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Tesla

Tesla reporting this week! $TSLATesla will report as soon as this Wednesday, Jan. 24, after the market close. Personally, I don't plan any trading activity here before the report. But at the moment the stock is in a technically interesting zone. I see a double technical pattern here - Inv. Head and Shoulders. Based on the structure of the daily chart, the price is now in a potential right shoulder (RSh) zone, which could be a good area to start a position. Meanwhile, the entire daily structure is a right shoulder (WkRsh) for the weekly pattern, which gives the current price zone more strength. Of course, the report could break the technical pattern, but I will be watching and waiting for one of my triggers to occur.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by ivanistrading
2
A Traders’ Week Ahead Playbook: living in interesting times We reflect on the week that was and where the US equity markets stole the show, with new highs in the S&P500, and the NAS100 outperforming all major equity markets. A.I names went on a tear on Friday, where notably Nvidia, Broadcom and AMD felt the love. With 16% of the S&P500 market cap reporting this week, earnings and corporate outlooks will play a greater role in the price action – it is hard to be short these markets given the upbeat flow but it’s hard to chase as well. Tesla and Netflix will be the trader favourites this week, with the options markets implying moves (on the day of reporting) of -/+ 5.4% and 7.5% respectively. Tesla needs to pull something out of the bag to turn sentiment around and we see price having lost 20% in the past 14 days. Netflix comes off the back of a 16.1% rally on the day of reporting Q323 numbers, so longs will be hoping for something similar, to take price above $500. A daily close below the 50-day MA and I’d be exiting longs. Conversely, the HK50 and CHINAH were savaged by over 5% and shorts continue to be the play, although a surprise cut to the 1 & 5-year Prime Rate would cause a decent reversal higher. Pushback from several central bankers on the start point and extent of rate cuts (priced into swaps markets) caused front-end bond yields to move higher last week, with the market reevaluating whether March is indeed the start date for many central banks to start a cutting cycle. In the case of the Fed, the implied probability has fallen to 50%, and this pricing should hold firm until we see core PCE print later in the week – The USD holds a fair relationship with the evolving implied pricing for a March Fed cut, where rate cut probability falls the USD rallies (and vice versa). The USD was the best performing G10 currency last week but with the ECB meeting in play this week, there are reasons to think EURUSD could push back into the 1.0950/70 area. The NZD gets close attention given the Q4 CPI print due and we’re seeing signs of diverging paths between the RBA and RBNZ in market pricing – looking for NZDUSD shorts on a momentum move through 0.6100 and AUDNZD longs at current spot levels, adding on a close through the 200-day MA. The flow and set-up in gold is a little messy and the price is chopping about – no real directional bias in the near term and would look at selling rallies on the week into $2055 and buying dips into $2000. While Nat Gas is getting good attention given price is in freefall, Crude is also on the radar with rallies recently sold into $75.20 and dips bought at $70 – A break on either side of that range could be meaningful. Politics also comes into focus with the New Hampshire REP primary held on Tuesday – it won’t be a market event but could pull Trump one step closer to becoming the REP nominee, a fate most fully expect. Good luck to all. Marquee economic data for traders to navigate: • China 1 & 5-year Loan Prime Rate – After the PBoC surprised and left the Medium-Lending Facility (MLF) rate unchanged last week the market now assumes the PBoC will also leave the 1 & 5-year prime rate unchanged at 4.2% & 3.45% respectively. The CHINAH was the weakest major equity market last week (-6.5% wow) and could revisit the October 2023 lows unless we see something far more definitive from the Chinese authorities. • BoJ meeting (23 Jan no set time) – this should be a low vol affair, where expectations for policy change at this meeting are incredibly low, and one would be highly surprised if the BoJ lift rates out of negative territory. Consider the BoJ will provide new CPI and GDP forecasts at this meeting, and they could be very telling of the future need to move away from a negative rate setting. • NZ Q4 CPI (24 Jan 08:45 AEDT) – the market sees Q4 CPI running at 0.5% QoQ / 4.7% YoY (from 5.6%. This is a clear risk for NZD exposures, where the outcome could see the market questioning if the RBNZ cut before/later than current pricing (in swaps) to start easing in May with 91bp of cuts priced by year-end. I like AUDNZD upside on growing central bank policy divergence. • EU HCOB manufacturing and services PMI (24 Jan 20:00 AEDT) – the market sees both surveys modestly improving at 44.8 (from 44.4) and 49.0 (48.8) respectively. A services PMI read above 50 would likely promote EUR buying. • UK S&P manufacturing and services PMI (24 Jan 20:30 AEDT) – The consensus is that we see the manufacturing diffusion index improving a touch to 46.7 (from 46.2), while services should grow at a slower pace at 53.0 (53.4). GBPUSD is carving out a range of 1.2800 to 1.2600 and I’m happy to lean into these levels for now. • US S&P global manufacturing and services PMI (25 Jan 01:45 AEDT) – the market looks for the manufacturing index to come in at 47.5 (from 47.9) and services at 51.0 (51.4). A services PMI print below 50 could cause some gyrations in the USD and equity. • Norges Bank meeting (25 Jan 20:00 AEDT) – The Norwegian central bank will almost certainly leave interest rates will stay unchanged at 4.5%. The market prices the first cut from the Norges Bank in June, with 107bp of cuts priced this year. • Bank of Canada meeting (25 Jan 01:45 AEDT) – the market prices no chance of action at this meeting. The first cut from the BoC is priced in April with 101bp of cuts priced this year, so USDCAD (and the CAD crosses) tone of the statement. • Japan Tokyo CPI (26 Jan 10:30 AEDT) – the market looks for headlines CPI to come in at 2% (from 2.4%), and super core at 3.4% (3.5%). The JP CPI print would need to miss/beat by some margin to cause a move in the JPY given the print is seen so soon after the BoJ meeting. • ECB meeting (26 Jan 00:15 AEDT) – the market ascribes no chance of a cut at this meeting, but the ECB will provide new growth and inflation forecasts. Recent communication from multiple ECB members suggests a growing consensus for a cut in June, although EU swaps pencil in the first cut in April (priced at 82%), with 136bp of cuts priced by December. • US core PCE inflation (27 Jan 00:30 AEDT) – the median estimate is for headline PCE to come in at 0.2% QoQ / 2.6% (unchanged) and core at 0.2% QoQ / 3% YoY (from 3.2%). US swaps put the probability of a cut in the March FOMC at 50%, so the PCE inflation data could influence that pricing and by extension the USD. New Hampshire (NH) REP Primary (23 Jan) – Donald Trump is leading Nikki Haley in the polls by 15ppt in NH, with Trump picking up votes with Vivek Ramaswamy recently exiting the race, while Nikki Haley is benefiting from Chris Christie’s recent departure. Haley must win here or come very close, or her chances of becoming the REP nominee drop sharply. There is talk that Haley may drop out after NH if she doesn’t come close to gaining the most votes in NH, although she may still run in the South Carolina Primary (24 Feb) given it’s her home state – either way, the race for the REP nominee could essentially be over depending on the outcome of the NH primary. Polls close at 8pm EST, so we should know the outcome shortly after that. US earnings – GE, Procter & Gamble, IBM (24 Jan after-market), Netflix (24 Jan 08:00 AEDT), Tesla (24 Jan after-market), Visa, Amex, Intel
PEPPERSTONE:US500Long
by Pepperstone
TESLA Set To Grow! BUY! My dear friends, TESLA looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 212.19 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 228.50 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by AnabelSignals
1
TESLA: New long term uptrend starting. $600 end of year possibleTesla has turned oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 27.952, MACD = -6.270, ADX = 56.430) and crossed under the 1W MA200 for the first time since October 30th. Even though further decline up until the Fed Meeting (January 31st) is possible, on a wider perspective, this is a long term buy opportunity in disguise. Why? Because the stock's Channel Down since July is repeating the same pattern of April-November 2016, which was eventually a Bullish Flag. The chart speaks for itself, they both started very low but grew exponentially on a parabolic curve, which after topping, it pulled back to the 1W MA200. After the Bullish Flag, Tesla hit the -0.118 Fibonacci extension seven months later. The 1W RSI patterns are equally identical. It is therefore more than realistic to expect a test of the new -0.118 Fibonacci level by the end of the year (TP = 600.00). See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:TSLA
by InvestingScope
1
RIVN Is Rivian the next TSLA?Yesterday, I observed some unusual blocks of calls in the options chain expiring on Feb 23, following the earnings release. One of the most substantial positions was in the $20 strike price call, with options traders paying $1.7 million in premium. Listening to analysts, some mentioned they expect a 'TSLA Model 3 moment' from RIVN as well. In addition to Amazon, which has agreed to purchase 100,000 delivery vans from Rivian, AT&T is set to acquire its electric vans and R1 vehicles in a new pilot program starting in early 2024. On the other hand, the CEO stated that he anticipates Rivian reaching a break-even point on each EV built by the end of this year. We will likely hear more about this on the earnings call. I am extremely bullish on Rivian's upcoming earnings release!
NASDAQ:RIVNLong
by TopgOptions
$TSLA Tesla Parallel Down Trend Continues In a technical analysis focused on Tesla's parallel downtrend below the 50-day moving average (MA), we're examining the stock's price movement concerning its short-term moving average. The 50-day MA is often used to gauge the intermediate-term trend. If Tesla is in a parallel downtrend below the 50-day MA, it suggests that the stock's recent price movements are consistently lower than this moving average. Traders and investors may interpret this as a bearish signal, indicating potential weakness in the short-term trend. Key points to consider: 1. **Price Movement Below 50-Day MA:** Tesla's stock prices are consistently trading below the 50-day MA. 2. **Lower Highs and Lower Lows:** Within this downtrend, you'd likely observe a pattern of lower highs and lower lows, indicating a downward trajectory. 3. **Support and Resistance Levels:** The 50-day MA could act as a dynamic resistance level, with the stock struggling to move above it. Meanwhile, parallel trendlines may define the channel within which the downtrend is occurring. 4. **Volume Analysis:** It's crucial to assess trading volume accompanying the downtrend. An increase in volume during declines could signal stronger selling pressure. As always, remember that technical analysis is just one tool, and it's essential to consider other factors and perform a comprehensive analysis before making any trading decisions. If you have specific data points or a particular time frame you'd like me to focus on, feel free to provide more details.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by AlgoTradeAlert
2
The Bullish Case for TESLAOne of the biggest misconception on Tesla is that it is just an Electric Vehicle Company but that is not the case. Tesla is also a Robotics, AI and energy company. If you look at it from that lens, TESLA is undervalued and has a great future!! TESLA recently bounced off the $212 Support level and believe this is the start of a bullish trend. Targeting the $300 Price point and we may even see $300 by the end of 2024. For context Elon recently tweeted this on TESLA "I am uncomfortable growing Tesla to be a leader in AI & robotics without having ~25% voting control. Enough to be influential, but not so much that I can't be overturned. Unless that is the case, I would prefer to build products outside of Tesla. You don't seem to understand that Tesla is not one startup, but a dozen. Simply look at the delta between what Tesla does and GM. As far as stock ownership itself being enough motivation, fidelity, and other similar stakes to me, why don't they show up for work?" In this tweet, Elon Musk expresses his desire for greater control over Tesla's direction as the company expands into AI and robotics. He believes that his current 13% stake in the company is not enough to make significant decisions in these areas. Tesla has a great future and as long as Elon is the captain, this ship will continue to go to mars and beyond. cheers
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by EgideSimba
4
Tesla: It's time to turn around🔄Tesla has fallen sharply in recent days and has now reached more or less the levels at which we expect the low of the blue wave (ii). Accordingly, our primary expectation is that the price will soon reverse and continue to rise - we expect it to rise above the $258.74 mark. Only the 35% probable alternative would shift this reversal into the future. This scenario comes into effect on a drop below $193.81 and still sees the price in the magenta wave alt. (ii).
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by MarketIntel
Inflation Higher = Stock Market LowerWhile higher inflation should be an indicator of a booming stock market since the consumers are spending more and the companies make more profit, this time the case is different. The simple macroeconomics behind it: Higher Inflation=Higher Interest Rates, which=Higher Borrowing Costs for the S&P companies And as you have already connected the dots higher borrowing costs mean less profit, so that is indeed what we are expecting to see in the stock market. The Seasonality for January for the S&P tends to be neutral to slightly bullish which is another confluence that we can see some pain in the coming weeks. This is our second trade on the S&P as the first one was with half of the risk and tight stop loss which was triggered, so now is the perfect opportunity for our second part of the trade. REMEMBER- Patience is the key for being consistently profitable . . . Comment your opinion below:)
VANTAGE:SP500Short
by Elite_Forex
2
TESLA Set To Grow! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for TESLA below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 218.79 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 240.72 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by AnabelSignals
4
$TSLA #Tesla, just dump it...The TSLA chart indicates a notable presence of lower gaps that are yet to be filled. These lower gaps signify potential areas where the stock might experience downward movements to reach previous price levels. The current situation suggests that if the support levels represented by rectangles do not hold, there is a higher likelihood of rapid downward penetration. Investors and traders should closely monitor these support levels as they play a crucial role in determining the stock's future trajectory.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Maximus20000