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Trend Analysis

#202452 - priceactiontds - year end special nasdaq eminiGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: If you have read part 1 of 2, much of the following will be the same. Nasdaq has now gained 80%+ since the 2022-10 lows. Again, if you think it’s more likely that we will do another 15%+ up next year because this time it’s different, I don’t have much for you and you can stop reading now. Now matter how you draw the bull trend since, it has had at least 3 clear big legs up where the last one was the shortest with the least pull-backs. The confirmation for it to end would be consecutive daily closes below 20800. For now bears have not had two consecutive weekly bear bars since September. The trend is overdone to say the least. As for dax and sp500, a 20% correction would bring us down to big previous support 2024-04 and 2024-08 at 17900. My first medium-term target would be the big bull trend line, which is overlapping a fair bit with the monthly 20ema. The trend line is around 19700-20000 and the monthly 20ema is currently at 18900. For the near term I expect the market to get it’s second leg down early in 2025 and potential targets are the 50% pb of the last bull leg and the previous ath from 2024-07 which would bring us to 20400-20650. current market cycle: Bull trend of the past two years has likely ended and new lows below 20900 will be the confirmation, at least to me. Technically only a break of the big bull trend line would confirm it (around 19700 currently) key levels for 2025: 17800 - 22500 (decent chance we will see 20000 only in the first couple of weeks and then only in a couple of months or years again) bull case: Bull trend is technically over once we break below the bull trend line which is currently 19600. Bulls are still very far above that and trading above the weekly 20ema. They remain in control for now but after such a long ongoing rally they are trading the momentum only because stonkz can only go up eh. I really don’t have much for the bulls here. We could do another try of 22000 and above and even print a new ath but the upside will probably be very limited. Don’t expect bullish outlooks from me over the next weeks. I will only scalp long on big support. The best outcome for bulls that I see is sideways above 20000. Anything below will accelerate to the downside. Invalidation is below 17400. Below that price, an event has happened or is happening. For now it’s unreasonable to ever think this market could see prices below 15000 again. bear case: In order, my first big target for the bears for 2025 is 19000, where I expect more sideways movement. Below 19000 comes 18000 which was previous support and the lowest I can see this for now is 17400. Bears would need stronger follow through below 21500 early in January and then make new lows below 20900. Then I see the odds of a measured move down to 19500-20000 as decent. On my weekly chart you can see my preferred path forward for the next months. 3 legs down where leg 1 was the drop from 22450 to 21000. I do think it’s much more likely to expect a break of the dashed bull trend line than another leg up. Invalidation is above 22600. short term: The year end rally was stopped short at 22110 and I don’t think bulls have enough strength to go above it Monday/Tuesday. We could see a spike up after new years but if we close 2024 below 21500, I expect the spike to be sold as well. If we don’t trade above 22000 by 2025-01-03, I see the odds that the top is in at 70%. My short term target for the bears is 21000 and lowest for now is 20700 for me. If 20700 is not bigger support, 20300 is my next target. medium-long term: As stated above, “If we don’t trade above 22000 by 2025-01-03, I see the odds that the top is in at 70%.”. In that case, my bear targets medium term are 19000 and long term lowest target as of now, is 17400. Anything above 22500 would surprise me. current swing trade: I will initiate longer term shorts depending on next weeks price action. Any short would need a stop with at least 22600.
CME_MINI:MNQ1!Short
by priceactiontds
"ALGO: Bullish Breakout, Targets $1, $1.5, $2.5!"Given the price objectives which are specified—$1, $1.5, and $2.5—the chart offers prospective investors an intriguing opportunity. The research is broken down here to show the main elements that could draw in investors: * Important Analysis Points: 1. **Recent Surge**: The price has just risen from a low point, suggesting that a bullish phase may be beginning in the market. When coupled by strong volume, as shown in the chart, the steep price gain may indicate a trend reversal or the beginning of a new bull cycle. 2. **Volume Confirmation**: The price increase is accompanied by volume spikes that provide additional evidence of robust purchasing demand, which is encouraging for prospective investors.A high volume frequently indicates the entry of institutional or sizable retail investors into the market. 3.EMA Crossovers: With the 50-day EMA above the 200-day EMA, which usually denotes a bullish trend, the chart displays both the 50-day and 200-day EMAs. Both long-term investors and momentum traders may be drawn to this crossover, which suggests that the market may keep rising. 4.Important Price Goals: $1: A psychological level that can serve as a significant resistance point is the first target of $1. If this is broken above, more bullish activity may follow. $1.5: The next resistance level is represented by this price goal. Significant upside potential might be triggered by a clear breakout above $1.5, which would draw in more investors and accelerate the trend. $2.5: A significant resistance level from earlier highs is represented by the ultimate objective of $2.5. The asset may attract a lot of interest from investors if the price hits this goal, which might indicate a complete rebound of the previous bullish cycle. 5.RSI Indicator: At 44.41, the RSI indicates that the asset is not yet in an overbought state. Before the market gets too stretched, there is still opportunity for expansion. Investors can see this as a chance to get in before the price increases even further. 6.Possibility of Long-Term Growth: The general structure of the chart displays a significant accumulation phase that is followed by a breakout, which is a feature frequently observed in the early phases of a bull run. ALGO may have substantial upside potential over the next months, according to the price action and trend indicators, which makes it a desirable investment for both short- and long-term traders. Investors' conclusion: A comparatively low RSI, positive moving average crosses, and rising volume all contribute to the ALGO/USDT chart's strong bullish trend. Investors might profit greatly from the price goals of $1, $1.5, and $2.5—especially if ALGO breaks through these levels. Those who want to profit on the asset's momentum will find the current market structure intriguing, and the comparatively low RSI allows for additional growth before the market gets overbought. This study can assist in making a strong case for ALGO/USDT investing to prospective investors by concentrating on certain key indicators.
COINBASE:ALGOUSDLong
by PROFITPULSE10X
Solana Is In A Good Spot! My StrategyHey everyone, here's a breakdown of my mid-term strategy for Solana (SOL/USDT). We're focusing on simple but effective rules, such as a Support & Resistance flip, which is happening as we speak. Based on my experience (this is my third cycle), these steep corrections are great opportunities to add different altcoins to your portfolio and in some cases, take a leveraged position. 2025 will be bullish for crypto. And Solana is one of the better picks in this market. If you like these kinds of explanatory ideas, please let me know in the comments. Best, Anton
Long
by Anton_XBT
SOLUSD Long-term Levels (2028)This idea is to share general timelines and possible levels for $SOLUSD. So far, SOL is traing Fibs, perfectly. You can see we extended to previous highs and pulled back to the 50% and 61.8% retrace, perfectly pinning the 61.8 in August of 2024 with a strong wick. From there, we went to previous ATH and we are now above that previous base, giving us a very bullish outlook. Generally, these are the timeline and levels I'm seeing: August 2025 making a high around $425 level November 2025 pullback to $320 level April-May-June 2026 top around $680 level December 2026 bottom around $330 level These levels are based on Fibonacci and trendlines. We'll see how they go!
COINBASE:SOLUSDLong
by novamatic
1
ARBUSDT Potentially BullishBINANCE:ARBUSDT hits its lowest support area at the 0.4605 area creating a double bottom around the lowest support and a neckline at the 0.6537 level. We have seen the neckline broken and retested almost immediately however, price has come back to same area for a major structural retest. If this holds as a new found support, we just might see price going higher and a 10x is highly possible. Potential buying areas: 0.6537 0.7393 0.8228 I will not just buy at these areas without seeing price action setup indicating the buy opportunity, hence do your due diligence before taking any trade idea Past results does not guarantee future results #ARBUSDT
Long
by Mbjoey
GOLD 29TH -4THAS LONG AS THE PRICE REMAINS BELOW THE SUPPLY ROOF, sellers will target 2640-2638 level and sell again. Defending the price at 2610-2613 isn't enough to stop sellers after the breakout of 4hr ascending trendline , ON TECHNICAL THE ROOF 2638-2640 COULD BE TESTED AGAIN IF THE PRICE MANAGES TO BREAK THE 2630 RESISTANCE LEVEL. BREAK AND CLOSE ABOVE THE SUPPLY ROOF WILL RETURN THE PRICE TO THE DEMAND FLOOR AND A PSYCHOLOGICAL LEVEL WITH A BUY POTENTIAL TO TARGET 2694-2700, AT 2694-2700 WE HAVE A STRONG SUPPLY ROOF AT THAT LEVEL CAPABLE OF DROPPING THE PRICE OF GOLD
FX_IDC:XAUUSD
by Shavyfxhub
Gold in the new year 2025, continue SIDEWAY✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 12/30/2024 - 01/03/2025 🔥 World situation: Gold prices (XAU/USD) slip slightly in light post-Christmas trading, settling near $2,630 during the Asian session on Friday. Still, the safe-haven asset could gain support as markets await insights into the US economy under the incoming Trump administration and the Federal Reserve's 2025 interest rate plans. As a non-yielding asset, gold benefits from moderate US PCE inflation data, which challenges expectations of minimal Fed rate cuts next year and suggests the possibility of further easing. Its safe-haven allure is further reinforced by persistent geopolitical tensions, including the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war and unrest in the Middle East. 🔥 Identify: Gold continues SIDEWAY, market sentiment awaits new year 2025 and price trades above 2600 🔥 Technically: Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows: Resistance: $2638, $2665 Support : $2607, $2597, $2584 🔥 NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account - The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
1
BSW/USDTKey Level Zone : 0.07265-0.07330 HMT v3.0 detected. The setup looks promising, supported by a previous upward/downward trend with increasing volume and momentum, presenting an excellent reward-to-risk opportunity. HMT (High Momentum Trending): HMT is based on trend, momentum, volume, and market structure across multiple timeframes. It highlights setups with strong potential for upward movement and higher rewards. Whenever I spot a signal for my own trading, I’ll share it. Please note that conducting a comprehensive analysis on a single timeframe chart can be quite challenging and sometimes confusing. I appreciate your understanding of the effort involved. If you find this signal/analysis meaningful, kindly like and share it. Thank you for your support~ Sharing this with love! HMT v2.0: - Major update to the Momentum indicator - Reduced false signals from inaccurate momentum detection - New screener with improved accuracy and fewer signals HMT v3.0: - Added liquidity factor to enhance trend continuation - Improved potential for momentum-based plays - Increased winning probability by reducing entries during peaks
Long
by Ren_MomentumTrader
1