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Trend Line Break

GBPUSD → Consolidation breakthrough. Attempt to change the trendFX:GBPUSD is coming out of the longitudinal consolidation by breaking the lower boundary. The accumulation has been forming for two months. Price breaks support, updates the low and forms a correction to the previously broken level. The dollar index is in a bullish phase, after updating the local high, a correction is forming and the forex market is reacting to it. Most likely the dollar index will continue its growth. Today, at 19:00 the FOMC Bowman will speak, and the current situation on inflation and interest rate will be commented. Technically, from the currency pair we can expect a false breakdown of 1.2615 with the subsequent decline to the levels: 1.2506, 1.2380 Resistance levels: 1.2615, 1.276 Support levels: 1.2506, 1.2380 The currency pair is forming an attempt to change the trend. If the shift is confirmed, the phase of accumulation realization (distribution) may last long enough, the strengthening of the dollar may support the GBP bearish trend. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
11
GBPJPY → Level retest, market tries to break the boundary OANDA:GBPJPY is breaking through the 188.3 boundary, formed last year, on the back of another resistance retest. Consolidation of the price above this level will form the potential for further growth. The currency pair was in the phase of sideways movement (flat) for a long time. But, the movement of the last two weeks gives us a premise that this flat may be broken in the near future. Yesterday, the currency pair formed a bullish candlestick that overcame the mentioned flat boundary. The session closes above 188.3 and also at its highs, thus forming a local level - the high of the day - 188.5. A retest of this level is possible in the near future. Our task is to wait for price consolidation above 188.3 - 188.5. This will be a confirmation of the market's readiness to continue the bullish trend. The target in this case will be 190.0 - 191.0. Resistance levels: 188.3, 188.5 Support levels: 187.38, ascending support line I expect the trend to continue, the whales are forming a quick retest of 188.3, which signals the possible end of the flat and the market's transition to the distribution phase and bullish trend. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
1
EURUSD → Correction before the fall. The trend is still downwardFX:EURUSD is forming a counter-trend correction towards the liquidity zone and resistance. The currency pair is forming a bearish trend and may continue falling from the resistance. Pic: Key resistance and support zones on the current downtrend The currency pair reaches the support at 1.07254 and forms a correction towards the liquidity zone, presumably it is 1.0820 - 1.08215. On the background of a strong bearish trend, which is defined by the strengthening TVC:DXY , the euro may continue to lose its positions after the retest of 1.08200. At the moment there are no reasons for the end of the downtrend, as the general fundamental background is the same - the dollar is strong with the confident support of the US regulators. The trend may change on the background of news related to the interest rate, but there is no such news yet. Resistance levels: 1.08215 Support levels: 50-MA, 1.0780, 1.0724 There is an assumption that the correction may end in the trend resistance zone, then, based on TA and fundamental background, the currency pair may continue to decline. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
2
$VIX Possible Breakout? $VIX Tightest Base since 2018Weekly Chart from COVID Highs Weekly Chart has yet to break out the trend line (green bar) from COVID Highs The bottom appears to be getting tight and has consolidated sideways for weeks June - September 2023 the chart was basing which rallied 10 points in the end of September The base in June - Sept was not as tight as the chart is showing now This is even with AMEX:SPY continuing to increase but VIX holding it's range (KEY) Weekly chart showing a rounding bottom Zoomed-In Weekly Chart First we would like to see the weekly break the short term white trend line To break to the upside into the green downtrend line from COVID Highs we would need VIX weekly to break through and close above $15.75 High chance if it breaks $15.75 we will hit the top line of the downtrend which the price will depend on when this break will happen We could see highs of TVC:VIX to $17-$18 if breaks $15.75
TVC:VIXLong
by Tillbob
GTCUSDT → Resistance Retest. Preparation before the breakthroughBINANCE:GTCUSDT is testing the trend and consolidation resistance and apparently has a chance to break through this boundary. The coin is forming a bottom at 0.300, after which the consolidation phase continues, but at the same time, relative to the trend resistance the coin is forming a pre-breakout consolidation. Growing capitalization of altcoins, green cryptocurrency market favorably affect GTC, which can provoke a breakout of the mentioned resistance area. The break of 1.344 level and price consolidation above this zone will form a bullish potential, which may trigger a bullish distribution after consolidation. Resistance levels: 1.344, 1.650, 1.915 Support levels: 1.210, 1.060 I expect that the pre-breakout consolidation will favor the breakout of resistance and the price will eventually start to change the bearish trend BINANCE:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2 Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
GOLD → Sellers are testing trend support. What could happen?FOREXCOM:XAUUSD has been testing the local resistance area since the opening of the session and forming a false breakout with subsequent decline, but at the same time a symmetrical triangle is forming on the chart. Idea: GOLD → When will the price come out of consolidation? On D1 the market is still neutral, there is no strong news that would affect the price, but as we can see, gold is testing the global trend support. At the same time, the dollar index continues to form a bullish trend, which is bad for gold. On H1, we can see the local trend change to a downtrend, but the continuation of the trend is hindered by the support of the symmetrical triangle. We have a chance to catch a breakout of this area. Consolidation of the price below the 2021 area will confirm the market sentiment, ready to decline to 2015-2010. Pic: Sellers are testing strong trend support Resistance levels: 2026.400, trend resistance Support levels: 2021, 2015, 2010, 2004 The gold market is under selling pressure, buyers are trying to hold this pressure, but against the backdrop of a strengthening dollar, the bulls' strength is starting to wear off. Breakout 2021, then 2015 may trigger strong sell-offs on the background of possible liquidation. TVC:DXY TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
11
GOLD → When will the price come out of consolidation?OANDA:XAUUSD closed the trading session with a bearish candlestick on Friday. The asset loses 0.8% for the week, but at the same time it continues to stay inside the range between the strong boundaries of 2067 and 2010. Pic: Uptrend in the market. Price is testing trend support The dollar continues to strengthen, testing support as part of the correction and apparently preparing for further growth, which may temporarily have a negative impact on gold. But, if you look closely, technically, gold, on the background of increased interest feels quite confident and the market is trying not to succumb to strong manipulations on the part of the growing dollar. On Friday XAU is testing the ascending support again, the session closes below the line, but it is a weak signal within the flat. The 2015 level may influence the sales, but only if this area is broken. At the moment, there are no signs that the market will break 2015.6 in the near future. We need to wait for the retest of this support and see how the price reacts. But based on the fact that 2015.6 is a strong liquidity area, gold will not be able to break this area the first time. Pic: Gold range on H1-H4 The chart above shows the current range. The price has not yet managed to update the local lows, as well as the highs, as evidenced by the neutrality of forces between buyers and sellers. Against the background of the local situation: dollar growth, negative fundamental background for gold, we can determine that in the coming week gold may test flat support before further rebound (or false breakdown), after which the price may continue trading within this range. The reason for continued consolidation: there is no strong news in the market, the dollar continues to rise as the Fed is not looking to cut rates anytime soon, but buyers are actively trying to contain the declines in gold. The interest in gold is also affected by the interest of the world central banks, as well as the geopolitical crisis, as well as rumors of a banking crisis in the United States. Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RLinda
4
Bitcoin 2024 Hilarious Insights, Halving Hurdles 18k Bold ForcasBitcoin, oh dear Bitcoin, you're in a pickle! Picture this: Feb through April 2024, three months before the Bitcoin halving, and things are getting more complicated than explaining blockchain to your grandma. The Bitcoin ETF approval in January? Well, that turned out to be about as useful as a screen door on a submarine. Instead of a price boost, we've seen Bitcoin taking a nosedive from 48k to a not-so-supportive 38500. 4HR CHART OVERVIEW: Now, let's peek at the 4-hour chart. Bitcoin buyers are tap-dancing around 42k like they're in a high-stakes dance-off. Rumor has it they want to tango with 44k, maybe even attempt a daring move to 45900. But watch out, because they might trip and fall back to 40k-39400. It's like a suspenseful dance, and if they break free from the current 4-hour chart shackles at 43900, the buyers will persist. Until then, it's a riskier dance than attempting the moonwalk in roller skates. On the sellers' side, they're lingering around like they just got front-row seats to a comedy show. Despite all the dollars poured into Bitcoin ETFs, they seem to be the ultimate party poopers, unimpressed and unyielding. If buyers can't break the 43900 barrier, it's cue the bear strike – back to 40k to 39k support, and it might get so bad that even Bitcoin buyers will need a lifeline. DAILY CHART OVERVIEW: Now, let's switch to the daily chart. Buyers are halted at 43800, contemplating life decisions after bouncing back from the 38500 support pitstop. It seems market makers on BTC ETFs are more into fees than making Bitcoin holders happy. Brace yourself for a revisit to the 40k to 39400 support range, and if buyers don't bring their A-game, it's bad news. Patience is a virtue, especially if you plan to join the support party. On the sellers' daily chart, it's a saga of indifference. If buyers lose interest and the price revisits 40k to 39400, brace for impact. Breaking below 38k could be the trigger for a sell-off extravaganza, with sellers and shorters throwing a grand party, pushing the price down to the 36600 to 34k support zone. It's like a rollercoaster, and the only way to enjoy the ride is by gripping your seat tightly. WEEKLY CHART OVERVIEW: Zooming out to the weekly chart, Bitcoin buyers seem stuck in a range, as if the market has them in a headlock. The return to 43800 was a slap in the face, signaling a potential return to 40k support and a quick smooch with 39200. While there's a glimmer of hope for buyers to take Bitcoin back to the 45k to 47k range, it's like waiting for a superhero in a rom-com – you're not sure if they'll show up. Weekly sellers, on the other hand, are circling like vultures. If buyers can't hold the price above 45k by Feb to March, sellers will seize the moment, dragging Bitcoin down to the 36600 to 34k support zone. It's like a high-stakes poker game, and the chips are on the table. MONTHLY CHART OVERVIEW: Now, onto the monthly chart, where buyers are looking indecisive. Despite the approval of BTC ETF, the price is playing hard to get, avoiding the much-anticipated 50k mark. It's the first sign of weakness since Bitcoin broke above 30k in Oct 2023. Buyers might have a shot at 45k-47400, but it's like trying to catch a unicorn – a little tricky. Sellers on the monthly chart are eyeing Feb 2024 like it owes them money. If it closes as a red candle, get ready for a 3-bar reversal extravaganza. The threat of visiting the 32k to 28k range before or after halving is looming, like a dark cloud over a picnic. And now, the grand finale – the monthly chart after Halving, sellers' edition. Brace yourself for a possible flash dump, like the grand finale of a fireworks show. Will it hit 20k, or will market makers go all-in for 14k to 12k? Nobody knows, but if you're holding Bitcoin, it's like being on a rollercoaster – hands up, eyes closed, and hoping for the best. The real pump might kick in around Oct-Nov 2024, so hang in there and buy more when you can. It's like waiting for the punchline of a long joke – it better be worth it!
BINANCE:BTCUSD.P
by MachiavelliTrader
GOLD → Support retests continue. Weak fundamental backgroundOANDA:XAUUSD on the background of news on Thursday is declining, but does not reach the local minimum. On the background of the pullback the price also does not reach the local maximum. The range boundaries are narrowing. The fundamental background for gold still remains and is relatively negative at the moment. On the chart above we can observe a difficult situation in XAU. Volatility is very low, the price has been standing still for two days, as evidenced by the D1 candlesticks of Wednesday and Thursday. Technically, we can observe a global uptrend, but at the moment we should pay attention to the symmetrical triangle. The price continues to test the trend support. Each new retest of the support forms a weaker and weaker reaction, the price continues to squeeze against the support. Technically, we can assume that the market is preparing to break the lower trend boundary, which can form a volume surge and a strong momentum towards the lower levels, such as 2000. Fundamentally, although we have high interest in the metal, but locally, the fundamental background is weak, as evidenced by this week's news. Support levels: 2029.7, 2020, 2015 2004 Resistance levels: 2039 - 2942 It is logical to expect a decline based on the current data, from the opening of the US session, the market may test resistance before falling TVC:DXY TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
2
GOLD → The calm (consolidation) before the storm ⚡︎OANDA:XAUUSD closes Wednesday's session with a minimal range of motion. The market is getting tighter and tighter every day, volatility as well as volumes are decreasing. The calm before the storm. Today, at 13:30 Initial Jobless Claims are published, at this time the dollar in the correction phase is testing the consolidation area and in all likelihood may strengthen if the market supports the index. Gold makes a false break of the resistance area 2039-2042 and forms a consolidation in a narrow range in the phase of waiting for news. Technically, the market continues to stand still. On D1 there is a global flat, but the borders of a symmetrical triangle are present, volatility is decreasing and the range is narrowing. It is interesting that trading volumes are decreasing, but the profile shows a different situation. The market is consolidating liquidity, because at the moment investors do not know what to expect and in the medium term they are aiming to hear some news about the interest rate reduction. Such consolidation may continue until March-April. But the distribution in one side or the other will be very strong, but when it will happen, nobody knows yet :) Resistance levels: 2039, 2042, 2048 Support levels: 2029, 2016, 2004 There is a chance to see bullish news for the dollar today, which could negatively, within a range, affect gold. But, before a possible fall, the price of the metal may test the resistance TVC:DXY TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
2
BTCUSD → Consolidation after the rally. What's next?BINANCE:BTCUSD is in the uptrend phase, actively and quite confidently holding back all negative news. The price is forming a retest of 43250, realizing price consolidation above the 50-day moving average. Pic: Uptrend. Price is testing the trend boundaries, but continues trading inside the range The market continues to form an uptrend since the formation of the bottom in the market. At the moment we see the formation of a sideways range 44500 - 40225, which at the moment plays the role of consolidation. Short and long squeezes, shakes relative to the range boundaries indicate a phase of strong accumulation of potential before further movement in one or another direction. Based on the technical and fundamental component, the market seems to be preparing to continue its growth. The area of 42000 is technically important for the market in the medium and long term, as evidenced by the 2-month sawing ( consolidation ) of this area, which divides the market plane into two areas ( bearish and bullish ), but as we see the price is trying to strengthen above this area to form a strong support area before further growth. Pic: Level 42,000. Price consolidation at the level. Fundamentally, BTC is quite a strong asset. GBTC outflows continue but in much smaller volume, net inflows into ETFs are higher than outflows. A new problem in the US, which can play into the hands of BTC, is the situation in the US banking sector, the topic again concerns bankruptcies. In March 2023, the Fed started printing in response to problems in the banking sector, and BTC was perceived as a safe haven. Accordingly, the restart of the Fed's printer will increase interest in BTC, which may favorably affect the crypto asset's capitalization. Support levels: 42000, 40222, 38500 Resistance levels: 43250, 44500 The trend is bullish, technically the asset is quite strong - this conclusion can be made based on the strong consolidation after the rally. The market is starting to prepare for halving, against this background, the price may test the support zone before further growth. But, based on the overall data, in the medium and long term, the growth of the crypto asset may continue. CRYPTO:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL CME:BTC1! Regards R. Linda!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RLinda
26
Mastering Trendlines: Navigating Bitcoin's VolatilityMastering Trendlines: Navigating Bitcoin's Volatility In the ever-evolving world of cryptocurrency, Bitcoin stands as the pioneer, leading the charge in digital finance. However, its notorious price volatility can be a double-edged sword for traders and investors alike. To navigate these turbulent waters, one of the most effective tools at your disposal is the trendline. This simple, yet powerful technique in technical analysis can be your compass in the vast ocean of digital currency trading. Let's dive into the essence of trendlines and how you can use them to your advantage with Bitcoin. Understanding Trendlines At their core, trendlines are straight lines drawn on price charts to connect a series of prices. By identifying the direction and slope of these lines, traders can discern potential market trends, be they upward, downward, or sideways. The magic of trendlines lies in their simplicity and the profound insights they offer into market psychology and momentum. Types of Trendlines Uptrend Line : This bullish line connects a series of higher lows, indicating a growing demand for Bitcoin as traders are willing to buy at increasingly higher prices. Downtrend Line : In contrast, this bearish line connects a series of lower highs, signaling a selling pressure on Bitcoin as traders are inclined to sell off their holdings at progressively lower prices. Example of Uptrend The Power of Support and Resistance Trendlines can also highlight critical levels of support and resistance: Support Trendlines suggest areas where prices find a floor, bouncing off these levels rather than breaking through them. For Bitcoin, a strong support trendline can indicate a good buying opportunity. Resistance Trendlines point to ceilings where prices tend to peak and reverse. For traders, a resistance trendline nearing breach could signal a potential sell or a strategic point to go short. Applying Trendlines to Bitcoin Trading Bitcoin's price movements, marked by sharp rallies and corrections, make it a prime candidate for trendline analysis. Here's how to effectively apply this technique to Bitcoin trading: Drawing Trendlines Identify the Trend: Begin by observing Bitcoin's chart to determine the overall trend direction. Is it moving upwards, downwards, or sideways? Select Key Points: For an uptrend, select the lowest lows; for a downtrend, pick the highest highs. These points will be the anchors of your trendline. Draw the Line: Connect at least two key points with a straight line. The more points a trendline touches without breaking, the stronger it is considered. Trading Strategies Buying on Support: When Bitcoin's price approaches an uptrend line without breaking below it, consider this a potential buying opportunity. It suggests that the price is likely to bounce off the support and continue its ascent. Example of buying at support Selling on Resistance: Conversely, if Bitcoin's price nears a downtrend line but fails to break above, it might be time to sell or short, anticipating a price reversal. Breakouts and Breakdowns: A price break through a trendline can signal a significant shift in market sentiment. A breakout above a downtrend line might indicate a bullish reversal, while a breakdown below an uptrend line could hint at bearish developments. Advanced Tips Volume Confirmation: Always look for volume confirmation when a trendline is broken. A breakout with high volume is more likely to signify a genuine shift in trend. Combine with Other Indicators: For more robust analysis, use trendlines in conjunction with other technical indicators, such as moving averages or the Relative Strength Index (RSI). Conclusion Trendlines are a testament to the principle that simplicity often prevails in the complex world of trading. For Bitcoin enthusiasts, mastering this tool can enhance your ability to predict price movements and make informed decisions in the face of volatility. Remember, while trendlines provide valuable insights, they're most effective when used as part of a comprehensive trading strategy, combining technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and sound risk management practices. Embrace the power of trendlines, and let them guide you through the dynamic landscape of Bitcoin trading.
Education
by FikratTrades
3
EGLDUSDT → Growth may resume after the correction stopsBINANCE:EGLDUSDT is trying to finish the technical phase of correction and continue the global uptrend amid the realization of 2-year accumulation. Since the middle of last year, the coin was in hibernation, or rather in the consolidation phase. Formed a bottom, a narrow corridor allowed the formation of a strong support area. On the background of cryptocurrency market recovery, the growth of the flagship - bitcoin, EGLD revives, but at the same time forms trend resistance. On D2 the resistance is broken and for a few weeks the price forms a consolidation above the line, on H6 it is a descending range (correction). On the main chart we see an attempt by price to break the correction resistance. Consolidation of price above 53.45 will form a bullish potential that could resume the uptrend. Support levels: 53.45, 51.4, 47.11 Resistance levels: 60.1, 68.48 I expect the continuation of the global trend, but for this the bulls need to finish the correction phase, which is within the current descending channel. A breakout of the resistance and consolidation above this level will be a good signal BINANCE:BTCUSD CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
2
GOLD → Trading intra-range.. The price continues to stand stillFOREXCOM:XAUUSD has simply been standing still for months now. At least on D1 the range is narrowing and this could lead to something in the medium term. The dollar is forming a correction after a false breakdown. Fundamentally, the index is strong and continues to be supported by US regulators. At 19:00 GMT Bowman FOMC speaks, it is worth paying attention to his comments. Gold at 1 is still in a range. It is quite difficult to anchor an entry point to something because there are no safe zones to open orders inside such consolidation. The good news is that the range is narrowing and the denouement of the situation is approaching. On H1, the price is inside the local range 2039 - 2016 and gold can continue trading inside this consolidation for quite a long time. The resistance was tested earlier, a retest is possible, but on a negative fundamental background and a strong dollar, gold may decline a bit. Resistance levels: 2039, 2042, 2057 Support levels: 2029, 2016, 2004 A retest of the resistance is possible before a further decline within a range trading strategy. It is worth paying attention to the range 2039 - 2029. Breakout of the boundary and price consolidation above resistance or below support will form a signal for price movement in the corresponding direction. COMEX:GC1! TVC:GOLD COMEX_MINI:MGC1! TVC:DXY Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
7
GOLD → A retest of support will lead to a breakout FOREXCOM:XAUUSD under the influence of negative fundamental background is testing the support, from which it is forming the rebound we were waiting for. At this time the dollar is strongly strengthening and overcoming local boundaries. On D1 the price of gold is testing the ascending support, a small rebound and a possible retest of the support may be a signal that the market is ready for further decline. There is no strong news today, several FOMC representatives will speak, but the outlook for inflation and rates is the same. On the XAU graphee, we should pay attention to the support at 2021 and 2016. A retest, price squeeze and pre-breakdown consolidations would indicate that the market is ready for a breakout of this zone for a further decline towards 2004. However, price may still test resistance at 2031, 2039 before further decline. Moving averages are trying to form another line crossover. Resistance levels: 2028, 2031, 2039 Support levels: 2021, 2016, 2004 At the moment, the dollar is ready to grow further, except that a small correction may follow. But fundamentally, the outlook is the same. Gold in this case may break the nearest support and head towards 2000 TVC:GOLD COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! TVC:DXY Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
3
USDJPY (H4) Potential buying opportunities may emerge.USDJPY (H4) Potential buying opportunities may emerge. Indicators that have manifested: 1. The current price range exhibits a narrow band in comparison to the preceding price surge, amounting to less than one-third of the prior increase. 2. The aforementioned resistance levels appear relatively feeble, given the brevity of the resistance duration. The command can be executed as outlined below: Buy Stop at 148.95 Stop Loss (SL) at 148.223 Take Profit 1 (TP1) at 150.657 Take Profit 2 (TP2) at 152.413 Note: Capital management 2% Follow us and read my status to follow more forexsignal !
Long
by VNSmartMoney
1
GOLD → Falling to a strong liquidity area. Retest of D1 supportFOREXCOM:XAUUSD has been losing ground since the opening of the session on the negative fundamental background, which has persisted since last week. The price continues trading inside the range. On the high timeframe the price is declining towards the ascending support line, most likely this area will be tested in the near future. But, as this support plays a rather important role in the market, we should expect a rebound from it, as there is no clear trend in the market and the range trading strategy has the advantage at the moment. On H1, the price has been declining since the opening of the session and is heading towards 2016, from this area, technically, a correction to the strong liquidity area of 2031 may follow. The retest of 2031 and the price reaction will show the further direction, but the prospect is that the fall from this resistance will continue with the target at 2004. Resistance levels: 2031, 2039 Support levels: 2016.8, 2004 As long as the price is inside the range and there is no definite trend in the market, gold may continue to hang around in this channel, trading between the same levels. At the moment there are no such prerequisites, so, for the time being, we should focus on the continuation of trading inside the sideways channel TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1! TVC:GOLD COMEX_MINI:MGC1! Regards R. Linda!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by RLinda
9