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Trendtrading

EURUSD ( UNDER DOWNWARD PRESSURE ) ( 4H )EURUSD HELLO TRADERS in the last week the price of OANDA:EURUSD trading between turning level at 1.094 and support level (1) at 1.088 , currently price stabilizing below turning level this allows them to lower prices for the support level (1) . Tendency , the price is under bearish pressure , until trading below turning level . Upward Zone : for an upward movement to occur , the price needs to break through the turning level at 1.094 , leading to rise that could reach the resistance level (1) 1.099 , if the price breaks and stabilizing above this level it may attempt to reach resistance zone between 1.102 and 1.105 . Downward Zone: as long as the price remain below the turning level at 1.094 , it may drop towards the support level (1) at1.088 , if the price breaks this level with a 4h candle closing below it , it suggest further decline towards the support zone between 1.084 and 1.078 . CORRECTIVE : currently price it will be attempt to retest to reach a turning level at 1.094 before dropping . TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 1.099 ,1.102 , 1.105 . SUPPORT LEVEL : 1.088, 1.084 , 1.078 .
Short
by ArinaKarayi
1
USOIL ( BREAKOUT LAST SUPPLY ZONE ) ( 4H )USOIL HELLO TRADERS after breakout last supply zone , the price stabilizing up trading , on the Friday price can be breaking supply zone and starting a rising , currently it will be attempt to reach a next supply zone around 78.56 . Tendency , after price breaking a supply zone , currently price is under upward pressure . Upward Zone : currently price trying to reach a resistance level (1) at 78.56 , possibly of the price retest a turning level at 76.37 before rising , breaking resistance level (1) with remain this level it continues the upward trend to touch resistance zone between 81.02 and 83.53 . Downward Zone: by breaking turning level with closing 4h candle below it , the price decline to reach support level (1) 74.76 , after remain below this level we see a downward trend to reach a regions 71.80 and 69.64 . CORRECTIVE : currently price it will be attempt for retest to reach a turning level at 76.37 before to see upward trend . TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 78.56 ,81.02 , 83.53 . SUPPORT LEVEL : 74.76, 71.80 , 69.64 .
TVC:USOILLong
by ArinaKarayi
Gold Prices Likly To Drop TodayOur technical analysis and market indicators suggest that gold is likely to experience a sell-off tomorrow, reversing the gains made in recent trading sessions. the expected sell entry would be 67 and 63. This pessimistic forecast is supported by concerning fundamental factors, including: - Weakening investor demand for safe-haven assets - Central banks' potential reduction in gold reserves accumulation - Unfavorable macroeconomic conditions, such as rising interest rates and a strengthening US dollar
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by sabellaFX
1
XAUUSD ( INSIDE DESCENDING CHANNEL ) ( 4H )XAUUSD HELLO TRADERS currently the price of the gold trading inside descending channel , and below turning level at 2,459$ , yesterday the price with open the market rising know could be continues rising to reach a supply zone around 2,459$ . Tendency, the price inside descending channel and trading below turning level , indicates under down ward pressure . Upward Zone : in order see increase , should be the price breaking turning level at 2,459$ , to rising and reach resistance level (1) at 2,474$ , by breaking and stabilizing above this level it will be attempt to reach 2,486 $ , then reaching a resistance zone around 2,495$ and 2,510$ . Downward Zone: until the price trading below supply zone around 2,452$ and 2,459$ , dropping to reach support level (1) around 2,421$ , and after breaking this level by closing 4h candle below it indicates further decline to support zone around 2,406$ and 2,391$. CORRECTIVE : currently price it will be attempt to huge retest to reach a turning level at 2,459$ before dropping . TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 2,47$ ,2,486$ , 2,494$ . SUPPORT LEVEL : 2,421$, 2,406$ , 2,391$ .
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ArinaKarayi
A Guide on How to Stay on the Right Side of Market RiskStaying on the right side of the market is the only thing that matters in investing. The goal is simple: be long the things that go up and avoid the things that go down. Although this sounds straightforward, investors often focus too much on the upside potential and forget about the downside. In reality, avoiding the downside is by far the most important factor that will have the biggest impact on your total returns. This is because a -50% loss will always require a +100% gain just to break even. Step 1: Follow the Trend The most effective method to stay on the right side of the market is by following the trend, primarily through moving averages. The two most common types are the Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the Exponential Moving Average (EMA). The EMA assigns more weight to recent price movements, making it more responsive and effective for signalling the start of a downtrend, while the SMA offers a clearer view of the longer-term trend. The simplest way to construct a trend-following indicator is to combine a short-term EMA with a long-term EMA. A buying signal is triggered when the short-term EMA crosses above the long-term EMA, and a selling signal is triggered when it crosses below. This systematic approach ensures clear and actionable signals. Optimizing this strategy involves backtesting various EMA combinations to strike a balance between minimal trading frequency, lowest maximum drawdown, and highest profit factor. It’s also crucial to select assets that have historically adhered to trends, as these are more likely to continue doing so. Assets that typically adhere to trends, such as cryptocurrencies, fiat currencies, commodities, and tech stocks, are often driven by speculative or uncertain future expectations. By incorporating a longer-term SMA and adding a safety margin to the calculation, you can help minimize false signals from the EMAs. It’s advisable to compare asset performance not only against the USD pair but also against the safest investable asset in the selected asset class. This comparison helps determine if the additional risk is worth taking. Step 2: Draw the Lines Trend-following strategies are effective only with a clear market trend. Without it, prices may exhibit range-bound movements and generate false signals. Drawing trend lines and identifying horizontal support and resistance levels are crucial for enhancing the accuracy of these signals. The most reliable entry points typically follow a confirmed breakout from these lines, with older lines often indicating more significant breakouts. When drawing trend lines, it’s crucial to use both normal and logarithmic chart scales. The most reliable trend lines appear consistent across these scales, with a breakout observed on both further confirming the trend. Additionally, identifying reliable patterns like head and shoulders, inverse head and shoulders or double tops and bottoms can further validate trend breakouts. TradingView’s pattern recognition tools can automate this process and provide price targets, which can be helpful but are not always guaranteed. Step 3: Understand the Macro Following current macroeconomic conditions can enhance your understanding of the overall business cycle. The primary macro forces that influence asset markets are growth, inflation, and policy. These factors are subjective and not directly quantifiable, making them unsuitable for direct investment decisions. However, they are useful for assessing the market’s risk appetite, which should influence only your position size and not your systematic approach. The US Composite Leading Indicator (CLI) is one of the most informative macroeconomic indicators, providing insights into potential economic growth trends and helping anticipate inflections in the business cycle. Monitoring the US inflation and unemployment rates is also beneficial, as they significantly influence monetary policy. While minor fluctuations may not provide much insight, sustained trends that align with the Federal Reserve’s targets of 2% inflation and low unemployment are indicative of a healthy economy. Furthermore, tracking global liquidity can reveal the real-time effects of monetary and fiscal policies implemented by major central banks and governments. This serves as a valuable tool to assess the market’s risk appetite. In conclusion, this guide helps investors stay on the right side of the market by adopting a systematic approach that captures bull markets while avoiding major downturns. Recognizing that the future is unpredictable and that markets are driven by momentum, this method can both preserve and grow your wealth in a less stressful way. A disciplined, systematic approach, executed dispassionately, is essential for navigating market uncertainties. All indicators discussed are publicly available or can be accessed on my profile. Disclaimer: This article is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice.
NASDAQ:NVDAEducation
by ingeforberg
5
XRPUSDT ( BETWEEN TWO TURNING LEVEL ) (4H)XRPUSDT HELLO TRADERS price of BINANCE:XRPUSDT inside sensitive area between two turning level , currently it will be attempt to reach turning level (2) . Tendency, the price inside sensitive are between two turning level around 0.5822 and 0.6184 . Upward Zone : in order see increase , if the price corrective turning level (2) and stabilizing above this level should be trying to reach turning level (1) at 0.61844 , to confirm up trading , the price will be breaking turning level (1) to reach resistance level (1) at 0.6508 , after by closing 4h candle above it reach a resistance level (2) at 0.6939 . Downward Zone: by breaking turning level (2) at 0.5822 , the price should be trying to reach support level (1) 0.5595 , after stabilizing below this level could further support to reach of as next level at 0.5144 . TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 0.6508 , 0.6939 . SUPPORT LEVEL : 0.5595 , 0.5144 .
by ArinaKarayi
1
ETHUSD ( SENSITIVE AREA ) ( 4H )ETHUSD HELLO TRADERS currently price between two turning level by breaking each level determine the direction , for know the price trading above turning level (2) at 2,412 , remain this level it will be attempt to reach a turning level (1) at 2,527 . Tendency, the price inside two turning level around ( 2,412 & 2,527) . Upward Zone : in order see increase , the price need breaking turning level (1) at 2,527 , by closing 4h candle above it , easily to reach a resistance level (1) around 2,812 , remain this level indicates the price trying to reach of a resistance level (2) at 3,114. Downward Zone: by breaking turning level (2) around 2,412 , the price dropping to reach a support level (1) at 2,209, to confirm downward , gold need breaking support level (1) by open 4h candle below it to reach a support level (2) at 2,046 . TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 2,812 , 3,114 . SUPPORT LEVEL : 2,209 , 2,046 .
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
by ArinaKarayi
Simple Trend StrategiesSimple Trend Strategies In trading, successfully navigating market trends can make all the difference. This article provides a deep dive into four simple yet effective strategies that show you how to trade with the trend. Regardless of your level of experience, these strategies offer actionable insights that can enhance your trading journey. Understanding Trend Trading Trend trading is a strategy that aims to capture gains by analysing an asset's movement in a particular direction. Traders use various methods like price action, moving averages and chart patterns to identify the trend, be it upward (bullish) or downward (bearish). The core philosophy is "the trend is your friend," implying that it's generally more effective to move with the market trend rather than against it. Understanding the trend not only increases the chances of making successful trades but also minimises risk, as traders set up safeguards, like stop-loss orders, aligned with the trend's trajectory. Trends are typically denoted by a series of higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL) in an uptrend or lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL) in a downtrend. Recognising these patterns is crucial for trading with the trend. To follow along with these strategies, visit FXOpen’s free TickTrader platform. There, you’ll find each of the indicators and drawing tools necessary to put these strategies into action. HMA Crossover Strategy The Hull Moving Average (HMA) crossover strategy leverages two different HMA lengths to generate trading signals. The advantage of using HMA over other types of moving averages, like the Simple Moving Average (SMA) or the Exponential Moving Average (EMA), is its superior smoothing and reduced lag, providing more timely entries and exits. The lengths of these HMAs should have a meaningful distance between them, such as 9 and 21 or 50 and 200, depending on the trader's preference and trading style. It’s also best to enter these trades in the direction of the broader trend direction. Entry: - For a bullish entry, traders may consider buying when the short-term HMA crosses above the long-term HMA. - For a bearish entry, a selling position can be initiated when the short-term HMA crosses below the long-term HMA. Stop Loss: - Stop-loss orders may be placed either above or below a nearby swing point. - Alternatively, the stop loss can be positioned just beyond the long-term HMA to provide a safety net. Take Profit: - Profits may be taken at support or resistance levels, identified beforehand. - Another option is to exit the trade when an opposite HMA crossover occurs, signalling a potential trend reversal. 50% Retracement Strategy The 50% Retracement Strategy is ideal for trend forex trading. It focuses on identifying an existing trend and then entering a trade at a 50% retracement level. Essentially, once a trend has been confirmed through a series of higher highs and higher lows (for an uptrend) or lower highs and lower lows (for a downtrend), traders measure the distance between a last significant high and low within that trend. They then mark the midpoint as the 50% retracement level and aim to enter the trade at this point. Entry: - In an uptrend, traders may consider buying when the price retraces to the 50% level of the previous high-low range. - In a downtrend, selling could be considered when the price retraces 50% from the previous low-high range. Stop Loss: - In an uptrend, a stop-loss order could be set below the last low to minimise risk. - Conversely, in a downtrend, the stop-loss could be set above the last high. Take Profit: - Profits may be taken at the previous high in an uptrend or at the previous low in a downtrend. - Alternatively, a suitable support or resistance level may serve as the exit point. Breakout and Retest Strategy The Breakout and Retest Strategy operates on a principle similar to the 50% Retracement Strategy: it starts by identifying an existing trend. Instead of focusing on the 50% retracement level, this strategy pays attention to price levels that have just been broken – either a recent high in an uptrend or a recent low in a downtrend. The idea is to capitalise on the market's tendency to retest those levels before continuing the trend. Unlike the 50% strategy, prices may not retrace as deeply and could simply touch the level just broken, providing a more immediate entry opportunity. Entry: - In an uptrend, traders may consider buying when the price retests a recently broken high. - In a downtrend, a selling position could be initiated when the price retests a recently broken low. Stop Loss: - Stop-loss orders can be set below the swing low in an uptrend or above the swing high in a downtrend. - Stop losses can also be placed above or below a relevant support or resistance level within the identified range. Take Profit: - Profits may be taken at the previous high in an uptrend or at the previous low in a downtrend. - Alternatively, suitable support or resistance levels can serve as an exit point. MFI Overbought/Oversold Strategy The Money Flow Index (MFI) is an oscillator that measures the inflow and outflow of money into an asset over a specific period. It provides traders with additional insights into market conditions, particularly in identifying overbought (above 80) or oversold (below 20) situations. When an asset is in a trend but experiences a short-term pullback, the MFI can help indicate whether the pullback is likely to continue or reverse, assisting traders in trend day trading. Entry: - Traders may consider entering a long position when the MFI moves out of the oversold territory during an uptrend pullback. - Conversely, in a downtrend pullback, a short position can be considered when the MFI exits the overbought zone. Stop Loss: - Stop-loss orders might be set just below/above the nearest swing low or high. Take Profit: - Profits may be taken at the high or low of the established trading range, depending on the trend direction. - Alternatively, a suitable support or resistance level can serve as the exit point. The Bottom Line As traders, understanding and exploiting market trends is crucial for better trading outcomes. The strategies outlined in this article provide straightforward methods for trend-based trading, each ready for experimentation to suit your own trading style. Once you have got to grips with how they work in our free TickTrader platform, you can consider opening an FXOpen account. When you do, you’ll gain access to hundreds of trending markets, ready to put your newfound skills to the test. Happy trading! This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Education
by FXOpen
2
GOLD at a Tipping Point: Rally or Reversal?Comprehensive Analysis of XAU/USD (Gold vs. U.S. Dollar) Across the 1-hour, 15-minute, and 4-hour charts, the current market structure of Gold against the U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD) reveals a critical juncture, with several key technical patterns and liquidity zones influencing potential price movements. --- 1. Overall Market Structure: Large Ascending Channel (4-Hour Chart) - Channel Formation: The price has been trending within a **large Ascending Channel** since early May, with well-defined higher highs and higher lows. This channel serves as the primary structure guiding the market’s long-term movement. - Upper and Lower Boundaries: The upper boundary near 2474.774 (Daily LQZ) and the lower boundary near 2355.819 (Daily LQZ) are critical levels. The price is currently closer to the channel's upper half, indicating potential room for further upside but also a heightened risk of reversal. 2. Intermediate Market Structure: Recent Ascending Channel Breakdown (1-Hour & 4-Hour Charts) - Smaller Ascending Channel: On the 1-hour and 15-minute charts, a smaller Ascending Channel had formed recently, suggesting a potential continuation of the upward move. However, this channel experienced a breakdown, indicating a shift in short-term momentum. - Retest and Flag Formation: Following the breakdown, the price formed a flag pattern. This typically signals consolidation before continuation in the direction of the previous trend (which was down, post-breakdown). The resolution of this flag is crucial for the next significant move. --- 3. Liquidity Zones (LQZs): Key Decision Points - 1-Hour LQZ at 2441.637: A significant resistance level that the price is currently hovering near. Its strength has been tested, and it could either cap the current move or be breached if buying pressure increases. - 4-Hour LQZ at 2458.954: Positioned slightly above the current price, this is another critical resistance zone, closely aligned with the broader channel's upper resistance area. - Daily LQZ at 2474.774: This is a major resistance level that coincides with the upper boundary of the large Ascending Channel. If reached, it could signal an important inflection point. - Support at 2402.417 (1HR) and 2355.819 (Daily): These are key levels of support that could come into play if the price fails to break higher and instead moves downward. --- 4. Volume Analysis: Gauging Momentum** - Recent Volume Trends: Across the charts, volume has shown signs of moderation, particularly during the formation of the flag pattern. This suggests a potential lack of conviction among market participants, which could lead to a volatile breakout or breakdown. - Volume at Key Levels: It will be essential to monitor volume closely at critical LQZs and the flag pattern boundaries. A breakout with strong volume could confirm the direction, while a low-volume move might indicate a false breakout or temporary move. --- 5. Mass Psychology and Market Sentiment - Herd Behavior: The market is at a psychological tipping point. If a breakout from the flag pattern occurs, it could trigger a strong collective buying response, driving the price higher toward the 4HR and Daily LQZs. Conversely, a failure could lead to a rapid sell-off as participants rush to exit. - Overextension and Exhaustion: The proximity to significant resistance levels increases the risk of overextension. If the price approaches the Daily LQZ at 2474.774, traders should be cautious of a potential reversal due to exhaustion of the bullish trend. --- 6. Potential Scenarios and Strategic Considerations - Bullish Scenario: - Breakout Above Flag: A confirmed breakout above the flag pattern, supported by strong volume, could push the price towards the 4HR LQZ (2458.954) and potentially the Daily LQZ (2474.774). - Continuation Within the Larger Channel: If the price clears the 4HR LQZ, it could target the upper boundary of the large Ascending Channel, aligning with the Daily LQZ at 2474.774. - Bearish Scenario:** - Breakdown from Flag: A breakdown from the flag, especially with increasing volume, could signal a short-term bearish move, targeting support levels at 2402.417 (1HR LQZ) and 2355.819 (Daily LQZ). - Rejection at 1HR LQZ (2441.637): If the price fails to break the 1HR LQZ convincingly, it could lead to a retest of lower support levels, indicating a potential retracement within the larger channel. - Neutral/Baseline Strategy: - Wait for Confirmation: Traders might consider waiting for a clear breakout or breakdown from the flag pattern and observe how the price reacts at the nearest LQZs. This approach reduces the risk of being caught in a false move. - Risk Management: Stops should be placed strategically around the flag pattern’s boundaries or key LQZs to protect against adverse moves. --- Conclusion: The XAU/USD pair is currently at a crucial inflection point. The broader market structure, combined with recent developments in the 1-hour and 15-minute charts, suggests that the next significant move could set the tone for the short to medium term. Close attention should be paid to the flag pattern, volume behavior, and the reaction at key liquidity zones, particularly the 1HR and 4HR LQZs. A breakout could lead to a test of the upper boundaries of the larger channel, while a breakdown might see the price revisiting lower support levels within the channel. This is a classic setup where waiting for confirmation before entering a position could offer a strategic advantage, allowing for more informed and controlled trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Adlercon333
1
US30 ( INSIDE SENSITIVE AREA BETWEEN TWO TURNING LEVEL ) ( 1D )US30 HELLO TRADERS U.S. stocks were higher after the close on Friday, as gains in the Technology, Consumer Services and Telecoms sectors led shares higher. At the close in NYSE, the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.13% . currently price inside two turning level in way , breaking each side determine our direction , thus breaking turning level (1) it is mean active up trading ,if the price breaking turning level (2) by close 1d candle or 4h candle below it , indicates to reach support level . Tendency, the price inside sensitive are between two turning level around 40,031 and 38,509 Upward Zone : in order see increase , if the price corrective turning level (2) and stabilizing above this level should be trying to reach turning level (1) at 40,031 , to confirm up trading , the price will be breaking turning level (1) to reach resistance zone around 40,990 and 42,268 . Downward Zone: by breaking turning level (2) at 38,509 , the price should be trying to reach support level (1) 37,550 , after stabilizing below this level could further support to reach of as next level at 36,235 . TARGET LEVEL : RESISTANCE LEVEL : 40,990 , 42,268 . SUPPORT LEVEL : 37,550 , 36,235 .
EIGHTCAP:US30
by ArinaKarayi