovery in growth, greater economic confidence and more demand for energy, meaning that oil may not fall much compared to future expectations. This should support the oil. Technically, oil is not expected to fall below 110$ - 111$ this week. Longs can be entered from current prices. The target for the deal is supposed to be at the level of 115$. ➖➖➖➖➖➖➖ 👍 Thanks for your comments and likes 👍 👇🔥 LINKS TO PREVIOUS IDEAS AND FORECASTS 🔥👇
TVC:UKOILLong
by TradePlus-Fx
7
⭐️BRENT: forecast for May 2-May 6➡️ The volatility of the oil market remains high, which is due to the aggravation of the energy crisis in Europe against the backdrop of the first precedents for stopping the supply of Russian hydrocarbons to some EU countries. The Wall Street Journal news agency reported yesterday that German officials withdrew their objections to a total embargo on Russian energy supplies, asking only for time to find alternative suppliers. Recall that the position of Germany was the main obstacle to the introduction of such an embargo in the EU. The United States and Great Britain have already refused to buy Russian oil. The change in the rhetoric of German representatives was a reaction to the suspension of natural gas exports to Poland and Bulgaria, since these countries refused to pay for deliveries in rubles. This raised concerns that the Russian Federation could stop deliveries to other European countries. Meanwhile, Russian Finance Minister Anton Siluanov said on Wednesday that Russia's oil production could fall by 17% this year due to sanctions. Market participants seriously admit that a very likely decision on a complete embargo on the supply of Russian energy resources may provoke a shock scenario, as a result of which the shortage of oil and petroleum products on the world market will increase to 3 million barrels per day. This news background completely offset the prevailing effect on prices, which was previously caused by concerns about the prospects for global economic growth due to anti-COVID restrictions in China. Investors are concerned about the spread of COVID-19 in Beijing, which could force the Chinese government to impose a general lockdown on the city. The prolonged lockdown in Shanghai, China's largest city and commercial hub, has already weighed on the oil market, undermining demand expectations. Considering all of the above, it is most likely more profitable to hold oil longs. Technical analysis just supports this rhetoric. The chart shows two long entry points. The conservative target for this week is the 110$ level, it makes sense to also consider the 115$ level. 🔥 BRENT Forecast Results 🔥 ☑️BRENT: small update 👉 +590 points ✅: ⭐️BRENT: forecast for Apr 25-Apr 29 👉 +531 points ✅: ➖➖➖➖➖➖➖ 👍 Thanks for your comments and likes 👍 👇🔥 LINKS TO PREVIOUS IDEAS AND FORECASTS 🔥👇
TVC:UKOILLong
by TradePlus-Fx
2
USOIL - Russian oil ban = higher oil pricesMore than a week ago, we warned about potential EU's ban on Russian oil and the risk it poses for the higher price of oil. We suggested that this step would lead to higher prices of oil in the short-term. Just two days ago, Germany was reported to back a gradual ban on Russian oil. Because of that we abandon our short-term and medium-term price targets. Although, our long-term price target remains in place. Technical analysis - daily time frame RSI points to the upside which is bullish; however, over the past few days, it shows choppy pattern. MACD oscillates near the midpoint; if it manages to break above it, then we expect it to bolster a bullish case for USOIL. Stochastic is bullish. DM+ and DM- are bearish but due to perform bullish crossover. ADX signals presence of no significant trend. Overall, the daily time frame is bullish for USOIL. Illustration 1.01 The illustration above shows the rectangle pattern - in which most of the choppy price action has been going on lately. Technical analysis - weekly time frame RSI is neutral. MACD is highly elevated and flattening at the same moment, which makes it neutral. Stochastic reversed to the upside. DM+ and DM- show bullish conditions in the market. However, ADX's signals that these conditions deteriorated over the past four weeks. Overall, the weekly time frame is mixed. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not serve as a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:USOIL
by Tradersweekly
3