Tradingideas
XAUUSD / FURTHER DECLINE / OVERALL UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE / 4HXAUUSD / 4HTIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
. Current Downtrend: The price is currently in a downward movement.
Demand Zone (Support): The analysis identifies a demand zone between $2,565 and $2,551. A demand zone typically represents a price level where buying interest is strong, potentially causing the price to stabilize or increase.
Expectation if Stabilization Occurs , If the price stabilizes above this demand zone, it suggests a potential rebound , The price may then move upward to reach a supply zone between $2,618 and $2,618. (It seems this zone might have been mistyped, as it should likely be a range.)
Further Increase if Supply Zone Breaks , If the price closes above the supply zone with a 4-hour (4H) candle, this signals continued upward momentum , This could lead to an increase toward a higher supply zone between $2,732 and $2,749.
Further Decline if Demand Zone Breaks , If the price falls below the demand zone (between $2,565 and $2,551), this suggests a likely continuation of the downtrend, with further declines in price expected.
Gold trading strategy november 12Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices fell to $2,600, or a fresh one-month low, heading into Tuesday’s European session on continued buying of the US dollar (USD). Investors remained hopeful that US President-elect Donald Trump’s expected expansionary policies could boost economic growth and boost inflation, limiting the scope for the Federal Reserve to ease policy. This sent US Treasury yields higher, further supporting the greenback and dragging the non-yielding yellow metal lower for a third straight day.
It was also the fourth negative move in the past five days for safe-haven gold, which appeared unaffected by concerns that Trump’s protectionist stance could spark a trade war. It will now be interesting to see whether the shorts retain control or choose to reduce their bets ahead of speeches from a host of influential FOMC members, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell, on Thursday. In addition, US consumer inflation figures on Wednesday will be looked at for clues on the Fed's rate cut path and provide fresh impetus to XAU/USD.
Technical Analysis
Gold prices broke the last support zone of 2606 and headed towards the 2582-2580 zone. Waiting for gold to close below the 2606 area on m30 and SELL signals to be established towards the 268x zone. Waiting for the early US session if the front port zone around 2592 is broken, then hold the sell signal to 258x. If it fails to break 2592, close SELL BUY at the beginning of the short scalp session back to zone 06 and continue SELL to trade within the range.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
What a day in the markets today with another big drop following on from last weeks election move.
We observed today and watched our bearish side of the setups play out with 2682 being hit on market open followed with ema5 cross and lock opening 2657,which was also hit and then continued into 2638 and now the swing range. Both of these two levels were confirmed with candle body close confirmation, as ema5 was lagging due to momentum.
We are now seeing price in the swing range and looking for a reaction here. Failure to hold support here and we will switch to our 4h chart to track the extended range.
We will now patiently wait for the momentum to exhaust, so we can continue to stick with our long term trend and buy dips. We were looking forward to this correction for a while now, to enable us to get back in the wave.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2704
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2704 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2725
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2725 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2753
BEARISH TARGETS
2682 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2682 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2657 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2657 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2638 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2638 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE RANGE
SWING RANGE
2621 (DONE) - 2608
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD / TRADING DEMAND ZONE / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Time Frame and Initial Target , The analysis is based on a 4-hour (4H) chart, which is commonly used for short- to medium-term trading insights, A previous target was reached with a +550 pip profit due to a decline to the demand zone, implying successful movement in line with expectations.
Current Price Movement , Prices are trying to reach $2,605 in the demand zone , As long as prices remain above this level, there is potential for an increase, likely moving toward a supply zone between $2,687 and $2,708.
Possible Downside , If prices break below and stabilize under $2,605, this could signal a further decline to the next demand zone between $2,565 and $2,551.
Overall Market Pressure , The trend shows upward pressure, but breaking the demand zone between $2,565 and $2,551 could confirm a downtrend, indicating a bearish shift if support does not hold.
XAUUSD / UNDER DEMAND ZONE PRESSURE / 1HXAUUSD / 1H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
This analysis describes a potential price movement for gold within a 1-hour timeframe based on demand and supply zones:
The demand zone is identified between $2,643 and $2,659. The text suggests that if gold prices stabilize at or above this zone, it could signal an upward move.
If prices stabilize within or above the demand zone, they may rise to the supply zone, located between $2,688 and $2,703 , If prices surpass the supply zone, the next target level mentioned is $2,710.
If prices break below the demand zone (below $2,643), it could indicate a potential decline , In this case, target levels would be $2,618 and $2,605.
Gold remains around $2,675-$2,670 due to a stronger USD.Gold (XAU/USD) stays around $2,672-$2,670 as trading opens in Europe on Monday, continuing its recent downtrend from the October 31 record high. The USD remains slightly below last week's 4-month peak, driven by optimism over Trump’s economic policies, which are pressuring gold for the second consecutive day.
Investors expect Trump’s policies to boost growth and inflation while limiting strong Fed easing, keeping US Treasury yields high and pushing funds away from non-yielding gold. However, a mild risk sentiment may support gold as traders await US inflation data and Fed Chair Powell’s speech later this week.
Personal opinion:
A sell-off below last week's low around $2,643 could trigger further downside, potentially pushing gold towards the October range low at $2,605-$2,602. However, a rebound above $2,700 faces strong resistance near $2,718 and the $2,740-$2,745 zone. A break above these levels could signal the end of the correction and push gold towards $2,750 and the $2,758-$2,790 range, or even the record high from October 31.
Pay attention to the price range:
Buy Zone: 2656 - 2654
SL: 2649
Buy Zone: 2666 - 2664
SL: 2659
Sell Zone: 2687 - 2689
SL: 2694
XAUUSD / BREAKOUT THE SUPPORT TRENDLINE / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Target Achievement , The analysis mentions a prior target of +430 pip profit, with the price currently yielding a 1.58% rate. This suggests that an expected price decline has already occurred and reached a specific profit target.
Demand Zones , The current demand zone is between $2,659 and $2,649. If prices stabilize above or within this range, there may be an opportunity for prices to rebound and move towards a higher range , If prices break below this demand zone, a further decline is anticipated toward a lower demand zone between $2,618 and $2,604.
Supply Zones , If prices rise, the target supply zone is set between $2,687 and $2,710.
For an uptrend to be confirmed, prices would need to break and stabilize above this supply zone, indicating potential for further upward movement.
Overall Trend , Despite potential rebounds within the specified zones, the asset is noted as trading “under downward pressure,” suggesting an overall bearish outlook unless key supply or demand zones are broken in favor of a trend reversal.
US30 / TRADING INSIDE ASCENDING CHANNEL / 4HUS30 / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Price Trends:
Following Trump’s win, the US30 index rose by 4.90% , The index is now testing historical peak levels around 44,045, with a potential to reach 44,532 if the upward trend holds.
Technical Levels and Price Action:
The analysis suggests that if prices stay below a certain “ascending channel line,” it could indicate weakness, possibly leading to a decline , The first potential downside target is a “Fair Value Gap” (FVG) between 43,381 and 42,984 , If prices break this zone, further declines could target another FVG range between 42,716 and 42,335.
Trend Confirmation:
If the price remains below the second FVG zone, it might confirm a downtrend , Conversely, if it stays above these levels, it suggests potential for a continued increase.
Gold Analysis: Short Fibonacci ResistanceIn this 1-hour Gold chart (XAU/USD), we observe the price retesting a significant area around the 2687 level after a recent downtrend. Fibonacci retracement levels are applied to gauge potential retracement zones.
Entry Position: A potential short entry can be taken near the 2687 level, where price is facing resistance.
Take-Profit Target: The first profit target could be set around 2664, where the next support lies, aligning with a favorable risk-to-reward ratio.
Stop-Loss: Consider placing the stop-loss above the 0.5 Fibonacci level at 2699 to minimize risk if the price breaks higher.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price play between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2704 and a gap below at 2682. We will need to see ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2704
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2704 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2725
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2725 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2753
BEARISH TARGETS
2682
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2682 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2657
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2657 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2638
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2638 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE RANGE
SWING RANGE
2621 - 2608
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are seeing price lay between two weighted levels with a gap above at 2696 and a gap below at 2665, as weighted Goldturns and will need ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2694
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2694 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2724
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2724 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2754
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2754 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2784
BEARISH TARGETS
2665
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2665 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE RANGE
SWING RANGE
2640 - 2611
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX