Get started

Trendtrading

XAUUSD Flag Breakout Mastery – 100 Pips in Just Hours!You executed a fantastic trade on XAUUSD, capturing a solid 100 pips in 3.5 hours. However, there were additional techniques you could have employed to potentially capture more of the overall move: Higher Time Frame Confluence: Ensuring the overall trend aligns with the smaller time frame breakout can give you confidence to hold for bigger moves. Trailing Stop Strategy: This could have helped you lock in profits while giving the trade room to continue further. Recognizing Momentum: The impulsive nature of the move post-breakout was an indication to hold the trade longer. Momentum trading often provides an opportunity for a bigger run. Extended Targets: using Fibonacci extensions could have encouraged you to hold for additional profit. Complete Trade Walkthrough 1. Entry Analysis: Pattern Recognition & Confluence: Descending Flag (Bullish): You identified and entered at the top of a descending flag, which is a continuation pattern in a bullish market. The breakout from this flag confirmed the upward momentum, making this a high-probability trade. Confluence Factors: Breakout Confirmation: Price broke through the descending resistance line, signaling a continuation of the bullish trend. Support Zone: The prior lows acted as strong support, providing additional confidence that the price would move higher after the breakout. This was an excellent, well-timed entry based on price structure. You entered right as the market broke out of the flag, aligning with a momentum-based strategy. 2. Price Action (PA) Analysis: Impulse and Correction Structure: Impulse Move: After the breakout, price made an impulsive leg upwards, which you capitalized on. This impulsive move is common following a flag pattern breakout, and the price shot up quickly, reflecting a strong buying pressure. Correction: You entered just before the impulsive leg, after a period of corrective consolidation, which validated your timing. Once price pushed up, there was a brief consolidation before continuing the uptrend. Momentum Continuation: Price made higher highs after your exit, indicating that momentum was still intact. The price action displayed clear continuation signals following the breakout, suggesting that the market was still trending upwards. 3. Trade Management: Time in the Trade: You were in this trade for 3.5 hours, which aligns with the short-term nature of this flag breakout. However, the trade ran further, reaching up to 350 pips. Profit Targeting: Initial Take Profit (100 pips): You wisely took 100 pips as price approached a prior high. However, the fact that price continued upwards suggests that you might have captured more pips using alternative techniques. Exit Consideration: 100 Pips Exit: While exiting at a previous high is logical, the lack of signs of reversal (e.g., no strong bearish candles or rejection at key resistance levels) indicated there was still room for the move to extend. The price continuing upward shows that the bullish momentum was strong, and you could have held on for a larger move. Stop-Loss Placement: You didn’t mention your stop-loss, but if you placed it below the structure of the flag (and adjusted it accordingly), this would have allowed you to reduce risk and hold for a longer run. 4. Potential Improvements: Higher Time Frame Analysis (HTF Confluence): HTF Context: Had you zoomed out to a higher time frame (1H or 4H), you may have seen that the breakout was part of a larger bullish trend, indicating there was potential for the move to continue beyond the 100-pip target. Price Momentum: The momentum post-breakout on smaller time frames was strong. Checking the HTF would have given more confidence that this wasn’t just a short-term spike, but rather part of a more significant trend​​. Trailing Stop Strategy: Trailing Stops: Once your trade was 100 pips in profit, instead of closing the position entirely, you could have moved your stop-loss up to lock in some profits. This way, you could ride the larger move while managing risk. Example: After 100 pips, trail your stop just below the previous consolidation or a key structure (e.g., 50 pips back), allowing the trade to breathe and move further in your favor​​. Extended Profit Targeting: Fibonacci Extensions: By using Fibonacci extensions, you could have projected extended profit targets beyond the initial 100 pips. Typically, a flag breakout can lead to an impulse equal to the size of the flagpole, offering more opportunities to scale out of the trade gradually.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Adlercon333
Unlock the Market's Hidden Rollercoaster: How to Ride the WavesXau/Usd Review with my trading personality As a Whimsical Rollercoaster Enthusiast, your trading style is likely driven by the excitement of quick market movements and the thrill of capturing early trades. You're probably someone who thrives on dynamic entries, enjoys the fast-paced action, and may have a more intuitive approach to the market. Let’s blend that with risk management to balance your adventurous spirit while still keeping a solid trading plan. Technical Review for a Whimsical Rollercoaster Trader: 1. Key Levels to Watch: 2,595 (Resistance) and 2,580 (Support) are your playgrounds right now. You’re drawn to the thrill of what might happen at these zones. If price pushes toward 2,595, you might feel an urge to jump in, expecting an immediate reaction. However, I encourage you to: Embrace your adventurous nature but temper it with tactical precision. Let the level hit and then wait for a quick confirmation (like a wick rejection or a mini pullback). This gives you both the excitement of early entry and higher probability without losing your edge. Scenario: Price pushes toward 2,595. Here, your Risk Entry could be triggered: Risk-Entry Plan: Enter short at the first rejection of 2,595. Set a tight stop-loss just above the liquidity zone (2,600), respecting your love for quick moves but protecting from being shaken out too soon. Target the 2,580 area first, knowing the ride might be wild but worth it. Why it suits you: It’s a quick decision, satisfying your need for speed, while the tight stop-loss aligns with managing risk. You get that thrill, but within guardrails. 2. Confirmation Entry – Building Momentum: Confirmation Entries might feel a bit “slow” to you, but they can help ensure you stay in the game longer. Consider them when you want to ride bigger moves, not just quick scalp trades. Scenario: If price breaks through 2,595, wait for a retest to confirm this zone is now support. Here’s where you bring in your whimsical nature: instead of waiting too long, spot a smaller timeframe pattern, like a bullish engulfing candle or a rejection wick, and go long. Confirmation-Entry Plan: Enter long at the retest of 2,595 after a clear rejection pattern. Think of it as waiting for the next loop on the rollercoaster — the bigger move is coming, and you want to be on board for it. Set a slightly wider stop-loss, maybe under 2,580, to allow the trade to develop without getting knocked out early. Aim for the next higher liquidity zones, like 2,600 or 2,615. Why it suits you: This method still lets you catch the excitement of a momentum breakout, but the confirmation gives you more confidence. You still get the rush but with less risk of getting thrown out before the big move. 3. Patterns Within Patterns – Your Playground: As a Whimsical Rollercoaster Enthusiast, you probably love when the market shows intricate patterns — they're like hidden rollercoaster tracks, revealing sudden twists and turns. Scenario: If price breaks above 2,595, zoom into lower time frames and look for miniature patterns within the broader trend. You might find a bull flag within a larger ascending channel. Entering on these small corrective patterns can satisfy your need for fast-paced decision-making while riding the overall trend​. Plan: Use these smaller patterns for quick entries. Set your stops just outside the pattern, and take profits quickly as the price breaks out. Think of it as riding the small waves, but always looking for the bigger momentum move to follow. Why it suits you: You’re jumping in on short-term opportunities while always keeping an eye on the next big move. This keeps you engaged and allows you to take action when you feel that burst of adrenaline without losing sight of the bigger picture. 4. Managing Whimsical Risk: Stop-loss flexibility: As someone who enjoys spontaneity, a tight stop might feel restrictive but necessary. Here’s the compromise: Set initial stops tight (like just above 2,595 if shorting), but allow yourself room to evolve the trade based on market action. If the trade moves in your favor, quickly move the stop to breakeven. Mental Resilience: Losses will happen, but you need that mental discipline to jump back in without chasing every tick. Treat each trade like a separate rollercoaster ride — whether it’s a good or bad one, there’s always another one coming. Use your intuition and excitement to recognize evolving setups. But keep a few rules in place to avoid the pitfalls of impulsivity (e.g., no more than 3 trades per day on a single idea to avoid over-trading). 5. Incorporating the Rule of Three: For the rollercoaster trader, the Rule of Three is your ultimate guide. This rule asks you to identify at least three confirming factors before entering a trade​: Scenario: Price reaches 2,595: You see a rejection (touch #1). The lower time frame shows consolidation or a mini bear flag (touch #2). Momentum begins to fade (touch #3). Action: This triple confirmation allows you to short confidently, knowing you have the right mix of signals to back your bold entry. Why it suits you: The Rule of Three still gives you the excitement of quickly entering trades but ensures they are high-probability setups. It prevents you from overtrading out of sheer excitement while still letting you capture those thrilling moves. Summary Action Plan for a Whimsical Rollercoaster Trader: Risk Entry: When you feel the market is ready to react at key levels (like 2,595), dive in! But do it smartly — use tight stop-losses and a quick decision-making process. Think of it as jumping onto the coaster right before it starts moving. Confirmation Entry: Use this when you're looking for a bigger, smoother ride. Wait for the breakout-retest combo, then get in for the larger trend move. Stay patient here; it’s worth the wait. Patterns within Patterns: Zoom into the mini rollercoasters inside the bigger structure. Catch the small waves but keep your eyes on the longer ride. Trinity Rule : Ensure three factors align before entering. This rule keeps you disciplined while still embracing your whimsical nature.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Adlercon333
“Nasdaq's Target is 19,500”Today, there is an expectation of a 25 basis point rate cut in the Fed meeting. By the end of the year, a total rate cut of 100 basis points is almost certain. This situation leads to a positive risk appetite being effective on the indices. On the U.S. side, retail sales increased by 0.1%. Meanwhile, industrial production in the U.S. pointed to a positivity exceeding expectations with a 0.8% rise. Technically, if the resistance level at 19,500 is permanently surpassed, the rise could gain momentum towards the 19,700 and then 19,950 resistance levels. On the downside, if the index falls below the 19,100 level, a pullback towards the support levels at 18,800 and then 18,450 might be seen.
NASDAQ:NDX
by primequotes
Triple Your Trade Accuracy with This Simple Trick Like a PROGood Morning Tradingview, Apologies for the delay in my recent posts over the past two days. Unfortunately, this was due to an oversight on my part. I missed a key detail in the trading platform's rules and mistakenly included my watermark on the charts. As a result, several of my posts were removed, and I was temporarily unable to post for 24 hours. I completely understand and respect the platform's guidelines, but I wanted to keep you informed and ensure you're not left wondering about my absence. Here’s a breakdown of potential entry points and trade management based on the chart I've shared, aligned with multi-touch confirmation and The Trinity Rule. We'll focus on how to approach both the bullish and bearish scenarios with structured decision-making: 1. Bullish Scenario (Green Path): The price currently appears to be testing a weekly trendline (third touch), which often signals a potential bullish continuation after the third touch confirms a reversal or trend continuation. Here's how to structure the trade: Entry Point: Wait for a Breakout: If the price breaks and closes above the upper consolidation zone, look for a confirmed breakout with momentum. Avoid entering prematurely, as false breakouts can occur. Confirm with Retest (Higher Probability Entry): After the breakout, wait for a potential retest of the consolidation zone or the top of the ascending wedge. A retest that holds (with rejection wicks or bullish engulfing patterns) adds confirmation for a long position. Reduced Risk Entry: You can enter with a smaller position on the breakout and add to the position on the retest, increasing exposure as the price confirms your bias​​. Stop-Loss Placement: Place the stop-loss just below the consolidation zone or below the retested area. This level serves as your risk threshold, accounting for potential fakeouts. If you are entering after the third touch of the trendline, the stop-loss can be placed below this key level to minimize risk​. Take-Profit Targets: First Target: Aim for the next key resistance zone at around 2,576 based on historical price action. Second Target: If momentum is strong, hold a portion of the trade for a larger move toward 2,592 (upper resistance). Trail the stop as price continues to move upward​. 2. Bearish Scenario (Yellow Path): If the price fails to break above the current consolidation and rejects the trendline, it indicates a potential bearish reversal. The descending path might target the 1-hour liquidity zone around 2,541, where you can expect the price to react. Entry Point: Breakout of Consolidation: If the price breaks below the consolidation, this signals a bearish continuation. Enter on a confirmed breakout, with a strong bearish candle close below support. Aggressive Entry: You may consider entering on the third rejection at the top of the consolidation, especially if there's a clear bearish reversal pattern (e.g., shooting star or bearish engulfing)​​. Reduced Risk Entry: Wait for the price to break below the consolidation and enter on a retest of the broken support, confirming the bearish momentum. This provides a lower-risk entry with better confirmation​. Stop-Loss Placement: Above the consolidation or the most recent swing high where rejection occurred, giving enough room for market fluctuations. Ensure that the stop isn’t too tight, as you could get caught in price noise​. Take-Profit Targets: First Target: The 15-minute liquidity zone around 2,560 is a reasonable first target, where you may partially close your position. Final Target: The key 1-hour liquidity zone at 2,541 is the more substantial target for a full bearish continuation. Be mindful of how price reacts near this zone; you may want to take profits before a reversal happens​​. Management Tips: Scaling In and Out: Whether bullish or bearish, consider splitting your position into smaller entries. This allows you to enter part of the trade with confirmation and add more as price action continues in your favor. Use of Flags for Re-entries: After the initial breakout in either direction, look for flags or continuation patterns to re-enter the trade or add to an existing position. For example, after a bullish breakout, wait for a flag and enter on the next wave up​​. Regular Monitoring and Adjustments: As the price moves in your favor, trail your stop-loss to lock in profits. This is especially important during strong momentum moves to avoid giving back profits to the market. Psychological Considerations: Avoid FOMO: Don’t rush into trades if you're unsure about the breakout or failure of a level. Let the price action confirm your bias. Avoid Overtrading: Stick to your Rule of Three guidelines. Ensure at least three confirming factors align with your analysis before entering​.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Adlercon333
Brace yourself! Gold is on the verge of SMASHING $2,590! Hello my friends, I hope you're having a great day! Right now, the price of gold (XAU/USD) is stable around $2,570, influenced by key factors like expectations of a rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) and weaker retail sales data in the U.S. If gold breaks above the $2,589 resistance, we could see a strong rally toward $2,610. On the flip side, if it drops to the $2,530 support level, this could be a buying opportunity with hopes of a bounce back toward $2,580 and beyond. In the short term, gold may experience a slight correction as the RSI approaches overbought levels, but the medium-term uptrend remains intact. If inflation continues to rise and central banks struggle to control it, gold could break through current resistance and set new highs. With the right strategy, investors can take advantage of these fluctuations to profit from short-term corrections and gold's long-term upward trend.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by JustinBlade
2
“The EUR/USD target is 1.11500”Last week, the ECB cut its interest rate by 25 basis points, in line with market expectations. ECB President Lagarde did not make any commitments for October but indicated that rates are on a downward path. As a result, pricing in favor of the Euro strengthened, with the EUR/USD pair reaching the 1.1130 level. As the new week began, the pair faced mild selling pressure but maintained prices above the 1.11 level. From a technical perspective, if the upward trend continues and the 1.1150 resistance is broken, the next resistance levels to watch are 1.1190 and 1.1275. On the downside, if pricing drops below the 1.1115 level, 1.1045 and 1.10 could act as important support levels for further declines.
by primequotes
Trend lines - how to build them and how to use them?Before we dive into the world of trend lines, I recommend familiarizing yourself with the support and resistance zone Here we go: Trend lines are one of the most universal tools for trading in any market, used in intraday, swing and position trading strategies. Properly drawn on charts, they help to predict the direction of price movement and identify trend reversals. In addition, trend lines help you to accurately determine the optimal entry and exit points, as well as set a stop loss. It is recommended not to rely on trend lines alone, but to integrate them with other methods of technical analysis, expanding your trading arsenal. Often many traders draw too many lines, it is uninformative and useless How to place trend lines on a chart? An uptrend is a combination of at least two pullbacks Similar in a downtrend: Instructions for markings: Find at least two points on the chart Connect them with a line But, let's remember the Axiom: 1. Randomness 2. Coincidence. 3. Regularity Until a trendline is pushed back a third time - it is considered unconfirmed... Once the third bounce has occurred, the line can be considered valid, but does not guarantee that it will necessarily bounce the fourth time! Like all patterns in the market, trend patterns can be drawn on any timeframe, also - they are more effective on older ones (as well as all others) How to use trend lines in your trading? Frequent trades from a trend line are rebound or breakout trades Example: Trendline confirmed (bounced three times) - on the fourth approach we can pay attention - what happens next? Price will either bounce from our trendline again or there will be a breakout Next example: How can we determine whether there will be a breakout or a bounce? As I said before, you need to take into account the context: indicators, price action, nearby levels and so on (it all depends on your psychology) How do trend lines fit together? Support and resistance levels are areas on a chart that indicate potential pressure (on a side) The same principle applies to trend lines. The only difference is that trend lines are sloped rather than horizontal. How to properly label/draw trend lines? Which trend lines are important and which ones should be ignored? Focus only on the major pivot points Connect at least two major pivot points. Adjust the slope of the line to get the most amount of price touching the line, whether it is the shadows of candles or their bodies. Important clarification - trend lines represent a support zone, not specific levels. How can you use trend lines? The trend is our friend. Where the trend goes, so goes we. Trading against the trend is foolish. If you do decide to do it, it must be justified! Trend lines are the direction of the current market. Also the trend line itself can be divided into two positions: If the trend becomes flatter, it means that the market is moving into a state of consolidation If the trend is becoming steeper, it means that the trend is getting stronger (or perhaps it is reaching its climax and is approaching its final stage). Trend Lines Entry Point: Like all other patterns in technical analysis or price action - trend lines can help you find a more favorable entry point in terms of risk-to-reward ratio How to use a trend line to identify a market reversal? Chances are you have encountered this before. There is a trend line breakout, you are already expecting a trend reversal, but the market continues its original movement Like all indicators/patterns - not a panacea. Each strategy has its own risks, just when we add other osnovnopologologayuschih signs to one strategy, the chance of risking a loss - decreases! Technique for determining a trend reversal: Wait for a trend breakout Wait for a lower low/maximum to form. If the price breaks the previous minimum/maximum, most likely the trend will go in the direction of the breakdown...
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by truepersonal
13
10:1 Risk-to-Reward Setup - Bull Flag Breakout with Multi-TimeThis trade setup shows a confluence of multiple factors, aligning with a high-probability approach. Here's the breakdown: Bull Flag Breakout: The trade initiates after identifying a bull flag, which is a common continuation pattern following an impulsive upward move. This flag signals consolidation before a further upward push. The breakout from the bull flag gives a strong entry point. Entry Criteria: The entry was placed at 2560.404, slightly above the breakout area, ensuring momentum confirmation. A Stop-Loss (SL) of 30 pips was positioned below the structure, protecting the trade while allowing enough room for price fluctuations. This is crucial to avoid tight stops that may trigger prematurely​​. Key Support/Resistance Levels: 5M Lower Time Frame (LTF) S/R: This level acts as a lower frame confirmation zone, ensuring support below the bull flag breakout. 15M Support/Resistance (S/R): The larger structure aligns with the 5-minute support, adding strength to the trade by recognizing that price is supported by multiple timeframes​​. Target (TP) and Higher Time Frame (HTF) Confluence: 300 Pips TP is based on the HTF Trendline, offering a solid risk-to-reward ratio of 10:1. This suggests the trade is aligned with a broader market trend, increasing the probability of success​. Zone of Liquidity (LQZ): 5M LQZ represents a liquidity grab, further confirming that the market might push upwards after grabbing liquidity near support​​. Key Confluences: Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Price action supports the move on both lower and higher timeframes. Risk Management: A well-defined stop-loss ensures minimal risk with a substantial reward target. Pattern Identification: The bull flag within the trend adds reliability, as flags in impulsive moves offer strong continuation signals​​. This trade follows the "Rule of Three," where at least three confirmations (bull flag, multiple timeframe support, and risk/reward alignment) give the highest probability of success​​.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Adlercon333
Gold is flying. Macroscopic 3 Month zoom.The Gold party is still healty? 15 days are left for this 3M session to close and still has not found Its ATH high. lets see where this candle close. Taking a look at this giant timeframe trying to give some insightful notations. The big bullflag breakout has been impressive, since it broke the last all time high in Friday 07 August 20' at $2,075 price has not looked back. Giving outstanding returns from its last 3M higher low at $1,810 with a stairstep fashion during almost 12 months the top is not in sight and the uptrend is the best example of a strong one! How high can we go? Answer is very high! Twelve days are left for an entire year cicle favoring the bulls and It seems like the party has not finished. Gold started a 3 Month uptrend, It broke a 3M triple top at $2,075 shaped by the bullflag. Spawned as the last All Time High four years ago and staying in play for 45 months. The last time Gold started a 3M uptrend, It happened at Thursday 20 Jun '19 around $1,375. Counting the candles for this 3M timeframe, from the last swing higher low at $1,160 the result is 7 consecutive sessions favoring convincingly the bulls. That is 21 months or almost two years. How long this current Gold bull market will last? Answer is I dont know. I will be looking for clues and hints for temporary tops in lower timeframes.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by hectordsd
EURUSD Momentum Break: Trade Setup and Alternative ScenarioBased on this morning’s analysis, we’ve seen a break above the momentum high, signalling that buyers remain confident the EURUSD isn’t too overvalued. As a straightforward principle, we trade what we observe. Buy above the momentum high, aiming for the next decision point at 1.1140 (H4 Structural Point). Stop Loss: What gets you in, gets you out! Technically, if the price drops back below the momentum high (1.10899), it will be a negative signal for buyers. Therefore, we’ll set a conservative stop at 1.1085. Profit Target: 1.1134 (Fibonacci Target) 1.1140 (Structural Target) Alternative Scenario: If the price breaks below 1.1085, buying is no longer advised. We will reverse the position for a trend reset trade towards the Fibonacci buy zone range of . Happy Trading!
Long
by Charts247TradingAcademy
1
“The gold price is going up”In the US, the Producer Price Index (PPI) experienced a slight slowdown in August. Weekly unemployment benefit claims rose by 2,000, reaching 230,000. Following this data release, the decline in the dollar deepened. Meanwhile, the yield on 10-year US Treasury bonds fell to 3.62%. As a result, gold prices tested the 2570 resistance level. From a technical perspective, if prices remain consistently above the 2570 resistance level, an increase to 2600 and then to 2650 could occur. On the downside, if the price falls below the 2570 support level, a pullback could extend to 2535 and then to 2482.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by primequotes
Gold Trading Strategy: A Professional Approach to XAUUSD 👀 👉 This comprehensive video presents a sophisticated trading plan for the XAUUSD (Gold/US Dollar) market, designed to maximize profitability through a structured approach. We delve into crucial aspects of technical analysis and leverage TradingView's advanced tools to gain a competitive edge in the markets. Key topics covered include: 1. Trend identification and analysis 2. Entry and exit criteria 3. Market overextension assessment 4. Discount entry strategies aligned with institutional positioning 5. Higher timeframe trend analysis combined with 4-hour chart entry points 6. Price action and market structure interpretation Our methodology emphasizes the importance of avoiding premium entries in bullish markets and instead focuses on identifying optimal discount entry opportunities. By aligning our strategy with institutional movements, we aim to enhance the probability of successful trades. The video provides a detailed exploration of various technical analysis components, including: - Trend analysis techniques - Market structure interpretation - Price action patterns - Overextension indicators - Traded Volume indicators - Multi-timeframe analysis (higher timeframe trend combined with 4-hour chart entries) This comprehensive approach to XAUUSD trading is designed to equip traders with the tools and knowledge necessary to navigate the gold market effectively and potentially increase their trading success. Disclaimer: Trading in financial markets carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The information provided in this video is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consider your financial situation before making any investment decisions. Trade responsibly and use proper risk management techniques. 📉✅
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by fxtraderanthony
17
Catch Big Market Moves: How to Trade Liquidity Zones Like a Pro The charts provided showcase potential scenarios based on different liquidity zones (LQZ) on multiple timeframes, such as 15M, 1H, and 4H. Let's break down the key insights from the images: Key Levels: Weekly Flag Trendline: This yellow trendline represents the long-term trend and acts as a major resistance or support. It’s crucial to monitor price action around this level for significant moves. 4HR LQZ (Liquidity Zone) at 2,532.077: This level signifies an important area of liquidity on the 4-hour chart. It’s a potential reversal point or continuation area depending on how the price interacts with it. 1HR LQZ and 15M LQZ: These shorter timeframe liquidity zones are at 2,482.129 and 2,470.544 respectively. They act as interim targets or bounce zones based on the smaller trend movements. Price Action Context: Wedge Formation: The rising wedge pattern visible in all the charts, combined with slowing momentum near the top, suggests possible bearish pressure. Wedges often lead to sharp breakouts, so a breakout to the downside would align with the wedge structure. Multi-Touch Confirmation: The multiple touches on trendlines, both support and resistance, increase the probability of significant movements. This concept is supported by multi-touch confirmation techniques​. Scenario Planning: Upside Potential: A breakout above the 4HR LQZ suggests further bullish momentum, likely toward higher liquidity zones. This can result in a continuation to the upside, as shown with the green line projection on some charts. Downside Risks: A breakdown below the wedge support and failing to hold the 15M or 1HR LQZ may lead to a bearish move toward the lower liquidity targets. The yellow line projections suggest a pullback to 2,485.055 and potentially lower. The Trinity Rule Approach: Confluence Setup: If price interacts with three major zones (like the 4HR LQZ, wedge support, and Weekly Flag Trendline), we can assess whether these align with other signals. This rule adds extra confirmation for higher-probability setups, as discussed in your document​​. Overall, price action shows a decision point around the wedge and liquidity zones, with strong reactions expected in either direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Adlercon333
3
Why Most Traders Fail—and How You Can Succeed!The charts you provided showcase potential scenarios based on different liquidity zones (LQZ) on multiple timeframes, such as 15M, 1H, and 4H. Let's break down the key insights from the images: Key Levels: Weekly Flag Trendline: This yellow trendline represents the long-term trend and acts as a major resistance or support. It’s crucial to monitor price action around this level for significant moves. 4HR LQZ (Liquidity Zone) at 2,532.077: This level signifies an important area of liquidity on the 4-hour chart. It’s a potential reversal point or continuation area depending on how the price interacts with it. 1HR LQZ and 15M LQZ: These shorter timeframe liquidity zones are at 2,482.129 and 2,470.544 respectively. They act as interim targets or bounce zones based on the smaller trend movements. Price Action Context: Wedge Formation: The rising wedge pattern visible in all the charts, combined with slowing momentum near the top, suggests possible bearish pressure. Wedges often lead to sharp breakouts, so a breakout to the downside would align with the wedge structure. Multi-Touch Confirmation: The multiple touches on trendlines, both support and resistance, increase the probability of significant movements. This concept is supported by multi-touch confirmation techniques​. Scenario Planning: Upside Potential: A breakout above the 4HR LQZ suggests further bullish momentum, likely toward higher liquidity zones. This can result in a continuation to the upside, as shown with the green line projection on some charts. Downside Risks: A breakdown below the wedge support and failing to hold the 15M or 1HR LQZ may lead to a bearish move toward the lower liquidity targets. The yellow line projections suggest a pullback to 2,485.055 and potentially lower. The Trinity Rule Approach: Confluence Setup: If price interacts with three major zones (like the 4HR LQZ, wedge support, and Weekly Flag Trendline), we can assess whether these align with other signals. This rule adds extra confirmation for higher-probability setups, as discussed in your document​​. Overall, price action shows a decision point around the wedge and liquidity zones, with strong reactions expected in either direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Adlercon333
DAX Index Recovers Its Losses!Following the release of the U.S. non-farm payroll report, which came in below expectations, market risk appetite weakened. The DAX index also accelerated its decline, targeting the 18,257 support level. Expectations for a Fed rate cut have strengthened to 50 basis points, while the ECB is expected to lower rates by 25 basis points at its meeting this week. Technically, if the 18,285 level is broken on the downside, a pullback could extend first to the 18,075 support and then to 17,920. On the upside, if the price holds above the 18,500 resistance, buying could push the index first towards the 18,700 resistance and then to 18,900.
XETR:DAX
by primequotes
US2000 Selloff | Small Caps Looking FrailLot's going on in this picture, my apologies for all the noise. Consistent with the overall market and recently published indexes, I am looking for more downside in US Domestic small-cap stocks. If you thought or if you were influenced that this inflation bubble economy would persist forever, I advise you consider a different source of information. "Do your own research" does NOT mean, go find something that agrees with your preferences. Rather, #DYOR as the kids say, is an opportunity for individuals and teams alike to look deep within themselves and ask if they have what it takes to achieve: honesty, humility, and truth.
OANDA:US2000USDShort
by ChiefMacro
The BEST Shortcut to Consistent Trades: Multi-Timeframe Magic!Here’s a **top-down analysis** of the **XAUUSD (Gold Spot)** based on the charts and liquidity zones (LQZ) , starting from the **higher timeframes** to the **lower timeframes**. This approach helps to align trade decisions with the broader market context. 1. Weekly Timeframe: - Weekly Flag Trendline: The price is testing the upper boundary of a long-term flag pattern. This flag could be seen as a **continuation pattern** in a larger bullish market structure. - Scenario: A breakout above this weekly flag would suggest the resumption of the broader **uptrend**, targeting significant levels around **$2,600 and higher**. - Bearish Risk: A strong rejection from this trendline could signal a larger pullback, potentially targeting support around **$2,470** (Daily LQZ) or lower. 2. Daily Timeframe: - Trend: The daily structure shows price building towards testing resistance at the **4-hour LQZ** of **$2,532.144**. If momentum continues, a breakout could confirm a larger bullish push. - Daily LQZ: Located at **$2,470.804**, this is a critical support level. A break below it would signal a change in the market structure towards more bearish conditions. 3. 4-Hour Timeframe: - **4-Hour LQZ**: Key resistance at **$2,532.144**. If this is breached, it confirms a breakout of the flag on higher timeframes, leading to a stronger bullish move. A failure to break this level could trigger a reversal back to lower support zones. - Pattern: The current price action is consolidating near the top of the wedge, indicating indecision but with potential to resolve upwards if the breakout sustains. 4. 1-Hour Timeframe: - Support: **1-hour LQZ** at **$2,513.704** acts as immediate support. It’s vital to monitor how price reacts around this area. A hold above this level suggests bulls remain in control. - Entry Considerations: Watch for a clean breakout above the **weekly flag trendline** with price closing above the **4-hour LQZ** and respecting the **1-hour LQZ** during pullbacks. A break of this support may invalidate the bullish scenario, leading to downside risks. Key Scenarios: 1. Bullish (Preferred): - A breakout above the weekly flag pattern, supported by a breakout of the **4-hour LQZ** at **$2,532.144**, would signal a continuation of the bullish trend. - Target higher levels around **$2,560** initially, with potential further upside towards **$2,600** if momentum remains strong. 2. Bearish (Risk Scenario): - A failure to break the **4-hour LQZ** or a rejection at the weekly flag trendline, coupled with a break below the **1-hour LQZ** at **$2,513.704**, could lead to a move lower. - Targets for shorts would include the **Daily LQZ** at **$2,470.804**, with further downside to **$2,420** and **$2,402** if bearish momentum builds. Confluence Factors: - The alignment between the **weekly flag breakout** and price respecting **lower timeframe LQZ** levels will be crucial for confirming a sustained trend. - Conversely, any rejection and failure to hold these levels could shift bias towards downside risks. Conclusion: This **top-down analysis** favors a **bullish breakout**, but careful monitoring is required at critical resistance levels. Risk should be managed tightly around the **1-hour and 4-hour LQZs** to confirm trend direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Adlercon333