BTC & USDT Dominance: The Final Showdown!Hello, traders,
Here’s an update on BTC and USDT.D on the 2-week timeframe.
BTC recently hit a new all-time high of $108k, followed by a 15% rejection. In my previous video, I clearly mentioned the possibility of this rejection, but many of you focused on cash inflow into BTC, institutional interest, and other factors.
I’m not here to prove a point but to present the probabilities of what could happen. This 15% drop was enough to liquidate 419,670 traders in the past 24 hours.
What’s next?
According to the 2-week chart, BTC is likely to drop to $80k and potentially as low as $69k in the coming weeks. Meanwhile, USDT.D is expected to test the 4.8%-5% resistance level. This could provide enough room for BTC to undergo further correction. A rebound from support is anticipated, and if this chart plays out, we could soon witness another epic rally for BTC.
I hope this update helps you make better trading decisions. Please remember to do your own research and analysis before investing.
Trade safely.
Trend Analysis
GASOLINE sits 4 straight months on the Support. Expect reboundGasoline (RB1!) has been trading on the 4-year Support Zone for 4 straight months, forming a confirmed technical bottom. The September 09 Low was also on the Lower Lows of the long-term Falling Wedge, which makes the probabilities of a rebound even stronger.
At the same time, the 1W RSI bounced from oversold territory (below 30.00) and has stabilized back above its MA trend-line, confirming a bullish reversal. In addition, the 1W MACD just formed a Bullish Cross, with the previous 2 such formations since January 2023 aligning with the Wedge's Bullish Legs.
The previous Lower Lows bottom reached marginally above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. As a result we remain committed to our long-term Target of 2.600 (below also the Lower Highs trend-line), which we expect to get hit within the next 4 months.
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AXS Fakeout Super TrendlineFakeout is indicating someone manipulate price to buy at some point
But currect condition when i post still below redline
Add to your watchlist and wait till create some chop in this moment before taking position
But maybe its push upward cz wick or will go down to fill in wick
OILUSD # 002 ( LAST Gann Fan line support for fly !!! ) Hello dear traders.
Good days.
First of all Thanks For Your Support and comments.
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OILUSD is consolidating with holding 8*1 Gann fan line for 0.25 and 0.382 Gann box target .
On reversal time zone expected to reach itself to the two mentioned targets.
Safe trade and good luck
Start of decline: Below 97821.58
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
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The Market Cap chart will be updated again when a new candle is created.
I think the gap increase of USDT, USDC is a trace of funds flowing in.
The increase in BTC dominance means that funds are concentrated on BTC.
You cannot predict the rise and fall of BTC with BTC dominance.
The rise in USDT dominance is likely to be reflected in the decline of the coin market.
The start of the decline in the coin market is expected to begin when it rises above 4.97 and is maintained.
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(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
The point to watch is whether the StochRSI indicator shows a downward trend from the 100 point or whether it switches to a state where StochRSI > StochRSI EMA.
Since the StochRSI indicator is a lagging indicator, you can know the exact value when a new candle is created.
However, if there is a change in the value of the StochRSI indicator when a movement occurs, it means that an important point has been passed.
In that sense, the fact that the StochRSI indicator is maintained at the 100 point despite the current price decline means that an important point has not been passed.
However, there may be fluctuations in the StochRSI indicator value when a new candle is created while the price is falling.
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(1D chart)
The HA-High indicator is expected to be created at 101947.24.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can be supported near 101947.24.
If not, it falls and shows resistance near the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator or 97821.58, there is a possibility of meeting the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
Therefore, before meeting the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart, you should check whether it is supported near 87.8K-89K or whether the HA-Low indicator or BW(0) indicator is newly created.
If the HA-Low indicator or BW(0) indicator is generated, it is important to see if there is support in the vicinity.
If the HA-Low indicator is generated, it is expected that the current wave will end and a movement to create a new wave will begin.
The start of the decline is expected to start when it falls below 97821.58.
The volatility period is around December 27 (maximum December 26-28).
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
In the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
As you can see from the LOG chart, the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we do not expect to see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the upward trend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the upward wave.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the upward trend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
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No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
It is up to you to decide how to view and respond to this.
When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.
1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15
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XAUUSD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS hello traders. what do you think aout gold market.
current price. 2611
after being hit by news event market is trying to stabilize itself and at this position a strong retracement is expected.
key points.
supporting areas. 2604, 2595
demand zone. 2620, 2635
don't forget to like, comment and follow.
Altseason is cancelled for now.USDT.D shot up like a rocket during this crash, while Total3 is in freefall.
BTC only took a -4% hit, but the altcoin market? A brutal -8%.
It’s clear: CRYPTOCAP:BTC and those ETF approvers are running the show, draining liquidity from retail investors to keep pumping BTC at the expense of altcoins.
I warned you—invite these guys to your party, and they’ll clean out the buffet.
If you’re holding altcoins, all you can do is hang in there and hope BTC throws some karma their way.
SOLANA // target reached, what now?The market has come all the way down to the weekly breakout and the correction fibo 78.6 with an impulse.
After such a fast impulse bumps into a strong support, chances are high that some kind of a correction of the impulse will come.
It doesn't mean, it turns from here, and goes to new highs, though!
The daily countertrend breaks above the daily impulse base (higher green level), but the countertrend line breaks at the daily breakdown (lower green level). Above that, if the waves support, the bull trend resumes.
Below the long trigger zone, every move up is only the correction of the correction, therefore, quite risky.
There is space to take the long side from here, though, so It may be a good opportunity for a good day trader. I'd definitely wait for H4/H1 to turn waves long.
The price may go to the weekly impulse base, but I would wait with the short until the market is trading below the weekly breakout. The reason is that at this phase, accumulation may kick in, with sudden ups and downs on the market.
What's is your opinion about this market? Fell free to share it!
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We may not know what will happen, but we can prepare ourselves to respond effectively to whatever unfolds.
Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼♂️
Your comments and support are appreciated! 👊🏼
TOTAL3 - Altcoin Season DelayedCryptos are currently in correction mode, which could be a good time to accumulate.
TOTAL3 has an interesting setup, with the next relevant support at 765B-800B, which was the previous high in March 2024, and coincides with the daily SMMA (red line).
If we see a positive reaction in this area, we could at least retest the bearish trend line we have formed in the last few days.
I will update this idea as the setup develops.
XAUUSD - continuation sells? What about Pullbacks?Here is our in-depth view and update on XAUUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for.
XAUUSD is currently trading at around 2605 .
We are still following our long-term analysis on XAUUSD which was posted on November 27th (almost a month ago).
Last time, we took a step back and took a look at XAUUSD from a bigger perspective (H4 time-frame). We are now using H1 to show you possible outcomes we might have in play.
Overall XAUUSD is still extremely bearish . We could see the following scenarios happen.
Scenario 1: SELL from 2620
We could see a potential pullback to 2620, which was respected last time we made a pullback from the massive drop on XAUUSD. This would give us an amazing entry for further gold sells.
Scenario 2: SELL from 2633
A deeper pullback could happen if we break to the upside from 2620. Entering in 2633 would give us an amazing opportunity to hop into sells and hold it long-term, still targeting the 2480 level.
Scenario 3: SELL from 2590
Breaks below 2590 would result in more sells on the pair. As we failed to break to the upside that would confirm the 2620 being the “pullback area” and we will most likely continue to the downside. We would be targeting 2550 and possible breaks of it. If 2550 would be broken we could start seeing more extreme sells on XAUUSD.
Personal opinion:
The direction for now is bearish in our opinion. We are looking for sells and we do believe gold could see some more sell-offs in December before the year of 2024 ends.
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD is overall bearish.
- XAUUSD sells are valid from key pullback areas 2620 and 2633.
- XAUUSD breaks below 2590 would also confirm further sells.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
GBP/USD--> Just One Step Away from a Further DeclineHello everyone, Ben here!
Today, GBP/USD continues to face significant challenges. The pair remains under pressure due to a negative fundamental backdrop, the strengthening of the US dollar, and the emergence of a critical resistance zone. These factors all point to the likelihood of a sustained bearish trend.
Yesterday, the UK GDP figures were released, showing no change. This lack of improvement leaves the British pound without any meaningful upward catalysts. Meanwhile, the US dollar finds support from recent market dynamics. Despite rate cuts, the dollar is gaining momentum, bolstered by hawkish rhetoric and expectations of economic growth. Against the backdrop of Trump-era policy shifts, the medium-term outlook for the greenback appears favorable.
From a technical perspective, GBP/USD is currently testing a high-risk resistance zone. If a false breakout occurs, it could trigger a short-term rebound. However, this reaction is likely to be temporary. Following such a move, the pair may target a retest of local resistance levels. Yet, the real focal point lies in the support test within the next 1–3 days, which could set the stage for a deeper decline.
A crucial level to watch is 1.2488. Should a base form at this point before any significant breakout, it would reinforce the bearish outlook and pave the way for further downward movement.
Stay sharp and trade wisely!
Yours truly, BenTradeGold.
Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) - Top is In; Time to ShortPLTR is presenting a potential short setup as it approaches a short zone within the Fibonacci retracement levels.
This area aligns with strong resistance, suggesting a downside move could follow.
Trade Details:
- Entry (Short Zone): $74.25
- Stop-loss: $78.30
Targets:
- Target 1: $65.10 (Fibonacci 1.0 extension)
- Target 2: $57.15 (Fibonacci 1.618 extension)
Analysis:
The rejection of the resistance zone could trigger a bearish wave down to the targets. Fibonacci extensions provide additional confluence for the downside targets.
Monitor price action closely for confirmation.
DeGRAM | GBPUSD trend line testingGBPUSD is in a descending channel between the trend lines.
The chart still maintains the descending structure.
The price has already reached the lower boundary of the channel and the dynamic support, which has already acted as a rebound point last time.
MACD and RSI indicators on the 1H Timeframe indicate the formation of divergence.
We expect a rise if GBPUSD can successfully hold the lower trendline.
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