TSLA Tesla Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the trend reversal move:
or the Bullish Pennant Pattern:
Then analyzing the options chain of TSLA Tesla prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 280usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2023-9-15,
for a premium of approximately $21.65.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Tesla
$TSLA - TESLA LONG TERM ANALYSIS (W)Quick sketch up of some possible paths for TESLA ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) long-term. According to this, we are in the middle of the 2nd leg of a 3-wave long-term weekly correction that started in Nov 2021. Wave A completed at the end of 2022, kicking off Wave B for 2023. Expecting some short-term turbulence on the way up back to the ATH at (B); could see a small dip back to the trend at around the 38.2%-50% fib lines before heading back up (yellow solid arrows). We could also see a rejection at the upper trend (in white) and head down to (C) now, shown by the dashed arrow. If we get to (B) and this long-term correction is still in play, we should expect a move down back for Wave C to complete the long-term correction. There is also a chance we can fly from the ATH once getting to (B), invalidating this pattern, shown by the second dashed arrow. These are all the possible paths I'm seeing now. I will monitor how she progresses and purchase more shares accordingly.
TESLA: Is it still a buy after today's fall?Tesla is having an approximatelly -7% decline at the time of this analysis, the strongest we've seen since the April bottom. This was enough to turn the 1D timeframe neutral in an instant (RSI = 54.820, MACD = 15.050, ADX = 39.955).
The question is obviously, is the stock still a buy?
Yes but as close to the 1D MA50 as possible. This is a 1W chart, so the 1D MA50 is portrayed in green. The fractal is basically the same as November 2019. And the price action that led to it starting in 2018, is almost the same as the 2022 Bear Market for Tesla.
In November 2019 the stock made the second (and last) small correction before skyrocketing on a multi-week rally.
With the price already past a 1D MA50-1W MA50 Cross, we are going long on the first green 1W candle near the 1D MA50 and will target the All Time High (TP = 415.00).
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Tesla's Q2 2023:Accelerating into the Future with Record RevenueIn the recently released Q2 2023 earnings report, Tesla Inc. presented a record quarter on multiple fronts, showcasing its resilience and innovation in a challenging macroeconomic environment. The electric vehicle and clean energy company reported a 9.6% operating margin, GAAP operating income of $2.4 billion, GAAP net income of $2.7 billion, and non-GAAP net income of $3.1 billion.
Despite price reductions in Q1 and early Q2, Tesla's operating margin remained robust, reflecting the company's ongoing cost reduction efforts, successful production ramp-ups in Berlin and Texas, and strong performance in the Energy and Services & Other sectors. The company's cash and investments increased by $0.7 billion in Q2, reaching a total of $23.1 billion.
Tesla's Cybertruck factory tooling is progressing as planned, with the company currently producing RC (release candidates) builds. The Model Y, one of Tesla's most popular models, became the best-selling vehicle globally in Q1, demonstrating the company's growing market dominance.
The company's total automotive revenues reached $21,268 million, marking a year-over-year (YoY) increase of 46%. The Energy generation and storage sector also saw significant growth, with revenues of $1,509 million, a YoY increase of 74%. Services and other revenue rose by 47% YoY to $2,150 million. Overall, Tesla's total revenues for Q2 2023 were $24,927 million, a 47% YoY increase.
In terms of production, Tesla manufactured 19,489 Model S/X vehicles and 460,211 Model 3/Y vehicles in Q2 2023, representing YoY increases of 19% and 90% respectively. The total deliveries of Model S/X were 19,225, a YoY increase of 19%. The total deliveries of Model 3/Y were 446,915, a YoY increase of 87%.
Tesla's installed annual vehicle capacity continues to expand. In California, the capacity for Model S/X is 100,000, and for Model 3/Y it's 550,000. In Shanghai, the capacity for Model 3/Y is over 750,000. In Berlin, the capacity for Model Y is 375,000. In Texas, the capacity for Model Y is over 250,000.
The company also highlighted its commitment to AI development, with the production of Dojo training computers commencing. This development is expected to satisfy Tesla's immense neural net training needs using in-house designed Dojo hardware, which will enable faster and cheaper neural net training.
For new Model 3 or Y customers, Tesla launched the "Get To Know Your Tesla" experience. This initiative allows users to adjust their seats, mirrors, and steering wheel, set up the phone key, and learn about topics such as regenerative braking.
In conclusion , Tesla's Q2 2023 shareholder deck paints a picture of a company that continues to innovate and grow despite external challenges. With a focus on cost reduction, new product development, investments in R&D, continuous product improvement, and the generation of free cash flow, Tesla is well-positioned for long-term success.
Read more in the comment section...
✅TESLA SWING SHORT🔥
✅TESLA will be retesting a resistance level of 313.00$ soon
From where I am expecting a bearish reaction
With the price going down but we need
To wait for a reversal pattern to form
Before entering the trade, so that we
Get a higher success probability of the trade
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
TESLA PossibilitiesFor todays earnings call I expect stable or rising car sales but a lack of earnings because of tremendous rebates.
So this could be the path for NASDAQ:TSLA in the next days or weeks.
This is my personal opinion. Not an investment recommendation. No recommendation for action. Do your own research.
GRIMACEUSDT LONG📈GRIMACEUSDT. A very interesting tool for dialing into the spot. Currently traded on the MEXC exchange. Listing on liquid exchanges is expected in the near future. The most open leadership and community. In terms of ambitions and potential, it has every chance of becoming the largest project in the CIS.
Tesla -> The Strongest Stock Of AllHello Traders and Investors ,
my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Tesla💪
After Tesla stock retested the last strong support zone for bulls, the 0.786 fibonacci level at the $100 level, the recent pump over the past couple of months of more than 100% was no surprise at all.
On the weekly timeframe you can see that Tesla stock is still in an overall strong bullish market, there is resistance coming in at the $320 level but until then there is no reason why Tesla stock should start a correction.
Looking at the daily timeframe you can see that Tesla stock is once again creating a new swing high and there was no bearish rejection at the previous resistance at all - therefore I simply do expect another rally of 15% towards the upside to retest the weekly resistance at the $320 zone.
Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint 📈
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
My previous analysis of this asset:
TSLA Chart Reading - Plan01 Introduction 01.01Howdy Traders!
This idea is more of an informational piece as opposed to an idea representing a strong trend headed in a certain direction.
Recently, we saw a strong bullish trend for $NASDAQ:TSLA. Many are wondering to what point this is all headed towards, and at what point the reversal will begin. The hopes of this post is to address this question.
When looking at a daily time frame, a trend-line can be drawn connecting all of the high points NASDAQ:TSLA created over the long span of time (last few years). In this chart I posted, it is represented as the blue trend-line (currently sitting at around the $290.50 levels). NASDAQ:TSLA is now approaching this level closer and closer day to day, and chances are that NASDAQ:TSLA will reject this resistance the same way it has in the past 3 separate occasions. NASDAQ:TSLA has two scenarios once it hits this level.
Scenario #1 (Bearish):
It hits this level, does not break through, and the price heads downwards to no certain price level.
Scenario #2 (Bullish):
NASDAQ:TSLA breaks the price level of $290.5, and will most likely come back down to retest this level. This first obstacle will be to break through the $314 level. If the bullish trend remains strong, NASDAQ:TSLA will have a really high probability in creating a new all-time-high of $415.19.
I will call this plan "Plan01", and will keep everyone updated on how it goes over time. If NASDAQ:TSLA does not break the $290.50 level, then this plan won't work. However, if it does, then Plan01 is in motion.
Bona Fortuna! (Good Luck)
Tesla's stock trend is likely to rise and fallIs Tesla's stock likely to turn bullish into bearish?
This chart shows the weekly candle chart of Tesla's stock over the past two years. The top to bottom golden section of November 2021 is superimposed in the figure. As shown in the figure, Tesla stock has already surpassed the 1.618 position on the golden section in the past two weeks, and is about to challenge the next strong pressure, which is the 1.382 position on the golden section in the figure! Due to factors such as the global consumer downgrade and the imminent launch of Tesla's affordable models, Tesla's stock is likely to turn bullish into bearish! In the future, just use the 1.382 and 1.000 positions of the golden section in the figure as the long short water separation interval operation! Sell high and buy low within the range, and chase up and kill down outside the range!
A trader’s playbook: can a USD in motion remain in motion?It was a huge week for USD traders and the USD remains the central focus of clients and wider market participants this week. US data is lighter on the ground and with the Fed in its blackout period, we are in cruise control into next week’s FOMC meeting, where a 25bp hike is an almost done deal.
Will this hike prove to be the last in the cycle?
The market is certainly feeling higher conviction that US inflation is trending in the right direction, and the moves in forward interest rates markets, to revisit price cuts in 2024, were the key reasoning why the USD has been so heavily sold. We can look at the SOFR interest rate market and see on Thursday that an aggressive -160bp of cuts were priced for 2024, although this has come back on Friday closing at -148bp. The USD and gold are moving closely to these expectations and the degree of easing from the Fed from March 2024.
The FX market is front running possible normalisation of Fed policy in 2024, and this is lifting risky assets and high beta FX (NOK and SEK especially). The question then is whether the USD sell-off has gone too far and we are at risk of mean reversion early this week – the upside in the USD will likely see equity markets finding better sellers, which all saw big gains last week.
US and Asia corporate earnings roll in this week, with SAP also getting a focus for GER40 traders, and in a quiet data week earnings may play an influence. There is also a focus on the special rebalance of the NASDAQ, which aims to reduce concentration risks (www.axios.com)
We start the week on a quiet tone with Japan offline for Marine Day and the potential for HK markets to close as tropical storm Talim is upgraded to a no. 8 typhoon signal.
As the week rolls on though one of the key topics of conversation is whether the BoJ alter its YCC policy at the BoJ meeting on 28 July – recent press suggests moving the 10yr JGB (Japan govt bond) cap (currently set at -/+0.50%) set by its YCC program is a real possibility. Should they move it to 0.75% or even 1% it could have big implications for the JGB market and by extension the JPY.
We’re coming off a big week for the US rates market and the USD is moving very closely in alignment to this pricing – the market sees the Fed cutting before other DM central banks and by a greater degree. This is something the market is very keen to explore and could have far-reaching implications for the USD into Q3 and certainly Q423.
Rearview alpha plays - what worked best last week:
• G10 and EM FX play of last week: Short USDSEK (-5.4% WoW), short USDHUF (-4.9% WoW)
• Equity index plays - long FRA40 (+3.6% WoW), long AUS200 (+3.4% WoW), long NAS100 (+3.4% WoW)
• Commodity plays – Long Copper (+3.9% WoW), Long XAGUSD (+8% WoW)
• Equity plays for the radar – Tesla (report earnings after market Wednesday) – the implied move (on the day of earnings) is 3.5%. The stock is looking for direction with the bias defined by a break of $284.25 or $265.10. Netflix report earnings at 6 am AEST on Thursday, with the market seeing an implied move of 4%.
• Crypto plays: Long XRP (+53.4% WoW)
Marquee event risk for the week ahead:
• US 2Q earnings – in the week ahead we receive earnings from 11% of the S&P500 market cap. Trader favourites include Bank of America, IBM, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, Netflix, Tesla, and AMEX.
• For GER40 traders, do consider that SAP SE report Q2 23 earnings on 21 July (aftermarket) – SAP holds a 9.4% weighting on the GER40, making it the biggest index weight, and therefore any outsized moves in SAP could influence the index - Can we see SAP break above E130 and to the highest levels since Oct 2020?
• UK CPI inflation (Wed 16:00 AEST) – The market expects UK core CPI to remain at 7.1%, while headline inflation is expected to fall to 8.2% (from 8.7%). The last 4 UK core CPI prints have come in well above expectations. With the market pricing 45bp of hikes from the BoE at the 3 Aug meeting, we’d need to see a huge downside surprise (in core CPI) to lower expectations that the BoE will hike by a further 50bp.
• Australia (June) employment report- (Thurs 11:30 AEST) – the median expectation is that 15k net jobs were created in June, with the unemployment rate remaining at 3.6%. While we look ahead at next week’s Aus Q2 CPI, the jobs report could influence expectations of RBA action on 1 August, which is priced at a 36% chance of a 25bp hike.
• Japan CPI inflation – the market sees JP headline inflation rising to 3.3% (from 3.2%), while core is eyed at 4.2% (4.3%) – with the market debating whether the BoJ alters its Yield Curve Control (YCC) program at the 28 July BoJ meeting, this data could influence that debate and potentially result in further pronounced moves in the JPY.
• China Q2 GDP (Mon 12:00 AEST) – expectations are for a rebound in GDP to 7.1% YoY (from 4.5% YoY). At the same time, we also get China’s industrial production (consensus at 2.5%), retail sales (3.3%) and fixed asset investment (3.4% YoY). Watch price action in CHINAH, copper, USDCNH and the AUD over this data.
• US retail sales (Tue 22:30 AEST) – it’s a quiet week for US economic data with US retail sales and various housing data points among the highlights – the market eyes 0.5% MoM retail sales growth.
• EU CPI (Wed 19:00 AEST) – the central case is for core inflation to remain at 5.4%, while headline CPI is expected to fall to 5.5% (from 6.1%). A 25bp hike at the next ECB meeting is a near certainty, but a lower inflation print may see longer-term expectations fall.
• Canada CPI inflation (Tues 22:30 AEST) – the market sees headline CPI at 3% (from 3.4%), and the core median at 3.7% (3.9%). The next BoC meeting isn’t until 6 September, so this CPI print may fail to move the CAD too intently.
• NZ CPI inflation (Wed 08:45 AEST) – The market sees NZ inflation running at 5.9% YoY (from 6.7%), and 0.9% QoQ – One for the NZD traders, but unless we get a blowout number the RBNZ should hold rates steady at the next meeting on 16 Aug.
• South Africa central bank (SARB) meeting (Thurs - no set time) – One for those running USDZAR exposures, but the prospect of a 25bp hike to 8.5% seems likely.
• Turkey central bank (CBT) meeting (Thurs 21:30 AEST) – the market expects the CBT to hike the one-week repo rate to 18.25% (from 15%) – eyes on your USDTRY exposures.
Fed speakers – With the Fed entering its blackout period, we see no Fed speakers until the FOMC next week.
ECB speakers – Lagarde, Lane, Vasle, Elderson, Vujcic, Villeroy
BoE speakers – Ramsden
RBA speakers – no individual speakers – RBA July meeting minutes (Tues 11:30 AEST)
TESLA: Can the minor uptrend win?
Channel
- A minor uptrend exists within a main downtrend. For TESLA to officially transition into an uptrend, it must break the main downtrend and surpass the significant prior high at $313.5.
Symmetrical projection: An uptrend N pattern
- By projecting a 100% symmetry projection of the initial swing from point A to B, and extending it from point C.
- As the expected symmetric pullback to E from D did not occur, I anticipate a further 100% extension of the primary bullish momentum (A to B) from D to F ($384.6). The target price level aligns perfectly with the starting point of the primary downtrend, further enhancing the significance of the target price.
Resistance level on the way
- The significant prior high at $313.5 represents a critical resistance level as the market must break through it to officially reverse the downtrend.
Support/ Defence levels for bulls
- The prior low at $241 is a key support level that shouldn’t be broken, if the market intends to sustain the uptrend. The level aligns with two critical Fibonacci levels, adding its importance.
The 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level of the primary downtrend from point X to point A.
The 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level from point C to point F (assuming the target price of $384.6 marks the end of the uptrend).
- If the price manages to sustain above the current level at $268, it would create the ideal scenario for a healthy uptrend. This is because $268 serves as both the original target price at level D and the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level of the nearest downswing from point X to point A.
**Not Financial Advice**
The information contained in this article is not intended as, and should not be understood as financial advice. You should take independent financial advice from a professional who is aware of the facts and circumstances of your individual situation.
TSLA: Expanding Channel Signals Critical JunctureTSLA is currently exhibiting a prominent expanding channel on the weekly timeframe. The price is nearing the weekly resistance, which also coincides with the upper boundary of the expanding channel. At this juncture, two scenarios are possible. Firstly, if the price adheres to the resistance level and the upper boundary, we can anticipate a downward movement, leading to a potential market downturn. Conversely, should the price exhibit a bullish breakout above the resistance and upper boundary, we can expect the rally to continue with renewed momentum.
Tesla's 2000 Cybertruck Production Underway!As you may already know, Tesla has officially commenced the production of 2000 Cybertrucks this year, and we believe this development presents a unique opportunity for traders like yourself.
Tesla has consistently demonstrated its ability to disrupt the automotive industry, and the Cybertruck is no exception. With its futuristic design, cutting-edge features, and impressive performance capabilities, the Cybertruck has garnered immense attention and anticipation from consumers worldwide.
Given Tesla's track record of delivering groundbreaking products, we believe that the production of 2000 Cybertrucks this year will undoubtedly significantly impact the market. As traders, it is essential to stay ahead of the curve and seize opportunities that arise from such developments.
Hence, we encourage you to consider placing Tesla market orders, considering the potential impact of the Cybertruck production. However, we advise approaching this opportunity cautiously, as any investment involves inherent risks. Conducting thorough research, analyzing market trends, and consulting with financial advisors is crucial to making informed trading decisions.
Tesla's market orders for the Cybertruck are expected to surge in demand, especially with the growing interest from individual consumers and commercial buyers. By placing market orders, you can benefit from the potential rise in Tesla's stock value, which has historically responded positively to significant product launches.
To capitalize on this opportunity, I recommend visiting Tesla's official website or contacting your trusted brokerage firm to place your Tesla market orders. Remember to evaluate your investment strategy and risk tolerance before trading carefully.
As always, staying updated with the latest news and developments surrounding Tesla and the automotive industry is essential. By closely monitoring market trends and emerging technologies, you can make informed decisions that align with your trading goals.
$NIO is turn to stage 2 ?NYSE:NIO is nearly turn to stage 2
Technical Analysis Big picture:
1) NYSE:NIO is going on down trend for a year and 3 month ago just have low volatility and low volume
2) Make Sideway down and forming wedge shape with RSI overdrive up. Possibility highly to make U-turn
3) HSI index make pattern H&S. If complete price break upper resistant it's time of chinese stock rally
4) Now it has 2 resistant to confirm stage 2 is breaking EMA200 and Breaking base of wedge shape to confirm
Technical Analysis Small picture:
- NYSE:NIO break the wedge and make lower high forming picture Cup and Handle
Hope NYSE:NIO get well soon
Good Luck