EURUSD → The bulls can take us to 1.100 ↑FX:EURUSD maintains a bullish structure. Ahead is the key resistance from which a pullback may follow before further growth.
On Saturday, there was high-profile news related to the attack on former US President Trump. The markets expected a more violent reaction from the opening, but in general only a small gap was created and it was dealt with rather quickly. Accordingly, the situation is stable. Fundamentally, everything is positive enough with the aim of continuing growth, but today at 16:30 GMT Powell speaks and it is worth to pay attention to his speech.
Technically, the key resistance at 1.0916 is ahead, from which a pullback may follow, as this strong area will not be broken at the first time.
Resistance levels: 1.0916
Support levels: 1.08522
There is a high probability of a rebound from resistance. As part of the correction, the nearest liquidity area may be tested before the subsequent retest of resistance, breakout and growth to 1.10
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with EURUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Trend Line Break
PEPE → A condition that will lead to growth. Is the buyer back?BINANCE:PEPEUSDT is undergoing a deep correction phase. The price is resting on the strong support and the "discount" zone appears the buyer, holding the market. The focus on the upper boundary of the range...
! For convenience, I will indicate key zones without zeros.
Bulls do not let the price below 0.0761, forming a limit support area, in the neighborhood of which a strong buyer appears, it can be determined by the growth of volumes and the pattern of redemption with the subsequent retest without updating the minimum.
At the moment it is not excluded that the coin can continue falling, but based on the general situation there is a chance that PEPE can move into the recovery phase, but provided that the coin can pass the area of 0.0951-0.0991 with the price fixing above this zone, which will generally define an intermediate bottom for the market.
Resistance levels: 0.0952, 0.0991, 0.1084
Support levels: 0.0886, 0.0761
Technically, the situation is complicated because of bitcoin, which is consolidating in the discount zone, but in general there are bullish prerequisites. If the guide (BTC) goes up, it may favor altcoins.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with PEPE / USDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
#TRB/USDT SPOT LONG ENTRY#TRB/USDT LONG ENTRY
Leverage: 3x
Entries: $78.381
Take profit 1: $79.880
Take profit 2: $86.649
Take profit 3: $94.784
Stop Loss: $73.478
NOTE: This is just my prediction. Be sure to use STOPLOSS and remember that I am not a financial adviser. your money, your risk!
BINANCE:TRBUSDT.P
Thanks
The sroced.
XAUUSD - Gold prices have peaked and have not stopped
Gold rose above $2,470 per ounce on Wednesday, reaching a new record high, driven by increased optimism that the Federal Reserve will lower rates as early as September. Fed Chair Jerome Powell noted on Monday that June's lower-than-expected inflation boosted confidence in meeting the price growth target and added that the central bank will not wait for inflation to hit 2% before starting rate cuts. This was echoed by Fed Governor Adriana Kugler, who expressed cautious optimism on Tuesday that inflation is moving towards the target rate
🕯Technically: Currently, where gold's new peak is, we can only guess with round barriers, Sell rhythm should adjust vol appropriately.
There is no important news today, take advantage of RSI, trendline and Breakout to trade when the gold price exceeds the threshold.
Pay attention to important resistance zones. Limit SELL signals to 247x
aSELL Zone: 2,500
🟢BUY GOLD: 2451 - 2449, SL: 2445
🟢BUY GOLD: 2442 - 2440, SL: 2436
🗣️Breakout: 2465 - 2480
🔼Support: 2465 - 2455 - 2450 - 2442 - 2426 - 2418
🔽Resistance: 2500 - 2515
GOOD LUCK EVERYONE👍
GOLD → ATH Testing. Fundamental background is favorable FX:XAUUSD continues to strengthen as the fundamental background improves. A rate cut is coming, as hinted by Powell, the dollar is poised to decline against this backdrop....
According to Powell, the Fed has "more evidence and confidence" that inflation is cooling, so they may cut rates before inflation reaches the 2% target. Traders generally believe in the continuation of the growth of the metal, technically this background is also maintained.
The price is approaching the ATH, but the liquidity behind this zone may push the price back, forming a small correction, for example to 2430-2420 before the price starts to return to 2450 before rising further.
Resistance levels: 2440, 2450
Support levels: 2430, 2420
Fundamentally and technically the background is favorable. It is worth looking for strong zones to open long trades, but it is worth paying attention to ATH, as a false breakdown could form a correction. The growth may continue rather quickly
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with GOLD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD → The bulls are holding their ground. Target 1.29FX:GBPUSD shows bullish outlook ahead of strong news publication. GBPUSD continues to strengthen on the overall fundamental backdrop.
The market is reacting weakly to the resistance area as, against the backdrop of a relatively weak dollar buyers are taking initiative towards GBP. Strong news ahead. Powell speaks again today, tomorrow the UK GDP is published, as well as the US CPI. The news can both strengthen the growth and reverse it.
Technically, the currency pair looks quite bullish. The price consolidation above 1.28 will be a good point for the continuation of the rise to 1.29 and 1.30.
But, the structure will be broken when 1.2775 is broken, in this case we can expect a correction to 1.27 - 1.266.
Resistance levels: 1.28, 1.289
Support levels: 1.2775, 1.2708
Fundamentally and technically everything is positive, I continue to consider further strengthening under a number of conditions described above. The potential target is 1.29
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - Satoshi is AIQuestions and Answers:
1)
Question: According to many YouTubers, Bitcoin is people's money and is supposed to take away power from banks and potentially end the era of central banks and their money printing.
Answer: This is incorrect. Bitcoin has full support from banks. In 2024, a lot of Bitcoin ETFs were launched. One of them is the ETF from BlackRock. With their power, they can make a 51% attack on Bitcoin and get rid of it.
2)
Question: The conspiracists shockingly believe that bitcoin is part of a “final beast system,” which is taking over the world through hard infrastructure.
Answer: Bitcoin is the next money into a purely cashless, digital form. Combined with biometrics, it creates the necessary technological infrastructure for a one world cashless ID, otherwise known as the mark of the beast, which AI will use for complete economic surveillance and control over the human race. 1 wallet per 1 person, monitored 24/7, limited spending power and suspended anytime by government. Is that what you want?
3)
Question: Would crypto currencies like bitcoin or ethereum be part of the AI future?
Answer: Yes, smart contracts and blockchain have a great use case in AI.
4)
Question: Did the CIA or NSA create Bitcoin?
Answer: Yes. Bitcoin was created by a shadow government. One of the reasons is to eliminate cash on the planet. The banking system is in trouble because people are starting to wake up (not fast enough, though) to the fact that it is all funny money. So they developed Bitcoin, which sounds just great and pulls in all the people who are waking up.
We all know that the shadow government has technology that is not available to the public. Some people say they may be 50 or 100 years ahead, and they already used AI systems decades ago before they released them to the public.
5)
Question: What AI technology we use today?
Answer: This AI technology is not new. It's not created by humans. It's part of a huge Galactic AI system that is in existence for a very long time, more than you can imagine. This technology was bringed to this planet by unspecified entitites.
6)
Question: What is required for AI to run?
Answer: It required electricity, microchips, computers, internet. The whole infrastructure that was build on Earth in past 100 years was one of the reasons to implement AI.
7)
Question: How may future look with AI?
Answer: Elon Musk already developing Neuralink, which is an interface to connect your brain into an AI cloud system. That means your thoughts that you have will not be yours, but will come from the AI systems. AI will tell you what you will eat, what sport you will play or what you will do during the day. This is of course part of the transformation process from organic human to a cyborg. We all know that modern technology such as wifi, bluetooth or electronic devices are not healthy and causing anxiety and depression. Human body is entirely not compatible with this technology. It breaks the highest natural law of life. Anyone who consciously support this is basically jumping into a boiling water.
“Eventually, as these AI begin to communicate amongst themselves in a language we will never be able to crack, it might become all consuming."
“What if Satoshi was a sentient AI who invented Bitcoin so it could acquire more hardware without violating Asimov's 3 laws?
“Think about it, how else could an AI acquire billions of dollars of real world purchasing power without stealing.”
In a book an AI program creates a virtual currency that it uses to pay humans to carry out tasks for it.
It's conceivable that true AI would create a cryptocurrency to help fund itself and interface with the "real" world.
There are rumors of BitCoins being written by AI, and that farming crypto-currencies is building an AI infrastructure. They came back from a future timeline where men and robots destroyed the planet using nuclear bombs, to rewrite a better timeline, and determined that inserting BitCoins into our society would be the best way to alleviate fears of AI and to help humans accept machines. Those who embrace technology would then become rich.
Let me know what you think about my analysis in the comment section, and please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! Thank you, and I wish you successful trades.
DXY at Critical Support! Massive Move Ahead! Technical Analysis Overview of DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) on 4-Hour Time Frame:
Crucial Structure Point:
The DXY is currently at a significant structural level, which could determine its next major move.
Key Levels:
Weekly LQZ: 108.007
Daily LQZ: 106.524
Daily LQZ: 101.908
Missed LQZ: 100.552
Current Price Action:
The price is hovering around 104.283, a critical support zone. The market's reaction at this level will likely dictate the next direction.
Potential Scenarios:
Yellow Path (Primary Bias): Indicates a potential bearish scenario where the price might break below the current support level and head towards the Daily LQZ at 101.908 or even the Missed LQZ at 100.552. This path suggests a significant downward movement.
Green Path: Represents a bullish scenario where the price could bounce off the current support and rise towards the Daily LQZ at 106.524 or even the Weekly LQZ at 108.007. This path suggests a recovery and continuation of the upward trend.
Orange Path: Another bearish possibility where the price might initially fake out upwards but eventually break downwards, aligning with the yellow path.
Market Sentiment:
The annotations indicate that while the yellow path is favored, it is essential to remain adaptable as "anything can happen" in the market. This emphasizes the importance of not reacting impulsively but rather anticipating and preparing for different scenarios.
Summary:
Current Trend: The DXY is at a critical juncture, and its next move could be pivotal.
Bearish Bias: The yellow path suggests a potential for further downside, targeting lower key levels.
Bullish Recovery: The green path offers a possible recovery scenario, aiming for higher resistance levels.
Strategy: Traders should monitor the price action closely around the current support level at 104.283. Look for confirmation before entering trades, and be prepared for both bullish and bearish outcomes.
Gold at Record Highs! Breakout or Imminent Reversal?4-Hour Time Frame Analysis:
Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL): The chart displays a clear upward trend with higher highs and higher lows. This indicates a bullish market structure.
Ascending Channel: The price is moving within an ascending channel, showing a steady increase in value.
Key Levels:
1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940
4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394
Potential Take Profit (TP) Levels:
TP 1: 2319.385
TP 2: 2288.085
TP 3: 2267.832
Current Price Action: The price has reached the upper boundary of the ascending channel, suggesting a potential reversal or breakout. Traders should watch for confirmation before taking action.
1-Hour Time Frame Analysis:
Higher High (HH): Similar to the 4-hour chart, the 1-hour chart also shows a higher high, indicating a bullish trend continuation.
Ascending Channel: The price is respecting the ascending channel, reinforcing the bullish sentiment.
Key Levels:
1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940
4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394
Current Price Action: The price is at the top of the ascending channel. Traders should look for signs of a reversal or a breakout above this level to gauge further price movements.
15-Minute Time Frame Analysis:
Ascending Channel: The 15-minute chart shows a detailed view of the ascending channel with the price closely following this structure.
Key Levels:
1-Hour LQZ / Reversal: 2429.940
4-Hour LQZ / Reversal Point: 2391.394
Current Price Action: The price is currently at the top of the channel, suggesting a potential short-term reversal or continuation depending on the breakout direction.
Summary:
Bullish Trend: All three time frames show a clear bullish trend with higher highs and higher lows.
Ascending Channel: The price is moving within an ascending channel on all time frames, which supports the bullish outlook.
Key Reversal Zones: Pay attention to the 1-hour and 4-hour LQZ / Reversal points at 2429.940 and 2391.394 respectively.
Potential Reversal: The price is currently at the upper boundary of the ascending channel on all time frames. This indicates a potential reversal if the price fails to break out. Traders should wait for confirmation before entering trades..
USDCAD SELL JULY 15, 2024Hello,
For clarity, I am using the 1M timeframe for my analysis, but the minimum posting timeframe I can use is the 15M chart. Therefore, please switch to the 1M chart for the most accurate view.
In my last post, I provided an ideal entry point for a trade and subsequently updated it with the optimal exit point. If you haven’t seen it yet, please check it out.
Currently, we are observing a new trend that suggests a downward movement soon. Continue to sell at your discretion, and I will update the post with the precise time to close all trades.
Ensure you stay informed by keeping your notifications on.
GOLD → How might consolidation end? Up or down?FX:XAUUSD is in the consolidation stage. The morning session was extremely quiet amid the absence of Japan in trading, as well as after Saturday's news. Traders are waiting for Powell's speech at 16:30 GMT.
The market was expecting that Trump's assassination attempt in Pennsylvania could have a strong impact on gold as a hedge asset, but the market did not react much, except for cryptocurrencies.
The dollar still looks bearish, if Powell does not change his stance from last week, the dollar index could break support and go down, for gold this would be a favorable scenario.
Since the price is in a range, we can consider 2 scenarios at this point:
1) If the bulls keep the price above 2407, they may break the local resistance and test the upper boundary of the range with a breakout target
2) Against the backdrop of the dollar pullback, gold may come down to the liquidity zone before a subsequent move up.
Support levels: 2407, 2401, 2392
Resistance levels: 2413, 2417, 2424
Fundamentally and technically the background is favorable, gold is quite capable of testing the ATH or even renewing it, but it is worth paying attention to Powell's speech....
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with GOLD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD → Favorable fundamental background. Will we go to 2450?FX:XAUUSD updates high to 2424 amid favorable news. Buyers are returning with the belief that the dollar will continue to fall on the back of the imminent interest rate cuts.
CPI indicates significant easing of inflationary pressures in June. Annual inflation fell to 3%, the lowest rate in a year. This report provides evidence to the Fed that inflation is easing, but most likely it is not enough for them and they will need 1-2 reports confirming the fact that inflation is under control and a move into deflation is forming.
Ahead of PPI and traders are focusing on this report as favorable data could reinforce fresh selling in the US Dollar. This, in turn, could trigger a rise in gold prices. But, it is worth considering the unpredictability of the news in your trading.
Resistance levels: 2411, 2416, 2424
Support levels: 2396, 2392, 2385
Technically, a small correction is possible after a false breakdown of resistance, which in general may lead to testing the imbalance zone before the next growth, if the fundamental background after PPI is maintained or intensified....
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with gold ;)
Regards R. Linda!
IFCI Giving a Strong BreakOutIFCI Ltd. operates as a non-banking finance company, which engages financing activities that cover various projects. It supports projects such as airports, roads, telecom, power, real estate, manufacturing, services sector and such other allied industries.The company was founded on July 1, 1948 and is headquartered in New Delhi, India.
Stop-Loss: 65
Target: 85
Consider exiting half your position after a 10-12% gain and hold the rest to capture the trend.
Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct your own research or consult with a professional advisor before making any investment decisions.
ENGINERSIN giving a good BreakoutEngineers India Ltd. engages in providing engineering, technical, and consultancy services. The firm operates through the following segments: Consultancy & Engineering Projects and Turnkey Projects. The company was founded on March 15, 1965 and is headquartered in New Delhi, India.
Stop-Loss: 268
Target: 350
Consider exiting half your position after a 10-12% gain and hold the rest to capture the trend.
Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct your own research or consult with a professional advisor before making any investment decisions.
Gold Price Analysis: A Closer Look at Key Levels & Future Moves!Trading Idea Breakdown for XAUUSD
Chart Overview:
Time Frame: 4-hour chart
Instrument: Gold Spot (XAUUSD)
Key Levels and Zones:
Daily LQZ (Liquidity Zone):
Level: 2450.370
Significance: Major liquidity area where price is likely to experience significant reactions.
4-hour / LQZ:
Level: 2437.909
Significance: Intermediate liquidity zone crucial for intraday trading decisions.
1-hour TP (Take Profit) Zone:
Level: 2419.054
Significance: Shorter-term take profit area, potentially indicating minor resistance.
Support and Resistance:
Key Support Level: Around 2410.920
Previous Top of Flag: Highlighted zone where price action showed previous resistance before breaking out.
Technical Patterns:
Flag Pattern:
The chart showcases a flag pattern where the price initially showed strong upward momentum (flagpole) followed by a consolidation phase within parallel lines (flag). The breakout from this flag pattern indicates a continuation of the bullish trend.
Upward Channel:
The price is currently moving within an upward channel, suggesting a controlled and steady rise in the price of gold.
Current Price Action:
Price: 2410.920 (at the time of the screenshot)
The price has broken out of the flag pattern and is currently trading near the 4-hour LQZ level.
There's an observed strong bullish momentum as the price approaches the daily LQZ.
Trading Plan:
Bullish Bias:
Given the breakout from the flag pattern and the upward channel, the bias remains bullish.
The price targeting the daily LQZ indicates further potential upside.
Gold Set for Explosive Breakout! Key Levels & Patterns to Watch!Daily Chart Breakdown
Chart Overview:
Time Frame: Daily
Key Levels:
Daily LQZ: 2,450.370
4hr/ LQZ: 2,437.909
1hr TP: 2,419.054
Current Price: 2,410.920
Analysis:
Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL): The chart indicates a strong uptrend with the formation of higher highs and higher lows. This suggests that the market is in a bullish phase.
Flag Pattern: The price action has formed a flag pattern, which is a continuation pattern. The
breakout from this pattern could lead to further upward movement.
Channels:
The price has been moving within an ascending channel, indicating sustained upward momentum. A descending channel breakout in the past led to the current ascending channel, showing a reversal and continuation of the bullish trend.
Conclusion:
The daily chart shows a strong bullish trend with key levels to watch for potential entries and take-profit targets. The flag pattern and ascending channel support the bullish outlook.
4-Hour Chart Breakdown
Chart Overview:
Time Frame: 4-Hour
Key Levels:
Daily LQZ: 2,450.370
4hr/ LQZ: 2,437.909
1hr TP: 2,419.054
Current Price: 2,410.920
Analysis:
Flag Pattern: The price action is forming a flag pattern similar to the daily chart. This reinforces the bullish continuation expectation.
Channels:
Descending Channel: A descending channel was broken, leading to the current ascending channel.
Ascending Channels: Multiple ascending channels are observed, indicating strong bullish momentum with higher lows and higher highs.
Conclusion:
The 4-hour chart aligns with the daily chart, showing strong bullish momentum with clear patterns and channels supporting further upward movement. Watching the key levels mentioned can help identify entry points and targets.
1-Hour Chart Breakdown
Chart Overview:
Time Frame: 1-Hour
Key Levels:
Daily LQZ: 2,450.370
4hr/ LQZ: 2,437.909
1hr TP: 2,419.054
Current Price: 2,410.920
Analysis:
Flag Pattern: A smaller flag pattern is forming, suggesting a short-term bullish continuation.
Channels:
Ascending Channel: The price is moving within an ascending channel, showing strong upward momentum.
Holding Channels: The price has respected the ascending channels, indicating potential for further upward movement.
Conclusion:
The 1-hour chart provides a detailed view of the recent price action, confirming the bullish trend seen in higher time frames. The ascending channels and flag pattern suggest continued upward movement with key levels acting as potential targets.
Overall Summary
The analysis across daily, 4-hour, and 1-hour charts shows a consistent bullish trend with the formation of higher highs and higher lows. Flag patterns and ascending channels indicate strong upward momentum, with key liquidity zones and take-profit targets identified for potential trading opportunities.
XRP - Increase Possible after THIS LEVELXRP - it's possible that the bottom may be near, and we're going to use a technical indicator to look for the bottom.
It should be noted that I am NOT a fan of XRP BUT, I understand tat all coins are tradable despite whether or not I like them.
So let's dive into the SIGNS of the times:
Looking at the RSI below the chart, historically XRP bottoms are close when the RSI hit's the yellow line (34). It could trade lower for a few ore weeks to come, but ultimately this low RSI signals the bottom is either in or close.
It is also worth noting that the M-Pattern should be finished playing out, or close to finished:
Either way, if you MUST trade XRP, buy low and sell high. Bag holders gets burnt!
____________________________
BINANCE:XRPUSDT
Revealing My Top Gold Trading Secrets for Huge Profits!In this video, I reveal my top trading secrets for making huge profits in gold trading (XAU/USD). This educational content will cover key technical analysis techniques and strategies that I frequently use in my charts, as well as valuable insights into trading mindset and proper risk management. Let's unlock the potential of your trading skills together!
Technical Approach:
In this educational segment, we'll focus on the core technical analysis principles that I use to make informed trading decisions. Here's a detailed breakdown of my approach:
Identifying the Trend:
Uptrends and Downtrends: Learn how to recognize market trends using higher highs and higher lows for uptrends, and lower highs and lower lows for downtrends.
Trendlines: Use trendlines to connect the highs and lows of price movements, helping to identify the direction of the trend and potential reversal points.
Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels: Identify areas where the price tends to find support as it falls, acting as a floor preventing further decline.
Resistance Levels: Identify areas where the price tends to find resistance as it rises, acting as a ceiling preventing further ascent.
Historical Price Action: Use past price movements to pinpoint key support and resistance levels that the market respects.
Liquidity Zones (LQZ):
Definition: Liquidity zones are areas on the chart where there is a high concentration of trading activity, often leading to significant price movements.
Identification: Learn how to spot these zones using volume profiles, order flow analysis, and historical price action.
Trading Strategy: Use liquidity zones to identify potential entry and exit points, as they often precede major price moves.
Volume Analysis:
Volume Spikes: Understand how volume spikes can indicate strong buying or selling interest, confirming the validity of price movements.
Volume Trends: Analyze volume trends to gauge the strength of a price trend and anticipate potential reversals.
Entry and Stop Loss Strategies:
Breakouts and Pullbacks: Enter trades on confirmed breakouts above resistance or below support, or on pullbacks to key levels within a trend.
Trailing Stop Loss: Implement a trailing stop loss to lock in profits as the trade moves in your favor, adjusting the stop loss level as the price progresses.
Mini Lessons: Mindset:
Patience and Discipline:
Patience: Wait for the right trading setups that meet your criteria, avoiding impulsive decisions.
Discipline: Stick to your trading plan and rules, even when the market becomes volatile or unpredictable.
Emotional Control:
Stay Calm: Keep your emotions in check to avoid making irrational decisions based on fear or greed.
Mindfulness: Practice mindfulness techniques to remain focused and calm, especially during stressful trading situations.
Proper Risk Management:
Position Sizing:
Risk Per Trade: Limit the amount of capital you risk on any single trade, typically 1-2% of your trading account.
Position Size Calculation: Calculate your position size based on the distance to your stop loss and your risk tolerance.
Risk-Reward Ratio:
Target Ratio: Aim for a risk-reward ratio of at least 2:1, meaning your potential profit should be at least twice your potential loss.
Trade Evaluation: Evaluate each trade based on its risk-reward ratio before entering, ensuring it aligns with your trading strategy.
By incorporating these technical strategies and mindset principles, you can enhance your trading performance and increase your chances of success in the gold market. Stay tuned for more educational content and trading insights!
MAPO CAN SHOWS NEW INCREASEI hope you all are doing well and navigating the crypto market with your best strategies that are possible.
This update is for MAPOUSDT.
This coin seems to be new on some exchanges and can be high risk for the short term and 100% risky when users trade and invest with not a plan.
MAPO seems to be at an important key level, where it has a high chance of breaking in the coming time.
WE will follow this coin with the possibility of the trend increasing and breaking.
Remember, there are no guarantees in the market. Always follow a consistent system based on your own strategies and analysis that are at long term profitable.
The reason for expecting this coin can increase
Activation of a new trend with the possibility of starting a new cycle.
Good times, everyone.
This update is not trading or financial advice.
Amazon - Why is there no resistance?NASDAQ:AMZN broke out of a long term consolidation phase and is starting a massive rally.
Every major consolidation is followed by a major breakout. And if the overall trend is bullish, a bullish breakout is more likely to happen. Last month Amazon finally broke above a multi year resistance level and is now heading back to the top of the rising channel formation. If we actually get a retest of the breakout level, you can then simply enter a long position.
Levels to watch: $180, $380
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
USDJPY → Interventions + CPI. The market doesn't believe it...FX:USDJPY is coming under bearish attack. Immediately after the US CPI release, the Japanese Central Bank intervened in the FX market to support the yen.
Fundamentally this was to be expected. Japan's central bank is not trying very hard to preserve its national currency. In order to invest minimal effort, policymakers took advantage of the US CPI report. The CPI + Interventions tandem led to a 2.7% decline in the currency pair. But, traders are starting to buy back some of the decline. Ahead of PPI, the news could both amplify the fall and smear all the efforts of the BoJ.
Technically, I don't think such actions will lead to anything global. The growth could continue. On W1 the nature of the market does not change, all interventions are gradually bought out and the currency pair will continue to update the highs.
Resistance levels: 159.6, 160.2, 160.5
Support levels: 157.7
It is possible to buy out and test the imbalance zone before the subsequent decline. A favorable background may be the PPI report, but after the market calms down, traders may return to JPY sell-offs, which may lead to the continuation of USDJPY growth.
Regards R. Linda!
GBPUSD & DXY Forex Update: Key Triggers and Market Insights📅 Today, we're diving into the Forex market, specifically analyzing the GBPUSD pair. Previously, we examined this pair on the weekly time frame, and now I’ll provide an update with new entry points marked on the chart.
🔄 Weekly Time Frame Analysis
In our previous analysis, we identified 1.28019 as the first long trigger on the weekly chart. The price has since stabilized above this level and even activated the 59.01 trigger on the RSI. As mentioned before, the next target is 1.31921, and with a 230-pip distance, this level can offer a significant profit to those who entered long positions following the breakout.
🧲 Curved Trend Line
We also have a curved trend line in this area, which can inject substantial momentum into the market and push the price upwards. If this trend line breaks, we can expect a trend reversal and a potential downward move.
📊 Trend Health Check
Checking the health of the trend, we notice that each successive bullish wave has weakened while the red candles remain powerful. However, the RSI shows no signs of trend weakness or divergence, and the price has managed to create a higher high. Thus, despite the weakened upward trend, the price has managed to start a robust new trend and cover its previous weaknesses.
📈 Target and Rest Period
Upon reaching 1.31921, the price will likely take a rest before creating new market structures, allowing us to find new triggers for decisions. If this area breaks, the next target on the weekly chart is 1.36736.
📉 Bearish Scenario
If the price reverses the entire recent upward move and breaks the curved trend line, activating the 1.26262 trigger, we can expect a downward movement. The main trigger is 1.23585, with targets at 1.20909 and 1.18253.
📅 Daily Time Frame Analysis
Let's examine the daily time frame to observe price behavior in more detail. After multiple tests of the 1.28019 resistance, the price finally stabilized above it, driven significantly by the recent US CPI news which weakened the US dollar, causing pairs against the dollar to rise.
📰 US CPI Impact
The US CPI report showed a decrease in inflation, causing the DXY to drop. Lower inflation reduces investment appeal in the country, leading to a weaker currency. As the dollar weakens, pairs like GBPUSD rise.
💣 RSI and Momentum
The RSI has entered the overbought (OB) zone, indicating strong bullish momentum in the market. The price hasn't taken a break, showing only one red candle in the last 12 and forming no structures for a clear trigger.
🎈 SMA99
As previously mentioned, the SMA99 acts like a black hole, pulling prices towards it if they move too far away. Currently, the price isn't too far from the SMA99, suggesting more upward movement potential. However, if it moves too far, the SMA99's "black hole" effect could come into play.
📈 Long Position Strategy
For a long position in this time frame, we should wait for the price to form a new structure. We could also look at lower time frames like 4-hour or 1-hour charts to find suitable long triggers. In this time frame, patience is key before opening a long position.
📉 Short Position Strategy
The short position trigger remains the same as on the weekly chart. We need to wait for the curved trend line to break and activate the 1.26262 or 1.23585 triggers.
🔍 DXY Chart Analysis
The DXY chart on the daily time frame shows a large ascending triangle, with a previous false breakout and a move back up from the 100.883 support. The recent upward move failed to reach the 107.017 resistance and turned back from 106.338, a strong supply area making it difficult for the price to stabilize above this range.
🔫 Short-Term DXY View
On a smaller scale, the DXY has a ranging box between 104.039 and 106.338. The recent upward move couldn’t reach the box ceiling, and with the main ceiling at 107.017, this confirms significant upward trend weakness.
🪓 RSI Confirmation
A drop below 38.71 in the RSI confirms the entry of bearish momentum into the market. If the price breaks the ascending trend line and stabilizes below 104.039, downward momentum will drive the market.
📰 Fundamental Weakness in USD
As highlighted in the GBPUSD analysis, the USD is weakening fundamentally, adding another layer of confirmation for a potential DXY decline.
🎯 DXY Targets
The initial target for a DXY drop is 102.688, with a second target at 100.883. Upon reaching these targets, the price will likely range for an extended period, forming a new structure for either a drop or a rise.
🧠💼 Always remember that trading futures involves inherent risks, and improper risk management can lead to margin calls. Stick to your capital management principles and use stop-loss orders, aiming for an initial risk-to-reward ratio of 2.
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