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Trend Line Break

GOLD → A retest of bullish trend support. What to expect? FX:XAUUSD reaches the 2400 mark on Friday before facing a profit-taking. There is a possibility that traders closed positions before the strong news that occurred from Saturday to Sunday. There is no correlation with the dollar now, which makes it easier for technical analysis. In fact, we have a strong bullish trend and strong support in the form of the 2325-2330 zone and an ascending channel line. From Saturday to Sunday there was the development of another geopolitical problem in the Middle East and it is related to the armed crisis between Iran and Israel, which in general can only affect the appreciation of the metal. Resistance levels: 2365, 2375 Support levels: 2335, 2330, 2325 In general, we should consider a retest of the trend support or 2330 and look at the price reaction to these levels. Most likely, the trend may continue. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
6
Can gold maintain its high price?World gold prices tend to decrease with spot gold down 3.2 USD compared to last week's closing level to 2,340.7 USD/ounce. The world gold market has just had an exciting week when records were continuously "broken". In particular, on Friday, gold prices fluctuated up to 98 USD. This price increase is second only to the price increase in December last year that pushed gold prices above 2,150 USD/ounce in a short time. After December's rally, many analysts expect prices to test support around $1,950 an ounce as the precious metal remains weighed down by interest rate expectations. In fact, many investors missed the first breakthrough increase in March while waiting for a larger correction. Previous predictions of a correction made Friday's price action interesting. Analysts have noted that investors who missed out on the March rally will be eager to jump in on the dip. However, a problem that investors are facing is determining the entry point. Recently, this precious metal has continuously ignored traditional "headwinds" to enter new record areas. While gold maintains its upward momentum, there are multiple support levels to watch. Some experts note that investors should watch for the initial support level at 2,350 USD/ounce, then 2,285 USD/ounce. Experts still believe that gold's upward momentum has just begun. Although high inflation may force the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to maintain positive monetary policy longer than expected, gold still demonstrated its resilience by ending the week at a record price. The other continent is 2,360.2 USD/ounce.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
GOLD → Testing 2400. Can the rally continue? FX:XAUUSD reaches our goal of 2400. The psychological level is tested, but 2400 does not mean expensive. The growth may continue as the potential and interest is still huge. From 2400 a correction to the nearest area of liquidity can be formed. The market needs to rest and accumulate a bit before breaking through 2400 to continue further upside as fundamentally, economically and geopolitically nothing has changed. High interest, inflation problems continue to warm the price to further strengthening. Before the growth the price may correct to 2383, 2375 or 2365, or consolidation between these levels, after which the price may return to retest 2400. Resistance levels: 2400, 2425 Support levels: 2383, 2375 Technically, we should wait for the continuation of growth after a small pullback. At the moment there are no reasons for a reversal or a strong fall. The fundamental background and general potential remains the same TVC:DXY COMEX_MINI:MGC1! COMEX:GC1! Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
7
GOLD → How will CPI affect gold? Growth, slowdown or correction?FX:XAUUSD continues to grow. Since the opening of the session the price has been testing 2350 but has not been able to update the maximum yet, having formed a correction to MA-50. CPI is ahead and the market stops and goes into a waiting mode. There is a huge imbalance in the market. The news can provoke strong sell-offs, provided that the price breaks through at least one zone of liquidity, for example 2338-2328, then the activation of orders will provoke a strong impulse to these areas. But, the news may also provoke the continuation of growth to 2400. Fundamentally, traders are waiting for the CPI to drop to 0.3% and this is a rather sharp decline amid the speeches of the Fed representatives. Technically, gold is still strongly bullish and continues to attract interest. Resistance levels: 2354, 2375, 2400 Support levels: 2328.4, 2303.7 Today all the attention is not on the technical component of the market, but on the fundamental one. Gold may react either by continuing its strong growth or by temporarily slowing down and going into a state of consolidation. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSD
by RLinda
13
GOLD → The target is the same. Waiting for a breakoutFX:XAUUSD continues to grow. Yesterday there was an emphasis on the liquidity area located near the previously broken channel boundary and the level of 2328. A false breakdown resumed the rise and today the price reached 2354. Since the opening of the session, the price is heading again and testing the new global high formed on Monday. Based on the fundamental reasons and technical component at the moment the growth will continue. It is worth emphasizing on 2354. The break of this level will form the continuation of growth to 2375 and further to 2400. Resistance levels: 2354. Support levels: 2328.4, 2342 Technically, a small correction or a pre-breakout flat may follow from 2354 before the subsequent growth towards 2400. Gold is rising purely as a Haj asset that finds its use in times of crisis. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
16
AUDUSD → Test resistance for an upward breakout FX:AUDUSD forms a retest of the descending channel resistance, but there is no fall. Against the background of the dollar correction, the currency pair may move into the realization phase after the channel breakout. Moving averages, trend resistance and pre-breakout consolidation, with strong support zones, to which a large buyer does not let the price go. An interesting setup in the current conditions may form an attempt to change the trend. The key area is 0.6585. Consolidation of the price above this boundary may allow to overcome the obstacle and finally let the price strengthen to 0.66676, or to 0.67287. Resistance levels: 0.6585, 0.6620 Support levels: 0.6551, 0.6504 Technically, there is a strong accumulation and prerequisites for a breakout. The resistance breakout will confirm the activation of the realization phase, which will give us a good bullish momentum. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
XAUUSD SCENARIOHi guys, I'm back with fresh analysis on gold. if you haven't check my last analysis please do, price moved up from 2281 level for more than 700 pips. which was amazing. Major institutions are still long on gold(based on COT data) and is still making new highs, so buying on demand levels is sensible. First level is 2330 which is a broken resistance now acting as support also around level 2328 there is a tiny demand level, beneath that 2318 and last but not least 2308- 2302. once price reaches these levels you could take long trades with confirmation on lower time frame. And for those who want to take short trades 2346-2350 would be our supply zone but be really careful with shorts since fundamentals are bullish. * As always add your intuition and logic into this and do consider risk management. *Be honorable
OANDA:XAUUSD
by AliHassanzadeh
GOLD → Fundamental reasons for growth. Target 2400?FX:XAUUSD has been reaching 2354 since the opening of the session amid strong excitement. The price is leaving the trend boundaries and continues to form new bullish ranges. Strong bullish trend is realized on the background of important geopolitical news, related to the crisis in the Middle East, Eastern Europe, as well as a huge interest in hedge gold. World Central Banks continue to buy gold in record volumes. Technically, gold is forming a small correction after updating the high on the back of bullish momentum from the opening of the session. There is a high probability that the growth will resume from the nearest support area or formal channel boundary. Resistance levels: 2354, 2375 Support levels: 2328.4, 2303.7, channel boundary Technically, the situation is complicated, as it is difficult to identify strong reversal zones, as the price is trading in a rally. In such a situation it is worth paying attention to support levels with the purpose of growth continuation, as well as local resistance areas with the purpose of upward breakout TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! MCX:GOLD1! Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
18
Gold continues to increase, waiting to buy at the present timeWorld gold prices increased slightly with spot gold increasing by 5.7 USD to 2,337.4 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,358.4 USD/ounce, up 13 USD compared to yesterday morning. World yellow metal prices continued to conquer new records at the beginning of the week, boosted by central bank purchasing activities in Asia. Previously, spot gold price hit a new record of 2,372.5 USD/ounce. A recently published report shows that the Central Bank of China added 160,000 ounces of gold to its reserves in March. Türkiye, India, Kazakhstan and some Eastern European countries also bought gold during the year. now. Although the market is expecting the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to loosen monetary policy in June, according to TD Securities commodity strategist Bart Melek, if the upcoming data continues shows that the US economy is still strong, which may cause the Fed to not rush to cut interest rates. In that context, gold will not be able to maintain its increase. Central bank purchases and geopolitical tensions are other supportive factors for the precious metal. According to CME Group data, traders are pricing in a 52% chance that the Fed will reduce the federal funds rate by a quarter point in June. However, the latest report shows that the US job market remains strong strongly has raised doubts about the Fed's ability to pivot policy.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
BTC.D has NEVER Broken Above This Line! Ever.Traders, I know there's a first for everything but, as traders, we usually do our best work NOT guessing when that first will be. In this case, I have traced that descending purple TL back to sometime around November of 2016, which is nearly to the inception of dominance on this particular chart. In it's history, BTC.D has NEVER broken above our trend line with confirmation on the daily. You can observe a few wick ups but no body closes, let alone confirmation. Until we get a close above that TL with confirmation, I believe it's safe to conclude that we may see Bitcoin struggle a bit here vs. the Alts. Bitcoin needs to close above this trend line or larger cap alts, like Ethereum, will continue to outperform. Stew
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by stewdamus
2
GOLD → Could NFP cause a counter-trend correction?FX:XAUUSD within a strong rally stops and forms a flat before the publication of NFP. Relative to 2288 a false breakout is formed, bringing sellers into the market. The dollar is in a correction phase, as is gold. The price is testing the local low of 2267.67 but still does not reach the strong liquidity zones of 2265, 2228, 2222. There is still a strong buyer in the market, but after the correction and the false breakdown of 2288 a seller appears. NFP is ahead, a rather important news, which can both turn the market and strengthen the current movement. It is worth paying attention to the resistance at 2288 and 2305. There is a chance to see the continuation of counter-trend correction, but before that there is a chance that a big player will drive the price to ATH before further decline to the specified liquidity areas: 2265, 2228 or to the support of the formal channel. Resistance levels: 2288, 2305 Support levels: 2265, 2228, 2222 Technical factors are not enough now to specify the key areas for opening sales or purchases, so it is worth to base on the fundamental reasons and strong resistance and support areas. TVC:DXY COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSD
by RLinda
13
EURUSD → How can NFP affect the currency pair? FX:EURUSD is unfolding within the framework of the downtrend. The price fails to reach the key support and gains a buyer amid the correction of the dollar index. The market is waiting for NonFarm Payrolls Chart on D1 - price has no clear global trend, the market is in neutral flat. A false breakdown of the ascending support line is formed, after which the market gets a buyer. The market is expecting NFP today, Traders want to see 212K relative to the previous 275. On the back of a slight rise in Initial Jobless Claims NFP all may be a bit higher than 212K, which may increase volatility a bit. Channel and range resistance at 1.08975 is worth watching. Support levels: 1.07958 Resistance levels: 1.08643, 1.08975 Technically, if NFP is worse than expected, the currency pair may try to break the trend resistance and head towards 1.10. But, there is a high probability to see NFP above 212K, which will have a negative impact on the currency pair. Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
3
Trading strategy before Nonfarm news on April 5World gold prices fluctuated slightly with spot gold down 9 USD to 2,290.7 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at 2,310.5 USD/ounce, down 10 USD compared to yesterday morning. World yellow metal prices stabilized on April 4 (US time) after previously conquering an all-time high of over 2,300 USD/ounce thanks to expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will conduct further easing. loose monetary policy this year. According to TD Securities commodity strategist Bart Melek, market expectations increased after the Fed Chairman's recent speech. Accordingly, Mr. Jerome Powell agreed that lower policy rates would be appropriate “at some point this year.” He and other Fed officials also emphasized that more economic data is needed before making a decision to loosen monetary policy, a move that financial markets expect will take place in September. 6. According to market analyst Carlo Alberto De Casa of Kinesis Money, strong demand from Asian markets, especially from China and solid demand from central banks, geopolitical risks and expectations surrounding interest rate cuts by central banks are factors that have fueled the rise of gold in recent times. Strong central bank buying and solid safe-haven capital flows amid growing geopolitical tensions have boosted demand for gold, up more than 25% since October.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
GOLD → Reached 2300. What's next, going higher or correction?FX:XAUUSD breaks records and updates the high to 2305, but technically, the implied target is still not reached. Today Initial Jobless Claims before NFP is published and the market may go into a consolidation phase. On D1 we see the dollar declining after a false break of the resistance at 104.94 as well as the downside resistance. Ahead of Initial Jobless Claims, in general, traders are waiting for neutral-negative data, the situation is still complicated, but Powell is trying to keep the market from Panic with his statements. Obviously, after the release of PMI and JOLTS data the Fed will not change the policy based on Q1 data. What is happening in the market now is emotion, but many people take it seriously. Still, we should wait for more important and factual data than just words in the air. The inflation rate in January-February was higher than in 2023, which was the reason for the panic "inflation will be even higher and rates will be held for longer". But, the latest data doesn't change the situation significantly. 2300 may become a key psychological level for gold and cool down the market a bit, which may form a correction. There are still some areas of imbalance that the market maker may test before resuming the rise to the resistance level formed on the monthly timeframe. Support levels: 2288, 2265, 2253 Resistance levels: 2300, 2325, 2337 Technically, a small correction to liquidity zones may start before further rsoot towards psychological levels COMEX:GC1! COMEX_MINI:MGC1! TVC:DXY Regards R. linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
12