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Trade Management

STAR TREK CAPTAIN JEAN-LUC PICARDCaptian Jean-Luc Picard is a character from the series Star Trek. He is many Star Trek fans favorite Captain because of his combination of class, wisdom and wit. This particular statement was spoken to the Android Data who was failing in his attempts to be more human. Tim has found this encapsulated his early trading experiences to a tee. Early in Tim's attempts to be a profitable trader he traded index futures. He had his strategy and was paper trading. He would get four or five winning trades in a row. He felt he knew what he was doing and felt he was ready to try real money. So the next trade setup he took on his real money account and lost, so he returned to paper trading. This cycle repeated itself several times. Losers are part of the statistical game in trading. If he stuck to the real money account those paper winning trades would have been real money winners. These winners would have easily offset the losers. The whole time he felt he was making mistakes. If he did it right it should have been a winner. Understand this, you can get all the rules right and still lose a trade. That's ok, that's life. That's trading. Trading is never a sure thing, it's always about statistic and probability. Just because you had a loser doesn't mean tht you did something wrong. Just because you had a winner doesn't mean you did everything right either. The important thing is to follow your strategy rules, your trade management rules, your risk management rules. If you followed all your rules then you did it right, winner or loser. Trading Maxim's help control your emotional impulses and keep you on the straight and narrow path. A maxim is a general truth fundamental principle, a rule of conduct or a proverbial saying. The purpose of Tim's Maxim's is to motivate you to discipline and trading as well as other areas of your life. We suggest that you start your own list of Maxim's. Things you can say to yourself while you are trading or doing life to make sure you always do the right thing. Feel free to borrow from Tim's list.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Tradingstrategyguides
BEING PREPARED & PATIENT YIELDS RESULTS*DISCLAIMER: NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE BUT WHAT WORKS FOR ME* This post is to highlight though we are in a bearish market there are still good opportunities to make great gains if you're prepared and patient. I rarely make intra-day trades when gains are far greater if you can weed out the chop and stay focused on the bigger picture. I.E. in the last 30 days I've been able to achive 40% gains in my active trading portfolio *(excluding hodl, savings, other investment accounts)* using leverage and hodl'n positions 5-15 days. We've seen a 33%ish drop in $BTC price and I was able to capitalize on 21%, I consider the other 9-13% to be educational tax, with a win loss rate of 20:1 (I consider this very fortunate and the trend mainly moved short). *Variety is absolute key, don't put all your eggs in one basket but also don't spread yourself too thin.* This has been achieved through the following steps: Trading plans for both scenarios before entering a position Trading Logs, Record EVERYTHING. The data will uncover trends in your own trading. Trade Management Trading with the trend Many many more but these are the big guys ... A very interesting positions here, we've broke downward of a major trend line (in red) and the neck of the head and shoulders developed by 9k-14k prices on the daily and weekly charts. Looking at the 4hr we've also built a quick inverse head and shoulders just under the red trend line. Lots of contradicting signals here today so I've devised both bullish and bearish scenarios. I suspect the 9MA/18MA on the daily moving into current price action could be the time-frame triggers BULLISH SIGNALS: Bullish divergence on the daily RSI, Price action bottoming out on it's bearish channel, and the 4hr inverse head and shoulders could be a small signal. ENTRY TRIGGERS: Price breaking LONG and a daily close ABOVE 7500 FIRST TROUBLE AREA: 8000 TARGET: 8500 13% MOVE STOP-LOSS: 7300ish PRICE ACTION DEPENDENT BEARISH SIGNALS: Possible weekly close under major trend (In RED) which is now also .618 FIB off the 20K ATH, Major trend being bearish ENTRY TRIGGERS: Price breaking SHORT and a daily close BELOW 6800 FIRST TROUBLE AREA: 6500 TARGET: 6100 and BELOW 12+% MOVE STOP-LOSS: 7000ish PRICE ACTION DEPENDENT At the end of the day I remain long term bearish with the trend, just too risky atm to confirm a bearish move is to follow.
BITFINEX:BTCUSDShort
by SHITSHILLER
Algorithm Builder - INDICES - SPX500 - Review Oct 18th, 2019Hello traders I. Daily tutorial publishing challenge officially begins Starting today, I'll be publishing every night what were the setups given by the Algorithm Builder Indices . ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You'll find more information about that script in this script signature. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- II. Wisdom of the day Last Friday was the Triple witching hour day. That is the day where the US contracts come to expiration on the US market - this event happens once a month. Hopefully, only once a month, because this day is often particularly hard for traders to trade. Those days are the expiration of three kinds of securities: 1. Stock market index futures; 2. Stock market index options; 3. Stock options. The simultaneous expirations generally increases the trading volume of options, futures and the underlying stocks, and occasionally increases volatility of prices of related securities. III. Why a 1-minute chart? The indicator won't give more than 3/5 trades per day even. This is not a scalping trading method, it's intraday and based on smoothed indicators for entering in a strong trend only. Those are the most secure trades possible because: - the Algo Builder waits for a strong confirmation and will avoid the fakeouts - the 1 minute allows to enter very early. This point is crucial. We made it so that to enter early but with a minimum of security. IV. SPX500 - Signals of the day 2.1 Morning trade 1. 8:45 am We had a difficult move to take because in front of multi-timeframes resistances. and US stocks opening 45 min later. What I usually do, is to wait for a pullback near the EMA 20 which has a few huge benefits: - generally gets me a better entry price (lower for a long, higher for a short) - reduce the distance between my entry price and stop-loss - hence reducing the risk of the trade The Algorithm Builder - INDICES calculates the stop-loss internally, based on the price where the signal appears 2. 10:12 am and 11:45 am The IDEAL scenario for the Algorithm Builder. Leading trend is red, short signal, no supports near, a great setup with a decent risk-to-reward ratio. When we're in the same direction as the leading trend and the next algorithmic SMAs are a bit far, those are the moments where I know that my reward is far greater than my risk. Would I overleverage or increase my position size drastically anyway knowing this is the Triple witching hour day? Maybe not :) The three morning trades gave about 270 pips 2.2 Afternoon trades 1. 1:05 pm We now see a BUY against the leading trend in red. Which means, the trend is not too strong to go crazy yet. The method tells to wait for a pullback near the EMA 20 to enter with more security 2. 3 pm In the same direction as the leading trend but in front of MTF resistances. Even waiting for a pullback allowed to grab the last 30 pips of the day To quote Ice Cube - it was a good day :) All the best, Dave
FX:SPX500Education
by Daveatt
Algorithm Builder - INDICES - DOW JONES - Review Oct 18th, 2019Hello traders I. Daily tutorial publishing challenge officially begins Starting today, I'll be publishing every night what were the setups given by the Algorithm Builder Indices . ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- You'll find more information about that script in this script signature. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- II. Wisdom of the day Last Friday was the Triple witching hour day. That is the day where the US contracts come to expiration on the US market - this event happens once a month. Hopefully, only once a month, because this day is often particularly hard for traders to trade. Those days are the expiration of three kinds of securities: 1. Stock market index futures; 2. Stock market index options; 3. Stock options. The simultaneous expirations generally increases the trading volume of options, futures and the underlying stocks, and occasionally increases volatility of prices of related securities. III. Signals of the day 2.1 Morning trade We had a difficult move to take because in front of multi-timeframes resistances. What I usually do, is to wait for a pullback near the EMA 20 which has a few huge benefits: - generally gets me a better entry price (lower for a long, higher for a short) - reduce the distance between my entry price and stop-loss - hence reducing the risk of the trade The Algorithm Builder - INDICES calculates the stop-loss internally, based on the price where the signal appears 2.2 Afternoon trades 1. 8:45 am The first SHORT was given against the leading trend. Around 2:45 pm the background is green, meaning the leading trend is still bullish but as we got a short trade, we had to take it. Plus we were just below a ton of supports which tells us that a pullback near the EMA 20 is really required. Before getting invalidated by the brown vertical bar, we had an 84 pips opportunity . It's usually a good practice to set the stop-loss to breakeven or exit completely a position before the opening at 9:30 am. We often see violent and unpredictable wicks a few minutes before and after the US stocks open. 2. 4:05 pm (UTC+2) The IDEAL scenario for the Algorithm Builder. Leading trend is red, short signal, no supports near, a great setup with a decent risk-to-reward ratio. When we're in the same direction as the leading trend and the next algorithmic SMAs are a bit far, those are the moments where I know that my reward is far greater than my risk. Would I overleverage or increase my position size drastically anyway knowing this is the Triple witching hour day? Maybe not :) Maybe I should have (kidding) :( ... it was a 162 pips move :) All the best, Dave
FX:US30Education
by Daveatt
Journal analysis: Looking at my past gamblesOnly 1 way to get anywhere... Time to look at some trades I posted, going to focus mostly on the exit. Most important part, that's when you make (or lose) money. There are a couple of ideas marked "short/long" on 3D & W charts, these are not trades I took or intended on taking, it's a general bias idea. Maybe I should not tag "long" and "short" so they are more easy to filter... 05 September: CHFJPY Original idea: Outcome: A loser, and didn't miss much. Lots of buying pressure. The reversal area was correctly identified thought. Not much to trail here... 10 September: EURJPY Original idea: Outcome: Kinda repeated what I did on CHFJPY... 12 September: Gold Original idea: Had 11 losers in a row, was aiming for 12. Get ready to get big losing streaks if you go for RR of 5, 10+. Outcome: I am keeping it in the back of my head, but I don't think there is much to learn from that specific trade. More generally there is something to learn, that when the recession is looking close, and there is an uptrend and great news catalysts, and on the weekly/monthly chart we broke out of accumulation and are going up; then buys are a good idea. 12 September: USDCHF Original idea: "Watch me end my losing spree live" Normally I won't post a trade way after I entered and it went my way, but this was ending my lose spree I wanted to... Outcome: Conclusion: Well don't try running winners in choppy markets (if you even can trade them). Nothing much else... 16 September: NatGas Original idea: Outcome: Not sure how to explain that one without swearing. I'll use a little monkey emoji instead. Need to look at Oil: Of course in this case, EMAs cannot be used to trail... It makes no sense... It did not go much higher and went way down. I can't see H4 & H1. Probably would end up a 5R to 10R. There is alot of fear and uncertainty in these events, possible price just has some wild sudden moves in 1 direction. So ye, no opportunity for a very large winner, but still a great 5R in 5 days with what I think are high odds. 18 September: USDMXN Original idea: Outcome: I got kicked out early, as price was retracing alot several times before the rising wedge broke bullish. Only got 1R out... If I waited for 3 or 4 R before trailing my stop I'd catch the move. Was hard to stay in this one I find, but maybe I should risk it, and wait for at least 3-4 R before trailing my stop. Usually I do... 18 September: Dow Jones & Dax Original idea: Uh, another winner, I did not take the shot thought. Hmmm ok great. Had a winner that would have almost entirely paid for my entire losing spree by itself (if I managed it perfectly and also went into the right indice which would not have happened). Bummer. Had alot of winners at around the same time during that period I remember, then back to lose spree ^^. ---- Checking my log I had 15 trades that were trades I lost, missed, broke even, small winners. But mostly losses ;) Going to fast forward or this post will never end. - 1 exception I want to look at thought, from this idea: Lost on GBPCHF, went the other way, then in an update Imentionned I went short GBPJPY Stopped at the top then it went my way, very much. Pretty fun. Also going to skip those recent yen pairs. USDJPY going down of course ahah. CHFJPY and EURJPY, same as on the 5 september. I shorted vertical candles. No waves, just a straight candle. And lost. Again. I want to look at a complicated BitconnectCoin trade a while ago... Shorting Bitcoin is not rewarding. Bears should be buyers too. I don't recommend shorting it honestly, expect when it breaks down vertically, very short term trades. I keep repeating this lol. For 1 year now. No one ever listens so I'll keep repeating it. It moves exponentially... So obvious. Bulls think they have discovered something... So obvious it hurts. What to learn here is (apart from that pennants work wonders), just set a buy order on a predetermined price, and it will get filled by a vertical candle... Have to short on Bitmex as a hedge or (*0) to be flat... Really sucks. Have to be around the PC. (Because bitmex is all in btc not stable currencies). OR use Kraken/etc buuut if you use leverage and your stop gets ignored, go enjoy. Great, by analysing Bitcoin, I have convinced myself once again that it sucked and I didn't like it. Not on my timeframes. 09 October: EURGBP & GBPNZD Original idea: Outcome: No central bank meeting/release all week. Is giving back 1-2 R on most winners to get 20R once in a while worth it? YES! Well has to happen at least 10% of the time... Those 20R are just insane. Arrr I feel like a pirate. Because I found a treasure. Staying in a winner, nothing feels better. You just need 1 big winner and you are so done. On higher timeframes think about the people that bought Bitcoin here and stayed in until perfect exit: Say they're a long term trader. Let's try finding something that makes some sense. Another example: Well in general I have a whole lot of small losers, really tons of those, a few small winners (they are pointless, I need to keep trying to have as little of those as possible they really are pointless), a few ~5R, and the 10-20 or even more R is super rare but the rare time it happens my account takes a huge leap. Worth giving up some on 5Rs to get these huge winners once in a while. 5Rs almost feel as "meh" "they're just small winners that cancel themselves out with the losers".
by MrRenev
EXPN, Experian plc - Trailing Stop on Experian plcLSE:EXPN You have to understand that even if most of the time your trade turns against you, when the trend moves in your favour, you have to manage your position disciplinarily. Look in this trade as in the first operation we have succeeded in doubling the value of our position realizing exactly a good 200% on the allocated, and in the second operation we are still long currently with a profit not yet realized of 1000% and protected in case the trend begins a reversal or we suffered a heavy retracement. If these were my only two trades to profit in the last ten, so would be the situation of my profits/losses: 2 profit trades = (1*200%) + (1*1000%) - 8 trades at a loss = 8*100% = 1200% - 800% = 400% on allocated capital This is perfect position management.
LSE:EXPNLong
by SwissTradingSchool
How to connect your indicator with the Trade ManagerHi everyone On Today's tutorial, I wanted to highlight how you can upgrade your own indicator to work with the Trade Manager Let's take the dummy example of the double MM cross Step 1 - Update your indicator Somewhere in the code you'll have a LONG and a SHORT condition. If not, please go back to study trading for noobs (I'm kidding !!!) So it should look to something similar macrossover = crossover(MA1, MA2) macrossunder = crossunder(MA1, MA2) What you will need to add at the very end of your script is a Signal plot that will be captured by the Trade Manager. This will give us : // Signal plot to be used as external // if crossover, sends 1, otherwise sends -1 Signal = macrossover ? 1 : macrossunder ? -1 : na plot(Signal, title="Signal") The Trade Manager engines expects to receive 1 for a bullishg signal and -1 for bearish . Step 2 - Add the Trade Manager to your chart and select the right Data Source I feel the questions coming so I prefer to anticipate :) When you add the Trade Manager to your chart, nothing will be displayed. THIS IS NORMAL because you'll have to select the Data Source to be "Signal" Remember our Signal variable from the Two MM Cross from before, now we'll capture it and.....drumb rolll...... that's from that moment that your life became even more AWESOME The Engine will capture the last signal from the MM cross or any indicator actually and will update the Stop Loss, Take Profit levels based on the parameters you set on the Trade Manager I worked the whole weekend on it because I wanted to challenge myself and give you something that I will certainly use in my own trading Please send me some feedback or questions if any Enjoy Dave
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Daveatt
19
You get to experience 5 type of tradesEvery time it is different, but in general I would say there are 5 type of trades: 1- Just nosedives and never goes into your favor. Straight down (up). The ones to avoid, which you want to get out of as quickly as possible. Will destroy your account really fast if you do not cut it. Not much you can do about this type. Obviously you get stopped and that's it. I see people hold on and even congratulate themselves for it "expert educators" telling people to "let their losers recover", and brokers say that most clients do this. It is so stupid I won't talk about it. You get stopped, end of story. Here are examples: 2- Baghodler favorite. Check Tesla and Robinhood bagholders for an example of this one. Slowly goes against you, and more, and more. Baggies absolutely love to hold onto those ones. "Oh well it is going to bounce eventually". Literally going against the trend. It is so stupid to anyone that understands a tiny bit... Trends are awesome. Spot a nice diagonal trend, enter, trail your stop, stay in. move with the market. Markets do not trend that often but when they do it is easy money. Holding against that is emm well like stabbing a wound to make it go away. Might be a good idea to cut your losses early. If it just slowly keeps going against you... An example where it was slowly going up & I gave up but came back with a short idea later. Should have given up faster tbh: And then there was a new opportunity: 3- The one that does not go anywhere. Just consolidates, or goes slightly in your favor/against you and then the other way. Paul Tudor Jones has a rule "If it takes too long I get out". Might want to follow that one. I guess you can take almost any Bitcoin trade as an example. Gosh this stupid thing is boring. I cannot think of any trade that was not Bitcoin that was a number 3. It usually goes up or down. 4- The one that goes midly in your favor. They can either slowly go up (/down) or go back agaisnt you then double bottom and rip up. Depends on the strategy, and you will be able to tell how to deal with those with experience normally. It is complicated every case is different. No simple rule here. Can trail stop, move SL to breakeven and maybe re-enter later, or just stay in and wait and see (but if it takes too long thought...). Plenty of possibilities to do this. This one is an example, not great: This is a stinky one that goes way down, then up then down again. 5- The ripper. Goes strongly in your favor and keeps going. Never comes back into your risk area. These are the kind of ones that make accounts grow and the one we are looking for. The other 4 types are irrelevant. They are just failed attempts to get these big winners. This amazes me, but according to brokers, this is the one that traders get out of quickly -.- And the disgusting ones (number 2) are the ones that people hold onto because "it is not falling too fast it will come back eventually". Cannot help but want to "secure" your profit? Then simply move your stop loss to breakeven. If you have a really big winner, it should not go back against you the vast majority of the time. Here is an example: Here is another example: And 1.5 month later it is still going down, stronger than ever (I should have stayed it, but at the same time beloved intelligent regulators won't let me):
TVC:USOILEducation
by MrRenev
1
How to manage a position using VWAP to scale in!Hi guys, this is an idea on how could be managed a position using VWAP retests to add size. Obviously this is just one way to interpret a trade through the day and surely not the only one. Speed lines, fade off ma's, level 2, volume profile, pivots and much more offer as well opportunities to menage our trade thus to scale in our position! Hope you find it useful :) When I write at lod the pnl was 2.37, I mean at eod (end of the day)
T
by Intuitrading
$20 Dollar challenge! As of next week I plan to open a new account with only $20.Yes, I know what you’re thinking but this is why it’s called a challenge. My goal with this challenge is to see if you can actually make money with very little capital. I will only be trading currencies with 1:1000 ratio account. Now, how long could this last before going to zero? Will emotions take over my trading? Will having too much leverage be a disadvantage? Well we will have to see.Every week I will post updates on the trades I took followed by my lot size, my entry, and my exit.If you would like to follow this journey click the follow button,and on the day my account goes to zero you can unfollow. Quote:“The elements of good trading are: (1) cutting losses, (2) cutting losses, and (3) cutting losses. If you can follow these three rules, you may have a chance.” – Ed Seykota Trader essential from Amazon 1. amzn.to -Tylenol Extra Strength Rapid Release (LOL) 2. amzn.to -Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns 3. amzn.to -Apple MacBook Pro 4. amzn.to -OLLY Goodbye Stress Gummy, 5. amzn.to - Lenovo Ideacentre AIO 520S 23-Inch Desktop Computer (Intel Core i5-7200U, 16GB DDR4, 1TB HDD, Intel HD Graphics 620, Windows 10), F0CU0001US 6. amzn.to Apple iMac (21.5" Retina 4K display, 3.0GHz quad-core Intel Core i5, 8GB RAM, 1TB) - Silver 7. amzn.to -Dell i5680-7813BLU-PUS Inspiron Gaming PC Desktop 5680, Intel Core i7-8700, 16GB DDR4 Memory, 128GB SSD+2TB SATA HDD, NVIDIA GeForce GTX 1060, Recon Blue, Windows 10 64-bit
by Red_Rock5
3
I was right!! $SPX $SPY #VictoryLapWe can see here the target - sourced in the related idea below was successfully exceeded. Was surprised by how strong earnings came in today. Will be curious about the low tomorrow - don't live in the pivot points but this may be an appropriate time to pay attention to them to find the short term trend. Will our lowest low tomorrow be 2915? Will be on the sidelines traveling the rest of the week. An entire week of straight gainz. Every trade was closed profitably, sometimes the spreads had both legs close in the green. Pay attention to that POP%! It is a nice edge to have against the competition out there. This game we play is not for the investment minded, this is zero sum. Feels good to win! Feels even better winning 100% of the time over the course of an entire month closed out with the final trade in a call position with no hedge - strayed from the plan but the TA was sound. Happy Trading Friends!
SP:SPX
by ZenMode
2
GBPNZD ShortAs we see we've got double tops on the 1.91500 level which gave us confirmation to take shorts to the downside. On the 4 hour TF we have also double tops which strongly indicates the major bearish trend. I'm trying to hold a bit longer than usual 30 PIP's to test a swing trade what I haven't really done yet. TP Zone I marked out on 1.90200 area where price has already been respecting that zone many times. This thoughts came only from my analysis, where I'm trying to figure out how the market behaves and in order to become successful trader, it is essential to keep your trades and analysis. Tradingview is the perfect place! All the best!
Short
by XZAR_Capital