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Three Drives

An example of how to spot a good trade #forexFriends, I haven't had time to post any of my trades in recent days. So i thought i would post some of the trades I took recently. I know this is after fact, but the aim is just to share the knowledge and experience. I made 4 trades, 3 winners and one loser. I will post them throughout the week as i am taking a small rest from markets during the election week. This is an example of finding areas of interest on the daily chart then moving to the lower time frame for the trigger. On the left hand side daily chart, by the end of october the price was testing a a key area where the long term falling trend line meets the 200-days simple moving average. At that stage, i was monitoring the pair for signs of a bearish reversal to confirm a rejection of that resistance area, especially that the daily RSI was showing a bearish divergence as well. I moved to the four-hour chart awaiting the trigger. In this particular case, the trigger was a three drive pattern that evolved and completed at 80.54. The price was making new highs but the RSI wasn't yet signalling a divergence on the four-hour chart as well. Afterwards, the price formed a small hanging man candle on the four-hour chart, and accordingly and due to all these signals it was a setup that was worth taking. I initiated a short at the opening of the candle following the hanging man. My target was at the first major daily support level. My stop was above the 1.618 extension for the latest bearish wave(x-y) as shown on chart. That resulted in a 2.7 risk to reward. I hope this example will help you think and spot better trades in the future My best regards, Technician
Education
by Technician
23
(2H) The Three Drives Pattern // Target the fibsFX:CADCHF PSYCHOLOGY OF THE THREE DRIVES PATTERN by LARRY PESAVENTO & LESLIE JOUFLAS "All patterns are formed by crowd psychology, and it is interesting and educational to study what forms any particular pattern. The Three Drives pattern is slightly different in its psychology, as it has three tops or bottoms that must form to complete the pattern, compared to most patterns with one (or occasionally two in the cases of double bottoms and tops). It is a natural phenomenon that bulls are the most bullish at the tops of markets and bears the most earish at the bottom. When this occurs there is typically an unusual amount of news that accompanies these tops and bottoms in favor of the excess bullishness or bearishness. The Three Drives pattern goes through an extended process of bringing in new buyers or short sellers too early at tops with successive waves and new sellers at lows or new buyers who are too early. The pattern generally makes the final wave as the last buyer has bought at the top and the last seller has sold at the bottom. This is the time then the market will appear absolutely the most bullish or most bearish. The last push up or down to form the last gasp in the market is almost like a game of hot potato, and the market has just passed the last hot potato to the last market participant before it changes direction. As the market then changes direction, each new low below the latest swing low in an uptrend now has more bulls trapped. Conversely, each new high above the previous swing low has more bears trapped. This in itself can add fuel to a rally or decline. Usually it is not until a new trend is well under way that the news media will also change direction. " You can check all details about this pattern at link below... Safe Trades;
Short
by Andre_Cardoso
1