Stop loss is your enemy?
One of the most common misconceptions in trading is that your STOP LOSS is your ENEMY.
But in fact, the opposite is true. Stop loss is your best friend
There will always be losing trades because they are part of the trading system. You cannot avoid them, but you can CONTROL the losses.
Stop Loss is a defense mechanism designed to get you out of the market at the PRESERVED PRICE and LOSS that you planned.
Exiting a stop loss certainly doesn't make you a bad trader.
When a trade goes against you, you are the most vulnerable in terms of irrationality and emotional instability. SL (Stop Loss) exists to get you out of the market safely and securely before your emotions get the better of you and further damage your account balance.
Most newcomers to the market make the same mistakes ... Always increase the SL size, add more positions at a loss, and risk most of their accounts for a few trades.
Always adhere to 1-3% RISK PER TRANSACTION.
The key to the game is longevity.
By understanding that your SL is your savior, you can release the emotional tension of a losing trade and instead maintain maximum clarity on your charts to quickly move away from PRE-CALCULATED losses as a simple part of the process.
With the right RISK / PROFIT RATIO and adherence to the RISK principles of 1-3%, you can get more losing trades than profitable ones, but at the same time remain a profitable trader 💰
Your worst feeling is greed.
Keep your losses minimal and you will quickly find that your trading will improve tenfold by simply exiting the market when it no longer matches your preconceptions and plans.
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Tutorial
RISK MANAGEMENT + PATIENCE = SUCCESS
Hello everyone! In this idea, I will try to warn you against the wrong approach to trading.
As you know, 95% of retail traders hold their losing positions for too long in the market, but at the same time cut profits before the trade reaches its potential.
That is, a trader, being in unprofitable positions, is ready to sit out huge drawdowns -50% ..- 70% ..- 100% of the deposit, but at the same time, with a profitable trade, he is ready to close the profit with a yield of + 1% with trembling hands.
It is a common trait of a retail trader to be constantly at war with the market.
The fastest way to drain your deposit is to fight against trades that are going against you. 95% of traders fall into the trap by increasing their stop loss on an open trade or, even worse, adding even more positions to a trade that goes against them, sincerely hoping that the market is about to turn around and go in their direction.
Successful traders do the opposite.
Taking the risk per trade of 1-2%, they minimize their losses in unprofitable scenarios by closing by stop loss. But in the case of profitable trades, they take MORE profit than they initially risk.
In this case, a profitable trader may have more losing trades than positive ones, but he will still be in profit.
Take the emotion out of your trade and let price hit your stop loss where you set it. Thus, your losses do not exceed the threshold of the planned risk, allowing your profitable positions (with a good risk: reward ratio) to override any that did not work in your favor.
Cut your losses and let your profits grow
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KNOW WHEN TO STOP TRADING🛑
A trader who is in a bad mood should think about taking a break.
The easiest way to determine when a BREAK from trading is needed is to first assess your current emotional state and performance.
- Do you constantly close the trades couple of seconds/minutes after you opened them, chaning your mind?
- Do you spend all day "burning" your eyes, watching charts to find patterns just for the sake of making money fast?
- Are you deviating from your trading plan?
- Are you taking more risks than usual?
If you answered "YES" to at least one of these questions, then it's time to stop.
Always let the market give you the conditions for trading. Build your analysis = Follow your trading plan & strategy and let the market do what it needs to do. Never get into the market at random or into the first pattern you come across. You will often notice that the pattern is not the best trading condition.
When you find yourself violating strict risk management and trading plan, take a step back and understand what may be causing your irrational decision-making.
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Bites Of Trading Knowledge For New TOP Traders #4 (short read)Bites Of Trading Knowledge For New TOP Traders #4
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What is the role of a financial custodian? –
A custodian or custodian bank is a financial institution that holds customers’ securities for safekeeping to prevent them from being stolen or lost. Custodians are responsible for the safety of assets and securities and provide services that include trade settlement, investing cash balances as directed, collecting income, processing corporate actions, providing valuation of securities positions, and providing recordkeeping and reporting services.
What is the role of a financial exchange? –
An exchange is a marketplace where securities, commodities, derivatives and other financial instruments are traded. The core function of an exchange is to ensure fair and orderly trading and the efficient dissemination of price information for any financial instrument trading on that exchange.
What is the role of financial regulators? –
A regulator authorizes, supervises and regulates, financial institutions operating in a country to ensure the soundness of the overall banking and financial system. This supervision enables financial institutions to operate and provide efficient banking and financial services.
RISKS AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR CORPORATES AND INDIVIDUAL INVESTORS – Portfolio Diversification –
Portfolio diversification is the process of investing your money in different asset classes and securities in order to minimize the overall risk of the portfolio.
For both corporate and individual investors, having access to markets that enable the building of a diversified portfolio is an important consideration when managing futures focused accounts.
Similar to managing risk, the market to trade would be a key variable to clearly state and support with reasons for trading or investing. Reasons for selecting one market over another could include price volatility, liquidity, daily volume traded, size of the minimum price increment, and value of the minimum price increment. Comparing these variables between markets will help decide the suitability and/or risk of each.
For example, the parameters for a price driven strategy may be designed to be applied to any market whether it be index equity futures or forex futures. However, the signals for entry may not always trigger if a trader were just to focus on a single index equity futures such as the Micro MSCI USA Index futures.
Having access to other futures markets to apply the strategy to allow for the creation of a diversified portfolio with varying entry and exit points or the ability for more trading oriented investors increased opportunities to execute price driven strategies more often across a range of futures markets.
TRADDICTIV · Research Team
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Disclaimer:
We do not provide investment advice, nor provide any personalized investment recommendations and/or advice in making a decision to trade. Before you start trading, please make sure you have considered your entire financial situation, including financial commitments and you understand that trading is highly speculative and that you could sustain significant losses.
Bites Of Trading Knowledge For New TOP Traders #3 (short read)Bites Of Trading Knowledge For New TOP Traders #3
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What is liquidity and what is its significance? –
Liquidity refers to the availability of a product and ensures market participants have the ability to buy and sell easily.
A liquid market increases the likelihood for finding a counterparty when entering or exiting a trade.
What is volume a measurement of in trading? –
Volume in trading refers to the total number of contracts exchanged between buyers and sellers of a market during trading hours over a given period.
Higher trading volumes are considered more positive than lower trading volumes because they indicate the availability of orders in the market allowing better order execution during the trading session.
What is open interest in the derivatives market? –
Open interest is the total number of outstanding derivative contracts, such as options or futures that have not been settled for an asset.
Open interest equals the total number of bought or sold contracts, not the total of both added together. Increasing open interest represents new or additional money coming into the market while decreasing open interest indicates money flowing out of the market.
RISKS AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR CORPORATES AND INDIVIDUAL INVESTORS – Position and Risk Management –
Risk management is the responsibility of market participants designed to limit risk exposures that specifically applies to the participants financial profile in the market.
The financial profile of a participant may include their role in the financial market or the amount of capital under their responsibility to be managed in the market, and therefore the risk variables that each would need to identify may be unique.
For both corporate and individual investors, the market to trade would be a key variable to clearly state and support with reasons for trading or investing. Reasons for selecting one market over another could include price volatility, liquidity, daily volume traded, size of the minimum price increment, and value of the minimum price increment. Comparing these variables between markets will help decide the suitability and/or risk of each.
For example, if bitcoin (BTC) moves around 1,000 points per day and each point is worth $1, a trader might experience a $1,000 fluctuation in their account balance for one day. Another example is the U.S Dollar / Singapore Dollar (USDSGD), which could move 70 pips or more per day and trading a standard lot size with each pip worth $10, a $700 fluctuation could be expected for one day.
Market participants may also manage their risk through the size of their positions. The larger their position size, the greater is their exposure and the smaller their position size their exposure is lower. Investors should determine the risk that would result from various position sizes and select the size that ensures that their risk limit is not exceeded.
Finally, setting stops with a specified loss amount provides protection if the market does not move in the desired direction. It helps to prevent creating a loss scenario which is larger than an account can handle.
TRADDICTIV · Research Team
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Disclaimer:
We do not provide investment advice, nor provide any personalized investment recommendations and/or advice in making a decision to trade. Before you start trading, please make sure you have considered your entire financial situation, including financial commitments and you understand that trading is highly speculative and that you could sustain significant losses.
Bites Of Trading Knowledge For New TOP Traders #2 (short read)Bites Of Trading Knowledge For New TOP Traders #2
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What is the Notional Value of a Futures Contract? –
Notional value of a futures contract is how much total value the contract theoretically controls.
Contract Size * Underlying Price = Notional Value.
Bakkt ® Bitcoin (USD) Cash Settled Monthly Futures (BMC) for example has a contract size of 1 bitcoin and assuming the BMC price is $60,000.00, the notional value of the futures contract is $60,000.00.
What is the difference between Margin and Leverage? –
Margin is the amount of money deposited with the broker to control a futures contract. It is determined by the futures exchange and maybe adjusted by the broker to manage risk to their clients.
Leverage is the ability to use less money to theoretically control 1 futures contract compared with buying the product underlying the contract outright which amounts to the notional value of the futures contract.
To calculate how much leverage a futures contract gives, divide the notional value of the contract by the margin.
The BMC example above had a notional value of $60,000.00 and with a margin requirement of $18,000.00, is equal to approximately three times leverage on our money ($60,000.00 / $18,000.00 = 3.33).
What is a Point and a Tick? –
Point is the smallest price increment that can occur on the left side of the decimal point. (Example. 90.000)
Tick is the price movement that occurs on the right side of the decimal when looking at the price of a futures contract and is the smallest possible price change measured by markets. A Point is composed of Ticks. (Example. 90.000)
Mini US Dollar Index® Futures (SDX) has a minimum price fluctuation of $0.005 representing one tick and would move from 90.000 to 90.005. It takes 200 ticks to make one point or a move from 90.000 to 91.000.
Risks and opportunities for corporates and individual investors: HEDGING PORTFOLIO RISK –
Hedging bitcoin exposure with the Bakkt ® Bitcoin (USD) Cash Settled Monthly Futures (BMC) contract is a way to manage portfolio risk by taking a directional position opposite to the underlying asset as protection.
For example, a hedger may have plans to hedge downward price movement in bitcoin using futures contracts based on in-house market and portfolio analytical processes. The market analysis may use common technical analytical techniques such as support and resistance to formulate the trade decision. In the chart (Figure 1), if bitcoin is expected to weaken as it nears the resistance areas, the hedger may plan to enter into a short futures position using the Bakkt ® Bitcoin (USD) Cash Settled Monthly Futures contract under either price levels of $46,000 or $52,000 to lock in the value of their underlying bitcoin position.
TRADDICTIV · Research Team
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Disclaimer:
We do not provide investment advice, nor provide any personalized investment recommendations and/or advice in making a decision to trade. Before you start trading, please make sure you have considered your entire financial situation, including financial commitments and you understand that trading is highly speculative and that you could sustain significant losses.
Bites Of Trading Knowledge For New TOP Traders #1 (short read)Bites Of Trading Knowledge For New TOP Traders #1
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What is Hedging? –
Hedging is the action taken through the use of a financial instrument to minimize the loss or risk of the loss of value of an asset due to adverse asset price movements.
Who are Hedgers? –
Hedgers are market participants such as commodity producers who want to lock in selling prices of commodities they produce, or food manufacturers who want to lock in buying prices of raw materials purchased.
Market participants also include financial institutions handling financial assets and use derivative products such as futures to manage the risk of a portfolio of financial assets.
What is the difference between Physically Delivered vs Cash Settled Futures Contracts? –
Physical delivery is a term in a futures contract which requires the actual underlying asset to be “physically delivered” upon the specified delivery date, rather than being cash-settled.
Cash settled futures on the other hand allows for the net cash amount to be paid or received on the settlement date of the futures contract.
Futures exchanges may offer both types of contracts to market participants who have different purposes for trading futures contracts.
Risks and opportunities for corporates and individual investors: HEDGING –
Hedging currency exposure with the Mini U.S. Dollar Index ® futures contract is a way to manage business currency risk by taking a directional position depending on business requirements for conversions to or from the U.S. Dollar.
For example, a hedger may have expected the U.S. Dollar to weaken from 93.50 on 31st March (based on an analysis involving the overall downward trend in the market having retraced to the Fibonacci retracement level 76.8%) and may have had plans to convert U.S. Dollars to Singapore Dollars over the coming months to make payments to suppliers in Singapore Dollars. The hedger could have opened a short position using the Mini U.S. Dollar Index ® futures contract at or around 93.50 to lock in the value of the U.S. Dollars that they planned to use in the future at the time of payment to the supplier.
TRADDICTIV · Research Team
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Disclaimer:
We do not provide investment advice, nor provide any personalized investment recommendations and/or advice in making a decision to trade. Before you start trading, please make sure you have considered your entire financial situation, including financial commitments and you understand that trading is highly speculative and that you could sustain significant losses.
TRADING HIERARCHY | KNOW WHAT MATTERS THE MOST ⚠️❗
Hey traders,
I vividly remember how I started to trade 8 years ago, how I was learning, and the things that I was doing.
Contemplating my old self, I notice a dramatic shift in my mindset in regards to trading.
Staring at the charts and desiring to make money on price action, I wanted to become a consistently profitable trader. Making the priorities, I decided to sacrifice my time on studying technical analysis totally neglecting trading psychology and risk management.
Learning different trading strategies I always came to the same result: the account went blown and nothing seemed to work.
Strategies of fancy traders on YouTube, strategies from best-selling books on Amazon, nothing could produce any penny.
Not giving up and pursuing my ultimate goal I came to the conclusion that I set my priorities absolutely incorrectly.
To be honest, I always thought that trading psychology (like psychology in general) is s*cks. Moreover, I considered risk management to be kind of obvious, banal topic not deserving much attention.
Learning risk management techniques, applying them in day trading I finally saw a glimmer of hope.
Reading dozen of books on trading psychology, contemplating my mistakes, and observing my behavior I noticed so many wrong, incorrect things that I did on a daily basis.
With time and practice, my mindset shifted.
I realized that most of the strategies that I applied and that seemed losing to me, in fact, were decent.
It turned out that mastery of technical analysis is not enough for profitable trading. Instead, that is just a tiny part of what must be learned.
Now, when my students ask me about the most important things to learn & study in trading, I always say:
trading psychology and risk management go first, technical analysis is the secondary.
❗ Do not neglect these topics and give them due attention. They are an essential part of your success in trading.
🤔 Do you agree with the pyramid that I drew?
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Analyst and Trader. What are the differences?
The main difference between an Analyst and a Trader is in their main goals.
For an analyst, the main goal is to determine the future price and write articles.
Most analysts give a double trend direction in their forecasts, as they worry about their incorrect forecast, and hedge in case of their mistake.
For a trader, the main goal is to MAKE a PROFIT when working in the market. At the same time, the direction of the trend is a secondary goal, since you can also make a profit by scalping when the trend does not matter much. Each trader has his approach to trading and his trading strategy. One trader opens a long position to earn money on the growth of quotations, but at the same time, another trader opens a short position on the same instrument to earn money when the price drops.
PROFIT is the main priority for the trader.
The analyst can show alternative options for the development of events, leaving the trader to make a responsible decision about actions in one or another option. At the same time, the Analyst does not risk anything - neither his money nor his reputation, since TWO OPPOSITE scenarios insure him from making a mistake.
As a rule, 65% of analysts do not trade themselves, but only write analytical articles and make forecasts.
A few facts about the analyst and trader:
Analyst:
- collects information and analyzes the market situation
- writes analytical articles
- makes forecasts (usually in two directions, for safety)
- probably trades/invests by himself according to his forecasts
Trader:
- determines the direction for a potential transaction
- performs risk calculation and installation of a protective order (stop loss)
- performs trading operations on the market to make a profit
- manages and accompanies the position from the beginning to the end
And who do you think you are? An analyst or a trader?
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5 Important Candle Patterns that You Need to Know
5 most important candlesticks to know!
Simplicity is the key to a positive result, and many traders ignore the simplicity of using these 5 MAIN candle patterns and the importance of each of them, as well as what they are.
Many traders complicate everything and make trading more complicated than necessary. Using only these 5 candle patterns together with other basics of technical analysis is all you need to successfully make money in the market!
Learn to read the market like a book, read candles-it's like reading words on a page. Candlesticks are the language of the market, and to understand the market, we must be fluent in the language of the markets.
Knowing exactly where to find and trade these 5 candle patterns can change your trading forever.
Candlesticks combined with other methods of applying technical analysis can be incredibly powerful in understanding where financial markets can go.
It is important to remember that candlestick patterns are a physical representation of human psychology and decisions made in the market.
Think deeper. The candles that you see on your charts, actually give you clear signs of what the dominant side (buyers or sellers) wants to do next.
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Inside a Japanese candle 🕯
Japanese candlesticks are the most popular way to read the price movement on charts. They are visual, easy to learn and the main thing is that they work.
You can see what the Japanese candle is built from on the chart,
On the left side is a one-hour bullish Japanese candle
The right side shows what happened during the hour with the price from the moment of opening to the moment of closing the candle.
The Japanese candle shows the price movement for a certain period.
As you know, the time frames of candles vary from minute to month.
For trading on the financial markets, it is important to see certain formations of these candlesticks.
You need to know not only the patterns that are written about in books, such as pin-bar and bullish absorption but also to know why and how they are built.
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GANN THEORY Strategize I know that some people out want a Easier Approach when trading stocks. Please understand i am not a License Professional trader, been trading since i graduated from high school 14 years ago. Wanted to show a brief way to trade the GANN theory that i have posted before this. How to set up the GANN is outline in it, if you need help please message me.
Everything i do is anchor(i have allot of MTF items on my chart) (( all have to set to the desired result)) on the Upper time frame based on what my goal is.... Am i going to Day-trade this , am i going to Swing this ?
so my recommendations is ANCHORS DAILY WEEKLY AND MONTHLY for GANN...
15min 5min dual chart for Daily GANN anchor.
4hr and 1hr dual chart for Weekly
1day solo chart for Monthly
Having 2 different charts = more trade opportunities to Aim at so i recommend that on the daily and the Weekly time frames.
When set up correctly trading is simple, sometimes automated but you still need to pay attention to the charts, i am not saying this is the HOLY GRAIL... i am sure it adapt and improve overtime but i have had great success with it.
What is a moving average? How to use it?
The Moving Average (MA) is a simple technical analysis tool that smooths price data, creating a constantly updated average price. The average value is taken for a certain period, for example, 10 days, 20 minutes, 30 weeks, or any time chosen by the trader. There are advantages to using a moving average in your trading, as well as options for which type of moving average to use. Moving average strategies are also popular and can be adapted to any time interval, which is suitable for both long-term investors and short-term traders.
The Moving Average (MA) is a widely used technical indicator that smooths out price movements by filtering out "noise" from random short-term price fluctuations.
Moving averages can be constructed in several ways and use a different number of days for the averaging interval.
The most common applications of moving averages are determining the trend direction and determining support and resistance levels.
When asset prices cross their moving averages, this can generate a trading signal for technical traders.
Although moving averages are quite useful on their own, they also form the basis for other technical indicators, such as the moving average convergence divergence ( MACD ).
Why use a moving average
The moving average helps to reduce the amount of "noise" on the price chart. Look at the direction of the moving average to get a general idea of which way the price is moving. If it is tilted up, the price as a whole is moving up (or has been recent); tilted down, and the price as a whole is moving down; moves sideways, and the price is most likely in a range.
The moving average can also act as support or resistance . In an uptrend, a 50-day, 100-day, or 200-day moving average can act as a support level , as shown in the figure. This is because the average acts as a support, so the price bounces off it. In a downtrend, the moving average can act as resistance; like a ceiling, the price reaches a level and then begins to fall again.
✅ Let me know how do YOU use the MA, and what is your favorite indicator?✅
Triangle Patterns - Advanced AnalysisChart patterns describe distinct structures in financial time series. Their occurrence helps technical analysts predict future price variations.
Triangle patterns form a part of the most studied patterns by technical analysts and have been well documented over the years, with some even applied to climate time-series data (1). In this post, we perform an analysis of ascending, descending, and symmetrical triangles patterns.
We provide a description of each pattern and its implications, as well as a model of the price variation within each described pattern. We also review the literature in order to find their deterministic cause.
To knowledgeable investors, chart patterns are not squiggles on a
price chart; they are the footprints of the smart money.
- Bulkowski (2)
1. Ascending Triangles
Ascending triangles are characterized by a series of rising local minima (higher lows) and a series of local maxima staying at a relatively fixed level. A line is drawn from the rising minima, forming an upward sloping support line. Another line is drawn from the maxima, forming a horizontal resistance line. The apex represents the point where both lines intersect.
Ascending Triangles have a bullish bias. Once the price breaks the resistance line we can expect a rapid increase of the price. This breakout is often accompanied by an increase in volume, while the volume prior to the breakout was declining. Note that this is not a pre-requisite.
Example of ascending triangle on CALX daily.
2. Descending Triangles
Descending triangles are characterized by a series of declining local maxima (lower highs) and a series of local minima staying at a relatively fixed level. A line is drawn from the declining maxima, forming a downward sloping resistance line. Another line is drawn from the minimal, forming a horizontal support line.
Descending Triangles have a bearish bias. Once the price breaks the support line we can expect a rapid decrease of the price. Like ascending triangles, this breakout is often accompanied by an increase in volume, while the volume prior to the breakout was declining.
Example of descending triangle on CORN daily.
3. Symmetrical Triangles
Symmetrical triangles are characterized by a series of declining local maxima (lower highs) and a series of increasing local minima (higher lows). A line is drawn from the declining maxima, forming a downward sloping resistance line. Another line is drawn from the minima, forming an upward sloping support line. Both support and resistance lines should have an approximately equal slope.
Symmetrical triangles do not have a particular bullish or bearish bias, and are sometimes used to indicate market uncertainty. The expected outcomes depend on where a breakout is occurs. If the price breaks the resistance, we can expect an increase of the price, while a breakout of the support can be followed by a decrease of the price.
Example of symmetrical triangle on PFO daily.
4. Pattern Modelling
Describing price variations within patterns with a general mathematical formulation can help us describe more complex occurrences of the patterns.
Consider the price within a valid triangle as y'(t) , with support S(t) and resistance R(t) . We can describe y'(t) as follows:
y' = S + A × (R - S ) + e
with A(t) approximately periodic and in an approximate range (0,1) and e(t) as noisy component.
We can see that A(t) is subject to linear damping (the amplitude of price variations within the triangle tend to reduce linearly over time).
This model is very general and can be further developed, but it can be used as the basis for assessing the validity of triangle patterns in the next section.
5. Pattern Validity
The validity of a triangle pattern can depend on a wide variety of factors and can change from analyst to analyst.
The price concentration around the support/resistance should be relatively even, that is price should fill the triangle (as described by Bulkowski).
Bulkowski strongly suggests at least two minor highs and two minor lows should be inside the triangle formation. An additional filter is introduced by Bulkowski, the 5% failure , suggesting that a breakout should have a relative distance superior to 5% from the broken line in order to avoid reversals.
Our previous model can be used to determine the validity of a potential triangle pattern. The apex angle is directly related to the magnitude of A(t) and e(t) , with lower angle values returning a lower signal to noise ratio. This is bad since A(t) is an essential component for the structure of the triangle. If A(t) ≈ e(t) then we cannot validate the presence of a triangle pattern, since it is more likely to have been the result of noise.
6. Measure Rule
The measure rule allows anticipating the magnitude of a breakout. This allows the trader to easily set take profit/stop losses, which enables a higher control over the risk a trader would be taking trading a triangle pattern.
For ascending triangles the predicted magnitude of a breakout is equal to the value of the resistance minus the first local minima inside the triangle.
For descending triangles the predicted magnitude of a breakout is equal to the value of the first local maxima inside the triangle minus the support value.
For symmetrical triangles, the predicted magnitude of a breakout is equal to the highest local maxima inside the triangle minus the lowest local minima inside the triangle.
We can see that for ascending and descending triangles, a breakout of the non-horizontal line would imply a weaker breakout the closer the price is to the apex. In fact, the breakout magnitude would decay linearly. This is also true for symmetrical triangles. This is mentioned by Fisher (3):
- The more the price moves to the very end of a triangle, the weaker will be the breakout in either direction.
7. Theoretical Explanation Of The Occurrence Of Triangle Patterns
Explaining the presence of patterns in financial time series is a challenging task. Under a purely efficient market the presence of patterns would simply be the realization of random fluctuations.
A more challenging question would be: "how could market participants cause triangle patterns?"
If we assume that market participants cause the patterns, we know from the pattern descriptions that a mechanism inducing damped oscillatory variations exists. This oscillation is explained by Caginalp and Balenovich by two groups having asymmetric information/opinions (4).
Certain analysts describe triangle patterns as a temporary control switch between sellers and buyers, with scenarios being determined by the amount of energy exhausted by buyers and sellers.
8. Conclusion
In this post, we provided a description of triangle patterns. We highlighted the link between the signal-to-noise ratio and the apex angle of a triangle in order to determine its validity, as well as the measure rule for predicting the magnitude of a breakout.
We finally briefly mentioned the theoretical explanation behind the occurrence of triangles patterns in the market. This subject is complex and lacks further research, we highly recommend reading Caginalp & Balevonich on the subject.
Bulkowski offers an extensive number of statistics regarding triangles in his encyclopedia of chart patterns.
9. References
(1) Kaiser, J. (2016). Chart Pattern in Climate Time Series Data . Urban & Regional Resilience eJournal.
(2) Bulkowski, T. N. (2021). Encyclopedia of chart patterns . John Wiley & Sons.
(3) Fischer, R., & Fischer, J. (2003). Candlesticks, Fibonacci, and chart pattern trading tools: a synergistic strategy to enhance profits and reduce risk (Vol. 209). John Wiley & Sons.
(4) Caginalp, G., & Balevonich, D. (2003). A Theoretical Foundation for Technical Analysis . Capital Markets: Market Microstructure eJournal.
Japanese candlesticks are better than any indicator
Although indicators can help in the process of constant trading, nothing compares to Japanese candlesticks , which in themselves show who is stronger in the market, buyers or sellers.
Using technical analysis in your favor is crucial for understanding what may happen next in the market. But... Japanese candlesticks often give the clearest picture of them all.
Learn to read what Japanese candles show. Understanding who is currently dominating the market can significantly help you in acquiring additional mergers that are necessary not only to confirm your pattern but also to determine in advance what the price can do next.
Financial markets are a continuous open battlefield of buyers and sellers. Look for a strong side to be with the dominant side in the market.
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YOUR SUCCESS IN TRADING | Expectations VS Reality 💰🤔☠️
Hey traders,
Being a full-time trader & running a coaching program for the last three years, I met hundreds of struggling traders from different parts of the globe.
Guess why the majority of them could not make it? What was the main reason for their bad luck?
It wasn't their trading strategy, nor their technical analysis. The source of their failure was the expectations.
Trying different trading strategies, following the signals of different signal providers, these traders expected quick gains and exponential account growth. They were actually in a state of a constant search of a holy grail, of a magic wand that will open Pandora's box to them.
Just a single losing trade made them skeptical while the first losing streak made them drop the strategy and return back to the search.
They keep spending thousands of dollars on trading strategies promising them close to 100% win rate.
There is this common mantra, the stereotype about a pro trader:
a guy with 4 screens making a quick buck on each and every market rally, driving Lambo, and living in a mansion.
Unfortunately, the reality is different.
Ahead you will encounter loneliness, losses, pain, and disapproval.
The road to success in this game is long and dangerous.
Get ready to see the skepticism in the eyes of your relatives and friends. Many years and tons of money must be spent in order to make it.
But even mastering the system, becoming a consistently profitable trader you will not constantly beat the market. Your wins will just slightly outperform your losses giving you the means for living.
If you are ready for that if you are courageous enough to start and to proceed no matter what, you are already one step ahead of the majority. Be prepared to work hard and practice much, set a correct goal, and sacrifice your presence for the sake of an independent and prosperous future.
Are you ready?
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Complex head and shoulders patternHead and shoulders pattern are one of the most reliable patterns with extensive academic evidence supporting its use to improve trading profitability.
Head and shoulders pattern in the real world often look far more complex and a lot messier than the textbook images.
CADJPY: ANALYSISWe saw a strong impulsive move to the downside after a long corrective phase. We shall now keep watch on what may appear to be a small flag formation before we decide whether we will take more pips to the downside or maintain a corrective phase in the meanwhile.
Share your thoughts and suggestions are welcome! Happy trading!