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Trend Line Break

GOLD → The fight for 2365. Can we get to 2400? FX:XAUUSD is trading within an ascending channel, but traders are actively selling off all of Friday's growth. The key roll is played by the resistance 2365, at the moment bears are holding the market. The dollar stops falling amid expected comments from Powell, as well as CPI and PPI to be released on Thursday and Friday. The fundamental background is neutral at the moment, Against this background gold is getting under correction and testing the liquidity area of 2350. Now all the focus is on 2365, relative to which a false breakout has been formed. IF: sellers will hold 2365 and will not let the price above this level, we should expect a decline to 2350, 2341 and further it is worth watching the situation, because in this case the price can reach 2325. If the buyers continue to be active and can form a consolidation above 2365, it will open a channel, the upper boundary of which will be 2387 and we can go up to it. Resistance levels: 2365, 2387 Support levels: 2358, 2350, 2341 Two scenarios, as the situation is complicated due to the unstable fundamental background and the struggle between the participants in the key zone that divides the plane into bearish and bullish. I would prioritize a small bounce from 2365, resistance retest, breakout and bullish momentum to 2375-2385. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
21
Bitcoin - 42k soon! (Fibonacci channel, roadmap)Why am I bearish on BTC? With all the crypto regulations around the world and, recently, banning stable coins in Europe + high transaction fees - crypto is losing its popularity, and people are starting to hate crypto. Which means no one wants to use it, and where there is no use, there is no money. Maybe crypto is not as good a technology as presented by banks. Crypto has been a huge disappointment for all investors in recent years. Ask yourself a question: Are you happy with your crypto holdings or not? Wasn't it better to put your money into NVIDIA? Nvidia made 10x in only a 2-year period. And this is a big stock, not a penny stock. Bitcoin hit an all-time high in March and failed to continue the price discovery. Bitcoin was not strong enough to continue in the bull market, and instead, we saw a liquidity sweep, and it is currently experiencing a 27% crash from its peak. Bitcoin failed to sustain the black ascending channel (that you can see on the chart). What we want to see is a breakout above an ascending channel, then a retest of it, and then a continuation of the bull run. In Bitcoin's case, we did have a retest of the black channel in April, but recently the price went back to the channel, which is a strong sign of weakness. We have completed the Elliott wave impulse wave (12345). Waves 2 and 4 have both around 20% retracement. Bitcoin is definitely heading towards the 42k level. Why is this level so important? We need to take a look at the chart and draw a Fibonacci parallel channel. Always use significant points to draw it, such as the major swing high or peak of a bull market. In our case, we use the most important points: bull market peak (2021), bear market bottom (2022), and bull market peak (2024). We have a very nice-looking Fibonacci channel, and now we need to look for important levels. I always recommend using 0.618, 0.5, and 0.382. We also have 0.764 and 0.236, but these levels in general have a lower success bounce rate. 0.5 is not a Fibonacci number, but it's the middle of the ascending channel, which is logically a very strong dynamic level. The first major support is at 0.382 (around 42k) because we also have a POC (point of control) of the volume profile. Let me know what you think about my analysis in the comment section, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Xanrox
118
XAUUSD continues its downtrend waiting for information from the 💵💵💵GOLD PRICE AND ECONOMIC INFORMATION Gold rose above $2,360 per ounce on Tuesday, recouping some losses from the previous session as investors turn their attention to Fed Chair Powell's semi-annual testimony before Congress. Last week's figures showed a softening labor market in the US, with the unemployment rate reaching a two-and-a-half-year high and wage growth falling to a three-year low, indicating impending early interest rate cuts by the US central bank. Currently, markets are pricing in a 77% probability of the Fed reducing interest rates in September, with another cut expected in December. Powell's testimony before the Senate today and the House on Wednesday will offer investors clearer signals on the future direction of the Fed's interest rate path. Investors also anticipate key upcoming inflation figures set to be released on Thursday. Elsewhere, traders are monitoring geopolitical developments in the Middle East amid prospects of a ceasefire deal between Israel and Hamas.. 🔴SELL GOLD: 2370 - 2372, SL: 2376 🟢BUY GOLD: 2343 - 2341, SL: 2337 ⛔️Breakout: top border 2370 -2378 - below 2350 - 2342 🔼Support: 2351 -2342 - 2335 🔽Resistance: 2370 -2378 - 2385 - 2395 GOOD LUCK EVERYONE👍
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Scalper_Ananda
GOLD → Correction for the purpose of elimination. Target 2400?FX:XAUUSD is forming a correction from the opening despite the bullish closing of the session on Friday. Fundamental background is calm, technical reaction to the false break of 2387. Friday's move was formed on relatively positive economic news for gold - higher unemployment in the U.S. reinforces the dollar sell-off as the chance of a possible U.S. interest rate cut rose slightly. This week traders' focus is on CPI and PPI, which will be released on Thursday and Friday. Technically, there is a buyer's presence in the market. MM, as consolidation and elimination of the buyer forms a correction to the liquidity zone 2364-2355. Possible consolidation or false breakdown before the subsequent growth. Resistance levels: 2387, 2411 Support levels: 2364, 2355 Today, at 14:00 Powell speaks, it is worth paying attention to his speech. High volatility is possible. In general, the fundamental background is favorable, technically, the bull market is forming a correction to support. Emphasis on the bulls. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
26
Tesla - Finally exiting consolidation...NASDAQ:TSLA has been consolidating for four years and is ready for a (bullish) breakout. We have a beautiful repetition of cycles on Tesla: Long term consolidation followed by a qiuck and agressive move higher followed once again by a long term consolidation. Tesla entered such a consolidation about four years ago and is now simply ready for another bullish breakout and an agressive move higher. It is just a matter of time until the triangle pattern breaks... Levels to watch: $120, $220 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by basictradingtv
28
Bitcoin ALL-TIME-HIGH is STILL COMING: Here's WhyA hint... the RSI. The RSI is one of those reliable old-timers, especially useful in higher timeframes to determine longer period price action, such as near term and long term. Together with Elliot Wave Theory, I'm going to present to you an argument for why Bitcoin is STILL BULLISH and what my strategy/expectation is for the coming weeks. I'll also share key metrics to watch and do regular updates should the conditions mentioned in the video be met. Although I am short term bearish, I remain longer term bullish, making it really impossible to label this post as solely "short" or "long". Cheers to the Top10%'ers 🥂 __________________________ BINANCE:BTCUSDT
by CryptoCheck-
1
GOLD → Pre-breakdown structure, but NFP is ahead. ↑ or ↓ ?FX:XAUUSD is updating the high within consolidation after rallying. Technically, this is a good sign, but NFP and unemployment are ahead. The news could either reinforce the move or completely derail it.... A nice bullish pattern is forming on D1 against resistance at 2365. The deceleration and consolidation in front of the level indicates bullish interest in further growth. But today it is worth paying attention to the fundamental background. From this point of view, the outlook for gold depends on the upcoming news and the reaction of the Fed. Based on previous data, traders expect Friday's employment report to show only 189K new jobs compared to 270K in the previous month, and the unemployment rate to remain unchanged. But the actual data plays a bigger role. Rising unemployment and slowing economic growth may support the gold, as the dollar may continue its localized decline on this background. But, unpredictable data can increase the volatility and affect the market structure in a very opposite way. Resistance levels: 2364. 2387 Support levels: 2355, 2350, 2341 Technically, on D1-H4 gold shows bullish prerequisites, but the economic component plays a big role, which can both support the current movement and reverse it up to liquidation and decline to 2340-2320. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
21
EURUSD → The bulls are coming back. Trend change. Target 1.1FX:EURUSD is breaking the downtrend pattern on a smooth change of fundamental background. Traders are selling off the dollar, which is favorable for the euro. A local bullish pattern is forming on D1 on the background of the global downtrend. Strong fundamental background is favorable for the strengthening of the currency pair. On H4, the price is correcting after updating the local maximum and consolidates above the level formed by the gap. Bulls are trying to keep the defense above this area. The key focus is on the breakout of the 1.0816 zone. This will open the way to the zones of interest: liquidity and imbalance. Today is a day off in the US, the fundamentals are still in place, trading may be calm. Resistance levels: 1.0816, 1.0852, 1.0916 Support levels: 1.078, 1.073 I expect the trend to continue, as traders are showing interest in the market. Local ATH may become a potential target for MM Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
5
NZDUSD → Traders believe in the best outcome. NFP aheadFX:NZDUSD strengthens after a false breakdown. The change of the fundamental background leads to a change in the character of the market. Traders are looking at a breakout of 0.614 and growth in the future, but ahead of NFP... On D1 the price is not going to leave the sideways range yet, as we are told by the false breakdown and return to the channel with the subsequent formation of the impulse. Technically, on H4 a pre-breakdown consolidation is forming and the price is gradually pushing up to resistance, which may lead to a breakout and further growth. Fundamentally, based on previous data, traders expect Friday's employment report to show only 189K new jobs compared to 270,000 in the previous month, and unemployment to remain flat. But it's worth paying attention to the actual data. As a mild reminder of slowing economic growth could weigh heavily on the Fed. Resistance levels: 0.614 Support levels: 0.61, 0.608 Technically traders believe in the continuation of the growth. A break of resistance may trigger a rally. But unpredictable news may change the market mood and in this case active selling may start. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
3
TON → Is the coin still bullish? When is $10.00?OKX:TONUSDT still continues to accumulate potential with the purpose of breaking through resistance 7.671 and continuing growth. Bulls are actively defending the zones of interest and continue to hold the positive market structure. Demonstration of a bullish structure. Continuation of upward movement on W1 Earlier, on the background of the general market correction the price formed a false breakout, which did not lead to a break of the bullish structure or to a strong fall. From the area of interest (without capturing liquidity) buyers are actively buying the asset and again trying to return to the resistance retest, which will only increase the chance of a breakout. Fundamentally and technically, TON looks very positive at the moment. But this does not mean that sellers are unable to change the nature of the price movement. Conditions under which the upward movement and positive structure will be broken Resistance levels: 7.671, 8.288 Support levels: 6.727, 6.202 Technically, there is a high probability of a continuation of the upward trend, but there is also a probability of a support break, which will break the uptrend and change the market imbalance. At this point, while the price is consolidating and continues to shrink to resistance, we should consider a bullish set-up. Regards R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
5
Bitcoin - 54% crash, bull market over!Is the bullish cycle really over? Definitely yes, and in this analysis, I will tell you why! The crypto market is dying in front of our eyes, if you are a hodler of many coins, you can see it very clearly on your account balance. Bitcoin failed to sustain the key level of 62k (0.618 FIB), which is an extremely strong sign of weakness. If you take a look at my Elliott Wave count, you see that the major impulse wave (12345) is complete. This is an impulse wave from the start of the bull market (15476) to the end of the bull market (73777). Take a look at wave (2) and wave (4), they both have a 21.35% pullback, so this Elliott Wave count perfectly matches. The next reason is the rectangular range at the top of the uptrend. The range is clearly breaking down, which is another sign of weakness. What's more, we have an upward-sloping trendline that is breaking down as well. Currently, there is nothing bullish on this chart. Statistically, what is a classic correction for Bitcoin during major bear markets? 90%, 84%, or 77%. On the chart, I highlighted the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement for a 54% correction. But will this Fibonacci level really hold? Maybe temporary, but at the end, the price will go below it sooner or later. What we can also consider is the 20 weekly moving average. Bitcoin is currently below it, and we didn't even see any reaction whatsoever.  What to do now? Should you sell your Bitcoin? My arguments are really strong, and I don't even want to know what is going to happen with altcoins. Will altcoins become dust? I am bearish. Let me know what you think about my analysis in the comment section, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
Short
by Xanrox
291
SHALBY LTD's Elliott Wave AdventureSHALBY LTD Technical Analysis Hey, fellow traders! 🎉 Buckle up because SHALBY LTD is about to take us on a thrilling ride! 🚀 Elliott Wave Analysis: First, let’s break down what the Elliott Wave Theory is telling us. The stock price has been dancing to the tune of these waves quite beautifully. Wave (3): The party started with a powerful uptrend, marking the end of Wave (3) around December. The stock soared, leaving us all in awe. ABC Correction: Then came the correction phase (like a brief rain shower at a sunny beach). We saw the price dip into an ABC correction, finding support around INR 210.35, completing Wave (4). Wave 1 and 2: Recently, the stock broke out from the corrective phase, kicking off a new motive wave. The breakout from the resistance line (marked as Wave 1) was quite a spectacle! It faced a slight pullback (Wave 2), but that’s just the stock catching its breath. Trendline Breakout: Now, here’s where things get exciting! 🚀 Breakout with Volume: The price smashed through the resistance trendline like a champ, backed by strong volume – the kind that makes you sit up and take notice. This breakout suggests we’re gearing up for Wave 3 of the new cycle, which is typically the most explosive and profitable wave in Elliott Wave Theory. Current Price: As we speak, SHALBY LTD is trading at a cool INR 310.50. The price action has shown strength, indicating that the bulls are in control. Invalidation Levels: No analysis is complete without some risk management: Nearest Invalidation Level: Keep an eye on INR 264. If the price dips below this level, our bullish scenario might need a re-think. Major Invalidation Level: The ultimate line in the sand is at INR 210.35. If the stock breaks below this, it would invalidate our current wave count, and we’d need to reassess. Targets: Let’s talk potential profits – the sweet part! Short-term to Mid-term Targets: The next wave up (Wave iii) could see prices pushing past INR 340-370-380, and then might be small dip of (Wave iv) and then finally (Wave v) where the bulls really have their way, we’re looking at targets beyond INR 400! 🌟 Conclusion: So, here we are, sitting at INR 310.50 with a bullish outlook. The trendline breakout, supported by strong volume, suggests we could be in for some exciting upward moves. Keep those invalidation levels in mind and let’s ride the waves to potential new highs! I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Happy trading! 🌊📈 Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:SHALBYLong
by RK_Chaarts
2
BTC WILL RECOVERY BACK! 65K - BTC did always recovery back NEW BTC uptrend TREND ACTIVATION SINCE 30 MIN we have seen an unexpected breakdown in BTC in the last few days since there are many news trends. BTC has proof time by time that it can recover, and we expect that it will do so this time. We are looking for the next 8H so that BTC can hold the volume and start to make a new recovery. Since the history of BTC --> it has always recovered from halving to halving. $53400 can become an important DIP buying y trend whales with a return to 65K Don't follow news, follow only your study depending on data and TA. all that is going on BTC, shows on price action. 56K did show before to be an important return point for the trend.
Long
by SatochiTrader
Advanced Entry setup on Advanced Enzyme Ltd.Advanced Entry setup for Advanced Enzyme? ABOUT Advanced Enzyme Technologies Limited is engaged in the business of manufacturing and sales of enzymes. The Co. is the 1st Indian enzyme company with 2nd highest market share in India. It is the 2nd listed integrated enzyme player globally. FUNDAMENTAL Since we are looking at the weekly chart, it becomes very important to check the fundamentals. • Company is almost debt free. • Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 20.9% • OPM % increasing you • Cash Flow positive • FII and DII increasing shareholding. TECHNICAL • On a weekly TF, we can see a cup and handle pattern and the formation is completed. • Increasing volumes are increasing the chances of a breakout • RSI is at 60, indicating a potential buying strength and is not overbought. • Trading above 50, 100 and 200 EMA indicating bullishness. ENTRY, EXIT, TARGET, STOPLOSS - If you are a risky trader you can buy some qty at the CMP or above previous day high and add more on breakout. - If you are a risk averse trader then buy some at breakout and more at retest. - The safe buying zone is above 424 and little aggresive players can add above 410. - Since the duration of holding is around 6 - 9 months, don't place SL, but if you want to then SL should at 350. - Target 1 is 480, Target 2 is 570 Happy Trading :)
NSE:ADVENZYMESLong
by rohix
Advanced Entry setup on Advanced Enzyme Ltd?Advanced Entry setup for Advanced Enzyme? ABOUT Advanced Enzyme Technologies Limited is engaged in the business of manufacturing and sales of enzymes. The Co. is the 1st Indian enzyme company with 2nd highest market share in India. It is the 2nd listed integrated enzyme player globally. FUNDAMENTAL Since we are looking at the weekly chart, it becomes very important to check the fundamentals. • Company is almost debt free. • Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 20.9% • OPM % increasing you • Cash Flow positive • FII and DII increasing shareholding. TECHNICAL • On a weekly TF, we can see a cup and handle pattern and the formation is completed. • Increasing volumes are increasing the chances of a breakout • RSI is at 60, indicating a potential buying strength and is not overbought. • Trading above 50, 100 and 200 EMA indicating bullishness. ENTRY, EXIT, TARGET, STOPLOSS - If you are a risky trader you can buy some qty at the CMP or above previous day high and add more on breakout. - If you are a risk averse trader then buy some at breakout and more at retest. - The safe buying zone is above 424 and little aggresive players can add above 410. - Since the duration of holding is around 6 - 9 months, don't place SL, but if you want to then SL should at 350. - Target 1 is 480, Target 2 is 570 Happy Trading :)
NSE:ADVENZYMESLong
by rohix
KAVA PRICE ACTION TRADINGToday i will try to explain how to play with Kava in a simple way. - Remember always that in Cryptos are not easy as forex or stocks, because movements are always brutal. - The first step is always to detect the real trendline. - Detect 3 points. Bouncing Points, Rejection Points. - Some traders use only 2 points, but i am old style trader, so i really need 3 Points to Draw the trend. - Remove the abnormality ( FOMO and PANIC ) - Draw your line. - Now you will need to find PRICE ACTION AREAS. - Those areas can be easily detected by the price fluctuating for a long period of time in the same zone. - For KAVA right now we are fluctuating between $0.75-$1.25$ ( Price action zone 2) - Now you can draw your price action lines. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- METHOD 1 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - So to enter a position you need to understand that you never know if you are right, or if you are wrong. anyone have a magic ball. - The best way is to NEVER GO ALL IN. - Keep always more juice to rebuy if the market crash. - For exemple, you could try to enter KAVA Market at 0.75$ (invest 25%), in case of DIP to 0.5$ (re-inject 75%) ( this is very important!!) --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- METHOD 2 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - Simple wait to see if KAVA will break out the Trendline - in that case you will need to wait the price to break out from triangle (Yellow Triangle) - Again never go all in, on a breakout, some breakout could be fakes. - Keep always Juice. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- - More you will understand and detect price movements, supports, resistances, breakouts, more you will trade better. - Price action and trendline are the basic of trading. - indicators are complementary. PS : This method can also be applied by Shorting the market. ( just inverse everything ). - Happy Tr4Ding !
KRAKEN:KAVAUSDLong
by thecryer
14
Gold’s Bearish Potential +280 PIP potentialShort XAUUSD Trading Position on 30 min timeframe Initial Take Profit: 2303.45 SL: 2340.50 Gold shows a possibility of a bearish movement after breaking an ascending trendline. The price has fluctuated just underneath a 4-hour structure break. It is expected to continue below the shown trendline and reach the previous day’s bottom again. The trend lines drawn on the chart initially suggested support levels, but the most recent movement has broken these trend lines, turning them into current resistance lines. Additionally, the most recent higher high indicates a significant pullback downward, signalling potential further downside and a potential break of the existing structure. Traders should exercise caution and closely monitor key levels of support and resistance. Additionally, they should be alert for any further bearish signals that may confirm this potential move. I would be grateful to get your feedback on this idea if you have any opinions to share. ✽↝✔ Esteem your Analysis and seek improvements ⌁ @AbdullahTech ♾
FUSIONMARKETS:XAUUSDShort
by AbdullahTech
GOLD → From rally to consolidation. Rest before NFP...FX:XAUUSD strengthens on the back of Powell's comments. Light positive notes lead to DXY sell-off and a small rally of XAU to 2364. Today is a day off in the US and tomorrow is NFP..... It's a day off in the US and there is no liquidity. There may be high volatility during trading, but the movements may be weak. Locally, the price is testing resistance and liquidity area. Within a strong distribution there are not many chances to break through the mentioned area. Most likely the formation of a correction, and local bearish patterns appear on the chart, which may lead to a correction in order to gather energy before tomorrow's NFP. Resistance levels: 2364, 2375 Support levels: 2353, 2341 Technically, a false breakout after distribution is forming. There is no potential to go up now. High probability of correction or consolidation. Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
5
GOLD → A change in mood amidst the comments and newsGOLD is testing the previously broken channel boundary. The market maker is driving the price into the liquidity area before the strong news. Powell corrected the direction a bit within yesterday's speech The chance of a September interest rate cut rises after Fed Chair Powell acknowledged progress on disinflation. Jeremy reverses course slightly to dovish. Markets are awaiting the release of the minutes of the latest FOMC meeting (due later today) to get more information on the Fed's next steps. The regulator needs more data before it can start cutting rates. Data from the US labor sector is also in focus: All eyes now turn to ADP's US employment change report after JOLTS showed a rise in job openings on Tuesday. The next important event for the gold price remains the minutes of the June 11-12 Federal Reserve meeting, which could shed light on the central bank's outlook on rates and inflation, having a significant impact on the value of the U.S. dollar and the gold price. Resistance levels: 2346, 2352, 2363, 2380 Support levels: 2341, 2328, 2319 Technically, we have buyers appearing on the local change of fundamental background. The bulls are winning within the consolidation. There is a possibility of strengthening, but we should pay attention to the news.... Regards R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDLong
by RLinda
10
BILL - Time to break the trend2020 IPO, increadible run up thanks to covid helicopter money flooding the market and BILL was fitting on the fintech / solutions space perfectly. After the peak, constant selling pressure for 3 years. We saw the IPO price recently and ran up %15 since. It is at the cusp of breaking out the downward trendline. This name is expecting to post its 1st positive income quarterly this year. institution positioning is high, will do a sneaky %40 under the radar. Buy on the breakout, and add on the retest if it comes, run up to >70
NYSE:BILLLong
by S5_Trading_Desk
Trade the TREND with 4 Trend Indicators4 Trend Indicators you can use to identify the current MACRO Trend. It's always important to know where your market is currently trading. Is it bullish, bearish, or range trading? If you have established the trend, you can trade with the trend instead of against it. Trading against the trend ( for example shorting during a bullish cycle ) adds unnecessary risk to an already risky trade (leverage). 1) Bollinger Bands 2) Logarithmic View 3) Super Trend 4) Moving Averages + RSI Let me know how YOU determine the macro trend! _________________________ BINANCE:DOGEUSDT MEXC:ETHUSDT KRAKEN:BTCUSD COINBASE:SOLUSD
Education
by CryptoCheck-
4