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Tesla Motors (TSLA)
TSLA cybertruckin' it to $243-$258 price range - 4-5 Elliot WaveNASDAQ:TSLA drawing a 4th to 5th Elliot Wave potentially all the way to the $243-$258 price range
Moving averages consolidating around that area too. I track the 20, 50, 100, and 200, but mostly the 50 and 200 for confirmation, and trendlines, but mostly the Elliot Wave when I see it straight out of Ralph Nelson Elliots playbook..
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NASDAQ:TSLA
Why TSLA Could Be Set to Rise: Key News and a Great Entry SetupTesla (TSLA) is in the spotlight right now, and several factors suggest a potential bullish trend in the stock next week:
Strong Delivery Numbers: Tesla recently reported its Q2 2024 delivery figures, which exceeded many analysts' expectations. While the numbers were lower than last year's, they still indicate solid performance in a competitive EV market, with other automakers also experiencing growth.
Upcoming Earnings Report: Tesla is scheduled to announce its Q2 2024 earnings on Tuesday. Analysts are forecasting revenue slightly above last year’s figures, with net income expected around $1.72 billion. Investors will be particularly interested in updates about Tesla's robotaxi plans, which have been postponed to October. This anticipation could drive excitement and boost the stock price.
Market Recovery: Recently, TSLA experienced a drop of about 12.4% due to a global market sell-off. However, the stock has started to recover, and this volatility may present a buying opportunity, especially if the market stabilizes.
High Probability Setup: According to technical analysis, there is a high probability setup that has already formed, indicating a favorable entry point for bullish trades. This technical signal, combined with the positive news and upcoming events, enhances the likelihood of a price increase.
With these factors in play, including strong delivery numbers, an important earnings report, and a favorable technical setup, TSLA could see a bullish trend in the coming week. As always, be sure to conduct your own analysis and manage your risks before entering any trades.
6M:
3M:
1M:
2W:
1W:
3D:
2H: Entry
TESLA broke above the 2-month Resistance and is aiming for $300Last month (August 15, see chart below) we gave a pull-back buy signal on Tesla (TSLA) and the price action swiftly responded with a August 28 Low and then rebound:
The rebound was on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and today we see a strong bullish break-out above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). This alone is enough to confirm the start of the next phase of the Bullish Leg, since the long-term pattern is a Channel Up, as closing above 228.00 will constitute a Higher High.
Technically the structure is similar to the previous mid-Bullish Leg consolidation (April 30 - June 24), even the 1D MACD sequences between the two fractals are similar. In that sense we can't rule out some more ranged trading for September but on the long-term our Target remains unchanged.
We expect the $300 level to break before November.
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Tesla Four Hour surprising correction but how far will it go up?So Based on previous analysis the thesis is we would drop down however this did not occur.
With the new thesis we are seeing possible 5 scenarios take shape plus one which is Tesla takes off like a rocket and makes higher highs: however unless confirmed on the Weekly I dont see that being likely as of yet.
Currently the 235-238 area is what I am more leaning towards: however that being said the market can drop at one of those five levels shown in the image. So please be beware of it.
Any thoughts or questions? What do you like and dont like? Always open to feedback
MB Trader
Tesla Daily: Correcting up but how high will it go? So based on our previous analysis Tesla didn't break down which then allowed us to change our thesis that we are still correcting.
Based on what we see 235-238 range is what I see however it breaks that we can go to 252 which is not out of the question either
Currently I have given 4 analysis on the chart on where we see this market moving to.
Using technical analysis with fibs the probability for me hitting 235 and going down is high however we dont control the market our job is to follow it.
What are your thoughts on this analysis ? Like it ? Hate it? What more lower time frames or something else let me know
MB Trader
Tesla Weekly Correction up then down? Based on the analysis I see the trend for Tesla correcting to one of 3 levels then going back down with my original thesis.
However if the market breaks above the weekly high this would disprove my original thesis and then the trend of this market has changed from Bearish to Bullish.
What are your thoughts? Comments leave them below
MB Trader
TSLA daily chart shows clean channels for trading this week.NASDAQ:TSLA has clean channels on the daily chart, both to the upside and downside, for trading this week. TSLA closed just below the daily 10 SMA, which is the next key supply it must reclaim before going higher and potentially testing the daily 325 SMA and daily 50 SMA just above that. If it can reclaim the daily 50 SMA, along with NASDAQ:QQQ building a strong base above its own daily 50 SMA, then TSLA will be in a strong position to push higher to the daily upper Bollinger Band, while continuing higher on the C to D leg of the Gartley harmonic discussed previously.
Alternatively, if QQQ continues to reject the daily 10 SMA and loses the daily 50 SMA demand, TSLA may lose its daily 200 SMA. This would invalidate the Gartley harmonic and TSLA would trade down to the next daily demand, which is the rising daily 100 SMA. I continue to be positioned long into next week, because I believe the upside potential is stronger on this name; however, it is important to always be prepared for both bullish and bearish scenarios in order to execute with confidence during the trading day.
Tesla Set to Launch Six-Seat Model Y in China by 2025Tesla Inc. is gearing up to introduce a six-seat version of its Model Y vehicle in China starting in 2025, aiming to refresh the appeal of its top-selling but maturing electric car model. The company has initiated preparations with suppliers to ramp up Model Y production significantly at its Shanghai facility. While details on the expansion of the production plant remain concealed, pending approval for a 70-hectare expansion on former farmland, Tesla continues to show robust performance with a 6% year-on-year increase in Model 3 deliveries in the first half of the year.
This move to expand and innovate within the Chinese market is part of Tesla's broader strategy to maintain its competitive edge and adapt to evolving consumer preferences and technological advancements in the electric vehicle sector.
Technical analysis of Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA)
Examining Tesla's stock to offer insights into potential trading strategies:
Timeframe : Daily (D1)
Current Trend : the stock exhibits an upward trend, recently regaining momentum above the key support level
Short-term Target : if the uptrend persists, the immediate target is at 266.00 USD, contingent upon breaking through the resistance at 235.50 USD
Medium-term Target : a successful breach of the current resistance could propel the stock towards 300.00 USD
Key Support : the crucial support level to watch is at 181.45 USD
Reversal Scenario : if the stock breaks below this support, it could signal a potential downtrend, with a downside target of 140.00 USD
Market outlook
As Tesla prepares to produce the new Model Y variant in China, its stock could see increased investor interest, particularly if it continues demonstrating innovation and market expansion capability. The technical setup is currently bullish, suggesting that, if Tesla can maintain its trajectory and break
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Market 101:From the Drama King VIX to the Steady Eddie UtilitiesVolatility Index (VIX) - The Drama King
Let’s kick things off with the Volatility Index, aka the market’s drama king. It’s like that one friend who always makes a big deal out of nothing—spiking dramatically whenever the market so much as sneezes. Recently, it shot up faster than a caffeine-fueled trader on Monday morning, but now it’s calming down a bit, hovering around 20.73. Keep an eye on this guy—he’s always a sign of market anxiety like I said, the the fear gauge. If he starts climbing again, it might be time to batten down the hatches.
Utilities Sector (XLU) - The Steady Eddie
Moving on to the Utilities sector, which is the market’s equivalent of your reliable, always-on-time friend. XLU has been climbing steadily, but just like every other reliable person, it needs a break sometimes. It’s currently chilling around 76.20, looking like it’s taking a well-deserved breather. Nothing too exciting here, but that’s exactly what you want from Utilities—slow and steady wins the race.
ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) - The Wild Child
Now, let’s talk about ARKK—Cathie Wood’s wild child. This chart is like a rollercoaster at an amusement park: up, down, up, down, and sometimes you’re not sure if you should scream or cheer. After some wild moves, ARKK is sitting around 42.98, but don’t be surprised if it decides to take another loop-de-loop soon. Just remember to strap in and hold on tight.
Technology Sector (XLK) - The Overachiever
Next up, the Technology sector, which has been the market’s overachiever for quite some time. XLK had been climbing like it’s trying to win the market’s gold star, but recently it’s hit a bit of a speed bump, pulling back to 210.28. No worries though—this sector is like that student who’s always doing extra credit. It’ll likely bounce back in no time, probably while giving the rest of the market a lesson in resilience.
Consumer Discretionary Sector (XLY) - The Big Spender
Finally, we’ve got the Consumer Discretionary sector, which is the market’s big spender. XLY has been on a shopping spree, but it looks like it might be hitting the credit limit soon. The chart shows some clear support around 184.61, but if it breaks below this, we might see some belt-tightening ahead. Keep an eye on it—everyone loves a spender until the bill comes due.
Summary: From the dramatic spikes of the VIX to the steady climb of Utilities, each of these charts has its own personality. Whether you’re dealing with the rollercoaster that is ARKK or the disciplined overachiever in Technology, there’s always something to learn from the market’s diverse cast of characters. Stay sharp, keep your sense of humour and energy, and remember: in the markets, as in life, it’s all about balance.
Tesla’s China-Made EV Sales Rise Amid Strong CompetitionTesla Inc. ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) continues to make significant strides in China, the world’s largest electric vehicle (EV) market. According to the latest data from the China Passenger Car Association (CPCA), sales of Tesla’s China-made EVs rose 3% year-over-year in August. Deliveries of the Model 3 and Model Y surged by 17% from July, driven by Tesla’s aggressive strategies to attract local buyers. As the company expands its influence, a closer look at both the fundamental and technical aspects of Tesla’s stock reveals an intriguing narrative for investors.
Rising Sales Amid Fierce Competition
Tesla’s growth in China is particularly impressive given the fierce competition it faces from domestic EV makers like BYD, Leapmotor, and Li Auto. BYD, Tesla’s biggest rival in China, reported a staggering 35.3% year-over-year increase in sales, reaching a record high of 370,854 units in August. Despite this, Tesla’s consistent performance indicates that it is holding its own, thanks to several strategic moves:
1. Extended Incentives and Financing Options: Tesla has been offering zero-interest loans of up to five years since April, catering to cautious buyers amid a sluggish economy. This strategy has proven effective, especially in smaller cities, where Tesla saw a 78% year-on-year increase in deliveries in tier-three cities and a 47% rise in second-tier cities like Hangzhou and Nanjing.
2. Government Endorsement: Tesla has gained significant government backing, with several local authorities recently approving Tesla models for official car purchases. This endorsement helps Tesla penetrate segments of the market previously closed off due to regulatory restrictions, boosting both its sales and brand credibility.
3. Expanding Product Line: Looking to keep its offerings fresh, Tesla plans to produce a new six-seat Model Y in China starting in late 2025. This move is seen as an effort to appeal to family-oriented buyers and differentiate Tesla from other competitors in the market.
Despite a global downsizing of its sales force, Tesla’s China operations have maintained strong sales momentum, thanks to these strategic adjustments. Analysts project that if the current trend continues, Tesla could hit a record quarterly sales volume in China for Q3 2024.
Navigating a Mixed Market Environment
Tesla’s stock has shown a mixed performance recently, with technical indicators presenting both opportunities and cautionary signals for traders:
1. Price Action and Chart Patterns: Tesla’s stock was up 3% in Friday’s extended trading session but dipped 0.18% in premarket trading on Tuesday. The chart shows a bullish engulfing pattern, a positive signal suggesting that buyers are stepping in at current levels. This pattern, coupled with a moderate Relative Strength Index (RSI) reading of 50.21, indicates a potential uptrend in the near term. If the RSI dips to 40, near the one-month low pivot of $183, a rebound could be expected.
2. Support and Resistance Levels: Tesla’s stock is poised to hold its current levels, with analysts maintaining a “Hold” rating on the stock. Key support lies around $183, while resistance levels hover near $200, indicating that Tesla could be gearing up for a potential breakout if buying pressure increases.
3. Investor Sentiment and Volume: Trading volume and investor influx are critical factors. A surge in these could further propel the stock upward. With the introduction of Tesla’s Full Self-Driving (FSD) feature in China expected by year-end, sentiment could turn increasingly positive, leading to higher trading volumes and bolstered prices.
Outlook: A Balanced Perspective
Tesla’s ongoing success in China and strategic initiatives point to a promising future, but investors should also be mindful of the broader market conditions. With high competition, economic pressures, and evolving consumer preferences, Tesla’s path forward in China will be closely watched. Technically, the stock shows signs of resilience, but maintaining its trajectory will depend on continued strong sales performance, positive regulatory developments, and the successful execution of new product rollouts.
For traders, Tesla offers a balanced risk-reward profile at current levels. The fundamentals provide a strong backdrop, while the technicals suggest that the stock is at a critical juncture. Whether you’re looking to hold for the long term or capitalize on short-term price movements, Tesla remains a key player in the evolving EV landscape. As always, keep an eye on macroeconomic trends and market signals to navigate this dynamic market.
Tesla Four Trend Analysis ? So right now we need more clarity and more data to determine will this market correct more up and will this level it is holding on hold and back down via where the red line is.
Personally my thesis is 3 scenarios:
Scenario 1:We hold on this pitchfork line and book it down.
Scenario 2: We correct up to the 50% Fib and more pitchfork resistance at the 218 level then head back down
Scenario 3: The market disregards all two scenarios and we punch up which then makes us revaluate our thesis's for the daily trend possibly Weekly and Monthly
Let's see what the market does tomorrow and then we update our thesis from there
What are your thoughts on this analysis ? Do you find it helpful?
MB Trader
Tesla Weekly Analysis ? Bearish quite possibly Weekly: Tesla:
My thesis is if we continue bearish and break the pitchfork resistance at the 200 area we will then go down to 176 range which could possibly see some type of correction before continuing to head to our first goal which is 142.93 which then we could see a correction before heading further south.
The key here is with the bearish thesis is to make sure we break the 205 area , then 190 then go to 180 range first before this thesis becomes more true and evident to our lower targets.
Let me know what you think ?
MB Trader
$TSLA: Awaiting Breakout - Is Tesla Ready to Surge?
Breakout Level: Awaiting breakout above $215.66
Resistance Levels:
First Resistance: $221.05
Second Resistance: $224.85
Third Resistance: $228.26
Watch Point: Tesla is nearing a key resistance level. A breakout above $215.66 could trigger a strong bullish move.
Stock Market | TSLA NVDA AAPL AMZN META GOOG MSFT AnalysisQQQ Forecast
Sp500 ETF analysis
Nvidia Stock NVDA Forecast Technical Analysis
Apple Stock AAPL Forecast Technical Analysis
Microsoft Stock MSFT Forecast Technical Analysis
Google Stock GOOGL Forecast Technical Analysis
Amazon Stock AMZN Forecast Technical Analysis
Meta Forecast Technical Analysis
Tesla Stock TSLA Forecast Technical Analysis
TESLA Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the TESLA next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 214.25
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 208.78
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NVDA TSLA QQQ AAPL AMZN META GOOG MSFT AnalysisQQQ Forecast
Sp500 ETF analysis
Nvidia Stock NVDA Forecast Technical Analysis
Apple Stock AAPL Forecast Technical Analysis
Microsoft Stock MSFT Forecast Technical Analysis
Google Stock GOOGL Forecast Technical Analysis
Amazon Stock AMZN Forecast Technical Analysis
Meta Forecast Technical Analysis
Tesla Stock TSLA Forecast Technical Analysis