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XAU/USD Strategy: Selling Rallies Amid Bearish StructureIn my analysis of XAU/USD yesterday, I highlighted that after the 800-pip drop, a rebound was likely. However, given the weekly Pin Bar and the bearish daily structure, I emphasized that any upward move should be viewed as a correction and an opportunity to sell. Indeed, the market did see a rebound, but it was weak and short-lived. After reaching the 2665 zone, the price reversed to the downside and ended the day with minimal change. Currently, the price sits at 2652, with the recent lows now acting as confluent support, reinforced by the rising trendline from the recent bottom. A decisive break below this support zone would shift focus to the next key level at 2610-2615. My strategy remains unchanged: I continue to look for selling opportunities on rallies.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
1
WHERE DO YOU THINK SOLANA WILL GO?Solana's price chart tells a powerful story, featuring a symmetrical triangle that will trigger a volatility surge. The recent consolidation phase showcases strong bullish sentiment, with higher highs and higher lows. The 5EMA lines provide a solid foundation, supporting price movements reliably. As the price approaches the 12-period EMA, it outperforms longer-term averages, highlighting the impressive strength of the uptrend. This mirrors the 2020 crypto market surge, where similar technical indicators signaled a robust upward trend. The MACD indicators offer a balanced view, reflecting short-term momentum and subtle divergences that demand attention. The CM Ult MACD takes a neutral stance, warning of a potential slowdown in the upward trend, reminiscent of the cautious optimism seen during the 2017 crypto bull run. Volume will dictate the next move. A significant increase in volume during an upward breakout will confirm bullish expectations, similar to the 2021 surge of theuron (URNT), where rising volume drove the token's value. Weak volume will raise concerns, echoing the 2018 crypto market downturn. The $300-$500 target range is within reach, provided the triangle's upper boundary is breached decisively. The broader crypto market recovery, similar to the rebound following the 2018 crash, supports this outlook. Stay vigilant. Watch for breakouts accompanied by rising MACD and volume, like the 2021 Dogecoin (DOGE) surge. If bearish forces gain momentum, the lower triangle boundary and the $177-180 range will provide crucial support, similar to the $100 support seen during the 2020 Bitcoin (BTC) correction. Solana's bullish traits dominate this consolidation phase, echoing the optimism of the 2021 crypto market boom. The forthcoming pattern resolution will determine its next significant move, and traders must prepare for either outcome. IF BREAK OUT OCCURS WITH HUGE VOLUMES YOU CAN SEE A SURGE OF $150 TO $300 IN MID TERM HOLDING .
Long
by PROFITPULSE10X
Societe Generale | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators On Trade Set Up In General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # Societe Generale - Double Formation * 29.500 EUR | Area Survey | Subdivision 1 * Pennant Structure | Configuration Method Valid - Triple Formation * Retracement 1.618)) | Support | Uptrend Bias | Subdivision 2 * ABC Flat Correction | Hypothesis At 27.450 EUR | Subdivision 3 * Trend | Behaviour & Entry Principle | Daily Time Frame Active Sessions On Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; London(Upwards) - NYC(Downwards) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management On Demand; Overall Consensus | Neutral
CAPITALCOM:GLE
by TradePolitics
S&P 500 Rally: Why a 5k Target Might Be More Likely Than 7kSince November of last year, the SP:SPX has surged by 50%, and if we look at the gains from this year alone, we're seeing around a 30% increase. Additionally, the rise from August is 20% which is significant in just five months. Considering the rapid pace of these increases, especially for such a major index, it gives me the impression that the S&P 500 may be overstretched. Statistically, such strong rallies either follow a deep bear market or precede a significant pullback. Since we haven't experienced a strong bear market recently, I believe a correction could be on the horizon. Technically, the market remains in an uptrend, but the price action from August has been in steps. This type of movement often signals distribution and a potential reversal. In conclusion, while a new all-time high by the end of the year is almost certain, I'm not overly optimistic about the long-term outlook. A pullback to around 5,000 seems more likely to me than a rally to 7,000.
SP:SPXShort
by Mihai_Iacob
ASX 200: Is the Santa Rally Finally on the Runway?Did we just see the start of the ‘Santa Rally’ on Australia’s ASX 200? If the daily candle on SPI futures finishes around these levels, the price signal will likely embolden those who have been pining for its arrival. As things stand, we’re looking at a key reversal with the body and range greater than the candle of 24 hours earlier, pointing to the potential for an extended run higher. RSI (14) has broken its downtrend – hinting at a shift in price momentum – although MACD is yet to confirm the signal. While the timing of the futures contract roll emphasises the need for risk management, with just a handful of trading days left until Christmas, this has often been a strong seasonal period Australian stocks. If the price closes above 8310, one setup to consider would be to initiate longs above the level with a stop beneath for protection, targeting the downtrend established from the record highs. A break of that level may open the door for a larger thrust, possibly towards 8420 or 8480. The price needs to overcome 8353 for the setup to succeed, meaning traders should be on alert for signs of hesitancy from this known reversal level. If the price were to close beneath 8310, the bullish setup would be invalidated. Good luck! DS
ASX24:AP1!Long
by FOREXcom
USDJPY InsightHello, subscribers! It's great to have you all here. Please feel free to share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe! Key Points - U.S. December Manufacturing PMI dropped to 48.1, down 1.4 points from the previous month, marking its lowest level in three months, while the Services PMI rose to 58.5, up 1.4 points, hitting a 38-month high. - Eurozone December Composite PMI increased to 49.5, up 1.2 points from the previous month but remained below the critical threshold of 50. - ECB Executive Board Member Isabel Schnabel stated, "Monetary policy must proceed gradually and remain data-dependent." - At the December FOMC meeting, a 25 basis point rate cut is seen as a given, but there is a prevailing outlook for rates to be held steady in January. - Canada's Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland announced her resignation following a conflict with Prime Minister Justin Trudeau. Key Economic Indicators + December 17: U.S. November Retail Sales + December 18: U.K. November Consumer Price Index, Eurozone November Consumer Price Index, FOMC meeting results + December 19: Bank of Japan rate decision, Bank of England rate decision + December 20: U.S. November Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index USD/JPY Chart Analysis USD/JPY successfully bounced from the 149 level and broke through the 153.500 resistance, paving the way for a potential climb toward the 157 level. In the short term, an upward trend appears likely. However, with the FOMC meeting and the BOJ monetary policy meeting scheduled this week, there is significant uncertainty regarding medium- to long-term direction. We will revisit the outlook based on the outcomes of these events. If unexpected movements occur, we will quickly adjust our strategy accordingly.
Long
by shawntime_academy
Divergence - SHORT I am not perfect on explaining what is happening, but I am good in drawing my expectation. in this expectation, I think there is a signal for Divergence from the tops which indicate price will revert to hard down, so keep in mind, Selling short period is about to happen. and put in your mind, that the price sooner or later will come back to the main trend link ( the below white line) so, BTC will go back again to the $60,000 again, and maybe less, you need to know the game, they drop the price with one click by selling a huge amount of BTC on their network, that's how they control the market, by selling and buying their exist BTC, they will never lose, this Satoshi Nakamato organization are like the CASINO, the house always wins. ;)
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by khaledabdrabo
3
GOLD - Falling Wedge ABCD PatternGOLD has broken down from bearish rectangular consolidation. Prior to bearish rectangle, a falling wedge was formed from recent highs. Now it seems falling wedge is part of ABCD pattern, which means there is one more leg downwards to go. In ABCD pattern, the size of the second move downwards is very much the same as first move (either in $ or % terms). The projected price of completion of this falling wedge with ABCD pattern is between 14 and 14.50 because this coincides with: - a number of trendlines and major support zone from Weekly timeframe meet between 14 and 15 - gap fill is at 14.66 Also, if we look at price range of first wedge pattern drop, it was about 22% (from point A to B). With the formation of ABCD, the second wedge pattern price drop is also likely to be about 22% from point C to D of ABCD pattern. Price is below SMA 20, 50 and 200 Buy around 14.50
NYSE:GOLD
by I_M_Shoaib
Technical Analysis: BTC/USDT – after ATH at $106kAfter the price reached the 1.14 level of the Fibonacci Retracement, I projected the Fibonacci Expansion to identify potential targets and decision zones. Context: The prevailing structure is a well-defined uptrend channel, reflecting a strong and consistent upward momentum. Statistically, the zone between 1.0 and 1.14 Fibonacci levels often acts as a decision area, where the price tends to consolidate or face resistance before deciding whether to continue the trend or initiate a pullback. Current Scenario: We are currently in an extended leg within the channel, which significantly increases the probability of a price correction. The marked Pullback Zone (highlighted on the chart) suggests that the price could retrace to test intermediate supports within the channel or revisit previous Fibonacci levels.
Short
by SilvesterScorpion
BTC.D: A Critical Turning PointThe current zone is pivotal for confirming the bearish scenario on BTC.D. Key Points: - Death Cross on the 12h chart confirmed last week. - PA is retesting EMAs after the cross, increasing the likelihood of further downside. - This is a zone to add positions if weakness confirms. Main Scenario: 1. Retest completion → continued downtrend. 2. Major support lies around 53%, with potential for deeper declines. Risks: A sustained move above the current MAs could invalidate the bearish outlook.
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by Goldfinch_song
“4” reasons to go long CLSKI went long NASDAQ:CLSK again - at 12.3175 at the close today. Since this summer when I started posting ideas, I've made 5 trades in NASDAQ:CLSK and made an average of almost 13% per trade and those 5 trades averaged under 3 days in length (all verified in ideas I've posted here). The miners are such a gold mine when it comes to how I trade. One of the keys for the average person when it comes to the miners is to look in the “minds” for the stock. When everyone there starts complaining about conspiracies, criminality, or changing their mind back to “this thing is garbage” 2 weeks after they were gleefully shouting “to the moon” and posting rocket emojis, you know it’s getting close to time to buy 🤣. Seriously, though. My algo says it’s time to buy and you know I don’t question its judgment. But if you just look at the chart, there are a few other things that also poke you in the ribs and whisper “buy itttttt”. 1) Uptrend - the regression channel here makes it obvious, but NASDAQ:CLSK has been in an uptrend since the beginning of September. The trend is your friend until it ends - and it hasn’t yet. 2) Higher highs and higher lows. Part of the uptrend thesis, but until this closes below 9.80 (an over 20% loss from here), the uptrend is intact. 3) Minor (no homonymous pun intended) support at 11.40 from the low of the gap up candle. 4) Finally, 4 consecutive down days. Going long after 4 down days in a row has been an incredibly quick and reliable payoff for quite some time now. You’d have to go back to September of 2022 to find a 4 down day buy that didn’t pay off in under 3 weeks. In fact, it has only taken even 3 weeks 2x since then. The most common payoff is 1 day, and almost all have been less than a week since Sept. of ‘22. I’m all about the quick payoff and I’m expecting this one to be as well. Per my usual strategy, I'll add to my position at the close on any day it still rates as a “buy” and I will use FPC (first profitable close) to exit any lot on the day it closes at any profit. Depending on the situation, I may sell calls as well since the premiums on miner options are just ludicrous. As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
NASDAQ:CLSKLong
by redwingcoach
15