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💡 XAUUSD: Reversal signalGold price suddenly dropped sharply in the last session when sellers returned around the 2060 resistance zone. Currently, the price has been forced to fall below the 2040 conversion price zone and is testing the previously broken down channel. Observing on the daily frame, we also see a very noticeable bearish engulfing pattern that has just appeared. The situation has changed, these price behaviors show that the buyers no longer control the market and the possibility that the price will decrease in the short term, you should temporarily suspend the buying strategy. Pay attention to the 2020 zone, if it is completely broken, the target that the bears aim for could be 1980.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Stone_Haven
💡 XAUUSD: Accumulation price compression phaseD1 gold increased yesterday, but the price bar created had a very narrow amplitude and was inside the previous price bar, creating a price action combo of inside bar + Narrow range bar, showing the cumulative price compression period. The gold D1 chart structure is still moving sideways. H1 gold, after breaking out of the upper border of the lower price frame, is slowing down and cannot continue its upward trend because it has not yet created a higher price peak. Today the expectation is to continue waiting to buy H1 gold from the support zone below. If the price falls deeper, you can switch to waiting to sell gold because it is a sign of weakness.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Stone_Haven
NZDCAD - Range BreakoutNZDCAD has been ranging since December 2023. More specifically, this range formed in early December (of 2023) when price failed to form a new higher high. I've been monitoring this pair on and off. While I have observed previous fake breakouts, or fakeouts, I would say the confidence level that this latest breakout holds is much higher. This comes down to one simple reason - today's close. The bearish bar was strong and cleanly closed below the lower range boundary.
Short
by FinancialGamblR
1
Trends to finish this week and into next weekStill sitting short at 4805, at the time of recording I was slightly in the negative, but since we have pulled back down as expected and I'm in a profit zone. The trends are well explained in the video, but most important takeaway is that a new 4hr downtrend coming in below 4808 will signal a lower low, as will a 6hr downtrend coming in below 4759. These two movements would open us up, in accordance with trends, to further movement down. Trends are as follows; Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract) 30m - 4817 Uptrend (1/12/2024) Higher High 1Hr - 4807 Downtrend (1/11/2024) Higher Low 2Hr - 4790 Downtrend (1/11/2024) Lower Low 3Hr - 4790 Downtrend (1/11/2024) Lower Low 4Hr - 4770 Uptrend (1/8/2024) Lower High 6Hr - 4797 Uptrend (1/8/2024) Higher High 12Hr - 4762 Downtrend (1/3/2024) Higher Low Daily - 4378 Uptrend (11/3/2023) Higher High Weekly - 4769 Uptrend (12/11/2023) Higher High Economic Data; PPI is today, I don't see it have a major weight into the market though as we had CPI, which weighs more heavily, yesterday. Geopolitical; US and British forces hit Houthi targets, furthering tensions in the Middle East. This is why Oil has rocketed up 4% thus far on the day. The higher oil goes, the more that price could bleed into inflation, and also the tension could cause some concern for supply-chain issues. Side Note; I did go Long on two ZMZ24 (Soybean Meal for December maturity) contracts yesterday at 360. I plan to hold until around 370 and evaluate further to see if they will reach the 'predicted' target of 401. I do not trade Soybean products often, it is more of a oversold historically position than a knowledge of how Soybeans work. My sentiment going forward in the ES Futures Market is; Shorter Term - Bearish Short Term - Bearish Medium Term - Bearish/Neutral Long Term - Bullish Safe trading, and as always, remember your risk management plan.
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by SemperTrader
💡 EURUSD: Forecast January 15EURUSD still cannot escape the narrow range around the edge of the rising price channel. The bullish structure still exists and we still have long positions targeting around 1.1200. However, it should be noted that accumulation around the lower border of the price channel for too long is an unfavorable signal for sellers, especially when there has previously been a strong downward wave. You can hold the position but need to set SL below the 1.0900 zone to prevent the price from reversing and falling.
Long
by Stone_Haven
💡 XAUUSD: Predict the next actionAs feared, gold prices increased sharply in the last session of the week, confirming the creation of a bottom at the support area around the 2020 level with a double-bottom model and the breaking of the short-term falling channel. This price behavior shows the possibility that the price may return to an upward trend. The short-term target will be around the old peak around the 2080 resistance level. Those who catch a short-term reversal can consider buying.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Stone_Haven
💡 GBPUSD: Waiting for new signalAlthough down, last Friday's D1 GBPUSD bar has the form of a bullish pinbar pattern, showing buying pressure from below. Right in front is also a bullish pinbar. Although it is moving sideways and accumulating in the inside bar model, GBPUSD D1 is putting pressure on the upper border, easily leading to a break to the upside. The accumulation structure with upward sloping price bottoms and sideways price peaks creates upward price pressure for GBPUSD H1, which is the reason for continuing to choose buying ideas for GBPUSD today.
Long
by Stone_Haven
#Oil possible more bearish moveThe bearish move that we see in this chart, which started on September 28th, has formed two bearish channels, preventing the price from going higher seven times so far. As you can see on Friday, January 12th, with the geopolitical news from the Red Sea conflict, the price attempted to form a bullish breakout of the smaller channel but got rejected from the larger channel. As a result of this rejection, not only did the price form a daily shooting star candlestick pattern , but also the bullish breakout now seems like a false breakout, signaling the potential for further bearish movement in oil. We can also see that we have a bearish trendline on Stochastic oscillator which also bring more selling pressure on this commodity. If you've found this analysis helpful, please take a moment to like, comment, or share your thoughts with me.
CAPITALCOM:OIL_CRUDEShort
by mohemati
💡 XAUUSD: Unpredictable fluctuationsInternational gold prices remained stable, hovering above $2,000 per ounce, as they did not experience an increase. This stability is attributed to the impact of a report revealing that the number of US workers applying for unemployment benefits last week was lower than anticipated. This development serves as evidence that the US economy is in a recovery phase, with inflation being effectively managed. Consequently, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) has opted to postpone any interest rate cuts. This decision has caused gold to lose its competitive edge when compared to alternative investment avenues. According to the CME Fedwatch tool, the likelihood of a 25 percentage point rate cut in March decreased from 69.6% to 63.6%. Gold expert Jim Wyckoff from Kitco commented that gold is unlikely to experience an uptick by the week's end, given the ongoing recovery of the US dollar and the increase in US Government bond yields observed in the previous week. Tim Waterer, a market analyst at KCM Trade, pointed out that the stability of the US dollar and bond yields is exerting pressure on the gold market.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Stone_Haven
Gold - Weekly Outlook at 2,035 LevelGold, or XAUUSD depending on which ticker you go by is playing around an interesting weekly level. The 2,035 level has been touched four times since 2020. August 2020: first touch and then sold off July 2022: second touch and then had a stronger selloff January 2023: third touch and then followed by a weaker selloff November 2023: fourth touch and no selloff reaction Depending on how price reacts around the 2,035 level for the week ahead, this will be very interesting to observe for the week ahead.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by FinancialGamblR
CADJPY - One of Three Yen Trend TradesCADJPY is one of three Japanese yen pairs that I held through the weekend. the other two pairs are EURJPY and SGDJPY as they share very similar price action patterns. The selloff in December 2023 seemed short-lived to me so I found an opportunity to enter long earlier this month. My best guess for the selloff is the collective premature anticipation of interest rate cuts in 2024. From a price action standpoint, I quickly developed another sentiment. High level summary below: After a retracement, price failed to push to a new lower low. The relative low forms a new range boundary. Price breaks above the upper range boundary and holds, which signals further upside momentum. I'm not the biggest fan of how this pair, along with EURJPY and SGDJPY, closed last week. Seeing two down days certainly poses a risk that this uptrend may not continue for the week ahead.
Long
by FinancialGamblR
💡 XAUUSD: Deep reduction abilityThe market recently received information that the World Bank (WB) has forecast that the global economic outlook may still be weak, but with Latin America increasing compared to 2023. Specifically, the World Bank has forecast that Latin America's gross domestic product (GDP) in 2024 will increase slightly compared to the 2.2% recorded last year, and is expected to increase to 2.5% this year. 2025. Goldman Sachs Bank (USA) forecasts that the global economy will grow by 2.6% next year, higher than the 2.1% estimate of economists in a Bloomberg survey. The US is also expected to grow by 2.1%, higher than other developed countries. Experts say that when inflation is lower or equal to forecasts, gold prices will fall further. Because major economies like the US and Latin America continue to recover well, central banks will reduce pressure on interest rates. When interest rates remain high, it will also make gold - an asset that shelters cash flow - less attractive
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Stone_Haven
4750 Target met, trends in some conflict nowSo, we did hit that 4750 range, and ended up hitting it within just a few hours of my assessment that was the next area for us to head. That opens up a few trends to take us lower, specifically the 1hr and 2hr, as seen below in the trends; Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract) 30m - 4722 Downtrend (1/8/2024) Lower Low 1Hr - 4757 Uptrend (1/5/2024) Lower High 2Hr - 4757 Uptrend (1/5/2024) Lower High 3Hr - 4808 Downtrend (12/29/2023) Higher Low 4Hr - 4808 Downtrend (12/29/2023) Higher Low 6Hr - 4759 Downtrend (12/20/2023) Higher Low 12Hr - 4762 Uptrend (1/3/2024) Higher Low Daily - 4378 Uptrend (11/3/2023) Higher High Weekly - 4769 Uptrend (12/11/2023) Higher High So now the shorter timeframe trends are in some conflict with the longer timeframe trends, and being I capitalized well last week, I am in no rush to get between this fight. Economic Data; I could see the public debt today being a big issue, but the major one this week will be CPI data on Thursday, as covered in the video. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to be a concern as well. My sentiment is; Shorter Term - Neutral Short Term - Neutral Medium Term - Neutral/Bullish Long Term - Bullish Safe trading, and remember your risk management.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by SemperTrader
3