NVDIA Not the time to buy yet.NVDIA corporation (NVDA) is on the 3rd straight week of losses following the mid-June High, which was a Higher High at the top of the 20-month Channel Up. During that time the stock turns into a Buy only after it breaks below its 1D MA50 (red trend-line).
As you can see some times the bottom process takes longer, other times it is very short. The 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) hasn't been broken since mid-January 2023. At the moment, the stock has started the new Bearish Leg. Past such Legs extended to at least -22.56% and with a maximum -26.18%.
We are ready to buy at $110.00 and target the 2.0 Fibonacci extension at $170.00 (each Higher High is on a Fibonacci extension lower).
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Techstocks
ELI LILLY Entering consolidation phase. Wait for the buy signal.Last time we looked at Eli Lilly (LLY) was on March 18 (see chart below) and we got the most out of it as we entered after a 1D MA50 correction and got the most optimal value:
Our original target was $1050 calculated according to the % rise of each previous Bullish Leg (+45%) of the +1 year Channel Up but now it appears that the stock won't hit that level during this Leg as we are entering the bottom phase of the Sine Wave.
As you can see on the chart (now on the 1W time-frame), this is where LLY typically pulls-back and consolidates (red Rectangle) until the next Bullish Leg begins near the 1D MA100 (red trend-line).
As a result, we are closing our bottom buy position and turn neutral on LLY until we approach the 1D MA100 again, starting mid-August.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
MICROSOFT $450 Target hit. Potential consolidation ahead.Microsoft (MSFT) easily hit our $450.00 medium-term Target that we called on our last signal (May 01, see chart below):
That call came on the most optimal buy entry, with the price right at the bottom of the 18-month Channel Up. The symmetry between the pattern's Legs is very high and based on the previous Bullish Leg (dotted Channel Up), we should now get a medium-term consolidation to test the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and then resume the uptrend.
The Higher High was priced just above the 1.382 Fibonacci extension level. As a result, our next Target is $480.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
MICROSTRATEGY Bottom on Inverse Head and Shoulders. Eyeing $2000MicroStrategy Inc. (MSTR) is about to complete the Right Shoulder of an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern, which is a bottom formation technically. The Head was formed on the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line), a long-term Support for the stock, while the price is now testing the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) as Resistance.
We saw this exact same behaviour on MSTR's previous bottom (May 01) and right when it broke above the 4H MA50, it peaked marginally above the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level. As a result, we expect a similar development and our Target is $2000.
Notice also that right when the price was testing the 4H MA50 last time, the 1D MACD formed a Bullish Cross, which is what it is currently doing. Strong similarities everywhere.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TESLA It has begun...Tesla (TSLA) is on almost a +5.00% rise today an aggressive reaction to the market news and technically extending an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern as we mentioned on our previous analysis (see chart below):
It is a good time to shift to the longer term time-frame of 1W, where this IH&S pattern is a bottom formation that Tesla has registered before all of its major long-term rallies. The one that looks from cyclical start to finish with today's pattern is the period of 2014 - 2016.
Once the price broke above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) on that pattern, Tesla started a rally that peaked on the 1.382 Fibonacci extension level. Observe similar the 1W RSI patterns are as well between the two Cycles.
If the stock repeats that Fibonacci target, we can get a price as high as $700.00. That is of course a very optimistic scenario but even the more pessimistic one, has a (dotted) Channel Up targeting its top on the 3.5 Time Fib at around $400, which is almost the All Time High (ATH) for Tesla.
As a result, we see $400 as a real posibility for the end of the year.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
SMCI Excellent short-term buy opportunity.Super Micro Computer (SMCI) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the April 22 Low, with every Bullish Leg registering at least a +35.80% rise. The price is now just below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and the final technical confirmation that's needed is for the 4H MACD to form a Bullish Cross.
As a result, this is an excellent short-term buy opportunity. Or Target is $1050 (just below the +35.80% mark).
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
AMD broke above the 3-week Bull Flag. Major buy signal!On March 13 (see chart below) we issued a major sell signal on Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), as we saw the stock topping at the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of its 2-year Channel Up:
Our projection was materialized as the price corrected significantly by -37% and has almost reached the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which was the level that held, formed the latest Higher Low of the Channel Up and made us give a new long-term buy signal a month ago (while also the 1W RSI reached the symmetrical Support level of the October 2023 bottom (45.50)).
Today the buy sentiment got stronger than ever as AMD not only broke above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) but also above the giant Bull Flag pattern that started on the May 28 High. With the 1D MACD about to form a Bullish Cross, a very strong long-term buy signal emerges that call for a new Bullish Leg similar to at least the May 02 - 28 one.
If the prevailing structure is a Channel Up then expect a +23.65% rise, which puts our Target at $190.00 (just below the 1.5 Fibonacci extension).
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
APPLE formed 1st 1D Golden Cross in 15 months! Attention needed.It wasn't long ago when we called for a buy on Apple's (AAPL) absolute technical bottom (April 25 and May 02, see charts below respectively):
Needless to say that the 198.00 Target has been smashed. As the price reached the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 20-month (blue) Channel Up, the stock turned sideways and has been consolidating for the past 4 sessions.
This is a strong indication of a medium-term Top. If rejected, we expect a Channel Down correction to at least the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), where we will again buy for the long-term. If broken though, we will buy the first 1D candle close above the (blue) Channel Up and target $250.00.
The reason for this bullish expectation is that Apple just formed the first 1D Golden Cross in 15 months (since March 22 2023). Last time it did, the price had already initiated the new Bullish Leg (in the form of a blue dotted Channel Up). It only started the medium-term correction of July 2023, when it closed a full candle below the 4H MA50 (thin red trend-line).
At the same time, the 1W RSI had to hit the 79.00 overbought level. As a result, if you do turn bullish upon a 1D candle breaking above the (blue) Channel Up, consider booking the profit earlier if 4H MA50 breaks or the 1W RSI gets rejected on its 79.00 Resistance (unless your portfolio can support the correction).
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Nasdaq - We still have to be careful!TVC:NDQ is still retesting resistance after we just saw an expected rally of +75%.
More than a decade ago, the Nasdaq entered one of the most profitable and easy to trade patterns: a rising channel formation. In the beginning of 2023 the Nasdaq once again retested the lower support trendline in confluence with a retest of horizontal support and continued its bullrun from there. But currently resistance is ahead so we have to be quite careful and properly monitor price action on the smaller timeframes.
Levels to watch: $19.000, $16.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
BROADCOM Short-term pull-back in order?Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) easily hit the 1800 Target that we set on last month's analysis (May 22, see chart below) and made a new Higher High at the top of the 20-month Channel Up:
The symmetrical leg at the end of 2023, got rejected right below the 3.0 Fibonacci extension back to the 2.0 Fib. Even the 1D RSI is on the same levels as December 18 2023. As a result, we are turning bearish short-term on AVGO, targeting 1670.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
#NETFLIX Could rip faces in a Reactionary RALLYAfter getting destroyed and dropping like a #Crypto
The chart has showed relative strength
and formed a Bullish CUP & HANDLE
Some stocks will probably not survive these market conditions in the next couple years, which is healthy
So look for signs of strength vs the broader market
TESLA Huge Inverse Head & Shoulders ahead of Musk's $56B vote!Tesla (TSLA) broke today above its 1D MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time in more than 5 months (since January 04) and ahead of Musk's $56 billion today, seems to be completing an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern.
Technically this is a pattern seen in major market bottom's. This time it is being formed within the broader pattern of the Bearish Megaphone. A standard 2.0 Fibonacci extension Target would test the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of that Megaphone, considerably above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
As a result, our medium-term Target is $225.00, marginally below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
ROCKET LAB Bullish break-out imminent.Rocket Lab USA (RKLB) has completed a Bull Flag pattern (green Channel), trading right below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which has been its long-term Resistance since January 24 2024. Based on its 2-year Cyclical pattern, the stock should surge aggressively if it breaks above the 1D MA200.
The 1D RSI is posting the exact same formation it had during the break-outs of May 2023 and July 2022. All formed after strong rebounds within the Support Zone.
In any case, our medium-term Target $5.50, which will be a test of the Lower Highs trend-line, similar to June 07 2023.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NETFLIX Bullish break-out eyeing $725.00Netflix (NFLX) has established trading above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), turning it into a Support following the rebound since May 01. With the long-term pattern since June 14 2022 being a Channel Up, similar bullish break-outs above the 1D MA50 (blue circles) have been the start of Bullish Legs.
Even the 1D RSI has been very consistent at identifying bottoms. The last two Bullish Legs topped after the price hit the 1.786 Fibonacci extension level. As a result, we remain bullish on NFLX, targeting $725.0 (the 1.786 Fibonacci).
Flashback to our previous idea:
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
BROADCOM accumulating. Last opportunity to buy on this pull-backBroadcom Inc. (AVGO) has been trading within a long-term Channel Up since the October 13 2022 market bottom. The stock is now within the new Accumulation Phase that is being supported by the 1D MA100 (green trend-line).
Based on the previous Accumulation Phase, we should get one (or two max) more pull-back towards the 1D MA100, before the price breaks upwards aggressively towards the Channel's top (Higher Highs trend-line).
Last time the ultimate buy signal was when the 1D RSI made a Double Bottom. Our Target is $1800, which will be on the 3.0 Fibonacci extension, similar to the December 15 2023 High.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
META New rally to $800 started.Meta Platforms (META) is consolidating within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA100 (green trend-line) only 3 weeks after it touched the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the 1-year Channel Up.
This is the start of the new Bullish Leg of the pattern, half-way through the accumulation process. Once the 1D RSI breaks above its Lower Highs trend-line, we will have a bullish confirmation signal similar to October 06 2023. Our Target is $800.00, which represents a +95% rise, similar to both previous Bullish Legs of the Channel Up.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NVDIA Next pull-back will be the one to buy.NVDIA Corporation (NVDA) has been going exactly as planned since our latest update (February 16, see chart below) and looks very promising to hit the 1150 Target:
On the shorter term, the 1D time-frame, we see one last buy opportunity arising for those who missed our earlier buy call. Based on the (-21.66%) symmetry of the current correction with that of August - October 2023, we expect NVDIA to make another pull-back below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which should be its last before the new Bullish Leg of the Channel Up pattern begins.
See how similar even the 1D RSI fractals are. Our Target remains $1150.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
QQQ pull back done or another leg down?QQQ had a bad week last week after trying since February to break long term resistance of the Blue trading channel. There was a lot of momentum but ultimately after being squeezed between resistance of the blue channel and support from black channel midline, it was time to take profit for the big guys. Clearly, inflation readings and uncertainty about interest rate cuts were the main factors.
A hard sell off last week to establish a clear down channel with the biggest selling on Friday. Using the channel from August to November last year and with some minor tweaks, you can see that it ended Friday right on the support line.
Another thing I was looking at were several of the most recent pullbacks over the last few years. You can see them overlayed on the peak of March 21st. Going by them, QQQ has already come close to extent of the smaller pullbacks.
In my limited experience, these two indicators are usually a good sign for a rebound this week. The RSI is also in the oversold range and in line with other bottoms. The rebound could just be a short-term rally in the down channel like back in Aug and Sept last year with another leg down in the coming month or so. Or we could see a new attempt to break out of the blue channel.
Either way, I was brave enough to open a few positions Friday before the close. Hopefully I don't regret that.
PALANTIR bottomed on this Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern.Palantir (PLTR) easily hit our $24.50 target last time we published a call with you here (February 06 2024, see chart below) and shortly after started to correct:
The price has now hit and rebounded on the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line), forming so far an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern, which is technically a bottom formation. This is the very same pattern that was formed on both previous bottoms of the 1-year Channel Up.
On top of that, it broke and re-tested the Lower Highs trend-line, which again on both previous bottoms, it was a successful buy signal. In addition, the 1D RSI rebounded on the 1-year Support Zone.
We are currently on that exact time within the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA50 (yellow trend-line). A closing above the latter, should be the final buy confirmation. Our medium-term Target is $29.00 which represents the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, which was where the November 21 2023 Higher High was priced.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
APPLE This is why you should not miss this buy opportunity.Apple (AAPL) dived by -18% from the December 14 2023 High and following yet another rejection on its 1D MA50 this week, many turned increasingly skeptical over the stocks future. On this chart however, we examine Apple's ratio against Nasdaq (NDX) and gives a very clear answer.
As you can see, the ratio is about to form a Death Cross on the 1W time-frame, with the price attempting a rebound after having been hammered below the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). In the past 11 years, every time the ratio was below its 1W MA200 (green arc) and on a 1W Death Cross in particular, that was the market bottom and Apple largely outperformed the rest of the index.
In fact the minimum it rose by until the next large correction was +53.54% and the maximum +95.31%. In 1W RSI terms, this bottom is very similar to January 2013, when the RSI also got extremely oversold at 20.00.
Bottom-line: Apple is most likely expected to outperform the index in the coming years, thus presenting a very rare long-term buy opportunity.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
MICROSOFT on an excellent long-term buy level.Microsoft (MSFT) has been trading within a Channel Up since the January 06 2023 low and yesterday came to the closest 1D candle closing to the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up since September 27 2023.
That was also the last Higher Low of the Channel Up, achieved exactly on the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from the previous Low. With the price now below the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) but still above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), it appears that we are on symmetrical levels with that Higher Low.
The 1D CCI patterns between the two fractals are also similar and long-term investors can start considering buying MSFT again. Our medium-term Target is $450.00.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TESLA Has Elon made his miracle again? 4 month Resistance brokenNews quickly broke out that Tesla (TSLA) has received tentative approval from Beijing to launch its driver assistance software in China. This development occurred during a surprise visit by CEO Elon Musk to Tesla's largest market outside the US. Chinese authorities have agreed to allow Tesla to introduce its Full Self Driving (FSD) solution, leveraging mapping and navigation technology from Baidu (BIDU), the Chinese tech giant. This has so far pushed Tesla's shares more than +7.00% premarket.
Just 2 weeks ago (April 15, see chart below), while TSLA's price was at $166, we made a case why a potential 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) bullish break-out after laying off more than 10% of its staff, could be its 'META moment', just like the social media giant did in November 2022 and bottomed:
Of course each case has its differences but as we can see, Tesla did make a similar bottom on April 22 and will most likely open above the 1D MA50 today for the first time in almost 4 months (since January 08 2024)!
That is a major bullish break-out for at least the medium-term as each time the stock did that in 2023, it didn't stop there and rather went for a Lower High on the dotted trend-line. Technically it should make contact with as least the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), in order to allow the market given the fundamentals at the time to decide upon the longer term trend.
As you can see, there is a huge Bullish Divergence on the 1D RSI, which has been trading within a Channel Up against the price's Channel Down since late January. As a result we set a minimum $210.00 Target on a 6-week horizon and then we will re-evaluate the longer term on the 1W time-frame.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇