AUDJPY.... 4RR BULLISH TRADEHey guys,
It's been a long time since I made a post but guess what, I am back and ready to give you guys the best trade ideas ever.
On analyzing the JPY pairs, I also make use of the JPY index so as to select the best pair to trade, and as you may find out if you check, FX:AUDJPY has entered a strong daily demand level and is currently setting up buy-side liquidity which you can see on my chart. I expect it to use the buy-side liquidity to retrace to my entry after which, the bullish move should happen.
I will also be posting my analysis on CADJPY... SO WATCHOUT.
Let me know if you are also interested in this pair.
Cheers,
David
Tradingstrategies
The Breakout Trading Strategy of Trendlines | OKXIDEAS
Hello traders,
In this post i am just showing you a very simple and easy trading strategy especially for beginners, in this strategy i am just using two basic things trendlines and 50 simple moving average which is you can also see in the charts above.
What you will be doing in this strategy just simply go to the 1hr timeframe see the clear trend draw the trendline wait for the breakout when breakout happen now wait for price to retest or just place a buy limit or sell limit order.
I hope you like the strategy this is the trendlines breakout trading strategy.
The one good thing about this strategy is the risk to reward ratio because in this strategy you will have potential to have around 1/3 risk to reward ratio so this means if you placed 10 trades and you lose 7 trades out of 10 and you just won 3 trades out of 10, you will be still profitable so meanwhile you just need to have a 30% wining ratio to be profitable in a long run.
I just advise you that try the strategy open the chart and back-test your chart and trade it on demo live market condition at least for one month and see the results ask the question to yourself can you be profitable? if the answer is yes so probably you know that what to do next but if the answer is no then look it your one month data that you have, make sure to journal your one month data record and try to analyze what mistakes you do what wining ratio you have can you have a little deference to between 30% see your taken trades you will be seeing some bad trades and you don't wanted to trade next time avoid those trades in the next month and just repeat the process be patient one day you will be consistently profitable but if not then don't lose the hope and just try again again and again learn from your mistakes come back and don't do that mistakes again, remember every strategy is good if you practice and managed it.
Just find the strategy that you suit and start the process.
I hope you liked the post, i wish you good luck and good trading.
Analyzing the Impact of FOMC Meetings on Stock PricesAs a stock trader, it's important to pay attention to major events that can impact the market, such as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. These meetings can have a significant impact on stock prices, and understanding their historical trends can help you make informed trading decisions.
In preparation for the upcoming FOMC meeting on May 3, 2023, we've analyzed the highs from each FOMC meeting since 2021. We've compiled this data into a timeline that shows the market's reaction to these meetings, with vertical lines indicating market open and close.
As you can see from the image below, the majority of market movers occur in the after-hours trading following the FOMC meeting. This can be attributed to the fact that traders are reacting to the decisions made by the committee and adjusting their positions accordingly.
We've also calculated the percentage change from the original opening line to the high point for each meeting, with the highest mover being 6.14% and the lowest being 4.25%. These results were found at market close on Thursday following the FOMC meeting.
It's worth noting that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results, and the market can be unpredictable. However, analyzing historical trends can be a useful tool for stock traders who want to be prepared for potential market movements.
In conclusion, the FOMC meeting on May 3, 2023, is likely to have an impact on the stock market. By understanding historical trends and analyzing market data, traders can be better equipped to make informed trading decisions. We hope that this analysis has provided some useful insights and helps you navigate the market with confidence.
I hope that this analysis of previous FOMC meetings and their impact on the stock market will be helpful to anyone who is curious or considering trading tomorrow. However, we want to emphasize the importance of doing your own due diligence and research before making any trading decisions. The FOMC meetings can be highly unpredictable, and it's essential to trade smart and cautiously.
As our analysis shows, the majority of market movement following the FOMC meetings tends to occur in the after-hours trading, making it even more crucial to be cautious. Therefore, it's crucial to stay informed, keep an eye on market trends, and use historical trends as a guide while making informed trading decisions.
In conclusion, I hope this analysis provides helpful insights for traders and investors, but remember to exer cise caution and always be mindful of the risks involved in trading. Happy trading!
NASDAQ - Bullish movement resumeThe price broke a strong trendline and a resistance and targeted the next significant resistance level, first the 127-138 level of Fibo and then the 13500 level.
1D:
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GBPAUD in ascending channelGBPAUD is moving in an ascending channel and has reached the bottom of the channel. This level also coincides with a previous resistance and the fibo level of 0.618. Therefore, the upward movement to higher levels can continue.
4H:
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UK100 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS FOR SHORTwatch price action in this zone if the first resistance zone is respected. go to 1hrs time frame and look for entry.
if its not respected look at the next resistance zone i highlighted with a parrallel line.
W9-20 NZDJPY BEARISH IDEA (HARMONICS REVERSAL PATTERN)Potential Bearish Entry
Dow Theory In Place - Lower High and Lower Low Expected in Place
Formation of Harmonic Bearish reversal Patte coupled with bearish divergence at potential reversal zone (PZR)
Entry at LL on the basis of harmonic reversal pattern, candle stick pattern (three black crows), and support and resistance.
SL & TP Levels are defined.
DJI-4h (Short):DJI-4h (Short)
Significant weakness ahead.
Note: Do your own due diligence before taking any action.
EURNZD DAILY CHART PROJECTIONDon't MISS!
After collecting our data from the weekly timeframe, price initially was in a downtrending market and we had a success break of structure so we expected that the market will change it's direction from downtrend to uptrend of which it did.
The current trend to the upside which is visible on the DAILY timeframe, we can regard that as our Impulsive trend/move. Within this move, price is making a valid uptrend creating HIGHS and LOWS . The impulsive trend is currently moving rapidly which broke the resistance level (Check the arrow).
Our anticipated overall price target is @1.82000 level
As we all know, price is not just going to fly there, it's going to create a trend to get to the final target. So we're expecting price to make a new low to @1.73500 to @1.72000 level then we will look for a bullish confirmation.
TRADES OPPORTUNITY
I am currently watching this market closely and we will look at the smaller timeframe so we have a confirmation for a short sell. Join my channel to not miss this opportunity
Kindly Like this Trade Idea if you love it and Follow me for more
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Regards.
NZDCHF at daily support levelThe price encountered a strong support on the daily chart and reached the bottom of the descending trend channel, and then rebounded from there. I expect a bullish movement to the top of the channel. But if the descending trend line fails to break, the downward movement may continue.
Daily support:
4H descending channel:
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Learn Top 4 Price Action Pattern to Trade Reversals
Hey traders,
In this article, I will share with you the list of 4 best reversal price action patterns.
📍Ascending & Descending Triangles
The main element of the ascending triangle as the REVERSAL pattern is the BEARISH impulse leg, preceding the formation of the pattern.
The pattern consist of 2 main elements:
a horizontal neckline based on the equal highs,
a rising trend line based on the higher lows.
❗️The trigger is a bullish breakout of a neckline of the pattern and candle close above.
📈The position is opened on a retest.
🔴Stop loss is lying at least below the level of the last higher low.
🎯Take profit is the next historical resistance.
——————
📍The main element of the descending triangle formation as the reversal pattern is the BULLISH leg, preceding the formation of the pattern.
The pattern consist of 2 main elements:
a horizontal neckline based on the equal lows,
a falling trend line based on the lower highs.
❗️The trigger is a bearish breakout of a neckline of the pattern and candle close below.
📉The position is opened on a retest.
🔴Stop loss is lying at least above the level of the last lower high.
🎯Take profit is the next historical support.
📍Rising & Falling Wedges
What makes a rising wedge pattern a reversal pattern?
Before the formation of the pattern, the price should form a strong bullish impulse and trade in a bullish trend.
The pattern consists of 2 contracting, rising trend lines based on the higher highs and higher lows.
❗️The trigger is a bearish breakout of a support of the pattern and candle close below.
📉The position is opened on a retest.
🔴Stop loss is lying above the high of the pattern.
🎯Take profit is the closest horizontal support.
——————
What makes a falling wedge pattern a reversal pattern?
Before the formation of the pattern, the price should form a strong bearish impulse and trade in a bearish trend.
The pattern consist of 2 contracting falling trend lines based on the lower lows and lower highs.
❗️The trigger is a bullish breakout of a resistance of the pattern and candle close above.
📈The position is opened on a retest.
🔴Stop loss is lying below the low of the pattern.
🎯Take profit is the closest horizontal resistance.
📍Double Top & Bottom
Double bottom pattern usually forms at the end of a bearish trend.
After a strong bearish impulse, the price retraces, sets a lower high and retests the current low.
Instead of going lower, the price retraces one more time, retests the level of the last lower high and breaks it.
Such a formation confirms a bullish reversal.
❗️The trigger is a bullish breakout of a neckline of the pattern and a candle close above.
📈The position is opened on a retest.
🔴Stop loss is lying below the lows of the pattern.
🎯Take profit is the closest horizontal resistance.
——————
Double top pattern usually forms at the end of a bullish trend.
After a strong bullish impulse, the price retraces, sets a higher low and retests the current high.
Instead of going higher, however, the price retraces one more time, retests the level of the last higher low and breaks it.
Such a formation confirms a bearish reversal.
❗️The trigger is a bearish breakout of a neckline of the pattern and a candle close below.
📈The position is opened on a retest.
🔴Stop loss is lying above the highs of the pattern.
🎯Take profit is the closest horizontal support.
📍Head & Shoulders Pattern & Inverted One
Inverted H&S pattern usually forms at the end of a bearish trend.
The price forms a zig-zag movement with 3 main elements:
the left shoulder with a lower low, the head with a new lower low, and the right shoulder with a higher low.
While the price sets multiple lows, it keeps setting the equal highs, composing a so-called horizontal neckline.
A bullish reversal becomes confirmed once the price breaks and closes above the neckline.
❗️The trigger is a bullish breakout of a neckline of the pattern and a candle close above.
📈The position is opened on a retest.
🔴Stop loss is lying below the lows of the pattern.
🎯Take profit is the closest horizontal resistance.
——————
Head & Shoulders pattern usually forms at the end of a bullish trend.
The price forms a zig-zag movement with 3 main elements:
the left shoulder with a higher high, the head with a new higher high, and the right shoulder with a lower high.
While the price sets multiple highs, it keeps setting the equal lows, composing a so-called horizontal neckline.
A bearish reversal becomes confirmed once the price breaks and closes below the neckline.
❗️The trigger is a bearish breakout of a neckline of the pattern and a candle close below.
📈The position is opened on a retest.
🔴Stop loss is lying above the highs of the pattern.
🎯Take profit is the closest horizontal support.
In order to increase the accuracy of trading these patterns, I would recommend trading them only if they are formed on key levels:
Bearish patterns on key resistances and bullish patterns on key supports.
Also, higher is the time frame where you spotted the patterns, higher is the chance that it will give a valid reversal signal.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
XAUUSD - KOG REPORT!KOG Report:
In last weeks KOG Report we said we would be looking for the support levels to hold to give an opportunity for the long trade before we then see a reaction in price. We then said we would be looking at the higher levels to confirm the resistance before we attempt to take the short trade back down.
We plotted the immediate support level with a circle around the 1950-55 region and then gave the two higher levels we would be looking for, also circled on the chart. There were only 3 points of contact we were looking for combined with the weekly chart level we had added in March for the bullish target.
As you can see from last weeks KOG Report, we completed a point to point, level to level move timed to perfection again, just like we do day in, day out in Camelot. 4H chart levels were completed as well as the weekly target plotted on the 19th of March where we got a TAP AND BOUNCE.
So, what can we expect in the week ahead?
We’ll start by saying, due to it being the holiday weekend we’re very likely to see gaps on opening across the market, especially due to the NFP release on Friday which happened while many instrument were closed. For that reason, we’ll say take this as reference for Monday and we will update it on Tuesday once we have a clearer picture.
For the week we will be looking at the support levels 1980-85 as the first point of contact, this is where we need to see a gap down to (if it happens) before an attempt on recovery. Below there we have further key level support around the 1960-55 level, we want price to stay above this level to resume the move to the upside, otherwise we may see a deeper correction. We have an Excalibur target below which hasn’t been hit, this is something we will be looking for in the early part of the week if the price continues the retracement.
The higher levels are now the target levels for the long trades, this is based on clean support and any gaps being filled in the early part of the week. The ideal target here for the long trades is first 2035 and then above that the 2045 level. We’re again long level to level with the plan to short the market from higher up, if we get there.
Best practice in this environment is to sit out the opening and the early sessions, let them move the market and create the mess they want to, once settled, then start looking for the set up. We’ll be doing the same in Camelot targeting the Excalibur targets once the price market has found its feet.
Expect another week of aggressive, whipsawing and choppy price action, so please be careful, control your lot sizes and make sure you have a risk model in place.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG