Tesla Motors (TSLA)
Tesla Stock Surges 38% in November. What’s the Outlook for 2025?EV maker has turned into an exclusive beneficiary of Donald Trump’s second four-year stay at the White House. All thanks to Elon Musk’s financial and social efforts to propel Trump ahead of Kamala Harris on November 5. But what if Trump now gives him the cold shoulder?
Here’s a challenge — think of Donald Trump’s right-hand man. Who popped to mind? Was it his pick for Vice President JD Vance? Nuh uh, right? It’s Elon Musk. The unelected tech billionaire, Tesla CEO, X owner has been glued to the President, showing up on photos wearing MAGA hats and promising to restart America’s politics. Let that sink in?
With about seven weeks to go before Donald Trump’s inauguration on January 20, Musk is already enjoying the windfalls of his support for the President-elect. At the end of the day, he dished out as much as $130 million to help Trump secure the win.
Quick maths: since November 5, Election Day, Musk’s net worth has puffed up by $72 billion. The rate of return on that $130 mil? A stratospheric 5,500%, or X55 in the span of a mere three weeks’ time. True, it’s all tied up in shares of Tesla TSLA — Musk owns roughly 13% of the electric-car manufacturer. But, more importantly, many investors and analysts believe this is just the start of what’s shaping up to be the golden era of EVs and the futuristic self-driving technology.
Despite not being in office yet, Trump has kicked off the work for loosening the federal standards for regulating self-driving vehicles. And expectations couldn’t be higher — Tesla’s mission to roll out cybercabs and robovans might materialize sooner rather than later. AI-trained self-driving cars might be roaming the streets as soon as late 2025.
Overly enthusiastic bargain hunters have sensed it already and have been bidding higher and higher for Tesla’s shares. Tesla, the formidable leader in the EV space , closed out November with a whopping 38% increase , or $300 billion poured in. That’s also when Tesla crossed $1 trillion in market value (a top 10 large-cap company ) based on 3.21 billion shares outstanding (but still remains under the record high set in 2021). It was the best month for the stock since January 2023 and the tenth best month in the company’s history. For the record, shares jumped 81% in May 2023, the best month ever.
An additional push for bumping up those Tesla numbers might come from the outside, too. Unwillingly, though. Donald Trump has threatened to slap tariffs on imported goods and services to the tune of at least 25% or more (especially 👐 China 👐). Lots of cars and car parts are manufactured in China, Mexico and Canada, three of the countries that are top picks for Trump’s tariffs.
What’s more, Elon Musk’s bold foray into politics has birthed a new agency, one specifically tailored to his preference. The Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) promises to keep Musk and Trump talking on the daily. They’ve joined forces to potentially weed out the big spenders in the government, lean it out and give it a better flow.
Investors don’t seem to be doubting Elon Musk’s sincerity and all that powerful collaboration between him and Trump for 2025 and onward has translated into many early billions of dollars soaked up by Tesla (and Musk himself).
But on the flip side, Trump isn’t the type of person to share the limelight for too long. And so far Musk has been shoulder to shoulder with Trump at Mar-a-Lago, on planes, in cars and on the golf courts. And on Thanksgiving — sharing the same table. “He likes this place. I can’t get him out of here. He just likes this place,” Trump said at the America First Policy Institute Gala at Mar-a-Lago. Let’s just say it’d be a shame if Jim Cramer were to speak positively about that union.
With that said, do you think Musk made a bet for the ages by endorsing Trump? Or you’re more inclined to take a contrarian view — perhaps one where the Musk-Trump bromance falls out? Share your 2025 forecast in the comments and let’s spin up the discussion !
TSLA can be going to $420 right from here !Tesla's stock is projected to rise significantly soon, supported by insights from EW 2.0. This advanced analytical method combines elements of Elliott Wave theory with modern data modeling, providing a robust framework for predicting market movements. The recent patterns in Tesla’s trading volumes and price formations align closely with historical indicators of upward trends identified by EW 2.0, suggesting a bullish outlook. I'm anticipating potential gains as the market responds to Tesla's ongoing innovations and strategic developments.
regards:
I'm back
Tesla (TSLA) Elliott Wave Analysis: Uptrend OpportunitiesHigher Time Frame (HTF) Perspective (Weekly Chart)
Tesla has been in a strong uptrend since April 22, 2024, when it bounced from a major demand zone after being in a downtrend science Nov 2021.
with a clear Elliot wave 1,2,and 3 formations,
the impulsive Wave 3 on the HTF appears complete, with an expected retracement to Wave 4 levels in the $326–$293 zone, which aligns with a major demand area. This zone could serve as an excellent entry point for the next impulsive Wave 5 upward.
Lower Time Frame (LTF) Perspective (4H Chart)
Within the broader Wave 3, we see a potential wave extension forming as the 4H Wave 5, targeting the $470 level (1.618 Fibonacci extension of the Wave 3 move).
A strong resistance area is forming near the $365 swing high, which must be cleared for further upside confirmation.
Strategy Breakdown
1. Scenario: Bullish Continuation
Buy Stop Entry: Place a buy stop order above the last swing high at ~$365 to confirm breakout momentum.
Stop Loss: Below the swing low at ~$320, protecting against false breakouts.
Take Profit Target: Aim for $470, the projected extension of the lower timeframe Wave 5.
This setup ensures capturing the next leg higher while avoiding premature entries.
2. Scenario: Bearish Pullback
If the price fails to break above $365 and pulls back, monitor the broader HTF Wave 4 retracement.
Key demand zones are at $326–$293, supported by:
Fibonacci retracement levels (50%–61.8% of the Wave 3 move).
Historical accumulation zones.
Action: Wait for consolidation or bullish reversal patterns in this zone before entering long positions for the anticipated HTF Wave 5 targeting higher highs.
Risk-Reward Analysis
Upside Potential: From a confirmed breakout at $365, the potential gain to $470 offers a reward of approximately 105/share, which is a 29% upside.
Downside Risk: With a stop loss at $320, the risk per share is about 45/share, yielding a Risk-Reward Ratio of ~1:2.3.
Adjust position sizing to maintain your account's risk tolerance (e.g., 1%-2% per trade).
Analysis Summary
Tesla's technical setup provides two viable trade scenarios:
Riding the LTF Wave 5 to $470 if the $365 resistance breaks.
Waiting for the HTF Wave 4 pullback to the $326–$293 demand zone for a safer long entry.
"Be patient, monitor volume and momentum, and let price action confirm your entries."
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trade responsibly and consider consulting a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
$TSLA Monthly retrace on the way. I like to think of ,myself as a pattern chart trader... This monthly screams rejection imo, especially with the .78 Fib looming 💬 ... I took a weekly lotto today for $330 strike at contract lows.... Let's see what happens.. will enter a January Put for sure after this ..
Frankly !!NASDAQ:TSLA is in the ascending phase by the cup and handle.
Tesla is in a large C&H if it follows these pattern, the price will have a nice rally.
⭐The pattern increases the price by the amount of the measured price movement (AB=CD).
Tesla shares in Frankfurt rose by 12% on Thursday, reaching a two-week high, as strong sales forecasts pleased investors. Elon Musk, the company's CEO, predicted on Wednesday that car sales would grow by 20 to 30% next year, reassuring investors that Tesla is improving its core electric vehicle business and alleviating concerns about the production timeline of a taxi robot . However, last night Tesla shares again failed to meet expectations and reported lower earnings. The only slight improvement was in dividend distribution. But due to Elon Musk's repeated promises of improved production, similar to previous periods, its stock will open with a surge today. Each time, he has given the same assurance but failed to deliver on it !!
previous Analysis
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#TheStrat Weekly/Monthly Setups For DecemberSPY - Closed previous D/W/M close to HOD after making new ATH, so the D/W/M all finished bright green. No evidence of sellers anywhere since every TF above the 60 is currently green. 60 closed slight green, but this can easily be justified as eod corrective activity since all 60 min candles before the last one of the day were green, and every TF above the 60 is green. Going into the new week and month, we can expect buying to continue until we see a lower low on the D, but the real sign of buyers vanishing / sellers gaining control for me will be a Lower Low on the weekly.
Main Monthly Setups To Watch:
Bullish :
DKNG - 1-2-2 Q revstrat in force, 1-3 M, 2-1 W
PM - Hammer 3-1 M
BA - Counter Hammer Failed 2D M
MRK - Hammer M at Downside Exhaustion Level
Bearish:
MU - Shooter 1-3 M, Failed 2U W
ZIM - Rev Strat M at Upside Exhaustion
Main Weekly Setups To Watch:
Bullish:
RTX - 3-1-1 W
PLTR - MoMo Hammer W, Inside D
GOOG - RevStrat Hammer D, Inside W
Bearish:
GAP - 3-1 at Exhaustion
COIN - 2-1 W, Failed 2U D
PINS - Shooter RevStrat Week, Shooter Inside D
RDDT - Inside W (11 Consecutive Weekly HLs)
SQ - Red Inside D/W at Q Exhaustion
$TSLA holy shizzNASDAQ:TSLA is gearing up for a crazy run man...
Narratives:
-CEO Elon Musk is on top of the world (and peoples mind) right now.
-He has a very close relationship with the US Government.
-#1 most widely used and productized Artificial Intelligence services. Owns the best AI model for self driving cars. Has the best and most experienced programmers/developers of Artificial Intelligence that has been shipped to customers. Experience dealing with regulations regarding AI and the integration into real world.
-New innovative products like Optimus robot.
technical analysis:
-CHECK THE CHART yourself. its going up at least 70% in the next 60 days... OR NOT I HAVE NO IDEA ;)
BTC loosing momentum DEC1 2024 read notes The goal here is not to hit $100,000 . Don't get diverted from the goal. My goal is to book profit right at the target of $100,000 & exit. It can do $101,000 & you will be very happy as your accounts will be green but trust me highest probability is that it will touch $100,000 and get down as it is loosing momentum for sure.
Keep your Stops tight.
TESLA - LONG TESLA is in downtrend since july 2023.
Currently the price has given the breakout from falling wedge with bullish div and now seems like the bulls are getting ready for some strong upside movement.
If the market continue to trend higher , the next optimum target could be 215-217
followed by 238-241.
AAPL: 2025 Strategic Outlook: 75%+ BUY/HOLD🔸Time to update the AAPL outlook, this is 2D price chart, we are
currently entering overpriced zone and limited upside in AAPL
going forward.
🔸AAPL price action is contained within rising bullish price channel
established since 2021. Havin said that we've entered premium / overprice
zone and I'm expecting limited upside going forward over the next few
month. Risk/reward is favoring a pullback/correction before a healthy
uptrend can resume in 2025.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: expecting pullback/correction to start
in Q1 2025, 20/25% pullback is normal and therefore we may hit
170/180 USD in the correction stage of the bull market in AAPL. Bulls
should wait for better prices / reload zone near 170/180. TP BULLS
is 260/280 USD. this is obviously a setup for patient traders, do not
expect overnight gains in this market. good luck!
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Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
100% upside The Best Level to BUY/HOLD TSLA🔸Hello traders, today let's review 4hour chart for TSLA. Strong push
after the Trump elections victory recently, however expecting limited
upside immediately going forward TSLA facing strong overhead
resistance at 360/415 this will cap upside short-term.
🔸Almost 100% gains off the lows with this recent bullish rally,
so expecting pullback/correction on profit taking intro key S/R zone
at 360/415 usd. Having said that chart pattern looks strong and I expect
more future gains in TSLA after the pullback.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: wait for TSLA to pullback after we hit
overhead resistance at/near 360/415 usd, best reload zone bulls is
265/275 usd this is also an area with liquidity gap so will get re-tested
before the bull run resumes. Final TP bulls +100% gains 500/550 USD.
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
US Equity Secular Bull Cycle, $SPX 24' Price Target, 2025 BeyondUS EQUITY
S&P 500 INDEX
BOHAN
The S&P 500 Index SP:SPX monthly chart: Over the past 30 years, the US stock market has weathered the personal computer cycle, the dot-com bubble, the social media cycle, and the subprime mortgage crisis. The most recent epic crash was the 2020 pandemic. Since then, the US stock market has continued its secular bull cycle, fueled by quantitative easing (QE) that began in 2008. We saw a bull market from 2020-2021 driven by QE, a bear market in 2022 due to interest rate hikes, and now, in 2023-2024, we are entering the Web 3.0 and AI era. So, where is the next epic crash? And will there be another bull cycle after that?
1.) No one can accurately predict the market. The first step to improving your COGNITION is to grasp the rules of the human system. The essence of society is that the rich exploit the poor, and the essence of the stock market is that institutions exploit retail investors. Only market makers, institutions, and family offices know what's going on because they set the game, and we're just playing it. As retail investors, the best we can do is improve our cognition, conduct in-depth research on the US stock market, and arrive at high-probability answers.
2.) Understanding dollar dominance is key to understanding society. The US established a new world order, shifting societal control from religion to currency. Wars are fought to defend the dollar's status. After the gold standard was abolished, the US dollar became the world's reserve currency, effectively ruling the world.
The long bull and short bear cycles in the US stock market rarely stem from fundamentals like earnings per share (EPS). They are mostly driven by the Federal Reserve's unlimited quantitative easing (QE) Cycles - printing money, issuing bonds, having debtor nations foot the bill, and injecting liquidity into the stock market.
Therefore, the US equity market is essentially a liquidity platform. Unless there's a World War III, US assets are the only ones suitable for long-term investment due to currency dominance. Invest long-term, dollar-cost average, and if there's an epic crash, keep buying the dip.
3.) S&P 500 (SPX) target price for the end of 2024: 6200+
Macros: The Fed's broad money supply (M2) is still growing, and QE continues.
Fundamentals: Strong corporate earnings growth, fueled by the AI era.
Technical: A 4-year weekly uptrend channel since 2020, plus institutional positioning JPMorgan's JPM Collar Positions: STO SPX 6055 C DEC 21 @$50.00 + x 39600) indicates significant buying pressure.
4.) Expecting a pullback in 2025, but the secular bull market will persist.
Macros: Short-term cyclical factors like tariffs might have an impact, but the long-term trend remains intact due to continued QE.
Fundamentals: Big tech valuations might become more reasonable, especially Nvidia. However, long-term EPS for Nvidia could reach $4.00, and overall corporate earnings growth remains strong.
Technical: The 4-year weekly uptrend channel might encounter resistance, and the JPM Collar positions could see a shift from buying to selling. However, significant open interest in SPX options with high gamma at 6300, 6500, and 7000 suggests institutional bullishness for mid-2025.
Even with a 15% to 20% correction, we should continue to buy the dip, as the secular bull cycle is expected to persist.
5.) The secular bull cycle is projected to last from 2008 to 2030. An epic crash might occur at the end of this cycle, followed by another major bull market. The potential cause of the crash would be the end of QE and a resulting liquidity crisis. This is speculation, of course, but the principle of dollar dominance suggests that as long as US hegemony remains, any crash presents a buying opportunity.
*The above analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.*