Technical Analysis
Will the all-time high in open interest support Bitcoin's rally?Macro theme:
- Bitcoin jumped over 5% yesterday, following a positive trend across the crypto market. This has fuelled investor optimism for further gains in the coming months. Improved market sentiment, global stock rallies, and limited negative news from Middle East tensions have supported the rise of bitcoin.
- Additionally, open interest in Bitcoin futures and perpetual surged by about 33,000 bitcoin last week, reaching an all-time high in USD terms, according to ETC Group. These factors strengthen the case for a continued rally through "Uptober."
Technical theme:
- BTCUSD is around its resistance at 68340, confluence with the descending trendline. The price is trading above both EMAs, indicating a solid bullish momentum.
- If BTCUSD extends its rally above 68340, it may retest the nearby key resistance area 71400-73000.
- Meanwhile, BTCUSD may retrace to test its support area at 62800-64400 before resuming its upward movement.
Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(16/10/2024)Today will be flat or slightly gap down opening expected in banknifty. For today session 51500-52000 level will act as a consolidation zone of 500 points. Strong upside rally expected if banknifty starts trading and sustain above 52050 level. Any major downside only expected below 51450 level.
Bitcoin (BTC): Rally Fueled by Election SpeculationBitcoin’s recent momentum seems unstoppable, and if it continues at this pace, we could see it challenge the All-Time High soon. Is the rally driven by election speculation? Quite possibly. Former President Donald Trump's growing lead over Vice President Kamala Harris is creating buzz, with decentralized prediction markets like Polymarket reflecting a widening gap between the two candidates. Trump's odds surged 13 points ahead of Harris by October 15. While Larry Fink may downplay the election's impact on the market, we disagree, as we anticipated Trump's increasing odds would begin influencing market sentiment.
The recent surge in Bitcoin ETF inflows supports this view. With $550 million in inflows yesterday alone, the spike suggests that institutional investors, rather than retail, are fueling this rally. Institutional adoption continues to grow steadily, benefiting our spot BTC positions, which are printing gains once more.
Ignoring a brief dip below the trend channel, Bitcoin has consistently respected it, aligning well with the support zone. Currently, BTC is trading slightly above the trend channel, facing resistance from an order block. While this resistance may hold for a while, we anticipate it will eventually break. However, a slight dip before that would present a valuable buying opportunity, which we aim to capitalize on.
Zooming in on the VWAP chart, BTC has reclaimed the 2024 Q1 VAH but is now trading within a 12-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG). A pullback here would be ideal for positioning ourselves for the next leg up. With multiple levels aligning, we have two entry points prepared, and a flexible stop-loss strategy to manage the trades in real time.
DreamAnalysis | Key Triggers for ENJ Futures and Spot Trading✨ Welcome to today’s analysis! In this session, I will analyze Enjin Coin (ENJ) and review its key triggers in both futures and spot markets. The entire crypto market is currently in a significant zone, and how the price reacts here could set the direction for the coming months.
🧩 About ENJ and Its Role in Crypto Gaming
If you’ve been involved in crypto gaming, you’ve likely heard of ENJ (Enjin Coin), but you might not know exactly what role it plays. Every game is built using a game engine, such as Frostbite or Unreal Engine, used in major games. However, these engines are complex and expensive, which makes them impractical for crypto projects.
✨ Enjin Coin provides a simpler, blockchain-specific game engine, which is why it has become one of the top projects in this space. It has even partnered with notable names like CoinMarketCap, Binance, and Atari.
🔍 Now that we know what Enjin Coin brings to the crypto space, let’s dive into the chart and explore important triggers. The analysis is conducted in the daily and 4-hour timeframes.
📅 Daily Timeframe Analysis
On the daily chart, ENJ has been in a downtrend from its $0.6556 high, falling to the $0.13 support level. It has since entered a range-bound phase, moving between $0.13 and $0.1778 for the past two months. A confirmation of an uptrend could be seen if the price stabilizes above $0.1778, with RSI needing to break through 59.61 and market buying volume increasing to confirm bullish momentum.
📈 If the price breaks through $0.1778 or $0.2054, it would be a good opportunity for spot buying. Targets for this move would be $0.2645, $0.4098, and $0.6556.
📉 On the downside, if $0.13 support breaks (likely coinciding with RSI falling below 42.48), it’s advisable to activate stop-losses if you already hold ENJ. The next support below would be at $0.0921.
⏳ 4-Hour Timeframe Analysis
In the 4-hour timeframe, ENJ is stuck in a long consolidation range, which limits the effectiveness of momentum indicators like RSI, so I won’t use it here.
🔼 The price recently broke above $0.1543 and is now pulling back towards this level. If the upward move continues, the next target would be $0.1658, with the final target at the top of the range near $0.1823. If you don’t have a position open, consider entering a long trade on a break above $0.1658. What’s encouraging here is that volume is increasing, signaling strength in the bullish move.
🔽 For a short position, a break below $0.1398 would be a suitable entry point. If the price confirms and holds below this zone, we could see a move toward the $0.13 support. The main short position would be triggered after a break below $0.13.
📝 Overall, I currently see a bullish momentum in the market for futures and prefer opening long positions.
❌Disclaimer
This is not financial advice; it is merely my personal opinion on how the coin might move. Always conduct your own research before making any decisions.
USDCHF: Support & Resistance Analysis 🇺🇸🇨🇭
Here is my latest structure analysis for USDCHF.
Resistance 1: 0.8608 - 0.8630 area
Resistance 2: 0.8728 - 0.8747 area
Support 1: 0.8559 - 0.8562 area
Support 2: 0.8500 - 0.8544 area
Support 3: 0.8374 - 0.8404 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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AUDNZD: Your Trading Plan to Buy 🇦🇺🇳🇿
AUDNZD is currently retesting a recently broken daily horizontal resistance.
For trend-following buying, pay attention to a bullish flag pattern
on a 4h time frame.
Your confirmation will be a violation - a candle close above its resistance.
After that, buy the pair, anticipating a growth at least to 1.108 level then.
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#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 15/10/2024Gap up opening expected in nifty near 25200 level. After opening in case nifty gives breakout and starts trading above 25250 level then possible strong upside rally upto 25450+ level in today's session. Downside expected below 25200 level. 25050 level will act a strong downside support for nifty.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(15/10/2024)Today will be gap up opening expected in banknifty. After opening if banknifty starts trading above 52050 level then possible strong upside rally of 400-500+ points. 51950 will act as an immediate resistance for banknifty. Downside expected 51550 level if reversal happens at this level. For today session 51550 will act as a strong downside support. Any major downside only expected below this level.
CRM’s Bullish Setup: Inverted Head & Shoulders BreakoutSalesforce Inc. (NYSE: CRM) continues to innovate and maintain its position among the leading players in the cloud space, as highlighted in recent financial reports. The company’s growth has been driven by its focus on customer relationship management (CRM) technologies and its expansion into artificial intelligence, which has bolstered its offerings. Despite broader market headwinds, Salesforce has managed to navigate the tech sector’s volatility with strategic initiatives and solid earnings performance.
Technical Outlook: Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern
On the weekly chart, Salesforce stock shows the formation of a classic inverted head and shoulders pattern, a bullish signal indicating potential upward momentum. The key resistance level stands at $314.70 , which the stock attempted to breach earlier this year, experiencing rejection in February, marking the stock’s all-time high. A retest of this key resistance appears likely in the near term.
If the stock manages to confirm a breakout above this zone, our target price is set at $339.48 , a level that aligns with historical resistance and bullish momentum projections. To manage downside risk, we suggest placing a stop loss at $259.75 , a lower support level that provides solid technical backing in case of market reversals. This setup offers a risk-reward ratio (RR) of 1.5, making it an attractive option for traders seeking a medium-term position.
Quantum Probability Indicator: Strong Momentum Signals
Our proprietary Quantum Probability indicator, W.ARITAs , further strengthens the bullish outlook on CRM stock. The indicator points to strong technical momentum, suggesting a high probability of the stock moving toward our target zone. This momentum aligns with Salesforce's broader market positioning and favorable investor sentiment.
Conclusion: Positive Short-Term Outlook for CRM
Salesforce Inc. has demonstrated resilience in a challenging market environment, and its technical indicators now suggest a potential breakout. With a target price of $339.48 , a stop loss at $259.75 , and a 1.5 risk-reward ratio , this setup presents a favorable opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on bullish market conditions. As always, investors should remain cautious and monitor key resistance levels for confirmation of a breakout.
Disclaimer: This analysis is based on technical indicators and market observations. It is not financial advice. Investors should conduct their own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
BSE Ltd Breakout: High Volume Surge and Buy Signals!🚀 BSE Ltd Breakout Alert! 🚀
📊 Current Market Price (CMP): ₹3,896
🔍 Breakout Levels:
✅ High volume breakout observed across Daily, Weekly, and Monthly charts.
📈 Oscillators showing a Buy Signal.
📉 MACD confirms a Buy Signal as well.
🔑 Stop Loss : ₹3,650
🎯 Target : ₹4,375
Disclaimer : This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please don't follow this study blindly. Do your own research or consult with a financial advisor before entering any trade. Always trade with caution and risk management!
#BSE #StockMarket #TechnicalAnalysis #Breakout #Nifty #TradingTips #MarketStudy #StockTrading #RiskManagement
CRUDE OIL (WTI) Classic Gap Opening Trade
I see a nice example of a gap down opening on WTI Crude Oil.
As always, there is a high chance that the gap will be filled.
I already see some sign of strength of the buyers:
a double bottom pattern on 30 minutes time frame.
I think that the price will reach 75.3 level soon.
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#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 14/10/2024Flat opening expected in nifty. Expected opening near 25000 level. After opening if nifty starts trading below 24950 level then possible downside upto 24700 level. Any upside rally only expected if it's sustain above 25000 level in starting session. Upside 25250 will act as a strong resistance in today's session.
[INTRADAY] #BANKNIFTY PE & CE Levels(14/10/2024)Today expected flat opening in banknifty. After opening if banknifty starts trading below 50950 level then possible strong downside expected in banknifty upto 400-500 points. 51000-51500 zone will act as a consolidated range in today's session. Any strong upside rally only expected above 51550 level.
TATACONSUM: Upcoming Price Surge Projection
Timeframe: 4h
NSE TATACONSUM has formed a correction on the 4-hour timeframe chart. A closer look at wave A reveals it consists of three distinct waves, indicating it can't be labeled as an impulse. The security has broken below the 50, 100, and 200 EMA, with the Average True Range (ATR) at 15.
Currently, the price is developing wave (iv) of wave C within wave (B). Wave (B) has already reached 100% of wave A, and with bullish sentiment, the price could surge from this point. However, we need confirmation through a breakout of the sub-structure. After wave (B) is completed, traders can use wave (iv) as an entry point to confirm a long setup. Fibonacci clusters indicate potential levels at 1189 - 1246 - 1296 . Risky traders entering right after the completion should confirm their position with a lower high.
We will provide further updates soon.
- KP (Trade Technique)
NIFTY - Elliott Wave Outlook
Timeframe: Weekly
NSE NIFTY began an impulsive move after hitting a low of 15183.4 . Based on the wave count, the price completed wave (5) of wave (3) at 26277.3 and has since started to decline. The price is currently in a wave (4) correction phase. Let’s switch to the daily timeframe for a closer look at the details.
Timeframe: Daily
On the daily chart with a neckline at 24,750 , we’re observing a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern forming. If the price breaks below this neckline, Nifty could drop significantly, potentially reaching the demand zone or surge point of the pattern. However, if the price fails to break this neckline, it indicates weakness in the bearish momentum, signaling a possible reversal
According to the Elliott Wave Principle, if wave 5 is an extended wave, the correction often occurs near sub-wave 2 of the previous impulse, especially if it falls below sub-wave 4. So, 24,570 will be a crucial level for Nifty. We can expect the price to move up by no more than 126% of wave A within the correction. Otherwise, there’s a risk of mistaking wave B for wave 3.
Whatever scenario Nifty chooses, it’s better to let Nifty commit to a clear direction before we commit to the market.
We will update further information soon.
XAUUSD: Final Wave Completion – What’s Next?XAUUSD has formed a corrective pattern on the hourly chart, offering a potential breakout setup. The correction has spanned over two weeks, during which the price has frequently crossed the EMAs (50/100/200 ) on the hourly timeframe. Meanwhile, the 20 EMA has consistently acted as solid support on the daily timeframe.
The pair has completed its final wave 5 of wave (C) at 2604 and has since started to rise sharply. Currently, XAUUSD faces a strong resistance level at 2670 , which marks the high of wave (B). If the price breaks above 2670 , traders can target the following levels: 2685 - 2715 - 2735 +. If the breakout fails, the correction may continue, as 2670 is the key hurdle for the bulls to overcome.
Further updates will follow soon.
DreamAnalysis | DOTUSDT The Market Turtle👋 Welcome back to DreamAnalysis! Today, we're analyzing DOT (Polkadot), a major player in the DeFi space, and exploring its future potential.
🌐 What is Polkadot (DOT)? Polkadot (DOT) is a multi-chain blockchain protocol designed to facilitate communication and data transfer between different blockchains. Its main goal is to improve interoperability between independent chains, enhance scalability, and ensure security through its multi-chain architecture. DOT, the native token of this network, is used for governance, staking, and bonding parachains (sub-blockchains).
📆 Weekly Analysis of DOTUSDT
In the weekly timeframe, DOT is sitting on a crucial support level. If this support (around 4.022) is lost and the price closes below it, a sharp decline may follow. If you're still holding this coin, it is advised to sell if this support level is broken.
📈 Entry Point for Buying
Entry for buying and holding in spot trading is clearly defined. After breaking the descending trendline and triggering the entry point at 4.814, you can consider buying with a stop loss at 4.022. Weekly DOTUSDT Technical Analysis
📉 Daily Analysis of DOTUSDT
In the daily timeframe, the coin is showing a strong downtrend. This time, the price failed to break the resistance at 4.919 and quickly dropped toward support, indicating weakness in the buyers.
If 4.005 support is broken, I personally will look to enter a short position, as the downward movement is in line with the trend.
Additionally, increased volume and the break of the RSI 28.03 level could signal more declines ahead, with the next major support around 3.852.
⏱️ 4-Hour Analysis of DOTUSDT
In the 4-hour timeframe, clear triggers for breaking support levels are visible, giving a solid indication of position entry for the upcoming week.
📉 Short Position
After breaking 4.022, I will consider shorting to ride the potential decline. Also, confirmation of the RSI breaking 33.44 will add more confidence to this setup.
📈 Long Position
more risky option would be to go long after breaking 4.251, especially with increasing volume. However, this is a higher-risk strategy given the market conditions.
💬 This wraps up today’s analysis. If you found this helpful, feel free to share it with your friends and leave a comment with your thoughts or any other pairs or coins you’d like us to analyze.
📌 These analyses are merely our ideas based on a chart that doesn’t follow strict rules. Technical analysis is an art, and these insights are not financial advice.