EU bullish through the Asian SessionGood Morning traders!
Yesterday was a slightly choppier trading day, with a UK bank holiday. However things picked up later in the day once NY opened.
Looking at todays PA was have had great bullish momentum in the Asian session.
We are in both a 15min and 1hr buying range. However orders haven't been protected for this momentum to continue. A deeper pullback to the Asian lows and into the discount section of the buying ranges would offer and excellent place to get long with great RR before the high.
I have also marked a range above, this was never mitigated and should we push through the high would offer a logical spot to enter shot/TP
As always trade safe
EnvisionEJ
Trade Management
ETH stacked orders are food for whales!Good morning traders!
Yesterday was a choppy day for me in the FX markets and ETH continues to develop.
I have zoomed in the PA to give you a better look. The yellow markers are highs and lows stacked together.
To the average retail investor these show where price has turned and therefore and good spot to place a stoploss.
However to the big whales they see liquidity, plain and simple, places to fill orders either selling or buying.
The longer the orders stack the bigger the move will be....
As Always trade safe
EnvisionEJ
A fresh week and fresh PAGood morning traders!
Hope your weekend was good and your weekend reviews gave you insight into your trading last week.
Looking at todays PA I still think we need to wait for further development.
The large bullish move Friday left lots of imbalance behind and many unprotected orders.
On the Daily TF we have now broken the downtrend and have moved to a daily buy range, this signifies a return to bullish momentum in the market.
I will be waiting for further development before entering any trades.
As always Trade safe
EnvisionEJ.
Could the bearish daily trend be about to continue?Good morning traders!
I trust your week has been good thus far, yesterday offered some great trades with members of our team getting involved.
EURUSD is still in a daily selling range and we have now had a mitigation of the daily range marked up a for few forecasts ago.
Looking at the lower TF we are in a 1hr sell range and 4hr buying range.
Price is currently in the discount of the 4hr buying range. A sweep of the Asian lows and mitigation of the edge money range would offer a great spot for a long, alternatively a move back to the highs and a selloff would offer great selling opportunities.
Whatever does happen I will remain Neutral and trade the market in the moment.
As always, trade safe EnvisionEJ
BTC Decelerating into an unmitigated area.Good morning traders!
The BTC forecast remains the same as yesterday-are we reaching the top of the current run up?
Currently the signs are pointing to yes, we are decelerating into the back edge of the daily sell range.
Do I expect a deep pullback-define deep? A pullback to the area marked with the yellow circle would mark be a pullback to discount on the weekly along with a retest of a strong range which was never mitigated.
I do expect bullish momentum to continue after a pullback, again pushing for ATH.
As always trade safe.
EnvisionEJ
The only way forward to is anticipate many optionsGood Morning traders!
Todays forecast is fairly similar to yesterday, I will keep it short and sweet
We are still contained in the 4hr and 1hr sell ranges-price has simple ranged the past 2 days.
This means orders have been built in at current price so we should expect a move, when this will be, I can't say but I will be ready.
Looking at the current PA, a sweep of the Asian session highs into the unmitigated range roughly 10pips above current PA could give a great sell opportunity. Likewise the same sweep into the higher range would be excellent, but I find this less likely.
We have also built some liquidity under the current PA seen with the blue LQ line.
I wont be rushing into the markets today and will let price show its hand first.
As always happy trading
EnvisionEJ
Fighting the need to be right in the marketsIn most industrial countries the educational system was created not to truly teach students, but to generate good workers for factories and other companies. Yes, we want these highly trained individuals to be able to think critically and generate new ideas. However, we want them to be excellent employees who follow the boss's instructions. So, how do we do that? We do it through our educational process where children learn that the teacher is always right.
Children attend school for 12 to 16 years, and it is often reinforced that the instructor is always correct. For example, as a student, you are required to take tests. You learned that if you get fewer than 70% of the questions correct, you are a failure. "Why didn't you receive 100?" your father asks when you show it to him. So, your father expected you to be correct as well. As a result, we have a strong desire to be correct. If you don't get it correctly at least 70% of the time, you're labeled a failure. However, you want to be correct 100% of the time so that your father does not criticize you. As a result, you begin to criticize yourself first in order to solve the problem before your dad does.
Let's take that and apply it to the stock market, futures market, or any other investment you could make. You want to be correct, and that to you means making money. Let's assume you buy a stock for $100 and know how to establish a stop loss: if it drops below $95 per share, you'll sell.
Let's assume the price falls to $95 per share. You really want to be right, so you'd be wrong if you got out, or at least feel like you were. Your mind races with ideas such as, "It's simply a temporary setback." "Analysts expect a significant boost in earnings this quarter; I'm reluctant to sell at this time." "What if a few traders are manipulating the downturn?"
So you hang onto the stock and watch it fall even further. It drops to $90. Now you have a 2R loss. If it was hard to take a 1R loss, it’s even harder to take a 2R loss. And all the same, arguments apply. Thus, you hold onto your stock. Now the stock drops to $85 and you have a 3R loss. You know you really should get out, but now your portfolio is down $4k and you can really write off $3k in losses, so you’d better keep this stock. You know it will turn around.
Now you know why a psychologist and an economist won the Nobel Prize in economics for basically showing that it was very hard for people to take losses. People according to those Nobel prize winners become much more “tolerant of risk” when they are behind. The Nobel winners also showed that people tend to tolerate little risk when they are ahead, making it difficult to let profits run.
People tolerate risk more when they are behind (i.e won’t cut their losses) and tolerate risk less when they are ahead (i.e they won’t let their profits run).
So what can you do about your need to be right?
Instead of focusing on being right, focus on not making any mistakes, whereas a mistake occurs when you don’t follow your rules. Your rules should be the golden rules of trading (previous article material).
If you consider breaking these rules as being wrong (i.e., making a mistake), you’ll find that suddenly you can make money in the stock market or any other investment field.
In short, you must think in terms of probabilities and statistics. As a result, you can pay attention to just following your system, and making as few mistakes as possible, because when you do that, you “know” what your results will be in the long run (knowing the expectancy of your system).
Trade with care.
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Trade ManagmentLast nights price action is a perfect example of the importance of correct risk management. All 3 entries taken last night ran to roughly 3% and then reversed.
Due to correct risk management all 3 of these trades resulted in Break even results instead of full losses.
Finishing the night at break even instead of -3% is not a huge difference $ wise but also a massive difference mentally.
By closing 0.25% of your position at 3% profit you are essentially Break evening your trading while still leaving your stop open and 75% of the position still running.
Risk ManagmentLast nights price action is a perfect example of the importance of correct risk management. All 3 entries taken last night ran to roughly 3% and then reversed.
Due to correct risk management all 3 of these trades resulted in Break even results instead of full losses.
Finishing the night at break even instead of -3% is not a huge difference $ wise but also a massive difference mentally.
By closing 0.25% of your position at 3% profit you are essentially Break evening your trading while still leaving your stop open and 75% of the position still running.
Entry, Stop Loss, and Take ProfitComplete Top-Down Analysis from Daily timeframe to 30min timeframes. Discussed how to map support and resistance levels, break and retest strategy, how to use multiple timeframe confluence for entries, and how to manage trades. Trading is simple; psychology is hard. Always approach the markets from an analytical perspective.
EURUSD WATCHLIT Before taking positions in the direction of a trend, it is crucial to determine if the trend is gaining or losing strength. You need to make sure that you are only taking trades in trends that are strengthening, and not those that are weakening Volatility is a term used to refer to the fluctuations in price over time. The more price fluctuates, the higher the volatility is considered to be. With the tool below, you will be able to determine which pairs are the most volatile You can also see which are the most and least volatile hours of the week, days and months for specific pairs.
How To Trail Stop Loss Effectively | Capture All day's ActionMaximise your Day Trading Profits 5X | Apply this trade management system to hold trades all day without much effort
In this video I'm going to share with you a trade management idea which would allow you to trade and hold the trade from the start to the end of the day trading session.
The Chart I'm using is US30 / DOW30. The Time frame for day trading would be the five minute chart.
The idea is to make entries on the 5 minute chart and then use a few swings to add on.
This can become part of your Trade Plan and you can apply to any time frame or symbol of your choice. It's a great way to maximise your profits using nothing but the data provided by the market itself.
Price Action is surely The King!!! I bow....
📚 Creating A Trading Plan and Executing A Trade 📚As with all great trades, we require a trading plan. This is a perfect example of how to analyse, execute and manage your trade. See linked chart for the initial trade idea.
See below for a step by step guide on how we entered this trade and what we looked for.
Goodluck and trade safe!