EURGBP The Bias Of The DayThe GBP had a 1.5%-1.8% rally today and it needs to retrace if it want's to keep up this upmove. Euro on the other hand has been going down (fx eurusd) and is looking like a potential long especially if the us unemployment is worse than expected. Currently I am expecting just a pullback to 0.236 fib level.
Technically:
The price is at a support level.
And if you would squeeze the chart you could see that it is also a multiple fib confluence zone.
The position:
I haven't yet entered but if it the price reaches 0.7233 before retracing to approximately my target I will probably buy.
Event risk:
Economic calendar
www.forextime.com
The
NZDUSD The Bias Of The DayFor this idea the main points are the same as those for my last couple of ideas , except that nzd has released less of its potential than aud and cad against the usd.
And I think that the commodities still have some room to continue their pullback.
In short I think that usd will further pull back.
AUDUSD The Bias Of The Day[i ]EURAUD didn't let the audusd to rally as it went up a lot but now idepreciate nowt wiat-leastciate now or at-least not rally much more. That would let audusd to continue its rally and potentially to make those double bottom patterns complete.
So yes, generally I think that DXY (USDOLLAR INDEX) will pullback some more and that commodities are likely to do the same for now, so audusd looks pritty good .
ps( I personally will look for a buy but i need to see some consolidation and some divergence to be more sure.)
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The Dark Side Of The BitcoinHope you get the reference : D
Blue & Red trendlines are linear regressions of lows/highs starting from 2015 up to now
red: 1 & 1.618 standard deviations
blue: 0.618 & 1 standard deviations
Dashed lines are the just representing the midlines in between to figure out
the exact crossover at the end of the triangle which seems to be right around end of 2015.
While it looks like a rising wedge rightnow, after more price action it might form into an ascending triangle.
0.764 time fib is a potential candidate for pattern breakouts in general.
Make sure you listen to good music while watching this chart: www.youtube.com
Cheerz : ]
EURUSD The Bias Of The DayEURUSD short term outlook remains bullish. Today at 14:00 UTC there will be ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Mar), which could move the eurusd pair up to ~ 60 pips or maybe more if the data is very surprising.
There are no reasons, cut in stone, for my bias, but some of the core ones are :
1. eurusd pullback still has momentum and it seems like eurusds downside pressure is low at the moment.
2. The fed has become more dovish (recently).
3. US still has mixed economic data that in my opinion will be a negative factor for the dollar and will disallow it to continue its strong downtrend in the short term. (I'm not makeing any predictions about the pair. What I am doing at the moment is managing eurusd.)
4. If the eurusd rallies traders will look more positively on buying the s&p 500, that may be a reason for the FED to allow the usd to depreciate a bit till s&p 500 and others again make traction..
5. And technically it makes sens at the moment there is a clear trend and a clear resistance later. If the price breaks the recent highs (resistance) at approx 1.010** ikt would open to itself a lot more of the upside.
*. Sellers are likely to short at 1.010** and for that reason for small to medium cap traders it won't be a good place to go long as their selling is likely to push the price lower first and later I think it will go up but no bias for that for now so we'll see.
AUDUSD The Bias Of The Next 24hAUDUSD Bias
At the turning point
1. If A double bottom with a bullish divergence forms.
When going up
2. If the eurusd isn't falling while audusd is rising.
The eurusd and audusd pullback's trends is still going strong and have proved themselves many times. Before shorting I'll look for this trend to be broken but for now it's still on. I rather loosing one or two times when trading the trend continuation trend than many trying to predict the top of the whole trend.
Also Danske Bank agrees as according to fxstreet it has a bullish position on with a tp order at ~0.800.
Long-Term Decision PointI'm not going to make a call either way on this one but we should be able to clearly see the choice that is made within the next few days. The price has returned to that orange resistance trendline that forced it out of its purple channel late last year. On the RSI, we can see that the orange resistance trendline is potentially going to be broken. Failing that, a bearish divergence would be produced and it might be some time before the price attempts to break this trendline again. On the other hand, if the bullish scenario happens, we could see some seriously bull action in the medium to long-term.
GBP/JPY potential patternGartley drawn in a best outcome scenario. 618 C was held so that makes me think we will have a reversal. PRZ is not that narrow and since its a Gartley pattern we shall be looking for the AB=CD to complete. Stop losses a few pips after the X, TG1 and TG2 are on fib levels and in the best case scenario we will have a trade with around 4:1 RR. Just stare at the chart it could be one of the great trades this year.
That's all, folks.
FTSE 100 SHORT, COULD BE AWHILE BEFORE TARGETS ARE HIT AND PULL BACKS WILL OCCUR! THIS IS A MAJOR SWING TRADE SMALL STAKES, REAP THE BENEFITS!!!
The last push below the surfaceI think it'd be a pity to start this year without testing the famous major annual support by BVSP. Although there are some fundamentals involved, always consider this before entering a long-term trend, the government as been changed but we "wont" (we may) see any new relevant changes until march, or april. So until february, it should call for it's bottom at the major. Everyone will be shorting it as well, so be aware.