Teslaanalysis
TSLA flipped resistance
A month ago I published this idea about TSLA flipping resistance into support, and having earnings that we're expected positiv. I can safely say that this trade went exactly like planned, just really quick :D
If any of you are still in, remember to take profits! TSLA is in price discovery, which is really bullish, but what comes up also comes down. And the quicker it comes up usually means it'll come quicker down before the next leg up
TESLA LONGTESLA looks super bullish long-term. I was surprised when premature earnings yesterday (29/04) caused 3% loss in value, however with today's daily candle it looks like TSLA is back on track. I'd wait for a break of the descending trend line for entry. Long-term outlook - 1100.
Share your thoughts!
$TSLATesla shares closed at an all-time high of $909.68 on Friday, two days after the company reported record revenue and profits in the third quarter.
The move marks the first time since January the company made an intraday record. Shares surged above $900 a share shortly after market open.
Tesla’s strong earnings results stemmed from improved gross margins of 30.5% on its automotive business and 26.6% overall. The stock dropped under 2% in after hours trading on Wednesday.
Tesla’s market cap stood at roughly $860 billion at market close.
There’s no question about it.
Tesla have an incredible future and I’m ridiculously bullish on TSLA long term but in the short term, if we’re trading we should see a slight pullback.
I think we see one more push up before shorts come in control.
It’s getting quite over extended here with it getting into the overbought territory.
I think this stock is one to watch going into next week for a swing.
Long term bullish.
Watchlist this.
- Factor Four
Teslas moment of truth - My interpretationI might be overestimating the importance of yesterdays trading session but I think this symmetrical triangle signals an important reversal.
The way I see it, yesterday the market made up it's mind for Tesla and now there was a reversal in the 4 month long uptrend.
TESLA breaking resistance lines and moving upHello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :)
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TSLA has been doing great for the last couple of days the stock price jumped from 718.33 and reached 799.38 today. That is an 11% increase in 6 days.
The long and short term trends are both positive. and looking at the yearly performance, TSLA did better than 87% of all other stocks. We also observe that the gains produced by TSLA over the past year are nicely spread over this period.
Possible Scenarios for the market :
Scenario 1 :
The market is trading near 791.36 and nearing the resistance line located at 794.82 if this momentum continues then we will see a breakout from that level that will push the market up where the first stop will be at the 814.84 resistance where the Bears might step in an attempt to drop the price back to the 794.82 level. In case the Bulls were able to keep control over the trend we could be seeing the stock reaching the 849.43 level soon.
Scenario 2 :
When the market reaches the first resistance at 794.82 a battle will happen between the Bears and the Bulls to gain control over the market, In case the Bears were able to strip control from the Bulls then we will see a drop in price that will reach the first support level located at 754.36.
The bulls will step in at that level to take control again and keep the uptrend going which will lead to an increase in the stock value that will reach 794.82 again and from there breaking out and reaching the 814.84 level
Technical Indicators show :
1) The market is above the 5 10 20 50 100 and 200 MA and EMA (Strong Bullish Sign)
2) The RSI is at 69.25 showing Great strength in the market and almost reaching the overbought zone.
3) The MACD is above the 0 line indicating that the market is in a Bullish state, With a positive crossover between the MACD line and the Signal line.
Daily Support & Resistance points :
support Resistance
1) 754.36 1) 784.60
2) 734.34 2) 794.82
3) 724.12 3) 814.84
Weekly Support & Resistance points :
support Resistance
1) 737.08 1) 793.26
2) 699.76 2) 812.12
3) 680.90 3) 849.43
Fundamental point of view :
TSLA shows a strong growth in Earnings Per Share. In the last year, the EPS has been growing by 172.10%, which is quite impressive and the Altman-Z score of 16.91. This indicates that TSLA is financially healthy and has little risk of bankruptcy at the moment.
TSLA's Return On Assets of 3.90% is amongst the best of the industry. TSLA does better than the industry average Return On Assets of 0.02%.
The shift to electric vehicles will force huge changes in the auto industry and require EU backing for 'reskilling' programs to help workers prepare for a zero-emission future, according to a report published on Tuesday.
The Platform for Electromobility, an industry group, said a report by the Boston Consulting Group showed by 2030 European auto industry employment will drop by less than 1% from 5.7 million people today amid the transition to electric vehicles. according to Reuters
This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from Fundamental Analysts and News for The Fundamental point of view, not financial advice.
If you have any questions please ask and have a great day !!
Thank you for reading.
TSLA aka TESLA Trading IdeaG'day Guys
Another week of trading.
Today we going to start our week with STOCK trading. TESLA stock is one of the favourite stocks worldwide. Since the recent release of CyberTruck, this stock gaining a lot of attention and investor have started to pumping their cash.
Technically, I see healthy uptrend momentum created. Perhaps we going to see some profit-taking taking place which is normal for investors to liquidate their investment into hard cash. I expecting a price to form a correction to complete the market structure between 765.40 and 721.15 before the uptrend rally continued.
As everyone sees on the chart, the crucial support level at 721.15 is considered as a decision level to step out or making another buy order to leverage the previous order. This is my personal overview of this stock, the decision in your hand. Managing a risk combine with your trading plan will create consistency in the trading world.
Let's see what gonna happens next. Dance with the Market mate. Cheers
TSLA MOTORS, INCTesla Bull Cathie Wood Says There's No Bubble, 2008-09 Debacle Has Put 'Fear' In Investors — And More Key Takeaways From Morningstar Appearance
The head of the New York-based Ark Investment Management was speaking virtually at the Morningstar Investment Conference and discussed high equity valuation of stocks such as Tesla with veteran investor Rob Arnott, founder and chairman at Research Affiliates.
Wood spoke at length on various issues ranging from how average electric vehicle prices are expected to fall dramatically to battery costs, falling traditional auto sales, how legacy automakers are far behind Tesla, and how investors have "become benchmark sensitive."
Wood’s investment firm sold some shares in Tesla earlier this month after the stock rallied. Ark Invest still counts the Elon Musk-led company as its largest holding.
1. On Electric Vehicle Prices: “Last year, we globally produced and sold roughly 2.2 million electric vehicles. Based on that, the cost decline in battery pack systems — the largest cost component of electric vehicles — we believe the average electric vehicle price will drop below that of the average gas power vehicle price in the next year or so.”
“It will continue to decline so that in the year 2025, the average Toyota Camry-like electric vehicle will be $18,000 while the regular Camy will still be roughly $25,000-$26,000.”
2. On Electric Vehicle Growth: “We believe the number of electric vehicles sold will scale from 2.2 million vehicles last year to 40 million which is almost half of the total car sales globally that we expect in 2025. That is a twenty-fold increase and an exponential growth to be sure, an 89% CAGR, simply based on the notion that these cars are going to become more affordable than gas-powered vehicles.”
3. On Automotive Inventories: "Many people think that the inventories out there are very lean in the auto sector, we don't think so. We think that inventories after a year of buying to avoid mass transit are parked in garages and driveways," Wood said. "And it's because gas power vehicle sales are falling apart.”
4. On Four Barriers To Entry Created By Tesla: "Tesla builds its cars on cylinder batteries while most others have based it on lithium-ion pouch batteries...which is roughly 15%-20% more expensive.”
“So, its battery cost will be lower as far as we can see. The second barrier to entry is the artificial intelligence chip that Tesla designed," where it said the Musk company has pulled a leaf out of Apple Inc's
“The other barrier to entry is the number of real-world miles driven that Tesla has collected,” Wood added. “The fourth barrier to entry is that Tesla is still the only car using the over the air software update to improve performance and prevent breakdowns.”
5. On Tesla’s EV Market Share: “There may be a lot of electric vehicle manufacturers out there but they are tiny. Tesla’s share is surprisingly high. We thought it would go down, at the end of 2018 it was roughly 17% of global sales, and instead, it went up. That has been a big surprise. That is a function of the four barriers of entries.”
6. On Legacy Automakers' Struggle: “In the early days of the battery...auto manufacturers and analysts laughed at Tesla for building its vehicles based on cell phone batteries that are blowing up in airplanes. Now we see General Motors Co GM +1.61%’s Bolt has had to recall most of the vehicles because its batteries are catching on fire. That was a concern 6-7 years ago and Tesla nailed that down and traditional automakers are having problems.”
6. On Legacy Automakers' Struggle: “In the early days of the battery...auto manufacturers and analysts laughed at Tesla for building its vehicles based on cell phone batteries that are blowing up in airplanes. Now we see General Motors Co GM +1.61%’s Bolt has had to recall most of the vehicles because its batteries are catching on fire. That was a concern 6-7 years ago and Tesla nailed that down and traditional automakers are having problems.”
TESLA : FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS + NEXT TARGET LONG ⚡️We can see TSLA stock come back these days. After hitting a record high of $900 in January, Tesla stock lost more than a third of its value, dropping to $563 in March. But they've been steadily gaining since then. On Wednesday, Tesla closed the trading session at $753.87, up 34% from this year's low.
In short, Tesla appears to be regaining its success on Wall Street. But should new investors join it?
From a business perspective, Tesla is at its peak. It had a great 2020 when it delivered a record 499,550 cars and made its first-ever annual profit. But company executives think 2021 will be even better -- and so far, the numbers are backing up that prediction.
In the second quarter, Tesla produced and delivered more than 200,000 vehicles -- the most of any quarter. Revenues nearly doubled from a year ago to $12 billion. Net income rose more than tenfold to $1.1 billion, driven by a surge in profitability. Tesla's operating margin also more than doubled to 11% for the quarter, up from 5.4% a year ago. Increased sales led to lower per-unit operating expenses, which in turn improved profitability.
Tesla is also generating a serious amount of cash. In fact, the company has generated positive free cash flow in each of the last five quarters, and in the second quarter, free cash flow was $619 million, up 48% from last year.
Tesla has already generated a solid balance sheet with more than $16 billion in net cash and cash equivalents. And if it continues to generate positive cash flow, this war chest will increase, even more, giving it fuel for further growth.
Tesla has been doing surprisingly well lately. But the bulls say the company is just getting started.
First, it is the global market leader in its core electric vehicle (EV) business. As the entire auto industry shifts to electric vehicles, Tesla is well-positioned to take advantage of this secular trend. It is also tapping into related markets, such as robotics and driverless cars. Some analysts believe that these two areas may one day become even more valuable than Tesla's automobile business. Besides, Tesla is led by Elon Musk, one of the best businessmen of our generation. Investing in Tesla is akin to having Musk as your business partner.
All of this may explain why Tesla trades at a price-to-sales ratio of 20, which is much higher than industry peers. By comparison, General Motors trades at a ratio of less than 1 to sales.
China's BYD, one of the world's largest electric car makers, trades at a ratio of 3.3 to sales. Hot Tesla fans understand what the company has to offer and are happy to pay for the stock.
But such a high valuation leaves little room for error for the company. Because Tesla operates in a complex automotive industry that is notorious for all kinds of operational problems. Any hiccup in execution could send the stock spiraling downward. "Bears" could go even further, arguing that much of Tesla's current valuation depends on the company executing its futuristic plans, most of which are still in the early stages of development. There is no guarantee that Tesla will be able to realize these projects, and if it cannot, its skyrocketing share price could plummet back to earth.
However, we should not forget that Tesla is making good progress on the autonomous driving front. Judging by the collected mileage data on autopilot vehicles, the company seems to be well ahead of its competitors when it comes to autonomous driving technology. However, there are certain risks to watch out for. The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration recently launched an investigation related to accidents involving Tesla cars with driver assistance systems. In addition, the company faces competition from other players, some of which already have permits for autonomous driving, which Tesla does not have.
Tesla expects that once developed, driver assistance systems will actually help reduce accidents. As the system improves over time, that goal will likely be achieved. Improved driver assistance systems could add a new chapter to Tesla's growth story. If Tesla's systems prove to be better than those offered by other automakers, not only will demand for their cars increase, but the company will be able to set premium prices.
Tesla has been one of the highest-yielding stocks in history. Over the past five years, its price has risen 1,786%, making it one of the ten most expensive public companies in the world. e
While ardent Tesla fans may be willing to pay a huge premium to own Tesla stock, it would be imprudent for most investors to risk their hard-earned earnings by buying the stock today. Investors would be better off waiting for a cheaper entry point - or buying the real Tesla.
Tesla's Make-it Or Break-it!Tesla is approaching a very critical spot. There are several key technicals that all speak in favour of it having topped out in January. If that's the case it automatically means that whatever we're seeing right now is the height of its distribution phase prior to rolling over for some serious price damage.
Let's go through those technical clues, one by one.
1) We have a textbook primary 5-wave impulse.
A normal 2nd-wave correction is a steep price correction. In Tesla's case, we saw a retracement to the 786 fib - one that found support on it with uncanny precision. Equally so, a normal 4th-wave correction is a complex time-based correction - one that typically materialises in the shape of a triangle. According to these standard rules, Tesla abides to both.
2) Whenever you draw a fibonacci retracement from the bottom of a 5-wave impulse and to the end of the 5th-wave, the bottom of the 4th-wave correction statistically aligns with the 618. And so, too, it does here. Naturally, this further speaks in favour of Tesla having topped out for this primary and secular market cycle, as in for a long time to follow.
3) The RSI is our by far best tool in determining whenever a mark-up shifts into a distribution. What happens is that the RSI goes from consistently high levels - often overbought such - to swiftly retrace down towards the green neutral 50-line, upon which it then fails to break above the upper bearish blue line (see the red cirle on the chart). This is a pivot at which the RSI and price suffer syncronised "max pain" and is equally so THE ideal spot to open short positions.
4) The price is currently nearing in on the golden 618 ratio. This is where I will begin to ladder in shorts. Yet, if the price were to slip too far into the zone, I'll release it and re-enter again at the 786.
But here's the thing. IF Tesla were to break above this critical zone I will consider laddering in leveraged longs. And there are two prime reasons for that.
1) The long RSI divergence (the dotted red line) is typical 3rd-wave behaviour. This is more standard than not. By that token, it would mean that the current triangular-looking price development in fact is the real primary 4th wave, upon which we can expect a final price pump to the north.
2) A price pump above the red danger zone would mean that the weekly RSI would break the upper bearish blue line, and hence disqualify it entirely.
In this sense, as long as Tesla stays within or below the red danger zone a short play is the predominantly correct move from a statistical point of view. This is likely to result in a high risk-to-reward short spot - one in which we can utilise high leverage due to the low risk.
If, on the other hand, Tesla were to break above this zone, the probabilities swiftly shift from very bearish to very bullish.
Bearish TSLA Forecast 'Twitter'
I'd say I'm not a fan of microchips or RFID anywhere near the human body, for that matter my sentiment of TSLA becoming bearish will take hold.
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Tesla: Bullish Rising Wedge; break outThis it's my first time that I do make an analysis of the first shares. This it's Tesla. It's one of my favorite company that I like to invest and for now. I show you today my perspective how I look Tesla by long term. As I fund a USD account to trade shares, This it's so interestign to invest in shares and make to growing up our money in the time.
What do you think about this shares and my own analysis that I made for you?
TESLAINC:FORECAST FUNDAMENTAL+PRICE ACTION|LONG SETUP🔔Not so long ago, the number of opportunities to invest in electric cars was limited: it was either Tesla or nothing. If investors were unwilling to join Musk's team, they were just out of luck.
Although there has been a dramatic turnaround in the last year, and the number of options has increased significantly thanks to the strong growth in the market of electric car companies, Tesla remains the focus of investors. And with President Biden recently stating that electric cars will account for 50 percent of new car sales by 2030, investors are taking a special interest. Let's take a look at some important things potential buyers of Tesla stock should be aware of before including it in their portfolios.
Since its introduction nearly two years ago, the Cybertruck has sparked interest from buyers and investors alike. About a week after Tesla unveiled the Cybertruck, orders for it soared to 200,000, and Tesla enthusiasts, through their fansite Teslarati, estimate that orders for the Cybertruck now total about 1.2 million.
Tesla offers a base model with single-engine rear-wheel drive for $39,900.
Dual-engine all-wheel-drive and three-engine all-wheel-drive models are priced at $49,900 and $69,900, respectively. Assuming the 1.2 million reservations are accurate, and assuming a conservative estimate that all reservations come from the least expensive model, Tesla's revenue would be about $48 billion. By comparison, the company's 2020 revenue was $31.5 billion. Clearly, the success of the Cybertruck plays an important role in Tesla's scenario.
The company originally envisioned that the production of a single-engine model would begin in late 2021. However, company executives have put the brakes on that version. During Tesla's second-quarter 2021 conference call, Lars Moravy, vice president of vehicle development, said the company is "moving into beta phases of the Cybertruck later this year," and Tesla's Cybertruck booking site shows that production is scheduled for 2022. While a delay in Cybertruck production shouldn't discourage potential investors from buying stock, it's important to understand that delays allow competitors like Ford with its all-electric F-150 and Rivian with its R1T to step on the gas pedal.
Like many other companies, Tesla is dealing with manufacturing problems due to a global shortage of semiconductors. In fact, Musk said during his second-quarter report that the semiconductor shortage has forced Tesla to sacrifice the production of its Powerwall energy storage unit to meet car production needs. But the semiconductor shortage isn't the only problem on Tesla's radar: Company executives may be keeping lithium supplies up at night. Tesla investors know that in September 2020, the company entered into a five-year agreement with Australian mining company Piedmont Lithium to buy lithium-containing spodumene concentrate at a fixed price (with an option to extend for another five years). Piedmont originally assumed that Tesla deliveries would begin between July 2022 and July 2023.
Now that doesn't seem so likely.
Residents of North Carolina, where the mineral deposit is located, have spoken out against the company's project development. Consequently, Piedmont said it was postponing supplies to Tesla indefinitely.
When talk turns to Tesla stock, investors' opinions diverge sharply. In fact, Tesla stock is one of the most hotly debated tickers. For example, Piper Sandler, who sides with the bulls, puts the price target at $1,200, while Citigroup, which represents the bears, thinks the stock will fall to $209. Let's leave the price targets to Wall Street. After all, analysts often have much shorter time horizons for investing than we prefer. Instead, let's just look at stock valuations. Tesla stock has soared more than 862% in the past three years, but don't be fooled: its valuation has recently declined.
The stock is currently valued at about 86.6 times operating cash flow. That may seem expensive, but consider that the average five-year stock cash flow ratio is 134.3. Sure, the stock still trades at a high multiple, but it has been growing at an impressive rate since the company began generating positive cash flow. As demand for the company's cars remains strong, the company's cash flow will likely continue to grow.
Unconvincing? Let's look at it from a different perspective. Today, Tesla stock is trading at 147 times forward earnings. Exorbitant, you say? Think again. Stocks often reflect inflated investor expectations for growth. For example, earlier this summer, on June 30, the stock traded at 161 times projected earnings, while a year ago on the same day, the P/E ratio was 370.
Cybertruck release delays. Semiconductor shortages. Lithium problems. Sure, Tesla has a lot of problems right now, but the company has faced challenges before -- and won. These problems, while undesirable, are hardly something that makes potential investors look elsewhere. In fact, it's at times like these, when things seem bleak, that savvy and patient investors can buy the stock at a low price.
Although electric car traffic is on the rise as competitors such as Lucid Motors and Fisker prepare to ramp up production, there is definitely room for more than one success story in the electric car market, and Tesla will certainly remain one of them.
TESLA STOCK:FORECAST FUNDAMENTAL & Price Predictions 5/10 YEARSTESLA STOCK FORECAST & Price Predictions 2021 - 2025 - 2030, 5 years, 10 years :
While most businesses worldwide have strived to withstand that crazy 2020, Tesla has been involved in making history. In less than 12 months, the electric car maker marked numerous achievements, with its stock soaring above $2,000 per share, undergoing a split, and being included in the S&P 500 Index.
So, considering the impressive results, some may be wondering what is in store for the company and what results investors should be expecting.
In this article, we will analyze the current state of the company, will see what the experts` predictions are, and will try to figure out what is going to happen to the Tesla stock within the next five or ten years.
Tesla`s background :
The history of Tesla goes back to the period when the U.S. set the task of getting rid of dependence on hydrocarbons, including the improvement of alternative power sources for motor vehicles. And the creation of electric cars was one of the areas of research. Tesla was founded in 2003, but investor confidence, which led to an increase in investment attraction, manifested itself in 2013 - then mass production of electric cars began. Tesla began to show phenomenal growth from the second half of 2019.
After several years of losses, Tesla showed three consecutive profitable quarters (starting in the third quarter of 2019) and surprised investors with the stability of receiving orders in the first quarter of 2020, despite the outbreak of the virus.
The company has often found itself at the center of lawsuits and disputes, in part because of (at times) outrageous behavior by Musk. One example of this occurred in August 2017, when he tweeted that he had solid funding to take the company private to the tune of $420. That claim later turned out to be false.
Thus, since the beginning of 2020, Tesla's share price has increased fivefold. According to several analysts, Tesla's rapid growth in value looks unnatural against the background of its relatively small number of tangible assets and the current state of the electric car market. For example, in 2019 the company's car sales were less than 4% of those of Volkswagen, the global leader in this indicator. In addition, the company has only four plants, and the concern Toyota motor has 50 plants. Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas notes: "It might be worth reminding investors that battery-powered cars account for no more than 2% of global sales. In other words, about 98% of the world's cars are still powered by internal combustion engines." He gave Tesla an Underweight rating ("worse than the market") and a target price of $360 per share.
So, how did these events affect TSLA's stock price? We can see how its stock price has changed since that period in the chart Above.( Check Trading view chart please )
It shows how stratospheric Tesla's growth has been in 2020. Before this year, TSLA's stock price was only $70 - since then, that figure has jumped nearly 900% to $695. Tesla made more than $100 in December 2020 alone, opening at $584.76 at the beginning of the month and now trading at $695. It's a jump that has many investors and analysts wondering, "Is Tesla stock overpriced?"
For others, however, its success was a huge reassurance after the coronavirus crash back in March 2020. When investor uncertainty peaked in response to news of the COVID-19 outbreak sweeping the world, the stock market suffered one of the biggest collapses in history. The collapse began on March 9, 2020, when the Dow fell 7.79% in just one day.
Like most companies, TSLA was not immune to this collapse. Between March 6 and March 16, Tesla's stock price fell from $140,696 to $89,014, its lowest level in a year. The fact that it has recovered so much is the result of various factors:
1. Split of shares;
2. The introduction of Model 3;
3. The success of SpaceX.
No doubt, everybody knows that the CEO, ideological inspirer, and "face" of the company is Elon Reeve Musk. Unlike most executives of other automobile companies, Musk is a media persona, open to communication with the public and capable of extravagant actions and statements, which immediately become an occasion for publications in the media. Musk's impressive fame is a consequence of this image. And fame is one of the incentives for investor confidence.
However, at present, this trust is not primarily based on the media character. The company actively produces press events not only by loud fantastic statements of the "first-person" but thanks to achievements and real facts.
Musk has a solid background under his belt that has a lot to tell investors. His major milestones:
Creation of the first Internet payment system, PayPal;
The creation of the first private space company, SpaceX (May 30, 2020, was the first manned launch of a spacecraft, which was a proprietary development of the company, which first demonstrated the ability to automatically return to the launch pad after separating a stage from a rocket);
Creation of several more or less successful diversified companies (artificial intelligence, neuro-interfaces, solar energy, construction);
The transformation of the Tesla startup into the world's most famous electric and automatically piloted car manufacturing firm.
No doubt, these merits encouraged investors to tolerate the company's chronic unprofitability for many years.
Tesla Stock Price Today :
Tesla stock began 2021 with record growth - on January 4, the value of the company's securities surpassed the $800 per share mark for the first time and was at a high of $884.
The rise in Tesla stock by several hundred percentage points was due, in part, to investor confidence in Tesla's ability to increase vehicle sales and production in 2021. Those who have long invested in the company are still confident that Tesla will remain the leader in the growing electric car market, despite competition from traditional manufacturers, which are also slowly beginning to tread new waters.
Thus, in February, analyst firm Argus Research sharply raised its target for Tesla's stock from $556 to $808. So, it was a price that analysts considered fair for the electric car maker.
Tesla stock remained at a record high price for a few weeks, but the company had a correction in March as it plunged to $540 at the beginning of the month. By the end of May, they were worth no more than $650 on average. In May, the share price was negatively affected by an unexpected refusal of the company to accept bitcoin for payment and sales in China, which were worse than forecasts.
On July 26, Musk's company reported financial results for the second quarter of 2021. At the postmarket, the company's securities reacted with growth.
Let's consider the results of the report in more detail and see what is the current situation of the company.
Q2 revenue rose 98% YoY, from $6.03 billion to $11.95 billion. Regulatory loan sales decreased 17% to $354 million, about 3.5% of the company's total revenue.
GAAP net income rose 10-fold to $1.14 billion, and adjusted earnings per share were $1.45 compared to $0.44 a year earlier. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 106% to $2.48 bln. Free cash flow increased by 48% YoY to $619 mln. The results significantly exceeded analysts' average expectations.
Tesla reported revenue from the company's energy segment, which includes solar photovoltaic cells and home energy storage systems, rose 60% QoQ to $801 million.
Almost all sales in the electric car segment came from the Model 3/Y. Shipments of these models increased 121%. Tesla will begin production of the Cybertruck at a new plant in Texas in late 2021.
The company said it had received $951 million in service fees.
Tesla sees future revenue growth in the energy segment. With the transition to renewable energy, Musk said, there is likely demand for "more than a million Powerwall per year" - a battery developed by the company, which is designed to conserve energy for household use, load shifting consumption, and backup power.
Tesla's financial performance has improved significantly. A good signal is a decrease in the share of the revenue from the sale of regulatory credits. The company continues to increase the number of fast-charging stations and service stations. Tesla did not report earnings and EPS guidance for the year.
A 60% q-o-q increase in revenue in the energy segment could signal the start of more business diversification. GW energy storage capacity has doubled in the last year.
The company could generate as much as $25 billion in revenue annually if it opens up its refueling facilities to other electric vehicles. Tesla may soon have a significant share of its revenue coming from the energy generation and storage segment. It could be Musk's possible response to recent difficulties.
Tesla will face high competition in this area from U.S. utilities and new startups, which have begun to actively seek to build networks of fast refueling stations across the country. Electric car sales are breaking records in the U.S.
Should the U.S. government adopt an additional $3.5 trillion plan to invest in "human infrastructure," Tesla could become one of the beneficiaries of the government's decision.
Tesla Stock Price Forecast 2021-2022 :
Interesting fact - Elon Musk himself warned in early December about a possible collapse of the company's stock. In a letter sent to company employees, he wrote: "If you look at our actual profitability, it is very low - about 1% for the past year. Investors are hoping for our future profits, and if they decide we can't get them, our stock will immediately collapse - like a soufflé from a sledgehammer blow."
According to its predictions, Tesla's stock price will not reach $1,000 in 2022 and will continue to trade in the $870 to $970 range for most of 2023. However, it will rise to more than $1,000 very briefly in November and December. WalletInvestor believes that TSLA will be able to defend its position more consistently in 2024 and 2025, with the stock price reaching $1,200 by July 2025. While this is less optimistic than forecasts from platforms like Long Forecast, which believe TSLA will reach $1,000 much sooner, it is showing a steady growth rate, which should reassure investors.
A more bearish forecast comes from LeoProphet.com. For exactlyTesla stock prediction 2022, LeoProphet.com predicts negative growth rates, with the stock price eventually ending the year at a disappointing $561. That would be an improvement over the November forecast, which is only $533.
Tesla Stock Forecast 2023-2027 :
We could not but mention here one of the most optimistic Tesla stock price prediction 2025. Kathy Wood's Ark Invest fund predicts that Tesla's stock price will rise to $3,000 by 2025.
Based on the number of shares outstanding, at that price, Tesla would be worth nearly $3 trillion. That means the stock has about 347% upside.
And that's just the base-case scenario Ark Invest is considering. Under the optimistic scenario, the stock will rise to $4,000, and the capitalization of the electric carmaker will reach $4 trillion. Experts estimate the probability of such growth at 25%. The negative scenario, the probability of which the analysts also estimated at 25%, envisages that in 2025, the shares will cost $1500 or less.
The company predicts that Tesla will sell between 5 and 10 million cars in 2025 if capital efficiency improves. The company's revenues from electric vehicle sales will be between $234 billion and $367 billion by 2025. By comparison, nearly 500,000 Tesla electric cars were shipped worldwide in 2020, and the company had total revenues of $31.5 billion.
Ark Invest predicts that Elon Musk's company will be able to reduce the cost of electric cars from the current $50,000 to $36,000. The fund believes that Tesla will create an insurance business that will generate operating income from $23 billion to $100 billion by 2025, and with a 50% chance that it can refine autonomous driving technology and launch a Robo-taxi service.
The $3,000 target level on Tesla stock is well above all forecasts collected by Refinitiv. The maximum estimate among the 36 experts surveyed is $1200 per paper. The consensus forecast is $621.5 over the next year, which is about 7% below the current price.
Analysts also added Tesla's insurance business, which the company could launch in more states over the next few years (so far only available in California) at above-average margins thanks to the "very detailed driving data" the company collects.
The Ark model did not consider Tesla's energy storage activities or the fluctuations in the company's bitcoin holdings.
Tesla Stock Forecast 2028-2032 :
Tesla's profits will grow through Full Self-Driving (FSD) subscription sales from $600 million in 2021 to $102 billion by 2032. That's according to reports from research firm Loup Funds.
Tesla has been working on a Full Self-Driving (FSD) autopilot for several years. The company aims to provide its customers with Level 5 autonomous driving. Currently, the U.S. electric car manufacturer recently launched a subscription option for FSD. It will be able to greatly expand its target market through monthly payments.
Subscribing to this system will shift the cost of a one-time payment from $10,000 to $200 per month. That will accelerate its adoption. According to Loup Funds, about 20 percent of Tesla owners will at least try out the feature, and about 3 percent will use it on a permanent basis. However, as the system develops over the next five years, those numbers will increase to 31% and 15%, and in ten years to 45% and 34%, respectively.
Tesla Stock Forecast: Price Predictions by Experts :
esla has never been free of skeptics, and many analysts believe its stock price is highly overvalued. Elon Musk himself agrees. In a leaked email to Tesla staff, the CEO warned that projections of skyrocketing stock prices are only achievable if the business manages to cut costs. With margins as low as 1 percent, he added, the stock price also depends on investor confidence: "If at some point they conclude , our stock will immediately profit. Crushed like a soufflé with a sledgehammer! ".
Let us look at different forecasts so we can understand the general outlook of the experts in terms of the future of Tesla.
According to Patrick Hummel, an analyst at Swiss bank UBS, Tesla remains the global leader in electric vehicles. However, the analyst maintained a "neutral" rating and lowered his target price on Tesla stock from $730 to $660. As a result, Tesla stock fell on the news.
There are two main reasons for the decline: increased competition and global problems with the supply of chips.
Hummel believes that it is the competitors that will affect Tesla's share price in the short term, especially in the largest electric car market in the world, China.
Tesla has already had to reduce the price of its cars in the Middle Kingdom several times to compete, which leads to a decrease in the company's gross profit in the region.
In addition, Tesla has faced reputational problems in China, and the latest misstep by the U.S. automaker was a recall of more than 285,000 cars in China because of safety concerns related to the cruise control function.
While the recall does not involve returning the cars, since the fixes will be done remotely via an online software update - this is not the news Tesla investors want to hear amid fierce competition in China.
Nonetheless, long-term investors should keep in mind that despite all the temporary difficulties, Tesla remains the "undisputed leader" in UBS's electric car stock portfolio.
Analysts at the investment company Wedbush believe that the shares of the company of American businessman Elon Musk - Tesla - is open to the growth of up to $1 thousand.
One of the drivers of the company's growth, according to analysts, was its inclusion in the S & P 500 index. The new position allowed Tesla to enter the "club" of blue chips. The changes, analysts believe, strengthened the company's position in the eyes of institutional investors.
Also, Wedbush paid attention to the potential of Tesla's business development. According to their calculations, there is a growing demand for electric cars in the world. Now, their share of sales in the market is 3%. By 2025, according to analysts, the figure may increase to 10%. Wedbush believes that China's share of Tesla's orders could rise to 40%.
The interest in the company's products from the PRC, according to analysts, will also be an important driver of the growth of the manufacturer's shares.
Another item that could become a support for the positive dynamics of prices for the securities of Tesla, according to Wedbush, is the victory of Joe Biden in the presidential elections in America. The fact is that his election program included work on improving environmental performance. Tesla electric cars are up to the task.
Jefferies analysts upgraded the stock rating, predicting a 22% gain over the next 12 months, noting that the electric carmaker continues to prove it is a leader and innovator in the mass market for electric cars and batteries.
In a research report for Jefferies clients, analyst Philippe Houchois and his team upgraded Tesla stock to a "Buy" rating from "Hold" and an estimate of its target price to $850/pc. from $700 on expectations that automakers, in general, could improve their margins as they operate with smaller, but better-allocated capital.
Specifically for Tesla, Houchois and his team said they expect the pioneer in promoting electric cars, led by its CEO, Elon Musk, to benefit compared to other automakers entering the electric-car game because of the "lack of legacy issues" and continued growth in demand for electric vehicles.
According to Houchois, dealer inventory recovery will be the first test for companies, while less product complexity and higher direct sales will be future drivers for structurally better industry profitability.
Basically, as we can see from the Tesla stock price forecast 2021 and further, analysts are more than optimistic about the company's prospects despite the increasing number of rivals and unclear epidemiological situation in the world.
Risks of buying Tesla stock :
Let's look at the factors that could cause a significant pullback in quotes.
Market crash
Market declines caused by the economic crisis, and the coronavirus pandemic could affect Tesla stock, which is now virtually the only driver of growth in the U.S. market. But even such a leading company may not survive the impact of the global crisis.
Someone will overtake
Although Tesla has been successful in developing new technology, the result may not be as impressive. What if the promised full autopilot technology isn't introduced by the end of 2021, or the super-efficient battery packs aren't created by Tesla but by Lucid Motors, for example? Porsche, Ford, and General Motors are zealous for Tesla's success. The up-and-coming Nicola Motor is preparing an electric truck for mass production. Amazon CEO Jeff Bezos is also interested in creating an original electric car. Volkswagen is launching its brand of electric cars in 2020. "It's a race, Volkswagen CEO Herbert Diess told Bloomberg at the Davos Forum. - We're confident we can keep up with Tesla, and at some point, even overtake it." Research firm Wood Mackenzie predicts that Volkswagen will overtake Musk's firm by 2028.
The superiority of detractors
Comparing Tesla and Toyota, some may say that despite the difference in development dynamics, Toyota outperforms Tesla in many ways (objectively Tesla is a small company). There are plenty of giants with great capabilities in the market for internal combustion engines. We also cannot rule out the lobbying activities of oil tycoons and the realization of the interests of political circles of entire countries (for example, Russia and the UAE). These very heterogeneous and even hostile to each other forces may well join forces for the "final solution of the Tesla problem".
Musk's unreliability
Elon Musk himself, despite his consistency in pursuing his goals, has not always looked trustworthy enough from an investor's point of view. He once sold the PayPal payment system, so why can't he think of selling Tesla as well?
Tesla Stock Technical Analysis :
During last week, the shares were up 1.7%. Tesla said it would open its charging network for other brands of electric cars in the U.S. as part of President Joe Biden's infrastructure project. It will allow access to funding as part of the project. Interestingly, representatives from Elon Musk's company were not invited to a meeting on the electrification of cars, which the U.S. president held last week.
On Sunday, Tesla officially confirmed that the production and delivery of the Cybertruck model will be postponed until 2022. The company has previously warned about this possibility more than once.
Tesla stock prediction: at the beginning of the week, a slight rise and then a decline in the share price to $685 is most likely. If the stock fails to hold that level, it will continue falling to $665. We may speak about the possible formation of a growth wave if the price comes back above $716.
The consolidation scenario within the range of $680-710 is a priority for the coming week. In the case of Tesla, any corporate news can lead to a revision of the forecast.
The consensus forecast from Refinitiv analysts on Tesla stock is at $711 per share, up 2% from the last closing price.
What Is the Future Price of Tesla Stocks?
Market Watch, citing Fact Set, notes that only 42 percent of analysts advise buying Tesla stock. At the same time, Tesla's competitor, China's Nio, has 65 percent. Analysts also believe that Tesla stock will be trading at $699 shortly. That is, more or less at the same level at which they are trading now.
Other data is cited by CNN. Based on the forecasts of 33 analysts, the channel derived a median value of Tesla stock for the next 12 months at $730. At that, the most optimistic forecast of the experts says that Tesla shares will skyrocket to $1.4 thousand, while the most pessimistic one says that Tesla's share price will fall to $67. However, most experts advise buying shares of Musk's company.
Wall Street Zen also has a similar Tesla stock prediction 2025 based on the opinion of 26 experts. They also believe Tesla stock is worth buying.
Even leaving behind all these investment aspects, we can say that Tesla`s popularity is growing exponentially, not only among traders and investors. So, Tesla stock prediction 2025 can be nothing but positive.
so....
Are Tesla Stocks a Good Investment?
Tesla's position among competitors remains quite strong. The market capitalization of Elon Musk's company exceeds $600 billion. As Market Watch notes, this is more than all of its closest competitors combined. By comparison, Volkswagen's market capitalization is about $130 billion, and, for example, Toyota's is just under $240 billion.
The company's production is growing. Tesla reached 500,000 cars a year in 2020, and it produced 185,000 electric cars in the first quarter of 2021 - twice as many as it did in the same period in 2020. At the same time, the company's plants in the U.S. and China can potentially produce more than a million cars a year, which means there's still room to spare. Plus, the company is building plants near Berlin and in Texas.
The company also announced in late April that its Model 3 had become the world's best-selling premium sedan, overtaking the respective BMW and Mercedes models.
The company is more than confident about its future. In a call with investors in March, for example, Tesla said it expects a 50 percent compound annual growth rate in the supply of its cars, in which case by 2030 the company will be shipping 40 times as many electric cars as it does now. Whether such a plan is achievable is not yet very clear.
On the other hand, some advise against buying shares of this company. Some experts believe that Tesla will be affected by the lack of chips, which, according to some forecasts, may last until 2022. Yes, Elon Musk reassured investors in early April on his Twitter account, thanking suppliers for supplying "critical" components for production. But how long this favorable situation will last for the company is the question.
In addition, the current drop in the value of Tesla shares may indicate that investors are no longer willing to turn a blind eye to losses and other "chronic" problems of the company.
The company's critics point out that Tesla did not end any year of its existence without a loss, and the money the manufacturer earns from selling cars is not enough to cover costs. Other complaints are that the company fails to deliver cars within the specified time frame, and Tesla itself is highly overvalued, which makes its position very shaky.
It partly explains the sharp change in the share price. However, it can also be explained by the relative waning of the coronavirus pandemic and the return of the global economy to life. In this regard, investors are beginning to invest not in IT companies, but in more "cyclical" businesses that depend on the macroeconomic situation.
Thank you to have read our article ! FOREXN1
$TSLA - @Stacking said run it to $800Old school technicals
Trendline break
SR flip
Little Range consolidation here
Expecting upside expansion
Only weakness with this setup is the H1 gap that has been left underneath this consolidation
Too have a higher R can keep stops above it expecting expansion soon
However, if the consolidation low gets deivated, fills that H1 gap, that should be a giga long!
See you at $800 Elon