[EN] Tesla. Medium-term bearish signal // GaliortiTradingOn the 1-month chart NASDAQ:TSLA has lost its 10-session average , a chart widely followed by large traders, which may condition a bearish momentum in the medium term .
1 Month
Since November 2021 the price has been immersed in a counter-trend bearish channel with a final target at the floor of the long-term bullish channel ($100). Before that, it will have to previously exceed the medium-term bullish guideline (June 2019) in the vicinity of $175.
1 W
In the short term, prices present a series of supports that will initially stop the falls. The important liquidity zone between $200-220 and the 200-session average ($196) will help to contain the falls and will probably enter a sideways phase that will last a few weeks . It will then most likely attack the June 2019 bullish trendline.
1 D
In June of this year there was a bearish gap ($280 to $290) not yet covered that will act as a strong resistance in the future. A new bearish gap has been experienced during the day which has determined the loss of the 200 session average .
4 h
In the very short term the bullish gap from mid-August will contain the price decline. The large liquidity zone in which the price is starting to enter and the large oversold conditions will push prices to perform a pullback on its lost 200-session average. Even in this situation, the bearish gap may not be completely covered. This would open an important medium-term bearish trading window with stop loss above the gap and a first target at the uptrend line ($175) and a second target at the floor of the long-term channel ($100).
We must be very attentive to if the value fails to overcome the 200-session average on 4-hour charts. If it performs the pull-back and fails to restructure above it, it would trigger our bearish trade.
Pablo G.
Tesla
$TSLA overviewNASDAQ:TSLA coming into the DAILY oversold territory
2 gap downs
Closing in on support as well
Weekly paints an interesting picture
It's BEEN in a down trend
Support is 214 area
Forming Inverse Head & Shoulder pattern
If it holds support it could be basing
If not, it could pull back sub 200 & be ok
#Tesla
TESLA ANALYSIS Boost and follow, Comment for signal, more.
There is no good situation to trade.
After the correct analysis of the chart in the previous idea, now we see the chart update. There is a possibility of further price decline, but there is good support for the end of this trend in the limit of 200-220 dollars.
Concerns over Tesla's Volume and Margins DropConcerns over Tesla's Volume and Margins Drop: Can the Cybertruck Compensate for Losses?
As you may already be aware, Tesla has experienced a noticeable drop in both its volume and margins in recent times. This decline has raised questions regarding the company's ability to sustain its profitability and meet investor expectations. While Tesla has been a frontrunner in the electric vehicle market, this recent downturn has given rise to uncertainties about the company's financial stability.
In light of these concerns, it is crucial to evaluate the potential impact of Tesla's upcoming product, the Cybertruck. With its futuristic design and promising features, the Cybertruck has garnered significant attention and anticipation from both enthusiasts and investors alike. Tesla has positioned this groundbreaking vehicle as a potential game-changer, capable of revolutionizing the pickup truck market.
Given the current circumstances, it is plausible to consider whether the Cybertruck can compensate for the losses incurred by Tesla's declining volume and margins. The success of this highly-anticipated product could potentially help restore investor confidence and provide a much-needed boost to the company's financial performance.
However, it is important to approach this situation with caution. While the Cybertruck holds significant potential, it is vital to remain objective and critically analyze the possible outcomes. As a result, I would like to encourage you to consider a temporary short position on Tesla (TSLA). By doing so, we can potentially capitalize on the current market sentiment and potential risks associated with Tesla's performance.
Please note that shorting TSLA should only be undertaken after conducting thorough research and analysis, as it carries its own inherent risks. It is essential to consult with your financial advisor or conduct your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.
As fellow traders, it is our responsibility to stay informed, remain vigilant, and adapt our strategies accordingly. By actively monitoring and discussing these developments, we can collectively navigate the ever-changing landscape of the stock market.
Tesla Headed Lower Towards $215Before the earnings hit this chart was a visual representation of askin' your girl, or guy, where they wanna eat. "I don't knowww!", neither did Tesla chads until the post market release. RSI breakin' low does seem legit though. Watch it reverses and full sends for a gap fill because of how rational markets are right now.
Tesla could be on the verge of a strategic pivotWall Street analysts are focused on the company's gross margin levels after it implemented several price cuts, as well as any commentary on its outlook for demand in both the US and in China.
The EV maker already reported third-quarter deliveries of 435,059, which was below Wall Street expectations of 451,000 vehicles. Tesla said downtime at its factories in Shanghai and Dallas led to a slight decline in vehicle production during the quarter.
From an earnings perspective, here's what Wall Street expects from Tesla, according to data from Bloomberg:
Revenue: $24.9 billion
Adjusted earnings per share: $0.91 per share
Gross margins: 18.2%
Other items that will be on watch by investors is any update related to the company's planned launch of its Cybertruck, the impact its vehicle price cuts have had on demand, and the earnings potential of its EV charging network after it struck deals with a slew of automakers, among other things.
Our view is that Tesla could be in the midst of a strategic pivot from making cars to becoming a Tier 1 supplier. For Tesla's pivot, we see charging infrastructure, batteries, and drive units as being key in gaining access to OEMs as customers," RBC said in a recent note.
The bank highlighted that for Tesla to hit its 2023 delivery target of 1.8 million vehicles, it would have to deliver 476K units in the fourth-quarter.
"This would require production to quickly return to normal levels," RBC said.
RBC reiterated its "Outperform" rating and $305 price target, representing potential upside of 20% Spike.
Long DCFC - Tritium AgainHad a long a few weeks ago at around $1 that got stopped out. Relooking at it here and have been building a long last 2 days, ave price .$70. Real company apparently doing real stuff. Not advise, good luck.
TSLA Tesla Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip here:
or sold the top:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of TSLA Tesla prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 255usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-10-20,
for a premium of approximately $7.15.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Tesla Stock: The Best Case Might Be Going NowhereTesla TSLA 0.51% earnings are on tap this week—and the stock isn’t making the bulls feel as bullish as they usually are. They would feel a lot better if profit margins looked like they were bottoming out.
Tesla (ticker: TSLA) is due to report third-quarter numbers Wednesday evening. Wall Street is looking for earnings per share of about 73 cents, down from 77 cents a couple of weeks ago. It’s coming in a little after the company delivered some 435,000 vehicles in the third quarter, missing Wall Street estimates by about 20,000 units.
Price targets are coming down with the estimates. On Monday, Piper Sandler analyst Alexander Potter cut his target on Tesla stock to $290 a share from $300, though he still has a Buy rating on Tesla stock. While Cybertruck is due to be delivered soon, he sees shares trading “sideways, at best, in the coming months.” He wants profit margins to bottom and delivery growth to accelerate before investors get more excited about the stock.
He has a point about margins. Automotive gross profit margins have been coming down with prices for new Tesla vehicles. The price for a new long-range Model Y is down roughly 25% from peak levels. Tesla’s automotive gross profit margin in the second quarter came in at about 18%, down from a peak of about 30% in the first quarter of 2022.
Wedbush analyst Dan Ives agrees that investors will be “laser-focused” on profit margins. He sees automotive gross profit margins coming in around 17% for the third quarter, but investors are probably ready for a weak third quarter. What they want is a sign from management that margins are bottoming out.
$TSLA Earnings Projection! Can the Weekly Downtrend Break?These are projections based on my form of technical analysis. So far regarless of the sentiment we remain in a lower time frame uptrend. We are at a downtrend started from the end of 2021 and with the market fearful the trend could easily change.
My bullish projection for a gap and go is 320
My bearish projection would be 196 with a wick and close at 217
Otherwise, if neither triggers are broken I would expect sideways option burn price action.
Remember Earnings are always a gamble, while I do believe the chart can show us, a side ways stock is a triggerless one.
#TSLA LONGTERM TRADE IDEA SETUPGreetings Folks,
today i have prepared a setup of TSLA on NASDAQ
the analysis is as follows
- the price is following a popular triangle pattern
- i am neither bullish or bearish right now, the market structure is choppy
- have mentioned 2 outcomes in the chart
dont play with fire, always use a predefined stoploss
Evaluating TESLA's Trillion-Dollar Aspirations:Time to Invest?Evaluating Tesla's Trillion-Dollar Aspirations: Is It Time to Invest?
As Tesla's market capitalization nears the $800 billion mark, investors are keeping a close eye on the possibility of the electric vehicle (EV) giant rejoining the exclusive trillion-dollar club. With several factors working in its favor, including the global shift toward EV adoption and a reputation for innovation, Tesla appears poised for further growth. However, a meteoric rise in its stock price has raised questions about the right time to invest in this industry leader.
Tesla's Dominance in the EV Market:
Tesla has undeniably solidified its position in the US EV market, strengthening its economic moat through brand recognition and cutting-edge technology. By initially targeting the high-end market and delivering innovative features via software updates, Tesla has won the hearts of many without extensive marketing efforts.
Technological Expertise:
Early-mover advantage has given Tesla a technological edge in manufacturing capabilities, software development, and hardware design. This expertise equips the company to thrive despite intensifying competition in the EV industry.
A Glimpse into the Future:
CEO Elon Musk's vision for Tesla's future is nothing short of ambitious. The company's pursuit of fully autonomous vehicles, along with a potential robotaxi service, could lead to staggering profits. Even prominent investor Cathie Wood and Ark Invest share Musk's optimism, projecting substantial revenue from autonomous ride-hailing services.
Competition and Market Challenges:
While Tesla has outperformed its rivals, competition is an ongoing concern in the expanding EV market. Established automakers and newer entrants in the US, as well as formidable Chinese competitors, pose challenges that Tesla must address.
Price Reductions and Profit Margins:
To stay competitive, Tesla has resorted to price reductions, which have contributed to narrowing profit margins. This trend is something investors should keep a close watch on.
High Valuation:
With a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 73.6, Tesla's stock is trading at a premium valuation. This may give pause to conservative and value-oriented investors who seek reasonable valuations.
The Verdict:
While Tesla's track record and Elon Musk's innovative leadership are compelling, its current market capitalization and lofty stock price warrant a careful evaluation. Investors should consider whether Tesla can sustain significant outperformance in the coming years. Waiting for potential price pullbacks before making investment decisions might be a prudent approach.
In the dynamic world of EVs, Tesla's journey to the trillion-dollar club is one that investors will be keen to follow closely.
$TSLA NOT SO FAST BEARS!NASDAQ:TSLA is my bread-and-butter stock. Yet I remain unbiased until a I have a reason. That being said, even with today's bearishness we still have much to break to the downside.
I see a reason to be bearish with selling being seen into these pops, and typically that's something to note, but in the same breath this can cause tension on the sell side, making it easy to pop.
Tomorrow, I see 253.50 as the candle close if we drop and chop.
IF this acts as a reversal point, we still have yet to fully test our downtrend. So, I will be looking for a potentially STRONG reversal up. This again will drive buyers into that move, and without 275.50 broken, we have no signal for CONTIUNATION.
Tesla 12/10 MovePair : TESLA
Description :
After Corrective Waves " abc " it has Completed Impulsive Waves " 1234 ". Symmetrical Triangle as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame. Impulse Correction Impulse with Divergence
Entry Precautions :
Wait Until it Breaks the Upper or Lower Trend Line and Retest
Tesla (TSLA) -> 300% Is The GoalMy name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only trade stocks , crypto , options and indices 🖥️
I only focus on the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitalize on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise.
This is how you build real long term wealth!
In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on Tesla.
With the Covid19 Crash in March of 2020 Tesla stock perfectly entered a solid rising channel and and pumped more than 1000% towards the upside before retracing 70%.
Following this bullish trajectory I do expect another short term pullback to retest the $200 level before we could see a pump at least back to the previous all time high at $400.
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
I know that this is a quite simple trading approach but over the past 4 years I've realized that simplicity and consistency are much more important than any trading strategy.
Keep the long term vision🫡
Tesla -> Will Hisory Repeat ItselfMy name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only focus on price action and market structure 🖥️
I am trading the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitalize on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise.
This is how you build real long term wealth!
In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on Tesla.
All the way back in 2020 Tesla stock broke out of a monthly triangle formation and pumped more than 1.500% towards the upside. You can see that at the moment Tesla stock is once again creating a monthly triangle formation and there might be another breakout coming soon.
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
When the market moves where, and how, and if - these are all unknown.
The only thing which you can control is your risk.
- Philip Basic Trading -
Keep the long term vision🫡
TESLA Buy only over this level. 360 is the extension above it.Tesla / TSLA continues to trade inside the Channel Up that was initiated at the start of the year.
The 1day RSI is neutral so despite the presence of the Channel's bottom, we can see a break either way.
Buy only if the price closes over the Falling Resistance, which was what initiated the June / July rally last time.
The longer the Falling Resistance doesn't break, the more probable it is to see a 1day MA200 test.
Target 360.00 which is +0.618 Fibonacci on top of the previous High (1.00 then 1.618 then 2.236).
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!