#BTC - Is the bull run over?Is the bull run over for #BTC?
As I mentioned in my last post, I don't think BTC is ready for a more ample correction, only once we reach the extended zone of 105-108k
There are multiple confluences that sustain this hypothesis:
1. On the Pitchfork price touched the 1.618 low and rejected
2. All the liquidity was taken from 90-91k
3. There is now more and more liquidity forming above 104k, as people believe that the huge wick sweep signalled a change of character (reversal)
4. Looking at the Fibonacci time levels, we see multiple pivots in the past that were almost perfectly on the time levels, the next one being tomorrow
Even if price keeps correcting a bit lower to 93-96k, don't be fooled and sell early, because the next sweep of highs will be very impulsive, close to inflation news.
Technical Analysis
EURGBP Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURGBP for a selling opportunity around 0.83000 zone, EURGBP is trading in a down trend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.83000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe
Pfizer Ltd. - Short Position AnalysisChart Overview:
The chart indicates that the stock is in a clear downtrend, following a descending channel pattern. The price is nearing a key horizontal support level (marked in black), and a breakdown below this level may present a shorting opportunity.
Trade Setup for Short Position:
1.Entry Trigger: Below ₹5,028 on a daily closing basis.
2.Targets:
Target 1: ₹4,885 (first demand zone).
Target 2: ₹4,760 (strong support and lower boundary of the descending channel).
3.Stop Loss: Above ₹5,187 (recent swing high and red-dotted resistance level).
4.Risk-Reward Ratio: Ensure a favorable ratio of at least 1:2.
Alternate Scenario:
If ₹5,028 holds as support, the stock might see a pullback toward ₹5,187, where selling pressure could resume.
Polycab India Ltd. - Short Position SetupAnalysis for Short Position Condition:
1.Key Breakdown Level:
₹7,282 is a critical horizontal support level. A decisive breakdown below this level could trigger a bearish move.
2.Volume Profile Analysis:
Below ₹7,282, the volume profile shows limited buying interest until ₹6,997, suggesting a potential drop to this level.
Further weakness could see the stock test ₹6,746, where significant buying activity has previously occurred.
3.Trendline Breakdown:
The stock is trading within an ascending channel. A breakdown below ₹7,282 will confirm the failure of this channel, indicating a trend reversal.
4.Moving Averages:
The 20-day EMA is currently acting as dynamic support near ₹7,282. A breakdown will likely push the stock toward the 50-day EMA around ₹6,997.
The 200-day EMA near ₹6,746 is a long-term support level to monitor.
5.RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is neutral but could head toward oversold levels if the breakdown occurs, strengthening the bearish view.
6.Volume Confirmation:
Watch for an increase in sell-side volume during the breakdown for confirmation.
Trade Plan for Short Positions:
Entry Trigger: Below ₹7,282.
Targets:
Target 1: ₹6,997
Target 2: ₹6,746
Stop Loss: Above ₹7,438 (previous high near resistance).
Risk-Reward Ratio: Ensure an ideal ratio of at least 1:2 for the trade.
Alternate Scenario:
If ₹7,282 holds and the stock bounces, the immediate upside resistance is ₹7,654, above which the stock may resume its bullish trend.
SBI Life Insurance Co. Ltd. - Technical Analysis UpdateSupport and Resistance Zones:
1.Key Support Zone: ₹1,385-₹1,463
This zone aligns with the Fibonacci 0.236 retracement level and the recent reversal point, making it a strong support.
2.Immediate Resistance Levels:
₹1,555 (Fibonacci 0.382 retracement).
₹1,630 (Fibonacci 0.5 retracement).
₹1,705 (Fibonacci 0.618 retracement), a crucial level to watch.
3.Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
The stock has retraced sharply from its high of ₹1,943 and is showing signs of reversal near the 0.236 Fibonacci level. A breakout above ₹1,500 could confirm bullish momentum toward higher Fibonacci levels.
4.Volume Analysis:
Volume appears to be increasing near the support zone, indicating buying interest from market participants.
The Volume Profile indicates strong accumulation between ₹1,400-₹1,500.
5.Moving Averages:
The stock is attempting to reclaim the 20-day EMA as a dynamic support.
A crossover above the 50-day EMA could signal further bullish strength.
6.RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is recovering from oversold levels, indicating a possible trend reversal. A move above 50 would strengthen the bullish case.
7.Projection:
If the stock sustains above ₹1,463, it could aim for ₹1,555 in the short term and ₹1,705 in the medium term.
A break below ₹1,385 would invalidate this view and could lead to further downside.
Conclusion:
SBI Life Insurance is poised for a potential bounce-back. Traders can consider entries near the ₹1,450-₹1,470 range, targeting ₹1,555 and ₹1,705 with appropriate stop losses below ₹1,385.
SBI Life Insurance Co. Ltd (NSE: SBILIFE) - Technical Analysis Price Action and Fibonacci Analysis
SBI Life is currently trading at ₹1,628.85, which is near a crucial Fibonacci retracement level:
1. Fibonacci Levels:
The price previously peaked around ₹1,935.10, forming a possible double-top pattern.
It has since retraced, approaching the 50% retracement level at ₹1,624.75, a significant support zone. This level often acts as a key point for potential rebounds.
Below this, the 61.8% level at ₹1,551.50 is the next major support. If the price declines further, this level could provide strong support.
2. Volume Profile:
The Volume Profile on the right suggests a high volume node around ₹1,450, indicating strong accumulation in this zone. This level, if reached, could serve as a significant support area and potential bounce point.
3 . Moving Averages:
The stock is currently trading near the 200-day moving average (black line), which may act as a long-term support level.
The 50-day (blue) and 100-day (red) moving averages are above the current price, indicating that the stock has broken below its short- and medium-term trend lines.
Technical Indicators
1. Relative Strength Index (RSI):
The RSI is showing signs of being in the lower half of its range but hasn’t reached oversold territory, suggesting there may be further downside before a potential rebound.
2. Volume Trends:
There has been a significant increase in volume during the recent pullback, indicating strong selling pressure.
Conclusion and Potential Scenarios
Bullish Scenario: If the stock holds the 50% Fibonacci level at ₹1,624.75 and the 200-day moving average, we could see a recovery toward the 38.2% level at ₹1,698.00, with further resistance at ₹1,788.60.
Bearish Scenario: A break below ₹1,624.75 could lead the price toward the 61.8% level at ₹1,551.50. A further decline might see the price test the high-volume node around ₹1,450.
Trading Strategy
For Long Positions: Watch for a bounce near ₹1,624.75 or ₹1,551.50 with confirmation from volume and RSI improving from lower levels.
For Short Positions: A breakdown below ₹1,624.75, particularly with strong volume, could present a shorting opportunity down to ₹1,551.50 or potentially lower.
Note: Always consider market conditions and use proper risk management techniques.
Ethereum Price Near Breakout: What's next?Hello traders,
Exciting news for Ethereum enthusiasts! ETH price has surged to its highest point since March and approaching a crucial resistance level of $4,080. Breaking this resistance could pave the way for Ethereum to retest its ATH.
A breakout above $4,080 could signal a strong bullish trend, potentially opening the road to $4,800. This isn't just great news for Ethereum - it could also spark momentum for other altcoins, creating more trading opportunities across the market.
After touching resistance level at 4080, ETH price started to correct a little bit and can drop up to 3740 support level, from where it can resume its uptrend.
Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments below and don’t forget to boost this idea.
Happy trading!
XAUUSDOver the past week, spot gold prices (XAU/USD) have shown little significant movement, continuing to trade sideways within the narrow range of 2613 to 2656. Market sentiment has weakened following U.S. President Donald Trump's threats to impose tariffs on certain countries. Despite the Nonfarm Payrolls report bolstering the U.S. dollar, investor sentiment remains cautious, with focus shifting to the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cut on December 19. Interestingly, the dollar's upward momentum mirrors gold's movements, reflecting a unique dynamic in the current market environment.
Technical Analysis
On the H4 timeframe, gold prices remain trapped in a sideways channel. The EMA 34 and EMA 89 lines are moving in parallel and remain close together, indicating that the price is likely to continue ranging within this zone in the short term. This week, the release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report is a critical event that could act as a catalyst for breaking out of this sideways pattern. If the price breaks out, gold could either rally or fall further to key support levels at 2593-2595 and potentially deeper to 2540-2545.
Key Levels to Watch
BUY : 2610 - 2615 ; 2592 - 2594
SELL: 2660 - 2665 ; 2680 - 2685
Specific Trade Strategy
XAU/USD SELL Zone: 2654 - 2656
Stop Loss (SL): 2659
Take Profit (TP): 2652 - 2649
Given the current sideways trend, it is advisable to wait patiently for prices to reach clearly defined support or resistance zones to maximize the risk-reward ratio. Additionally, closely monitoring this week’s CPI release will help refine strategies as the market reacts to new data.
Wishing everyone a productive and successful trading day!
GBP/USD → Breaks Out, Eyes New Trend Target Around 1.300Hello everyone, Ben here!
The GBP/USD pair has found an opportunity to recover as a breakout from the previous parallel channel around the 1.271 region takes shape amid the dollar's ongoing correction. Key levels of interest are now set around the 1.300 area, with market sentiment cautiously optimistic.
A notable test of the intermediate low near the 1.248 mark was followed by an impressive reversal pattern, suggesting a bullish shift in momentum. Theoretically, the outlook leans toward further upside. However, the bigger question remains: How sustainable is this rally? The answer primarily lies in the trajectory of the U.S. dollar.
According to the CME FedWatch tool, the market is currently pricing in a 71.8% probability that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December. This scenario implies increased downside pressure on the USD, potentially opening the door for a moderate recovery in other currencies, including the pound.
From a technical perspective, the channel breakout provides a promising bullish signal, potentially setting the stage for a stronger upward move. However, traders appear cautious, waiting for further confirmation. If a false breakout above resistance occurs and the price falls below 1.271, a move back toward 1.240 could be on the horizon. For now, though, the mid-term outlook hints at a gradual climb from 1.275 to the psychological level of 1.300, supported by positive technical signals.
What are your thoughts on the current dynamics of GBP/USD? Share your insights, questions, or observations—let’s analyze this fascinating setup together!
USOUSD (OIL), key support remains in play Thanks for checking our latest update. Today we are looking at oil on its daily chart.
The key questions we are asking today from a technical perspective are: Will we see key support continue to hold, and will the rough looking ending diagonal pattern confirm, setting off a new rally? Or could sellers finally break the discussed key support area, setting off a new leg lower?
Key support: $67 - $66.50.
As always, traders must remain vigilant and stay abreast of the latest updates from OPEC and geopolitical influences, as these factors can significantly impact the market.
Good trading from Eightcap.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 09/12/2024Gap up opening expected in nifty above 24750 level. After opening if nifty starts trading above 24800 level then possible strong upside rally in nifty upto 25000 level in today's session. 24550 to 24750 range is consolidation zone for nifty any major downside only expected below 24500 level.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(09/12/2024)Today will be slightly gap up opening expected in banknifty. After opening if banknifty sustain above 53550 level then possible upside rally upto 53950 level and this bullish rally can be extend for further 400-500+ points in case banknifty starts trading above 54050 level. Any major downside rally only expected below 53450 level.
USDT.D UpdateCup and Handle Pattern Identified Early
We successfully spotted the Cup and Handle pattern from the beginning, and the price moved exactly as outlined in my previous analysis .
However, I may have forgotten to highlight an important point: there’s a rejection zone (Order Block) where the price is expected to bounce slightly. But don’t worry—this order block is not strong enough to sustain a significant reversal.
The price will likely rise a bit before continuing its movement. So, don’t panic if you see your assets dropping today. This is simply the natural flow of the market. Prepare for further downward pressure as the dominance of the dollar strengthens.
NZDCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDCAD fora selling opportunity around 0.83200 zone, NZDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.83200 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
GBPCAD Analysis - Bearish - Trade 06GBPCAD Analysis Overview
---
1. Seasonality
GBP: Seasonality indicates a **sell** signal for GBP in the first week of December.
CAD: Seasonality suggests a **strong buy** signal for CAD.
Seasonality Bias: Sell GBPCAD
---
2. COT Report
GBP:
COT RSI: 52 weeks at 30%, 26 and 13 weeks at bottom.
COT Index: 3-year at 50%, 1-year at 30%, indicating weak positioning for GBP.
Net Non-Commercial: Decreasing, showing a bearish sentiment.
CAD:
COT RSI: 52, 26, and 13 weeks at 20% and increasing, showing bullish momentum.
COT Index: 3-year and 1-year at 20% and increasing, aligning with a buy sentiment.
Net Non-Commercial: Increasing, with a positive bias.
COT Bias: Sell GBPCAD.
---
3. Fundamental Analysis
Leading Economic Indicators:
GBP: Decreasing, signaling economic weakness.
CAD: Increasing, pointing to economic strength.
Endogenous Factors:
GBP: Decreasing, aligning with a sell sentiment.
CAD: Increasing, further supporting a buy stance.
Exogenous Factors:
GBPCAD exogenous signal indicates a buy CAD, sell GBP sentiment.
Fundamental Bias: Sell GBPCAD.
---
4. Technical Analysis
RSI Divergence: Bearish divergence identified, indicating potential downside movement.
Breakout Indicator: A red arrow confirms bearish momentum on key breakout levels.
Resistance Zone: Price is currently at a strong resistance zone, showing rejection patterns.
Technical Bias: Sell GBPCAD.
---
Final Bias: Sell GBPCAD
The alignment across seasonality, COT data, fundamental indicators, and technical analysis strongly supports a sell setup for GBPCAD.
TradeCityPro | RUNEUSDT The Best Opportunity of the Week👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s analyze another cryptocurrency in detail, as the market is relatively calm right now, providing the perfect time to review and align our triggers.
🌍 Market Overview
As always, let’s start with Bitcoin. Over the past two days, Bitcoin hasn’t shown any significant movements, mostly ranging due to the weekend—something quite normal. These consolidations were needed for the upcoming moves.
For the week ahead, if Bitcoin breaks the 100,400 resistance and its dominance declines, make sure to focus on altcoins for potential positions or purchases. Conversely, if Bitcoin dominance rises, consider trading Bitcoin or coins paired with Bitcoin that are showing bullish trends.
🕒 Weekly Time Frame
RUNE is one of the coins that has shown some movement before the broader market moves began. It hasn’t risen from its all-time low but instead from its 2024 bottom, maintaining a bullish trend behind it.
You can consider buying after the weekly candle closes above 6.950, as this would indicate a breakout of weekly resistance. The volume is favorable, and the RSI has entered overbought territory. Place a stop-loss at 3.038 to participate in the potential move.
After initiating its move and finding support at 3.038, you can draw a Fibonacci retracement. The 0.382 level aligns with this support, and upon breaking the high (currently in progress), the Fibonacci extension levels suggest targets of 11.64, 26.431, and 46.375.
Some might wonder why the March 2024 movement wasn’t used for Fibonacci. This is because that movement was overly impulsive and later rejected, with a pullback to the previously established resistance at 6.95. Hence, this range is more appropriate for analysis.
📊 Daily Time Frame
RUNE is currently encountering a critical daily resistance. A breakout could lead to a move toward 10.695.
For a purchase in this timeframe, you can consider entering after a breakout above 7.32 with a stop-loss around 4.92. This would be a slightly riskier entry. Confirmation could come from an RSI pullback to 70 and a subsequent upward movement.
RUNE hasn’t shown much activity recently, but money appears to be flowing into it. Considering the weekly uptrend, it’s worth positioning ahead of a potential move.
🕒 4-Hour Time Frame
On the 4-hour chart, RUNE is following a parabolic curve and has reached the 7.352 resistance. After being rejected initially, it didn’t drop significantly, and on the next attempt, volume increased as it approached the high again. This second rejection further validates the resistance.
📈 Long Position Trigger
the trigger is clear enter after breaking 7.352. Use a wide stop-loss as this is a daily resistance breakout and may experience fluctuations; missing the move is not an option.
📉 Short Position Trigger
I’m still not interested, just as I’ve been in recent days. I prefer either resting or providing analyses for the community so we can collectively reduce stop-loss hits while building a stronger TradingView presence.
💡 BTC Pair Insight
RUNE, compared to Bitcoin, is in a favorable position. Unlike many altcoins, it’s not at its absolute bottom but rather near its 2024 low. Confirmation of an upward trend would come from breaking the weekly trendline or surpassing 0.00008139, which would likely initiate a significant pump. This relative strength compared to Bitcoin is a positive point for us.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
SushiSwap (SUSHI)📊 SUSHI Analysis
🔹 General Overview:
SUSHI coin managed to break out of its descending channel from the top and reach its weekly timeframe resistance. This resistance could lead to a price correction. The RSI has entered the overbought zone, but another significant resistance still lies ahead.
🔹 Weekly Timeframe Analysis:
If the price manages to break the white weekly resistance zone, it could trigger a sharp move towards the Fibonacci targets:
1.618
2.618
3.618
🔹 Investment Recommendation:
✅ We recommend a laddered entry strategy for investing in this cryptocurrency:
One entry at the current market price.
Another entry if the price corrects downward.
A final entry if the weekly resistance is broken.
🔹 Long-Term Outlook:
Given SUSHI's functionality and low market cap, it has the potential to revisit its previous all-time high. However, gradual profit-taking in the red zones is essential.
🔹 Additional Notes:
1️⃣ Volume Analysis:
An increase in trading volume near the weekly resistance could indicate strong buying pressure. If the breakout is accompanied by high volume, the likelihood of a sharp move increases.
2️⃣ Price Behavior During Correction:
During a correction, observe whether the price drops slowly with low volume or quickly with high volume. A slow correction often signals accumulation by buyers.
3️⃣ Impact of Overall Market (BTC & ETH):
The general market condition, especially Bitcoin and Ethereum trends, heavily influence smaller coins like SUSHI. Ensure the overall market trend is positive.
4️⃣ Timing Investments:
Given the likelihood of a correction near resistance, avoid rushing in. The proposed laddered entry strategy can help mitigate risks.
5️⃣ Monitoring SUSHI's Fundamentals:
Stay updated on SUSHI’s protocol upgrades, new partnerships, or management changes, as these can significantly influence price trends.
💡 Conclusion:
Stay in the game with proper risk and capital management.