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Trend Line Break

GOLD → Will the bears allow the bulls to go through ATH?FX:XAUUSD is growing unpredictably towards ATH. The market did not react in any way to last week's US fundamental data and now the price is not reacting to strong levels and liquidity zones. Ahead of ATH after 3 weeks of forming... Investors remain cautious as the US Fed is expected to follow a path of moderate interest rate cuts (skipping a cut in November, or a 0.25% cut) The gold price is actively supported by the tense situation in the Chinese markets and lower US Treasury yields, which helps the gold price to take another leap towards the ATH. Now all eyes will be on Thursday when China holds a press conference and the US retail sales report is released Resistance Levels: 2680-2685 Support levels: 2665, 2658, 2645 Technically, I don't think that the market will let the resistance breakout happen the first time. The pullback from 2685, formed 3 weeks ago, was made on the back of strong economic data, so the huge pool of liquidity above 2685 can be defended quite aggressively by the bears. Technically, there are no signs for the continuation of growth. They may appear after the retest, but it will become clear after the fact. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
15
GBPUSD → Support breakdown. CPI in the UK is declining... FX:GBPUSD confirms the bearish market structure. The price is breaking the support. Fundamental data is favorable for further continuation of the fall. UK Inflation: m/m = 0% (expectation +0.1% / previously +0.3%) YoY = +1.7% (expected +1.9% / previously +2.2%) Core CPI = +3.2% y/y (expected +3.4% / previously +3.6%) The USD index are rising on strong US economic data (last week's potential). All these data together have a corresponding impact on the currency pair, which breaks the support of the uptrend. A price consolidation below 1.3000 (strong psychological level) will open the way to 1.28-1.26. Support levels: 1.3000, 1.2938 Resistance levels: 1.309 Selling on the currency pair is intensifying, the price is entering the risk zone and the buyers are getting even more nervous... In the short term, a retest of the previously broken trend support is possible, followed by a fall towards 1.28-1.26 Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:GBPUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
6
NZDUSD ready to go up after failing to make new lows?NZD/USD has experienced a decline of 5.12% since 27 September, establishing a bearish trend line on the 4-hour chart. However, on 10 October, the pair began to break out of this bearish trend line, signalling a potential pause in the prevailing bearish momentum. On 15 October, NZD/USD retraced, forming a double bottom pattern on the 4-hour chart. Notably, the price was unable to breach the previous support level of 0.6050, suggesting stabilisation in the market. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicated a value of 21.06 on 24 September. By 15 October, the RSI had risen to 34.10, demonstrating higher lows in the RSI while the price made lower lows — a condition that characterises classical bullish divergence. CPI Data and Its Impact From a macroeconomic perspective, the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data came in lower than expected (0.6% actual versus 0.7% forecast), which tends to be negative for the NZD and that is what caused the downward movement on October 15th. However, since the price failed to break below the previous low, this shows that the selling force is currently showing signs of exhaustion. Key Elements to Consider: 1. Significant downward movement since 27 September, resulting in a depreciation of over 5% in NZD/USD. 2. RSI reading below 30 on 10 October, suggesting exhaustion of the selling momentum. 3. Breakout from the downtrend line on the 4-hour chart. 4. Formation of a double bottom pattern on the 4-hour chart. 5. Classical bullish divergence is observed on the 4-hour chart. Potential for Ascendancy Given the above elements, if NZD/USD manages to surpass the 0.6090 level, it is likely that the currency pair will ascend towards the 0.6160 region within the coming days, where it may face temporary resistance. A Bullish Turn on the Horizon? In conclusion, while recent indicators and patterns suggest a potential bullish reversal for NZD/USD, traders should remain cautious of external factors that may influence market dynamics. As always, close monitoring of price action and macroeconomic developments will be key in navigating this trading opportunity. Disclaimer: 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
Long
by Marketscom
1
BTC: Buffeting Against the Upper Trend LineBTC has shown impressive strength over the past few days with explosive upward moves, now testing the upper trendline. If we see a decisive break—a full open and close on the 4-hour or 1-day timeframe—this would likely confirm that the trendline has been broken, signaling more upside potential. This move could mark Wave 5 of 5, with an elongated “flameout” before we face the inevitable, and likely prolonged, ABC correction over the next few months. Until then, BTC will either get rejected and remain within the channel or bust to the upside to continue Wave 3 of 5 of 5.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by cryptechcapital
GOLD → The target is liquidity above 2670-2685. What's next?FX:XAUUSD is consolidating in the local range of 2663 - 2636. There is a strong resistance and liquidity zone ahead. Bears may meet the market quite aggressively in the 2670 - 2685 zone. The global rally is smoothly transitioning into a sideways fljt 2675 - 2604. - Markets in China, which strongly supported gold after hints of fiscal stimulus is again facing challenges. - Interest rates in the US should not be forgotten. The open question is “no interest rate cut” or “0.25% cut”. Will gold be able to stay bullish on the current flat under these circumstances? - The dollar is rallying after last week's fundamental data and most likely the index's rise is not over... Fed policy makers are starting to change their mindset again and divide into 2 camps - aggressive / restrained. - BUT! The conflict in the Middle East is cooling down from its limits. Based on the above mentioned, can we assume that the finger is hanging over the button “fix profit”???? Resistance levels: 2663, 2670, 2685 Support levels: 2645, 2636, 2623 Based on the general fundamental background, I do not yet understand the reasons that give such support to gold. There is a strong resistance zone ahead with huge liquidity. The price is in a sideways range and there are no preconditions to exit this channel yet. Most likely, the first retest of the levels ( it has been 2 weeks since the last retest ) may end in a reversal and correction Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
16
DOGS → Double bottom favors resistance breakoutBINANCE:DOGSUSDT is forming a double bottom followed by a breakout of trend resistance. Quite a promising situation, provided the bulls hold their defenses above 0.00081. After the listing, the coin flies to the moon due to the dump, but after the appearance of a strong seller or lack of interest from the buyer, against the background of weakening support of Pavel Durov arrested in France, a market phase change to a “dump” is formed. Technically, a double bottom is formed on 4H, followed by the renewal of local lows and the breakout of trend resistance, which indicates the formation of a market bottom. At the moment, the cryptocurrency market shows bullish dynamics, which can affect DOGS accordingly Resistance levels: 0.000885, 0.000938 Support levels: 0.00081 After the dump the coin has good chances to show already adequate realization. If the bulls keep the defense above 0.00081, we will have chances to get on the train to the north, to the targets 0.00096, 0.001, 0.00117 Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:DOGSUSDT ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
1
GOLD → Will the rally end with a FB? 2670 - liquidity...FX:XAUUSD is growing together with the dollar, the correlation cooled down after the change of fundamental background. The range of 2670 - 2600 is being formed. The metal is rallying to resistance for liquidity. Geopolitical issues. High tensions in the Middle East as well as rising tensions in East Asia between China and Taiwan are worrying investors looking for safe havens. Last week showed not so good economic data for gold. The dollar rose very strongly during that time. But gold gold traders were most likely paying attention to the dovish remarks by Fed policymakers about lowering interest rates.... Technically gold is in a sideways range and is testing liquidity above 2660. The bears are likely to give a not so warm welcome.... Resistance levels: 2663, 2670, 2685 Support levels: 2650, 2637, 2623 Strong movement from the bottom of the range reaches its upper boundary. Technically, the price has no potential to break through the strong range resistance. A false breakout is possible, the purpose of which may be to capture liquidity, followed by a decline. The situation may be broken by unexpected geopolitical or economic news, but at the moment there is no such news Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
6
Bitcoin - Fakeout? MUST WATCH !!A recent surge in the price of BTC is sparking hope for that final impulse wave UP I've been talking about. However, there's a catch - one KEY thing will need to happen in order to convince me this is not just a fakeout, aimed at liquidating shorts. The previous BTC update was focused on two scenarios, with the GREEN showing a possibility of realizing: Reclaiming the moving averages in the daily is a good sign - but again, we've been falling under-and-over for the last few weeks, unable to stay above the 200d MA for longer than a few days: ___________________________ BINANCE:BTCUSDT
by CryptoCheck-
13
AAVE: Strong Impulsive Move on the HorizonAAVE is showing two clear, decisive breaks of the upper trendlines, pointing to an upside move. The price action looks impulsive, with sharp upward lunges already visible. If this pattern holds, we’re likely in Wave 3, and a significant move to the upside could happen quickly. However, after Wave 5 of 5 completes, we should expect a classic ABC correction to follow. For now, the trendline analysis looks solid, but it’s crucial to wait for a decisive trend break before considering taking positions. As always, make sure your signals align before jumping in.
CRYPTO:AAVEUSDLong
by cryptechcapital
BTC and Trendlines: Patience over FOMO for a Clear SignalTrendlines are key to staying disciplined. Recently, BTC has seen some impressive inflows, with a couple of green bars showing up nicely on the charts. In the past, this might have triggered some FOMO, tempting me to start adding capital as those green bars intensified. But does this necessarily mean we’re seeing a trend reversal? Absolutely not. The real difference between FOMO and a solid trade setup lies in waiting for the ‘jive’ of multiple signals to confirm the move. For me, the most reliable indicator remains the trendline. If the yellow trendline is decisively broken, then we can confidently say BTC is on Wave 3 of 5 of 5 of 1. However, this recent green uptick alone isn’t enough to suggest a decent trade opportunity yet. Points A, B, and C might have been valid entry points in the past, but without a clear break of the upper trendline, the risk of a reversal still looms large. For confirmation, I’m looking for a decisive break—a full open and close above the trendline, ideally on at least a 4-hour timeframe. Only then can we be more certain about BTC’s next big move. If Point D is reached (around $63,600), that’s where I’m fully in—riding it up to around $130K. Until then, it’s all about waiting for the signals to align and not getting caught up in short-term excitement.
by cryptechcapital
1
USOIL (WTI) → bullish setuphello guys. Trendline Break: The price has broken through a downward-sloping trendline, which is a potential signal for a trend reversal or continuation of the upward move. Order Block Area: There is a highlighted horizontal zone (yellow) around the 70.30 level, which may act as a significant resistance or supply area. Traders are likely watching for a test or break of this zone. QML Pattern (Quasimodo): The yellow circle highlights a QML pattern where the price reverses from a prior support level, suggesting a potentially bullish setup. Upward Target: The projected arrow suggests that if the price can sustain above the broken trendline, it may attempt to reach the 70.30 resistance level, representing a potential price target. Volume Consideration: While not displayed, monitoring volume increases as the price moves toward the target zone could validate the strength of the upward move. Support Zone: A key support area appears around the 67.50 level, as shown by the horizontal blue line. If the price reverses, it could test this level again. Overall, a bullish setup appears in place with key resistance around 70.30, but any failure to break that zone could result in a pullback to support around 67.50. ___________________________ ✓✓✓ Always do your research. ❒❒❒ If you have any questions, you can write them in the comments below, and I will answer them. ❤︎ ❤︎ ❤︎And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comment
TVC:USOILLong
by melikatrader94
7
BITCOIN → The rally is manipulation. U-turn and down to 52K?BINANCE:BTCUSDT confirms the bearish market structure. After the 59K retest, the price rallies 7%. There is no technical or fundamental explanation for this market manipulation: $6K down, $ 4K up, $5K down, $ 4K up within the last two weeks... Bitcoin is still trading within a sideways range of 65K - 52K. The last resistance retest ended in a false breakdown and a price drop of 11% to 59K. Also, the local change of the market character (price confirms the downtrend) to bearish and formation of the downtrend channel (I remind about the downtrend on D1-W1) plays an important role. Emphasis on resistance 63400, 64130, 65000, possible retest or false breakdown followed by downside realization as we still have not reached the key liquidity zones.... Resistance levels: 63400, 64130 Support levels: 61320, 59000 The price is testing the resistance zone as part of the rally. There is no accumulation or technical potential to overcome this area for further growth. Within the bearish trend, the buyer does not show dominant signs and with high probability it will be stopped in the key zone. A reversal and decline to the lower zone of the sideways range is possible... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:BTCUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
120
GOLD → Retest of descending channel resistance in front of PPI..FX:XAUUSD is forming a double bottom from which a rally towards strong resistance is forming. CPI showed worse than expected data, surprisingly. Manipulation? Price has not yet moved out of the corrective channel. Ahead of PPI. Annual inflation fell from 2.5% to 2.4% (expected 2.3%). The probability of a 0.25% interest rate cut in November rose to 86% (vs. 0.5%) The disappointing Initial Jobless Claims data in the US overshadowed the hot CPI data for September, keeping the hope of a rate cut in November... Ahead is PPI, a fairly important report that could affect prices... The metal is trapped in a descending channel and there is a huge liquidity density above 2645. The bears, the custodians of this liquidity, may put aggressive pressure if PPI shows strong data... Resistance levels: 2645, 2651, 2660 Support levels: 2637, 2623, 2600 Technically, gold is in a correction phase. From the bottom of the channel a strong movement of 2% has been formed and there is not much potential to break through the resistance. The most probable outcome is a decline after a false breakdown or consolidation below 2640. BUT! It is not excluded that a surprise in the news can turn the picture in the opposite direction.... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
15
GOLD → Consolidation in correction phase ahead of news...FX:XAUUSD is in correction phase, but before important news a consolidation is formed due to fear and unpredictability factor. Analysts are expecting a decline in inflation, but what will happen in fact? A bull run or a dump? Markets are pricing in an 81% chance of a 0.25% interest rate cut in November. But yesterday's minutes showed that most officials supported an excessive 0.5% rate cut to balance inflation confidence and labor market concerns. Ahead of CPI, Initial Jobless Claims ... If CPI shows stronger data, the question among regulators will be in a different vein of “should we cut 0.25?” which will only reinforce the dollar's rally and markets will continue a solid correction. A larger decline in CPI could revive hopes of an excessive Fed rate cut in November, triggering a correction in the US dollar. Gold could experience a fresh influx of funds..... Resistance levels: 2623, 2627, 2637 Support levels: 2605, 2600, 2585 Technically gold is in correction and the pressure from bears continues. In the mid (short) term, I expect a retest of resistance at 2623 (a false breakdown is possible) followed by a decline to 2600-2585. It is not excluded that the news may have an opposite effect... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
30
USDCAD → Breakout. One step away from distribution...FX:USDCAD makes an attempt to break through the resistance of the “wedge” consolidation on the background of a growing dollar, the reasons for which are economic data from the USA. NonFarm Payrolls are ahead! On the weekly timeframe, the currency pair is bouncing off the support trendline and heading towards resistance, the pattern as a whole resembles an ascending triangle. But still it is a global sideways range. The movements in it are quite difficult and the price is dragging between the local levels. Ahead is the NFP report, which may become an engine for the price, and based on the assumptions from Wednesday and ADP NonFarm we can assume that on this background the growth of the dollar and the currency pair may continue. Technically, the bulls are trying to hold the defense above the previously broken resistance. The impulse is beginning to form... Resistance levels: 1.358, 1.364 Support levels: 1.353, 1.347 If the bulls keep the price in the new plane (buying zone), the price may reach the nearest targets quite quickly. If the news will be favorable, then in this case a rally to the distant targets may be formed. Unpredictable data will bring the currency pair back to the range and may bring the price down to 1.347 Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:USDCAD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
8
ETHEREUM → Support breakdown? Zone of interest 1550 ↓BINANCE:ETHUSD continues to give up positions. Buyers do not believe in growth in the near future. Bears are increasing their pressure, which may lead to the breakout of the strong support zone... As seen on W1, the next potential target, in terms of liquidity, could be the 1550 support. Any attempt to buy back the asset on a retest of the support does not result in anything radically bullish. The market will not allow the price to approach the intermediate highs, which indicates the buyer's weakness. On H4 the price is squeezed by local ascending support (bottom of the triangle) and descending conglomerate of moving averages, which clearly dictate the location of strong resistance. In the mid-term, there may be a rebound to the local highs or SMAs before a further decline. Resistance levels: 2471, 2520, SMA Support levels: 2310, 2250, 2111 So far there are no technical or fundamental reasons in favor of the buyer. Seller's pressure may be intensified. The breakout trigger is 2325. The trigger for a pullback is 2475 - 2500. Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:ETHUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
2
Alibaba - Finally The Trendline Breakout!Alibaba ( NYSE:BABA ) finally broke above the bearish trendline: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Alibaba is breaking out and the breakout is not unexpected whatsoever. For a long time, Alibaba has been hugging the resistance trendline and finally managed to fulfil its destiny. This could very well be the bottom of the bear market and the start of something big: new all time highs. Levels to watch: $115, $80 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NYSE:BABALong
by basictradingtv
6
BTC Primed for Explosive Wave 3 Rally: All-Time Highs in Sight?BTC looks to have completed its ABC correction for Wave 2 in the short-term impulse wave. The correction landed perfectly on the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, a textbook setup for an ABC pattern. With this, BTC is now entering Wave 3, which historically offers the strongest price movements. In the immediate term, BTC is poised to break through Waves 1 and 2 of 3 quickly. But the real fireworks will likely come when we hit Wave 3 of 3, which could push BTC up to as high as $68k—a target that’s been on the cards for some time. If we manage to break through the upper trendline during Waves 4 and 5 of the higher degree trend, BTC could be set for new all-time highs within the next few weeks. With all eyes on this setup, it feels like November 5th could be a pivotal moment for BTC. Let’s see how the market unfolds, but it’s looking very bullish!
Long
by cryptechcapital
1
GOLD → Support breakdown. The beginning of correction...FX:XAUUSD is entering the correction phase. The price is coming out of the consolidation downwards, and what we have been preparing for for the last few days has happened. Bears are trying to keep the defense below 2623.... Posted on October 8: The pressure from above is building. New lows... Traders are waiting for the Fed meeting minutes to gauge the magnitude of the next interest rate cut, especially after Friday's strong US NFP data removed bets on a 0.5% rate cut. The FOMC meeting is likely to show a discussion on the outlook for the labor market and inflation, as well as further action on interest rates. Traders are still not turning their eyes away from the tense situation in the middle east, but one must realize that reacting to any action is a temporary action in the market... Technically, on D1 we can see the beginning of the correction phase. Break of the strong level and fixing of the price below 2623. The market has defined a temporary outlook for itself..... Resistance levels: 2623, 2627, 2631 Support levels: 2613, 2600, 2585 News can have an additional impact on the market, but it all depends on the context. At the moment I consider the price decline. The bears are holding 2623 and we can see how the price has consolidated below this area, which may provoke further selling.... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
15
EURUSD → The realization phase isn't over. Emphasis on 1.095 ↓FX:EURUSD breaks the uptrend and prepares to continue falling due to the change of fundamental background, the reasons for which were strong economic data in the US. The price is in the realization phase... The weekly timeframe clearly shows the forming sideways range (consolidation). The market failed to break the resistance of the channel, although a lot of effort was put on it (5 attempts on W1). At the moment the currency pair is testing last week's low, it is also worth noting the fact of weekly candle closing - almost at the low. This is a rather good and promising sign for the continuation of the downward movement. Emphasis on the support at 1.095. Breakdown and consolidation of the price below this area will strengthen the decline to the intermediate bottom... Support levels: 1.095, 1.0892 Resistance levels: 1.100, 1.1011, 1.1047 A pre-breakout consolidation is forming relative to support. Emphasis on the breakdown of the level and further decline to the zones of interest. As an unpredictable scenario we can have in mind a pullback to 1.100 and further decline... Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURUSD ;) Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
8