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Trendtrading

USDJPY - 2nd chance sharing opportunityI believe the BOJ conducted its second FX intervention yesterday. As the market retested the sell zone, I shorted this pair and placed Stops at 156.82, which is a good 58 pips of initial risk. Once the market reaches 155.78, I'll shift my stops to the entry-level. This would prevent any losses incurred by hectic volatile movement. If all goes well, my 1st target would be at 154.85 and I'll keep my second target open. What are your thoughts on this?
Short
by RaynLim
2
TFEX S50 FuturesTFEX S50 Futures looking down in all 3 Trend Primary trends Secondary trends Minor Trends At the moment it is at the -2SD support level of the Volume Normal distribution and POC of Regression Trend Now Volume Profile of last Degree move down to the bottom that might bounce. If looking down, wait for a bounce and then open a short at the POC resistance level or wait for a reversal at the upper edge. If you look up and don't care about the trend, open Long at the support level, set Stop Loss at Low. However, There is a target of going down in the Range Volatile month and 3rd month At 800 it is still the first target. Trade with faith in your beliefs and follow your own plan. C.Goii SuperTrader
TFEX:S501!Short
by CoachGoii_SuperTrader
1
GOLD SHORTPrices Already on Resistance!! If Market Crash Price can go higher up to $2900 (I mean 20% rally). or Opposite, It come down to $2100 to $2000 level It will provide a bearish divergence signal shortly. Keep an eye on it, but make a trade plan in advance. A surge in the US dollar and Treasury yields also brought down the price of gold. Central Banks are adding gold to their reserves. Decresing Tick Volume No matter the asset, investing always involves some risk, but savvy investors usually recognize the value of seeing openings during market downturns. Furthermore, investors now have a compelling opportunity to diversify their holdings, protect themselves from market fluctuations, and maybe profit from a price comeback thanks to the recent drop in gold prices that occurred on April 25. But before making any financial decisions, including adding gold to your portfolio, it's imperative that you carry out extensive study and evaluate your needs, goals, and risk tolerance. "Escalating geopolitical risks significantly bolster gold as hot and cold conflicts, and a record number of elections this year, keep the risk thermometer high," HSBC was quoted as saying by Reuters. - --------------- **First Scenario - Long:** If Market Structure breaks on Daily TF and retest at 61.8% Initial Target: $2900 Entry: $2390 Stoploss: $2325 **Second Scenario - Short:** Initial Target: $2080 Entry: $2415 Stoploss: $2441 - --------------- Take into consideration: Psychological Resistance at $2900 Psychological Support at $2050 - --------------- Price already in my area of value, just waiting for the market to tell me to get in on a sell. NFA DYOR - --------------- Good Luck! ⚠️Caution: Just because I've set my buy and sell position Settings or drawn direction lines on my chart doesn't indicate I've opened a position or am obsessed with a particular bias. This is only a forecast; I don't trade when the price reaches my level; I have rules of engagement. Perhaps the most crucial element is 🆘RISK MANAGEMENT🆘.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by irfanp056
2
XAUUSD TODAY: Gold price keeps risingGold prices hovered around $2,340 per ounce on Tuesday, after logging gains in the previous session underpinned by growing expectations of eased monetary policies by major central banks. On Monday, data showed that US manufacturing activity slowed for a second consecutive month in May, while construction spending unexpectedly fell in April due to declines in non-residential activity. This further increased speculations that the Fed has room to cut rates this year. Traders are currently pricing a 60% probability of rate cut in September SELL GOLD: 2374 - 2376 , SL: 2380 BUY GOLD: 2327 - 2325, SL: 2321 Good luck investors
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Scalper_Ananda
Trends Mixed; Overall Neutral Short Term on MarketsSo, as stated in the video, the shorter term timeframes of 30m/1hr/2hr have opened up to lower movements, while the 3hr/4hr/6hr have been violated and would call for a movement back up, but haven't shown that potential movement yet. We are still in a short term Bullish Zone in accordance with my moving momentum algorithm, but we are very close to hitting below that Zero Line into Bearish territory, especially if we continue to stay low like this. What I may look for is a movement into the Bearish zone, a move upward, and if that movement upward doesn't bounce us back into a bullish zone I may short the market, but we shall see. Overall long term, I'm curious if the Daily can push below and settle under 5160ish for a Lower Low. It would be the first time in quite some time that we had a lower low on the Daily trend, putting us at risk of getting a lower high Daily rebound that will call for markets to be on a decline. Overall, The Mag 7, especially NVidia, still continue to mostly carry the market with the bulk of the Dow in neutral territory at best, and the Nasdaq outside of the Mag 7 also neutral. I continue to be concerned about this rally being too narrow and traders continuing to use Mag 7 stocks as safety stashes, and what will happen if they choose to take that safety money out to stash it somewhere else. Trends into today are; Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract) 30m - 5319 Downtrend (5/28/2024) Lower Low 1Hr - 5313 Downtrend (5/28/2024) Lower Low 2Hr - 5309 Downtrend (5/28/2024) Lower Low 3Hr - 5286 Downtrend (5/23/2024) Higher Low 4Hr - 5286 Downtrend (5/23/2024) Higher Low 6Hr - 5287 Downtrend (5/23/2024) Higher Low 12Hr - 5188 Uptrend (5/6/2024) Higher High Daily - 5330 Uptrend (5/15/2023) Higher High Weekly - 4769 Uptrend (12/11/2023) Higher High Monthly - 5304 Uptrend (03/31/2024) Higher High Economic Calendar; GDP Thursday PCE Friday Earnings to watch; Salesforce AMC today Costco earnings are tomorrow My sentiment on the market is as follows; Shorter Term - Bearish Short Term - Bearish / Neutral Medium Term - Neutral / Bullish Long Term - Bullish Basically, I don't see major risks in the long-term just yet, but the short term is a bag of mixed reactions. Currently in a place I feel we may need to look elsewhere. If you were looking for me to give you a warm and fuzzy on where to trade the ES Futures, I just can't give that today. Safe trading and remember your risk management.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by SemperTrader
Gold ( XAUUSD ) Outlook !!!www.tradingview.com Gold (XAUUSD) is navigating a descending triangle pattern and has rebounded from its upper edge. The 50-period moving average adds an additional layer of resistance for the asset. If it breaks above the 2345 resistance level, it could clear the path to the 2365/2390 resistance Conversely, a rebound from the upper edge may trigger a decline to the 2310/2285 support level. The overall trend is positive, yet a dominant buyer has not emerged. The market is in anticipation of news. On a local scale, the trend is downward. To validate a shift to a local upward trend, the price must surpass and stabilize above the range of 2354 - 2364; this would set the stage for a potential rise to 2400. However, should the price fall below 2328, it could trigger widespread market concern.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by Goldxking
Ichimoku Watch: SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust Engaging with SupportDesigned to track the performance of the S&P 500 market index, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (current AUM is US$529,081.40 million) is engaging with an interesting area of support on the 4h chart after gapping lower on Wednesday. This follows an all-time high forged last week at $534.00. SPDR Testing Support The uptrend in this market at the moment is obvious, and traders, therefore, will be seeking locations for dip-buying opportunities. The Ichimoku Cloud’s upper limit was tested yesterday, currently between $525 and $529 (the difference between the Leading Span A and Leading Span B), and could be enough to encourage buying. This is also the first time the Cloud has been tested since the Leading Span A crossed above the Leading Span B at the beginning of May. Within the Cloud, there is also a 100% projection ratio at $522.00, which, for many harmonic traders, will be recognised as a potential AB=CD support level. Further to this, a trendline support (from the low of $493.86) is close to this level. Adding to the above analysis, the Conversion Line appears poised to cross back above the Base Line, which, given the uptrend, would be observed as a bullish signal. Price Direction Favouring Bulls The trend in this market and the current support structure suggest that it remains a buyers’ market. Within the Ichimoku Cloud, the AB=CD support and trendline support could provide a floor to which dip-buyers may be drawn. However, should the Conversion Line cross back above the Base Line prior to testing the above support area, we could see dip-buyers enter this market earlier to challenge all-time highs.
AMEX:SPYLong
by FPMarkets
Trends still show upward movement; CPI Data this weekSo trends that called for upward movement confirmed this upward movement last week. I had mentioned in my last video that the candlestick pattern for May 1st was extremely bullish, the following two days confirmed that movement in my opinion and given that trends called for upward movement, we crossed above the zero line on MACD Momentum into a bullish zone, and we were pushing above that Daily lower high resistance level around 5160, I went long. I did cash that trade out around 5260 for a $5000 trade. Given the uncertainty of how CPI could come in, I am likely to stick out until I see that data this Wednesday. While I'm not certain what Core CPI will do, and that SHOULD be the main data point we pay attention to, I have concerns based on a 10% hike in gas prices over much of April that Headline CPI could come in above expectations and cause at least an initial panic sell off. We are nearing the potential for an overbought state on MFI/RSI on the daily, so watch for algo trading around those levels as well, at least on the initial touch. Obviously we rented living space in overbought territory at the beginning of this year, so it doesn't mean we have to reverse at all, especially in this FOMO market. I continue to see the current conditions as very bullish, in spite of significant concerns I have for the ES Economy overall. While there was a time when the US Markets reflected the state of the US Economy, I think we have a massive disconnect between the two that was caused by the COVID Pandemic. I think the new trend is when the economy looks rough, dump money into Mag 7 / NYFAANG / or basically whatever hyper select group of stocks equals the majority of the market cap out there, which will just push markets higher in spite of economic conditions. Walmart Earnings on Thursday will be something to watch, moreso as it might show insight into consumer health more than what is actually happening with Walmart. Trends into today are; Last Macro Trend Signal Spots (ES Contract) 30m - 5251 Uptrend (5/13/2024) Higher High 1Hr - 5241 Downtrend (5/10/2024) Higher Low 2Hr - 5229 Uptrend (5/9/2024) Higher High 3Hr - 5157 Uptrend (5/3/2024) Higher High 4Hr - 5148 Uptrend (5/3/2024) Higher High 6Hr - 5148 Uptrend (5/3/2024) Higher High 12Hr - 5188 Uptrend (5/6/2024) Higher High Daily - 5166 Downtrend (4/12/2023) Higher Low Weekly - 4769 Uptrend (12/11/2023) Higher High Monthly - 5304 Uptrend (03/31/2024) Higher High Economic Data; PPI & Powell Speaking on Tuesday CPI on Wednesday Jobs data on Thursday Earnings; Home Depot Tuesday Walmart on Thursday Geopolitical; Russia has had a major push into Ukraine, not sure it will matter but there is the potential for a major offensive to pick up pace there. Israel / Hamas conflict continues to be a concern but doesn't seem to have much influence on markets at the moment. Overall Sentiment; Shorter Term - Neutral Short Term - Neutral Medium Term - Mmmm... really undecided on this one Long Term - Bullish Overall, I could see a quick pull back overall this week, but even if this happens I think the market will heal whatever dip we have and we will end higher overall by the end of next week. Safe trading, and remember your risk management plan!
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by SemperTrader
Non-farm expectations increased sharply when the FED became hawk“If the PCE record is better than marketplace forecasts, this can be some other assault on FED hobby price reduce expectations, inflicting gold expenses to fall even deeper.” Notably, Kitco News`s ultra-modern weekly gold survey indicates that greater than 3-quarters of enterprise specialists assume that gold expenses will pass sideways or lower this week. 14 Wall Street analysts consulted the Kitco News gold survey. Sentiment towards valuable metals has worsened. Only 3 specialists (21%) expect gold expenses will upward thrust better this week. There are 8 analysts (accounting for 57%) predicting gold expenses will lower. Another 3 majors (seeking out 21% of the total) are identified, trending sideways this week. Meanwhile, 195 votes had been solid in the course of Kitco's on-line visit. Main Street traders have a greater bullish view on valuable metals. ninety four retail traders (or 48%) expect gold expenses will upward thrust this week. Another 50% (equal to 26%) anticipated the rate could be lower. Meanwhile, fifty one people (equal to the ultimate 21%) expect expenses will stay strong this week.
TVC:GOLDLong
by MrTrongVo
USD/CAD Trend reset - Buy ContinuationMomentum preceeds prices! The USDCAD has had a trend reset (Secondary Trend), which is key to the Up-trend continuation. The structural point for trend reversal is 1.3656, we want to see a second breakdown below the structure without breaking below 1.3624. A trade back above 1.3656 will be the first buy, confirmation will be a trade above 1.3671. In terms of Target, we will use the Fibonacci retracement from the low to the high of 3. Target 1: 1.3780 Target 2: 1.3838 Initial Stop Loss: 1.3624
Long
by Charts247TradingAcademy
1
Precious metal products are still strongly bought every time theWorld gold price on the night of May 22 was about 16.8% higher than at the end of 2023. World gold price converted by USD bank price was 74.7 million VND/tael, including taxes and fees, lower about 16.2 million VND/tael compared to the domestic gold price as of the late afternoon of May 22. World gold prices fell sharply, causing the USD to increase rapidly. Domestically, SJC gold price is still at 91 million VND/tael. 🔥 TVC:GOLD BUY 2358 - 2353🔥 💰 TP1 2365 💰TP2 2370 ❌ SL 2346 🔥 TVC:GOLD SELL 2400 - 2397🔥 💰 TP1 2390 💰TP2 2380 ❌ SL 2408
TVC:GOLDLong
by MrTrongVo
Currency State Of Play - Midweek Portfolio Selection**Sorry about the sound** Today, I'm looking at the Major Indices to determine the current state of play of the currency market and what we should expect for the remainder of the trading week. The current 4HR wave structure analysis of the Indices is as follows: DXY: +ve EXY: Neutral AXY: Neutral SXY: +ve JXY: +ve BXY: -ve CXY: -ve ZXY: -ve BUY PAIRS: No High probability Pairings based on the Indices SELL PAIRS: GBPUSD, GBPJPY, CADJPY, NZDUSD,NZDJPY, CADCHF,GBPCHF
by Charts247TradingAcademy
From Inception to Present: Our Crypto Model's Trades to DateIntroduction In this idea, we'll analyze the performance of our crypto trend model by breaking down each individual trade made since it went live on 27th July 2023 . We'll delve into key market events that occurred around these trades and the run-up gains or drawdown avoidance achieved by the model. Trade Breakdown Short Signal - July 27, 2023 Trade Outcome : Date : July 27, 2023 Signal : Short📉 Market Context : Event : In July 2023, Bitcoin faced a significant resistance around $30K, leading to a sharp rejection and subsequent price drop. This resistance level was critical, and the rejection marked the start of a downturn​. Performance : The short signal successfully captured the decline, gaining almost 15% at it's climax on just Bitcoin alone. The model's entry just before the major resistance test was well-timed. Long Signal - September 19, 2023 Trade Outcome : Date : September 19, 2023 Signal : Long📈 Market Context : Event : By mid-September, Bitcoin found solid support around $25,000 after a volatile summer. This support level triggered a significant bounce, making it a prime entry point for a long position​. Performance : The long signal capitalized on the bounce from $25,000, leading to a max run-up of 80% as Bitcoin rallied. Holding positions on altcoins in confluence with this signal would have likely yielded at least twice of what was gained on Bitcoin. Cash Signal - January 15, 2024 Trade Outcome : Date : January 15, 2024 Signal : Cash💰 Market Context : Event : Early January saw a recovery in Bitcoin prices driven by positive macroeconomic signals, such as slowing inflation. However, regulatory pressures and market volatility prompted caution​​. This pullback was also likely due to the Bitcoin ETFs Launch having a "sell the news" narrative. Performance : The cash signal helped avoid drawdowns of up to -10.61% and even more on altcoins during a period of increased market uncertainty and regulatory challenges. Long Signal - January 30, 2024 Trade Outcome : Date : January 30, 2024 Signal : Long📈 Market Context : Event :The approval of Bitcoin spot ETFs in January 2024 significantly boosted market sentiment. This approval was a pivotal event, sparking a bullish trend right after a small retracement. Performance : The long signal leveraged the positive sentiment and regulatory clarity, benefiting from the ensuing price surge and experiencing a max run-up of almost 72% on Bitcoin. Cash Signal - April 13, 2024 Trade Outcome : Date : April 13, 2024 Signal : Cash💰 Market Context : Event :April 2024 witnessed mixed signals with regulatory updates and market corrections. The Financial Stability Board's new regulatory framework added to the cautious market sentiment​. And with added FUD coming from Iran's attacks on Israel, the prices of not just crypto but other assets such as stocks started to tumble. Performance : The cash signal once again helped sidestep market turbulence, preserving gains from earlier trades, essentially avoiding up to -11.51% of drawdowns. Long Signal - May 17, 2024 Trade Outcome : Date : May 17, 2024 Signal : Long📈 Market Context : Event :As of May 2024, the crypto market showed resilience with new institutional interest and advancements in blockchain technology. This renewed interest provided a solid foundation and confluence for a long position Performance : As the signal came in just 3 days ago as of writing, we will update on the performance of this signal at a later date. Conclusion The crypto trend model demonstrated robust performance by effectively navigating through various market conditions and key events. Each and every trade has been overwhelmingly successful, and the model's signals is expected to continue capitalizing on gains and avoid major drawdowns in the future. Stay tuned for more updates and detailed analyses on our crypto trend model's performance.
Long
by AlgoAlpha
4
BTC will see 100$#BTC has started an uptrend since 16oct2023 (30 weeks ago) and then reached an all-time high in 2024, as values exceeded over 73,000 USD in March 2024 . when Israel bombed Iran's consulate , tensions escalated and risky assets like BTC dropped , on the other hand safe assets like gold rose . after that , BTC retraced and found support the 38.2 Fibo level ( while tensions eased ) and now on weeky timeframe we see a pin bar and a strong bullish candle which is a sign that BTC continues uptrend ; but we should wait until Monday and see if last weekly candle would remain strong or not . if so , we would take profit at 161.8% (Fibo ext) level and 102.300$ or you can exit safely and earlier on 100$ .
Long
by Market-Analyzer