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GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out, as analysed. We had price play between both weighted levels like we stated yesterday with 2401 Goldturn test with no cross and lock confirming the rejection bounce into 2414. This then followed with ema5 cross and lock above 2414 Goldturn opening 2426 and 2440. - This played out perfectly, with all levels in this range now complete, with just a point shy of 2440, which can be considered filled. We are now looking for a 2440 full retest and need ema5 to lock above 2440 to confirm the range above. Failure to lock above 2440 Goldturn, will follow with a rejection into the next Goldturn weighted support. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULISH TARGET 2414 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2414 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETT 2426 - DONE 2440 - JUST ABOUT DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2440 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETT 2449 2460 BEARISH TARGETS 2401 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2401 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGETS BEARISH TARGETS 2388 2372 2359 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2359 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2344 - 2331 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
14
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price test 2414 Goldturn and also between two weighted level range. We have 2414 Goldturn resistance and 2401 Goldturn support weighted levels. We will see levels within this range tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break to confirm direction for the next range. We will need ema5 to lock above 2414 to confirm the range above. We also have 2388 and 2372, as the retracement area and will need ema5 lock below this to open the swing range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULISH TARGET 2414 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2414 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETT 2426 2440 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2440 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGETT 2449 2460 BEARISH TARGETS 2401 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2401 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGETS BEARISH TARGETS 2388 2372 2359 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2359 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2344 - 2331 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
20
Video Recap On This "3 Step System"The rocket booster strategy is a very powerful trading system and i want to share it with you so that you can have a stepping stone into your trading Journey, because even a small step ahead is better than no step at all. Trading is a very hard skill to understand, and so i want you to take your time to learn it, eventually if you stay committed you should learn more about it. In this video, i share with you the Rocket Booster 3-Step System Watch it now to understand more about this powerful system Disclaimer: Trading is risky you will lose money wether you like it or not, please learn risk management , and profit taking strategies.
NYSE:TELEducation
by lubosi
TIAUSD: Strong Support at $4.9 - Potential Rally Ahead!Celestia's TIAUSD token exhibits promising utility within its ecosystem, primarily serving network security through staking, participating in governance decisions, and incentivizing data availability and validation. Moreover, TIA facilitates transaction fees and rewards, ensuring participant compensation for their contributions. Support and Resistance Zones: Currently, TIAUSD holds strong support at $4.9. If this level holds, we could see substantial gains. Should this support break, the next critical support lies near $3.6, a key level from which a bounce is highly probable, given the upcoming significant events and the anticipated approval of Ethereum ETFs. Market Outlook: The approval of Ethereum ETFs is likely to spark a rally in altcoins, including TIAUSD, a relatively new project listed in late 2023. Historically, new projects introduced shortly before a bull market often experience significant rallies. We anticipate notable volatility in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025, presenting an excellent opportunity for TIAUSD to surge. Price Targets: Based on our calculations, the minimum target for TIAUSD during the bull run is $146. If this resistance is flipped by January 2025, we could see a maximum target of $186. Bull markets typically exhibit unexpected price pumps, and we expect similar volatility for TIAUSD. However, monitoring support and resistance zones is crucial to maintain an active trade strategy. Exit Strategy: Traders should aim to exit long positions between March and August 11, 2025, as the bull run and altcoin season are expected to end during this period. Follow us on TradingView for more in-depth analysis and timely updates on TIAUSD and other cryptocurrencies. Share this idea with your friends and family to maximize profits. Comment below and let us know if you found this analysis helpful. Thank you!
COINBASE:TIAUSDLong
by Houseofcryptokings
5
75: Key Levels Amidst Biofuel Plant Construction HaltShell (SHEL) is navigating significant financial and operational challenges. The company recently announced a delay in the construction of its biofuel plant in Rotterdam, which was initially expected to be operational this year but has now been postponed to 2030. This delay has resulted in a financial setback of at least €554 million, potentially escalating to nearly €1 billion, due to technical challenges and unfavorable market conditions. Given this backdrop, Shell's stock is currently rejecting the key level at 34.315. Here’s what traders should watch: Bearish Scenario: If Shell loses the current low, we could see a trend change. The new area of interest will be around 32.65, where we anticipate potential support. This level becomes crucial as the market absorbs the financial impact of the delayed biofuel plant and Shell’s strategic adjustments. Bullish Scenario: If Shell regains the high at 34.315, we should monitor for new highs above 34.745. In this case, we are targeting a high around 36.75, which could sweep liquidity from a monthly high. This bullish momentum could be driven by positive market reactions to any new strategic initiatives Shell undertakes to mitigate the impact of the delay and to capitalize on future regulatory changes in the aviation fuel sector. The recent halt in the biofuel plant construction adds a layer of complexity to Shell's stock movement. Investors should closely watch these critical levels for potential trading opportunities, considering the broader implications of Shell's operational challenges and market dynamics.
EURONEXT:SHELL
by SeventyFive-Invest
ZILUSD Forecast: Bullish Momentum & Targets for Q4 2024, Q1 2025ZILUSD currently finds robust support at $0.0136, suggesting favorable conditions for a potential uptrend. The recent retesting and observed volume indicate a promising setup for a bounce. Concurrently, the ETHBTC pairing shows notable growth, poised to potentially flip the 0.6 level, signaling a likely rally in altcoins. Moreover, with ETH's ETF approval nearing, the market anticipates heightened volatility and upward movements in Q4 2024. Historically, such periods have exhibited significant price rises and increased market activity during bull runs. Notably, preparations for market exit around March or November 2025 are advisable as bull runs typically conclude during these times. In historical contexts, ZILUSD has shown resilience and substantial targets during bull runs, with a minimum target projection of around $0.5 in Q4 2024. Breaking the $0.5 resistance could propel prices towards a maximum target of $1.5 by Q1 2025. Since its listing in January 2018 amidst a bear market, ZILUSD underwent significant downtrends until March 2020, followed by a notable uptrend till May 2021's bull run. Subsequently, a downturn from May 2021 to December 2022 led to a consolidation phase until March 2024, marked by recent upward movements. Retesting support at $0.0135 suggests a potential for a substantial uptrend towards Q1 2025 amidst the approaching altcoin season, expecting similar market volatility. Monitoring resistance zones and patterns is essential to maintain active trading strategies. Consider exiting long positions around March or November 2025, aligning with historical market cycles. For more detailed analysis and future trading ideas, follow us on TradingView. Share this idea with your friends and family to maximize profits. Please like, comment, and engage with our posts for more insights. Thanks!
CRYPTO:ZILUSDLong
by Houseofcryptokings
Meta Platforms - Flying under the radar...NASDAQ:META just rallied +500% without any correction and might create a top formation soon. Sometimes the trading gods are sending us gifts from heaven. We received such a gift back in 2022 when Meta Platforms - out of nowhere - corrected -70% and perfectly retested the lower support of the reverse triangle formation. After the +500% rally from there, it is quite likely that we will see a short term retracement. But the overall trend is still clearly towards the upside! Levels to watch: $530 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
NASDAQ:METALong
by basictradingtv
4
Gold Route Map UPDATEHey Everyone, Another great day on the chart today, buying dips inline with our plans. We saw range-bound movement today with a replay of yesterday by getting another test on the retracement range followed with the bounce, as planned. Still no lock below the retracement range. We will need to see ema5 lock below this level to open the swing range or a failure to lock below will see a re-test on the Goldturns above like we saw today. We will continue to see play between both 2355 and 2378 weighted level until one breaks with ema5 lock to confirm the next range to track and trade. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated, each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they played out, with or against short/mid term swings and trends. EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2390 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2403 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2403 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2414 2425 BEARISH TARGETS 2378 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2378 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGETS BEARISH TARGETS 2364 - DONE 2355 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2355 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2333 - 2322 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
22
THE KOG REPORT - NFPTHE KOG REPORT – NFP This is our view for NFP, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price. Before we start, remember, the trade comes after the event, let them move the price to where they want and then look for a set up to get in. We’ve highlighted the key levels this time with the potential path due to the range being so big, and yes, we’re still in the range believe it or not! So, for that reason, we have the extreme level of support below 2340-45 and below that 2335 which is also our bias level. If targeted and held, a bounce here could be on the cards with a move to continue upside and higher up. This is a key level, if broken, we complete the move downside again more likely to target the 2320 region, so please play caution. Our ideal scenario here is for them to take the price upside, first level of importance 2380-85 which needs to break for us to go higher and target the 2400 level which will then give us the extreme level 2405-10 which is where we feel the stretch can go and that’s where the ideal short will come from, most probably next week. It’s a difficult one to navigate but the range is still in play and the extreme levels are worth taking note if there is huge volume and a curve ball. Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
OANDA:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
2
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT In last week’s KOG Report we said we would be looking for more downside movement on Gold and gave the weekly bias level of 2335 with targets below 2310 and below that 2395. We also informed traders to watch out for the extension of the move into that 2340 which is where we ideally wanted to short the market for the bigger capture. We suggested early longs into the levels above, and once there we confirmed the move not only did we get the long trades, we got the opportunity to take that short trade all the way back down to complete the bias level targets. It’s at this lower level we suggested taking the early long back up, again netting a fantastic return, following Excalibur all the way to where we closed the month. During the week, we also update traders on the intra-day movement highlighting the levels to look for RIPs and opportunities to capture the counter movement, which also worked extremely well completing a fantastic week for the free analysis, but a phenomenal week on Gold targets in Camelot. Well done to our community and team for another great month of completed targets. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? We’ll start by saying it’s the first week of a month and quarter, so best practice would be letting the market settle for the new month, especially the first few days. We also have a lot of news this week which is guaranteed to drive the markets to extreme levels aggressively, coupled with choppy price action. New traders really should be sitting out with the attitude that cash in your account is a position in the market, a very strategic one! Although we ended the month with a bullish daily, we’re not seeing any confirmed movement to complete the upside levels as yet! So, we’ll begin the week with caution and look at the immediate levels of support sitting around the 2313 and above that 2317 levels. If we begin the week with an attack on those levels and face strong support, it’s here we may get an opportunity to long back up into that 2330 -35 region with the extension of the move again the 2345-50 price point, which for this week is our bearish below level. This level above if targeted is important, as breaking above here will take us back up to target that 2270-75 region, which believe it or not, is still in this range! It is however these higher levels we want to be monitoring closely for signs of rejection, and if we get them we feel there is an opportunity to short again from higher up into the lower levels as suggested on the chart. We have our active targets and the prices we’re looking for but would suggest level to level trading for this week at least, with tight stops! We’re going to keep it simple this week and say that’s the main move we’re looking for unless we break below 2316-20 and hold, in which case the plan completes before we get any more opportunities to add to shorts from higher again. KOG’s Bias for the week: Bearish below 2345-50 with targets below 2310 and below that 2290 Bullish on break of 2345 with targets above 2360 and above that 2370 We’ve added the key levels on the charts for you this week with the text, “Bearish below, Bullish above etc” which we hope will help you stay in the right direction and manage your trades. As usual, we will update you with our plans and wish you a successful week ahead. Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
8
KOG - "Fail to plan, plan to fail" Traders, The market is designed to confuse retail traders, the reason for that is they know 95% of you enter these markets with no plan. You’re not aware of the levels, you’re not charting the pairs you trade, and you lack the basic skills to manage your money and your risk. You need to have a plan before you enter a trade, you need to have a strict set of rules, and everything should line up as much as possible before you take the entry. By the time new traders understand they need a plan, they’ve blown their accounts and blame the markets. Every trader, before they start their day needs to have a strict set of rules they abide by before entering the markets for a trade. There are many variations and most will have their own rules, but to start you off here are a few we set out for our traders. They're not uncommon, simple steps to take to keep you safe in the markets. Is the market ranging or trending? We have to adapt our trading style in accordance with what the market is doing. If it’s a trending market, we know we have a clear direction on the pair and we know the levels of the trend as well as the levels that are provided. We then add the target to this and now have a clearer understanding of where price may support or resist before continuing the trend. When the market is ranging, we adapt our trading style knowing that we’re going to experience a lot of choppy price action as well as extreme up and down swings. We plot the range, we add the levels, and we now have a clearer understanding of support and resistance as well as the range high and low. When the range breaks and confirms the break, you know whether you should be entering or getting out of a trade. Holding on to hope will kill your account and you will then blame the market. Are there key levels above or below? Key levels on a chart are really important to understand. You need to add the levels on the long term charts and the levels on the short term charts. This gives you an idea of where price may go before it either supports or resist the price. It also tells you whether price is going to continue in the direction if the key level breaks and the turns into either support or resistance. You can now plan, if the price continues into that level how much will my account be in drawdown, will I be able to hold, do I need to hedge, should I take the loss and switch direction. Holding on to your bias and hope will very likely kill your account, you’ll then blame the market. How much capital am I risking? You need to treat this as a business, no matter what your account size. Every day there are large institutions who want to take your money away from you, you’re in this market to take from them and give them as little as possible. You should have a risk model in place, am I going to risk a certain percentage of my account? Am I going to stick to a stop loss of a certain amount of pips? Am I going to have a risk reward that makes sense? Your stop loss and risk management plan is your best friend in this market, it allows you to limit the losses and live to trade another day. It also allows you to trade with a fresh mind everyday because you’re not holding on to hope. Traders fail because they don’t have a risk model, they then get stuck in a drawdown which doesn’t allow them to trade because they’re waiting the entries that are in drawdown to come back into the price range. Cut your losses early, if you’re wrong you’re wrong, don’t let your ego right checks your butt can’t cash! Holding on to losing trades with no risk model will likely blow your account, you’ll then blame the market. Are there any new events? News events can move the markets in a very aggressive way but will move the price into the levels that you should already have added to your charts. News brings volume and a lot of traders will use this to their advantage to either scalp or to get good entries on the pairs they trade. It’s best practice to not trade before the news releases unless you’re already in the right way of the market. “The trade always comes after the event”, wait for the price to be taken to the level they want to either buy and sell, wait for a confirmed reversal on the smaller time frames, once everything lines up, then look to take an entry. Trading news events comes with years of practice, it also takes a lot of discipline and the ability to manage risk, not only that but you have to be willing to switch your bias in an instance if you get it wrong. Most traders lack this experience, trade news events like it’s a normal day on the markets and then blow their accounts in one hit, you’ll then blame the market. Am I following my trading plan? “Fail to plan, plan to fail”. As above, you need to plan every single trade you take, make sure the market conditions are in your favour, make sure the price is at the right levels, make sure your risk model is in place, make sure you’re aware of the risks involved if it doesn’t go your way. By doing all of this and making a plan, you know what the worst case scenario will be, by knowing that you’re emotions and psychology won’t be affected that much and you will build your confidence. You’ll then develop your strategy and you’ll have a better understanding of what kind of ROI you can consistently make in the markets. Have the discipline to follow your plan and stick to it like a you’re a robot. Get used to taking losses, this is part of the game you’re in. Your wins just need to be bigger and you’re on your way to becoming a consistent trader. Most traders don’t follow their plan, they then blow their accounts and you’ll blame the market. Hope this helps at least some of you stay the right side of the markets and we wish you the very best in your trading career. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSDEducation
by KnightsofGold
12
THE KOG REPORT THE KOG REPORT In last week’s KOG Report we highlighted the significance of that 2320 level and said that it needed to be broken forcefully, otherwise if supported, we would be looking to long back up into the higher levels as well as Excalibur targets and price will attempt to take liquidity from that 2370-75 region. During the first half of the week, we continued to long into those higher resistance levels giving us a fantastic trade(s), tapping into that 2370-75 region where we got a RIP from our level and the short trade presented itself not only completing KOG’s bullish bias levels but also the first target region for the bearish target. A phenomenal week in Camelot, not only on Gold and Silver, but all the other pairs we trade as well. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? After the move on Friday, we would say caution on shorting the market down here, instead, we’ll look for bounces in the early part of the week to take the price up to correct at least some of this move. Unless we have gaps on opening due to the geopolitical news over the weekend, it’s very possible we will establish a small range here again. For that reason, we will be looking for confirmation at the below levels 2310-12, which if held during the early session could represent an opportunity to long the market back up to the 2325-27 region which for us is the level to watch, with extension of the move into the 2335-40 region. These levels are of importance as that’s where we again will want to be looking for the swing short into the lower support regions, in attempt to break below that 2300 level! We’ll stick with the bias level bearish below for now and look for lower pricing unless broken above, in which case its likely we will again, target the top of the range and correct the whole move. On the flip, a push up straight off market open, we’ll look at those 2325-7 and 2330-35 regions to attempt the short, as long as we have a clean set up. KOG’s bias for the week: Bearish below 2335 with targets below 2310 and below that 2295 Bullish on break of 2335 with target above 2370!! It’s a frustrating sideways chop for traders, so please be careful, every time they look to take it down, they swing up and every time they look like they’re going to break up, they swing it down. Traders need to make sure their risk models are up to scratch and they’re playing the range the way it should be. There is a post on trading the range, please check it out. Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
10
HOW to SPARK New Trading IdeasToday I want you to use your imagination. I want you to ignite new, profitable and powerful trading ideas. Let’s embark on a journey to ignite your trading creativity, transforming the mundane into the extraordinary. Speak to Traders – The Power of Conversation Nothing beats the raw, unfiltered insights you can gain from chatting with fellow traders. It’s like opening a portal to a universe brimming with unique strategies and perspectives. Whether it’s a casual coffee meet-up or a spirited discussion on trading forums, the exchange of ideas can light up that creative spark within you. As you know I’ll be doing a lot more videos and live events, you’ll have the opportunity to share your ideas, analyses and ask questions! Remember, every trader has a story, a battle scar, or a victory dance. These are not just tales; they are potential blueprints for your next big trade. Let Your Mind Wander – The Art of Creative Thinking In the hustle of tick charts, Bitcoin rallies, and economic news, your best trading idea could be waiting in the quiet. It’s time to get your creative juices flowing. Take a walk, meditate, have more showers or simply gaze out the window. It’s in these moments of apparent idleness that your brain connects the dots, craft strategies that you wouldn’t have thought of while staring at screens. Give yourself permission to dream, and watch as those dreams morph into actionable trading ideas. Explore Online – The Digital Goldmine The internet is a goldmine for traders seeking inspiration. With endless resources at your fingertips, from real-time market analysis to historical data, the possibilities are limitless. Take the opportunity to dive into financial news websites, scrutinize market trends on social platforms, or get lost in the vast ocean of trading blogs. Each click can unravel patterns and opportunities. And it will help propel you towards your next trading venture. Remember, the digital world is your trading oyster, and every piece of information is a potential pearl of wisdom. Trading Podcasts – Voices That Inspire In today’s fast-paced world, trading podcasts are the lighthouses guiding traders through the fog of information overload. They provide not just market insights but also foster a sense of community. Whether you’re on your daily commute or taking a break, tune into a trading podcast. Let the voices of experienced traders be the wind beneath your wings, propelling you towards new horizons. Write Down Ideas – The Might of the Pen An idea, until it’s written down, is like a spark that risks being extinguished by the slightest breeze. The simple act of writing can turn this spark into a flame. Keep a journal of your trading thoughts, no matter how fleeting or outlandish they may seem. Over time, this journal becomes a repository of your trading evolution, a place where ideas can be nurtured and refined. This practice not only sharpens your trading acumen but also serves as a beacon during times of doubt. FINAL WORDS: Remember, every great trader was once a beginner, armed with nothing but a passion for the markets and a willingness to learn. So, let your ideas flow, for in the world of trading, today’s whimsy could be tomorrow’s windfall. Let’s some up ways for you to ignite and spark new profitable and powerful trading ideas. Speak to Traders – The Power of Conversation Let Your Mind Wander – The Art of Creative Thinking Explore Online – The Digital Goldmine Trading Podcasts – Voices That Inspire Write Down Ideas – The Might of the Pen
TVC:SA40Education
by Timonrosso
Options Blueprint Series: All-Time High Christmas Tree SpreadIntroduction As Nasdaq futures continue to show bullish momentum, traders are eyeing the potential for a new all-time high. With market conditions favoring upward movements, leveraging options strategies that maximize upside potential becomes crucial. One such strategy is the Christmas Tree Spread, traditionally used to limit risk while maintaining profit potential. However, in this article, we will explore a modified version where all strikes are Out-Of-The-Money (OTM), creating a setup that profit to the upside no matter how high Nasdaq goes. This approach aligns perfectly with the optimistic outlook for Nasdaq futures and sets the stage for potential gains. Strategy Overview The Christmas Tree Spread is a versatile options strategy that can be tailored to suit various market conditions. Traditionally, when using calls, it involves buying one call at a lower strike price and selling three calls at higher strike prices and buying two more calls at even higher strike prices, creating a balanced risk-reward profile. In this modified version, we adjust the strikes to all be Out-Of-The-Money (OTM), enhancing the bullish nature of the strategy. For this setup, while Nasdaq Futures are trading at 19,982.75, we select the following strike prices for Nasdaq futures options with an expiration date of September 2024: Buy one 20000 call Sell three 21500 calls Buy two 21750 calls By choosing these strikes, we position ourselves to benefit from any substantial upward movement in Nasdaq futures. All strikes being OTM ensures that the breakeven point is set above the current price, effectively betting on a new all-time high for Nasdaq. This configuration guarantees profit to the upside, regardless of how high Nasdaq futures rise. Strategy Rationale The rationale behind selecting an all OTM strike setup for the Christmas Tree Spread lies in the current bullish outlook for Nasdaq futures. As markets exhibit strong upward trends, the potential for Nasdaq to achieve new all-time highs becomes increasingly plausible. This strategy aims to capitalize on such a possible bullish scenario. Why OTM Strikes? Lower Cost: OTM options are generally cheaper, reducing the initial cost of setting up the spread. Increased Profit Potential: Since all strikes are set above the current market price, the profit potential is maximized for any substantial upward movement. Risk Mitigation: The structure of the spread inherently limits risk, as losses are capped while allowing for upside gains. Breakeven Point: The breakeven point for this modified Christmas Tree Spread is calculated based on the premiums paid and received for the options. Given the strikes selected (20000, 21500, and 21750), the breakeven point is above the current E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures price (20,465.62), aligning with the expectation of a new all-time high. Detailed Setup and Example Trade Setup Details: Buy one 20000: This is the lower strike option, purchased to gain exposure to significant upside potential. Sell three 21500 calls: These are the middle strike options, sold to offset the cost of the purchased call and to create a spread. Buy two 21750 calls: These are the higher strike options, purchased to cap the potential loss from the sold calls and complete the spread. Premiums Involved: Assuming the following hypothetical premiums: 20000 call: 683.38 points 21500 calls: 145.42 each (436.26 total for three) 21750 calls: 109.25 each (218.5 total for two) Net Cost: Total cost of buying calls: 683.38 (20000 call) + 218.5 (21750 calls) = 901.88 Total premium received from selling calls: 436.26 (21500 calls) Net cost: 901.88 – 436.26 = 465.62 Risk Profile and Reward-to-Risk Ratio: Maximum Risk: The maximum risk is limited to the net cost of the trade, which is 465.62 points. Maximum Reward: The maximum reward would take place at 21500 on expiration and is 1034.39 points. The structure ensures 534.39 points of profit as the index potentially climbs higher. Breakeven Point: The breakeven point is the initial cost added to the lower strike price, which is 20000 + 465.62= 20,465.62. Trade Scenario: To illustrate, let's consider the potential outcomes at expiration in September 2024: If Nasdaq is below 20000: All options expire worthless, and the net loss is the initial cost: 465.61 points. If Nasdaq is at 21500: The 20000 call gains 1500, the 21500 calls expire worthless, and the 21750 calls expire worthless. Net gain = 1500 - initial cost = 1034.39 points. If Nasdaq is at or above 21750: The 20000 call gains 1500, two of the 21500 calls each lose 250, and the 21750 calls expire worthless. Net gain = $1500 - 750 (total loss from sold calls) – 465.61 (initial cost) = 534.39 points. Risk Management Risk management is a crucial aspect of any trading strategy, especially when dealing with options. For the modified Christmas Tree Spread strategy on E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures options, several risk management techniques can be employed to ensure that potential losses are minimized and profits are protected. Use of Stop-Loss Orders: Stop-Loss: Implementing stop-loss orders can help limit losses if the market does not move as expected. Setting a stop-loss at a certain percentage below the purchase price can automatically exit the position, reducing the risk of holding losing trades. Hedging Techniques: Protective Puts: Purchasing protective puts can provide additional downside protection if the market moves significantly against the position. This can be considered if there are signs of a strong bearish reversal. Spreading Risk: Diversifying the strike prices or expiration dates can spread the risk and reduce the impact of a single adverse market movement. However, this needs to be balanced with the strategy's intent and market conditions. Avoiding Undefined Risk Exposure: Capped Risk: The strategy inherently caps risk by buying the 21750 calls, which limits the maximum loss from the sold 21500 calls. Ensuring that all components of the strategy are correctly implemented and monitored helps avoid unexpected risks. Regular Monitoring: Regularly reviewing the position and market conditions ensures that the strategy remains aligned with the trader’s expectations and risk tolerance. Adjustments can be made as necessary to manage exposure. By incorporating these risk management techniques, traders can enhance the robustness of the modified Christmas Tree Spread strategy, ensuring that potential losses are minimized while maximizing the chances of achieving the desired profit. Application with Micro E-mini Nasdaq Options The modified Christmas Tree Spread strategy can also be effectively applied to Micro E-mini Nasdaq futures options. Micro E-mini options offer the same strategic benefits but with smaller contract sizes (10 times less), making them more accessible for traders with smaller accounts or those looking to manage risk more precisely. Advantages of Using Micro E-mini Options: Lower Capital Requirement: The smaller contract size of Micro E-mini options means a lower initial cost, making it easier for more traders to participate. Fine-Tuned Risk Management: Smaller positions allow for more precise control over risk, as traders can scale in and out of positions more easily. Similar Profit Potential: While the absolute profit may be smaller compared to standard E-mini options, the percentage returns can be similar, providing an effective way to capture upside movements in E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures. Comparison of Standard E-mini vs. Micro E-mini Options: Standard E-mini options have larger contract sizes and are typically used by traders with more significant capital to invest. In contrast, Micro E-mini options offer smaller contract sizes, making them ideal for traders with smaller accounts or those who prefer to manage risk more precisely. Both options provide the same strategic advantages but cater to different levels of investment and risk management needs. Using Micro E-mini Nasdaq futures options provides traders with the same strategic advantage of capturing significant upside potential while managing risk effectively, aligning well with the bullish market outlook for E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures. Conclusion The modified Christmas Tree Spread strategy offers a robust and flexible approach to capitalizing on the bullish momentum of E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures. By strategically placing all strikes Out-Of-The-Money and targeting a new all-time high, this setup ensures profit potential to the upside, no matter how high Nasdaq climbs. With proper risk management and precise execution, traders can maximize their gains while minimizing risks. Whether using standard E-mini options or Micro E-mini options, this strategy provides a powerful tool for navigating the current market conditions and positioning for future growth. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CME_MINI:NQU2024Education
by traddictiv
BTC LEVELS FOR LONG Currently, we received a reaction from the daily level, which was at 65k, and the price is holding for now. If at some point we see that the correction continues, the FVG located from 63k-64.5 is an excellent longa zone. Of course, we always have to be ready for both cases, below there are strong levels of 60-61k. Only below that is the possibility for 50k. Better to go step by step and follow the changes FVG BTC-a se takodje poklapa sa daily fvg na total marketu.
Long
by learnfromfailure
THE KOG REPORTKOG REPORT: In last week’s KOG Report we said we wanted the lower support level to hold up the price to give us the opportunity to long into the order region above, which gave us a fantastic start to the week. We then said we wanted to short from the order region back down, but due to FOMC and CPI we would be looking for extreme levels above. Once price re-entered our order region we did continue with the plan but the range and accumulation meant we couldn’t complete the move down that we wanted, however, still getting a decent trade down. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? Simple one this week! We have potential to start the week with short movement within the range we have plotted on the chart. The resistance level above sits at 2345-50 which needs to hold the price down for us to see a further move downside into the lower support region below, and potentially complete our plan from last week’s KOG Report. Support 2320 is the hurdle this week and needs to be broken forcefully for us to then have more confidence in the move. The problem we have this week again is this sideways range, and for that reason we’re going to throw a curveball into the mix, which we need traders to be extremely careful of. IF that resistance level above breaks, and we bounce aggressively from below, there is a huge chance we’re going to see this attempt to take liquidity from the higher regions 2370-5 which is a key level for this week and also the extension of the move. So please, traders make sure to stick with your risk model, we’ll trade it the KOG way, level to level, stay the right side of it and expect some extreme movement. KOG's Bias for the week: Bearish below 2345 with targets below 2320 and below that 2295 Bullish on break of 2345 with targets above 2355 and above that 2370 As above, it’s a short one this week, we’ll update it as we usually do during the course of the week. Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
12
Binance Coin - The $70.000 price target is real!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Binance Coin . -------- Explanation of my video analysis: Back in 2020 Binance Coin created a decent bullish break and retest of a horizontal structure which was followed by a rally of 10.000% towards the upside. After this rally, which ended in April of 2021, Binance Coin has been trading sideways ever since. Currently it seems like Binance Coin is preparing another bullish breakout, which could lead us all the way up to $70.000 in the future! -------- Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
BINANCE:BNBUSDLong
by basictradingtv
7
THE KOG REPORT - CPI/FOMCTHE KOG REPORT – CPI/FOMC This is our view for CPI/FOMC, please do your own research and analysis to make an informed decision on the markets. It is not recommended you try to trade the event if you have less than 6 months trading experience and have a trusted risk strategy in place. The markets are extremely volatile, and these events can cause aggressive swings in price. In all honesty, we would prefer to let them move the markets today into the level they want, then look for a set up to get in on the retracement tomorrow. At the moment, due to CPI and FOMC being on the same day, it’s likely to be an extremely aggressive move. We’re going to put the KOG Report plan to one side for now, as the whipsaw can cause spikes and key levels turn to extreme levels and we’ve taken what we needed on gold for now. We have the range formed now and accumulation under way with sentiment standing at neutral. We have key level support below at the 2303-5 region, which if tapped could give a bounce upside, unless broken into the first key level 2335 which was on the KOG Report and then the extension of the move into the 2347-55 region. This is where there may be an opportunity to long into, or, on the flip capture the move downside into the immediate support levels, potentially even lower! If you look at the illustration on the chart with path, we have highlighted the extreme level above sitting at 2385-90, this for us is on the break and would be ideal. If they take it there, this is the level we want to watch and is sticking out to us as a potential curveball, so please be careful! On the flip, they take this down, we’ll sit back and wait, shorting with volume is a bad idea as the intermediate swings can go against you. So, we’ve highlighted the key levels below that have potential for a reaction in price. We’ve put this report together this time to show you what the market can be capable of if they really want to move it. The circles are our hotspots, together with our targets they will help us navigate the move. They will want to slip new traders up and get them trading with the candles, this is a recipe for disaster, on days like this quick money trades are not an option. It’s either above or below for us on this occasion, otherwise we’ll come back to gold tomorrow and make our move. Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
OANDA:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
6
XAUUSD / GOLD www.tradingview.com GOLD is challenging a robust resistance area at 2304, as well as a pullback level at 2314.7, establishing a new key resistance within the correction phase. Both technical and fundamental indicators for gold are negative; thus, a medium-term decline is anticipated. However, tomorrow's announcements, including CPI, FOMC, and the FED meeting, will likely address the overall inflation scenario and U.S. interest rates. Support levels: 2300, 2291, 2267 Resistance levels: 2304, 2314, 2325 Today, the market may fluctuate within the 2291 - 2325 range. The prospective direction will be clearer tomorrow (before the news), but intraday, a retest of resistance followed by a potential retreat to support levels is expected.
EIGHTCAP:XAUUSD
by Goldxking
THE KOG REPORTTHE KOG REPORT: I last week’s KOG report we said we would be watching that 2340 extension level for a move upside in the early part of the week, and if achieved we would be looking to short the market back down initially into the 2310 level which is where we felt the RIP will come from. We had a little stretch into 2355 but got the move we wanted for the trade and then the bounce. On the way up we also took the long in Camelot giving us a fantastic start to the week. During the week we updated traders with the plan to go long into that higher regions and gave them a target level of 2370 which was achieved, in Camelot we had 2385, which was hit on the nose, gave us a TAP AND BOUNCE short trade, and the rest is history, what a move and trades on Gold last week giving us another record breaking capture. Well done to our team for their hard work not only on Gold but the numerous other pairs we trade and analyse, with Oil also giving us a lovely upside trade. So, what can we expect in the week ahead? We’ll start by saying we have FOMC and Cpi this week on the same day, so please trade carefully and expect there to be more aggressive price action across the markets. We have some key levels here on gold sitting below at 2380-75 which we feel are reasonable for attack and as shown on the chart, if held we feel there is an opportunity to long the market back up into 2310 and above that 2325 regions with extension of the move into 2330. That would be the ideal move for us, and if we see resistance with a clean set up in that resistance level, we’ll be hunting a short again to take this a lower. PLEASE NOTE – If they break below that level early session, the long trade will come from lower down in the 2250-55 region, which is a level to watch for this week! KOG's bias for the week: Bearish below 2335 with targets below 2385 and below that 2373 Bullish on break of 2335 with targets above 2355 and above that 2389 In summary: Price goes up, we’ll trade it level to level, expecting ranging and choppy market conditions, looking for the higher resistance levels. Higher resistance levels, we’ll be looking for the short trade if it presents itself. Price goes down, we’ll look for support to hold, a clean reversal and we’ll look to long. Nice and simple, we’re looking for a few decent trades on Gold this week due to FOMC and Cpi. Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
FX:XAUUSD
by KnightsofGold
14