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Trendtrading

Trends heading into a conflict area; Other factors in reviewSo I chose to cash out my trade at 4760 for about $2250. Trends have a huge case to send us lower, especially if the 6hour keeps signaling lower. All the trends between 30m and 4hr are ALL in a lower low downtrend at the moment. The trends are as follows; Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract) 30m - 4778 Downtrend (1/17/2024) Lower Low 1Hr - 4761 Downtrend (1/17/2024) Lower Low 2Hr - 4790 Downtrend (1/11/2024) Lower Low 3Hr - 4790 Downtrend (1/11/2024) Lower Low 4Hr - 4777 Downtrend (1/8/2024) Lower Low 6Hr - 4797 Uptrend (1/8/2024) Higher High 12Hr - 4762 Downtrend (1/3/2024) Higher Low Daily - 4378 Uptrend (11/3/2023) Higher High Weekly - 4769 Uptrend (12/11/2023) Higher High **Note - The 1hr was signaling during the video, it did solidify since so I included the updated in this brief. That will put the 30m to 6hr downtrends against the 12hr violated uptrend, and pending daily higher low uptrend as well once it signals. As I explain in the video, I see the potential of a conflict zone here, and given my significant profit for the month already, I will likely look elsewhere for additional trades for the moment. Other things to look at- Earnings; We are in Earnings season. Mostly banks this week. They have been mixed overall. Next week is a much bigger week with Microsoft, Netflix, Tesla, and more reporting. To note, there has not been a negative earnings season overall yet recently, even during the bear market of 2022 into 2023. Economic Data; Fed Waller spoke about small and few rate cuts, that the market is overly optimistic in the view of how many cuts they expect, and the retail sales data today supports the FOMC ability to choose not to cut rates until they feel very confident inflation is down and will stay that way. Geopolitical; Tension in the Middle East continues to rise, so I'd keep having an eye on that. If oil prices surge (they haven't, in spite of attempts by OPEC to make them and general sentiment they will) that will bleed back into inflationary pressure. My overall sentiment; Shorter Term - Neutral Short Term - Neutral Medium Term - Neutral/slight bullish Long Term - Bullish My ZM contracts were stopped out today unfortunately, as I picked up December contracts that didn't nearly pop up like the other ZM contracts of 2024, so I am on the hunt for other potential investments for the moment. Many of those are currency exchanges such as 6J, 6A, and potentially the 6E again if it drops a bit more. Safe trading, and remember your risk management.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by SemperTrader
💡 EURUSD: Forecast January 22ANALYSIS TODAY: After consecutive bullish reversal signals including the spinning top and pin bar pattern, the price has recovered slightly in the past session, however it has not yet broken the short-term downtrend line and has not created a new high, so The situation has not yet changed significantly. You continue to be wary of the possibility of a bullish reversal. If you still have a short position, you need to maintain the SL above 1.09. Indicator is used: - Chandelier Exit - EMA - MACD
Long
by Stone_Haven
GOLD: Prime Selling Opportunity Unveiled by Harmonic Symmetry!GOLD has recently breached its downside structure. Currently, the price is undergoing a corrective phase on the 1-hour timeframe, characterized by the presence of a Gartley symmetry. This harmonic pattern is poised to conclude at a highly probable supply level. In the event of the successful completion of this harmonic pattern, a robust selling opportunity is anticipated, as visually depicted on the accompanying chart.
CAPITALCOM:GOLDShort
by Koolermactrez
INJECTIVE|The beginning of the BEARISH trend?Hello guys, I hope you are doing well. Have you seen Bitcoin? I hope you have used it. Let's check the ING currency, the four-hour time is inside a trending range, it has tried several times to stabilize higher ceilings, but was unsuccessful, now it has fallen again when it reaches the four-hour supply area and has entered the form of a descending channel. It is registering lower highs and lower lows, on the other hand, Bitcoin has fallen, which is not without effect. Currently, the four-hour demand area has stopped ING from falling, if this area is broken down, the selling pressure will increase and it can easily fall to the $29 and $19 targets. Pay attention to the demand area (32.20-33.80), by breaking this area, look for selling positions.
Short
by Golden_Star1994
💡 EURUSD: Analysis January 19Indicator is used: - Chandelier Exit - EMA - MACD Re-tested the 1.09 conversion resistance zone in the last session, but the selling force returned and prevented the price from rising above this level. However, observing on a daily basis we see a spindle - credit model. Potential reversal signal. Therefore, you need to be wary of the possibility of a price reversal to the upside. You can hold short positions according to the previous breakdown signal but the SL needs to be placed above the 1.09 resistance level.
Short
by Stone_Haven
💡 XAUUSD: Analysis January 19Gold D1 increased yesterday, but created a price bar within the previous price bar to form an inside bar model, showing a state of cumulative price compression. The support confluence area around the round number 2,000 continues to be the area that pushes the price upward. D1 gold is in a sideways state. There is an uptrend in gold price in H1, but this is only considered a correction, not a reversal because it has not broken the most recent price peak. Therefore, the main trend of H1 gold today is to wait to sell at the above resistance. If the price breaks above this resistance, it will reverse to increase, then you can wait to buy again.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Stone_Haven
Short sell entry on BTCUSD?BTCUSD provided a short sell entry as the bearish flag breakthrough was followed by a break of the 50DMA. Following the ETF approval, there was a surge in distribution, indicating a local top. I believe it is time for BTCUSD to make a major pivot. I am an optimistic person, and shorting does not fit my psychological profile, thus I prefer long-only trading. And, yes, we should keep in mind that we are still in the early stages of a bull market. Note - Altcoins like ETH and BNB are forming bullish flags signifying a divergence.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by nuevatraders
💡 EURUSD: Analysis January 17EURUSD has fallen to the support zone around 1.0850. If the price forms and gives us a signal to buy up in this zone, we can consider trading. If you trade this frame, please note that you can wait for the price to break the most recent peak of the H4 frame and then look for a buyback price according to the previous price increase, so you will have a much higher probability of winning. . In general, with this currency pair, please pay attention to the current support price area around 1.0850. If there is a signal of a price decrease, you can consider trading. Also note that we have a small resistance level around the round number 1.0900. If you are trading in the low frame and see the price approaching this area and forming a nice bearish signal, you can consider it. Can you please sell soup from this area?
Long
by Stone_Haven
💡 GOLD: Can gold maintain the 2000 USD mark?At the end of Tuesday's session, gold prices had their worst session since nearly a month and a half ago, after weakening more than 300 pips to below the 2030 USD/oz mark last night. As of this afternoon, the price of this metal continues to find a new bottom when it falls to the 2020 USD/oz mark and if this downward trend continues, it is highly likely that it will be difficult to maintain the 2000 USD/oz mark in today's session. . The reason for the gold market sell-off is believed to be related to Mr. Christopher Waller - Governor of the Federal Reserve (Fed) giving a speech stating that the Fed may loosen monetary policy more slowly than before. with what the financial markets are speculating recently. According to Mr. Waller, although inflation in the US is moving towards the target, it is still unclear whether low inflation can be sustained or not.
TVC:GOLDShort
by Stone_Haven
💡 GOLD: Forecast January 17Gold tumbled on Tuesday, completely erasing last month's gains and inching closer than ever to the 50-day simple moving average, a key support indicator that sits slightly above the $2,010 area. The bulls must defend this technical zone; Failure to do so could trigger a move to $1,990, followed by $1,975. On the other hand, if the buyers return and create a bullish reversal, resistance will appear at $2,045-$2,050. Removing this cap decisively may be difficult, but a breakout could create the right conditions for a rally to $2,085, the late December peak.
TVC:GOLDLong
by Stone_Haven
Trend Trading Strategy - Trend Continuation Master the Market Rhythm: Trend Continuation Strategy with Fibonacci Precision Ready to ride the market waves with confidence? This video unlocks the secrets of a powerful trend continuation strategy, designed to capture momentum and maximize gains. Here's what you'll discover: * Identifying the Trend: Learn to spot bullish (higher highs, higher lows) and bearish (lower highs, lower lows) trends like a seasoned pro. * Support & Resistance: Leverage key price levels where the market reverses, creating exploitable entry points. * Timeframe Harmony: Start from the bigger picture and zoom in, pinpointing the ideal entry zone on lower timeframes. * Fibonacci: Harness the power of the 61.8% retracement to identify high-probability trade zones within the trend's ebb and flow.
Education
by fxtraderanthony