GBPUSDOn Pound We are also in a bullish context similar to the euro, but the compression formed below raises concerns. I am ready to consider positions for further movement only after addressing this issue.
Trade
EURUSDGood morning! The morning overview of the euro-dollar shows a retracement from the Asian minimum at the opening of the London session. The local target is set at the Asian maximum, and the structural context has shifted to a bullish stance since yesterday.
XAUUSD#XAUUSD
For gold suggests a short context, with the recent FVG in the Asian session being surpassed. Ready to engage in opportunities for further downside, targeting the Asian session's minimum.
EURUSD DayPlan#EURUSD
Greetings! Anticipating a continued focus on short positions for the euro. On the higher time frame, we are entering the daily FVG, indicating potential further downside. As of now, no compelling reasons for a reversal have been identified. Positions will be considered from the Asian session's high.
NZD/CAD LongNZD/CAD Long
• If price impulses up above our most recent two lows on the one hour chart and a subsequent three touch tight fifteen minute flag forms, then I'll filter the latter on the five minute chart and be looking to get long with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBPUSD Continuing to consider the pound in a short direction, the main targets in the form of daily equal lows have not been reached yet. I prefer not to trade outside of OTT, but will seize market opportunities if presented.
USD/JPY ShortUSD/JPY Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back down on the one hour chart followed by a tight two touch fifteen minute flag and then I'll filter the latter on the five minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
XAUUSD1h - from the perspective of the hourly timeframe, we changed the context to short. Before resuming the long movement, I want to see interaction with obvious liquidity below.
XAUUSD 4h context4h - from Monday to Thursday inclusive, we had a clear short context, after which a news-driven movement changed the context to long. Friday opened with a long continuation, covering the FVG below and forming equal highs, which is the logical first target of the current movement.
XAUUSD 1D Good evening, presenting a Top-Down analysis on gold.
1D - we continue to be in a long context, cleared all nearby liquidity below on Thursday, after which we witnessed an aggressive price movement towards the first high-liquidity zone.
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XAUUSD (Gold) Slightl bullish in trend but still not clear the wXAUUSD (Gold) Slightly bullish in trend, but still not clear on the way.
The major level at the Gold tested was 2060 and gained more power from 2040 after last weekend's movements.
Now, if the H1 closes above the 2050 zone, it will short-term push the price toward 2060. The price of the US dollar was also up from 102.097 and is trading at 102.459.
Technically, we sell from the 2060 zone with 50 pips. Stop loss.
Note: If China, Japan, and US armor sales and news of war get authentic, then gold will move its trend from bearish toward bullish movements.
Keep an eye on the US index and other international channels for gold trading.
If you see some price rejections from the 2060 or 2050 zone, then you must sell the gold, and the target level must be 2040, 2033, and 2020.
EURUSD 1h1h - there is a striking similarity with the 4-hour chart. We have a long context with a beautiful overlay of all liquidity formed below us. However, there is also an emerging order flow against us.
EURUSD 4h4h - an incredibly interesting situation has formed on the 4-hour chart. Structurally, we are in a long context, and with the overlay of all possible liquidity formed below us, we continue the upward movement. However, at the same time, there is an emerging order flow in the short direction against us. In such moments, it is crucial to wait for the price to firmly establish itself in one direction for a sensible continuation of work. Otherwise, there is a high probability of losing money.
EURUSD 1DHello and welcome to the weekly Top-Down analysis.
Throughout the past week, we experienced a sideways movement without a clearly defined trend. Despite this, there were an adequate number of potential positions.
1D - Daily timeframe: We continue to operate within the bounds of the daily imbalance. On Friday, January 5th, we cleared all the liquidity formed below, and I did not expect a repeat of the re-sweep, as mentioned in the previous review. The most obvious target was the local fractal high, which we managed to clear on Thursday. Despite the aggressive movement at the end of the year, we still remain in a long context until the daily bar closes below 1.071. For the upcoming week, I would like to see the removal of the nearest lower fractal with a continuation of the movement towards the upper boundaries of the sideways range.
I LATE PUBLISHED THIS, BTC wyckoff schematic #1:Brace yourselves! The chart is a crystal clear warning siren for an impending crash in the Bitcoin market. What we're seeing here is the textbook setup of a Wyckoff distribution phase, a manipulative masterpiece played out by the smart money to trap unsuspecting retail investors before the rug is pulled.
Phase A was just the smart money dipping their toes, testing the waters for liquidity. Phase B, the buildup, was where they revved up the engines, creating a façade of a bullish frenzy, drawing in the crowd with the hype. But then, boom! Phase C hit with the Outthrust After Distribution (UTAD), the classic fake-out move. It's the smart money whispering, 'This is as high as we go, folks,' before they start offloading their bags onto the latecomers.
Now, as we edge into Phase D, the Sign of Weakness (SOW) has revealed itself. This isn't just a dip to buy; it's a cliff edge. The Last Point of Supply (LPSY) attempts are feeble, and the demand is drying up faster than a puddle in the Sahara.
And what's next? Phase E. The markdown. The avalanche. This isn't just going to be a correction; it's shaping up to be a freefall. The volume profile is whispering secrets of a sell-off that's ready to stampede. Those support lines? They'll snap like twigs under a boot. We're not just talking about testing lows; we're talking about rewriting the bottom line.
This is the moment where fortunes are lost, where the latecomers holding the line get burned. The chart is screaming caution. It's not a matter of if, but when. The crash is looming, and it's going to be cataclysmic. Don't be the one left holding the bag when the smart money has cashed out and left the building. This is your warning!
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TO BE FORMAL AND PROFESSIONAL.
Here's a breakdown of the typical phases and events in the Wyckoff Schematic #1, as they might relate to your chart:
Phase A: This phase marks the stopping of the prior uptrend. Key elements include:
Preliminary Supply (PSY): Where large interests begin selling the coin and volume increases.
Buying Climax (BC): Where demand is fully satiated, and there is heavy buying from the public, leading to a sharp rally and subsequent sell-off.
Automatic Reaction (AR): The immediate sell-off after the buying climax, setting a range for the trading range (TR).
Phase B: This phase is characterized by building a cause for the new downtrend.
Secondary Test (ST): Where the market tests the supply and demand balance at the upper and lower bounds of the TR established in Phase A.
Upthrust (UT): A test above the TR that fails and falls back into the range, showing that demand is not strong enough to break through the supply.
Phase C: This phase indicates the readiness to leave the TR and begin a new downtrend.
Upthrust After Distribution (UTAD): A sign of weakness, where price goes above the TR again but attracts heavy selling from the smart money, confirming they are distributing their holdings.
Phase D: The price begins to move downward as the distribution phase is ending.
Sign of Weakness (SOW): Price action that moves below the support level of the trading range, suggesting that supply is overwhelming demand.
Last Point of Supply (LPSY): The final attempt to move up into the TR, which fails due to lack of demand.
Phase E: This is the markdown phase where the price declines.
The chart depicts a series of lower highs and lower lows, consistent with a bearish trend.
The annotations on your chart suggest that the analyst is anticipating a bearish market based on the Wyckoff distribution phases. They have marked out specific events and are forecasting a continued downtrend into the future phases (D and E). It's important to note that while Wyckoff's methodology is respected among some traders, it's not infallible and should be used in conjunction with other forms of analysis and risk management techniques.
The chart also includes some narrative annotations about market events, like SEC announcements, which the analyst is using to support their interpretation of the price action within the framework of the Wyckoff Method. These external factors are used to give context to the price movements and potentially indicate the actions of institutional investors.
I hope I was early to warn everyone but I did, just forgot to do it here in TradingView.
USD/CAD Short, EUR/AUD Short, AUD/USD Long and USD/JPY ShortUSD/CAD Short
• If price corrects and a tight flag forms, then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/AUD Short
• If price corrects and a tight flag forms, then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUD/USD Long
• If price corrects and a tight flag forms, then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get long with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
USD/JPY Short
• If price corrects and a two touch tight flag forms with a three touch structural approach, then I'll filter it on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with a risk entry within it.
• If price corrects and a three touch larger one hour structure forms, then I'll filter it on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
OGNUSDT View on Projected 150% UpsurgeOGNUSDT exhibits a clear uptrend pattern with consistent higher highs (HHs) and higher lows (HLs). The price maintains respect for the uptrend trendline, with the Demand/Supply zone transitioning into a reliable support area.
Our perspective suggests a substantial potential price increase for OGN, positioning it as one of our top coins for investment currently. Not financial advice, but our view indicates the potential for over a 150% surge in the coming months.
CHF/JPY Short, USD/CAD Short, AUD/USD Long and USD/JPY ShortCHF/JPY Short
• If price impulses down below our area of value and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
USD/CAD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUD/USD Long
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back up above our most recent lows followed by a tight flag and then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get long with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
USD/JPY Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
USD/CAD Short and AUD/USD LongUSD/CAD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUD/USD Long
If price pushes down to and ideally just below our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a subsequent impulse back up followed by a tight flag and then I'll filter the latter on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get long with either a risk entry within it if the flag is structured, or a reduced risk entry on the break of it if it's unstructured or I don't manage to secure a risk entry.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBPUSD SELL NOW GBP/USD struggles to make a decisive move in either direction and fluctuates at around 1.2700 on Monday. The sour market mood helps the US Dollar (USD) find demand and makes it difficult for the pair to gain traction.
GBPUSD SELL NOW. 1.27052
CONFIRM TARGET 1.26219
CHF/JPY ShortCHF/JPY Short
• If price impulses down below our most recent low, then I'll be waiting for a subsequent three touch tight flag to form and then I'll filter it on the fifteen minute chart and be looking to get short with a risk entry within it if the flag is structured.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
BTC Bitcoin Strong Bullish Will Rise to 37000,46000 and 71000USDBTC Bulls to Retarget $31,500
BTC could be in for a choppy session as investors consider the chances of SEC approvals for the ETFs and US inflation in focus.
the crypto news wires provided much-needed support. News of Fidelity filing for a spot Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) was the key to the bullish session.
This morning, BTC was down 0.03% to $30,524. A bearish start to the day saw BTC fall from an early high of $30,534 to a low of $30,507.
Looking at the EMAs and the 4-hourly candlestick chart (below), the EMAs sent bullish signals. BTC sat above the 50-day EMA ($30,032). The 50-day EMA pulled further away from the 100-day EMA, with the 100-day EMA widening from the 200-day EMA, sending bullish signals.
A hold above S1 ($30,158) and the 50-day EMA ($30,032) would support a move through R1 ($30,882) to give the bulls a run at R2 ($31,232). However, a fall through S1 ($30,158) and the 50-day EMA ($30,032) would bring S2 ($29,784) into view. A fall through the 50-day EMA would send a bearish signal.
Resistance & Support Levels
R1 – $ 30,882 S1 – $ 30,158
R2 – $ 31,232 S2 – $ 29,784
R3 – $ 31,956 S3 – $ 29,060
Strategy Bullish
3Lots
2 Lots will be excecuted at Profit Target Zones
1Lot will follow the Trend
It will be only!!! excecuted ,if Bullish Trend changes
The stops will be delivered as soon as possible to break even,better some pips above the Buyinh price
I have marked my profit targets
Psychology:
1:The price is always right
2The Market is alwas right
3 The Chart is always right
4 IGNORE THE NEWS; Plan your trades and trade your plan.
5Drawdowns are partof the game
6 Risk management and money mangement is King!
7 wHATEVER HAPPENS;sTICK TO YOUR PLAN!
8 In a bear market no price is weak enough
9 In a bull market no price is strong enough
10 Patience !Wait for confirmation: Control emotions and tensions.
