Technicals
GBP/UISD long term forecastGBP/USD has been on neat downtrend since January this year and we currently see an M pattern formation on the daily with resistance below neckline, we might as well continue bearish if we keep seeing resistance below neckline as marked on charts.
I will consider going long only if I see signs of strength above level A as marked on charts since it has consistently served as a level of resistance
$FB continue down trend$FB continues to down trend after the disappointing earning, backlash from the whistle blower, and continued pressure by the congress about the privacy.
with the overall market continue to trends down, there's highly likely that $FB will get dragged by it. i think in my personal opinion FB will be a dip buying
opportunity for long term. I think the metaverse will save Facebook 5-10 years from now when it fully lunched. but that future is still a bit far for now.
specially with US economy facing inflation or already are, plus the possible war with two countries Ukraine and Russia where US trying to get involve.
things might get complicated from here.
Day trade or scalp target play: 02/22/22
Buy call above 209.05 sell at 211.05 or 212.95
Buy puts below 203.98 sell at 201.98
Hello everyone,
welcome to this free technical analysis . ( mostly momentum play )
I am going to explain where I think this stock is going to go over the next day or week play and where I would look for trading opportunities
for day trades or scalp play.
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EUR/USD stabilising on the 1.1300 base... EUR/USD seems to be stabilising the newly formed base at 1.1300. A recent weekly candle from 2 weeks ago, formed extremely bullish in alingment with the recent fundamentals suggesting that there will be a medium term upswing in movement.
Generally speaking a closure above the 1.1400 handle should signify a comfortable 100 pips into the 1.1500 region and beyond, and looking at the recent weekly chart, there are many confluences to suggest more upside action to come.
Tomorrows trading news look relatively choppy concerning the dollar and should expect a fair bit of movement in the London session. Overall bias at current market price is bullish. We will update this pair over the coming days to see if there is a potential spot for opportunity around 1.1400.
SQ trade idea SQ bounced off long term support for a nice double bottom in the low 100s, and today had a huge bounce up to 120. To me this still has room to go up, 128.50-129.50 area minimum around 382 retrace, and possibly as high as 133-136 area which is around 21sma and 50% retracement. Plus we have MACD and RSI now curling up here on the daily. I have been scaling in longs here on SQ and will continue to hold until that 133-136 zone with SL below 100
When Trends Emerge... Embrace Them!The price of any asset is always the correct price because it is the level where buyers and sellers meet in a transparent environment, the marketplace. A price trend is the most accurate reflection of the market’s sentiment. When buyers are more aggressive, prices rise, and when sellers overwhelm buyers, prices decline.
The stock market trend reversed
The S&P 500 is the leading stock market index
The trend bent
Ride the wave until the technical position changes
Never try to pick a top or bottom; the market’s sentiment will tell you all you need to know
In his 2004 book, The Wisdom of Crowds, author James Surowiecki used case studies to prove that “the many are smarter than the few, and how collective wisdom shapes business, economies, societies, and nations.” A price trend embodies Surowiecki’s work, and that is why the trend is always a trader or investor’s best friend.
When I first began my trading career in the early 1980s, my mentors taught me never to “fight the tape.” They were old-school traders who learned their craft in the days when stock prices were printed on a ticker tape. Fighting the tape is going against the trend.
When the path of least resistance of a market changes from bullish to bearish or vice versa, it is a signal to take profits, losses, and reverse a risk position. The most successful trend-following traders and investors ride trends until they bend, aiming to take the most significant percentage of profits from a bullish or bearish price pattern.
There can be plenty of false signals that lead to choppy results but catching a significant trend and riding it like a surfer rides a wave can be gratifying and highly profitable. The recent price action in the US stock market points to a significant trend change from bullish to bearish.
The stock market trend reversed
After reaching a record high of 4,808.25 on January 4, the March E-Mini S&P 500 futures contract ran out of upside steam, reversed, and has made lower highs and lower lows.
The chart highlights the decline to the most recent low of 4,212.75 on January 24, a 12.4% decline in only twenty days. The futures contract was around the 4,420 level at the end of last week, closer to the recent low than the early January high.
The Fed’s more hawkish approach to monetary policy has weighed on the stock market as stocks compete with bonds for capital. Moreover, the geopolitical landscape has likely caused selling as tensions between the US and Russia have risen to a post-Cold War high.
The S&P 500 is the leading stock market index
The S&P 500 is the most diversified stock market indicator and the bellwether for monitoring the overall equities asset class.
While the recent selloff may appear as another speed bump, a close below the 4,495.12 level on January 31 would put in a bearish key reversal trading pattern on the monthly S&P 500 chart.
A bearish reversal in Bitcoin and Ethereum on November 10 led to a price implosion in the cryptocurrency arena that took prices over 50% lower at the most recent lows last week. The S&P 500 closed more than 60 points below the critical level on January 28.
The trend bent
Trends reflect market sentiment. As we move into 2022’s second month, the stock market looks more than shaky. Higher interest rates, geopolitical problems, COVID-19 variants, rising inflation, supply chain bottlenecks, the potential for rising US corporate and individual tax rates, and other issues have caused selling to emerge in the equities market.
There have been plenty of false signals in the stock market over the years. However, when corrections occur, they can be brutal. The last substantial correction took the S&P 500 from 3,393.52 in February 2020 to a low of 2,191.86 in March 2020 as the worldwide pandemic gripped markets. The 35.4% drop from one month to the next was a reminder that when the trend bends, it is best to follow the sentiment. The cost of trend-following is choppy results when markets display false breakdowns or recoveries. When trends emerge, the profits can more than compensate for short-term losses. The bullish trend in the US stock market bent in early 2022 and is now bearish at the end of January.
Ride the wave until the technical position changes
Trend-following is like surfing. It can take a long time to paddle around through small waves until a substantial one appears on the scene. Surfers look to ride the wave when it arrives.
The S&P 500 has already dropped by over 12% in January, and a bearish reversal at the end of January could cause even more follow-through selling. Daily price volatility has increased, and rallies during a bearish trend can be particularly nasty for those holding short risk positions; thus, the term “rip your face off rally.” The critical factor in trend following is to begin riding the wave early so that you can stomach the ups and downs that naturally occur as the market gyrates between higher and lower prices on an intra-day and even intra-week basis.
Those gyrations can cause the emotional impulses that cause many traders and investors to lose money or minimize profits. For trend-followers with the fortitude to suppress emotions, riding the bullish or bearish wave until it changes direction is the formula that separates winners from losers over time.
Never try to pick a top or bottom; the market’s sentiment will tell you all you need to know
Our emotions want us to be correct, and the emotional impulses are more concerned with calling a direction than profiting from the market. It is virtually impossible to call bottoms or tops in markets consistently, and successful trend-followers tend to be long at the top and short at the bottom. While this may seem counter-intuitive, it is the critical factor for profitability.
Sentiment is a powerful force that often ignores news, expert fundamental analysis, and all other noise that surrounds markets each day. Sentiment creates price trends that indicate the path of least resistance of prices. Picking tops or bottoms denies physics that teaches a body in motion tends to stay in motion. In finance, the trend is your friend until it bends is the same construct.
As of the end of last week, the trend in the stock market was bearish, and we will ride the wave until the market sentiment tells us it is time to ride another in the opposite direction. We are constantly long or short the highly liquid markets we trade, and we may get chopped up when sentiment is confused and provides false signals. However, we are always positioned to participate when the big moves come.
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Trading advice given in this communication, if any, is based on information taken from trades and statistical services and other sources that we believe are reliable. The author does not guarantee that such information is accurate or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Trading advice reflects the author’s good faith judgment at a specific time and is subject to change without notice. There is no guarantee that the advice the author provides will result in profitable trades. There is risk of loss in all futures and options trading. Any investment involves substantial risks, including, but not limited to, pricing volatility, inadequate liquidity, and the potential complete loss of principal. This article does not in any way constitute an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any investment, security, or commodity discussed herein, or any security in any jurisdiction in which such an offer would be unlawful under the securities laws of such jurisdiction.
Gold with amazing swing opportunityHello Community,
Technical:
Please see my current idea on Gold where my overall count (weekly chart), suggests an impact of our major wave 5 at the $ 2500 area, which is equal to the 0.618 Fibonacci extension.
Fundamentals:
We are currently in an inflationary environment, which we know should be good for gold. However, gold has failed to test its all-time highs, despite the burden of inflation. The sideways movement that we have known for a few months is due to the technical aspects. I think that given the current fundamental circumstances, the price of gold could make new highs as inflation, once it emerges, won't go away anytime soon. Unfortunately, drastic interest rate hikes will not help either. Central banks should realize and know this, that is why I am expecting them to increase their gold reserves in the coming months, which should help gold prices to rise.
This is no financial advice.
RT
two different directions for five g stocks (fivg)either were in for immediate continuation of the breakout pattern to above the 42 area or, if the nasdaq isnt doing as well, a pullback to revisit the 40.5 area
s&p500 futures still have bull momentumas long as we respect the 1-4 hr neckline, and we dont roll over breaking to new lows there are still lots of attractive areas of price above 4783
the bottom line is that calls are still cheap as long as we keep consolidating, so shooting for a intraday high above 4800 is a sound judgement
this means quick profit can be taken as we snap back to higher prices on the 15 minute
4780.25 is a decent target