Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 12.2.2024🔮
📅Mon Dec 2
⏰10:00am
ISM Manufacturing PMI
📅Tue Dec 3
⏰10:00am
JOLTS Job Openings
📅Wed Dec 4
⏰8:15am
ADP Non-Farm Employment Change
⏰10:00am
ISM Services PMI
⏰10:30am
Crude Oil Inventories
⏰1:45pm
Fed Chair Powell Speaks
📅Thu Dec 5
All Day
OPEC-JMMC Meetings
⏰8:30am
Unemployment Claims
📅Fri Dec 6
⏰8:30am
Average Hourly Earnings m/m
Non-Farm Employment Change
Unemployment Rate
#trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting ⏰
Technical Analysis
USOIL Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring USOIL for a selling opportunity around 68.30 zone, USOIL was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 68.30 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
TradeCityPro | ALTUSDT Analysis Good Spot Buying Opportunity?👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel!
Let’s dive into analyzing one of the newer altcoins in the market, ALTUSDT, which might offer a solid spot entry opportunity tonight.
🌱 Bitcoin Overview
As always, we begin by checking Bitcoin's performance , Bitcoin hasn't moved much compared to yesterday.
However, Bitcoin dominance is declining, which has allowed altcoins to gain momentum , If Bitcoin remains range-bound and its dominance continues dropping, altcoins might sustain their upward trend.
🕒 Weekly Timeframe
ALTUSDT has recently been listed and has dropped approximately 88% since listing, following the typical behavior of newly listed coins.
After this decline, it has been consolidating within a range box for about 120 days.
Now, the coin is testing the resistance at $0.16293, and it appears to be breaking out.
Risky Stop-Loss: Place it just below the shadow of the current candle, considering the buyers' strength.
Secure Stop-Loss: Place it at the bottom of the range near $0.0732 and hold for targets.
🔑 Daily Timeframe
trigger at $0.13342 allowed for a buy earlier. If you missed that entry, you can buy after a breakout of $0.16293, using a stop-loss at $0.10133.
RSI Entry Trigger The key RSI level to watch for entry is 82.57, signaling strong upward momentum.
No need to analyze lower timeframes extensively because the limited data on this coin makes trading it challenging , For futures trades, there are already sufficient setups in the channel.
💡 BTC Pair Insight
Relative to Bitcoin, ALTUSDT has been in a downtrend, forming a range due to significant trend weakness , breakout from this range could initiate an uptrend relative to Bitcoin.
If I purchase the coin and its BTC pair shows bullish movement, I’ll continue holding.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
SWING IDEA - JUBILANT PHARMOVAJubilant Pharmova , a diversified global pharmaceutical and life sciences company, offers an attractive swing trade setup with the following technical factors.
Reasons are listed below :
Break of 1000 Resistance : The price has decisively broken above the significant 1000 level and is sustaining, indicating strength and bullish momentum.
Consolidation Breakout : The stock is breaking out of a consolidation phase lasting over 6 years, suggesting a potential long-term uptrend.
Volume Spike : Increased trading volumes highlight growing investor interest and support the breakout.
Engulfing Candle : A bullish engulfing candle on the weekly timeframe reflects strong buying sentiment.
Target - 1450 // 1590
Stoploss - weekly close below 1030
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
End of Year Palladium Bull Run \o/From the current notation, I see this leveraged ETF on Palladium rising approximately 45% until the end of the year. The reasons are as follows:
Fundamental Factors : With increasing sanctions on Russia, one of the main exporters of palladium, global supply may become constrained. Furthermore, inflationary pressures might drive commodity prices higher. Technical Indicators : The Palladium chart has recently formed a higher high, and a higher low appears to be developing. The price has crossed above the 200-day SMA, and now the 30-, 50-, and 200-day SMAs are bullishly aligned. Seasonality: The seasonal strength in OANDA:XPDUSD is expected to begin the week after next.
So, we could get ready for rising prices in Palladium!
TradeCityPro | EURNZD Ideal Short Setup for Next Week👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel!
Let’s analyze EURNZD as the forex market wraps up this week and prepare our triggers for next week’s positions!
🌍 Fundamental Overview
Euro (EUR):
Benefiting from the ECB's cautious tightening policies aimed at inflation control.
Mixed economic data, such as weak industrial output, limits bullish momentum.
New Zealand Dollar (NZD):
Supported by stronger commodity prices and a resilient domestic economy.
The RBNZ maintains a balanced policy outlook, strengthening the NZD further.
The contrast between the ECB's inflation focus and the NZD's solid fundamentals tilts the bias toward NZD. Global risk sentiment and commodity trends are pivotal in determining price direction.
🕒 4-Hour Timeframe Analysis
EURNZD is consolidating within a range between 1.7836 (support) and 1.8063 (resistance).
Last week saw minimal movement, but this consolidation suggests the pair is gearing up for a breakout.
The price didn’t reach the resistance this time and got rejected earlier.
It is now testing the support level.
📉 Short Position Trigger
If 1.7836 is broken with strong momentum, it would trigger a short position, targeting lower levels.
📈 Long Position Trigger
If the 1.7836 support holds for an extended time, buyers could step in.
A break above 1.8063 would confirm a long opportunity, especially if the price forms higher highs and higher lows in lower timeframes.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
TradeCityPro | USDCAD : Divergence Signals and Key Levels👋Welcome to TradeCityPro!
In this analysis, I will examine the USDCAD pair from the forex market. The analysis is conducted on the daily timeframe.
⏳ Daily Timeframe: Resistance and Potential Reversal
In the daily timeframe, we observe a range (box) between 1.32179 (support) and 1.38632 (resistance) that was recently broken. Currently, the price has reached the 1.40777 resistance level.
✨ A noticeable divergence is present in the RSI oscillator, with a trigger for this divergence being the break below the 55.94 level on the RSI. If this trigger is activated, the price could enter a correction phase.
📈 At the moment, after breaking out of the 1.38632 level and retesting it as support, the price is consolidating below the 1.40777 resistance. If this resistance is broken, the next target will be 1.43824.
🔽 However, if the RSI divergence is activated, a deeper correction may occur. In that case, the price could re-enter the range, with the first support at 1.36023 and the second support at the range's bottom, 1.32179.
💼 Considering the weakening momentum seen in the candles and the divergence signals, the likelihood of a correction is increasing. However, I personally prefer to wait for confirmation from the price to better identify future trends.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
TradeCityPro | WOOUSDT Analysis Futures Opportunity👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel!
Let’s take a detailed look at the WOOUSDT coin triggers, even on this relaxed Friday! 😊
🌍 Bitcoin's Market Overview
Before diving into WOO, as always, let’s check Bitcoin
Yesterday's analysis: After breaking 96610, a long position was suggested.
Additionally, if Bitcoin dominance decreases, it could confirm favorable setups for altcoins. However, Bitcoin remained range-bound, moving in sync with the overall market.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
WOO is one of those coins that hasn’t made any significant moves yet, but the buy trigger has been activated.
After breaking 0.2228, a mid-term buy was possible, and there’s still a logical opportunity to buy at market price with a stop loss at 0.1308, supported by increased volume and RSI entering the overbought zone.
If you missed this trigger, you can wait and join this coin upon breaking 0.3369.
📈 Daily Timeframe
We’ve seen a relatively strong move, but the price has hit a significant daily resistance at 0.275
where it has been ranging for several days. After breaking this resistance, further upward movement could begin.
Additionally, RSI is nearing the overbought zone. For a risky buy in the daily time frame, consider entering after breaking this resistance, with a risky stop loss at 0.2129 or a safer stop loss at 0.1550.
⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe
The price shows compression, forming something resembling a triangle, with higher lows being created consistently. This increases the probability of breaking the 4-hour resistance at 0.2779, which could serve as a solid trigger for a futures trade.
📈 Long Position Trigger
The trigger is clear after breaking 0.2779, aim to open a long position with a safe stop loss, such as 0.2340.
📉 Short Position Trigger
The market currently lacks momentum for shorts. Even with a 20% drop driven by whales, short positions aren’t attractive now. It’s better to wait for stronger bearish momentum to enter with smaller stop losses.
💡 BTC Pair Insight
WOO has been bearish against Bitcoin in the long term but currently shows significant trend weakness and is ranging within its daily box. Compared to most altcoins, WOO demonstrates better strength relative to Bitcoin. If lower time frames confirm a breakout, an upward trend could begin.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
SWING IDEA - APTUS VALUE HOUSING Aptus Value Housing Finance , a leading home loan provider focusing on affordable housing, is showing promising signs for a swing trading opportunity.
Reasons are listed below :
370-390 Zone Breakout : This level has been tested multiple times, and the stock is now attempting to break out, indicating potential for further upward movement.
Breaking Consolidation Zone of 3+ Years : The price is emerging from a prolonged consolidation phase, which could lead to a new bullish trend.
Higher Highs and Higher Lows : The trend remains intact with consistent upward movements, suggesting continued strength.
Trading Above Weekly 50 and 100 EMA : The stock is trading above these key moving averages, reinforcing the bullish outlook.
New All-Time High : The stock has made a new all-time high, reflecting strong market sentiment.
Volume Spike : A noticeable increase in trading volume indicates increased buying interest.
Target - 450 // 510
Stoploss - weekly close below 335
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
SWING IDEA - HDFC LIFE INSURANCE HDFC Life Insurance , one of India's leading life insurance companies, is showing strong technical signals for a swing trade.
Reasons are listed below :
750 Zone Breakout : This level has been tested several times and the stock is now poised to break out, indicating potential upward momentum.
Breaking Consolidation Zone of 3.5+ Years : The stock is emerging from a prolonged consolidation phase, which could signal the start of a new bullish trend.
Highest 52-Week Close : It recently achieved its highest close in the past 52 weeks, reflecting strong market sentiment.
Trading Near All-Time High : The price is approaching its all-time high, showing that the bullish momentum is intact.
Trading Above Weekly 50 and 200 EMA : This reinforces the positive outlook, with the stock maintaining its position above key moving averages.
Target - 870 // 990
Stoploss - weekly close below 660
DISCLAIMER -
Decisions to buy, sell, hold or trade in securities, commodities and other investments involve risk and are best made based on the advice of qualified financial professionals. Any trading in securities or other investments involves a risk of substantial losses. The practice of "Day Trading" involves particularly high risks and can cause you to lose substantial sums of money. Before undertaking any trading program, you should consult a qualified financial professional. Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your financial condition and ability to bear financial risks. Under no circumstances shall we be liable for any loss or damage you or anyone else incurs as a result of any trading or investment activity that you or anyone else engages in based on any information or material you receive through TradingView or our services.
@visionary.growth.insights
Dollar Index (DXY): Time to Fill the Gap?!
I guess you saw this gap down that was formed this night on Dollar Index.
Analysing a price action today, it looks like the market is preparing to fill it.
I see a nice bearish trap and inducement followed by a bullish imbalance
on an hourly.
I think that the index will go up to the gap opening level soon.
Goal - 106.11
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
UPL Ltd. (NSE: UPL) AnalysisOverview: UPL Ltd. is currently trading at ₹545.50, showing signs of consolidation near its short-term moving averages. The price is poised at a critical level with a potential for either a breakout or a breakdown, depending on market dynamics and volume activity.
Technical Insights:
1.Support and Resistance Levels:
Immediate Support: ₹528 (marked by recent lows and a strong demand zone).
Key Resistance: ₹549.50 (current level) and ₹584.05 (previous swing high and significant supply zone).
2.Volume Profile:
The visible range volume profile indicates a concentration of volume between ₹540-₹550, suggesting this zone as a pivot for future price action.
A breakout above ₹549.50 could attract higher volumes, pushing the stock towards ₹584.
3.Moving Averages:
The stock is near its 20-day and 50-day EMAs, indicating a neutral short-term trend.
A clear break above the 200-day EMA would signal a shift in momentum towards the bulls.
4.RSI (Relative Strength Index):
RSI is hovering around 50, indicating a lack of strong momentum. A breakout above resistance could drive RSI towards overbought territory, confirming bullishness.
Scenarios:
Bullish Case: A breakout above ₹549.50 with high volumes could see the stock targeting ₹584.05 in the short term. Sustained momentum may lead to further upside towards ₹600.
Bearish Case: Failure to sustain above ₹549.50 might result in a pullback to ₹528. A breakdown below ₹528 could open doors for lower levels, around ₹510.
Trading Plan:
Entry:
Bullish: Above ₹550 for targets of ₹584 and ₹600.
Bearish: Below ₹528 for targets of ₹510.
Stop-Loss:
Bullish: ₹535.
Bearish: ₹540.
Final Thoughts: UPL Ltd. is at a crucial level with a well-defined risk-reward setup. Traders should wait for confirmation of direction with strong volume support before taking positions. Monitor global agrochemical sector trends and news for potential catalysts.
Zydus Lifesciences (NSE:ZYDUSLIFE)Overview: Zydus Lifesciences is currently at an interesting juncture, with signs of a potential reversal from recent lows. The price action suggests a possible recovery towards higher resistance levels, supported by technical indicators and market sentiment. Nomura's revised price target of ₹1,030, while maintaining a Neutral rating, aligns with this view.
Key Levels to Watch:
Current Price: ₹966.65
Immediate Support (SL): ₹902.55
Key Resistance Zones: ₹1,008.35, ₹1,041.45, and ₹1,102.15
Technical Analysis:
Volume Profile: The visible range volume profile shows significant accumulation near ₹1,000, which could act as a strong magnet for the price.
Moving Averages: The stock has started reclaiming its short-term moving averages. A breakout above the 200-day MA would confirm bullish momentum.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): The RSI is trending upwards, indicating improving bullish momentum. Divergence suggests a potential reversal.
Price Action: The formation of higher lows near ₹949 reinforces the possibility of a short-term recovery.
Trading Strategy:
Entry Zone: Between ₹950 and ₹970, as the stock shows stability near support levels.
Stop-Loss: Strict stop-loss at ₹902.55 to limit downside risk.
Targets:
Target 1: ₹1,008.35
Target 2: ₹1,041.45
Extended Target: ₹1,102.15
Risk Management:
Position size will depend on risk tolerance, ensuring a Risk-Reward ratio of at least 1:2.
Avoid chasing the price above ₹970 if momentum wanes.
Final Thoughts: Zydus Lifesciences presents a favorable risk-reward scenario with clear technical signals for a rebound. However, macroeconomic factors and sector performance will play a critical role in sustaining the move. Traders should monitor price action near the resistance zones closely for signs of continuation or rejection.
Risk Appetite at a Crossroads: SPY vs. TLT Nears Key ResistanceIntroduction:
A classic market indicator for gauging risk appetite is the ratio between stocks AMEX:SPY and long-term bonds NASDAQ:TLT . The premise is simple yet powerful: when stocks outperform bonds, the market is in a "risk-on" environment, favoring equities. Conversely, when bonds outperform stocks, it signals a "risk-off" environment, favoring safety.
For years, this ratio has trended upward within an ascending price channel, reflecting the dominance of equities over bonds in delivering superior returns. However, the ratio is now approaching the upper boundary of this channel, a critical juncture for assessing the next phase of market dynamics.
Analysis:
Risk-On vs. Risk-Off: The SPY-to-TLT ratio provides a clear view of market sentiment. A rising ratio reflects confidence in equities, while a declining ratio indicates a shift toward safety in bonds.
Long-Term Uptrend: The ratio has been in a well-defined uptrend, marked by higher highs and higher lows. This trend underscores the market's preference for stocks over bonds in recent years.
Current Situation: As the ratio nears the upper boundary of its price channel, the potential for a slowdown or reversal increases. While the long-term uptrend remains intact, a pullback could signal a temporary period where bonds (TLT) outperform stocks (SPY).
Interest Rate Outlook: With interest rates potentially declining next year, bonds could see increased demand. However, as long as the ratio remains within its channel and continues to rise, the "risk-on" environment remains dominant.
Conclusion:
The SPY-to-TLT ratio is nearing a pivotal level that could influence market sentiment in the coming months. While the "risk-on" trend remains intact for now, a shift in dynamics could occur if the ratio fails to break through its resistance. Traders and investors should monitor this ratio closely to navigate potential shifts between equity and bond performance. What’s your outlook on this key indicator? Share your thoughts below!
Charts: (Include relevant charts showing the SPY-to-TLT ratio, the ascending price channel, and key resistance and support levels)
Tags: #RiskAppetite #Stocks #Bonds #SPY #TLT #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketTrends
LIVE MARKET ANALYSIS & TRADE IDEAS: USDJPY, GBPUSD, GBPAUD & CJHello Traders,
Starting off early today with a big shout out to @TradingView for their continuous improvements to the platform and the valuable tools they provide to the trading community. Well done!
Here’s my analysis for today:
USDJPY H4
The USDJPY has formed a Momentum Low, signalling a potential trend reset. The underlying trend remains bullish on this timeframe.
Expectation: Increased buying activity is anticipated from the current price level.
GBPAUD H4
The GBPAUD is trading within a 915-pip range. Inside this range, price fluctuations create highs and lows. Applying the range trading principle—buy low, sell high—recent price action shows a bullish wave structure completed on the smaller timeframe following a rally from the Momentum Low.
Current Observation: A trend reset is occurring on the smaller timeframe, breaking below 1.9508.
Trading Approach: Look for a failure to make a Lower Low (LL) on the 5-minute chart and seek opportunities to trade to the upside.
GBPUSD H4
The GBPUSD remains in a downtrend on the H4 timeframe. However, a significant reset has occurred, forming Structure 4 at 1.2714.
Ideal Trade: The preferred strategy is to sell GBPUSD. However, based on wave structure analysis on the lower timeframe, the price is not yet primed for a bearish move.
CADJPY H4
The CADJPY exhibits similar behaviour to the USDJPY, with a recent dip below the previous Momentum Low. Yesterday, a bullish trend-changing pattern emerged.
Trading Opportunity: Look for buying setups above 107.46 based on the current price action.
Wishing you successful trades and a blessed weekend!
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 29/11/2024Expected slightly gap up opening in nifty above 24000 level. After opening if it's starts trading and sustain above 24050 level then possible correction rally upto 24250 level in opening session. Downside 150-200 points rally expected below 24000 level. 23800 will act as an important support for today's session.