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Gold price analysis September 16Fundamental Analysis Gold prices edged lower from fresh record highs around the $2,589-$2,590 region hit on Monday. The intraday decline could be attributed to some profit-taking amid generally positive risk sentiment, which tends to weigh on the safe-haven precious metal. However, any meaningful declines appear to be limited amid expectations of a more aggressive Federal Reserve (Fed) easing. In fact, markets have begun to price in an over-the-top 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed later this week after data released last week provided further evidence of subdued US inflation. This has kept US Treasury yields and the US dollar (USD) near 2024 lows, which in turn will continue to act as a driver of non-yielding gold prices. Traders may also refrain from placing heavy bets ahead of the FOMC’s two-day policy meeting starting on Tuesday. This is followed by monetary policy updates from the Bank of England (BoE) and the Bank of Japan (BoJ) on Thursday and Friday, respectively, which could inject some volatility into the markets and provide fresh impetus to Gold prices. Hence, any meaningful corrective pullback could still be seen as a buying opportunity. Technical Analysis Gold is at an all-time high, so any bullish momentum will only be met with resistance at the psychological levels of 2600 and 2610. Support areas to place confidence in further buying are around 2570-2545. In today's European session, if gold breaks 2590, it is possible to execute SELL signals around 2600 and 2690. In case it does not break until the middle of the European session, SELL gold to 2570 before the US. If it breaks 2570 before the US session, hold until 2560-2545. Resistance: 2590 - 2600 - 2608 - 2612 - 2626 - 2645 Support: 2580 - 2571 - 2560 - 2545 SELL 2599 - 2601 Stoploss 2605 BUY 2567 - 2565. Stoploss 2561 BUY 2555 - 2553. Stoploss 2549
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
XAUUSD / TRADING BELOW RESISRTANCE TRENDLINEXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS overall trading under downward pressure , until trading ATH prices below 2,589$ . Prices remain under bearish pressure as long as they are trading below the all-time high (ATH) of $2,589. Sustained trading beneath this critical resistance level indicates a continued downward trend, with an expected decline first targeting $2,570. If the price breaks below this level, the next support could be found at $2,551. However, should the price break above the $2,589 resistance level, confirmed by a 4-hour candle close above this threshold, a bullish reversal is likely. In this scenario, the price may rise to test $2,600 as the next resistance level. Further upside potential could push prices higher, possibly reaching $2,620 if buying momentum strengthens. UPWARD TARGET : 2,600$ , 2,620$. DOWNWARD TARGET : 2,570$ , 2,551$.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ArinaKarayi
GBPUSD Analysis Week 38🌐Fundamental Analysis The GBP/USD pair attracted some dip buying on the first day of the new week amid relatively weak trading conditions due to holidays in China and Japan. The spot price is currently trading around the 1.3135-1.3140 region, up more than 0.10% on the day and still near a one-week high hit on Friday amid prevailing US dollar (USD) selling. The USD Index (DXY), which tracks the greenback against a basket of six currencies, is hovering near its yearly low set in August amid expectations of a more aggressive easing policy from the Federal Reserve (Fed). In addition, a generally positive risk tone further undermines the greenback’s relative safe-haven status. On the other hand, the British Pound (GBP) benefits from expectations that the Bank of England (BoE) will ease policy less than the Fed next year. However, the market is still betting on more BoE rate cuts, especially after data released last week showed a slowdown in UK wage growth and flat GDP for the second month in a row in July. This could deter bulls from placing strong bets on GBP/USD. 🕯Technical Analysis GBPUSD is approaching last week's peak resistance around 1.322. The early Asian session moves pushed the 1.311 support level into a solid session support as the price pushed back. Deeper Fibonacci retracement levels or the key Dow breakout have created two solid support zones for GBPUSD in the uptrend, namely the 1.299 and 1.290 support zones. 📈📉Trading Signals SELL GBPUSD 1.321-1.323 Stoploss 1.324 BUY GBPUSD 1.299 -1.297 Stoloss 1.295
by TVS-Trader
The first threshold surpassed 2,600 USD/ounce.Market are pivoting their interest to subsequent week`s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. This collecting is poised to be one of the year's maximum consequential, with full-size anticipation of the primary hobby price reduce on account that 2020. The consensus amongst analysts, economists, and marketplace observers is that a price discount is all however certain. markets are presently pricing in a 73% danger of a 25 bps reduce and a 27% danger of a 50 bps reduce, consistent with CME FedWatch. Early this week AngloGold Ashanti introduced it's far obtaining Egypt-targeted Centamin for $2.five billion in coins and stock. Anglogold dropped at the news, however recovered via way of means of the stop of the week.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
INJ: Scalping Long Setup | 13.09Hello Friends 😀 One of my favorite coins to scalp and definitely one I am eyeing to bid. Currently, we're seeing a bearish divergence on the RSI, which indicates a potential reversal. What makes this setup particularly interesting is the presence of an untapped daily POC (Point of Control) right at the level of the Fair Value Gap (FVG). This zone offers an attractive level to enter a position as it could serve as a solid support area. Additionally, the VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) could provide further support, potentially stabilizing the price around this level. The combination of the bearish divergence, the untapped POC, and the support from the VWAP makes this setup particularly compelling for a short-term trade.
Long
by stromm_by_wmc
Scalp $SEI: Long Setup | 13.09Hello Friends, I am back with another scalp. I will try to share as most of them in here as I can 🤝 -------------------- Entry: 0.29822 🎯 DCA: 0.29005 SL: 0.27974 Note: Got this long idea here on SEI which I want to bid with 2 entrys so I am DCAing this scalp. It is on the 2H chart with a little wider stop loss than the latest scalps but also a higher target so the RR isn't bad. We have build higher highs since 7 days on BITGET:SEIUSDT.P and it seems at if it would continue to do so and for the possibility of a wick lower I am placing the DCA bid. Please remember, the weekend is about to start and sometimes the prica action can become a little weird over the weekend.
Long
by stromm_by_wmc
EURUSD Analysis Week 38🌐Fundamental Analysis EUR/USD returned to the 1.1100 level on Friday, before market forces once again weighed on the Euro and sent Fiber back to its opening price. The pair failed to make a near-term technical recovery as traders turned their attention to the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate call next week. The European Central Bank (ECB) cut its benchmark interest rate, the deposit facility, by 25 basis points (bps) to 3.5% as expected. The ECB also cut the rate on its marginal lending facility and main refinancing operations by 60 bps. In her post-meeting press conference, ECB President Christine Lagarde refrained from hinting at the timing of the next rate cut. While the ECB event failed to boost the Euro, renewed selling pressure around the US Dollar (USD) helped the EUR/USD pair gain. On an annual basis, the US Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 1.7% in August, down from 2.1% in July and below market expectations of 1.8%. The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September rose above 40% following the data, according to CME's FedWatch Tool, triggering a sell-off in the USD. 🕯Technical Analysis After peaking around 1.110, a short-term downtrend channel has formed, the support of the downtrend channel remains at around 1.099 and 1.093. These two key support levels will keep the pair stable in the trend. On the other hand, if this short-term downtrend is broken, the 1.115 area will be a key resistance before looking to last month's high around 1.119. 📈📉Trading Signals SELL EURUSD zone 1.114-1.116 Stoploss 1.118 BUY EURUSD zone 1.099-1.097 Stoploss 1.095
by TVS-Trader
TSLA / UNDER BEARISH PRESSURE - 4HTSLA / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Currently, prices are trading below the turning level at 250, which indicates a potential for downward pressure. If prices remain below 250, it suggests a potential decline towards 214. Should prices stabilize below this level, further declines towards 194 could be expected. However, if prices break above 250, confirmed by a 1D or 4H candle close, the market may shift to an upward momentum, potentially reaching 264 and 277. Breaking the channel at these levels would indicate the activation of an upward trend zone. Turning Level : 250
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by ArinaKarayi
GBPUSD / TRADING BELOW SUPPLY ZONE - 4HGBPUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS currently prices trading below supply zone , it suggest under downward pressure. If the price remains under 1.319, it is likely to decrease to around 1.304, with a further potential drop to 1.293. For the price to increase and reach new historical highs. it must break through the supply zone and surpass the all-time high of 1.326. Achieving this would enable the price to rise to 1.333 and possibly even to 1.340. Turning Level : 1.319
Short
by ArinaKarayi
GBPJPY / TRADING UNDER DOWNWARD PRESSURE - 4HGBPJPY / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Current Market Analysis: Trading below the turning level at 188.478 and within a descending channel, indicating a bearish trend. Downward Conditions: As long as the price remains below 188.478, the trend suggests a potential decline , If the price continues to trade below 188.478, it may decline towards support levels at 183.218 and 180.212. Upward Conditions: A 4-hour candle close above 188.478 would signal a potential shift in momentum , If the price breaks above 188.478 and stabilizes, it could rise towards 191.993 and, further, to 196.534. TURNING LEVEL : 188.478
Short
by ArinaKarayi
USOIL / UNDER BULLISH PRESSURE - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS currently prices trading above turning level at 78.74 , overall under bullish pressure. In order for the price to reach 71.59, it first needs to establish a period of stabilization above two critical levels: 68.74 and 69.98. These levels act as key support zones, signaling strength in the market if maintained. Once stability is confirmed above 69.98, upward momentum is expected to build, pushing the price toward 71.59. If this bullish trend continues, the price may extend further, reaching the next target at 74.24. However, if the price fails to hold above 68.74, it indicates weakening bullish momentum, and the market may shift towards a downtrend. In this scenario, breaking the turning level at 68.74 could trigger a decline toward 65.35. A more pronounced drop could push the price even lower if this support level is breached. TURNING LEVEL : 68.74
TVC:USOILLong
by ArinaKarayi
3
NAS100USD / TRADING BELOW SUPPLY ZONE - 4H NAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS yesterday prices rising +225 pip profit currently trading below the resistance trend line may be rising into supply zone after decline to reach 19,187. As long as the price remains below 19,954, a decline is expected, with potential targets of 19,187 and subsequently 18,688. However, if the price breaks above 19,954, the trend is likely to shift upwards, initially aiming for 20,194 and potentially reaching as high as 20,714. TURNING LEVEL : 19,954
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by ArinaKarayi
1
XAUUSD / REACHED NEW HISTORICAL PEAKS - 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS as mentioned in the last chart stabilizing above 2,526$ rising and reach historical peak , reached + 240 pip profit . Currently, prices are trading above $2,531. As long as they remain above this level, an upward movement is expected towards $2,560 and $2,570. This rise is likely to continue as long as prices trade above $2,526 and $2,519. However, if the price breaks below $2,519, a decline is anticipated, with the first target being $2,507, followed by $2,491. TURNING LEVEL : 2,519$
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArinaKarayi
Gold Price Analysis September 13Fundamental Analysis Gold prices maintained modest intraday gains heading into the European session on Friday and are currently hovering near the $2,565-2,570 region, or record highs. A softer-than-expected US Producer Price Index (PPI) report released on Thursday provided further evidence of easing inflation and raised expectations of a larger rate cut from the Federal Reserve (Fed) next week. This was reinforced by a fresh drop in US Treasury yields, which dragged the US dollar (USD) to its lowest in more than a week and continued to act as a bullish driver for the non-yielding yellow metal. In addition, persistent geopolitical risks stemming from ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and the protracted war between Russia and Ukraine also provided additional support for safe-haven gold. This, in turn, confirms the overnight breakout through a multi-week trading range and supports the outlook for a short-term bullish move. Technical Analysis Profit-taking by some investors at the end of the Asian session pushed the price to 2563 and continued to push it up when the European session entered. Today's scenario is that gold retreats to the 2560 zone and does not break this zone until the middle of the European session, so we can buy back to the target zone of 2574-2580. In the direction of breaking through the 2560 zone, we will not sell retest but wait for the BUY zones of 2555 and 2545. BUY signals can hold TP far away at the present time because gold can completely create ATH in the near future Price zones to pay attention to according to the scenario: 2555-2545-2560-2575-2580.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
USOIL / TRADING SENSITIVE AREA - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS In the last chart as mentioned rising and reached +100 pip profit. Currently, prices are trading above 68.74. As long as they remain and stabilize above this level, a rise toward 69.98 is expected. To confirm an uptrend, prices need to break above 69.98, potentially reaching 71.59. On the downside, if prices stabilize below 68.74, a decline toward 65.35 is anticipated, and if they fall further below this level, they could reach 63.67. TURNING LEVEL : 68.74
TVC:USOILShort
by ArinaKarayi
NAS100USD / UNDER BULLISH PRESSURE - 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS after breaking a turning level NAS100USD remain under bullish pressure . After breaking a critical turning level at 19,088, the current price movement is attempting to reach the first resistance level at 19,535. If this level is surpassed, the next potential target is 19,844. However, if the price breaks below 19,088 on a 4-hour candle, a decline toward 18,688 is anticipated. Should the price stabilize below 18,688, further downside pressure could lead to a drop towards the next support level at 18,317. TURNING LEVEL : 19,088
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by ArinaKarayi
Gold Analysis September 12Fundamental Analysis Gold prices rose on an overnight rebound from the psychological $2,500 mark and gained some positive momentum on Thursday. Growing acceptance that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin its policy easing cycle and lower borrowing costs next week turned out to be a major factor acting as a boost for the non-yielding yellow metal. That said, bearish bets on a larger Fed rate cut at the end of the September 17-18 policy meeting have pushed the US Dollar (USD) closer to its monthly peak and should limit gains for the commodity. In addition, a generally positive tone around the equity markets is likely to undermine traditional safe-haven assets and deter traders from placing aggressive bullish bets around Gold prices. Furthermore, the recent range-bound price action and repeated failures to find acceptance above the $2,530-2,532 zone or the all-time high reached in August, make it prudent to wait for strong follow-through buying before positioning for further gains. Traders are now looking forward to the US Producer Price Index (PPI) for fresh impetus. Technical Analysis Gold prices pushed up to 2521 in the late Asian session and as the European session began, prices are being pushed back down. The area of ​​interest is the 2512 zone as prices failed to break through until mid-European session, then BUYing back up to 2528 before the US. Breaking 2528 holds until the 2555.xx peak. In the opposite direction when the 2512 zone is broken, wait for retest to sell to 2500 and 2595. In case gold does not push to 12 but flies away, sell again in the 2528-2530 zone. SELL 2543 - 2545 Stoploss 2549 BUY 2503 - 2501. Stoploss 2498 BUY 2496 - 2494. Stoploss 249
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TVS-Trader
Forecasts suggest that the Fed will decrease by 25 pointsTaking advantage of the opportunity is still there, says RJO Futures senior market strategist Bob Haberkorn. If the Fed decides to reduce it by 50 points, it would mean that the Central Bank of America is surrendering its ability to play. The results of the Reuters visit showed that most participating economists think the Fed will lower interest rates by 25 basis points at each of the remaining main meetings in 2024. The poll showed that only 9 of the 101 economists expect a half-percent cut next week. Independent metals trader Tai Wong said that the rise in core CPI has more or less reinforced the possibility that the Fed will proceed with a 25 basis point cut next week. Gold prices may have to wait a little longer to reach new record highs. 💎 TVC:GOLD Buy 2485 - 2487💎 ✔️TP1: 2500 ✔️TP2: 2510 ✔️TP3: OPEN 🚫SL: 2480 💎 TVC:GOLD Sell 2525 - 2527💎 ✔️TP1: 2510 ✔️TP2: 2490 ✔️TP3: OPEN 🚫SL: 2535
TVC:GOLDShort
by FalCol_TradingMaster
The market is now paying attention to some US producer pricesWorld gold prices reversed and decreased slightly with spot gold down 5.9 USD to 2,511.8 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at $2,540.30 an ounce, down $5.60 from the bright spot. Expectations for an interest rate cut at next week's main meeting decreased somewhat after the consumer price report put upward pressure on gold, causing the precious metal to lose 0.2% on the day. Accordingly, the latest report found that consumer prices in the US increased slightly in August, but underlying utilization remained stable, which may make the US Federal Reserve (Fed) unable to decided to reduce 50 basis points next week. 💎 OANDA:XAUUSD Buy 2485 - 2487💎 ✔️TP1: 2500 ✔️TP2: 2510 ✔️TP3: OPEN 🚫SL: 2480 💎 OANDA:XAUUSD Sell 2522 - 2525💎 ✔️TP1: 2510 ✔️TP2: 2500 ✔️TP3: OPEN 🚫SL: 2533
OANDA:XAUUSD
by FalCol_TradingMaster
XAUUSD / UNDER CPI PRESSURE - 4HXAUUSD - 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS USDJPY , is currently trading below the supply zone between 2,519$ and 2,526$ and remains below the resistance trendline, indicating downward momentum. There are two potential scenarios: First Scenario (CPI Higher than Expected) If the CPI reading comes in higher than expected, this typically indicates stronger inflation. In response, the market may anticipate the Federal Reserve tightening monetary policy, like raising interest rates. Higher rates strengthen the U.S. dollar and increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold , A higher CPI reading would be perceived as , In this case, gold could drop to 2,507$ , and potentially further down to 2,491$ , After this, stabilization is expected below this range, possibly reaching 2,472$ . Second Scenario (CPI Lower than Expected) If the CPI reading is lower than expected, it suggests that inflation is easing. This could lead to expectations that the Federal Reserve will pause or slow rate hikes, which could weaken the U.S. dollar and benefit gold, A lower CPI reading would be , The price could rise to 2,526$ , then 2,531$ , Above these levels, gold might reach a new historical peak at 2,551$. UPWARD TARGET : 2,526$ , 2,531$ , 2,551$. DOWNWARD TARGET : 2,507$ , 2,491$ , 2,472$.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ArinaKarayi
NAS100USD / TRADING INTO SENSITIVE AREA - 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Current Market Analysis: The current price is trading within a sensitive range, specifically between the support level at 18,688 and the resistance level at 19,088. The direction of future price movements will largely depend on a breakout on either side of this range. - Downward Condition: If the price breaks below 18,688 and stabilizes beneath this level, it may signal a potential decline. In this case, the price could drop to test the next support levels at 18,317 and 17,876. -Upward Condition: Conversely, if the price breaks above 19,088 and stabilizes above this resistance, it may indicate a bullish move. The price could then rise towards 19,535, and if momentum continues, it may further ascend to 19,844. Upward Target : 19,535 , 19,844. Downward Target : 18,317 , 17,876.
OANDA:NAS100USD
by ArinaKarayi