EURUSD - Technical Analysis [Short Setup]🔹 EURUSD Analysis on 1HR chart
- The current Trend is BULLISH
- there is Bearish divergences
-Rising Wedge reversal pattern is form
🔹 Trade Plan
- Entry Level = 0.67295
- Stop Loss = 1.11500
- TP1 = 1.11030
- TP2 = 1.10790
🔹 Risk Management
- First TP is 1:1
- Second TP is 1:2
🔹 How to Take Trade?
- Only risk 2% of your portfolio
- Take 1% risk entry with 1:1 RR
- Take 1% risk entry with 1:2 RR
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Trade Management
EURUSD Analysis Week 38🌐Fundamental Analysis
EUR/USD returned to the 1.1100 level on Friday, before market forces once again weighed on the Euro and sent Fiber back to its opening price. The pair failed to make a near-term technical recovery as traders turned their attention to the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate call next week.
The European Central Bank (ECB) cut its benchmark interest rate, the deposit facility, by 25 basis points (bps) to 3.5% as expected. The ECB also cut the rate on its marginal lending facility and main refinancing operations by 60 bps. In her post-meeting press conference, ECB President Christine Lagarde refrained from hinting at the timing of the next rate cut. While the ECB event failed to boost the Euro, renewed selling pressure around the US Dollar (USD) helped the EUR/USD pair gain.
On an annual basis, the US Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 1.7% in August, down from 2.1% in July and below market expectations of 1.8%. The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 50 basis points in September rose above 40% following the data, according to CME's FedWatch Tool, triggering a sell-off in the USD.
🕯Technical Analysis
After peaking around 1.110, a short-term downtrend channel has formed, the support of the downtrend channel remains at around 1.099 and 1.093. These two key support levels will keep the pair stable in the trend. On the other hand, if this short-term downtrend is broken, the 1.115 area will be a key resistance before looking to last month's high around 1.119.
📈📉Trading Signals
SELL EURUSD zone 1.114-1.116 Stoploss 1.118
BUY EURUSD zone 1.099-1.097 Stoploss 1.095
Positional Trade Strategy for ICRA Ltd:
Entry Point: Enter the trade around the current price level of 6,446 INR or on a slight pullback towards the breakout level near 6,400 INR.
Stop Loss: Set a stop loss below the breakout zone to manage risk in case of a false breakout. A suitable stop loss could be around 6,200 INR, considering the previous support level just below the breakout point.
Target Price:
First Target: 6,800 INR - This is a conservative target based on the breakout strength and the stock's previous price action.
Second Target: 7,000 INR - A more aggressive target, taking into account the stock's potential to continue the uptrend with momentum from the breakout.
Time Horizon: Since this is a positional trade, the holding period could range from a few weeks to a couple of months, depending on how the price action develops.
Volume Confirmation: The breakout has occurred with decent volume, which is a positive sign. Continue to monitor volume levels; rising volumes on upward moves would confirm the breakout strength.
Risk Management: Use an appropriate position size based on your risk tolerance, considering the defined stop loss level.
Additional Considerations:
Keep an eye on broader market conditions and any specific news related to ICRA Ltd, as these can impact the stock's performance.
Watch for any retests of the breakout level, which can offer additional entry points if the breakout holds.
This strategy is based on the technical analysis of the breakout pattern shown in the chart. Adjustments should be made according to your risk management and investment objectives.
GOLD Buy Off 2504 S&RLast week NFP pushed the price further down than I had expected. I had missed the initial push-up, and fortunately, I canceled my buy order and went on standby. But as with recent developments, the sell failed to go lower, even with volume, so I decided to do a second attempt at the buy, at my earlier price level.
Gold Analysis September 9☘️Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices witnessed an intraday reversal from an all-time high and fell below the psychological $2,500 level after the release of key US monthly employment data on Friday. The mixed US employment report reduced the chances of the Federal Reserve (Fed) cutting interest rates by 50 basis points, which prompted some cover in the US dollar (USD) prices and weighed on the precious metal.
That said, concerns about a US recession dampened investors’ appetite for riskier assets and acted as a driver for safe-haven Gold prices. Additionally, the lack of progress in ceasefire talks between Israel and Hamas became another factor supporting XAU/USD during the Asian session on Monday. This warrants caution for bearish traders amid the prospect of an impending Fed rate cut cycle.
☘️Technical Analysis
Gold is below the 2500 round port level, in fact this port area is no longer strong enough to push gold prices lower. The area of interest in today's European session is around the 2507 Fibonacci 0.5 retracement zone and the 2512 Fibonacci final extension zone. These are two areas of interest for a SELL plan. When 2512 is broken, the downtrend on Friday is reversed. The main candle h4 is broken and ATH comes early this week, the expected level is 255x. The 2331 area is no longer valuable when gold pushes up. In the opposite direction, the 2470-2460 2433 area plays an important support role.
🌸Trading signal
SELL zone 2505 - 2507 Stoploss 2511
BUY zone 2484 - 2482 Stoploss 2479
BUY zone 2473 - 2471. Stoploss 2467
GBPUSD Trading SignalsGBP/USD consolidates near 1.3200 as focus shifts to NFP
GBP/USD trades in a narrow range slightly below 1.3200 in the European session on Friday. Market participants refrain from taking large positions as focus shifts to August Nonfarm Payrolls data from the US, which could influence the Fed's rate outlook.
BUY GBPUSD zone 1.316-1.314 SL 1.312
Trading signals GOLD september 3Support: 2485 – 2,471 USD
Resistance: 2,513 – 2,531 - 2550 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2551 - 2549⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2555
→Take Profit 1 2544
↨
→Take Profit 2 2539
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2512 - 2514⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2517
→Take Profit 1 2505
↨
→Take Profit 2 2495
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2484 - 2486⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2479
→Take Profit 1 2489
↨
→Take Profit 2 2494
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2470 - 2472⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2467
→Take Profit 1 2475
↨
→Take Profit 2 2494
⚡️Psychology, discipline and capital management are the three factors that make victory possible.⚡️
GBPUSD analysis week 36 🌐Fundamental Analysis
The British Pound (GBP) extended its two-day losing streak and hit a fresh intraday low below 1.3150 against the US Dollar (USD) in the North American session on Friday. The GBP/USD pair failed to gain as the US Dollar strengthened following the release of weaker-than-expected US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data for July. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the value of the Greenback against six major currencies, surged above 101.50.
The impact of PCE inflation data is traditionally high as it is the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure for making interest rate decisions. This time, the impact of core inflation data is expected to remain limited to market speculation on the Fed’s rate cut path this year.
Currently, financial market participants expect that the Fed will almost certainly start cutting interest rates in September. However, signs of rigidity in price pressures from PCE inflation data have reduced bets supporting the Fed to start a strong policy easing cycle.
📊Technical analysis
As analyzed last week, GBPUSD has retreated when it reached a strong resistance zone. The retreat may continue next week to attract buyers to push the price up further. In fact, GBPUSD is in a strong uptrend. On the D1 time frame, the EMA 34 is sloping up sharply compared to the EMA 89, indicating that the market structure is leaning towards the upside, the retreat is only pushing the price up in the near future. The nearest trading range is around 1,300-1,327. These are two strong resistance and support zones and also the price range where investors can enter orders. With a perfect retracement it is possible to push the price to the old peak around 1.342 and the strongest retracement is supported at 1.284.
Resistance: 1.327-1.342
Support: 1.300-1.284
🕯Trading Signals
SELL GBPUSD zone 1.327-1.329 Stoploss 1.331
BUY GBPUSD zone 1.300-1.298 Stoploss 1.296
Risk Management: The Key to Trading SuccessCut the Cord: A Trader's Survival Guide
How to Cut Losses Wisely: A Trader's Guide
Mastering the Exit: A Trader's Handbook
As a trader, it's inevitable to encounter losing trades. However, the key to success lies in how you manage these losses. By implementing effective strategies, you can minimize their impact and stay on track towards your financial goals.
1. Manage Your Risk:
Never risk more than you can afford to lose. Diversify your portfolio, spread your investments across different assets, and avoid over-leveraging. By managing your risk, you can protect your capital and prevent a single losing trade from causing significant damage.
2. Set Stop-Loss Orders:
Your stop-loss order acts as a safety net, protecting your capital from excessive losses. Determine a specific price point at which you'll exit a trade if it moves against you. This helps prevent emotional trading decisions and ensures you stay disciplined.
3. Consider Trailing Stop-Loss Orders:
A trailing stop-loss is a dynamic order that adjusts automatically as the price moves in your favor. It allows you to lock in profits while still protecting against potential losses. This can be a valuable tool for managing your positions effectively.
4. Stick to Your Trading Plan:
A well-defined trading plan is your roadmap to success. It outlines your strategies, risk management rules, and exit points. Adhering to your plan, even during challenging times, helps avoid impulsive decisions that can lead to further losses.
5. Stay Informed:
Keep up-to-date with market news, economic indicators, and industry trends. Understanding the factors driving price movements can help you anticipate potential risks and make informed decisions.
6. Cut Your Losses Quickly:
Don't hold onto losing trades in the hope that they will recover. Cut your losses promptly to minimize the damage and preserve your capital for future opportunities.
7. Learn from Your Mistakes:
Every losing trade is an opportunity to learn and improve. Analyze your trades, identify the reasons for the losses, and adjust your strategies accordingly. By learning from your mistakes, you can become a more successful trader.
8. Take Breaks:
Emotional fatigue can lead to poor decision-making. When you're feeling overwhelmed or stressed, take a break from trading to allow yourself time to recharge and regain perspective.
9. Seek Guidance:
If you're struggling to manage losses or unsure about your trading strategies, consider seeking advice from a mentor or professional trader. They can provide valuable insights and help you develop effective risk management techniques.
10. Maintain a Positive Mindset:
Trading can be emotionally challenging, but it's important to maintain a positive mindset. Focus on your long-term goals, learn from your setbacks, and believe in your ability to succeed.
Remember, losing trades are a natural part of trading. By adopting these strategies, you can effectively manage your losses, protect your capital, and increase your chances of long-term success.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Altcoins Leading the charge while BTC plays catch-up!Is everything we’ve learned about BTC leading the way while altcoins lag behind a lie?
Could altcoins be the secret service agent, sent from the future to show us the direction BTC will take?
And did the moon landing really ever happen?
On a more serious note, I noticed an interesting pattern when comparing the altcoin market cap to BTC’s market cap. Recently, it seems like altcoins have been leading the way, particularly when we observe how they’ve retraced to the moving average (MA) lines.
On a weekly timeframe, altcoins hit the 20MA line, with BTC following suit three weeks later. Altcoins then proceeded to reach the 50MA line, and BTC followed five weeks later.
Now, altcoins have hit the 200MA line and seem to be finding support there. At the same time, the BTC Dominance chart is facing significant resistance, suggesting a potential trend shift in dominance between alts and btc soon. This could align well with the observed pattern. While the next move for altcoins is uncertain, BTC may still need to drop and hit the 200MA line to continue following this trend.
The $44k area is also a critical zone where multiple former trend lines converge, potentially providing strong support and an opportunity for BTC to gather the liquidity it needs to resume its path toward $100k. Take a look at some of my previous BTC analysis charts to see what i'm talking about here and why the 44k area might be a good short term target.
Thanks for reading, good luck trading and make sure to follow for more!
X: @PuppyNakamoto
Forex Trade Management Strategies. Techniques For Beginners
I am going to reveal 4 trade management strategies that will change the way you trade forex.
These simple techniques are aimed to minimize your losses and maximize your gains.
1. Trading Without Take Profit
Once you spotted the market that is trading in a strong bullish or bearish trend, there is one tip that will help you to benefit from the entire movement.
If the market is bullish, and you buy it expecting a bullish trend continuation, consider trading WITHOUT take profit.
Take a look at USDJPY on an hourly time frame.
The market is trading in the bullish trend, and we see a strong trend-following signal - a bullish breakout of a current resistance .
After the violation, the price went up by more than 1000 pips, and of course, trading with a fixed target, most likely you would close the trade too soon.
The same trade management strategy can be applied in a bearish trend.
Above is a price action on GBPUSD. The pair is very bearish, and we see a strong bearish signal on an hourly time frame.
The market dropped by more than 1000 pips then, and of course, trading with the fixed take profit, you would miss that bearish rally, closing the trade earlier.
Even though the trends do not last forever, the markets may easily fall or grow sharply for weeks or even months and this technique will help you to cash out from the entire movement.
2. Stop Loss to Breakeven
Once you open a trading position and the market starts going in the desired direction, there is a simple strategy that will help you to protect your position from a sudden reversal.
Above is the real trade that we took with my students in my trading academy. We spotted a very bearish pattern on USDCAD and opened short position.
Initially we were right, and the market was going to our target.
BUT because of the surprising release of negative Canadian fundamental news, the market reversed suddenly, not being able to reach the target.
And that could be a losing trade BUT we managed to save our money.
What we did: we moved our stop loss to entry level, or to breakeven, before the release of the fundamentals.
Trade was closed on entry level and we lost 0 dollars.
Moving stop loss to entry saved me tens of thousands of dollars.
It is one of the simplest trade management techniques that you must apply.
3. Trailing Stop Loss
Once you managed to catch a strong movement, do not keep your stop loss intact.
As we already discussed, your first step will be to protect your position and move your stop loss to entry.
But what you can do next, you can apply trailing stop loss.
Above is a trend-following trade that we took with my students on GBPCHF.
Once the market started moving in the desired direction, we moved stop loss to breakeven.
As the market kept setting new highs, we trailed the stop loss and set it below the supports based on new higher lows.
We kept trailing the stop loss till the market reached the target.
Application of a trailing stop will help you to protect your profits, in case of a sudden change in the market sentiment and reversal.
4. Partial Closing
The last tip can be applied for trading and investing.
Remember that once you correctly predicted a rally, you can book partial profits, once the price is approaching some important historical levels or ahead of important fundamental releases.
Imagine that you bought 1 Bitcoin for 17000$.
Once a bullish market started, you can sell the portion of your BTC, once the price reaches significant key levels.
For example, 0.2 BTC on each level.
With such trade management technique, you will book profits while remaining in your position.
Even though, these techniques are very simple, only the few apply them. Try these trade management strategies and increase your gains and avoid losses!
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
GROKUSDT: At ITS SUPPORT, IMMINENT BOUNCE within DAYSHello All,
Welcome to the quick update of GROKUSDT.
Unfortunately, The last setup I posted for GROK didn't work and hit our STOPLOSS.
We saw GROK in a downtrend since last 1 week.
As of now, it is trading at its weekly support of around 0.0041 to 0.0044. This point may be a major support and can pump anytime soon.
Possible entry-exit points:
Entry: 0.00421 to 0.00462
Target: 0.00503, 0.00617 until 0.00711 in the long run.
STOPLOSS: 0.00367
Until then, stay tuned and trade with caution, ensuring strict STOPLOSSES!!
This is not financial advice, please do your research before investing, as we are not responsible for any of your losses or profits.
Please like, share, and comment on this idea if you liked it.
ScramblerG is always there to help and trade with caution but DYOR.
Jesse Livermore: Trading Lessons From an Iconic Trader● Jesse Livermore, a successful stock trader, built a fortune of $100 million in 1929. He operated independently, using his own capital and strategies. Livermore preferred trending stocks and used price patterns and volume analysis to decide trades.
● Livermore's Trading Principles
(1) Trade with the trend
A well-known saying is "The Trend Is Your Friend." Livermore preferred to trade stocks that were trending and avoided sideways market.
(2) Get confirmation before entering any trade
Hold off until the market shows clear signs before making a move. Being patient can lead to significant profits.
(3) Trade with a strict stop-loss
It is crucial to set a strict stop-loss for every trade, and it's important to know the stop-loss level before starting any trade. This approach can help a trader avoid significant losses.
(4) Trade the leading stocks from each sector
Livermore liked to trade stocks that were leaders in their industry. He thought this approach could increase his chances of winning.
(5) Avoid average down losing trades
He chose to exit the position rather than averaging it down.
(6) Avoid following too much stocks
It's quite challenging to monitor numerous stocks simultaneously. Focusing on a smaller number of stocks could lead to better trading opportunities.
When Platform Position Style Trades Go Momentum: FTAIThis platform position-style trade is starting to shift to a momentum or swing-style trade, which happens frequently with platforming trends. Above is a daily chart so you can see the shifting daily patterns from platforming to momentum.
The angle of ascent is getting steeper, which is best seen on a weekly chart, below. If you are holding this stock or others similar to this trend, it is time to shift gears to watch for speculative trading and other risk factors.
At some point the angle of ascent will be too steep to sustain the uptrend and you will need to plan how to manage the trade: take profits or hold? Is there potential for longer-term growth? If so, a profit stop must leave ample room for the stock to adjust out the big gains.
Here is WHY You Must Learn TRADE MANAGEMENT
Hey traders,
In this post, I will share with you my tips for trade management in Forex trading .
But first, let me elaborate on what is exactly a trade management .
Trade management is the set of rules and techniques applied for managing of an already active position.
Trade management is a very important element of any trading strategy that should never be neglected.
1. Never remove a stop loss
Being in a huge loss, many traders refuse to admit that they are wrong. Instead, watching how the price moves closer and closer to a stop loss, they remove stop loss hoping on a coming reversal.
The alternative situation may happen when the price is going sharply in the desired direction. Watching the increasing profits, traders remove a stop loss (and occasionally take profit), being afraid to miss bigger profits.
Both situations may lead to substantial, higher than initially planned losses. Driven by many factors, the market can easily burn all gains and move against the desired direction much longer than traders stay solvent.
Take a look at this long trade on Gold. When the price comes closer and closer to a stop loss, many traders can not take a psychological pressure and remove stop loss, being afraid to take the loss.
However, most of the time, stop loss will help you to limit your losses. You can see that after Gold reached stop loss, the price dropped much lower. Removing the stop loss, you would inquire bigger losses.
Never remove a stop loss. It must be always set.
2. Never modify your stop loss if a position is in loss
Watching how the price moves closer and closer to a stop loss is painful. Instead of removing stop loss, some traders move it and give the market more space for reversal.
Even though such a technique is safer than the complete stop loss removal, it is still a very bad habit.
Each stop loss adjustment increases the potential loss, not giving any guarantees that the market will reverse.
It is highly recommendable to keep your stop loss fixed and let the price hit it and admit the loss.
Above is one more example, why the earlier you close the trade in a loss, the better. Modifications and adjustment of your stop loss will most of the time lead to even bigger losses.
3. Know in advance your profit protection strategy
Where do you take your profit?
Do you have a fixed tp level or do you apply trailing stop?
You should always know the answers.
Coiling around take profit level but not being able to reach it, the price makes many traders manually close the trade or move take profit closer to current price levels.
Another common situation happens when the market so quickly reaches the desired TP level so the traders remove TP hoping to make bigger than initially planned profit.
Such emotional interventions negatively affect a long-term trading performance. TP removal may even burn all profits.
Do not let your greed intervene, and always follow your rules.
Above is the example of trade management rules in Forex trading. After GBPUSD reached a key support, a long position was opened from that. Once the price moves up by a certain distance, stop loss will be moved to entry. Take profit will be the closest key resistance.
4. Never add to a losing position
Watching how the price refuses to go in the intended direction and cutting a partial loss, many traders add to a losing trade in hopes that the market will reverse and all the losses will be recovered.
Again, such a fallacy usually leads to substantial losses.
Remember, you can add to a position only AFTER the market moved in the desired direction, not BEFORE.
Just imagine what could happen with your trading account, if you kept adding to a losing short position in a recent crazy bullish market on Gold.
5. Close the trades manually only following rules
Quite often, newbie traders manually close their trades because of some random factors:
they saw someone's opposite view, or they simply changed their mind.
Remember, that if you opened a trade following your trading plan, you should always have strict rules for a position manual close. Do not let random factors affect your trading.
Above is the example how you could easily miss a lot of pips on Gold, simply because the market temporarily stuck on some resistance.
Following these 5 simple tips, your trading will improve dramatically. Remember, that it is not enough to spot and accurate entry. Once you are in a trade, you should wisely manage that, following your plan.
How to Use Stop Loss Orders in Trading?Stop loss order is the order that automatically closes your trade once it reaches a specified price target. Learn all about it here.
Table of Contents:
🔹What Is a Stop Loss Order?
🔹Why Stop Loss Orders Matter?
🔹Setting Stop Loss Levels
🔹Types of Stop Loss Orders
🔹Adjusting Your Stop Loss Orders
🔹Summary
In trading, reducing risks is oftentimes all that matters to achieving success. One of the essential tools to protect your investments from steep or unexpected losses is the stop loss order. Understanding how to use stop loss orders can unlock your path to profitability by allowing you to balance your risk and reward ratio. In other words, with the right stop loss setup, you can shoot for asymmetrical risk returns by keeping your drawdown small and letting your profits run.
Let’s dive into the exciting world of trading and see how stop loss orders can be your greatest ally in trading.
📍 What Is a Stop Loss Order?
A stop loss order is an essential risk management tool used by traders to limit potential losses on a trade. By using a stop loss order, you instruct your broker to automatically sell the asset you’re holding when it reaches a predetermined price level that is below your purchase price, or entry.
A stop loss order allows you to control your losses and protect your investments so you don’t have to sit glued to the screen all the time.
📍 Why Stop Loss Orders Matter
Stop loss orders play a big role in risk management. These easy-to-set trading tools help traders stick to predefined risk tolerance levels by limiting the amount of money they are willing to lose on any given trade.
Without a stop loss order in place, traders may give in to emotional decision-making during periods of market volatility, leading to potential losses. If you have a hard time cutting your losses If you have a hard time cutting your losses when —ok, we get it, you're a bigshot— IF positions go against you, setting a stop loss when you enter the market will do the hard work for you.
➡️ Risk Management: One of the primary reasons stop loss orders are essential is because they help traders manage risk effectively. This is crucial in volatile markets where prices can fluctuate rapidly, as it prevents significant losses that could otherwise occur if trades were left unattended.
➡️ Emotional Control: Trading can evoke strong emotions such as fear and greed, which can lead to irrational decision-making. Without a stop loss order in place, traders may be tempted to hold onto losing positions in the hope that the market will reverse in their favor.
➡️ Peace of Mind: Knowing that there is a safety net in place can provide traders with peace of mind. Stop loss orders allow you to do your thing in the market without obsessively watching charts and tickers. Set your stop loss orders and focus on other aspects of your market study like catching up on the latest market-moving news and analysis .
➡️ Preventing Catastrophic Losses: In extreme market conditions, prices can experience sudden and significant declines. Without stop loss orders, traders risk experiencing catastrophic losses that could wipe out a significant portion of their capital.
➡️ Enforcing Discipline: Successful trading requires discipline and adherence to a well-defined trading plan. Stop loss orders help enforce discipline by striving to ensure that traders stick to their predetermined risk management rules. If trading is about discipline and consistency, then stop loss orders are the stepping stone to success.
📍 Setting Stop Loss Levels
Choosing the appropriate stop loss level is a critical aspect of using stop loss orders effectively. Traders should consider various factors, including their risk tolerance, investment objectives, market conditions, and the volatility of the asset being traded.
A common approach is to set the stop loss below a significant support level or a recent low in an uptrend (if you have a long position) and above a significant resistance level or a recent high in a downtrend (if you have a short position).
Example: Suppose you purchase shares of a company called X (not Elon Musk’s privately held X Corp., which he created by rebranding Twitter) at $50 per share. You estimate that a 5% decline in the stock price would indicate a potential trend reversal. Therefore, you set your stop loss order at $47.50 per share to limit your potential loss to 5% of your investment.
📍 Types of Stop Loss Orders
There are several types of stop loss orders that traders can utilize, each with its own special characteristics. The most common types include:
➡️ Market Stop Loss: a type of stop loss order that triggers a market order to sell the instrument at the prevailing market price once the stop loss level is reached.
➡️ Stop Limit: with a stop limit order, you have to deal with two types of prices. The first one is the price that will trigger a sell and the limit price. But instead of converting your order into a sell based on current market prices, you set a limit price.
➡️ Trailing Stop Loss: A trailing stop loss order is dynamically adjusted based on the movement of the instrument’s price. It allows traders to lock in profits while giving the trade room to move in their favor.
Example: You purchase shares of a big tech company at $100 per share, and the stock price then rises to $120 per share. You set a trailing stop loss order with a 10% trail. If the stock price declines by 10% from its peak, the trailing stop loss order will trigger, selling the shares at prevailing market prices.
📍 Adjusting Stop Loss Orders
While setting stop loss orders is essential, monitoring and adjusting them as market conditions evolve is equally important. Traders should regularly reassess their stop loss levels to account for changes in volatility, price action, and overall market sentiment. Additionally, as profits accumulate, trailing stop loss orders should be adjusted to protect gains and minimize potential losses.
📍 Summary
In conclusion, stop loss orders are one of the most essential and effective tools for traders seeking to manage risk and preserve and grow capital in the challenging world of trading. By understanding how to use stop loss orders effectively, you can rein in emotional decision-making, protect your investments, and increase your chances of long-term success.
Whether you're a novice or an experienced trader, integrating stop loss orders into your trading strategy is a smart approach to navigate the twists and turns of the financial markets. Remember, trading involves inherent risks, but with proper risk management techniques like stop loss orders, you can tilt the odds of success in your favor.
❓Do you use stop loss orders when trading? Which type ? Let us know in the comments ⬇️
What is the best XAUUSD trading strategy?When it comes to trading XAUUSD (Gold/US Dollar), there’s no one-size-fits-all strategy. The “best” approach is highly individual, depending on your trading style, risk tolerance, and personal preferences.
In this article, we will explore four popular trading strategies for XAUUSD:
Trend Trading
Breakout and Retest Trading
Swing Trading
Scalp Day Trading
We will consider strategy pros and cons, trader personality factors, highest potential yield, stop losses and other lifestyle factors.
📈 Trend Trading
The concept of this strategy involves identifying and following the prevailing trend in the XAUUSD market. Traders buy when the trend is upward (bullish) and sell or short-sell during a downward (bearish) trend. The main focus is to capture gains through large movements rather than small fluctuations.
Trend Trading uses technical indicators like moving averages, trendlines, or MACD to identify trends and enter trades.
Pros:
Following the dominant trend in XAUUSD can lead to significant profits, especially in strong, sustained market movements.
It’s relatively easier to identify and follow trends, making it suitable for both beginners and experienced traders.
By trading with the trend, traders potentially reduce their risk exposure.
Cons:
Trend traders might enter a trade after a trend has been established, potentially missing early profits.
Misidentifying a trend can lead to losses, especially in volatile markets.
This strategy requires patience, as holding positions for longer periods can lead to substantial drawdowns during retracements.
Suited personality: Ideal for patient individuals who are comfortable with holding XAUUSD positions for longer durations.
📈 Breakout and Retest Trading
For breakout and retesting, traders look for moments when XAUUSD price breaks out of its typical trading range or surpasses a significant resistance or support level.
This strategy capitalizes on the momentum that follows a breakout. A retest phase, where the price returns to the breakout point, often serves as the entry point.
Breakout and retest trading use chart patterns and volume indicators to identify potential breakouts and confirm their strength.
Pros:
Traders can capitalize on new trends early, potentially increasing profits.
This strategy provides clear signals for entry (breakout) and exit (retest failure).
It works well in various market conditions, especially during high volatility periods.
Cons:
Traders may encounter false signals, leading to premature entries and losses.
This strategy demands rapid responses to market changes, which can be stressful.
Setting stop-losses can be challenging, particularly in volatile markets.
Suited personality: Breakout and retest trading is best for decisive traders who can act quickly and are comfortable with a higher level of risk and uncertainty with Gold.
📈 Swing Trading
Swing traders hold positions in the XAUUSD market for several days or weeks to capture gains from short- to medium-term price movements or “swings.”
This approach balances between the longer-term view of trend trading and the short-term nature of day trading.
Swing trading uses a combination of technical analysis and a basic understanding of market fundamentals to identify potential swing opportunities.
Pros:
Requires less screen time than day trading, allowing for a more balanced lifestyle.
Swing traders take advantage of market “swings” or short-term trends, often leading to substantial gains.
Allows for diversification of trades over different time frames and assets.
Cons:
Positions might have to be held through periods of adverse market movements.
This strategy needs a good understanding of market fundamentals and technical analysis.
Holding positions overnight can expose traders to unexpected market events.
Suited personality: Ideal for gold traders who have the patience to wait for the right opportunity, and are comfortable with holding positions for several days.
📈 Scalp Trading
Scalping involves making numerous, rapid trades on small price changes in the XAUUSD market, accumulating profit from these minor fluctuations.
Scalp trades are held for a very short duration, often just minutes, and require quick decision-making and execution.
This strategy has a strong focus on liquidity, volatility, and using smaller time-frames like one-minute to fifteen-minute charts for precise entry and exit points.
Pros:
Scalpers can make numerous trades in a day, accumulating profits from small price movements.
Short holding periods reduce exposure to large market movements.
Offers an engaging and dynamic trading experience
Cons:
Requires constant market monitoring and quick decision-making throughout your trading period, however your trading period could be as little as 1 hour a day.
Risk to reward per trade are typically smaller as many scalping strategies aim for a 1:1 to 1:3 risk to reward
Suited personality: Scalping is best suited for people who can make quick, decisive moves. It’s most suitable for personalities who like to do highly focused work in small burst time periods and for traders who don’t want to hold positions overnight.
Which XAUUSD Strategy Gives The Highest Yield?
Determining which XAUUSD trading strategy can provide the highest yield and profits is a complex question and highly dependent on market conditions, the trader’s skill level, risk management, and the ability to consistently execute the strategy. However, we can explore theoretical scenarios for each trading style using a $10,000 trading account over a 6-month period, with each trade risking 1% from a stop loss. We will also consider the compounding effects of growing a trading account and trading Gold exclusively.
📈 Trend Trading
Yield Potential: Moderate to High
Trend trading can yield substantial returns over time, especially in strong, consistent market trends.
Scenario Example:
Assuming a conservative estimate of 3% profit per successful trade.
With 10 good trend-following trades over 6 months and compounding gains, the overall profit could be substantial.
However, the growth rate would be slower compared to scalp trading due to fewer trades and a longer holding period.
📈 Breakout and Retest Trading
Yield Potential: Moderate
This strategy can be profitable in volatile markets, but it may offer lower compounding effects due to fewer trades compared to scalping.
Scenario Example:
Assuming an average profit of 2% per successful trade and around 15 trades over 6 months.
The compounding effect would be present but less dramatic than scalping due to fewer trades and potentially more varied outcomes.
📈 Swing Trading
Yield Potential: Moderate
Swing trading can offer good returns, especially if large swings are captured, but the compounding effect is less pronounced due to the longer duration of trades.
Scenario Example:
With an average of 4% gain per successful trade and about 8 trades over 6 months.
The compounding effect would contribute to growth, but the overall yield would be less compared to scalp trading due to the lower number of trades and slower turnover of capital.
📈 Scalp Trading
Yield Potential: Very High
Scalping, with its high frequency and quick profit opportunities, offers the highest yield potential, especially when compounded.
Scenario Example:
Assume an average gain of 1.5% per trade, with 2 trades each day.
Trading 20 days a month, this results in 40 trades per month.
With compounding, each win adds more to the account balance, which then increases the amount risked (and potentially gained) in each subsequent trade.
Over 6 months, this compounding effect, coupled with a consistent win rate, could significantly amplify the initial $10,000 investment, potentially doubling it or more, depending on the exact win rate and consistency of the trader.
Considering all of the above strategies, scalp trading shows the highest potential for compounded yield due to its high frequency, larger per-trade gains and ongoing compounding effects. It also requires a high level of skill and consistency. Each XAUUSD trading style has its own risk-reward balance and compounding potential, and the choice should align with the trader’s capabilities, risk tolerance, and trading goals.
Stop Loss Considerations for XAUUSD Trading Strategies
These trading styles each have its unique characteristics that can influence the likelihood of hitting a stop loss. When a stop loss is hit, your current position is closed instantly, ending the trade, resulting a loss. Understanding these following factors is crucial for effective risk management and XAUUSD strategy selection.
📈 Trend Trading
Delayed Entry
Trend traders often enter a trade after a trend is established, which can increase the risk of a reversal hitting the stop loss.
Length of Trends
If a trend unexpectedly shortens or reverses, stop losses may be hit more frequently, especially in highly volatile markets.
Drawdowns During Retracements
Trends often have retracements. If the XAUUSD retracement is deeper than expected, it might hit the stop loss before resuming the trend.
📈 Breakout and Retest Trading
False Breakouts
A common risk in breakout trading is the occurrence of false breakouts, where the price breaks a key level but then quickly reverses, often hitting the stop loss.
Volatility Spikes
Around breakout points, volatility can spike, which can cause prices to fluctuate rapidly and hit stop losses unexpectedly.
Re-test Failure
If the price fails to re-test successfully and instead reverses quickly, it can lead to hitting the stop loss.
📈 Swing Trading
Overnight and Weekend Risk
XAUUSD swing trades are often held for several days, exposing them to overnight and weekend risks where gaps can occur, potentially hitting stop losses.
Market News and Events
Swing traders might be more exposed to the impact of scheduled economic events or unexpected news, which can cause sudden market moves.
Changing Market Sentiment
As swing trading involves a longer time frame, a shift in market sentiment or trend can lead to stop losses being hit before the anticipated move materializes.
📈 Scalp Trading
Rapid Price Fluctuations
Given the short time frame of XAUUSD scalp trades, rapid and unexpected price movements can easily hit tight stop losses.
Spread and Slippage
In scalp trading, the cost of the spread and potential slippage can be significant relative to the trade size, increasing the likelihood of hitting the stop loss. It’s important to trade with a broker with low spreads
Market Noise
Scalp trading is often affected by market noise (random price fluctuations), which can trigger stop losses more frequently compared to other styles.
Each trading style has its specific factors that can lead to the triggering of stop losses. Understanding these can help in refining stop loss placement, strategy selection, and overall risk management.
Best XAUUSD Strategies Based On The Trader
So we’ve finally made it to our key breakdowns and suggestions based on trader preferences. Based on the various aspects of XAUUSD trading strategies we’ve explored above, here are some suggestions tailored to different types of traders and objectives.
👤 What is the best XAUUSD trading strategy for beginners?
Trend trading is generally the most suitable for beginners. This style’s relative simplicity in identifying trends and its emphasis on patience and discipline provide a solid foundation for new traders. It allows beginners to understand market dynamics without the pressure of making rapid decisions.
This is not to say that beginner traders can’t start their trading journey with other strategies.
👤 What is the best XAUUSD trading strategy for advanced traders?
Scalp Trading is the most suited gold trading style for advanced traders. It requires quick decision-making, an in-depth understanding of market movements, and the ability to handle high-stress situations effectively. Advanced traders are typically better equipped to handle the fast movements of scalp trading, including the rigorous discipline and risk management it entails.
Scalp trading XAUUSD often becomes the natural progression of a gold trader.
👤 What is the best XAUUSD trading strategy for the highest potential yield?
When executed effectively, scalp trading offers the highest potential yield. It capitalizes on small, frequent price movements, allowing skilled traders to accumulate gains rapidly. However, it’s important to note that this high potential yield comes with increased risk and requires a significant amount of skill, experience, and psychological fortitude.
👤 What is the best XAUUSD trading strategy for people who want structure in their day?
Scalp trading can provide a structured trading day due to its high-frequency nature. It requires a trader to be active and focused during specific market hours. If you prefer a structured environment, and want to “work” only during certain hours and in short bursts, scalp trading offers this consistency. This can also provide freedom off the charts outside of your main scalping hours.
👤 Best XAUUSD trading strategy for people who want freedom away from screens?
For individuals seeking more freedom and less time glued to the screen, swing trading is suitable. It doesn’t require constant market monitoring and allows for trades to be held over several days or weeks. This approach provides more flexibility and free time, fitting well for those who value a less intense trading lifestyle. The downside is that there are far less trades meaning you could experience weeks or months with no profits, and also illiquid access to any profits made.
Scalping is a second alternative for freedom away from screens, especially for scalpers who aim to make 1 to 2 trades a day over a short time period then spend the rest of their day doing non-trading related activities.
📈 Best Overall XAUUSD Trading Strategy
Scalp trading stands out to us as the best XAUUSD trading strategy for these reasons:
Highest potential yield based on compounding gains
Ideal for both advanced traders and beginners (who are committed to learning)
Ideal for structure of your day and trading during specific hours
Ideal for traders seeking freedom outside of their screens by not holding on to open positions while they are away from their screens
Ideal for full-time job salary replacement in terms of liquid access to profits due to more frequent trades (Of course, this is performance dependent!)
For traders who have the necessary skills, discipline, and experience, scalp trading can be extremely rewarding and profitable. It offers a dynamic trading environment and the potential for high returns.
If you’re looking to scalp gold, it’s crucial that we emphasize that it requires a high level of education and mentorship before you commence scalping. Beginners are advised to start with the right foundations which we can teach you and provide a solid and stable learning curve to your scalping journey.
AUDCAD LONG Trade ManagementI am currently long AUDCAD with +480 pips across two lots. Price has reached an untested supply zone and is also up against a 78.6 fib extension and 50.0 fib retracement level. I am going to go ahead and scale down my positions, take profit and move my stops to trail from break even. Short, medium, and long term indicators support both a strengthening Aussie and Canadian dollar, which can be a little tricky to navigate. In a perfect world you want to see one strong and/or strengthening currency against a weak and/or weakening. Thus I think it prudent to go ahead and take some dinero off the table.
🥶 FACT: Most traders quit year one. Hmm, but why? 🤔You all heard the statistic, "gambling is more profitable than trading - 13 out of 100 gamblers leave the casino with gains compared to 1 out of 100 traders". Yeah yeah. Nice story. Now tell us the real story. The market is not a casino. Don't compare. What about the thousands of traders making consistent gains?
It's a FACT that most traders quit their trading "hobby" or "career" within their first year of trading.
But what's ALSO a FACT is most traders:
Don't take profits when they see them (keep holding for more).
Go too heavy on a single trade.
Go all in on a single trade.
HODL for glory, even when they're super green on a trade.
Are too bullish/ bearish and turn a blind eye to the other bias.
Are over-speculating all the time (i.e. " NASDAQ:AMD 120 tomorrow. All in calls"
Trade without a chart.
Have no risk management.
Don't follow their own rules.
Have no trading strategy.
One cannot state the first "fact" without stating the other; the real reason. Otherwise, that's a shallow statistic. That's like looking at a 15 min chart and not realizing that each candle is constructed of 1,000+ mini candles.
Here's a 15 min NASDAQ:AMZN chart:
Here's the same chart in 15 second candles:
Zooming in to the chart gives you a clearer picture. Digging deep into the "quitting" traders' psychology, you'll get the answer. Also, I wouldn't say they quit. It's possible that the energy they were putting in wasn't paying off, and they didn't want to waste their time any further.
Treat your trading like a job. Be strict. You see quick +20% profit? Take it. But you believe it's going higher? Still take it. Find another trade. Baby gains add up!
Most traders who got burned on NYSE:AMC NYSE:GME , kept HODLing.
This is coming from someone who bought NYSE:AMC at $2.13 pre-split in 2021 and sold around $25 and $70:
ACHIEVING SUPER GAINS WILL RUIN YOUR MENTALITY!
You will start treating the market like a casino.
You will stop appreciating the smaller 20 to 40% gainers that you can do once per day or week.
You will see yourself starting to go heavy because you "believe" that "this is the next banger".
To avoid all this headache, build a strategy slowly over time, use the right tools to plan your trade, find a community to trade with, use proven strategies (i.e. support/ res, supply/ demand, patterns), go light in your first 1,000 trades, and so on. Happy to help if you have any questions below.
Follow for more insight and for live trade swing & day-trade ideas! Good luck trading! Trade safe and don't go all in.
Baby gains add up.
High vs Low in Time-frame Decisions🕒🚀🕒 Big Timeframes: Imagine looking at a painting from a distance – that's the essence of big timeframes. Daily, weekly, and monthly charts offer a broader view of an asset's performance over extended periods. They help you identify long-term trends and major price movements.
📊 Small Timeframes: Now, picture examining a single brushstroke – that's small timeframes. Hourly and minute charts provide granular details of short-term price action. They're useful for spotting quick trading opportunities and assessing market sentiment in the moment.
💡 Investment Approach: When it comes to investing, consider your goals and risk tolerance. Big timeframes are great for long-term investors who prioritize stability and are willing to ride out market fluctuations. Small timeframes suit traders looking to capitalize on short-term price movements.
🚀 Finding Balance: There's no one-size-fits-all answer. Many investors use a combination of both big and small timeframes. Large timeframes provide context, while small timeframes offer insights into entry and exit points.
So, what's the takeaway from this timeframe comparison? 📈 It's about understanding that different timeframes offer unique insights. Whether you're a patient investor or an active trader, the key is to align your timeframe with your investment strategy.
Stay curious, stay adaptable, and remember – the art of investing involves choosing the canvas that best suits your artistic vision! 🎨🚀
⚖️ How Much You Need To Recover LossesWhen an investment's value fluctuates, the amount of money required to bring it back to its initial value is equal to the amount of change, but with the opposite sign. When expressed as a percentage, the gain and loss percentages will be different. This is because the same dollar amount is being calculated as a percentage of two different initial amounts.
📌The formula is expressed as a change from the initial value to the final value.
Percentage change = ( Final value − Initial value ) / Initial value ∗ 100
Examples:
🔹 With a loss of 10%, one needs a gain of about 11% to recover. (A market correction)
🔹 With a loss of 20%, one needs a gain of 25% to recover. (A bear market)
🔹 With a loss of 30%, one needs a gain of about 43% to recover.
🔹 With a loss of 40%, one needs a gain of about 67% to recover.
🔹 With a loss of 50%, one needs a gain of 100% to recover.
(If you lose half your money you need to double what you have left to get back to even.)
🔹 With a loss of 100%, you are starting over from zero. And remember, anything multiplied by zero is still zero.
As the plot graph showcased on the idea, after a percentage loss, the plot shows that you always need a larger percentage increase to come back to the same value
To understand this, we can look at the following example:
$1,000 = starting value
$ 900 = $1,000 - (10% of $1,000), a drop of 10%
$ 990 = $ 900 + (10% of $900), followed by a gain of 10%
The ending value of $990 is less than the starting value of $1,000.
🧠 Psychological Aspect:
Investors should be able to mentally admit that they have incurred a loss, which is expected in trading. The investor should give some time to heal the process and only keep a close watch on the market situation. Huge losses incurred might disrupt the decision-making skill and stop trading for a few days until the confidence is regained. There should be the right focus to approach the right opportunities, and there should not be any regrets of any loss during trading.
👤 @QuantVue
📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators
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Target reached! GBPUSD ReviewPrice bounced off the 1.2683 support we identified and rose nicely to our take profit target at the 1.2832 level. In this review, we touch on why we used the 1.2832 level and not the swing high at 1.2850 - a lot of this is down to trade management and take profit placement.
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