Top Trading Ideas of 2025: AI, Bitcoin, Stock Picks and PoliticsIf you’re extremely online and watching the blog of every investment bank, financial institution and markets-focused media outlet, you’ve probably seen a few of those already — year-ahead previews are just too enticing to pass on.
With this Idea, we’re aiming to lay out what our traders care about the most — the big trading and investment trends that will drive a huge chunk of the buying and selling. While only a forecast, this type of outlook could help you to better prepare your trades and set your gaze upon the assets and categories that will slosh around billions upon billions next year.
So let’s do it.
🤖 AI on the Horizon
A thematic priority and one of the top investment trends in 2025 will undoubtedly be Nvidia artificial intelligence. AI is touted as the game changer of the tech industry and all big tech players are racing to seize as big a market share as they can.
To get a feel for what may be coming, let’s look at what happened this year. According to technology-focused analyst firm Omdia, Microsoft MSFT was the biggest buyer of Nvidia’s NVDA flagship AI chip Hopper. (One of these babies will run you about $30,000.) Estimates point that the tech giant bought 485,000 Hopper chips (~ $15 billion ). It’s understandable because Microsoft is OpenAI’s biggest investor with about $13 billion jammed into the ChatGPT parent.
Next in line for the Hopper chip in 2024 is Meta META with 224,000 units. Other big spenders for the AI-enabling tech include Tesla TSLA , Amazon AMZN and Google GOOGL .
Next year, that upside trend is expected to pick up the pace with Hopper’s successor Blackwell — a next-generation AI chip , which has seen insane demand , according to Nvidia’s main man Jensen Huang.
With all that AI buzz, investors will be closely following Nvidia’s every step for signs of whether the chip juggernaut could carry on the miraculous growth.
₿ Bitcoin is the New Orange
What’s the new year without some orange-colored cryptocurrency? Bitcoin BTCUSD is now a $2 trillion beast ready to tear down every permabear’s gloom-and-doom forecast. So what can you expect to see in 2025?
With Donald Trump’s inauguration on January 20, the cryptocurrency industry is poised for deregulation (think, crypto companies finally getting bank accounts). The President-elect has set out to assemble a team of A-list venture capitalists , entrepreneurs and, frankly, billionaires.
And with the Congress largely made up of crypto bros, digital-asset companies hope regulators will wave away a whole string of suits against them — Coinbase, Kraken and Binance have been carrying a target on their backs for years.
Stripping down weighty rules will help companies expand services and establish bigger footprints, potentially powering Bitcoin’s valuation.
Other than having banks take deposits or lend to crypto companies, something else can propel Bitcoin. The US government may soon have its very own Bitcoin strategic reserve . The vehicle will aim to collect a total of 1 million Bitcoin over a five-year time horizon. The goal: keep stacking and never sell.
🎯 The Game of Whack-a-Mole
Here’s why stocks won’t be skyrocketing in 2025: the Federal Reserve just said it’s nearly done with lowering interest rates. After Fed boss Jay Powell announced another trim to borrowing costs Wednesday, he struck a cautious note saying that the US central bank is now projecting two rate cuts, down from a previous forecast of four.
In other words, stock picking is back on the menu. It’s easy to feel smart — even a genius — when your trade is in profit together with the broader market. But true craftsmanship is best seen amid churning waters when markets are volatile, tough and choppy.
No doubt there will be winners even if equities are moving sideways or looking down. But it’s hard to imagine that US stocks could pull off a third straight 20%+ annual gain (the S&P 500 SPX was up more than 24% in 2023 and is up 24% on the year so far).
Also, the broad-based index is at a record high . So is the 30-stock Dow Jones Industrial Average DJI and the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite IXIC . Among the big factors that could contribute to a negative year for stocks are rate hikes, recession or stubborn inflation.
All in all, stock pickers, this might just be your year!
🏛️ Power Plays and Market Sways
President-elect Donald Trump’s agenda is pretty clear by now and he isn’t even officially sworn in. If it could be summed up in a sentence it would probably be “America, heck yeah.”
Trump’s second four-year term is expected to usher in a new era of growth through an America-first approach, sweeping deregulation and tax cuts. All that mix of reflation policies threatens to flare up price pressures again. Add to that some hefty tariffs on US imports and you get a powerful concoction of “wait and see if this bursts in your face.”
Inflation expectations have already crept up and the recent consumer price index readout for November does sound some alarm bells. If things are heating up, Trump’s moves may bring them to a boil — tariffs are inflationary and immigration control is inflationary.
And so if the election win introduced animal spirits into the markets, the presidency starting next year will get a chance to make good on all the promises given by the President-elect (and expose some potential weaknesses).
📣 With that, we conclude the walk through what we think makes the most sense to grab headlines next year. What’s your take — do you think there are opportunities to be seized in 2025? Share your thoughts and let’s spin up a discussion!
Trend Analysis
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
A PIPTASTIC finish to the week!!!!
Yesterday we got the swing range activation and caught a nice move up but the full swing range was not compete.
This followed with another test on the swing range allowing us to catch the move again, inline with our plans to buy dips.
The full move into 2630 completed the full swing today, catching over 400 pips.
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Ruh Roh, looks like SPY's in trouble..Hey guys,
Thought I would do a written post this time because there is a lot of information to share!
So, if you follow me, you know I am mostly about math, but I also like to include the chart, some technicals and some fundamentals. And I think at this point in time its very critical to consider all these factors when analyze the price action we see.
So SPY is selling. To be honest, I am not surprised of the selling, but I am surprised of the timing. I thought it would wait till January, just chopping around and topping before doing the whole waterfall thing. But it decided to jump on the opportunity with FOMC's news release. We will get into that in one second.
So with that catalyst, SPY began its decline, over 2% in one day, closing below a loss of 2% on the day. We then opened slightly gapped up but failed to start, where we continued to tank.
So what is going on?
Fundamentals
The market got what it wanted, a 25 basis point cut. However, the guidance offered by the feds was a bit more realistic and sobering. The guidance essentially indicated that rate cuts would not continue for long and they don't anticipate anymore than 2 rate cuts into next year, leading to a period of rate purgatory so to speak. This is generally not great because it destroys the premise of "easy money". Easy money is money that people can get due to low interest rates and a surplus of fund availability. However, with the lack of rate cuts, we will hover at a stable albeit elevated interest rate with no outlook of when rates will be lowered and when interest rates will be cheaper.
This is bad, because in order for people to feel wealthier, they need to feel like things are cheaper or that they have more money, which isn't a direct consequence of prolonged rate hiking. This means that people will be less inclined to invest into unnecessary things (stock market perhaps) and keep funds safe for whatever the future may hold.
The reason the feds can take this stance is because the labour market is rebounding. This means that people are generally gainfully employed and can withstand the rate hikes / rate stagnation.
Not necessarily detrimental for the market, but in general, higher unemployment is good for the big picture of markets because it means rates will need to be lower.
This leads to the next fundamental topic, Money!
2024 marked historic deficit highs for the US, with 1.8 trillion deficit in 2024. And if you watched my video about SPX and the money supply, having a US index valued well over all the monetary supply in circulation within the US, its not a normal or healthy or sustainable thing, especially when the US is already experiencing grave deficits.
PE ratios
I won't get into this too much, but take a look at some companies PE ratios in relation to their fundamentals, things were getting a little off kilter here...
Now for the Math
If you followed me through the last little crash SPY / SPX did in the end of July, you would have remembered this video:
In this video, I explain my own theory of "corrections". From my own research looking at DJI and SPX (since both have histories since the 1800s), one thing I have noted is there are generally 3 stages of correction, from a math perspective.
Stage 1: Cubic Correation
This is a shallow correction and involves a correction to the 'cubic' mean of a ticker or index. It generally results when the ticker, specifically spy, exceeds the cubic mean by up to 5%.
Currently, SPY's cubic mean is 557, with the actual range being 555 - 559. Remember, this moves with each passing day. That is just as of right now, today's close. In 20 days the range will be up to 563.
These corrections are shallow and usually involve about a 5% to 10% pullback. As of right now, the cubic mean is approximately 8% away from the recent highs.
Stage 2: Quartic Correction
If the market isn't satisfied with a cubic correction (for general interest, in July we simply did a cubic correction back to 510 and then resumed the uptrend), we will see next a quartic correction.
This is a reversion to the quartic mean, which generally is an addition 10 to 15% away.
In SPY's case currently, the quartic mean is 544, with a range of 542 - 546/
This is a deeper correction but not necessarily a bear market. Quartic corrections usually are the halmark of "flash crashes".
Stage 3: Quadratic Correction, AKA Bear Market Cycle
In 2022 we had a quadratic correction, that was a regression to the quadratic mean. If you have been around for a long time and followed me through 2022, you will remember I called a move to 350s. Most thought I was nuts, but it was because SPY had already fallen through the cubic mean and that signaled that it was intent on following through to a quartic and possibly quadratic. It was confirmed relatively quickly in 2022, at least for me, that it was looking for a quadratic correction (i.e. bear market cycle) as it quickly fell through both cubic and quartic means.
Currently, SPY's quadratic mean is 475, with a range of 472 to 477.
Quadratic corrections take, on average, 6 months to a year, which is the normal bear market cycle.
Only once have I observed a fall below the quadratic range and that was in 2008 (obviously I wasn't trading at this time, but when I was testing these theories this was the only year where the market didn't get stopped by the bottom of the quadratic range, every other bear market/correction got halted at the bottom of the quadratic range or at the quadratic mean itself).
So what does this mean for you the trader?
It means relax. We haven't even seen a cubic correction as of yet. For SPY to assert a bear market cycle thesis, we will need to see SPY shoot through the cubic mean.
However, obviously vigilance needs to be maintained. This isn't the time to mindlessly buy dips until we see it finding support on one of the critical means.
Will it correct to the means? Yes, mostly likely we will see at minimum, a cubic correction. The reason I think this is just the fundamentals currently support it.
Will we go lower than the cubic mean?
Hard to say. No one can be sure, obviously. The economic situation isn't super precarious, so I am skeptical of seeing an overly profound dip or the commencement of a bear market, but I will be diligently watching where support is found.
How do we know if it doesn't want to correct to one of the means?
This is a good question! Most pullbacks involve at least a correction to one of the means, but there have been times where it bypassed, only to circle back in about a 6-month period.
We will only be sure that SPY does not intend to mean revert if we break a new high from the current high (aka a new ATH) prior to correcting to the mean.
I know this doesn't seem super helpful, but its the only way that is a telltale sign that it doesn't intend on correcting. However, many of these cases where it went back to make a new high, it ended up crashing to the cubic and quartic mean some 1 to 2 months later :-/.
So where should we be looking to buy?
If you want to buy as a swing trade, I would wait to see if this is going to find support at one of the means.
If I wanted to buy as an investor with the long term vision in sight, then you can buy anywhere really. Stocks will only ever permanently go up and bear market cycles and mean corrections are just fleeting passings that are quickly absorbed into obscurity. I bet many of you forgot that we crashed in July ;).
Will it happen quicky?
The average Cubic correction takes about 1 week. In July I think it lasted about 2 weeks because those relentless dip buyers.
Hard to say but the historic average is 1 week.
How do we know if it will go lower?
In July, SPY went 1 point lower than the cubic mean and it was enough to make me, erroneously of course, call the end is nye. I was wrong obviously, because SPY quickly recovered. So I would say, hitting the general cubic range, even if it is below by 1 or 2 points, if it recovers there, that would be a good sign for a continuation up.
Summary
So kudos to you if you read this long!
Moral of this story is we should see a correction, likely greater than 5%, to the cubic mean. Remember the cubic mean is constantly increasing with each passing day, so we will need to be mindful of where it is and when contact is made.
For convenience, I will update with that information as we either completely reverse away from it or approach it.
Don't get too bearish, Cubic corrections are not usually a very bearish thing. Instead, they serve the purpose of providing buying opportunities for late entrants.
The economic situation of the US is right now uncertain until Trump takes presidency. Not sure of his economic plans, but in general he has stimulated economic growth. This would of course be good for markets.
Hopefully you found this informative. There were other things I wanted to discuss but I think this is enough for now.
Leave your questions below and safe trades everyone!
Will NVDIA rise at the expense of APPLE?We have seen in the past few days the NVDIA Corporation (NVDA) to be holding its ground better than other tech giants that got more inflated during the recent run like Tesla.
What we've discovered by running some regression tests among top 30 cap stocks, is a very interesting relationship between NVDIA and Apple Inc (AAPL). Though most people might think that the two have completely parallel paths on their growth, we found out that at times, their correlation has been negative.
Our sample data starts 2 years ago from the October - November 2022 market bottom of the Inflation Crisis. As you can see, this is where the first divergence between the two stocks started, with NVDIA rising to spearhead the recovery to a new Bull Cycle, while Apple was lagging behind and falling.
What followed was a period where naturally both stocks rose, which led to the first 'Bear' stage, what we call Phase 2 where both stocks showed a synchronized weakness (with Apple correcting more however).
Then after a recovery for both to their highs, NVDIA formed a Bull Flag, which led to Phase 3 (similar to the late 2022 price action): Apple topped and started falling aggressively, while NVDIA started an impressive rally.
Again a period of price increase for both stocks followed, which has led to a new Phase 2 (July -October 2024). In line with their 2-year pattern, Apple has been rising since the November U.S. elections, while NVDIA has formed a new Bull Flag.
If the price action continues to replicate this model, then we may see a new Phase 3, where Apple starts to correct while NVDIA's Bull Flag leads to a strong rally.
So do you think potential Apple capital outflows will turn into inflows for NVDIA?
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Incoming $1trillion dollar correction for crypto people... ** weeks ahead **
Is the market top in? This next move in the market will certainly convince the crypto folks that it is.
According to social media, Youtube influencers etc.. the bull run is just beginning.
That is in despite of a swathe of News article headlines “Bitcoin reaches new all time high $100k” and the janitor I have not spoken to in 10 years asking me if I'm buying Bitcoin.
The signs are there.
On the above 6 day chart, the TOTAL crypto market capitalisation, currently 3.57 trillion dollars price action has risen 46% since the November breakout. A number of reasons now exist for a bearish outlook:
1) Price action and RSI support breakdowns. Indeed the November breakouts requires confirmation of support on past resistance to allow for continuation. That's a long way down.
2) Support is exactly $1 trillion below at $2.57 trillion.
3) Price action is at a significant Fibonacci extension, look left.
4) This signal is found across the entire crypto market on both 6 day and weekly charts, in other words there is confluence across timeframes. That is important.
Is it possible speculators keep throwing good money after bad in the hope price go up? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Bulls make money.
Bears make money.
Pigs get slaughtered.
TOTAL3 - Hanging man
OTHERS total - Hanging man
Bitcoin is Ready to Pump Again==>>Short-termBitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) moved as I expected yesterday.
Bitcoin is moving near the Ascending Channel's lower line , Support lines , and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) .
According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to be completing wave 5 .
I expect Bitcoin to rise again from the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Support zone($95,000-$93,500) .
⚠️Note: If Bitcoin breaks below the Support zone($95,000-$93,500), there is a high probability that Bitcoin will go below $90,000.⚠️
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.🙏
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
SpyIts looking like 566 will come ..
I talked about this sell on Dow,NYA and Iwm in my spy post (See link).. its happening.. once QQQ breaks below 514 spy will target 575 20sma and it may dead cat bounce but the full target is 566... All you have to do is watch QQQ , once 514 goes, its Good night.. I wont go into the technicals because you can go over my previous post on Spy and QQQ and see every thing is playing... If qqq doesnt break 514 then no sell.
And for those wondering about a christmas rally , qqq went from 498 to 540 in the first 2 weeks of Dec. U got your rally!
BITCOIN - DUMPING But How Low Will It Go ?Bitcoin has been dumping hard with indexes and many are now considering that a deep correction is now on.
Its worth noticing that Bitcoin is in a key 0.618 - 0.786 retracement area.
It is higher probability to bounce in this area than other areas of the chart.
Historically Bitcoin loves to bounce near the 0.786.
A lot depends on stock indexes...
Because all 3 major indexes have had a sell off at the critical 1.618 reverse extension.
S&P500 Futures:
Nasdaq Futures:
Dow Jones Futures:
So if they are now to have a more significant correction then of course Bitcoin will also get dragged down.
This happens every time stock indexes have a major sell off.
Historically, Bitcoin is not immune to bearish stock index price action, and would sell off also.
And as I have posted on another thread, TOTAL has also hit a significant 1.618 extension with significant selling thereafter (linked below)
So we'll see how it develops.
If Bitcoin holds this ratio band down to $97.6K then it may be the pivot for the next major wave up.
And it can exceed the 0.786 a little; perhaps down to around $93.8K as overshoot.
But any lower than that and a major collapse could be on.
And this will most likely tie in with stock indexes.
...
If you're not aware of these ratios and how the market reacts and is reacting to them, then you are not in tune with price action.
Notice that there are no other publishers on TradingView showing you these ratios and their significance.
It is because they have no idea about them.
Not advice
Just Another Shakeout: Bitcoin Is Already Recovering —Happy 2026A shakeout? A major drop? A correction? A three days long correction?
Bitcoin is already recovering...
I looked at the 1H chart and Bitcoin looks great.
I am seeing Bitcoin's price right now and the price is great. $97,000 is really strong.
I am seeing today's low at around $92,000 and this is also awesome, because it is a higher low compared to the shakeout that happened in December 5th.
So all is good.
Everything looks great.
In a previous idea I mentioned $100,000 on the daily timeframe. This level is obviously gone but it isn't far away.
I mentioned $90,000 weekly. This level is holding strong and it hasn't been tested yet, a signal of strength. $90,000 here matches EMA55 on the daily timeframe.
Bitcoin is ultra-bullish above $90,000.
The last level mentioned was $80,000 which would be relevant on the monthly timeframe. Seeing how Bitcoin is behaving now, this level isn't likely to be tested.
I think the whales are already satisfied with the billions upon billions they collected in profits. If the whales are satisfied, this means we can start the next phase. The next phase is up, it is a continuation of a long-term developing bullish wave.
But it doesn't move overnight. Bitcoin won't move overnight, it takes time to grow. We are looking at two months, late February, for maximum speed and maximum growth. But we can experience some high, some sideways, some consolidation while the Altcoins grow. Every now and then, a strong shakeout and this happens when the whales decide to get paid.
The good news is that the whales don't take profit very often, so the market can grow long-term.
Notice the shakeout, notice the swing, the volatility but notice how Bitcoin continues hyper-strong.
It doesn't matter what happens, we are going up.
Bitcoin is going up.
The Altcoins are going up.
This is only the start...
We are looking at the beginning of the 2025 bull-market, the end of 2024.
If you did good in the previous wave, congratulations, it is not the end, there will be more.
If you did poorly, stay strong. There is another opportunity right around the corner. Analyze your actions, review your mistakes; make sure to make it right on the next bullish wave.
Did you fail to take profits when prices were up?
Don't beat yourself, it is the same mistake we all make as we gain experience, it is part of the game.
Did you buy too late and are now holding a position in the red? No worries, patience is key, the market will soon be green again.
Did you use too much leverage and ended up buying in late November rather than August and weren't ready for the strong shakeout the market just experienced? Timing is of the essence... Take the loss and move on.
Switch from leverage to spot.
Reduce leverage.
A new opportunity develops and we can only lose if we give up.
You can only lose if you quit the game.
If you take the time to study, focus and prepare; you can earn huge profits in the 2025 bull-market.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Lingrid | GOLD Post-FED Shakeup. Possible Bearish OpportunityThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea. It hit the TP. OANDA:XAUUSD made a sharp decline after FED rate decision and FOMC. The price broke and closed below the lows of the past three weeks, which could lead to a fake breakout, so we should closely monitor the price action. Additionally, it broke and closed below the trendline that had supported the price for over a month. I think the market may gradually move down toward last month's low by the end of the year. With high-impact news coming today, there is potential for unexpected moves. Overall, I expect the market to bounce off the upward trendline and the resistance zone around 2640-2650, followed by another bearish move. My goal is support zone around 2570
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
GOLD NEXT MOVE (wait for the perfect entry) (19-12-2024)Go through the analysis carefully and do trade accordingly.
Anup 'BIAS for the day (19-12-2024)
Current price- 2613
BIAS will be updated after the release of news
-POSSIBILITY-1
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening )
-POSSIBILITY-2
Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening)
Best of luck
Never risk more than 1% of principal to follow any position.
Support us by liking and sharing the post.
Bitcoin - Please Look At This Timeframe!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is still totally bullish:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Please just make sure, that you don't trust Bitcoin with its daily swings of more than -5%. Looking at the overall picture, Bitcoin is still incredibly bullish and almost trading at its all time high. Bulls are 100% in control of everything and some profit taking along the way is just normal.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $100.000, $300.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
TradeCityPro | Blur : Dynamic Support Holding👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
In this analysis, I will explore Blur, a gaming project, focusing on the daily timeframe to assess its current price action and potential scenarios.
📅 Daily Timeframe: Correction to Dynamic Support
On the daily chart, Blur has been following an ascending trendline that acts as a dynamic support, propelling the price upward after every interaction.
🔍 Recently, the price experienced a fake breakout below this dynamic support, which was quickly followed by increased buying volume and a surge in bullish momentum. As a result, Blur managed to break through the $0.2827 and $0.3314 resistance levels, climbing as high as $0.4438.
🔽 Currently, the price has corrected in two stages and returned to the $0.2827 level, which aligns with the dynamic support. The RSI, after breaking below the 50-level, has supported this deeper correction. If the dynamic support fails to hold and the price trend shifts, the primary support will be at $0.1464.
📈 If the resistance at $0.4438 is breached, the first target is $0.5539, a notable resistance level. The main target is $0.8077, the ATH, which doubles as a critical supply zone due to its significance in price history.
✨ The RSI lacks a clear bullish trigger currently, as no new structure has formed. However, if RSI confirms a bullish momentum resurgence and trading volume increases, the chances of breaking through $0.4438 will significantly improve.
🔑 Market Sentiment and Advice
The market is currently undergoing broad corrections, causing FOMO and uncertainty among traders. However, these pullbacks are natural and essential for sustaining the market’s broader uptrend.
💥 Here’s a reminder for effective trading during volatile times:
Avoid impulsive decisions driven by fear or greed.
Ensure risk and capital management is a priority. Proper management safeguards you from significant losses during corrections, preserving capital for long-term growth.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️ above.
SOLANA LONGHi this time iam long for this levels.
The price is out of the channel and already have CHOCH so we waiting for the LL that is at 177-165.
The last bolt yellow line is the last reverse support form previus high at 30jul 24 (a) to 27Okt24 (b) before rally last starts.
The major support line is the little yellow line at 163$ and is represent the pivot line that represend the picks (6 picks!) of accumulation phase of Apr-Nov 24
Entry1 177$
Enrty2 163$
Stop 153.3$
Target1 195$
Target2 210$
Bitcoin: Interconnectedness of Defining CyclesJust a followup analysis on scalable structure from "Natural Patterns & Fractal Geometry" ed idea.
Additional Regularities:
2018 Downtrend Phase Fib Resonation:
Fibonacci ratios are not just mathematical abstractions; they manifest in Bitcoin's market structure due to human behavior and market psychology.
2020 Uptrend Phase Fib Resonation:
Unconventional use of Fibonacci ratios highlights areas where price has shown significant reactions. These levels act as dynamic support and resistance zones, underscoring the fractal and cyclical nature of Bitcoin's price movements.
2021 - Late 2022 Crash Metrics More detailed breakdown of emerging randomness:
The repetitive alignment of market cycles with Fibonacci levels underscores Bitcoin's tendency to oscillate between predictable extremes, offering insights for timing entries and exits.
Distinct cycles are clearly visible, separated by major tops (e.g., ATH in 2013, 2017, and 2021) and bottoms (e.g., the 84.12%, 72.26%, and 77.57% corrections). Each cycle adheres to Fibonacci retracement and extension levels, demonstrating a self-similar structure .
Price expansions align with Fibonacci extensions (e.g., 1.618 and beyond), showing that Bitcoin’s growth phases are not random but rather guided by harmonic principles.
The ascending channels mapped through Fibonacci ratios capture both the bullish and corrective phases, showcasing the market's bounded yet fractal rhythm .
The percentage swings (+2484.44%, +12804.20%, +1692.21%, +600.07%) highlight the explosive nature of Bitcoin during expansion phases, followed by steep corrections. These as well align with Fibonacci proportions, providing a blueprint for market rhythm.
XAUUSD BUY ANALYSIS (READ CAPTION)hello my fellow traders! what do you think about gold today.
current gold price: 2603
bulls are back and now gold is about to hit 2645 which is our demand zone. after rejecting 2582 twice market has established a strong bullish trend. from this position market's first target will be to break 2626 resistance and if market successfully breakout this zone then its next target will be 2645.
key points:
resistance: 2626, 2638
supporting area: 2595, 2618
Note:
First Target: 2625
Second Target: 2645
Stop Loss: 2582
kindly like, comment and follow for latest updates on gold. thanks for your precious time and support.
GOLD → Consolidation after the fall. Trading inside the rangeFX:XAUUSD is forming consolidation in a new bearish plane after a strong fall on Wednesday. The emphasis is on 2622 - 2581. The fundamental background is negative and technically the price is testing the lows.
On Wednesday, the Fed adopted a more conservative approach to monetary policy, laying down only 2 rate cuts in 2025, which generally had a negative impact on the whole market except for the dollar, which is breaking through local highs.
Today traders await the release of the PCE, which is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation. Any surprise in the PCE data or an escalation of political uncertainty could push metal prices up.
From a technical point of view, the gold market remains in the previously mentioned consolidation, and prices fluctuate in wide ranges, which is generally logical for the end of the calendar year: reduced liquidity and increased volatility...
Resistance levels: 2616, 2622
Support levels: 2589, 2581, 2560
Since the price is inside the consolidation, it is worth considering trading from the boundaries of this range. In the long term, I expect a retest of the key resistance 2616-2622 in the form of a false breakdown and a fall towards local lows
Regards R. Linda!
This Is It: Bullish Wave Confirmed (Leverage vs Spot)This is it... Notice that this is the same chart that I used before. Same levels, same drawings. This reveals the bullish bias easily because the levels were drawn before the latest move.
Notice how today's candle/session has a very long lower wick and the session is now green. Bullish confirmed (above. 2.24).
Notice that this session is trading as a higher low compared to 9 and 10-December. Double-bullish confirmation (candles wick low must close above 1.94).
The day needs to close green, 2.24 or higher, and the bullish signal is fully confirmed.
We don't wait for confirmation.
We don't have to wait for confirmation.
Me and my people, on a chart like this one, go long.
Of course, you need to set up your own margin, your own targets, your own stop (support). We know leveraged trading is for experts and requires a very strong mind. It requires stable emotions and the ability to adapt instantly to market conditions. It requires experience.
Spot traders can buy and hold. Spot trading only requires patience and a clear level to sell when prices go up.
Spot only needs two things: (1) Buy and hold. This is the patience part. (2) Sell and collect profits. This is why you need to have a take profits level defined.
That is all.
Leverage is high potential for profits with ultra-high risk.
Spot trading has amazing potential with basically no risk. There is no risk because you are buying the actual coins/tokens. If prices drop, you keep the same number of coins. You only sell when prices go up.
In the worst case scenario, you can exit a trade at a defined stop-loss point. But the risk is calculated beforehand and limited, say 10%. You never, ever, place a stop-loss on any exchange, it is a recipe for disaster. Set your sell orders on target after buying and wait. Wait for days, wait for years, wait for months...
It is an easy game with the right mindset and plan.
We can all win with Cryptocurrency... Think about it, everybody who bought Bitcoin since just a few months ago is in the green zone; 100% of the participants. Everybody who bought Crypto in 2015, 2018, 2020 and the rest, by now are millionaires, it is not too late.
All those that bought in 2022, 2023, 2024 can be millionaires in 2029, 2030 and beyond. Think long-term.
Your support is awesome.
You are appreciated.
Read daily.
Make sure to follow.
Thank you.
Namaste.
GBPUSD SELL | Idea Trading AnalysisGBPUSD is moving on support zone and and made a head & shoulder pattern
The chart is above the support level, which has already become a reversal point twice.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level.
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity GBPUSD
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
-------------------
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad ⚜️
XAU/USD : Bull or Bear? (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #Gold chart in the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after collecting liquidity below $2635, the price faced renewed demand and successfully climbed above $2641. As a result, gold managed to rise to $2651, delivering a 100-pip return.
Today, we have the US interest rate decision, which could bring significant volatility to the market, with both bull traps and bear traps likely. If you are not a professional trader, it’s better to stay away from the market and wait for stabilization, especially during Jerome Powell’s speech.
The previous analysis remains valid: as long as the price holds above $2641, we can expect further upward movement. However, if the price drops below $2641 and closes a candle underneath, we will likely see a sharp decline.
Keep these scenarios in mind and be patient to find the best trigger.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban