Trend Lines
bitcoin act!I think Bitcoin will fall to the support level of 71510 and reach its critical range. The support line of 71510 is very important. If it is broken, the price of Bitcoin will easily fall to 51000. If it does not, the price will rise again from this support line. In my opinion, it is suitable to take a short position to 71510 right now.
VERTIV for your long/medium term PortfolioThis Stock is interesting at the marked area which is a 1.618 extention of the first corrective move and a 0.618 retracement of the last strong push up.
i d like to see a crossing of the decending trendline o fthe correction and afterwards a crossing of the sma(89) to the upside.
let' s see what happens.
good luck all!
HelenP. I Bitcoin will little correct and then start to move upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. Some time ago price declined to the trend line and then started to grow, so, quickly later rose to the support level. this level was concerned with the support zone and soon BTC broke this level, after which made a retest and started to trades near this level. Later, the price rose to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, after which made a correction to the support level and then in a short time backed up to the resistance level. Then the price continued to grow and soon reached the 103000 level and even broke it and then continued to move up. Bitcoin reached a new ATH and then turned around and made a correction movement, breaking the 103000 level one more time. Price fell to the trend line and then tried to grow, but failed and now continues to trades close to this line. In my opinion, BTCUSDT will decline below the trend line and then start to grow to the resistance zone. So, for this case, I set my goal at 105K points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
WINGSTOP Buy IdeaThis seems to be a healthy stock with a good chart and i d like to use a little pull back for entry.
today i placed a stop buy order above last 2 days high at 346,20. Trade not active yet.
Some more downside possible from the way the chart looks.
Leave a like or comment. Lets discusss.
XAUUSD - Gold will welcome the holidays?!Gold is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 1-hour time frame and is trading in its short-term ascending channel. In case of a valid failure of the bottom of the channel, we can see the continuation of gold's decline and seeing the demand zone. Within the demand range of demand, we can buy with a suitable risk reward. If the upward movement continues, gold can be sold in the supply zone.
Without a doubt, 2024 has been the year of the US dollar. While high inflation continued to spread across Europe and other parts of the world in 2023, the Federal Reserve reported progress in controlling price growth. Similar to last year, other central banks have been more proactive in reducing interest rates, but the slow pace of inflation containment has delayed the Federal Reserve’s rate-cutting process.
Federal Reserve officials now anticipate only two 0.25% interest rate cuts in 2025. As a result, it is expected that the Federal Reserve will maintain a tighter monetary stance compared to other major central banks, except for the Bank of Japan, which is currently increasing its interest rates.
This decision follows previous rate cuts implemented earlier this year, including a 50-basis-point reduction in September and a 25-basis-point cut in November. Overall, these measures have resulted in a full 1% decrease in the benchmark rate, signaling a shift in the Federal Reserve’s approach to the current economic environment.
By lowering interest rates, the Federal Reserve aims to stimulate consumption while continuing to monitor inflationary pressures. Although these pressures have generally subsided, they have slightly risen in recent months. Nonetheless, the decision to reduce rates could benefit borrowers by lowering consumer interest rates, making it more affordable to buy homes, secure personal loans, or borrow funds in other areas. However, the implications extend beyond lending.
Adjustments to the Federal Reserve’s interest rates could create a complex environment for investors, particularly those drawn to traditional safe-haven assets like gold. Historically, the relationship between interest rates and gold prices has been inversely proportional. Lower rates typically increase gold valuations, as the reduced cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold makes it more appealing, thereby driving up demand and prices.
However, it is crucial to understand that the impact of interest rate decisions on gold prices operates within a broader network of interconnected factors beyond monetary policy. For investors considering adding gold to their portfolios, understanding this broader context is essential.
In addition to Federal Reserve policies, one key driver of the gold market is central bank purchases, particularly by emerging economies seeking to diversify their reserves. These purchases have recently reached historic levels, providing substantial support for gold prices. Global trade tensions, supply chain disruptions, and evolving industrial demand—especially from technology and renewable energy sectors—also add layers of complexity to the gold market.
In the first quarter of this year, India’s central bank recorded a net purchase of 77 tons of gold, followed by Turkey’s central bank with 72 tons, increasing the share of gold in its foreign reserves to 34%. Poland, with a purchase of 69 tons, was the third-largest buyer, while China, traditionally the largest gold buyer in recent years, ranked fourth with less than 30 tons.
BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, has predicted in its 2025 global outlook report that the coming year will be marked by increased geopolitical fragmentation and the formation of rival economic and political blocs. These developments are likely to accelerate the trend of de-dollarization and bolster gold purchases.
Moreover, the strength of the US dollar continues to play a crucial role in gold pricing. However, factors such as relative economic growth rates, trade balances, and international capital flows can overshadow this influence.For instance, the dollar may strengthen if major economies face significant challenges or if investors seek safe-haven currencies during market turmoil—even in a rate-cut environment.
Inflation expectations also strongly influence the gold market. While moderate inflation typically supports gold as a store of value, extreme inflation may shift investment patterns, potentially reducing demand if other assets offer higher returns. Changes in consumer demand, particularly from major gold-buying countries, can also impact prices. Additionally, seasonal trends, such as increased gold purchases during festivals or weddings in these countries, may contribute to price fluctuations.
Finally, US President Joe Biden signed a budget bill that will fund the government until mid-March next year, preventing a year-end shutdown. This legislation, recently approved by both the House of Representatives and the Senate, ensures government operations continue until the beginning of Donald Trump’s presidency next year.
GBPCHF: Intraday Technical OutlookAfter a breakout of a horizontal demand cluster last week, GBPCHF began to gradually recover while forming a symmetrical triangle pattern.
The market showed a clear rejection from the broken area. The next signal for a bearish trend will be a breakout below the support of the triangle pattern, confirmed by a 4-hour candle closing below that level.
This is likely to push the market down to at least the 1.1200 level.
If you have not yet entered a short position, it is recommended to wait patiently for a breakout to occur.
GOLD → Correction before further declineFX:XAUUSD is testing the zones of interest within the counter-trend correction after it managed to break a rather strong level earlier. The fundamental background is not very good, there is bearish pressure on the market.
The negative impact on gold is built around the hawkish stance of the Fed (inflation, Trump's future policy and the economic data of the last two weeks). The cycle of interest rate cuts may slow to 2 rate cuts for 2025.
Friday's correction is mainly due to PCE data, but I don't think it will change the global picture.
Towards the end of the year, it is logical to reduce liquidity in the markets, which could increase mispriced volatility in the market. Be careful!
The gold market is still supported by the conflict in the Middle East and Eastern Europe.
Technically, price is forming a flag after a strong decline. At the moment the price is inside the pattern and for trading it is worth paying attention to the boundaries of the local channel.
Resistance levels: 2620, 2631, 2640
Support levels: 2606, 2560
Emphasis on 2620. If the bears break the level and keep the defense below the level, it can generally increase the pressure, which will provoke the price drop.
But I do not rule out an attempt to break the channel resistance and retest 2640-2650 before a further fall.
Regards R. Linda!
GBP/USD at a Critical Support Level: What comes next?The GBP/USD pair has fallen more than 7% since September 26, 2024, largely in response to the strengthening of the USD following Donald Trump's recent victory in the US presidential election. However, it appears that GBP/USD has found significant support on the daily chart, forming a double bottom pattern in the 1.2500 region. This level has been an important reference point throughout 2023 and is poised to act as support once again.
Confluence of Factors
Several elements suggest a potential upward movement in GBP/USD:
7% Decline Without Significant Retracement: The pair has seen a substantial decline since September without any meaningful pullbacks.
Key Support Region: The price has touched an important support level on the daily chart.
Double Bottom Formation: The emergence of a double bottom pattern on the daily chart adds further support to the bullish hypothesis.
Considering these points, a long setup could be contemplated if the candle on the daily chart for December 23 closes above the high of the preceding candle. This would create a bullish Engulfing Pattern, which is often viewed as an ignition signal and a buying opportunity.
Potential Targets for a Long Trade
1.2800: This target is a previous resistance point that previously hindered further price increases. It also represents a round number, offering approximately 180 pips from the entry point.
1.3000: Another significant resistance level and round number, approximately 380 pips from the entry point.
Stop Loss
A suitable stop loss could be placed slightly below support on the daily chart at around 1.2470, providing a distance of approximately 150 pips from the entry point.
Alternative Scenario
Should GBP/USD break below the support level on the daily chart, the next downward movement could see it fall to the 1.2330 level, where it may find another area of support.
Impact of Economic Data: UK GDP and US Consumer Confidence
The upcoming release of UK GDP data should be closely monitored, as it is a critical indicator of the health of the UK economy. If the reading comes in lower than expected, the market may speculate that the Bank of England (BoE) could be forced to cut interest rates to stimulate growth, potentially leading to a depreciation of the Pound.
Meanwhile, US Consumer Confidence data is likely to affect market volatility as household consumption accounts for approximately two-thirds of GDP. A reading that exceeds expectations could indicate strong consumer confidence in the economic outlook, which might lead to inflationary pressures and prompt the Federal Reserve (Fed) to consider raising interest rates, thereby strengthening the USD.
As the GBP/USD pair approaches a crucial support level, the technical indicators suggest a potential for upward movement. However, traders should remain vigilant of the upcoming economic data releases and consider how they might influence market dynamics. Combining technical analysis with fundamental insights will enhance the likelihood of making well-informed trading decisions during this pivotal moment.
Disclaimer
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EURUSD → Consolidation in the selling zone. FX:EURUSD is coming out of a prolonged consolidation. As part of counter-trend correction, the price is testing the previously broken support and trying to consolidate in the selling zone.
The fundamental background has become sharply negative since last week, which generally determines the medium-term potential for the currency pair.
The rate cuts in the US have slowed down, but in Europe they are going to continue to cut rates. Trump's policy with his tariff system will also put negative pressure on the EURO.
Technically, against the background of a strong rallying dollar, the euro has almost no chance.
If the bears keep the defense below 1.0448 and focus on breaking the support, the currency pair may head towards 1.022 in the medium term.
Resistance levels: 1.0448, 1.053
Support levels: 1.033, 1.022
At the moment, the focus is on the two nearest resistances. It is possible to retest these zones and try to defend their borders from the buyer's side, but there are not many chances. A breakdown and fixing of the price in the selling zone will strengthen further decline.
Regards R. Linda!
USNAS100 / Price Momentum and Key Breakout Levels
Technical Analysis
The price exhibits bearish momentum as long as it trades below 21620, targeting 21360. However, the price is expected to consolidate between 21360 and 21630 until a breakout occurs.
A 4-hour candle close above 21630 will support a bullish move toward 21770 and 21900.
On the other hand, if the price stabilizes below 21360, the bearish trend is likely to continue toward 20980 and 20860.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 21530
Resistance Levels: 21630, 21770, 21900
Support Levels: 21370, 21215, 21070
Trend Outlook:
- Bearish Momentum: Stability below 21620
- Bullish Momentum: Stability above 21630
BTC ( Bitcoin ) will first need a correctionBitcoin will first need a correction and then continue its upward trajectory.
Given the current situation, it should correct to the highlighted area to evacuate sellers and bring in new buyers.
This support area is quite strong and has the intersection of two strong technical supports.
After that, it will either grow rapidly or, after a little bit of suffering and attracting liquidity from new buyers, it will start to grow incrementally.
If you have followed my ideas, you will see that they always point to the desired point and have a correct prediction trend.
ADA/USDT Trading Scenario UpdateThe asset has shown a strong upward trend, rising from $0.3190 to $1.3264, indicating increased market interest. This growth was accompanied by higher trading volumes, which confirms its strength. Currently, ADA is in a correction phase, which has already retraced over 40% from its peak.
The key POC (Point of Control) level of the current local uptrend cycle is at $0.5979. This volume-based level could serve as support and potentially mark the beginning of a reversal. For investors, this represents a good entry point to purchase the asset at a more favorable price before a potential altseason.
It’s important to monitor the price action near this level, as its reaction could determine the further direction of movement.
EURUSD InsightHello, subscribers!
Great to see you all. Please share your personal opinions in the comments. Don’t forget to like and subscribe!
Key Points
- Japan's Finance Minister, Katsunobu Kato, stated, "The yen has recently exhibited unilateral and rapid movements. Appropriate measures will be taken to curb excessive currency fluctuations."
- The U.S. Commerce Department reported that the November Personal Consumption - Expenditures (PCE) Price Index rose by 0.1% month-on-month, falling short of market expectations.
- Austan Goolsbee, President of the Chicago Federal Reserve, remarked, "U.S. inflation remains on a slowing trajectory toward the 2% target."
Major Economic Events
+ December 23: UK Q3 GDP
+ December 25: Christmas
+ December 26: Boxing Day
EUR/USD Chart Analysis
After breaking out of its previous upward trend, the pair is now in a consolidation range. A rebound from the lower levels suggests potential upside to the 1.06000 line. However, if it fails to break the resistance, there’s a high likelihood of breaching the bottom and exiting the range, potentially extending losses to the 1.01000 level.
Conversely, if it breaks above the 1.06000 line, further gains toward the 1.08000 level can be expected.
If movements deviate from expectations, we will promptly revise our strategy.
Gold Long Term Analysis Dec 23rdSo we've seen the Gold price enter a ranging phase in December following the election. Volatility has dropped significantly though, the Gold price did see some fairly large moves due to economic news surrounding price inflation and the Fed's analysis for monetary policy going into 2025. Last week's close saw the gold price respect the current price channel, although we might see some more sideways movement until Donald Trump takes office. I believe the market will be looking to see how the Trump Administration's policies start to solidify and what that means for inflation. Governor Powell said in his Press Conference that the Fed has entered a new phase, noting that the cash rate is still restrictive, however the board was concerned that inflation may have stalled on its way down to the Fed's target. Saying this, there was concern that the labour market was showing signs of weakness and this may prompt the Fed to reduce rates further.
What does this mean for the Gold Price going into 2025? Its not surprising that we have seen some sideways movement following the strong rise through to November. Some uncertainty still surrounds what the Trump admin will do once they take office, Tariffs are the key issue affecting the Gold price primarily what impact they might have on domestic inflation. Geopolitical risk in Russia and the Middle East, along with Central Bank purchases of Gold are providing pretty strong support for the Gold price currently. Though this might change depending on Trump's plans for the creation of a strategic crypto reserve and what he might be able to achieve on a foreign policy standpoint in those two major conflicts.
I would expect the upwards trend in Gold to continue but we may see a continuation of the current ranging pattern until some more certainty arrives after Trump takes office. Although, if history tells us anything, certainty and Donald Trump don't necessarily go well together.
XAUUSD 22/12/25XAUUSD Analysis
Last week, we began with a bullish bias, but our outlook quickly shifted to bearish by Monday's close. This shift led to the significant downside movement observed during the latter half of the week, driven by fundamentals. We saw a substantial run targeting the lower levels, which brings us to today’s bias, which remains bearish.
Currently, we are focused on the three liquidity lows as our primary targets. As always, we look to the highs within the range to provide optimal entries for these targets. At the moment, there is a high in the middle of the range, but we are prioritizing the higher, more favorable highs for potential short positions. If an entry aligns with our plan, this could lead to the final sell-off of the week before the New Year approaches.
Trade safe and stick to your plan.
EURUSD 22/12/24EUR/USD Update: Final Week of Trading Before the New Year
As we head into the last week of trading before closing shop for the year, here’s a recap and outlook:
Last week, we called a short after identifying our "money out" level. With a daily bearish bias and liquidity sitting above the highs, we outlined a clear sell scenario. The market delivered exactly as expected.
Looking ahead to this week, our bias remains unchanged, and the principles stay the same. We are targeting deeper moves lower, focusing on the daily low at the base of the current range. Following the same approach, we anticipate the highs to be swept first, creating opportunities to enter and ride the price down to key lows.
Currently, we have a potential high forming near the center of the range, but this is unconfirmed for now and remains a possibility. Keep an eye on all the marked highs—we’re waiting for a sweep of these levels, which could trigger the final market move of the year. If an entry presents itself, we’ll look to trade lower.
Stay disciplined, trade your plan, and manage your risk.