Tesla Report May Strengthen Bullish SentimentTesla Report May Strengthen Bullish Sentiment
President Joe Biden withdrew his bid for a second term in the White House on Sunday. It's reasonable to assume that the stock market responded optimistically to this news, as US stocks closed higher on Monday, with the S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) rising by 1.08% to 5,564.41 – its best day since 5th June. CNN Money's Fear and Greed Index showed an improvement in overall market sentiment, moving into the "Greed" zone.
TSLA stocks showed even more positive momentum, gaining 5.15% yesterday.
Recall that on 2nd July we noted that the TSLA price:
→ Was still within a descending channel (shown in red);
→ But was showing strong momentum, having crossed the median of the red channel and forming an ascending channel (shown in blue).
Since then, the TSLA price has:
→ Surpassed the upper boundary of the descending channel, breaking out of the downward trend it had been in since late 2021;
→ Continued to form a bullish channel, reaching its upper boundary last week.
Can TSLA Maintain Its Recent Highs?
Bearish arguments:
→ The upper boundary of the blue channel acts as resistance;
→ The December 2023 peak around $265 could serve as resistance;
→ Long upper shadows (indicated by arrows) suggest bearish activity around this level.
Bullish argument:
→ The strong rise when breaking through the red channel. On 2-3 July, the price formed two bullish gaps, creating a wide range of $213-233. This range could serve as significant support in the future.
However, the decisive factor could be Tesla's Q2 corporate report (expected to be published today after the close of the main session).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Tesla Motors (TSLA)
TESLA: Growth & Bullish Forecast
Remember that we can not, and should not impose our will on the market but rather listen to its whims and make profit by following it. And thus shall be done today on the TESLA pair which is likely to be pushed up by the bulls so we will buy!
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
TSLA: Triangle or flat?A temporary top is most likely in for TSLA. However, it is not going to be a 90% crash in my opinion. Love or hate Elon Musk, his antiques often hurt the share price and this time is no different. So far, the price action has been beautifully filling out a triangle pattern. And if the last leg of the correction is due, then price should not break below the $146 low. Ideally, price should find support on the upward trend line somewhere around $160 in the next 4-5 months to complete the triangle pattern and give us the wave five toward 1.618 fib level of the cycle degree wave 1 to complete cycle degree wave 3. The target could be whatever Cathey or other bulls have been telling us for years. For now, we need to watch the support levels. Below $160 we need to watch $146. If that breaks, then $100 comes in the picture. If that breaks, then $64 will be the last stand. If that breaks, then $26. But, right now, let's see how the correction plays out. If it a triangle, the E leg should be shortest in length and time. If it a flat, then C wave should be strongest and sharpest and might give the impression that the levels I mentioned above might come in play but won't happen.
LCID CHART INTO EARNINGS TRENDS AND TARGETSIF it's bullish, here are your upper price targets.
Sharp trends leading down into a STRONG area of support.
All of which is timing out into earnings.
I would say, if the stock is in the buy zone pre earnings, it's probably a pretty solid buy where a chance of a successful trade suddenly shifts heavily in your favor.
I tried to label everything best I could on the chart.
Be careful, as I think whatever bullish move is coming, will retrace.
Sell trend is likely your exit.
Risk increases as price targets increase.
Good luck!!
LCID Anchored VWAP based swing trade LONGLCID on the 15 minute chart is shown with two sets of anchored VWAP lines overlaid being set
at the pivot low of April 22 and the pivot high of May 6th. LCID completed a trend down today
which began on May 6th. Price has reversed and is breaking up through VWAP band lines on the
chart. The faster green RSI line has crossed over the 50 level in the past trading session. Price
is now about to cross over the longer mean black VWAP line. I am taking a long trade here
targeting 2.88 for 25% of the position, 3.10 for 50% of the position and the reminder for a
runner position to extend for the uppermost band lines. The first two targets are based on the
intermediate VWAP lines as well as the upper and lower boundaries of a standard Fibonacci
retracement. The stop loss will be raised incrementally from its initial setting of
2.74 at the top on the EMA cloud. As the trend down took a few weeks. I am expecting a 2-3
week long trade following a projected trend up.
TESLA PULLBACK Then Moon Mission!After a rejection from the weekly and daily levels, a pull back to $235 (Daily Level) or $202 (Demand Zone) is likely before higher prices.
Calculate Your Risk/Reward so you don't lose more than 1% of your account per trade.
Every day the charts provide new information. You have to adjust or get REKT.
Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and share your thoughts below!
This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
TSLA Ready to Rise
Tesla broke the 2 year downtrend and got support on this trend. It has a chance to double its price in 2-3 years. 240-260 is a very ideal range to enter.
Tesla's recent safety reports and the potential for a possible government deal after the elections (especially after recent events) paint a bright picture, at least in the medium term.
$TSLA not done going higher. $320-$330 by July 24. GET LONGSo we already know that Tesla deliveries came in 9000 more than what was expected, 438,000 expected verse 447,000 that Elon Musk posted on Twitter a couple weeks ago. Last quarter earnings per share of $.47 was slightly missed, and on July 23 they’re expected $.60 per share earnings. So IMO, That could indicate that even a slight earnings beat on revenue and earnings, would propel the stock to complete wave three at 2.618 Fibonacci level.
never mind, the whole Robo-taxi delay, which caused an 8% decline on Thursday along with the rest of the Big tech Nasdaq. I don’t think robotaxi is realistically a factor in their valuation just yet.
TESLA Massive pump to $360 coming based on historical behaviour.Tesla (TSLA) is recovering today after a sharp pull-back yesterday of around -14%. This marks the stock's first serious correction since the rally started in late June. Ahead of an emerging Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame, we looked at Tesla's similar historical patterns since the IPO that offer remarkable insight.
First and foremost, Tesla's recent pattern has been an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S), which as we've noted on a previous analysis, was its bottom reversal formation that made the price break above the 3-year Lower Highs Resistance trend-line.
Similar IH&S patterns were formed in 2019/20, 2016/17 and 2012/13. So we can claim that there might be a roughly 4-year Cyclical Behavioural Pattern behind Tesla's growth. The word 'growth' is key here as after every such pattern and more importantly a correction of around -15% after breaking above the IH&S, the stock price rallied parabolically into new expansion levels.
As you can see on the 2019/20 pattern the correction was around -10%, on the 2016/17 around -15% and on the 2012/13 around -15% as well. Yesterday's -14% correction along with today's sharp recovery to the 0.5 Fib (losses cut by 50%), seems to fulfil this growth pattern.
As far as a Target is concerned, on all previous cases, the price reached (and even surpasses significantly) at least the 1.5 Fibonacci extension measuring from the pattern's bottom (Head of the IH&S). In 2019/20 it took the price around 1.5 month to approach the 1.5 Fib while in 2012/13 it took roughly 2 months.
As a result, our new medium-term Target on Tesla is $360.00 (marginally below the 1.5 Fib).
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Tesla about to capsize (40x option play inside!)It's going down. As a respected chartist said, :"Anytime NASDAQ:TSLA became this overbought (RSI), stocks imploded."
I think if you bought the $150 August puts for $50, you could get 40x return on your money, I see stocks flash-crashing this month into next.
TESLA Buy the dip, correction nearly over. $285 next short-term.Tesla (TSLA) is bleeding hard today but that shouldn't if you got on that rally early like our June 13 (see chart below) buy signal suggested while the price was still trading in the low 180s:
Our long-term Target remains $400.00 and today's sharp correction is nothing but a strong technical buy opportunity. In fact, this pull-back is not stranger to Tesla. The stock has seen a similar rejection near the 2.0 Fibonacci extension during its May - July 2023 rally on the June 21 2023 High.
As you can see, the price declined by -13.00% back to the 1.382 Fibonacci level. At the time of the (temporary High), the 1D RSI was at 89.00, roughly where it got rejected today. The price recovered when the RSI was at 57.00.
As a result, from a R/R perspective, it is worth taking another buy on the current market price and target the 2.236 Fib extension (similar to the JUly 19 2023 High) at $285.00.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Tesla : Approaching Key Resistance Level After Strong RallyBy analyzing #Tesla 's stock chart, we observe that after hitting the first bearish target last time, the price rose again. However, this time, the price did not drop from that level as we expected. Instead, it managed to rise powerfully to $260! Currently, Tesla is near a significant resistance level, and we need to wait for the initial reaction to this level. This analysis will be updated!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
TSLA | TESLA is OvervaluedTesla, Inc.'s second quarter earnings confirm our view that the stock is one of the most overvalued stocks in the market.
Tesla's stock has been rising this year amid a sudden shift in overall market sentiment, with many investors now pricing in a soft-landing scenario after a brutal past year of Federal Reserve rate hikes. But the shift in market sentiment doesn't change the fact that Tesla's stock fundamentals are completely disconnected from reality. Tesla is a terribly overvalued stock that we think is worth closer to $26 per share instead of its current price of about $290 per share.
While Tesla is profitable, its profits are nowhere near the levels needed to justify its current valuation. We recognize that Tesla's business generates an impressive return on invested capital (ROIC), which is a key measure of profitability, especially for an automaker. However, that ROIC is already declining in the trailing-twelve-month (TTM) period.
Using our reverse discounted cash flow (DCF) model, we find that for the stock to have any upside at current levels, Tesla must improve its ROIC to levels not achieved by even the most profitable businesses in the world . Figure 1 shows Tesla's historical ROIC along with the future ROIC implied by its current stock price. We provide the assumptions behind this DCF scenario later in this report.
Tesla's latest earnings continue to show that it is not immune to competitive challenges and will likely see lower profitability in the future. But, its valuation implies the opposite. Any investor with fiduciary duties should be aware of the growing disconnect between Tesla's current fundamentals and the future fundamentals implied by its stock price. Even in an optimistic future cash flow scenario, shares could trade as low as $26/share. All the details are below.
Supply Constrained Argument Is Gone: Bulls have long argued that demand for Tesla vehicles has always exceeded the supply of vehicles. However, Tesla's multiple price cuts in 2023, along with its lackluster production levels through the first half of 2023, raise questions about just how much demand there is for Tesla vehicles, especially amid competition from rivals Ford (F), General Motors (GM) and virtually every other automaker. Q2 2023 marks Tesla's fifth consecutive quarter in which vehicles produced were greater than vehicles delivered. Tesla is no longer selling every vehicle it can make. Should demand for EVs slow, Tesla could find itself with higher than wanted inventory levels, which could lead to further price cuts and additional pressure on already falling margins.
Continued Cash Burn: Despite Tesla's top line growth, it continues to burn massive amounts of cash. Over the past five years, Tesla has burned a cumulative $4.2 billion in free cash flow (FCF), including $3.6 billion over the trailing-twelve months (TTM) alone. Tesla has generated negative FCF in all but one year (2019) of its existence as a public company.
Margin Decline: Tesla's "GAAP gross margin" was 18.2% in 2Q23, down from 19.3% in 1Q23 and 25.0% in 2Q22. 2Q23's GAAP gross margin was below expectations of 18.7% and remains at its lowest level since 4Q20.
Tesla's operating margin is also moving the wrong direction as it scales up. After selling 211 thousand more vehicles in 2Q23 compared to 2Q22, Tesla's reported operating margin fell 493 basis points YoY in 2Q23. Tesla noted in its press release that reduced average selling prices were one of the items that impacted margins in the quarter. We would expect Tesla's margins to fall further as competition limits pricing power across the industry.
While Tesla has rapidly ramped up vehicle production and deliveries, its market share must increase almost exponentially to justify the expectations baked into its stock price. However, as it stands, Tesla holds a meager share of the global auto industry, and its share of the EV market ranks behind incumbents across Europe and China.
In Europe, based on sales from May 2023, Tesla holds a 12% share of the EV market, much lower than VW Group (20%) and Stellantis (STLA) at (14%).In China, also based on sales from May 2023, Tesla holds 9% of the EV market compared to a staggering 38% share for top competitor BYD.
Bulls have long argued that Tesla isn't just an automaker, but rather a technology company with multiple verticals such as insurance, solar power, housing, and, yes, robots. We've long refuted these bull dreams. Regardless of the promises of developing multiple business lines, Tesla's business remains concentrated in its auto segment. Auto revenue accounted for 86% of Tesla's TTM revenue as of 2Q23.Tesla can no longer enjoy its first mover advantage as many other major automakers are producing electric vehicles. These competitors have more experience in auto production and more resources and cash flow than Tesla to invest in the electric vehicle market.
Tesla is at risk of losing market share to its competitors in the electric vehicle space and its stock price is currently not reflecting that, which is a major risk for investors.
Since bottoming out at the beginning of the year, the stock has come up almost 200%, stopping just shy of $300.
One could say the recent selloff is due to the earnings, but technical analysis would have suggested that a selloff was due even before the earnings.
Firstly, we can see that a significant bearish divergence has been building in the RSI since June. Furthermore, we have been nearing an important area of trade as highlighted by the red rectangle. The $300 level has been a key area of trade, and you’d expect to see some resistance.
So if a pullback has begun where can we expect it to end?
As I see it, we have formed an initial ABC structure from the lows in wave 1 of a five-wave impulse. This means that wave ii could now take us down to the 61.8% retracement of this rally, which lands us at $198.
We can see that this is also a very important area of support, as shown by the Visible Range Volume Profile. And, of course, we have the 200 day Moving Average offering support around this level, too.
tsla → is it the end of correction?!hello guys...
I published before this analysis:
I believe the target of the short position was 127$!
but now the price made a three-drive pattern and showed us a manipulated area! I think if the price comes higher than 185$ it will mean the correction is done!
let's see what happens!
___________________________
✓✓✓ Always do your research.
❒❒❒ If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below, and I will answer them.
❤︎ ❤︎ ❤︎And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comment
Tesla gains approval for government vehicle procurement in ChinaTesla Inc. has received approval for its Model Y vehicles manufactured in Shanghai to be included in the new vehicle procurement batches for official use by government and public organisations in Jiangsu Province, China. This marked a significant development for Tesla, indicating strong support from the Chinese government. It comes after assurances that Tesla's data collection practices meet local requirements following a data centre establishment and plans to release Full Self-Driving software in the PRC this year.
The recent engagements between Tesla CEO Elon Musk and Chinese Premier Li Qiang also seem to have contributed to bolstering the company's position amid the ongoing US-China technology tensions. This new allowance for government agencies to purchase Tesla cars could boost Tesla's sales and presence in the Chinese market.
Technical analysis of Tesla Inc (NASDAQ: TSLA)
Analysing the potential trading opportunities based on Tesla's stock performance:
Timeframe : Daily (D1)
Current trend : the stock is currently in an uptrend, demonstrating strong growth potential
Resistance level : the last known resistance at 198.85 USD has been surpassed, and no new resistance has been established
Support level : 179.65 USD
Potential downtrend target : if a downtrend initiates, the downside target could be set at 160.00 USD
Short-term target : if the uptrend continues, the next short-term target could be around 310.00 USD upon rebounding from the resistance level
Medium-term target : with sustained positive momentum, the stock price might rise to approximately 345.00 USD
Investors should closely monitor Tesla's performance, especially after these new developments in China, as they could significantly impact the company's stock valuation and market strategy.
—
Ideas and other content presented on this page should not be considered as guidance for trading or an investment advice. RoboMarkets bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading opinions described in these analytical reviews.
The material presented and the information contained herein is for information purposes only and in no way should be considered as the provision of investment advice for the purposes of Investment Firms Law L. 87(I)/2017 of the Republic of Cyprus or any other form of personal advice or recommendation, which relates to certain types of transactions with certain types of financial instruments.
Will Tesla Double in Price This Year, Obliterate Bill GatesIt's gone a week or so, since Elon Musk gave Bill Gates advance warning last Tuesday not to truffle with him again. The Microsoft cofounder faces annihilation if he makes any further attempt to bet against Tesla.
That’s because Musk believes he will have transformed the carmaker into an AI colossus worth a staggering $30 trillion as soon as Tesla completes its pivot from selling EVs first and foremost to operating a lucrative fleet of robo-taxis and humanoid robots.
“Once Tesla fully solves autonomy and has Optimus in volume production, anyone still holding a short position will be obliterated,” he posted to social media on Tuesday. “Even Gates.”
Indeed Tesla stocks recently jumped, erased all the 2024Y losses, to print new 6Mo highs. 52-weeks SMA has been passed through also, while Daily RSI(14) skyrocketed to 85+ area.
Tesla is Dressed To The Nines.
This English idiom meaning “The highest degree of perfection.” Literally, the idiom means “Dressed like a brand new man.”
Btw, in financial circles, this is how they speak about assets after a Super Combo rally of continuous growth in shares or indices , after nine consecutive growing bars in a row (daily, weekly, monthly time frames).
That’s exactly how many (nine) daily growth bars in a row were recorded on the eve of July 8, 2024 in Tesla shares.
In nowadays even Tesla printed not 9-day but even 10-day winning streak, with the stock soaring 44% over the period. Prior to the rebound, shares were down 27% year-to-date, but they're now back in positive territory for the year, up nearly 6%.
And it marked the second biggest combo rally in Tesla shares after May-June 2023, when the stock rose continuously for 13 (!) trading sessions in a row.
It is worth to note that last time, after reaching “The Super Combo” in Tesla shares, Up/Down price deviations over the next 12 months were approximately equal, approximately 30-35 percent in each direction.
Who knows, how many extra days will last this series right now, and where this soap opera ends.
It's clear Mr. Elon wants to zap investors stress fast.
Unbelievable Gold Trade Setup! Must-Watch Analysis & Secret RiskTechnical Analysis of Gold Spot (XAU/USD)
Chart Overview:
- Current Price: $2,364.525
- Time Frame: 1 hour
- Key Levels:
- Resistance Levels:
- TP 3: $2,391.040
- TP 2: $2,386.595
- TP 1: $2,379.694
- Support Levels:
- LQZ: $2,371.857
- LQZ: $2,356.635
- TP 1: $2,347.655
- TP 2: $2,339.090
Candlestick Patterns:
- Recent Uptrend: The chart shows a significant uptrend starting from July 2nd to July 4th.
- Price Consolidation: Following the uptrend, there was a period of consolidation with prices forming a triangle pattern.
- Downtrend and Recovery: A sharp downtrend occurred, followed by a recovery attempt which is now in another consolidation phase.
Key Observations:
1. Resistance at TP 1 ($2,379.694): The price faced resistance around the $2,379.694 level and has not been able to break through.
2. Support at LQZ ($2,356.635): This level has provided significant support and could be a potential entry point if the price tests this level again.
3. Current Position: The price is currently trading around $2,364.525, which is below the key resistance levels and above the support levels, indicating a range-bound movement.
Lecture on Using Proper Risk Management
Risk management is crucial for successful trading. Here are key principles to ensure proper risk management:
1. Determine Risk Tolerance: Understand your risk tolerance and set a percentage of your capital that you are willing to risk on each trade. Commonly, traders risk 1-2% of their capital per trade.
2. Set Stop Losses: Always use stop losses to limit potential losses. For the current XAU/USD scenario, a stop loss could be placed slightly below the LQZ support level at $2,356.635.
3. Position Sizing: Calculate your position size based on your risk tolerance and stop loss level. For instance, if you have $10,000 and are willing to risk 2% ($200), and your stop loss is $10 away from the entry price, your position size would be 20 units.
4. Risk-Reward Ratio: Aim for a favorable risk-reward ratio. A common target is a 1:3 ratio, meaning you aim to make three times the amount you risk.
5. Diversification: Avoid putting all your capital into a single trade or asset. Spread your investments across different assets to mitigate risk.
Conclusion
For an in-depth analysis, make sure to watch the rest of the stream where I cover:
- TSLA (Tesla)
- DXY (US Dollar Index)
- BTC (Bitcoin)
- US30 (Dow Jones Industrial Average)
#XAU/USD #GOLD #TSLA #MARKETLESSON
Tesla TSLA Soars on Strong Q2 Deliveries
Tesla stock TSLA has surged remarkably by more than +10% near a six-month high Tuesday to close at $231.26, after reporting better-than-expected second-quarter delivery numbers.
Technically speaking, TSLA shows clear bulls' control, especially after confirming the breakout of the inverted H&S pattern and the downward medium-term trendline.
Targets: $256.00 - $276.00.
Tesla: BE CAREFUL We are currently at the 0.5 / golden ratio resistance levels, the recent spike was the market taking out late shorts. Notice that we are about to hit the last local high as well. I caution anyone to buy here as we may be running out of fuel. Looking at the ichimoku the general trend is also bearish at the moment. I would suggest anyone bullish to wait until this level is flipped, let price break through this resistance and ideally retest this level as support. Don't get sucked into the hype, the market is still generally bearish and inflation is still high. The market may have some relief but wait for confirmation
Tesla (TSLA): Expecting a Pullback Before the Next RiseIn our livestream a few days ago, we talked about the impressive rise in Tesla's stock. Since our last analysis on June 13th, the stock has jumped 38% in just 19 days. This was somewhat expected because there was a lot of negative sentiment towards Tesla, which often leads to a significant rise. Congratulations to everyone who believed in Tesla with us. Our position is currently profitable, and the stock looks very strong.
Current Situation:
The current situation shows that Tesla has risen 40 % in less than 25 days, even though there was a lot of negative sentiment. The stock is very strong right now, but a pullback is likely. We think the stock could go up to $256, finishing the sub-wave 3. After hitting this level, we expect a Wave 4 correction, which will give us a chance to make more entries.
Strategy:
We plan to enter between $217 and $200. We will set the stop-loss at about $198 to protect against a failed Wave 4 scenario. Our strategy involves expecting the Wave 4 correction to close follow-up gaps and retest important levels. Even though the performance is strong, we should be careful as this could still be a temporary rise before another drop (a dead cat bounce).
In conclusion, Tesla has shown impressive strength, but we expect a pullback before it goes up further. We are targeting the $256 level for the completion of Wave 3 and plan to enter more between $217 and $200, with a stop-loss at $198. We remain cautiously optimistic and will keep a close eye on the situation.