Higher timeframes never lie! Look at the monthly timeframe
What do you see? Higher timeframes never lie and they're very simple to understand! We see a double top around 60_70K which is a very strong resistance also we see a bearish divergence because as price making higher highs RSI making lower highs also RSI is overbought. There's a support around 18_13K and also 100 monthly EMA is exactly there to support the price in future. These are very simple and obvious. Now you look at the chart and tell me what do you expect from bitcoin?
Tutorial
MARKET MAKER MANIPULATIONHello everyone!
Today I want to discuss with you a very interesting topic - the traps of market makers.
Let's get started.
Traps…
How often did you encounter this - you opened a position, and why did the price go sharply against you, knocking out your stop loss, and as soon as your position was closed with a loss, the price turned around again and went where you expected?
You analyzed your trades and did not understand what you did wrong.
Actually, it's not your fault. You just fell into the trap of a market maker.
These traps are created by large players in order to collect the stops of small market participants, thereby creating liquidity for opening or closing their large positions.
What do traps look like?
As a rule, traps are false level breakouts.
It is in these places that small players place their stop orders and this will be the main goal of a large player.
The first trap pattern is the classic Double Top pattern.
Everyone knows from books that the second peak should be slightly lower than the first. So the market tells us that the price no longer has the strength to make new highs and it's time to fall.
In fact, above the first peak, most traders place their stop losses, and large players push the price to them in order to activate orders and gain liquidity, after which the market reverses.
The second trap situation is the trend.
The trend is our friend! Everyone remembers and knows this.
In addition, everyone remembers that the trend changes when the price, in a bear market, renews the previous high.
After the new high, we believe that the trend has changed, but the price suddenly falls even lower and the downtrend resumes again, what happened?
The big player knows that traders put their stop losses above the last high and that is why the price pushes higher, so liquidity gathers, after which the bear market continues.
How to trade?
We cannot find out the thoughts and desires of major players.
The average trader should analyze the chart and try to act in the direction the market maker is pushing the price.
Pay attention to false breakouts - these are strong signals.
Seeing that the price has updated the maximum, and then turned around sharply, go short, so you will trade in the same direction with a major player.
Also, remember that traps are usually characterized by candles with long tails.
A long shadow will be a false breakout.
Conclusions
Trading traps is very difficult and at the beginning of the path you will fail.
Study the market, try to understand how a big player thinks.
When you learn, this strategy will bring you big profits.
Good luck!
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩
BEST CROSS CURRENCY PAIR EUR/GBPNow the dollar is going through a turbulent time, and EURGBP will help us avoid problems related to the dollar, because the pair does not contain the main world currency.
In addition, after Brexit, new interesting opportunities have opened up, which I will discuss below.
Dollar
Most traders choose to trade pairs in which there is a dollar due to the large liquidity.
Liquidity is a trap for a trader, especially intraday traders, but beginners do not understand this.
This liquidity is created by large players whose goal is to collect your stops and manipulate the market.
Such a market is very difficult to predict and very often your positions will be closed by the stop.
The only way out of this unfavorable situation is to trade cross-pairs.
Cross-currency pairs
There are 8 recognized major currencies of developed countries with stable economies.
The fact that these currency pairs can interact with each other without the mediation of the dollar makes them so attractive and resistant to external news and stuffing from the United States.
Cross-pairs, unlike dollar currency instruments, have the following advantages:
A more unambiguous reaction to economic indicators;
Limited (half-day) volatile trading period;
The opportunity to calmly move positions through the night, as pairs react poorly to news from the United States;
EURGBP Cross-pair
The EURGBP cross-pair ranks first among the crosses in terms of transaction volumes. The EU and the UK are connected to each other geographically and politically, until 2020 it was a single union. In 2016, British citizens voted for the option of Britain exit, giving the world a new word "Brexit".
After Brexit, the pair began to grow, giving a good opportunity for earnings. In addition, the EURGBP pair always reacts to problems in the global economy in the same way - with the growth of the euro, for the simple reason that the economy of the Union is larger than the economy of the island UK.
The economic crises of the XXI century have raised the exchange rate of the pair to the same levels, which allows you to build countertrend strategies, as well as to fix profits in the interim.
Best trading time
The most active time of EURGBP trading is from 7 to 16 in London.
A unique feature of EURGBP is a decrease in trading activity during the American session, which is explained by the absence of USD in the instrument.
The day trader can afford not to sit waiting for the release of the Fed minutes and not to increase the stop loss before the publication of the NFP.
How exactly to trade and what strategies to apply?
The pair is characterized by a lower percentage of knocked-out stops, since the price does not make unexpected jumps, unlike the dollar.
Thanks to this, you can trade using classic trend strategies.
As a rule, the movement is most often unidirectional. That is, having opened positions in the right direction, you can safely keep it until the evening or put a take profit.
The tactics of late entry, at about 10 o'clock in London, will help to weed out false breakouts.
Daily trends after Brexit
After Brexit, the pair gives very clear and understandable trends. You can even use a simple moving average to open good deals.
The graph is literally "like in textbooks". It is unknown how long such a picture will last.
Conclusion
Cross-pairs are special currencies that can give a trader a number of advantages over other instruments. This situation arises because crosses are not interesting to large players, market makers work out technical trading on them without mega-fluctuations in liquidity and "hunting for stops".
In general, EURGBP is a calm pair, suitable for beginners and still providing opportunities for trend trading on D1.
Kroger stock is investor's safehaven in a volatile period.Hi everyone,
Today I want to raise an interesting topic of stock market sector rotations. NYSE:KR is a great example to demonstrate that.
Since late November broad risk assests have been selling off. When investors see the rise in volatility and sell their tech stocks, where do they put their money?
They reinvest their money into low risk assets.
NYSE:KR stock recently fired off a signal for a great buy opportunity .
That's because Kroger represents Consumer Defensive stock sector and money has been flowing in from all the risk assets selling.
And indeed, we can see that since November 22 stock gained around 25% in price.
Now it is making all time highs, while all major indexes are nowhere near their tops.
As the cycle continues, money will outflow from the stock, which will cause it to retrace back.
But do not forget that Kroger is an established business with decent earnings and a long history of dividend payments.
It won't crash like tech stocks tend to do.
Instead, it will retrace to around 40-43 level.
And when the tech recovers and we reach peak of bullish euphoria once again, just buy some Kroger stock .
Trade wisely and good luck!
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Disclaimer!!!
This is not financial advise
STOP LOSS > TAKE PROFITHello everybody!
Today I want to discuss with you a question concerning risk management – Is it possible to set a stop loss more than a take profit?
History says…
Historically, traders have a rule according to which a stop loss should not be more than a take profit. There is a logic in this, if you receive more losses than profits, sooner or later your account will disappear.
But time goes by and the market is changing and already today it correctly seems not so ideal.
Every trader should understand that after a large number of trades, the expectation should be positive.
The expectation formula is as follows:
(Average profit value * ratio of profitable positions) – (average loss value * ratio of unprofitable positions) - transaction costs.
In order not to bother with calculations, traders have created a table that simply and clearly shows what a positive expectation is.
According to the table, if only 20% of the total number of your trades are profitable, then the RISK ratio is/The PROFIT should be 5:1 and higher.
If there are 50% profitable trades, then the ratio may be 2:1, and if there are 60% profitable trades, then the stop loss may be even greater than the take profit.
Therefore, the main rule that a trader should follow is that the smaller the take profit, the higher the win rate should be.
The difference in the markets
It is worth remembering that 80% of the books where these tips on the ratio of risk to profit come from are written about the stock market, which is more inclined to rise than to fall.
On the other hand, currency pairs tend to average.
This is the main difference: in the forex market, if the stop is large, you can sit out the fluctuations, if the take is large– you can not wait for it to work out.
You need to understand when and where to use large take profit and stop loss based on the strategy and the market.
And not because you multiplied the stop loss by 10.
Conclusions
The conclusion may be unexpected for you, but the profit/risk ratio is not an unbreakable rule.
Always adhere to the rule of positive expectation.
Set a stop loss and take profit based on the strategy and the market in which you are trading.
TRIPLE TOPHello everyone
Today I want to share with you a figure of technical analysis called the TRIPLE TOP.
This figure occurs quite often and brings excellent profit.
What does it look like?
The figure looks like three maxima, approximately at the same level.
These peaks are formed because the buyers' forces are drying up and with each new peak, the bears are getting stronger.
Very often, the third peak will be higher than the previous two - this is the last gasp of buyers, before capitulation.
How to trade?
The main criterion is the formation of three peaks, after a strong uptrend.
After that, the price makes the last spurt (the third peak) and breaks through the support.
This breakout is the first possible entry point .
Often you will observe how the price makes a retest of the level, after which it turns down.
The second possible entry point will be this retest of the level.
To calculate the potential profit point , you need to measure the height from the minimum to the maximum of the vertices.
This value, plotted below the breakout, will be a potential profit point.
The stop loss is set above the maximum of the vertices.
Conclusion
The figure is very profitable and often found.
In addition, you can find a triple bottom on the chart, which trades in the same way as a triple top, only in the opposite direction.
Very often, after a triple top, a strong downtrend begins and holding a part of the position can bring big profits.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩
Bullish trend phases1) Use higher timeframes to determine the trend. Look for the entry point on smaller timeframes.
3) "Zone shift" is a price movement designed to accumulate and preserve volumes.
In this phase, it is worth looking for entry points.
4) "Stop hunting" usually consists of three movements that occur in a short time.
The minimum of the day serves as a signal point about where the reversal will occur.
2) The second zone shift serves as a profit-taking point.
5) The penetration of each accumulation zone is a potential entry point.
6) "Market maker spread" - the maximum and minimum of the initial channel. Usually this value is 25-50 points.
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Additionally:
The time of termination of consolidation depends on the volume of HOD/LOD captured during the hunt.
It's hard to determine. We don't know how long it will take a major player to take a position, and we don't know how much volume he needs.
A) From time to time, the movement will be without consolidation, since the accumulated volume is too large, so a V-shaped bottom may form.
B) The accumulation of volume always takes different time, so sometimes it will take more time to accumulate than usual.
C) Accumulation may take longer, which is why a wide zone is formed, after which movement to the second stop (accumulation zone) will begin
Bites Of Trading Knowledge For New TOP Traders #7 (short read)Bites Of Trading Knowledge For New TOP Traders #7
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What is Bitcoin and from where did it originate? –
Bitcoin is a digital form of a medium of exchange with no central bank control which issues fiat currencies. Instead, the financial system involving bitcoin is managed by thousands of computers distributed around the world, a decentralised ledger, where anyone can participate by downloading open-source software and connecting to the ecosystem.
The invention and implementation of bitcoin is credited to the person or persons known Satoshi Nakamoto in 2009. The white paper “Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System“ states that bitcoin was to be, “A purely peer-to-peer version of electronic cash would allow online payments to be sent directly from one party to another without going through a financial institution.”
What is the Blockchain? –
The Blockchain is a decentralised ledger that is append-only meaning that data can only be added to it. Once information is added, it is extremely difficult to modify or delete it. The Blockchain enforces this by including a pointer to the previous Block in every subsequent Block.
The pointer is a Hash of the previous block. Hashing involves passing data through a one-way function to produce a unique Fingerprint of the input. If the input is modified even slightly, the Fingerprint will look completely different. Since the Blocks are linked in a Chain, there is no way for someone to edit an old entry without invalidating the Blocks that follow, allowing a secure structure.
What is Mining? –
Mining is the process in which transactions between users are verified and added to the decentralised ledger. The process of mining bitcoin is responsible for introducing new coins into the existing circulating supply and is one of the key elements that allows bitcoin to work within the peer-to-peer decentralized network, without the need for a third party central authority.
What Is a Blockchain Consensus Algorithm? –
A consensus algorithm is a mechanism that allows users or machines to coordinate the agreement of what is a valid block in the Blockchain in a distributed setting. It needs to ensure that all participants in the system can agree on a single source of truth. Types of consensus algorithms include Proof of Work (PoW) and Proof of Stake (PoS).
What is Proof of Work? –
Proof of Work (PoW) is a mechanism for preventing the same bitcoin funds from being spent more than once. Proof of Work consists of a consensus algorithm which is a protocol that sets out the conditions for what makes a block in the Blockchain valid. It ensures the security and integrity of bitcoin’s distributed ledger.
RISKS AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR CORPORATES AND INDIVIDUAL INVESTORS –
Diversification: Portfolio Focused on Pairs Trading Strategies –
Many individual investors use a pairs trade as a trading strategy that involves matching a long position with a short position in two markets with a high correlation.
In currency trading, the most economically and politically stable and liquid currencies are commonly the focus of market participants as the focus for currency pairs trading like these eight most traded currencies: U.S. dollar (USD), euro (EUR), Japanese yen (JPY), British pound (GBP), Australian dollar (AUD), Canadian dollar (CAD), Swiss franc (CHF), and Chinese Yuan (CNY).
If an individual investor is pairing EUR with CHF as part of their pairs trading portfolio, they could use common technical indicators like moving averages as part of their analysis in forming a trade decision.
For example, EURUSD on 4th May had crossed the moving average, but USDCHF had not shown similar price action, which could indicate the potential for follow through failure in the EURUSD to the downside. Contrast this with the 16th June where both EURUSD and USDCHF had both crossed the moving average and had clear follow through subsequently.
Investors would need to analyze their expected returns with and without currency eThe investor could alternatively consider trading the Mini US Dollar Index ® Futures given that the analysis could point to an opportunity being in the U.S. Dollar, which had been removed as a factor in this pairing.
TRADDICTIV · Research Team
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Disclaimer:
We do not provide investment advice, nor provide any personalized investment recommendations and/or advice in making a decision to trade. Before you start trading, please make sure you have considered your entire financial situation, including financial commitments and you understand that trading is highly speculative and that you could sustain significant losses.
BITCOIN - Wyckoff Accumulation TheoryWhat is Wyckoff Accumulation?
Developed by Richard Wyckoff in the 1930s, the Wyckoff Schematic helps traders to study the supply and demand of an underlying asset. This is possible through the analysis of an asset's footprint illustrating the control of smart money.
Such players take action in these ranges to build orders before making the price move. In our example, we will use the Wyckoff Accumulation to illustrate Bitcoin's current price action.
What is clear during the Accumulation phase is that while the price remains flat in a macro-scale, it shows strength for buyers. Understanding such phase and patterns of the market allows investors to find a suitable buying position.
To apply the Wyckoff Accumulation theory properly, there are a few rules to follow:
1. Use daily price charts for a more accurate interpretation of strong support and resistance.
2. Identify market direction based on supply and demand. To simply understand:
- When Demand is superior to Supply: Price moves up
- When Demand is inferior to Supply: Price moves down
- When Demand is equal to Supply: No change in price
Bitcoin has been in a downtrend for the past weeks and many of the market participants believe that it is oversold. KDJ, RSI, MACD in the daily are showing signs of a potential reversal. At the time of writing, Bitcoin is at a fear and greed index of 10. Therefore, we can confidently say that while price is stagnant for Bitcoin, price is expected to move up once demand exceeds supply.
3. Understand the significance of cause and effect. In this case, Wyckoff differentiates accumulation and distribution:
- Accumulation (cause) leads to an uptrend (effect)
- Distribution (cause) leads to a downtrend (effect)
4. Study the importance of volume. Trading volume shows sentiment, the current trend has a greater chance of continuing. On the other hand, if the volume doesn’t support the price action, it will create a divergence in the price, leading to a stop or change in direction. In our case, all price action is supported by volume. But it is decreasing, therefore suggesting a potential reversal.
Phases to identify in a Wyckoff Accumulation:
PS — Preliminary Support: The preliminary support appears after a long bearish trend.
SC — Selling Climax: The selling climax is described as a huge sell off, breaking the PS. Price may close far from the low with a long-wicked candle.
AR — The Automatic Rally: The price reverses and recovers from the selling pressure.
ST — The Secondary Test: After the AR, the price will go lower again but controlled.
SPRING — The Spring: In this phase, the price will perform a hard test of recent lows that will mislead traders. In this moment, it is believed that we are in this moment of the Wyckoff Accumulation! To confirm this movement, Bitcoin requires a test and make a higher low!
AS — Accumulation Schematic: The last stage of the accumulation cycle. The price should break out from the range with an impulsive bullish pressure and confirm the upcoming bullish trend.
Hope this short tutorial is helpful to navigate the cryptoverse in a moment where the market is in extreme fear! Trade safely and do drop a like if you enjoyed this article!
FLAG and PENNANTHello everyone!
I want to tell you a little about such figures as Flag and Pennant.
These patterns are quite common on the chart, so every trader should know how to trade them.
What does the flag look like?
After a strong movement (flagpole), the price begins to correct in the form of a rectangle, which corrects against the previous trend (flag).
What does a pennant look like?
Just like a flag, a pennant appears after a strong trend.
After that, the correction begins in the form of a narrowing triangle.
How to trade the flag?
A bullish flag is a flag that has formed after a strong upward movement.
The entry point for a bullish flag will be a breakout and anchoring the resistance of the rectangle (flag).
The stop is placed at the low of the flag.
To calculate a possible profit target, it is worth measuring the flagpole of the flag - this value superimposed above the breakout will be the target for your profit.
How to trade a pennant?
A bullish pennant forms after a strong bullish move.
To find an entry point, you need to wait until the resistance of the triangle is broken and the price fixes above the level.
Stop loss is usually placed below the nearest minimum.
To get an approximate profit target, you need to measure the length of the bullish move in front of the triangle - this value will be your target above the break.
Conclusion
These patterns are very common and give an excellent risk / reward ratio, usually greater than 1: 3.
With correct trading, the profit value will be even higher.
Do not forget that these shapes are continuation shapes.
And don't forget to set your stop loss.
Good luck to you!
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩
FIGURE OF TECHNICAL ANALYSIS "DIAMOND"Today we will talk about the figure of technical analysis "Diamond"
Diamond is not so common, so the figure is not so popular with traders.
But when the figure appears on the chart, you will get a great opportunity to earn big profits.
Identification
The diamond appears after a strong upward movement, which stops at some point and an expanding triangle begins to form on the chart.
After that, the expansion stops and the reverse process begins – a narrowing of the price, so the second part of the diamond is formed.
The narrowing leads to the formation of a second triangle, from which the price breaks down, creating a strong downtrend.
As you understand, a diamond is a reversal figure.
In addition to the reversal at the peak, the diamond may appear at the bottom, starting a new bullish trend.
The same rules apply for the diamond at the bottom of the trend as for the diamond at the top of the trend.
Trading
After you have found a diamond on the chart, you should wait for the breakout .
The breakout point serves as the entry point.
As soon as the price breaks out of the second part of the diamond, you can open a position.
The stop loss is usually set above the last maximum, outside the triangle.
To calculate the potential profit , you need to measure the height of the diamond - 60-80% of this value will be your goal.
You should understand that this is only the first profit goal, since the price very often goes even further, after the diamond.
Therefore, at this point, you can use a strategy with closing part of the profit.
For conservative traders, there is a second entry point – it will be the price movement for the minimum of a diamond.
Also, for such traders, it is possible to set a stop loss beyond the maximum of the diamond.
Conclusion
The figure is suitable for medium-term traders who hold positions for several days.
It is the medium-term diamond that is potentially able to bring big profits.
In addition, it is worth remembering a couple of rules:
It is not worth trading inside a diamond;
And don't forget to set a stop!
Be careful and don't miss your diamond!
HEAD AND SHOULDERSThere is probably no more famous figure than the HEAD AND SHOULDERS.
Head and shoulders - gives a very profitable signal about the market reversal.
Thanks to this figure, you will be able to open a position at the beginning of a new trend.
What does it look like?
The appearance of the Head and shoulders figure consists of five stages:
1. Uptrend;
2. Left shoulder;
3. Head;
4. Right shoulder;
5. Neck line.
First, we need to find an uptrend on which the left shoulder will form.
After that, the price makes the last rise, forming a head, after which the fall begins.
The right shoulder appears on a downward movement, and the neck line can be drawn after the formation of the right shoulder.
How to trade?
The entry point is the breaking of the neck line.
It is at this moment that the signal of the figure is confirmed.
Some traders are in a hurry and open positions at the peak of the right shoulder, which is very dangerous.
Always wait for the confirmation of the figure.
Don't worry if you missed the first entry point, there is always an opportunity to open a position after the neck line retest.
What about setting a stop loss?
Stop loss is usually placed above the right shoulder.
If the price went above the right shoulder, then the figure did not work, and it's time to exit the deal.
Where will the profit target be?
To calculate possible targets, the following method is used.
It is necessary to measure the distance from the neck line to the maximum of the head, the resulting value is imposed below the penetration of the neck line, after the right shoulder, this will be your goal.
Conclusions
The Head and shoulders figure can bring you a lot of profit when trading correctly.
It is worth noting that there is an inverted head and shoulders figure - and this figure signals a reversal and the imminent beginning of a bullish trend.
The rules of trading are the same as when trading Head and shoulders, but only in a different direction.
Trade using not only your shoulders, but also your head !
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩
Ascending & Descending Triangle Triangles are very often found on the chart, but not everyone knows how to trade them.
Today we will try to learn how to trade triangles correctly.
What does it look like?
The ascending and descending triangle have two sides: one side is flat and horizontal, the second is inclined and moves towards the first.
The ascending triangle has an upper flat horizontal side, and the lower one is inclined.
When you see this figure, you have to wait for a bullish movement.
The descending triangle is a mirror image of the ascending triangle.
With a descending triangle, there is a flat lower line and an upper inclined one, which moves in the direction of a flat one.
If you see this pattern, expect a bearish breakout.
Opening a position
There are three techniques for opening a position:
1. Stop order at the level.
2. Fixing the level.
3. Retest of the triangle trend line.
Each method is good in its own way, but the logic is the same everywhere – a breakthrough of a flat line and further movement towards a breakthrough.
Therefore, if the price starts moving against the breakout, most likely the figure did not work, and in order not to lose money in such situations, set a stop loss.
Stop Loss
You need to set a stop loss in a place where it will be clear for sure that the figure did not work.
Usually this point is located behind the inclined line of the triangle.
Profit taking
There are two ways to fix profits:
1. Trailing stop.
2. Graphical projection of the price.
The trailing stop is set according to your trading strategy and there shouldn't be many questions if you have a strategy.
It is easy to calculate the fixation point from the graphical projection: it is enough to measure the width of the base of the triangle and put the resulting value below the punched flat line – this will be your goal.
Conclusion
These figures are quite common, so it is important to know how to trade them.
Do not forget that nothing works in the market 100% of the time, so set a stop loss.
Good luck!!
HAPPY 2022 ⚪️ 2021's RecapHello guys, Wish you're all doing fine.
Happy New Year.
Sorry I wasn't around these past few days. I was on a break during the holidays.
I decided to recap the Educational Ideas we posted in 2021.
Let's gather them all in one post and take a quick look:
First things first, Fibonacci, an excellent tool for analyzing the market:
Bollinger Bands, And how they help us with our forecasts:
RSI, Another great indicator to identify Oversold and Overbought conditions:
Parabolic SAR, to determine the break-even point or entry or exit points:
Now, this final post is where most of the great analyzers on TradingView have come together to share their educational ideas. Take a look:
How did you spend 2021? Was it a profitable year for you? Did you learn anything new? Any big losses? Please share it with us.
ADAUSDT Break + Retest 50Ma SHORT PHi everyone
Daily"
Going short ADAUSDT
RSI still has a long way to get down to over sold area, had confirmation from red DOJI and second long Red candle. + Price fail to cross up 50 MA
ALWAYS look for extra confirmation on any trade, Anything like a bullish/ bearish candle such as the one we can see here "Red Doji'
Possible drop to $1 If bears stay strong, then look for rebound up to retest $1.50 Area " I would personally hold on any long positions until we ether confirm a new strong new trend or buy at $1.5 area"
Happy trading people
(No financial advice)
DISCLAIMER
The trading ideas, analysis, and comments above should not be considered financial advice or recommendation to trade or invest in any financial product. Your personal situation has not been taken into consideration in the trade ideas. This page is for general educational purposes only. Do not buy or sell any product discusses on this page before doing your own research. Always do your own analysis and research and be aware of the risks involved in trading any financial product :)
PATTERNS "BAT" and "CAT".Strange as it may seem, but not only bulls and bears can be found on the market, but also a couple of cats and even a bat!
But don't be afraid, these animals have come to help you get rich in the new year.
Let's go!
The Bat pattern.
The bat is a 5-point pattern that can indicate a bullish or bearish breakout.
What does it look like?
The pattern consists of five points:
X is the beginning, from this point the price makes a significant movement;
A - here the price unfolds, forming the first vertex;
B is a pullback, which can be from 38% to 50% of the X – A movement.
C is the price movement, which can range from 38% to 88% of the A – B movement. It is worth noting that C should not go above the point A.
D is the price reversal, after movement C. The shortest movement of all other points. At this point we are looking for an entry into the transaction, you can use the Fibonacci lines. The movement from point D can be 88% of the movement of X-A, and can go above point A.
Risks
The stop loss can be set below the D point, but not below the X point.
The CAT JUMP pattern.
This pattern is characterized by a strong downward movement and, with proper trading, can bring huge profits.
How to find it?
The pattern appears in situations of strong movement, usually caused by bad news.
The following pattern will be observed on the graph:
1. A sharp drop in price, sometimes with a gap;
2. Rollback to the bottom line of the gap;
3. After which there is a long and strong fall.
How to trade?
To begin with, you need to find a strong drop with a gap, as correctly accompanied by a strong volume.
After that, we are waiting for a pullback to the bottom line of the gap and a reversal – this is where you can enter into a deal.
Risks
The stop loss is placed above the lower gap line.
It is worth noting that from time to time the price may go above the lower gap line.
In rare cases, the price reaches the upper level of the gap, and then falls.
It is important to note that the fall lasts from one month or more, which is why this pattern is used by long-term traders.
Important
It is worth recalling that there are alternative patterns: an INVERTED CAT JUMP and a BEARISH BAT PATTERN.
Both models work the same way, only in the opposite direction.
These figures are very profitable, with proper trading.
For example, a fall after a gap and a rollback can be 50% or even 70%, in the CAT JUMP pattern.
Whatever pattern you trade, I wish you good luck and a lot of profit in the new year!
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩
THE SECRET METHOD OF ENTERING THE MARKETHello everyone, today I want to share with you one way to enter the market that will help you earn good money.
Pulse breakdown level.
The price moves by impulses and it is important for every trader to track them.
Impulse breakdown levels are considered to be the moments when the price breaks through the resistance.
This broken level now becomes a support, to which the price returns again and bounces. It is at this moment that the ideal entry point will be.
Stop Loss
We must always remember that the price may not go according to the scenario we need, and in order to reduce losses, it is worth setting a stop loss approximately above the previous maximum.
The strongest level.
When an uptrend changes to a downtrend (or vice versa), the strongest impulse level is formed.
It is after the price reversal that the strongest level will be formed, which will most often keep the price from rising and force it to move down.
Trading from this level increases the opportunity to earn.
This level can also serve as a profit-taking point. Since the level is very strong, when you return to it, you will know that the level is likely to stand, close positions and open from the level down.
Result
This trading method will significantly increase the number of your profitable trades.
From time to time, the price will move from level to level in the same direction all day, giving many entry points.
Good luck!
HOW TO TRADE A BREAKDOWNHello everyone. Today we will discuss a very important topic - trading after the breakdown of the level.
As it turned out, not everyone knows how to trade correctly in such market situations, so let's start learning.
Trend
Trend is our friend! Everyone knows this expression, but do not forget that the trend will end sooner or later and the price will go in a different direction.
Such situations can potentially be very profitable for a trader.
Breakouts happen not only during a trend, but also in accumulation zones.
Identification
To find an opportunity to trade a level breakdown, you need at least two conditions:
1. There must be a trend or an accumulation zone.
2. You need to wait for the breakdown of the level.
How to trade?
There are a couple of principles of proper breakdown trading.
First, we find a trend movement (or accumulation zone), draw a support/resistance line and wait for the moment when the price breaks through this line.
However, one breakthrough is not enough.
There are many situations in the market when the price makes a false breakout, so you need to wait for confirmation.
After the breakdown of the level, the price should close below the level - this means that the balance of forces has changed in the market, the trend has dried up and now the bears are pushing the market.
And only after that we have to wait for the most important condition - repeated testing of the level.
Very often, beginners are in a hurry, without waiting for the level to be retested, which leads to large losses.
After the breakdown, the price should return to the level again – this is the bulls again trying to rule the market, trying to bring the price back over the level.
But the forces are no longer enough and the price, after repeated testing, turns around and follows a bearish scenario.
It is after the reversal that it is worth opening a position, since it signals the weakness of the bulls, the market is no longer able to move up.
It is worth noting that the price may not always return to the level of the broken level.
From time to time, you will observe how a small incoming movement is made in the direction of the level, but there is not enough strength, after which the price reverses without retest.
Conclusion
This topic is very important, this pattern is very profitable, but without patience and proper entry, you can incur losses.
Do not forget to put a stop loss, which is best set above the level.
All these rules also work for breaking the bearish trend, only in the opposite direction.
Trade wisely, good luck to everyone!
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩
PRINCIPLES OF TRADING FIGURES CUP WITH HANDLEOne of the most popular figures of technical analysis among day traders is a cup with a handle.
This figure is so popular due to its fairly clear and specific rules, in addition, the figure gives an excellent risk/profit ratio.
How to identify the model?
The formation of the model is divided into 4 stages:
1. The price has been rising for some time;
2. After the correction begins to about half of the previous growth – this is how the bottom of the cup is formed;
3. Then the price starts to rise to the previous maximum and turns down, failing to break through the resistance – this is the handle;
4. Then the price goes to break the maximum again, after which it goes even higher, approximately to the height of the cup depth.
How long does the model take to form?
A cup with a handle is formed from a few weeks to six months – that is why it is suitable for a long-term trader. It is very important to form a handle, which should be completed within a month, otherwise it may mean that the upward movement is weak and there may not be a breakdown.
Characteristics of the cup and handle
A round cup indicates consolidation, whereas a V-shaped cup indicates a too sharp reversal, which is not good.
The depth of the cup should be equal to one-third to one-half of the previous upward growth.
The handle should not fall more than one-third of the cup gain. In addition, a short and weak drop in the handle signals that a breakout may be very bullish.
How to trade?
Entrance
The best entry point is the handle. At the moment, the price is falling and forming a downtrend, the trader should enter the transaction when the price breaks through this downtrend.
Profit goals
To determine the goal, you need to measure the distance from the bottom of the cup to the beginning of the handle – this distance is above the breakdown of the maximum and will be our goal.
In addition to the main method of determining the goal, you can use Fibonacci lines – the 100 percent line is considered a conservative goal, and the 162 percent is considered an aggressive one.
Stop Loss
No matter how well the figure is formed, do not forget about the risks and the fact that the price can turn against you at any moment.
Set the stop loss is set below the minimum of the handle, then you will protect yourself from large losses.
Conclusions
This figure is not in vain so popular, it is very profitable and has clear rules, which makes it easier to work. Be patient, because the figure is formed for several weeks, or even months. Do not go too early, without waiting for the formation of the cup and handle. Premature entry promises losses.
Who knows how to wait - gets everything!
Good luck!
BEST REVERSAL PATTERNSDuring the existence of the market, a large number of technical analysis figures have been found. They all work with varying degrees of accuracy.
Such a large number of patterns can confuse anyone, especially a beginner.
Today we will look at just two models that are quite common and, with proper trading, can bring you big profits.
Both models are united by one idea – breakouts.
Beginning.
First, the price goes down, creating new lows below the previous ones and new highs below the previous ones.
At some point, the sellers' strength ends and the market turns around almost immediately, or it stops before accelerating upwards.
For profitable trading, a trader must learn to catch this moment when the strength of the trend is extinguished and the price is preparing for a reversal.
Confirmation.
Stopping the previous trend is not a reason to enter a trade, you need to wait for confirmation.
Confirmation will be a new maximum, higher than the previous one, after which the price will try to start moving down again, making a pullback down, but there will not be enough forces for further fall and the price goes up.
The entry point will be the moment when the price returns to the breakout line, bounces off it and goes up.
Stop loss.
Very often, such formations will give you a lot of movement and big profits.
But do not forget about the stop loss, which can be set below the breakout line (risky, since there may be an earlier close) or below the previous minimum.
You can find a lot of trading opportunities on the market every day, but beginners are advised to study a couple of patterns and learn how to trade them correctly.
Take your time and luck will definitely find you!
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩
Cloudflare teaching moment. Meteoric rise = catastrophic dump.Hi everyone,
Today I would like to share a piece of knowledge on parabolic growth and poor market structures.
Let us take a look at NYSE:NET Cloudflare stock.
This was an attractive buy back in 2020. As always, nobody saw that until everyone started screaming about this stock on Twitter.
I saw an opportunity in investing into Cloudflare later in 2021 for a long-term.
I did not know what's coming.
At the beginning of October, after a decent sell-off something strange began happening.
Stock rose TWELVE days in a row. And not just stayed barely positive, it gained insane 68% in price during this short period.
Right there I knew this was not sustainable and price won't last up there for long.
Yes, I sold at 175 .
Yes, I missed a run up to 220 .
But, really, did I?
Noone can predict the top. But you can predict the inevitable downfall.
The Lesson.
Look at the chart.
You see the price in the first box going parabolicly up. The price took off to the moon and was hovering up in the air. Thus, poor structure has been created.
There is no single support level from 137 to 182 .
The Market hates poor weak structures and it tends to repair them sooner or later.
That is exactly what happened with Cloudflare stock.
Price has been flushed from 204 down to 123 as fast as it flew up there back in October. You can see that in the second box.
The structure has been repaired. A lot of data points were created in the process, which will help with the analysis in the future.
This might be a rebirth of Cloudflare stock constituting healthy future movement.
Trade wisely and good luck!
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Disclaimer!!!
This is not financial advise
BIG SHORT STRUCTUREToday we will consider a frequently occurring formation that can bring you big profits.
Beginning
It all starts after breaking through the resistance line of the lateral movement.
Lateral movement is nothing but the accumulation of force for subsequent takeoff.
Upward movement
After the breakdown, the price goes up, creating new highs, correcting from time to time.
All this continues until the last peak is formed – the head.
Head
The head is characterized by a large price rise in the beginning, after which there is a sharp drop.
The fall is characterized by large volumes that grow until the breakdown of the left shoulder line.
Right shoulder.
After that, the formation of the right shoulder begins.
In this situation, the price may break through the line of the 50-day moving average several times.
The ray point of entry.
After several breakthroughs of the moving average, the price will make a dash down.
The ideal entry point will be the last breakout of the moving average.
It is very difficult to determine and enter the position at the ideal point, so you can try to enter after breaking the neck line or a little higher.
Conclusion
Such situations are common in all markets, giving a huge opportunity to make a profit if everything is done correctly. Sometimes the price can fall even below the sideways movement that started it all. Don't forget about the risks, good luck!
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METHODS FOR SETTING STOP LOSS. PART 2.We continue to study!
Moving Average method
When choosing this type of stop loss setting, the moving average indicator is used.
The moving averages indicator has long been known in the forex market and many traders use it in their trading, since trading on this indicator is simple and reliable enough.
The strategy of setting a stop loss on the moving average indicator is very simple:
We need to wait for the price to rebound from the long-term average and put a stop below the indicator line, or above it, if we are talking about a rebound down (short).
Fibonacci Levels
In addition to the moving average indicator, Fibonacci levels can help you with setting a stop loss.
These two methods are somewhat similar and both are quite easy to use.
All you have to do is first measure the market phase and wait for the rebound from the Fibonacci levels.
After rebounding and opening a position in the appropriate direction, set a stop loss below or above the 78.6 level.
The simplicity of these methods lies in clear rules, it is difficult to get confused in them, so these methods are effective.
Trailing Stop
A trailing stop is a stop loss that follows the price by a certain percentage, points, or dollar amount when the price moves in your direction.
Thanks to the trailing stop, the risk will decrease, protecting your profit and preventing a profitable position from turning into a negative one.
Usually a trailing stop is set when the price has already moved in the direction we need and in order not to lose profit, we set a trailing stop. But be careful, do not place your stop too close to the price, do not forget about corrections, give the price room to accelerate.
High/Low Method
This method is most often used by swing traders.
The essence of the method is that the stop is placed behind the minimum/maximum of a pre-selected day. In addition, the stop can move if the price shows a new high/low the next day.
This method is considered not the best, but it exists, and you should know about it. Be careful when using.
Conclusion
There are many ways to set stop losses, but which one to choose?
As is often the case in trading, you should choose the method that suits you, your character and your strategy.
Do not forget that excessive stop-loss setting can lead to premature closing of a position. Frequent repetition of this error can lead to the loss of all capital.
Stop loss should not be set at any point you like on the chart, it should be set according to the method and logic of price movement.
Do not forget about volatility, which can knock you out of position, and then turn around in the direction you need.
In addition, it is not necessary to set the stop loss clearly at the support/resistance level. The price often passes these levels and returns back. Don't forget about it.
Setting a stop loss in each position is an important rule. This should become your habit. You should know before opening where you will put your stop loss. Do not forget about the rules, follow them and then you will succeed.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩