AMD - Weekly ChannelsLooking at AMD for potential long position. Previous times playing downward channels AMD usually breaks out of the channel on the 4th retest of bottom part of channel.
Could Enter on 3rd test with tight stop and early scales marked in orange.
With recent hawkish Fed on 12/18, we may see more downside (a 4th test) before a breakout from the channel.
Trend Lines
Buy gold, there is still a chance to rebound to 2640Bros, gold has fallen sharply due to the hawkish rate cut, and the lowest has reached around 2584, and then rebounded; just now, gold touched around 2687 during the second decline, and then rebounded to above 2690, showing signs of building a W double bottom in the structure.
Although the rebound of gold is relatively weak, the downward space is gradually converging. I was optimistic that gold would continue to fall to around 2670, but at present, since gold has signs of forming a W double bottom structure, after consuming a certain amount of short energy, once the W double bottom structure is successfully built, gold may still rebound to 2640 again.
So in trading, I think it is best not to continue to chase short gold in short-term trading. We can go long on gold with the 2590-2580 area as the support area, and the defense position is 2570. So in short-term trading, I am currently more inclined to go long on gold.
Bros, are you as optimistic about the gold rebound as I am? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
Gold Drops $65 as Bearish Momentum Dominates Post-Fed DecisionGold Technical Analysis
Gold prices dropped approximately $65 yesterday following the Federal Reserve's rate decision. The market continues to exhibit bearish momentum as long as it trades below 2623 and 2612, targeting 2585. A break below 2585, confirmed by a 1-hour or 4-hour candle close, could push the price further down to 2558.
The gold market is expected to remain volatile, with the upcoming GDP report playing a crucial role:
If GDP comes in below the expected 2.8%, this could support a bullish move.
If GDP exceeds 2.8%, this could reinforce the bearish trend.
Key Levels
Pivot Point: 2612
Resistance Levels: 2623, 2638, 2653
Support Levels: 2585, 2572, 2558
Trend Outlook
Bearish below 2623 and 2612
Bullish above 2623
$USO crash before the bull market starts?I originally thought that we'd see a move higher off the bounce from $69, however the chart has now morphed and looks more bearish than it did over the summer.
If we break the trend line to the downside, then I think it's likely that we can see a crash to the $40 region before the bull market in oil really starts.
Let's see how it plays out over the coming months.
NASDAQFed's Hawkish Stance Sparks Fears ofSustained 4%Rate FloorMarkets Fear Fed's 4% Floor as Dollar Surges
While the Federal Reserve's "hawkish cut" on Thursday was widely anticipated, markets are now concerned that the 4% policy rate will act as a floor for the coming year, with no further easing expected until midyear or later.
Technical Analysis
The price dropped approximately 4.5% yesterday ahead of the Fed's rate decision. Today, the market corrected to the resistance level of 21,420, after which it is likely to drop back toward 21,215, particularly if it stabilizes below 21,420.
Stability below 21,420 will maintain a bearish trend, targeting 21,280 and 21,215.
A break below 21,215, confirmed by a 4-hour candle close, could push the price further down toward 20,990.
Key Levels
Pivot Point: 21420
Resistance Levels: 21530, 21620, 21770
Support Levels: 21290, 21215, 20990
Trend Outlook
Bearish Momentum: Likely to persist with stability below 21,420.
Bullish Momentum: Possible if stability above 21,420 is achieved.
this is why BTC dropped from a technical standpoint this is what I see:
BTC is testing the biggest challenge which is the YEARLY top trendline so it can be tough to break
the PULLBACK can be painful for investors if btc cant break this zone (especially alts)
But if and when btc finally breaks that, it will be huge and we might not see btc below that trendline again in the future
only time will tell
Bitcoin BEARISH - BTC Strong Resistance On Weekly TFBitcoin has reached strong resistance on the weekly TF. The resistance line goes the whole way back to 2017. So it's very reliable. A strong move downwards is very likely!
Based on previous times this line was tested, Bitcoin could fall 50% or more. However, the 74000-75000 level looks like a good support level. This would be about a 30% drop which is still very significant.
I expect profit taking very soon and short sellers to come in. There could possibly even be global headline news to cause this drop.
Be very careful in buying near the tops. Trade with your brain and not emotions. This is only an idea and anything can happen, but it's a weekly chart and seems very reliable.
XAUUSD downside target 2560On the 4-hour chart, XAUUSD maintains a volatile downward trend. At present, attention can be paid to the resistance near 2626. If the rebound does not break, the bearish strategy can be maintained. The downward target is around 2560. After breaking, the support below is around 2536.
$SOL Short-Term Pain Ahead CRYPTOCAP:SOL price broke to the downside of the 50D SMA
Bearish Crossing from the 20D MA ahead.
Needs to hold critical support at $190 / .786 Fib
Another bearish day could dump CRYPTOCAP:SOL to $175 / .618 , and if that doesn’t hold the move should finish at $165 / 50% level.
RSI shows more downside for confluence.
BTC to 85K
I said to my members on December 9th that I had a wish (an unlikely one at that) that Bitcoin may have a retracement back to a large FVG at just over $85k . Then it hit its all time highs and I thought my idea was invalidated. After this week though, it may still be in play?
I am setting up some buy orders at $85k in case a wick hits that FVG support line.
$TOTAL Market Cap FUD Sell-Off 14% sell-off on Crypto CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL Market Cap in the past 24 hrs
If we don't reclaim support here, could have another ~8% down to go. If that happens, I expect it to happen swiftly with a V-shaped recovery
Get your bids in!
NO NEED TO PANIC
Santa Rally still on the table 🎅
XRP BULLISH - Retesting Support Before Moving Up On Weekly TFXRP recently ripped through multi-year resistance and is re-testing a major support level at the $2.00 level. This is perfectly normal and should be expected.
It looks like support is holding and XRP is going to bounce upwards. In this case, expect a move towards it's all-time high near the $3.30 area.
TP at $3.30 would be approximately a 50% move upwards from here!
Focus Shifts to Greenback and the 10-year TreasuryThe Federal Reserve triggered violent drops in stocks yesterday and two key charts could be attempting important breakouts.
We first consider the U.S. Dollar Index with weekly candles. There’s a falling trendline along the peaks of October 2023 and late April. DXY rallied through that resistance and turned it into support earlier this month. That may be consistent with an uptrend.
Second, DXY has advanced in 11 of the last 12 weeks. That could also suggest direction is accelerating higher.
Third, some traders may now eye the October 2022 high around 114 as the next key level.
Next is the 10-year Treasury Yield with 3-day candles (to clearly display almost 2 years of history):
A falling channel began in late 2023 at the same time stocks began their latest rally, but TNX didn’t reach the lower end of the channel. That was the first sign that yields might still be rising.
TNX also failed to reach its March 2023 low and refused to stay below its December 2023 low.
The index dipped last month but held its mid-July low above 4 percent.
Next comes the historically important long-term peak of 4.34 percent from the start of the Global Financial Crisis. After that, TNX closed above its November daily high.
Each of those points additionally suggest that that yields are moving higher. They also shift attention to the next big level near 5 percent from October 2022.
Given the importance of DXY and TNX for risk appetite, some traders may find potentially useful intermarket signals on their charts.
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After the Fed’s Rate Cut: Gold’s Price Action and What’s NextYesterday was another wildly volatile day for OANDA:XAUUSD , with prices dropping approximately 600 pips following the Fed's rate cut.
After breaking below the 2645-2650 confluence support on Tuesday, the market entered a day of consolidation with a tight trading range.
However, the calm didn’t last long...
Yesterday's sharp decline took prices below the 2610-2615 technical support zone and even breached the critical 2600 level.
Overnight, Gold rebounded back above 2600, but in my opinion, this recovery is likely a normal retracement and does not signal a bottom for the yellow metal.
For bears, the sell zone begins at 2620 and extends slightly past 2630, accounting for the heightened volatility. This area presents an opportunity to look for short entries. The initial target for this move would be yesterday's low, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see Gold drop further toward the 2525 key support level in the near future.
As long as prices remain below the 2650-2660 resistance range, the outlook for XauUsd stays firmly bearish .
CADCHF Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends
In the CADCHF currency pair, we expect the price to grow, but why?
In this currency pair, we are witnessing the formation of 2 5-wave patterns and 2 zigzag patterns, which can be called 1 or A and 2 or B and 3 or C.
In my opinion, considering the price drop and the formation of these patterns, it is evidence of a price reversal.
Therefore, I expect the formation of wave 5.
I also consider the stop loss at 0.62100.
If our theory is correct, we expect the price to grow to the level of 100% and then 161.8% Fibonacci.
To support me, I recommend installing the Trading View application on your phone and see my analyses and support me with your comments and Boost. Be successful and profitable.
$2800- $3000: how does gold hold steady amid global uncertainty?Gold has once again emerged as a focal point in global financial markets, gaining significant attention from investors amidst economic instability and geopolitical tensions. In 2024, the price of gold increased by over 28%, reaffirming its role as a reliable asset for capital preservation during uncertain times. Below, we explore the primary factors influencing gold prices, investment strategies, and future prospects for this precious metal.
What Drives Gold Prices?
1. Geopolitical Tensions as a Catalyst:
Political and military conflicts , such as those in the Middle East, amplify the appeal of gold as a "safe haven."
During periods of uncertainty, gold becomes a hedge against shocks in the global economy, prompting higher demand from both individual investors and institutions.
2. Impact of U.S. Federal Reserve Policy:
The Federal Reserve's monetary decisions significantly influence gold prices.
The current economic environment, shaped by pressure for lower interest rates, benefits gold as an asset class.
Under the influence of a potentially “dovish” U.S. administration, expectations of sustained inflation and reduced rates create a favorable backdrop for gold.
3. Increased Central Bank Purchases:
Central banks worldwide have been actively boosting their gold reserves.
Gold serves as a hedge against inflation and currency fluctuations, particularly for economies in regions like India and the Middle East, where the metal holds cultural and financial significance.
Investment Opportunities in Gold
Investing in gold offers diverse options, each catering to different risk appetites and levels of expertise:
• Gold ETFs:
Exchange-traded funds are an accessible entry point for novice investors due to their simplicity and low barriers to entry.
These funds allow investors to gain exposure to gold without the complexities of physical ownership.
• Shares of Gold Mining Companies:
Stocks in companies like Newmont (USA), Barrick Gold (Canada), and Freeport-McMoRan (USA) offer potential for higher returns compared to direct gold investments.
However, they come with added risks due to market volatility and company-specific factors.
• Gold Futures:
Futures contracts enable investors to lock in prices and mitigate volatility.
This strategy is best suited for experienced investors who understand market dynamics and risk management.
Outlook for 2025
The combination of geopolitical instability, high inflation, and low interest rates sets the stage for continued growth in gold prices. Over the next six months, gold prices are projected to reach $2800 per ounce. While crossing the $3000 mark may seem overly optimistic, it remains a possibility under certain geopolitical scenarios.
As global economic uncertainties persist, gold's role as a stable and reliable investment is likely to strengthen, ensuring its continued relevance in diversified portfolios.
NYSE:NEM
TSX:ABX
NYSE:FCX
DOGE | ALTCOINS | All Time High NOT YET INDoge, together with other alts such as ETH and SOL have not yet made a new high that is justified according to the increases on BTC. After a 45% correction over 2 weeks, DOGE is likely ready for another push up.
This reminds me much of the previous cycle, where alts lagged behind until a few weeks AFTER BTC actually topped out.
Here, you can find much more detail on how to watch the BTC.D chart to call the top:
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BINANCE:DOGEUSDT CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL3