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Tesla Motors (TSLA)

Opening: TSLA Feb 16th 180/190/230/240 Iron Condor... for a 3.55 credit. Comments: Earnings announcement volatility contraction play. I ordinarily put these on right before earnings, but will probably space it out, so am putting it on today. Earnings will be announced on Wednesday, 1/24, after market close. Here, selling the 25 delta short option strikes and buying longs 10 strikes out from the shorts, resulting in 10 wide wings on which I've collected more than 1/3rd the width of the wings in credit, as well as a net delta setup that's about as delta neutral as you can get. I'm using the next available monthly here so that I've got a little time to manage the setup in the event that that the move is bigger than the options market is anticipating here (around +/- 19 handles, which would be around 225 on the call side, 190 on the put, given current price). The basic notion here is that (a) TSLA IV contracts post-earnings; and (b) it stays within the expected move. The Metrics: 3.55 credit on buying power effect of 6.45; 55.04% ROC at max; 27.52% at 50% max; delta/theta 1.00/8.02; 186.45/233.55 break evens. Since this is a defined risk setup, the BPE is the same regardless of whether you set it up in cash secured account like an IRA or on margin.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by NaughtyPines
1/25 Massive Tesla Red Day Recap and 1/26 Prediction From DataAfter today's price action, it is clear that investors are at disarray and uncertain for the future of Tesla. Here I will detail my analysis of today 1/25, and my predictions for tomorrow 1/26. In the graph, I plotted three possibilities pre-market 1/25 (from previous Idea, "Looking at Possible Dead Cat Bounce Levels"): Purple line-arrow (Most optimistic): A bounce of it's low and decay to $188-$190. Yellow line: Bounce off 0.618 fib line and decay to $185-$186. Red line (least optimistic): Minimal bounce, straight to $180. It looks like we went worst case scenario, hitting my $180 target faster than I expected. This confirms investor sentiment; at least until we get some good news from Tesla and guidance. For tomorrow's price action, I also have three possibilities in mind, so I will look at previous price movements in similar scenarios, as well as use what we know after today to get an some possibilities. During the last two (Q2, Q3) quarterly earnings, Tesla stock continued dropping for the two subsequent days. Q2: An additional 2.75% down from previous close. Q3: An additional 4.3% down from previous close. Today's event seems different, where the 12%-15% dip that Q2 and Q3 earnings experienced over multiple days seem to have happened in one day. I'll list the possibilities by what I believe is least probable to most probable: Blue line: bounce of $180 support and rise to $186-$188 range. I call this less probable because an increase on the day after a dip after earnings is odd (compared to Q2 and Q3 earnings.) Not impossible though, in the case that today's dip was an over exaggeration and a bulk of investors remain optimistic. (Buyers sitting on the sidelines?) Yellow line: Bounce between channel $180 - 183.50. I think this is a bit more possible because investors may be sitting in indecision, hoping to wait it out until more news is revealed (low volume perhaps?) Pink line: Dip below $180 to next fib line $176, and possibly lower. I personally think this is more likely, because it will be line with Q2 and Q3 instances (a dip of 4% from today.) Investors may begin thinking about opportunity cost in holding a stock with no guidance, expectations not met. Investors are in Tesla not because it is a value stock, but because it's a growth stock, and if there is no exciting growth, they may start looking to sell off for competitors that are showing the 100%+ quarterly growth in EV sales. I may revisit a long term analysis of the stock in the future, but for now, those are all my thoughts for tomorrow.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by valentine_j_
4
TESLA & SMCI: the tail of Semis vs EV stocks.Tesla has had a beautiful bounce off support. This bounce comes on the back of a strong market, charging higher. If Tesla can hold above $195 it may move for the gap fill. Caution to the wind with Tesla as it has triggered a very bearish breakdown. SMCI is one of the best performing Semis. Its gone completely parabolic on its earnings. after gapping up 30% on its pre guide, its now up another 10% in the afterhours. The semis seem to have an unlimited amount of capital flowing into them. Look for an intra day short opportunity (day trade) on SMCI
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Trading-Capital
TSLA forming a reversed H&S or a triangleTesla is still into a complex correction but among all the possibilities coming forward, the 2 that stand apart right now: The 1st one is the potential reversed Head & Shoulders (where the current level around $190 would be a great entry point) with a target in the $500 area or the large triangle with a target in the $565 area. The 2nd one is the large triangle with the base starting since 2020, giving a support in the $150 area and a target of around $565. In both cases, a break above the line linking the highs (the top of the triangle) would validate that the bullish phase has started. It is the same idea as the one published last October.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by waverity
TSLA: Last CHANCE to REACT! - D&W chartsTSLA shares are trying to react today, and this is something that could signal a recovery, which is understandable, given how much the price has fallen in recent weeks and how oversold the stock is at the moment. Since the last top in December, the stock has plummeted almost 30%, breaking all its medium-term supports, materializing a downtrend. I say the price is oversold because the RSI is at an extremely low level, and the last time we saw an RSI below 20, in December 2022, the stock actually recovered after confirming a bottom in the price. TSLA’s RSI analysis and comparison to December 2022: However, the trend is still downwards, and although there is the possibility of a recovery, it won't be easy to reverse the trend. Remember that pullbacks are different from reversals. For the price to reverse the downtrend, we would need to see HH/Hls again, as well as a break of the 21 EMA, which is clearly pointing downwards. What's more, TSLA's price is on the verge of triggering a Death Cross when the 50MA crosses the 200MA downwards, one of the most famous bear market signals. A continuation of the downtrend can be avoided if there is a strong and clear reaction as soon as possible, and now would be a good time, as the price has approached a support region on the weekly chart: We are close to the support line of a bearish channel. Last week's candle could be a possible Exhaustion Bar, but the price needs to react and reject the last bearish candle by breaking through its high at $217.80. Only then will we see a good reaction that could halt the long-term downtrend, or even reverse it. For now, until such a scenario materializes, any recovery could be just another Dead Cat Bounce. Remember that I’ll keep you updated on this, so consider supporting this idea if you liked it, and follow me for more analyses like this. All the best, Nathan.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
5
LONGING $TSLAI am opening up a long position on NASDAQ:TSLA for the following reasons. We are in a huge bounce area. On the 4 hour timeframe: There's a clear trendline forming which we are retesting Retesting a 4 hour order block Retesting lower band of Bollinger Bands (Nadaraya smoothed) Aside from technicals, we have earnings coming up which is our catalyst. This is a very risky trade and I'm only risking 0.25%. Take Profit 1: 225.81 Take Profit 2: 243.67 Take Profit 3: 256.65 Stop Loss: 202.07
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by fluxchart
20
Cathie Wood's Ark Invest Accumulates more Tesla Stock Cathie Wood's Ark Invest has once again made headlines with strategic moves in the financial markets. This week, the asset management firm not only increased its position in Bitcoin ETFs but also continued its buying spree for Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) shares, defying recent market fluctuations. Let's delve into the details of these notable transactions and explore the potential implications for investors. Ark Invest's Bitcoin ETF Accumulation: One of the standout moves by Ark Invest is its substantial investment in the Ark 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB). Recent reports reveal that Ark Invest added 127,435 ARKB units to its portfolio, bringing the total purchase this week to an impressive $51 million. This follows last week's acquisition of 1.04 million ARKB units worth $43 million, resulting in a cumulative investment of nearly $95 million. With ARKB boasting a market value of $529.18 million in Bitcoin as of January 26, Ark Invest's conviction in the cryptocurrency market remains steadfast. The decision to increase ARKB holdings comes as Ark Invest systematically reduces its exposure to the ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO). The move indicates a strategic shift in Ark Invest's approach, possibly driven by changing dynamics in the evolving landscape of cryptocurrency investments. Market Response to Bitcoin ETFs: Notably, the prices of both BITO and ARKB ETFs experienced a boost following the release of PCE data showing a 2.9% inflation rate. ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITO) closed 5.62% higher at $20.30, while Ark 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) closed 5.39% higher at $42.02. This market response underscores the potential influence of macroeconomic factors on cryptocurrency-related assets. Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) Stock on Ark Invest's Radar: In addition to the bullish stance on cryptocurrencies, Ark Invest continues to show strong confidence in Elon Musk's Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ). Following a $32 million investment in Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) stocks on Thursday, Ark funds doubled down with an additional $33 million worth of shares. Despite a 13.67% drop in Tesla's ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) stock price this week, Ark Invest's commitment to the electric vehicle giant suggests a long-term vision that transcends short-term market fluctuations. Conclusion: Cathie Wood's Ark Invest remains a trailblazer in the investment landscape, strategically navigating the complexities of both the cryptocurrency and traditional stock markets. The firm's emphasis on Bitcoin ETFs and unwavering confidence in Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) reflects a forward-looking investment strategy. As markets continue to evolve, investors will be keenly watching Ark Invest's moves for insights into emerging trends and potential opportunities in the ever-changing financial landscape.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by DEXWireNews
TSLA: blood on the streets!It's been the worst week ever for TSLA. Elon drama cannot leave this stock alone. But the shenanigans aside, this is looking like a great opportunity to get in. We should expect another dip down next week to complete the C wave sequence; or it might be over already. If we see another dip, then it needs to hold $174-$165 area. I have already taken position and hoping to buy some more on the next dip with stop loss below $165. The reason for my purchase is the extreme oversold conditions in RSI. 4 hour timeframe is showing some bullish divergences building. Another dip lower in price with strengthening RSI will confirm it and we should expect a healthy bounce towards $200 for a nice chunk of profit. A break below $165 may bring another opportunity to get in at $153 area, but chances will increase of falling lower. Long term, I am still bullish on the stock and my long term targets are still up in the sky. But in the short term, for the next 1 to 3 months, if we see $152.49 breach, then things may get ugly and my macro targets will come down quite a bit.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by mukit1
Support zone: 208.41-222.64Hello traders! If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly. Please also click “Boost”. Have a good day. ------------------------------------- (TSLA chart) (1M charts) The key is whether it can receive support and rise in the 208.41-222.64 range. (1W chart) If it falls below 208.41, it is expected to fall to around 164.31-180.63. If it rises above 222.64 and receives support, it is expected to rise to around 274.28. (1D chart) The key is whether the HA-Low (210.91) indicator can receive support and rise in the box range (205.69-220.80). If it falls below the HA-Low indicator, it is expected to continue a short-term cascading decline. To break out of this short-term downtrend, it must rise above 235.45. Have a good time. thank you -------------------------------------------------- ------------------------------------------- ** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment. ** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA. How to display (in order from darkest to darkest) More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA ** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own. ** This chart was created using my know-how. ---------------------------------
NASDAQ:TSLA
by readCrypto
1
Fisker $FSR : Buying zone for a speculator?Technical Analysis: Buying Zone for a Speculator! No reversal volume yet, and no previous higher levels have been regained... All my technical analysis is still telling me to wait... however, my slightly 'irrational' emotions are urging me to take a position here and now, haha. Planning to invest 30% of the desired capital in $FSR... another 40% once we enter the 0.93 zone... If the price explodes upward, at least I'll already be in position. If the price falls further, I can DCA (Dollar-Cost Average) on the initial 30% already invested here. I don't like the look of the current chart at all; however, the EV speculative bubble will return, much like the current semiconductor bubble. By 2030, most cars will be clean energy vehicles. By 2035, the first EVs using only recycled cobalt will roll out of Northvolt's factories in Sweden. In short, all of this to say, EVs are the future. Buying today in NASDAQ:TSLA NYSE:FSR NASDAQ:LCID NASDAQ:RIVN NASDAQ:PSNY is like buying NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:MSFT in 1999. I'm not joking. Don't listen to the skeptics and have confidence.
FLong
by Maximus20000
2
Action: Short-term long position in $TSLAPosition Size: 50% Entry Price: Current market price - 184 (as of Friday, January 26, 2024) Stop Loss: Closing basis stop at 177 Target Price: 215-220 Notes: This trade is suitable for short-term traders with a high tolerance for risk. The closing basis stop loss is designed to exit the trade if the price falls below 177 on a closing basis, which could indicate a reversal in the stock's momentum. The target price range of 215-220 represents a potential gain of 21.43% to 24.46% from the entry price. It is important to do your own research before making any trading decisions.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by astroduniarp
$TSLA COMPLETE ELLIOT WAVE ANALYSIS According to the Elliott Wave theory, NASDAQ:TSLA has been following a corrective wave pattern (ABC) since its inception, reaching its peak during the 2021 bull run. Currently, NASDAQ:TSLA has completed both wave 1 and wave 2, entering the critical and highly impulsive wave 3 towards the downside of the Elliott Wave sequence. The fundamental outlook for NASDAQ:TSLA appears weakened due to intense competition in the market. In the long term, NASDAQ:TSLA is displaying a heavy bearish trend. While specific targets for the remaining waves are uncertain at this time, one thing is clear – NASDAQ:TSLA is not expected to surpass wave 2, which is positioned at $299.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by thekidtrader11
$TSLA update (after Earnings report)Yesterday we saw a gap down on report, so I'd like to update NASDAQ:TSLA idea. The stock was pretty weak yesterday and as a result the price didn't hold the 200 zone as I mentioned here: . But overall, we still have the Weekly Inv. H&S. The left shoulder level is 180. Another support level here is the lower boundary of the descending channel. Yesterday, stock touched exactly this level. I believe the stock is in a very good place to buy. Through which trigger do it - it's a personal choice.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by ivanistrading
Here is How to Go Long TSLA Given Cybertruck Event Tonightthe long-awaited Tesla Cybertruck event is happening tonight, and investors are eager to see how the unveiling will impact TSLA stock. If you're thinking about going long on TSLA, here are a few things to keep in mind: Consider the Potential Impact of the Event The Cybertruck event is a major catalyst for TSLA, and it has the potential to send the stock price soaring. However, it's important to remember that the event could also go the other way, and TSLA could experience a sell-off if the event is underwhelming. Weigh the Risks and Rewards Going long on TSLA is a risky proposition, but it also has the potential to be very rewarding. If you're comfortable with the risks, then going long could be a great way to capitalize on the potential upside of the Cybertruck event. Choose Your Strategy There are a few different ways to go long on TSLA. You could buy shares of the stock outright, or you could use a more nuanced strategy, such as buying call options. Manage Your Risk It's important to manage your risk when going long on TSLA. This means setting a stop-loss order to limit your losses in case the stock price falls. The Bottom Line Going long on TSLA is a risky proposition, but it also has the potential to be very rewarding. If you're comfortable with the risks, and you've done your research, then going long could be a great way to capitalize on the potential upside of the Cybertruck event. Let me know if you are going long the CT event tonight in the comment section.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by SabahEquityResearch
12
TESLA - IF THE SHOW MUST GO ON, IT IS NOW! (TARGET $315)The markets are starting strong this year except for one late bloomer: TESLA! But I thinks it is time for Musk's prodigy to go fourth to new heights. Here's my perspective on things: What is on the chart? 1) An attractive liquidity level that will be our swing target of $315 (oh no spoiler alert). 2) We have not only a bullish gap but also a bullish weekly FVG that accompanied the break of structure (high taken out that shifted the market structure from bearish to bullish). 3) Huge accumulation structure which clearly to me is bullish but who knows maybe a Cybertruck will drive into a playground (jk). 4) This is the biggest driver (vroom vroom) of this analysis. A huge weekly wick in a weekly bullish GAP. What else do you want? 5) Our last chance to enter. If we're bullish, this is where you want to enter. Price is giving you a gift. Take it. 6) This would mark the continuation of the bullish price action. A higher high is often under looked and can provide enough info for a strong reliable bias. 7) This is our primary target. Nothing else to say here. As always, happy trading and enjoy your weekend!! ;)
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Lexi_Is_Trading
13
Looking at Possible Dead Cat Bounce Levels After TSLA EarningsDepending on investor sentiment, I am expecting 3 possibilities, listed from most positive to least positive investor sentiment: In Purple (most positive): Bounce to $196-$198 fib levels, decaying to $188-192 range. In Yellow: Bounce to $192-$194 fib levels, decaying to $184-186 range. In red (worst): Little to no bounce, very pessimistic view on stock, decaying straight to $180-182. If we hit red, or maybe even yellow, we are looking at a rough 2024 (See my triple top and dip Idea.)
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by valentine_j_