ADAUSDT on the rise : What to expect in the next 72 HoursFollowing trump's victory and BTC rally , ADAUSDT has broken out upwards from a triangle pattern .It's predicted to grow another 22% over the next 3 days , and if it successfully surpasses the 0.5700 price level , it could see additional 17% increase .
Trump
Lunar 2024: The Volatile Dragon Favors the Loud Rooster!🐲 Welcoming 2024: The Volatile Dragon Favors the Loud Rooster 🍊📢
🌕🧧 Happy New Year Wishes: Celebrating the Year of the Wood Dragon with Our Asian Friends 🎋✨
As we usher in the New Year, I extend my heartiest greetings and warmest wishes to our Asian friends. 🎊 May this Year of the Wood Dragon bring you abundant health, happiness, and prosperity. Let the lucky number 8 pave your path with fortune, and red envelopes fill your days with joy and luck. 🐉🍀
FXPROFESSOR's Prescience vs. Biden's Election Mode Bravado (fail!) 🔮💼
Kicking off the new Dragon year was President Joe Biden with a tweet that sparked discussions—complete with laser eyes and a confident assertion. But let's set the record straight: it was the FXPROFESSOR's sharp analysis here on TradingView that predicted the climb of Bitcoin with uncanny accuracy. Remember the post from January 12, 2023? It wasn't just drawn up; it was prophesied. While Biden may be in full election mode, trying to score points with the crypto crowd, it's the charts that tell the true tale. Yes, SP500 at AtH, dolalr strong, economy strong and inflation better but we are all aware that situation is not really good (Ukraine, immigration, war in Middle East, etc etc)
As for Bitcoin: it should had been already much higher Mr President! We don't buy this, sorry!
📢Biden's tweet: twitter.com
🐉Professor's Prophecy in January 2023 with BTC at 18k breakout based on predicting the fundamentals that followed (rates, inflation, election mode, ETF approval): (click on play!🐉)
Rooster's Rally in the Dragon's Year: Trump's Potential Political Resurgence 📣🍊
2024’s lunar calendar bestows favor upon the Rooster, an emblem of outspokenness and assurance. In a twist of fate, this bodes well for the audacious Donald Trump. The year of the Dragon favors the Rooster, and Trump's resemblance to the Rooster—both in spirit and, as we'll see in a shared link, in imagery—is uncanny. Will the stars align for his political comeback? The markets watch with bated breath, pondering the impact of his potential return.
Trump is the Rooster (God help us all): globalnews.ca and www.bbc.com
Volatile Fire of the Dragon: Charting the Course 🐲📈
The Wood Dragon heralds a year of market ebbs and flows, demanding our keenest analytical prowess and foresight. In Forex, the British Pound against the Japanese Yen—aptly nicknamed 'the Dragon'—serves as a perfect metaphor for the expected volatility.
This year more than ever, we must clutch our charts tightly and trust in the insights that have guided us through tumultuous times.
Let's dive into this year with the knowledge that our astrological and economic journey will be as intertwined as ever. Here's to a year where our trading decisions are as informed as they are inspired, and where our discussions are as robust as the markets we navigate.
And don't be mistaken:
1. The Charts will show us the way just like they did in 2023 (click on play...)
2. Politicians are dirty people, 99% of the time. I support nobody, not Trump nor sleepy Joe Bye-Biden. I wish the US could have had a normal human being for a president like they did for so many decades and not this bipolar shit-show....sorry!
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
U.S. Elections: From Bullets to Green Candles🇺🇸 U.S. Elections: From Bullets to Green Candles 💡🌐
With Kamala Harris and Donald Trump both embracing pro-crypto stances, the upcoming elections are set to pivot towards crypto discussions.
Moving away from controversies like the assassination attempt on Trump, the focus now is on who can best integrate crypto into America's future. Trump's bold statement about potentially using Bitcoin to back the U.S. dollar has sparked significant interest and debate. Bullish
Election Impact on Crypto
Both candidates are increasingly engaging with the crypto sector. Kamala is considering attending the Bitcoin 2024 conference, while Trump is expected to deliver a historic message at the same event. This shift signifies a potential future where crypto plays a central role in America's economic strategy. With the Federal Reserve expected to cut interest rates, following the trend of other central banks globally, the financial landscape could be set for significant changes. Bullish again
Previous Predictions and Market Impact
In January 2023, I accurately predicted a strong Bitcoin entry point at $17,000, emphasizing inflation, interest rates, and solid fundamentals. This proved crucial for significant gains. 🌐
By February 2024, I predicted Trump's resilience amidst pressure, highlighting his favored status as "the loud rooster," and he indeed remained a prominent figure. My analysis of the geopolitical landscape was spot on, with Biden stepping down, leaving Harris to face the new favorite: The Rooster Trump. 🌐
Technical Analysis and Projections
The chart shows a new nice flag, indicating potential significant upward movement. Expect big green candles, possibly pushing Bitcoin to $100,000 or even $160,000, influenced by the election dynamics. These bullish patterns are supported by strong fundamentals and increasing institutional interest.
Political Influence on Market Sentiment
The political climate has always had a profound impact on market sentiment. Trump's potential plan to use Bitcoin to back the U.S. dollar could revolutionize the financial landscape, driving significant market momentum. This unprecedented move might not only stabilize Bitcoin's value but also cement its status as a legitimate reserve asset.
Future Outlook and Strategic Implications
Looking ahead, the integration of crypto policies by either candidate could define America's financial future. Harris might continue the current administration's regulatory path, while Trump’s approach could be more radical, potentially transforming the U.S. dollar into a Bitcoin-backed currency. Investors should stay informed and prepared for rapid market changes. The anticipated interest rate cuts in the U.S. add another layer of complexity and opportunity, as they could stimulate the economy and potentially bolster the crypto market further.
Let's hope for democracy and peace: no more bullets, big green candles.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
A bit of fun:
🏳️🌈Ka'mala (not Kama'la) Harris identifies as a she/her crypto enthousiast who keeps saying ''what can be unburdened by what has been"
🏴☠️ Trump has been dodging bullets like Neo in the Matrix , yelling 'FIGHT' seconds after being shot! Some serious Cowboy stuff!
Who do you prefer and why? Let me know in the comments.
Politics vs Profits | The US elections & Crypto Harris, Trump, or Crypto ? Only One Goes Brrrr !
1/ The crypto market typically dips ahead of US elections
In 2016, there was a 10% dip, in 2020, a 6% decline, and so far in 2024, a 6% decrease. However, these drops aren't unusual; they can happen without clear triggers on any given day or week. So attributing extra significance to the current dip due to election is overblown it’s just business as usual in crypto
2/ The election results will trigger either a market boom or bust
Markets crave certainty over specific candidates. Once the election is over, investors can look ahead and allocate accordingly. In the grand scheme, Bitcoin and the wider crypto market don’t care who sits in the Oval Office. Whether it’s a red, blue, or mixed government, historically, crypto trends upward over time.
3/ Trump/Harris will be terrible for the economy
While Republicans and Democrats have vast differences (more so now than ever), unity isn’t our forte. How can we bring the nation together? Maybe start with a common interest and go from there
One thing’s certain, both parties have an affinity for money printing , While it’s a headache for the US’s debt situation, it benefits crypto.Why? Because a share of that newly minted money typically flows into crypto assets, which have limited or predictable inflation.
In essence, money printing devalues the US dollar but bolsters the value of scarce assets (like crypto) over time.Regardless of who wins, the money printer is expected to stay active.
While election may provide market clarity, it’s not a sure thing. Close elections can take days to finalize. So, if you feel like panicking, just remember this:
Zoom out → stay calm → remember…In the long run, crypto tends to prevail.
November is off to a roaring start with several significant market events – and that’s just in the first week! But before we look ahead, let’s review October to see where we stand:
1/ October Recap
Expectations were high for ‘Moontober,’ and it delivered (though gains were modest).
October saw:
- $ BTC up 11%, with the broader crypto market up 10%
- US Bitcoin ETFs purchased 5.83 times more CRYPTOCAP:BTC than was mined in October.
This demand and limited supply helped push the total crypto market cap out of an 8 month descending trend, signaling a potential reversal.
2/ Macro Outlook
Now, on to November. This week features two major macro events:
- US Elections – Tuesday, Nov 5th
- Rate Cuts – Thursday, Nov 7th
Markets expect a 0.25% rate cut. Though smaller than September’s 0.50% cut, it could ease market pressure.Lower borrowing costs reduce debt servicing expenses, freeing up cash for spending and potentially boosting both the economy and crypto markets.
The bonus? Historically, Bitcoin’s average return in November is +43%
If this trend holds, we could see CRYPTOCAP:BTC hit $100k by month’s end!
Cross your fingers, toes, and eyes!
3/ Token Unlocks
October had $5.4B worth of token unlocks, creating potential sell pressure. Thankfully, November’s unlocks are lighter at $2.6B, which may limit that pressure.
4/ Earnings Reports
This week brings earnings from:
- Franklin Templeton (managers of the AMEX:EZBC Bitcoin ETF)
- Arm (semiconductor architecture designers)
- Qualcomm (wireless tech products)
- Sony (self-explanatory)
But November 20th is the main event, with Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) – the AI powerhouse – reporting earnings.That’s November in a nutshell.
We’ll be here daily with updates as events unfold
4 Winning Years Ahead for Traders Under TrumpOn November 5, 2024, the markets made it loud and clear—they’re excited about Donald J. Trump’s return to office. Stocks, the dollar, and other key assets all responded with strong moves that reflect investor confidence in what his policies might bring. Compare this to the last few years under Biden, and the difference is striking. The market barely budged during Biden’s presidency; even when he contracted COVID-19, it was business as usual. With Trump back, though, there’s an undeniable surge of optimism. Let’s look at what’s happening across the major assets and what it could mean for us traders in the days ahead.
S&P 500 (SPX)
The S&P 500 spiked from $5,704 to $6,018 on election night—a powerful rally that signals investor optimism. It seems the market is embracing Trump’s expected focus on tax cuts and pro-business policies. This kind of jump doesn’t happen without a reason; investors are clearly betting that Trump’s return will be good for corporate America and, by extension, for the economy.
Gold (XAU/USD)
In times of uncertainty, gold usually rallies as investors look for safe havens. But on election night, we saw the opposite: XAU/USD dropped from $2,750 to $2,643 per troy ounce. This decline tells us that investors feel less inclined to hedge their bets with gold, opting instead for assets tied to economic growth. When people pull out of safe havens, it's often a sign they’re feeling pretty good about what’s ahead.
U.S. Dollar Index (DXY)
The dollar had its own rally, with the DXY climbing from 103.3 to 105.4. This spike reflects confidence in the U.S. economy’s potential under Trump’s leadership. With the dollar gaining strength, it’s clear that investors expect strong economic fundamentals and possibly higher interest rates—both of which could keep the dollar in demand.
Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI)
The Dow also rallied, jumping from $41,649 to $44,173. This boost is especially interesting because it reflects optimism in sectors like manufacturing, energy, and infrastructure—industries Trump has supported in the past. Investors are likely betting on policy moves that could provide a lift to U.S. industries, potentially driving corporate profits higher.
WTI Crude Oil (WTI)
Looking forward, I’m expecting WTI prices to come under pressure as Trump likely revisits his focus on domestic oil production. If he revives the “drill, baby, drill” approach, we could see supply levels increase, which would weigh on prices. This potential shift in energy policy is something to keep an eye on, as it could create fresh trading opportunities.
The Big Picture
From stocks to the dollar, the market’s reaction seems to signal that Trump’s return is seen as positive for growth and stability. Reflecting on his previous term, I remember trading seemed almost simpler—beyond economic reports, following Trump’s statements (especially on Twitter) often gave insight into market sentiment. We might be looking at a similar environment now.
Final Thoughts for Traders
Trump’s re-election sets the stage for market dynamics we’ve seen before, with a familiar blend of optimism and volatility. For traders, this could mean more straightforward strategies, particularly by keeping an eye on policy shifts and economic indicators. With Trump’s leadership back in play, I believe the next four years could be some of the best trading years we’ve seen. Whether you’re in stocks, commodities, or forex, it’s clear the market is responding—and as traders, there’s a lot we can take away from that.
A capture of inflation, dilution and stimulus /2024As we see by the chart, we had a series of events mostly around mega-stimulus for Covid and a massive dilution of currency as triggering events. Inflation rose and is now back down close to the desirable 2% inflation.
We don't want prices to go back to where they were, that is deflation and is not healthy for an economy. We want prices to stay near the same year after year with modest inflation. When inflation rises too fast, we increase interest rates to slow down spending, to reduce inflation. The best we can do is work on wage growth to accommodate the inflation from our past years while maintaining modest inflation.
At 2.4% inflation currently, there really is pretty much nothing to fix anymore, we just need to keep it around where it is, a little lower really and work on modest wage growth.
Looking at this data, it really looks like the vast majority of the culpability of that inflation we had came from 2020, one of the single worst years financially as a country with inflation starting to rise immediately in 2021, and exacerbated some in 2021.
Looking at this chart, there is a tangible possibility that we see >10% inflation by 2027
Here is the M2 money supply chart:
Spring is ComingThe last months in crypto markets have been firmly in the shadow of the looming US presidential elections. Whatever one's political stance, it was hard to argue that a Donald Trump victory would not be immensely positive for the crypto industry. The ongoing legal fights between US regulators such as the SEC and the crypto industry and the Biden administration's open hostility to the industry were a constant backdrop of the past years. In sharp contract, Republican candidate Trump had embraced the industry in early 2024. His appearance at a large Bitcoin conference in Nashville, his announcement to fire SEC chairman Gary Gensler on day 1 of a Trump administration and also his promise to build a national US Bitcoin reserve have been music to the ears of many a crypto trader.
No wonder that as soon as Trump started to take the lead on election night, Bitcoin rallied sharply. A new all-time-high of $75,000 per one Bitcoin was reached nearly effortlessly. Bitcoin has been trading above $76,000 for most of the post-election days. Across the industry, the drop in tension is almost palpable. No longer will a bad faith regulator pursue legitimate companies such as Coinbase, Uniswap or Consensys at will. No longer will Senate block common-sense crypto regulatory frameworks. The possibilities now seem almost limitless.
Coins of Decentralized Finance (DeFi) projects have seen some of the largest rallies since election days. Not only will these projects benefit from regulatory clarity, but their tokens might also start to receive genuine utility such as revenue shares. The fundraising environment for projects should become more open. Maybe more onchain projects will open up to American users. It is common practice for projects to geo-block American users for fear of the long arms of US law enforcement. It is nearly poetic justice that mainstream pollsters predicting a tight election were outperformed by Polymarket, a crypto-based prediction market that continuously showed Trump well ahead of his Democrat opponent Kamala Harris.
What will the next months hold? US presidential elections tend to be bullish for crypto markets. After Obama’s 2012 victory, Bitcoin rose nearly 2,400% within a year. In 2016, following Trump’s success, Bitcoin soared 960% over the following 12 months. One year after Biden’s 2020 win, Bitcoin rose another 360%. Of course, Bitcoin's large market cap means that much more new capital must enter to move the price substantially. Yet, the optimism in the industry right now makes everything seem possible. Sure, disappointment could always come next year, but for now, Spring has arrived early. Let's enjoy the party while it lasts.
Three days after elections and one after FED cutStarting with #VIX the value decreased a lot after elections showing the decrease in investors fear
With less fear we can follow the #SPX #DX1! #BTC1! which strongly rise their value.
Commodites in general seems to had loss some points with Dollar strength, in this chart we can watch #GC1! and #BZ1! as benchmark
In the case of Brent we can see a double top even with line chart.
#US10Y decreased after 25bp cut nevertheless with Trump election US will probably activate more worldwide tariffs and this can lead to an increase in prices, and so the next couple months CPI will be a important measure to look at US economy in the future. So even it's decreasing and bonds are inversly to prices, I should keep an eye on it
Japan’s consumer spending slips, yen extends gainsThe Japanese yen has posted gains on Friday. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 152.38, down 0.36% on the day. The yen has taken traders on a roller-coaster ride this week, plunging 2% on Wednesday and rebounding on Thursday with a 1.1% gain.
Japan’s household spending fell by 1.1% y/y in September, following a 1.9% drop in August. This was better than the market estimate of -2.1%. Household spending has declined in 10 of the past 12 months, as consumer confidence fell in October and inflation is relatively high. On a monthly basis, household spending decreased 1.3%, after a strong 2% gain in August. This beat the market estimate of 0.7%.
The weak yen is also weighing on consumers, who are being squeezed as their purchasing power has fallen. The yen fell to three-month lows this week against the dollar and if the downswing continues, the Bank of Japan will be under pressure to respond with a rate hike.
Although consumers are holding tight on the purse strings, wages have been rising and the BoJ is hopeful that will translate into increased consumer spending and demand-driven inflation. Consumer spending makes up more than half of the economy and BoJ is unlikely to make further rate hikes until it sees stronger consumer spending. The markets don’t expect a rate hike until early 2025.
The Federal Reserve didn’t surprise anyone with a 25-basis point rate cut on Wednesday. This is the second cut in the easing cycle after an oversized 50-bp chop in September. The vote was unanimous and unlike the Bank of Japan, the Fed has been transparent and telegraphed its plan to cut rates ahead of the meeting. The Fed is expected to continue cutting rates in the coming meeting and will be keeping a close eye on inflation and employment reports.
USD/JPY faces resistance at 153.44 and 154.17
152.16 and 151.43 are the next support levels
BTC - Bullish Phase Confirmed!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard.
🗒 Do you remember this post from 2023?
and this post from last month?
📌 It is confirmed. Pattern 1 Activated after breaking above the red channel and 70k.
❗️N.B. Always remember, nothing moves in a straight line, so we might see a correction (in the form of a higher low) along the way.
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
🗒 All strategies are good, if managed properly!
~Rich
Trump wins? $DJT to fall into election, then rally after?I've been watching the DJT chart for a while now. I originally took a trade at $17 with intention to hold, but got scared out of the position on the loss of $16. It ended up bottoming at $13. Since then, it's gone 3x with people anticipating a Trump win.
We've corrected in the last few days and the chart looks like it wants to see more downside into the $27-20 levels. That's where I'll start scaling into positions in both spot and calls.
To me, that looks like a great buying opportunity. On higher timeframes, it looks like the stock is getting ready for a large move above $100 post election.
Let's see how it plays out over the next week.
Bitcoin Rips to $76,000 on Trump Pump. Can It Hit $100,000 Next?Bitcoin BTC/USD was fully onboard with Donald Trump’s race to the White House. With much fanfare and celebration, the orange coin crossed $76,000 to hit a new record as the former President clinched the top spot in American politics in a stunning comeback, defeating Democrat Kamala Harris.
So, what’s with that big surge and what can you expect ahead for the crypto industry under a Trump presidency? Let’s find out.
Bitcoin BTC/USD , the original cryptocurrency, is in full beast mode now that former President Donald Trump has defeated Vice President Kamala Harris to win the White House. The price of Bitcoin rocketed to the rarefied air of $76,000 on Wednesday, gaining more than 9% on the day and catapulting its valuation to a record $1.5 trillion.
Bitcoin has been a centerpiece in Donald Trump’s campaigning efforts. It’s part technology, part investment — two things Trump loves and embraces. In fact, he seems enamored with the coin and went the extra mile for it. Not only has he reiterated his support for the crypto industry, but has vowed to make the US “the Bitcoin superpower of the world” and the “crypto capital of the world.”
Big-shot crypto players, such as Andreessen Horowitz and Gemini founders the Winklevoss twins are cheering Trump’s victory after they had endorsed him and spent lavishly on his campaign and on promoting pro-crypto candidates for Congress.
“We are on the brink of a new American Renaissance,” said Tyler Winklevoss in a post on X . “The crypto army is striking!”
Brian Armstrong, CEO of Coinbase COIN , also praised Trump’s election win. “Welcome to the new members of America's most pro-crypto Congress ever…” the crypto exchange boss said on X . “219+ pro-crypto candidates and counting have now been elected to the House & Senate.” “Tonight the crypto voter has spoken decisively.”
Hopes are high now and the agenda is already looking busy. Overjoyed crypto circles expect three main things from Trump:
1) To pass crypto-friendly laws and regulations that will help propel the industry ahead of its foreign competitors (China and Russia, mostly) in terms of business, mining and trading.
2) To fire Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Gary Gensler “on day one.” Gensler is seen as a villain to the broader adoption of crypto both on Wall Street and in general. During Gensler’s tenure, the SEC has chased down crypto exchanges, such as Coinbase, Kraken and Crypto.com with more than 100 lawsuits.
3) To create a Bitcoin strategic reserve — a lofty ambition, which will make sure the US government never sells its Bitcoin (currently the US holds roughly 200,000 BTC). More on this below.
There’s already a bill introduced by Sen. Cynthia Lummis (R–Wyo.) to whip up a reserve with a target of 1 million Bitcoin over five years (200,000 BTC a year).
“For too long our government has violated the cardinal rule that every bitcoiner knows by heart: Never sell your bitcoin,” Trump has said during a campaign speech.
“If I am elected, it will be the policy of my administration, United States of America, to keep 100% of all the Bitcoin the US government currently holds or acquires into the future,” he said. Currently, the government every now and then auctions off its Bitcoin, which has been seized from criminals.
With that in mind, how is Trump and the Republicans broadly going to approach the next four years?
In short:
Pro-business
Pro-growth
Light regulations
Low taxes
Or, as Tesla TSLA CEO and vocal Trump backer Elon Musk expects, "The future is gonna be so 🔥"
Besides Bitcoin, how did the result of Election Day bump up other digital assets and crypto stocks?
Ethereum ETHUSD , the second-largest coin, got a 10% boost to its price, going over $2,800 a piece. Solana SOLUSD , an Ethereum rival, pumped to levels above $190 from under $170. Dogecoin DOGEUSD , the Shiba Inu-themed coin beloved by Musk, surged more than 30% in volatile trading and crossed 21 cents before paring back some of the gains to slide under the 20-cent threshold. In general, it was a good day for cryptocurrency markets .
Crypto stocks reacted with a sharp dash to higher grounds as well. Crypto exchange Coinbase COIN pumped 31% to notch its best day ever . Bitcoin-hoarding software firm MicroStrategy MSTR surged 13%, lifting its year-to-day gains to a whopping 276% increase.
Crypto miners’ stocks also participated in the rally. Riot Platforms RIOT gained 26% on the day, followed by Marathon Digital’s MARA 19% increase. Another Bitcoin miner, Core Scientific CORZ , closed up by 10% on the day.
Over to the exchange-traded fund space. The burgeoning crypto ETF space turned up some impressive figures. The pack of 11 spot Bitcoin ETFs collectively pulled in $612 million of net new money on Wednesday. The spot Bitcoin investment vehicles now command $26 billion in assets under management.
Ethereum ETFs, a bundle of 9 , picked up $52 million of daily net inflows, bringing the total amount of investments to $1.35 billion.
With that said, were you brave enough to chip in before the big Election Day? And do you think the door to $100,000 is now wide open? Drop your thoughts below and let’s whip up the discussion!
GOLD about to crash? GOLD losing it's bullish sentiment. Lost it's Wedge, RSI had bearish divergence, All indicators flipping bearish, losing key EMA's.
If this happens, it would probably mean that people selling gold and getting in crypto/stocks as USA have elected Donald J. Trump as new president, all markets expecting pump, therefore Store of Value assets should be going down for about a year from now.
E: $2665
SL: $2705
TP: $2300 to $2000
Russell 2000 On verge of breakoutof a continuation inverse head & shoulders
these projections are IMHO likely to be the final nail in the coffin for this massive bull run
one of the complaints from Analysts is the lack of breath in the market
well when the russell reaches these projections
these analysts will likely claim victory and say see NOW we have a real bull market
which is when you should be seeking shelter as when the last bears are bullish it means there is no one left to convince.
And after 16 years from the 2009 bottom would be a fitting end to the secular bull
With a Trump victory likely ..
The Dems will in all likelihood prefer to leave him a big mess to clean up than a booming economy.
XAUUSD - gold waiting for the Federal Reserve meeting!Gold is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe. In case of an upward correction by the FOMC today, we can see a supply zone and sell within that zone with a suitable risk reward.
Donald Trump’s victory in the Tuesday presidential election could alter the economic outlook of the United States and influence the Federal Reserve’s policies in the coming months. Concerns about how much pressure Trump might exert on the U.S. central bank in his second term have resurfaced.
In his campaign, Trump has pledged to impose stricter tariffs on America’s trading partners, deport millions of unauthorized immigrants, and extend the tax cuts approved in 2017. If these policies are implemented, they could exert upward pressure on prices, wages, and budget deficits, creating significant challenges for the Federal Reserve.
Under these circumstances, the Federal Reserve will face increased obstacles in achieving its 2% inflation target while maintaining employment levels. Furthermore, if Trump continues his pattern of public criticism of Jerome Powell, the Fed chair, the U.S. central bank may find itself under political scrutiny.
The Federal Reserve officials have decided to lower interest rates by 25 basis points today, following a half-point reduction in September. The September forecasts indicate another quarter-point cut for December and a full one-percentage-point cut planned for 2025.
Following the rate announcement, Powell is likely to address questions in a press conference about the impact of the election on Fed policies. During Trump’s first term, he faced repeated criticism from him, and recently, Trump has criticized Powell for delays in policy decisions.
Dogecoin Just Barked ,Thanks to Elon & Trump’s crypto magicMusk & Trump: Dogecoin’s New Favorite Hoomans?
In a landscape where cryptocurrency trends often intersect with political drama, both Bitcoin and Dogecoin have seen notable price movements leading up to the US presidential election. Bitcoin has rallied to within 5% of its all time high, while Dogecoin, defying the general altcoin downturn, surged almost 12%. This surge followed Elon Musk’s endorsement and the coin’s growing association with Donald Trump’s campaign.
Dogecoin’s Rise and the Musk Trump Link
Bitcoin’s upward trend is mainly driven by technical factors and larger economic conditions. On the other hand, Dogecoin’s momentum can be traced to its ties with Elon Musk and Donald Trump. After Musk’s appearance at a Trump rally in New York, Dogecoin’s price jumped by 16%, hitting $0.167 and marking the highest percentage gain among the top 100 cryptocurrencies for that day. Musk, known for his strong support of DOGE, proposed a “Department of Government Efficiency”—cleverly abbreviated as D.O.G.E . making the coin a playful symbol for Trump’s campaign goal of reducing government spending.
Musk’s impact on Dogecoin is well-documented, particularly during the 2021 bull market when he frequently mentioned it on Twitter. Recently, he fueled further excitement by tweeting a meme of himself with a DOGE avatar, invigorating Dogecoin’s community. Paul Howard, a senior director at crypto trading firm Wincent, stated, “DOGE is now closely connected to the US presidential race due to Musk’s endorsement and his presence at Trump’s rallies.”
Prediction Markets, Dogecoin & Trump’s Chances
Dogecoin’s rise isn’t happening in isolation. The correlation between Trump’s campaign progress and Dogecoin’s price growth has been magnified by prediction markets favoring Trump’s chances in the election. On Polymarket, blockchain-based odds for Trump’s victory have risen from 61% to nearly 66% in the last week. This Dogecoin-Trump link, strengthened by Musk’s involvement, brings a speculative edge to both the meme coin and Trump’s campaign, both driven by their nontraditional popularity and social media narratives.
As Trump’s odds improve, some believe Dogecoin could keep gaining attention if Musk’s D.O.G.E. proposal picks up support. Although the department idea is only theoretical, it has resonated with both Musk and Trump supporters, injecting a novel and ironic rallying point into the 2024 campaign.
Market Reactions and Future Implications
Dogecoin’s recent rally shows how influential prominent endorsements can be, even amid a sluggish altcoin market. Once considered a “joke currency,” DOGE now has serious investors betting on Musk’s ongoing support to maintain its relevance. While it remains well below its peak of $0.7 in 2021, Dogecoin’s current five-month high and unique position in the political limelight could attract more attention leading up to Election Day.
For Bitcoin, the focus is on its tendency to rally after elections, as new market entrants often surge in during these periods. If BTC’s current “bullish setup” resembles late 2020’s conditions, as Sigel suggests, it may reflect crypto’s changing role during political transitions and heightened speculation.
Overall, the intertwining of political narratives with cryptocurrency prices signals a noticeable market shift. While Bitcoin remains relatively stable, Dogecoin’s speculative value fluctuates with the influence of key figures. Whether gains are driven by Trump, Musk, or broader market forces is uncertain, but one thing is clear: in the unpredictable world of crypto, politics and social popularity have become key factors in shaping market dynamics.
The Bull market ContinuesBull market is back in full swing with a strong upwards momentuem following the last couple of weeks,
Volume has been accumulating within the 55-65k zones
Any retracement Would lead us to 68-73k becoming Soft supports and
the 55-65k zones becoming medium to hard Supports
The Total depth of the buy orders are now looking alot more bullish as the continuation of the bullish market has Dissolved most some of the bearish sell zones,
Playing for retracement can be tricky in scenarios of world events such as trump winning
It would be high Risk to Short the market at the current state,for the next couple of week i would suggest holding.
How the U.S. Election Could Impact USD and EUR/USD Trading"As the U.S. presidential election approaches, it’s time to consider how it might impact our trading strategies, particularly with the U.S. dollar and EUR/USD. Political shifts bring market volatility, so let’s break down how each outcome could influence the dollar and the EUR/USD pair.
Election Outcomes and Market Impact
1. If Democrats Win: A Democratic victory could weaken the dollar, as policies may lead to lower inflation and reduced real interest rates. This scenario might push the EUR/USD pair higher, with potential targets around 1.1300–1.1850. For traders, this could mean a favorable environment to consider EUR/USD gains.
2. If Republicans Win: On the other hand, a Republican win might initially strengthen the dollar, thanks to expected trade policies and rising interest rates. However, this strength could be short-lived. Long-term factors may introduce volatility, potentially giving the euro a chance to regain ground against the dollar.
Key Levels to Watch in EUR/USD
From a technical standpoint, keep an eye on resistance levels from 1.1275 to 1.1750 for potential bullish moves, while support around 1.1000 and a critical level at 1.0900 could indicate a downturn. Combining these levels with election news can help you make informed trade adjustments.
How to Trade Before, During, and After the Election
Leading up to the election, watch for narrowing polls, as this could introduce uncertainty and increased volatility. During the election itself, expect the market to react strongly—prepare for a Trump win to potentially strengthen the dollar and a Harris victory to have the opposite effe
USD/JPY surges as Trump storms to victoryThe US dollar is on a tear against the major currencies after Donald Trump’s sweeping victory in the US presidential election. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 154.62, up a massive 2.0% on the day.
There are still plenty of votes to count in the US election but it looking increasingly likely that Republican Donald Trump has been re-elected as President. Trump and Democrat Kamala Harris were in a dead heat going into the election on Tuesday and there was concern that declaring a winner could take days or even weeks, which would have led to prolonged uncertainty.
In what was a huge surprise to both sides, Trump cruised to victory. The win is even sweeter for the Republicans as they likely have won control of both the House of Representatives and the Senate. With the Republicans in charge, Trump’s agenda will be easier to push through Congress. It should be noted that at the time of writing, the vote count is incomplete and Harris has not conceded defeat.
The US dollar has responded to the Trump win with sharp gains and the yen is in full retreat. Trump’s threats to slap stiff tariffs on China, Europe and Mexico would support the dollar, as tariffs would raise inflation and interest rates. If Trump’s policies lead to trade wars, market sentiment will fall, further boosting the dollar.
The Bank of Japan released the minutes of its September meeting today. At the meeting, the BoJ kept rates at 0.25% and Governor Ueda said that BoJ would not rush to raise rates during market volatility. Those comments were a response to a stock market slide after weak US employment reports raised fears that the US economy was deteriorating much more quickly than expected. Those fears were unfounded and the markets don’t expect a BoJ rate hike before early 2025, although if the weak yen takes a dive, it could accelerate plans to raise rates.
USD/JPY has pushed past resistance at 151.86, 152.87 and 153.84. The next resistance line is 153.95
150.78 and 149.77 are providing support
Crypto Frenzy: Elon Musk's Impact on Bitcoin and DogecoinCryptocurrencies are skyrocketing just 7 days before the presidential election, and many people are wondering why. The answer, which should come as no surprise, is of course, Elon Musk.The reason is a perfect storm of sorts. Musk’s increased prominence as he campaigns for Donald Trump, his recent comments about cryptocurrency, and his potential role in a Trump administration (should Trump win) are all driving up the price of Bitcoin as well as Dogecoin and a number of other meme coins.Dogecoin, a favorite of Musk’s, was up 9.7% on Tuesday. This comes after the tech billionaire said at a Trump political rally in Pennsylvania that he’s not “actively involved” in crypto: “I just like Dogecoin.”
The billionaire founder of Tesla and Space X and owner of X has a long history with Dogecoin, which he first promoted in 2021 on Saturday Night Live, causing the price to spike, only to plunge afterward. (The meme coin’s price has gone up and down based on Musk’s comments since.)Musk, who has been actively campaigning for the Republican nominee and raising money for Trump, has also said he would be heading the Department of Government Efficiency, dubbed DOGE, if the former president is elected. That has also contributed to the frenzy, leading to a more-than-20% gain in Dogecoin over the past seven days, and 33% over the month.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin, which is the largest cryptocurrency by total market capitalization, was up over 4.4% on Tuesday, seemingly swept up in the excitement. It’s now trading just short of its March record high.
NEIRO Tokens Rally as Crypto Market Celebrates Bitcoin’s New ATH
The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a surge of optimism as Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) hits a new all-time high of $75,000, climbing 8% in just 24 hours. This extraordinary rally comes on the heels of the U.S. election results, where Donald Trump—a staunch crypto advocate—secured victory, boosting investor confidence and reigniting interest in digital assets. As the market buzzes with renewed energy, all eyes are turning toward trending altcoins and memecoins, with First Neiro on Ethereum ($NEIRO) and Neiro Ethereum (NEIRO) capturing significant attention.
NEIRO Tokens Surge Amid Market Optimism
Both First Neiro on Ethereum and Neiro Ethereum have shown substantial price gains amid the bullish market sentiment. First Neiro on Ethereum has skyrocketed by 38%, while Neiro Ethereum surged over 41%, sparking excitement among traders and investors alike. After enduring a bearish stretch, these tokens are now on an impressive recovery trajectory, signaling the possibility of further gains.
First Neiro on Ethereum (NEIRO) Technical Analysis
The recent technical setup for First Neiro on Ethereum (NEIRO) appears promising. On the 4-hour chart, $NEIRO has successfully broken out from a descending wedge pattern—a bullish reversal signal that often heralds significant upward momentum. The breakout lifted the token’s price above the critical support level of $0.001761. As of now, $NEIRO is trading around $0.0018, positioning itself for potential gains if it holds this support.
Looking forward, the key resistance levels for $NEIRO stand at $0.002150 and its all-time high of $0.002334. If bullish momentum continues, these targets could soon come into play. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently sitting at 79, indicating that $NEIRO is overbought and could face a short-term correction. Traders should exercise caution and watch for signs of profit-taking or a pullback before committing to new positions.
Neiro Ethereum ($NEIRO) Technical Analysis
Neiro Ethereum (NEIRO) is also attempting a bullish breakout. The token recently tested a critical support level at $0.074 and has since climbed to $0.085. A confirmed breakout above the psychological barrier of $0.10 would mark a significant bullish continuation, potentially propelling the token to its next resistance targets at $0.12, $0.18, and $0.24. Hitting the $0.24 mark would represent a staggering gain of over 185% from the current price.
While the RSI for Neiro Ethereum indicates that the token is nearing overbought territory, the broader market momentum and favorable technical patterns suggest that further upside is possible. Investors should, however, keep an eye on key support levels and be prepared for potential retracements.
Trump’s Victory and Market Sentiment
The broader bullish sentiment in the crypto market is heavily influenced by Donald Trump's election victory. Known for his pro-crypto stance, Trump’s win has reignited hopes for favorable crypto regulations in the United States, leading to a renewed wave of investor confidence. His administration is expected to take a more constructive approach to crypto policies, potentially paving the way for greater adoption and growth.
Moreover, the overall market rally has been fueled by Bitcoin’s historic rise, which has triggered a domino effect, lifting altcoins and memecoins across the board. As Bitcoin continues to set new highs, NEIRO and other smaller tokens could benefit from the broader enthusiasm and increased liquidity.
Are More Gains on the Horizon for $NEIRO?
With Trump’s victory setting a pro-crypto tone and Bitcoin’s rally inspiring market-wide optimism, NEIRO tokens are well-positioned to capitalize on the current bullish environment. The combination of technical breakouts and favorable fundamental factors suggests that these tokens could continue their upward march. However, traders should be mindful of the potential for sharp corrections, especially given the overbought RSI levels.
For now, $NEIRO and Neiro Ethereum present attractive opportunities for investors riding the wave of market enthusiasm. If market sentiment remains positive, these tokens could see additional upside in the days to come, but it’s crucial to approach with a balanced strategy, staying vigilant for any signs of a market reversal.